Financial Page International

1 May 2010 - Global Markets Review

Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen,
 
To start this Newsletter, I thought that I would cover a 'tongue-in-cheek' headline that I read yesterday:
 
"Americans 'Fat, Dumb, Happy' Lagging in Education, Broad Says"!
 
Echoing my sentiments a little I feel.
 
Complacency about education has put U.S. workers at a disadvantage competing in a global marketplace, said Eli Broad, the Los Angeles philanthropist who has crusaded for a decade to improve student achievement.
 
"The American people frankly have been over many, many years, to be blunt, fat, dumb and happy," said Broad, 77. "If they want their children to compete with children in India, China or Korea, they better get them a far better education."
 
The U.S. ranked 21st with 78 percent of high school students graduating and going on to college in 2007, according to a 2009 survey by the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, which promotes economic growth, employment and higher living standards. Germany and Finland led with rates of 97 percent or more.
 
Broad, who has sought to improve instruction and student skills, said he wants his Eli and Edythe Broad Foundation to devote the next 10 years to influencing state and national education policy, and to promote a standard national curriculum for mathematics and science.
 
"The biggest problem we have in America is governance," he said. "You cannot compete with national education ministries and have 15,000 school boards. It's going to take more direction at the national level."
 
Broad started his nonprofit in 1999 partly to bolster education at a time when U.S. students' reading, math and science achievement scores had been declining.
 
A Michigan State University graduate, Broad made his first fortune as co-founder of Los Angeles-based KB Home, a home building company he started in 1957 with Donald Kaufman who died last year. Broad later pocketed $3.4 billion when sold his 19 percent stake in insurer SunAmerica Inc.
 
A lover of art with a 2,000-piece collection, Broad became a major supporter of museums and a co-founder the city's Museum of Contemporary Art. A Democratic Party donor, Broad said he supports California Attorney General Jerry Brown Jr.'s candidacy for governor.
 
Broad isn't alone in calling for improved education. In a Milken Institute panel in Los Angeles this week, economist Nouriel Roubini said investing in education and technology would benefit the U.S. economy more than spending on housing.
 
In the past decade, Broad has invested about $370 million in programs to improve instruction and student learning. About $100 million has been awarded to charter-school management organizations, creating 54,474 slots for students in 16 cities, Broad Foundation spokeswoman Karen Denne said in an e-mail.
 
Broad also set up the Broad Center for the Management of School Systems to train school superintendents and recruit top education managers from other professions. He established the $2 million Broad Prize for Urban Education, awarded to school districts that show the greatest improvement in student achievement.
 
Students need a longer school year and better instruction in the schools, Broad said. The best teachers and principals should be put into the "most challenging" schools, he said.
 
"In other countries, they take the top 10, 20 or 30 percent of the students and make them teachers," he said. "We get the bottom 30 percent out of education schools."
 
Broad said he is also seeking reform of school boards because they fail to address student achievement issues, and "we will see statutes that will limit their power" or define their role more clearly.
 
"You rarely find (school boards) talking about standards or student achievement," he said. "That's why you got to have more of that input coming from Washington at the national level and governors and big city mayors."
 
The article goes on .... but I think you get the gist of things. 
 
And in truth, he has a point.  But if you have managed to make a cool $30 billion out of the system, that system simply has to be flawed does it not!
 
And nicely on to ..... Expo!  How on earth could I not mention this today. And for that matter, how could the Financial Times not mention it - here is what they had to say about last night:
 
Shanghai staged an extravagant display of pyrotechnic power, on Friday, to celebrate the opening of the largest world expo in history, underlining the emergence of China - strong, prosperous and triumphant - from the global financial crisis.
 
Conceived as the second act in the dramatic re-branding of China which began with the 2008 Beijing Olympics, on Friday's performance, which was attended by a number of world leaders including Nicolas Sarkozy, French president and José Manuel Barroso was, European Commission president, billed by organisers as the largest outdoor multi-media show in history.
 
The 30-minute outdoor performance, produced by David Atkins Enterprises, an Australian event production company, was held on a 3.4km stretch of Shanghai's murky Huangpu River, which was turned blood-red as part of the show.
 
Organisers used a string of superlatives to describe the show, which was staged to celebrate what they called "the largest peacetime event in history", the Shanghai Expo, which runs from May 1 to October 31 and is expected to attract 70m-100m people, the vast majority of them from within China.
 
Millions of people all over Shanghai craned their necks for a glimpse of what organisers said was the largest searchlight display in history, the largest collection of multi-coloured laser firepower ever assembled in one place, the world's largest LED screen, one of the largest dancing water fountains ever, and the "largest light show ever attempted". 
 
"Sorry about the superlatives, but it can't be avoided," said Ignatius Jones, artistic director for David Atkins.
 
Some 6,000 LED balls were released into the Huangpu river to simulate fish, which symbolise good fortune in Chinese; forming themselves into the Chinese character for 'harmony', they highlighted one of the most consistent themes of the show - and of the Chinese government: Beijing's aspiration to create a 'harmonious society'.
 
Shanghai's futuristic landscape of skyscrapers were also roped in to perform, decked out in brand-new neon lights which staged a city-wide synchronised light show as part of the ceremony. Spectacular firework displays went up from land, buildings and barges on the Huangpu river, culminating with an all-red display of firepower and lasers, and a climactic explosion set to Beethoven's Ode to Joy. Two floating Ferris wheels were unveiled on other barges.
 
Shanghai government officials refused to say how much the event cost, but Yang Xiong, vice mayor of Shanghai said earlier this week that it was much less than the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics. The Expo itself is estimated to cost between $55bn and $95bn, including infrastructure improvements like the addition of several new metro lines, two to three times the cost of the Beijing Olympics.
 
Critics of the show questioned the opening's extravagant usage of electricity could be consistent with Shanghai Expo's theme of environmental sustainability. David Atkins Enterprises said use of energy saving technologies reduced power consumption by 55 per cent from what would otherwise have been the case.
 
Premier Wen Jiabao has said that staging such an Expo is a 100-year old dream come true for China - aimed, in the words of one late 19th century Chinese thinker, at ensuring that the "the sleeping lion", can be " woken up from the deep dream and cured of its protracted illness".
 
Shanghai declared a five-day public holiday from May 1 to May 4 to reward residents for living in a building site for years due to Expo preparations. Each resident will also get a free Expo ticket and Rmb200 transport car; an expensive exercise that captures the city's sense of its healthy finances.
 
So, if they are giving away 20 Million Expo tickets, now we know where a chunk of those expected visitors are coming from!
 
On to the numbers on the boards this week:   
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....

 US SummaryUS stocks tumbled, capping the biggest weekly drop since January, as criminal investigators took aim at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and technology shares slid after MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. posted a loss.
 
Goldman Sachs sank 9.4% to the lowest since July as people familiar with the matter said federal prosecutors are exploring whether to bring a criminal fraud case. Barclays Plc plummeted in US trading after investment banking at the UK's third-largest bank missed estimates. MEMC, which makes silicon wafers, sank 19%. Transocean Ltd. tumbled 7.9% as the White House banned new offshore drilling until the Gulf of Mexico oil spill is investigated.
 
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index retreated 1.7% to 1,186.69 at 4 p.m. in New York, extending its weekly retreat to 2.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 158.71 points, or 1.4%, to 11,008.61 and lost 1.8% over the past five days, snapping an eight-week streak of gains, which was its longest rally since 2004.
 
The Goldman Sachs-led slump in financial shares overshadowed rallies in Sunoco Inc., D.R. Horton Inc. and others on better-than-estimated earnings and further evidence the US recovery is holding firm. The economy grew at a 3.2% annual rate last quarter, compared with 3.3% forecast in a Bloomberg survey and 5.6% gain in the fourth quarter. Consumer spending rose 3.6%, the most in three years.
 
The S&P 500 has surged 75% from a 12-year low in March 2009 as earnings returned to growth following a record nine-quarter slump and the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate at a record low to safeguard the recovery from recession.
 
Goldman Sachs tumbled 9.4% to $145.20 to extend its April decline to 15%, its worst month since October 2008. Bank of America Corp. cut its recommendation to "neutral" from "buy," citing media reports indicating federal prosecutors are investigating the firm. Bank of America also slashed its price estimate on the shares to $160 from $220, according to a report dated Friday.
 
Prosecutors in New York are investigating transactions by Goldman Sachs after the Securities and Exchange Commission sued the firm two weeks ago on accusations of misleading investors in collateralized debt obligations. The federal review, which lawyers say is common in such a high-profile case, is being done by the US attorney in Manhattan, said the people, who weren't authorized to comment and spoke on condition of anonymity.
 
US shares of Barclays Plc slumped 8.6% to $20.42. First-quarter investment banking revenue dropped more than estimated. Revenue at the Barclays Capital unit slumped 26% to 3.8 billion Pounds ($5.8 billion) for the three months to March 31.
 
MEMC plunged 19% to $12.97 for the biggest decline in the S&P 500 and the stock's largest drop since July 2008. The maker of silicon wafers for solar modules and semiconductors reported a first-quarter loss as prices for both products declined and administrative expenses doubled. Analysts had forecast a profit.
 
Transocean, whose Deepwater Horizon rig caught fire and sank last week, tumbled 7.9% to $72.32. Halliburton, the second-largest oilfield contractor and a service provider on the Deepwater Horizon, declined 3% to $30.65. McMoRan, a New Orleans-based oil and gas producer that's drilling in the Gulf, dropped 8.6% to $11.94.
 
McAfee Inc. slumped 12% to $34.75. The second- biggest maker of security software reported first quarter profit that missed analysts' estimates after some customers put off large purchases of programs designed to protect computers from malicious software. The company's rating was cut to "market perform" from outperform" at Wells Fargo Securities
 
Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. sank 3.9% to $21. The securities exchange operator missed the average analyst earnings estimate as US stock trading slowed. Excluding some items, first-quarter profit at Nasdaq was 43 cents a share, missing the 46-cent average estimate of 22 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
 
Massey Energy Co. dropped 11% to $36.63. The coal producer is being probed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation with regard to the explosion at one of the company's mines in West Virginia, NPR reported on its website, citing people familiar with the investigation.
 
Sunoco had the biggest gain in the S&P 500, surging 4.3% to $32.78. The oil refiner reported profit of 14 cents a share after the market close Thursday, beating the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey for a loss of 14 cents.
 
D.R. Horton surged 3.2% to $14.69. The second- largest US homebuilder by revenue reported its second straight quarterly profit as buyers purchased property in time to beat the deadline for federal tax credits. Net income was $11.4 million, or 4 cents a share, for the fiscal second quarter ended March 31, compared with a loss of $108.6 million, or 34 cents, a year earlier. Analysts in a Bloomberg survey forecast that D.R. Horton would break even.
 
Discovery Communications Inc. rose 3.3% to $38.73. The owner of the Discovery Channel and Animal Planet cable channels increased its revenue forecast to as much as $3.78 billion from as much as $3.75 billion. The company also reported first-quarter profit of 39 cents a share, beating the 34-cent average analyst estimate compiled by Bloomberg.
 
Profit at companies in the S&P 500 surged 176% during the final three months of 2009, the most in Bloomberg data going back to 1998, and analysts estimate a 47% increase for the first quarter of 2010. Earnings estimates for companies in the index rose 10% on average in April, the largest monthly increase since at least 2006.
 
Income for the first three months of this year is beating estimates at nearly the fastest rate ever, with 77.9% of the companies that have reported topping projections. That compares with 79.5% in the third quarter and 72.3% in the period before that.

European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....

 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks fell as a decline in Barclays Plc and a sell-off in basic-resource shares overshadowed optimism that a bailout for Greece is imminent.
 
The benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Index lost 0.7% to 259.91, extending its monthly decline to 1.4%. The gauge has still rallied 64% from a 12-year low reached in March 2009 amid signs the global economy is recovering from the worst recession since World War II.
 
National benchmark indexes fell in 10 out of 18 western European markets. Germany's DAX lost 0.2%, France's CAC lost 0.6% and the UK's FTSE 100 decreased 1.2%. In Greece, the benchmark index soared 2.2%. 
 
GERMANY
 
German stocks dropped, with the benchmark DAX Index extending its decline for the week and for April, as a first-quarter loss at Metro AG overshadowed gains at Siemens AG and RWE AG.
 
Metro AG retreated 1.1% after reporting a first- quarter loss. Siemens and RWE led advancing shares, rising at least 1.4%.
 
The benchmark DAX lost 0.2% to 6,135.70, bringing this week's decline to 2%. The measure slid 0.3% this month. Stocks have fallen this week after Standard & Poor's downgraded the credit ratings of Greece, Portugal and Spain. The HDAX Index dropped 0.2% Friday.
 
Metro fell 1.1% to 45.16 Euros after reporting a first-quarter loss.
 
Siemens, Europe's largest engineering company, rose 2% to 74.34 Euros, while RWE advanced 1.4% to 61.86 Euros.
 
Altana AG dropped 2.3% to 16.45 Euros after the world's largest maker of additives for coatings and plastic parts said SKion GmbH, which holds more than 95% of its shares, fixed the squeeze-out price for the remaining shareholders at 15.01 Euros per share.
 
German wholesale trade turnover increased 2.1% year-on-year in the first quarter in nominal terms and 0.3% in real terms, the Federal Statistical Office said Friday.
 
In March, wholesale trade increased 7.8% in nominal terms and 4.6% in real terms compared with the corresponding month of the previous year.
 
When adjusted for calendar and seasonal variations, the March turnover was in nominal terms 2.1% and in real terms 0.7% larger than that in the preceding month, the statistical agency said.
 
German agreed monthly earnings of employees rose an average 2.3% annually in January, the Federal Statistical Office also reported. Earnings were up 3% in the previous comparable period, in October.
 
The statistical agency said not all persons employed under collective agreements benefited fully from the agreed pay increases because of short-time work, the reduction of extra payments, and the temporary suspension of agreed pay rises through opening clauses. 
 
FRANCE
 
France's CAC 40 Index declined 23.63, or 0.6%, to 3,816.99 in Paris, for a 4% drop this month. The SBF 120 Index lost 0.6%.
 
ArcelorMittal sank 99 cents, or 3.2%, to 29.66 Euros, a fourth straight decline. Chief Executive Officer Lakshmi Mittal told the Financial Times that the approaching increase in the cost of iron ore could make steelmaking 33% more costly.
 
While the company has extensive iron-ore-mining operations, which will partly insulate it from the effects of the price rise, the mines are mostly far from its European plants, the FT said. The result will be that the company's European output will be less competitive, the newspaper cited Mittal as saying.
 
Michelin & Cie advanced 2.6% to 54.87 Euros, gaining for a second day. The world's second-biggest tiremaker said first-quarter revenue rose 12% to 3.9 billion Euros ($5.2 billion), led by a rebound in sales to truckmakers in Latin America and Asia and to logistics companies.
 
Technip, Europe's second-largest oilfield- services provider, lost 2.5% to 60.50 Euros, falling for a third day this week. The stock was cut to "sell" from "hold" at Standard & Poor's.
 
Total slipped 2.6% to 40.97 Euros, declining for a third day this week. Europe's third-biggest oil company reported first-quarter adjusted net income of 2.3 billion Euros. That compares with the average analyst estimate of 2.37 billion Euros.
 
Vallourec, the world's second-biggest maker of steel tubes for oil and gas production, rallied 1.4% to 150.45 Euros, gaining for a second consecutive day. Crude oil rose to a two-week high as a weaker Dollar bolstered the appeal of commodities to investors and after a report showed the US economy grew in the first quarter, signaling that fuel demand will increase.
 
The producer price index or PPI in the French market increased 0.6% on a monthly basis in March, faster than the 0.1% growth in the previous month, the statistical office INSEE said on Friday. The producer price inflation came in line with economists expectations.
 
On an annual basis, the PPI rose 2% in March, faster than the 1.9% expected by economists.
 
Producer prices in the foreign markets increased 0.4% month-on-month in March, the PPI for all markets rose 0.5%.
 
French consumer confidence indicator slipped for the third consecutive month in April amid lingering concerns over the strength of the economic recovery.
 
The consumer confidence index decreased to minus 37 in April from minus 34 in March, the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies or INSEE said Tuesday. It was the lowest reading since July 2009. Economists were looking for a reading of minus 33. The indicator has been decreasing since February 2010, after registering moderate improvement last year, INSEE said.
 
Households' expectations on general economic situation for next 12 months deteriorated further in April by four points after a six point drop in March. The relevant indicator showed a reading of minus 46 compared to minus 42 in the previous month. The view on past general economic situation slightly deteriorated with the relevant indicator easing to minus 69 from minus 68.
 
Consumers have become slightly more pessimistic in April about their future financial situation with the indicator falling to minus 15 from minus 13 in the previous month. Compared to March, less number of people believe that coming 12 months is an appropriate time to make major purchases. The corresponding indicator went down to minus 27 from minus 24 in the previous month.
 
Fears about an increase in unemployment still loom large among households as the corresponding indicator showed a slight increase of one point. In March, the indicator gained four points.
 
A larger number of households said inflation has increased in the past as the corresponding balance of opinion gained six points in April. The balance of opinion on expected inflation increased by four points.
 
Households' opinion on their current financial situation is stable and remained higher than its long-term value. However, households' belief in their capacity to save worsened by one point along with their saving intentions, which also went down by one point.
 
In March, INSEE slashed its first quarter growth forecast for the French economy. The second-biggest Eurozone economy is expected to grow 0.2% sequentially, after expanding 0.6% in the final three months of 2009. The statistical office said France's less pronounced rise in unemployment is the result of the gradual upturn in activity, and should continue through coming quarters. 
 
BELGIUM
 
The Bel 20 in Brussels closed out the trading session Friday at 2,560.99, down 0.03%.
 
Belgium's expansion slowed in the first quarter as harsh weather hampered the economy's recovery from the worst slump in at least six decades.
 
Gross domestic product in Belgium, the first Euro-zone nation to report first-quarter GDP data, expanded 0.1% from the fourth quarter, when it gained 0.3%, the National Bank of Belgium in Brussels said Friday.
 
European governments are trying to bolster the recovery while seeking ways to tackle budget deficits, which swelled last year as policy makers rolled out measures to fight the recession. At the same time, Greece's budget crisis is rippling through the region, hurting the Euro after Germany's reluctance to approve emergency funds sparked contagion concerns.
 
The Belgian data could be "an indication that GDP growth may be lackluster throughout the Euro zone in the first quarter," said Dominique Barbet, an economist at BNP Paribas in Paris. While "cold weather and heavy snow distorted the economic activity in January," he said "business surveys suggest a much stronger second quarter."
 
Business sentiment in Belgium, the sixth-largest economy among the 16 nations using the Euro, improved more than economists forecast this month, the central bank said last week. Business confidence in Germany, Europe's biggest economy and one of Belgium's largest trading partners, jumped to the highest in two years.
 
Belgium also faces the uncertainty of possible early elections after Prime Minister Yves Leterme's coalition collapsed this month amid a deadlock over a disputed voting district. Belgium, which takes over the European Union's six- month presidency on July 1, has gone through four governments since elections in 2007 produced a political stalemate.
 
Exmar NV, the Antwerp-based operator of the world's largest fleet of midsize gas tankers, said Friday that first-quarter earnings fell about 39%. Tessenderlo Chemie NV, the world's third-largest producer of animal-feed phosphates, said its quarterly loss narrowed to 5.1 million Euros ($6.8 million) from 6.2 million Euros a year earlier.
 
From the year-earlier period, Belgium's first-quarter GDP increased 1%, after a 0.8% drop in the previous quarter. That was the first annual increase in output since the third quarter of 2008.
 
Belgium's King Albert II has accepted the resignation of the government led by Prime Minister Yves Leterme, following collapse of the ruling coalition after failure at resolving issues between partners, said officials on Monday.
 
"The King has accepted the resignation of the Government," the Palace said in a statement issued Monday. "The King has tasked the government to continue in a caretaker capacity."
 
Prime Minister Yves Leterme had offered to resign on Friday because of a long standing dispute between the coalition partners over the political rights of French and Flemish speakers in a bilingual voting district in and around Brussels.
 
It was Leterme's third offer to resign since July 2008, after a liberal Flemish party quit the government over plans to redraw the boundaries of the Brussels Halle-Vilvoorde electoral district.
 
King Albert, who indicated on Friday that he will wait for a week before accepting the resignation, had entrusted finance minister Didier Reynders to try and resolve the differences between the coalition partners.
 
The King's decision to accept the government's resignation came after Reynders asked Monday to be relieved of his three-day mission, indicating that he had failed in his efforts to patch up the differences between the two sides. Fresh elections are now expected to be called in early June.
 
Belgium is divided linguistically into French-speaking southern Wallonia, Dutch-speaking northern Flanders and the officially bilingual Brussels in between. The language used on the sign boards and all other documents, including mortgages, divorce papers and elections ballots, in each of the regions is currently determined by language rules based on this division.
 
The current differences between the ruling coalition is over a proposed plan to redraw the boundaries of the bilingual Brussels Halle-Vilvoorde electoral district after the country's Constitutional Court ruled in 2003 that district would have to be reapportioned.
 
The Brussels Halle-Vilvoorde electoral district is currently made up of the officially bilingual Brussels and some 20 Dutch-speaking towns around the capital city. The Flemish politicians are demanding that the parts of the district be made monolingual, while the French speaking politicians want to the voters in the district to be able to support French political parties. 
 
THE NETHERLANDS
 
In Amsterdam, the AEX finished the day on 345.91, a dip of 0.73% for the day.
 
Royal KPN NV, the largest Dutch phone company, said first-quarter profit rose more than analysts estimated as job cuts offset a drop in sales in the Netherlands.
 
Net income advanced to 448 million Euros ($599 million), or 28 cents a share, from 317 million Euros, or 19 cents, a year earlier, The Hague-based company said in a statement Friday. Analysts had predicted a 405 million-Euro profit, the average of 10 estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
 
KPN, led by Chief Executive Officer Ad Scheepbouwer, cut 945 jobs in the first three months to protect profitability after customers reduced spending and regulations forced tariff cuts. The company has eliminated 8,512 jobs in the Netherlands since 2005 and said it is on schedule to increase that total to 10,000 this year.
 
KPN fell 0.5% to 10.97 Euros in Amsterdam trading.
 
KPN expects to raise prices by 1% to 1.5% in 2010 in the Netherlands, Chief Financial Officer Carla Smits- Nusteling said on a call with reporters Friday, confirming an announcement the company made in December.
 
The Netherlands' Central Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday that the country's business sentiment indicator increased to -1.4 in April from -3.1 in March.
 
The number of businesses that expected an increase in production in the coming three months were higher than those that foresaw a decline, the statistical office said.
 
Further, respondents' assessments on inventories improved slightly while opinions on new orders was hardly changed. 
 
SWITZERLAND
 
Zurich's SMI rounded off the week at 6,616.82, declining 0.74% in the process.
 
The fiscal woes of some Euro area countries posed significant risks for Switzerland, the head of the Swiss National Bank, Philipp Hildebrand, warned on Friday.
 
Hildebrand told the SNB's general meeting of shareholders that there was a possibility of investors flocking to the Swiss franc as a safe haven currency in the event of the Euro losing its stability, and assured that the central bank will not "allow such a development to turn into a new deflation hazard for Switzerland".
 
"For this reason, it is acting decisively to prevent an excessive appreciation of the Swiss franc," he added.
 
Meanwhile, President of the SNB's Bank Council Hansueli Raggenbass said the SNB's balance sheet is in a healthy state and called the bank's decision to increase the allocation to provisions a necessity to ensure the long-term strength of the balance sheet.
 
"Increasing the allocations to the provisions will help to ensure that the SNB balance sheet continues to meet the high demands on its robustness even after the distribution reserve has been depleted," he said.
 
The UBS Bank on Tuesday said its consumption indicator for the Swiss economy rose to suggest acceleration of consumption growth.
 
The UBS consumption indicator rose to 1.71 in March from 1.20 in February, returning to its pre-crisis level of the summer of 2008. The bank said the steep rise in the consumption indicator confirms UBS's optimistic economic outlook that the Swiss economy would grow 2.5% this year.
 
The consumption indicator is based on five sub-indicators namely, new car registrations, business activity in the retail sector, the number of overnight stays in domestic hotels by Swiss nationals, the consumer sentiment index, and credit card transactions processed by UBS at points of sale in Switzerland. The March rise in the indicator was driven by growth in new car registrations, by 20% year-on-year.
 
Moreover, the bank said it expects further rise in Swiss consumption indicator thanks to an expected improvement in consumer sentiment and business activity in the retail sector.
 
The KOF Swiss Economic Institute on Friday said the economic indicator for April rose to 1.99 from a revised 1.96 level in March. Accordingly, annual growth rates of Swiss Gross Domestic Product should be continuously positive in the next few months, the think-tank said.
 
The institute said the index is stabilizing on a high level and this level was surpassed for the last time in November 2007. The reading came in line with economists' expectations.
 
Meyer Burger Technology AG, a Swiss maker of saws to slice silicon wafers, aims to triple sales in five years to about 1.5 billion Swiss francs ($1.4 billion) as demand recovers and solar panel makers increase productivity.
 
"Signs are certainly promising," Chief Financial Officer Michel Hirschi said in a telephone interview on April 23. "We are running at full capacity. We are even increasing the number of machines produced."
 
Sales will rise this year "if everything goes according to plan," he said. An acquisition and orders worth 250 million francs in March from an unidentified Asian customer helped lift the order backlog to more than 900 million francs from 516.4 million francs at the end of December.
 
Demand for solar power products dropped last year as the global economic slump made it harder for renewable-energy investors to raise funds. Global sales of solar panels will almost double this year as developers rush to install systems before governments reduce incentives, industry publisher Isuppli said this month.
 
The Swiss company's share price has jumped almost sevenfold since it went public in 2006, while the Swiss Performance Index has declined 15%. It closed little changed at 27.45 francs in Swiss trading Friday, below its high at 41.80 francs in 2007, giving the company a current market value of 1.2 billion francs.
 
New orders are still dominated by Asia, followed by the US, while in Europe demand hasn't rebounded, according to Hirschi. European solar companies' profitability has been falling because of competition from China and cuts to state support in Germany and Spain.
 
In January Meyer Burger acquired 3S Industries AG, a Swiss maker of laminating equipment to produce photovoltaic modules. The combined company had sales of 539 million francs with an operating margin of 14.6%. Meyer Burger should be at least able to hold that margin this year, Hirschi said.
 
AUSTRIA
 
The ATX in Vienna headed into the weekend on 2,650.32, in positive territory and up 0.24%.
 
Austria's Erste Group bank said Friday its first quarter net profit rose 10% amid a slow stabilization in the economically fragile Central and Eastern Europe, though losses on bad loans remained high.
 
The Vienna-based bank said its net profit in the first three months of the year was Euro255.2 million ($338.29 million), compared to Euro232.1 million during the same period a year earlier.
 
That was helped by recovering currency values in Central and Eastern Europe as well as higher market valuations on investments.
 
But in a sign the situation in Central and Eastern Europe is still problematic, Erste's risk costs -- provisions made to account for the likelihood of more loan defaults -- rose to Euro531.2 million in the first quarter, up from Euro370.2 million during the first quarter of 2009. In the fourth quarter of 2009, risk provisions had been a staggering Euro607.4 million.
 
The company has a presence in the Czech Republic, Croatia, Hungary, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia and Ukraine.
 
"Erste Group has made a strong start to the 2010 financial year, supported by the gradual improvement of economic fundamentals in Central and Eastern Europe," Erste CEO Andreas Treichl said in a letter to shareholders.
 
"As a consequence of better profitability, improved securities valuations and currency strength across Central and Eastern Europe, our capital position continued to improve, leading to enhanced capital ratios -- even prior to the inclusion of retained earnings," he added.
 
Austria's manufacturing purchasing managers' index or PMI rose to 60.3 in April from 56.7 in March, a report by the Markit Economics showed on Thursday. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector while below 50 suggests contraction.
 
The latest PMI increased to the biggest level since the series started in October 1998, the Markit said.
 
Production at Austrian manufacturing firms increased for the tenth consecutive month in April as higher new orders. Further, the new business significantly expanded.
 
The higher new order growth led to a sharp accumulation of backlogs of work in the month of April. Moreover, employment increased for the first time since April 2008. 
 
SWEDEN
 
Stockholm's OMX rounded off the day Friday on 1,053.88, down 0.74%.
 
Nordea Bank AB, SEB AB and Svenska Handelsbanken AB, Sweden's three largest lenders by market value, reported first-quarter profits that surpassed analysts' estimates after credit losses declined.
 
Nordea's net income rose to 642 million Euros ($848 million) from 626 million Euros a year earlier, beating the average 463 million-Euro analyst projection. Handelsbanken's profit climbed to 2.85 billion kronor ($392 million) from 2.77 billion kronor, compared with a 2.42 billion-krona estimate. SEB's net income fell to 674 million kronor from 1.03 billion kronor, topping the average 346 million-krona analyst forecast.
 
Nordea, SEB and Swedbank AB had posted soaring loan losses in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania after the countries suffered the steepest recessions in the European Union in the past two years. Swedbank, the largest lender in the Baltic states, said Thursday that impaired credit and loans that are more than 60 days overdue have stopped rising in the region and that the real estate market has "shown signs of recovery."
 
"The improved business environment has contributed to a decrease of loan losses and a stabilization of the growth of impaired loans," Nordea Chief Executive Officer Christian Clausen said in a statement Friday. "Net loan losses in 2010 are likely to be lower than in 2009. Credit quality continues to stabilize, in line with the macroeconomic recovery."
 
Nordea climbed 2.90 kronor, or 4.3%, to 70.20 kronor in Stockholm trading. SEB rose 1.22 kronor, or 2.6%, to 48.74 kronor, while Handelsbanken rallied 8 kronor, or 3.9%, to 212.20 kronor.
 
Net loan losses at Nordea slid 27% to 261 million Euros in the first quarter after lower provisions in Sweden, Denmark and the Baltic countries. At SEB, they fell 19% to 1.93 billion kronor following a drop in Baltic credit losses. SEB said provisions for loan losses won't exceed 5 billion kronor this year, after reaching 12.4 billion kronor in 2009.
 
"Following the in-depth review of all credits in 2009, we remain confident in our Baltic asset quality and work-out strategy," SEB Chief Executive Officer Annika Falkengren said in a statement. "The lower provisions for Baltic credit losses, 1.4 billion kronor compared with 2.6 billion in the previous quarter, also mirrors the overall stabilization in the region."
 
Swedbank Thursday reported net income of 536 million kronor for the three months through March, its first quarterly profit since 2008. The earnings beat analysts' estimates, which on average had projected a loss.
 
Loan losses at Handelsbanken, which was less affected by the credit crisis than many of its Nordic rivals because it doesn't have larger operations in the Baltic states, fell 39% to 551 million kronor in the first quarter. The lender, which is expanding in the UK by adding branches, is the only major Scandinavian bank not to have raised funds from investors or received a state capital injection in the last two years.
 
Swedish economic sentiment indicator dropped to 105.6 in April from 106.8 in the previous month, a report from the National Institute of Economic Research showed on Thursday. Economists expected a reading of 108.3.
 
However, the consumer confidence indicator stood at 19.5 in April, up from 15.5 in the previous month. Economists expected a reading of 16. .
 
Further, a measure for manufacturing confidence showed a flat reading in April, while the confidence indicator on construction stood at minus 15. Total industrial sentiment improved to 17 from 16.
 
Thursday, the Statistics Sweden announced that the retail sales volume increased a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-on-month in March, compared to the 1.1% fall in the previous month. Retail sales came in line with economists expectation. A year earlier, retail sales were down 1.1%.
 
Year-on-year, retail sales rose a working day adjusted 4.1% in March, faster than the 2% growth in the previous month. Economists expected an increase of 4%. At the same time, retail sales for consumables increased by 2.5%, while retail sales for durables grew 5.4%.
 
Wednesday, the Statistics Sweden announced that the jobless rate stood at 9.1% in March, down from 9.3% in the previous month. Economists expected the jobless rate to be 9.5%. A year ago, the jobless rate was 8.3%.
 
The unemployment rate was 9.5% for men and 8.8% for women in March, the statistical office said.
 
The number of unemployed increased by 44,000 persons in March from the previous year to 448,000, while the number of employed totaled 4.45 million. 
 
DENMARK
 
The OMX in Copenhagen completed a busy week on 411.50, up a huge 2.42% Thursday but the market was closed on Friday.
 
Vestas Wind Systems A/S, the world's largest maker of wind turbines, reported an unexpected loss after tighter financing led customers to delay renewable- energy projects. The shares fell 4.6%.
 
Vestas lost a net 82 million Euros ($108 million) in the first quarter compared with profit of 56 million Euros a year earlier, the Randers, Denmark-based company said Friday. That missed the average estimate of a 15.9 million-Euro profit in a Bloomberg survey of 11 analysts, none of whom expected a loss. The order book shrank by 41%, Vestas said.
 
The credit crisis prompted banks to restrict loans to wind- park developers that buy turbines from Vestas and competitors including Germany's Siemens AG, Gamesa Corp. Tecnologica SA of Spain and General Electric Co. Vestas, which last reported a quarterly loss four years ago, said Friday that it had been "far from utilizing" all its production capacity in the period.
 
The stock fell 16 kroner to 335 kroner in Copenhagen, the biggest drop since 23 February. That cut the share gain this year to 5.7%.
 
Vestas kept its 2010 forecasts of 7 billion Euros in revenue and a margin for earnings before interest and tax in a range of 10% to 11%. First-quarter sales fell 32% to 755 million Euros.
 
Thursday, the Statistics Denmark announced that the seasonally adjusted jobless rate stood at 4.2% in March, same as the previous month. The jobless rate was stable for the fifth consecutive month. Economists expected the jobless rate to be 4.2%.
 
The number of unemployed persons totaled 116,800 in March, smaller than the 117,300 persons in the previous month.
 
Danfoss A/S and Danfoss Acquisition Friday announced that their $14.00 per share cash tender offer for all of the outstanding shares of common stock of Sauer-Danfoss not already owned by Danfoss or its subsidiaries expired at midnight, New York City time on Thursday, April 29, 2010, without acceptance of the tendered shares, due to the minimum tender condition not being satisfied.
 
The depositary for the Offer has informed Danfoss and Danfoss Acquisition that 2,320,531 shares had been tendered and not withdrawn as of the expiration date of the tender offer.
 
Danfoss Acquisition has instructed the depositary for the Offer to promptly return all shares tendered. 
 
FINLAND
 
Helsinki's OMX ended Friday's trading session on 6,997.54, a gain of 1.01% for the day.
 
Finnish oil refining company Neste Oil Oyj (NES1V.HE) Thursday reported a 6.7% rise in first-quarter net profit and said market conditions will improve slowly but steadily.
 
"The rapid improvement in refining margins seen in February and March, compared to the end of 2009, was a positive surprise to us," Chief Executive Matti Lievonen said.
 
Neste Oil's net profit was Eur64 million for the three months to March 31, compared with a net profit of Eur60 million during the same period a year earlier, trailing expectations for a net profit of Eur65.5 million, according to a company survey of seven analysts.
 
Better refining margins in February and March helped results.
 
Revenue rose 33% to Eur2.73 billion, compared with Eur2.05 billion a year earlier. Analysts had forecast revenue at Eur2.45B.
 
Operating profit rose to Eur97 million from Eur95 million the previous year, below expectations for Eur100 million.
 
UPM-Kymmene Corp., the world's largest magazine paper maker, on Wednesday reported a first-quarter net profit of Euro70 million ($93 million) as sales were up 10% in the period.
 
UPM's revenue in January through March climbed to Euro2.04 billion, from Euro1.8 billion a year earlier. Net loss in the period in 2009 was Euro158 million, the company said.
 
UPM stock jumped more than 2% to Euro10.87 in early trading in Helsinki.
 
Despite the improved performance, CEO Jussi Pesonen gave a cautious outlook.
 
"UPM's operating profit improved clearly from the same period last year due to higher delivery volumes across all of our businesses and lower raw material costs. What is especially positive is that despite the clear increase of delivery volumes our fixed costs remained the same," Pesonen said. "However, our profitability continues to be unsatisfactory and everyday efforts to improve the situation will continue."
 
UPM said it expects gradual recovery in its main markets to continue and that consumer demand will improve as the global economy begins to recover.
 
The International Monetary Fund on Monday signed an agreement with the Bank of Finland to borrow up to Eur 1.3 billion from the latter.
 
The agreement is part of a commitment made by the European Union in March 2009 to contribute up to Eur 75 billion to support the IMF's lending capacity, the global lender said in a statement.
 
With the signing of the agreement, the Fund can now add these resources to those already available through agreements signed with other members.
 
These agreements contribute toward an increase in Fund resources that was requested in April 2009 by G-20 leaders and the International Monetary and Financial Committee in order to provide timely and effective balance of payments assistance to its members in the current crisis, the IMF said.
 
Finnish dwelling prices rose 2.2% sequentially in the first quarter, taking the annual growth to 11.3%, data released by the Statistics Finland showed Friday.
 
In Greater Helsinki, prices went up by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter and in the rest of the country by 1.7%. Compared to a year earlier, prices were up 15.7% in Greater Helsinki and in the rest of the country by 7.7%.
 
In the first quarter of 2010, the average price per square metre of an old dwelling in a block of flats was Eur 2,071 in the whole country, Eur 3,169 in Greater Helsinki and Eur 1,576 elsewhere in the country.
 
Further, the statistical agency said a total of 71,00 transactions of old dwellings in blocks of flats were completed in the whole country in the year 2009.
 
Business confidence in Finland strengthened in April, latest figures show.
 
The Confederation of Finnish Industries on Tuesday said the country's manufacturing confidence indicator rose to 1 in April from -2 in March.
 
The indicator is now slightly below its long-term average of 2.
 
Meanwhile, confidence in the construction sector strengthened considerably in April, with the indicator rising to -10 from -31.
 
The sentiment indicator for the services sector came in at 4, up from -3 in the previous month, while the retailers' confidence index rose to 7 from 3.
 
Wednesday, the Statistics Finland announced that the manufacturing turnover dropped 9.1% year-on-year in the November to January period, compared to the 15.3% fall in the October to December period.
 
During the period, the domestic sales decreased 13.3% and export turnover fell 10%.
 
The turnover contracted in all manufacturing industries in the November to January period. The turnover in metal industry dropped significantly by 16.7%, while in the electrical and electronic industry fell 15.8%. The contractions were smallest in the forest industry by 0.5% and in the food industry by 2.7%.
 
However, the turnover increased in mining and quarrying and in electricity, gas, steam, etc. supply, the statistical office said. 
 
NORWAY
 
Oslo's OBX Bourse finished the week at 348.15, down 1.09% for the session Friday.
 
Norwegian seismic surveyor Petroleum Geo-Services ASA expects to benefit from increased spending by oil companies, but only after a tough first half, it said after posting below-forecast quarterly earnings.
 
Shares in PGS, which helps oil companies find oil and gas reserves by scanning the seabed, fell 5.0% to 85.4 crowns by 1016 GMT on Friday versus a 0.4% rise on Oslo's benchmark index .
 
The group said first-quarter core earnings dropped 52% due in part to low contract prices, but was upbeat on the second half as investment by oil companies picks up from lows seen during the global economic slowdown.
 
Analysts said expectations for PGS were inflated after WesternGeco, the seismic arm of US oil services group Schlumberger, was upbeat on pricing potential for its services, sending PGS stock nearly 6% higher a week ago.
 
Norway's jobless rate dropped to 3% in April from 3.1% in March, the Norwegian Labour and Welfare Service said Friday. The rate was in line with the economists' expectations. The jobless rate has stood above 3% since the start of this year.
 
Unemployment rose 9% from a year ago, representing an increase of 6,300 persons and reached 78,300 in April. As per the seasonally adjusted figures, there were an additional 600 unemployed persons in April.
 
Overall job vacancies declined 5% year-on-year in April.
 
Friday, the Statistics Norway announced that the M2 money supply increased 2.3% year-on-year in March, faster than the 2.2% growth in the previous month. This increase was mainly due to growth in other financial enterprises.
 
The total money supply amounted to NOK 1.522 billion in March, down from NOK 1.523 billion in the previous month.
 
Meanwhile, other financial enterprise money supply grew 5.9% annually in March, up from 2.3% fall in the preceding month. At the same time, non-financial enterprise money supply dropped 0.7%, after a0.5% increase in February.
 
Thursday, the Statistics Norway announced that the seasonally adjusted retail sales volume remained unchanged in March from the previous month. Economists expected an increase of 0.5%.
 
On an unadjusted basis, retail sales volume increased 11.5% annually in March. At the same time, retail sales, excluding petrol stations, grew 13.3%.
 
Meanwhile, retail sales value rose 13.2% year-on-year in March, and the sales, excluding petrol stations increased 14%. 
 
SPAIN
 
The IBEX in Madrid traded its way into the weekend on 10,492.20, up 0.49%.
 
Spain has had its long-term sovereign debt rating downgraded to AA from AA+ by ratings agency Standard & Poor's, as fears continue to grow over contagion effects from the Greek debt crisis.
 
The agency said Spain faced a deeper deterioration in public finances and a longer period of economic weakness than it had previously expected. The news rattled European markets, which were already unsettled by Tuesday's downgrade of both Greece and Portugal.
 
"We now believe that the Spanish economy's shift from a credit-fueled economic growth is likely to result in a more protracted period of sluggish activity than we previously assumed," S&P credit analysts said in a statement.
 
Spain is still in recession and the government has launched a massive public works program to keep unemployment down. "Our conclusion is that challenging medium-term economic conditions will further pressure Spain's public finances, and additional measures are likely to be needed to underpin the government's fiscal consolidation strategy and planned program of structural reforms," S&P said.
 
Spanish private sector debt stands at 178% of gross domestic product, according to S&P, which is much higher than that of many of the country's peers. The agency said it also considered soaring unemployment, low export capacity, and a deterioration in the financial system's asset quality as factors slowing the country's economic recovery in the medium-term.
 
S&P affirmed Spain's credit outlook as negative, which implies that future downgrades could be in the pipeline. The country's short-term sovereign credit rating was also affirmed at A-1+.
 
The Spanish government appealed for calm following the ratings revaluation on Wednesday. "We have a very serious plan of fiscal consolidation and of deficit reduction. We have adopted an austerity program, we have put in place a Labour market reform," media reports quoted deputy prime minister Maria Teresa de la Vega as saying.
 
"We are adopting all the measures needed to meet our commitments. So I want to send a message of confidence to the population and of calm to the markets."
 
Stock markets around the world took a tumble after S&P downgraded Portugal's debt by two notches, while Greece's debt rating was slashed to "junk", meaning that it is seen as a risky place to invest. The yield on 10-year Greek government bonds, which is the interest the government has to pay investors to borrow money on the open market, hit 11.3% on Wednesday - a record high for a Eurozone country.
 
The average state pension for retirees in Spain rose to Eur 880.15 a month at the start of April, data released by the Ministry of Employment and Immigration showed on Tuesday.
 
This represents a 3.5% increase from a year ago.
 
The ministry said that overall state pension - including those for disabled persons, orphans, widows and widowers - stood at Eur 776.44 per month, representing an annual increase of 3.3%.
 
Some 8.64 million pensions were being paid out in Spain at the start of April, up 1.6% annually, with retirement pensions amounting to 5.12 million of the total.
 
The Spanish government is trying to push through plans to raise the retirement age to 67 amid gaping fiscal imbalances.
 
Spanish harmonized index of consumer prices or HICP rose 1.6% on an annual basis in April, faster than the 1.5% growth in the previous month, a flash report from the National Institute of Statistics showed on Thursday. A year ago, the HICP was down 0.2%.

 
The increase in HICP was mainly due to rise in price of fuels and lubricants and the decrease of package holidays prices, the statistical office said. 
 
PORTUGAL
 
Lisbon saw a choppy week and the PSI General ended at 2,579.58, up 0.98%.
 
Thursday, the Statistics Portugal announced that the economic sentiment indicator stood at minus 0.2 in April, up from minus 0.5 in the previous month. A year ago, the consumer confidence was minus 3.2.
 
The confidence indicator on manufacturing industry increased to minus 14.1 in April from minus 15 in the previous month. The confidence indicator was minus 34.1 a year earlier.
 
The service confidence indicator remained unchanged at minus 5.8 in April, while the confidence indicator on trade increased to minus 6.9 from minus 7.7. But, the confidence indicator on construction and public works stood stable at minus 47.8.
 
Meanwhile, the consumer confidence indicator stood at minus 36.7 in April, down from minus 35.4 in the previous month.
 
ITALY
 
Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index rose for a second day, increasing 58.96, or 0.3%, to 21,754.66 as of 12:49 p.m. in Milan. The gauge has lost 4.3% this week.
 
Acea gained 31 cents, or 4.2%, to 7.7 Euros, snapping a four-day loss. GDF Suez SA said in a statement Thursday that it raised its stake in the Rome utility to more than 10%. "This is good news because it seems GDF Suez does not want to leave Acea's board," Equita Sim SpA said in a note.
 
Compagnie Industriali Riunite retreated 2 cents, or 1.2%, to 1.59 Euros, paring Thursday's gain, after saying first-quarter net income fell to 3.3 million Euros from ($4.4 million) 19.5 million Euros a year earlier.
 
Fondiaria-Sai advanced 20 cents, or 1.9%, to 10.64 Euros, rising for a third day this week. Gruppo Banca Leonardo said in a note that with the reorganization announced Thursday the insurer made "the first move in the asset disposal process."
 
Indesit Company rose 37 cents, or 3.8%, to 1.17 Euros, extending gains of 4.5% Thursday. Cheuvreux upgraded Italy's biggest home-appliance maker to "outperform" from "underperform" and added the stock to its "small and mid-cap list."
 
Exane BNP Paribas increased its price estimate on Italy's biggest home-appliance maker to 11 Euros from 10 Euros. The brokerage kept a "neutral" rating.
 
Luxottica Group fell 31 cents, or 1.5%, to 20.74 Euros, a fifth straight loss. Intermonte Sim SpA downgraded the world's largest maker of eyeglasses to "neutral" from "outperform" while increasing its price estimate to 21 Euros from 20.5 Euros. "The recent share price performance has already incorporated the benefits from first- quarter results," Intermonte said.
 
Mediolanum, the financial-services company partly owned by Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, increased 9.5 cents, or 2.5%, to 3.92 Euros, the biggest gain in almost a month. "Optimism that a bailout for Greece is imminent is helping both financial shares in Europe and Mediolanum," said Davide Manenti, a fund manager at Nuovi Investimenti in Milan.
 
Pirelli, Europe's third-largest tyremaker, gained 1.3% to 43.4 cents. Michelin & Cie., the world's second-largest tiremaker, said first-quarter revenue rose 12%, led by a rebound in sales to truckmakers in Latin America and Asia and to logistics companies.
 
Prysmian, the world's second-biggest cable maker, slid 17 cents, or 1.2%, to 13.7 Euros. European basic-resource shares lost as much as 2.1%, the worst performance of 19 industry groups in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index Friday.
 
Separately, Citigroup Inc. kept a "buy" rating, saying in a note that "while poor first-quarter results could spark some short-term pressure on the share price, we remain positive on the longer term where we expect a return of long-delayed, and much needed, infrastructure capex across the globe."
 
Saipem rose 75 cents, or 2.7%, to 28.81 Euros, making it the biggest gainer in the index. Europe's largest oilfield-services provider signed about $3.5 billion in contracts for gas processing and sulfur recovery at a field in Abu Dhabi, a person familiar with the situation said. A spokeswoman for Saipem in Rome declined to comment on the matter.
 
STMicroelectronics rose for a second day, gaining 7.5 cents, or 1.1%, to 7.14 Euros. Barclays Capital increased its price projection on Europe's largest chipmaker to 7.75 Euros from 6 Euros and kept an "equal weight" rating.
 
Italian business confidence strengthened more than expected in April to hit the highest level since June 2008, a survey conducted by the think tank ISAE showed Wednesday.
 
Rising for the seventh straight month, the business sentiment index came in at 85.5 in April, up from a revised reading of 84.4 in March. The index stood above the expected level of 85. The reading for March was revised from the initial 84.1.
 
The latest survey results signaled that momentum in the economy is holding up, but economists at UniCredit said this is likely to translate only into moderate economic growth in the coming quarters. As such, average GDP growth for this year is seen at 0.5% and a 0.3% sequential growth for the first quarter, the firm said.
 
Data confirmed that the Italian economy is recovering, Clemente De Lucia, an economist at BNP Paribas said. The economist expects the economy to grow 0.6% this year after shrinking sharply by 5.1% in 2009. Net exports are set to sustain activity throughout the year, while domestic demand may remain subdued, constrained by weakening Labour market conditions and moderating household's purchasing power, the economist noted.
 
Better-than-expected increase in the business sentiment was mainly led by the marked improvement in orders, especially foreign orders, the research institute ISAE said. At the same time, production outlook dropped in April. Confidence improved particularly among manufacturers of consumer goods and capital goods. The survey was conducted between March 31 and April 20 among 4,000 companies.
 
The latest Purchasing Managers Index survey conducted for the 16-nation currency bloc strengthened sharply in April. The Flash PMI for the manufacturing sector stood at 46-month high of 57.5, while the services PMI climbed to a 30-month high of 55.5.
 
Thursday, the ISAE reported an improvement in the Italian consumer confidence. The sentiment index had climbed to 107.9 in April from 106.3 in the previous month. Consumers were more optimistic regarding economic recovery and fears of unemployment eased.

 
Italian consumer sentiment climbed to 107.9 in April from 106.3 in the previous month, think tank ISAE said in a report on Tuesday. Economists had expected the index to stay at 106.3 in April.
 
Among the sub indices, assessment of general economic situation rose to 81.4 from 79.2 and current economic situation assessment stood at 117.9, up from 115.9 in the previous month. The survey was conducted between April 1 and 16. 
 
GREECE
 
In Athens, the Athex Composite survived a scrappy week and closed at 1,869.99, a gain of 2.22% on the Friday session.
 
National Bank of Greece rose 2.9% to 12.35 Euros, having jumped more than 20% in the past three days. Barroso's comments eased investor concern that the nation may default as Prime Minister George Papandreou started his sales pitch to the Greek people as unions denounced "unjust" budget cuts linked to a potential $159 billion European Union-led bailout.
 
Greek producer price index or PPI rose 8.7% on an annual basis in March, compared to the 7.3% fall recorded a year ago, the statistical office said on Thursday.
 
The PPI for the domestic market grew 7.9% annually in March, while the PPI for non-domestic market rose 11.6%.
 
On a monthly basis, the PPI increased 1.4% in March, in contrast to the 0.4% decline a year earlier.
 
For the April 2009 to March 2010 period, the annual average rate of change of the PPI decreased 2.9% compared to the same period of the previous year.
    

The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsTax worries weighed on Rio Tinto on Friday as a weak mining sector helped carry the FTSE 100 to a two-month low.
 
Rio declined ahead of Australia's publication of a tax review on Sunday, which is expected to propose a federal royalty charge of up to 40%.
 
If such a charge were levied on top of corporate tax it would cut Rio's profit by about 27%, Bernstein Research said. The broker also worries that Australia's move may set a precedent for other nations.
 
Rio fell 4.4% to £33.79. The stock has dropped nearly 10% this week, making it the second-weakest blue chip after BP.
 
BHP Billiton showed a session loss of 3.1% to £20.25, while Xstrata dropped 4.1% to £10.86. Miners without Australian operations were more resilient, with Kazakhmys off 2% to £14.04 and Antofagasta down 2.5% to 999p.
 
Risk aversion drove the wider market lower following news that Goldman Sachs may face criminal charges. The FTSE 100 was 1.2% weaker, down 65.55 points at 5,553.29.
 
For the week, the benchmark lost 3.5%, its worst weekly performance since October.
 
Barclays dropped 6.4% to 338¼p after reporting a sharper-than-expected drop in first-quarter revenues at its BarCap investment bank. Analysts noted a sharp increase in risk-weighted assets during the quarter, which they said may reflect the bank repositioning its operations to minimise the effect of any coming regulatory change.
 
BP lost a further 1.5% to 575½p, taking its fall since the Gulf of Mexico rig disaster last week to 13%. That was in spite of Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs all advising clients that the reaction was overdone.
 
A Deutsche Bank downgrade sent Tullow Oil 3% lower to £11.47. Tullow is moving from exploration to development and any disappointment from its high-risk frontier exploration prospects will put the stock's premium valuation at risk, analyst Jonathan Copus said.
 
Capita weakened 2.6% to 799p after Morgan Stanley cut to "underweight", citing a stretched valuation and lack of recent contract news.
 
Liberty International drifted 0.5% to 491p after Deutsche Bank put a 450p valuation on the property group, which is due to split in two on May 10.
 
Among the gainers, InterContinental Hotels rose 2% to £11.59 in the wake of strong first-quarter earnings from its main US peers. "Given that InterContinental remains the most American of the European groups and should benefit from the recovery due to its midscale and upscale positioning, we believe more than ever that it is worthwhile considering this share at present," said Natixis, which raised its target price to £13.50.
 
Drinks can maker Rexam gained 1.3% to 323½p after rival Ball Corporation reported improving demand. UBS upgraded Rexam to "buy" ahead of its trading statement on Thursday, saying the shares were trading at a 15% discount to US peers.
 
Ahead of results next week, Sage rose 0.7% to 245¼p after Panmure Gordon highlighted data suggesting a strengthening recovery among its US small business customers. "In our view, Sage is on the edge of a multi-year recovery," it said.
 
Rentokil Initial fell 4.1% to 127½p after an update showed trading was still tough for Textile and Washrooms, its largest division by sales.
 
JJB Sports dropped 5.1% to 23¼p after Charles Stanley said the retailer's turnround was "well behind schedule" and advised "extreme caution" ahead of the World Cup.
 
"The product offer is still not right, there are major competency gaps within the organisation particularly in apparel, poor standards remain in many stores, new store rollout plans are in doubt, and the internet proposition has not made the envisaged progress," said the broker. "We recommend investors sell now."
 
Climate Exchange, the carbon trading specialist, surged 55.3% to 742½p after receiving a 750p per share bid from ICE, its US partner.
 
Syria-focused Gulfsands Petroleum lost 0.9% to 320p after it rejected, for a second time, a 315p bid from Oil India Limited and Indian Oil Corporation.
 
Win, which provides m-commerce software, was marked up 27.8% to 126½p on news that Indian peer IMImobile had proposed a 141p cash offer.
 
Contract news lifted Intec Telecom Systems by 4.7% to 66¼p, with the software maker winning a deal with Grameenphone, Bangladesh's leading carrier.
 
Property maintenance group Rok lost 9.1% to 35p after warning that its first-half profit would be at the lower end of market forecasts due to problems in its Plumbing, Heating and Electrical division.
 
Rok said it would exit underperforming contracts and move away from the private residential sector. The group will have to deliver 85% of its annual profit within the second half to match current guidance, Numis said.
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN
 
Japanese stocks rose, rebounding from their biggest slump in 12 weeks, as earnings boosted speculation the world's economy will sustain its recovery.
 
Mitsubishi Estate Co. rallied 5.4% as it projected more than a fivefold increase in earnings. NEC Corp., the nation's largest maker of personal computers, climbed 2.3% after posting higher-than-forecast net income. Oki Electric Industry Co. jumped 7.7% after turning to a profit because of cost cuts. Canon Inc., a camera maker that gets 28% of its sales from the Americas, gained 1.9% after a weaker Yen boosted its earnings prospects.
 
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 1.2% to close at 11,057.40 in Tokyo. The broader Topix index advanced 1% to 987.04, with almost three times as many shares rising as declining. On April 28, both gauges plunged the most since February. Markets were closed Thursday for a national holiday.
 
Honda Motor Co., Japan's No. 2 carmaker, slumped 2.1% and was the heaviest drag on the benchmark indexes after forecasting earnings that were lower than analysts had estimated.
 
The Topix has gained 0.9% this week, the first weekly advance in three, as a bigger-than-estimated increase in US new home sales countered the credit-rating downgrade of Greece by Standard & Poor's. Shares in the gauge trade at 19.6 times estimated earnings, compared with 15.1 times for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index in the US and 12.6 times for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index.
 
Mitsubishi Estate, Japan's No. 2 property developer, surged 5.4% to 1,704 Yen, while bigger rival Mitsui Fudosan Co. gained 3.9% to 1,749 Yen. Mitsubishi Estate said Friday net income will surge more than fivefold in the year started April 1.
 
NEC climbed 2.3% to 312 Yen. Net income was probably 10% higher than the company had forecast in the year ended March 31, NEC said in a preliminary earnings report on April 28.
 
Oki Electric, which makes printers and telecommunications equipment, jumped 7.7% to 98 Yen and was the second- biggest winner on the Nikkei 225. The company posted net income in the year ended March 31, compared with a loss a year earlier, and forecast profit will increase 24% this year.
 
Canon advanced 1.9% to 4,355 Yen. Smaller rival Nikon Corp. jumped 3.8% to 2,159 Yen. Nissan Motor Co., which counts North America as its biggest market, rose 2.4% to 823 Yen.
 
The Yen depreciated to as low as 94.19 versus the Dollar Friday from 93.18 at the 3 p.m. close of Tokyo stock trading on April 28. A weaker Yen inflates the value of overseas sales at Japanese companies when converted into their home currency.
 
Honda slumped 2.1% to 3,215 Yen, the biggest retreat since Feb. 23. Net income is forecast to gain 27% to 340 billion Yen ($3.62 billion) in the year started April 1, lower than the 389 billion Yen estimated by analysts.
 
Friday also saw the release of economic data by the government that showed both good and bad news for the world's second-largest economy.
 
Japan's key consumer price index fell 1.2% in March from a year earlier, making it the 13th consecutive month of decline, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said Friday, amid continued concerns about deflation.
 
The nation's jobless rate rose 0.1 percentage points to 5% in March in its first increase since November, the ministry also said. 
 
SOUTH KOREA
 
South Korean shares closed higher Friday on foreign buying amid easing worries about Greece's fiscal troubles, with bellwether Samsung Electronics leading the way higher on its strong earnings and upbeat outlook.
 
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index, or Kospi, rose 13.14 points, or 0.8%, to 1741.56. But the index trimmed some early gains after hitting the session high of 1749.69 on losses in steelmakers.
 
Foreigners purchased a net KRW431.1 billion worth shares, but domestic institutions and local retail investors were net sellers of shares worth KRW233.6 billion and KRW218.1 billion, respectively.
 
Most technology and auto stocks did well also due to expectations for the recovery of US economy, said Min.
 
Hynix Semiconductor rose 2.5% to KRW28,400, Hyundai Motor added 1.1% to KRW137,000, and Kia Motors advanced 1.7% to KRW27,400.
 
Financial stocks recouped some of this week's losses as some optimism emerged about the Greek situation.
 
KB Financial Group rose 0.9% to KRW54,500 and Shinhan Financial Group rose 1.2% to KRW47,500.
 
Steelmakers slipped after news that the South Korean government has requested steel companies to carefully consider the impact of raising product prices on small and medium-sized companies, "raising regulation risk," said Oh.
 
The world's fourth-largest steelmaker by output, Posco, fell 3.1% to KRW499,000, and Hyundai Steel dropped declined 5.1% to KRW91,200.
 
KT, South Korea's top fixed-line operator and No. 2 mobile carrier, posted a smaller-than-expected 8% fall in quarterly operating profit as its smartphone drive boosted marketing costs but also increased wireless data sales.
 
South Korean telecom operators, struggling to grow revenue in the saturated home market, are betting big on smartphones to boost wireless data usage even the move increases marketing costs due to subsidies for more expensive devices.
 
KT Corp, which exclusively offers iPhones in the local market, is benefiting from the popularity of the Apple device and its own broad WiFi networks, but is facing a rivalry with bigger mobile carrier SK Telecom (017670.KS: Quote, Profile, Research), which is focusing on Android-based phones.
 
Lower labour costs following large-scale early retirements last year and government efforts to curb telecom operators' marketing costs are likely to help KT's earnings in the coming quarters, analysts said.
 
The company reported on Friday a 552.7 billion Won ($495.8 million) operating profit in the first quarter to March, above a consensus forecast of 527.7 billion Won.
 
Samsung Electronics said net profit surged more than six-fold in the first quarter to a record high on strong demand and higher prices for memory chips as well as increased sales of mobile phones and flat screen televisions.
 
Samsung earned 3.99 trillion Won ($3.59 billion) in the three months ended March 31, the company said Friday. It recorded net profit of 582 billion Won the year before.
 
The latest figure was an all-time high for the company, said spokesman Jason Kim, surpassing 3.81 trillion Won in the third quarter of last year.
 
The company also said sales in the first quarter totaled 34.64 trillion Won. That was 20.8% higher than the 28.67 trillion Won reported a year earlier.
 
HONG KONG
 
Gains in Chinese banks after strong first-quarter earnings results helped Hong Kong shares end three consecutive days of declines to close higher Friday.
 
The blue-chip Hang Seng Index rose 329.67 points, or 1.6%, to 21,108.59 after trading between 20,920.15 and 21,121.52. The rise came after a 3.7% drop in the previous three sessions.
 
Over the past week the benchmark index fell 0.6%, and over the month of April it dropped 0.6%.
 
Market volume rose to HK$71.19 billion from HK$63.33 billion Thursday.
 
Analysts said the rebound will likely be short-lived as investors remained cautious over the Greek debt crisis and concerns about more tightening measures by Beijing in the near term. They expect the benchmark index to trade between 20,000 and 21,500 in May.
 
Chinese banks led Friday's gains. China Construction Bank rose 4.2% to HK$6.42 after reporting first-quarter net profit jumped 34% to CNY35.2 billion from CNY26.3 billion a year earlier, even though it plans to raise as much as CNY75 billion from a rights issue in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
 
Citigroup said China Construction Bank bettered its forecast by 10% and said the bank is its top selection among China's major lenders.
 
"CCB remains attractive given its high profitability and strong organic capital generation," Citigroup said.
 
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China ended up 1.9% at HK$5.77 after the nation's biggest bank by assets reported Thursday an 18% rise in first-quarter net profit to CNY41.55 billion from CNY35.15 billion.
 
Bank of Communications, China's fifth-largest lender, advanced 1.8% to HK$9.03 after reporting a 31% increase in first-quarter net profit to CNY10.45 billion from CNY7.99 billion.
 
China Shenhua Energy, the country's largest integrated coal producer by output, gained 2.6% to HK$34.00. Its first-quarter net profit rose 16.5% to CNY9.24 billion from CNY7.94 billion due to increased coal demand.
 
Bucking the market trend, terminal operator Cosco Pacific fell 7.6% to HK$10.66 after saying it plans to raise HK$4.67 billion from selling new shares, mainly to fund the acquisition of an additional stake in Shenzhen's Yantian Terminals.
 
The company said it will sell 449 million new shares at HK$10.40 each, a discount of 9.9% to its closing price Thursday of HK$11.54. 
 
CHINA
 
Most China stocks fell, with the benchmark index capping the biggest monthly loss since January, on concern government measures to curb property speculation will slow economic growth and hurt domestic consumption.
 
Poly Real Estate Group Co. fell to a 13-month low. Kweichow Moutai Co., the country's biggest producer of baijiu liquor by market value, slid 3.9%. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. and China Construction Bank Corp. rose at least 1% after posting the largest first-quarter profits among the world's banks.
 
About three stocks fell for each one that rose on the Shanghai Composite Index, which gained 2.18, or 0.1%, to 2,870.61 at the close. The CSI 300 Index added 0.2% to 3,067.36. The CSI Smallcap 500 Index fell 2.7%. China's markets will be shut on May 3 for a holiday.
 
Futures on the CSI 300 expiring in May, the most active contract, lost 0.8% to 3,089.8.
 
The Shanghai Composite has plunged 7.7% this month, the biggest decline since January, as the government unwound monetary stimulus and stepped up measures to prevent a housing bubble inflated by record lending last year. It has slumped 12% in 2010, the world's second-worst performer.
 
The AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index, a measure of implied volatility on stock exchanges in China and Hong Kong, has risen 13% this week after Standard & Poor's cut Greece's credit rating to junk and downgraded Portugal. The index is based on options prices, and assesses near-term expectations for the magnitude and rate of price moves.
 
Poly Real Estate, the second-largest developer by market value, lost 0.3% to 12.35 RMB, its lowest close since March 2009. Gemdale Corp., the fourth largest, dropped 0.7% to 12.15 RMB. An index tracking developers on the Shanghai Composite lost 0.4%, capping a 16 decline for the month.
 
China has ordered higher mortgage rates and down-payment ratios since data showed property prices jumped a record 11.7% in March. The government has also raised banks' reserve requirements, set a target of a 22% reduction in new lending this year, barred loans for third-home purchases and reinstated a sales tax on homes.
 
Moutai slid 3.9% to 129.03 RMB, the lowest since June 2009. Shanghai Bailian Group Co., the listed unit of China's biggest retailer, lost 5.6% to 15.13 RMB. Wuliangye Yibin Co., China's second-biggest maker of white liquor by market value, dropped 1.5% to 26.29 RMB.
 
ZTE, China's second-biggest phone-equipment maker and which counts India as its largest overseas market, slumped 8% to 37.25 RMB. The Indian government has rejected proposals from operators to purchase Chinese equipment on national security grounds, the Financial Times reported Friday, citing correspondence from India's Department of Telecommunications to the Prime Minister's Office.
 
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., the biggest steelmaker, advanced 6% to 6.89 RMB. First-half profit may surge by between sixfold and 10-fold from a year ago as Chinese demand for the metal used in cars and appliances rebounds, it said. First- quarter profit jumped 44 fold to 3.93 billion RMB.
 
Shanghai has begun restricting access to its Lujiazui financial district as China's richest city steps up security before its $44 billion World Expo opens to the public tomorrow. The six-month long expo is scheduled to run through October and attract an estimated 70 million visitors to Shanghai, according to organizers.
 
Fujian Furi Electronics slumped the maximum 10% to 7.79 RMB after the computer maker said it was under investigation by the nation's securities regulator.
 
Ningbo Veken Elite Group, a textile manufacture, tumbled 10% to 6.79 RMB, a one-month low. The company posted a first-quarter loss of 11.9 million RMB, according to a statement to the stock exchange.
 
Sichuan Chengfa Aero-Science & Technology fell by the daily 10% cap for a second day to 26.15 RMB, after Southwest Securities cut its stock rating to "neutral" from "add." 
 
TAIWAN
 
Taiwan's share prices fell Friday, with the weighted index -- the market's key barometer -- falling 49.8 points, or 0.61%, to close at 8,004.25.
 
The local bourse opened at 8,116.39 and fluctuated between 7,999.28 and 8,163.94. Market turnover totaled NT$152.04 billion (US$4.85 billion).
 
Six of the eight major stock categories lost ground, with paper and pulp issues dropping the most at 2.33%, followed by textile issues at 1.43%. Foodstuff shares and machinery and electronics moved down 1.1%, construction shares were down 0.92% and cement issues lost 0.33%.
 
The other two major stock categories gained ground. Financial and banking stocks rose 0.52% and plastics and chemicals were up 0.17%.
 
Losers outnumbered gainers 2,403 to 871, with 264 remaining unchanged.
 
Foreign investors and Chinese QDIIs were net buyers of NT$12.92 billion in shares.
 
THE PHILIPPINES
 
Local stocks dipped slightly on Friday despite an upbeat global market as investors locked in gains ahead of another long weekend.
 
The main-share Philippine Stock Exchange composite index fell by 6.91 points or 0.21% to 3,290.09.
 
The modest gains eked out by the industrial, property and services sectors were offset by the weakness in the financials, holding firms and mining/oil sectors.
 
Value turnover surged to P3.93 billion, with 53 advancers narrowly beating 52 decliners while 64 stocks were unchanged.
 
May 3 has been declared a holiday in lieu of the May 1 International Labour Day celebration which would fall on Saturday.
 
Among the stocks that fell on profit-taking were Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., Ayala Corp., Alliance Global Group Inc., Semirara Mining Corp., DMCI Holdings Inc. and International Container Terminal Services Inc.
 
Metrobank shares tumbled by 3.6% to P53 after the company unveiled plans to sell primary shares to offshore investors at P48 per share while certain shareholders will also sell at the same price per share.
 
On the other hand, Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co., Metro Pacific Investments Corp., First Philippine Holdings Corp., Aboitiz Power Corp., Filinvest Land Inc., Megaworld Corp. and Manila Electric Co. firmed up.
 
As caution over the long weekend prevailed, local stocks were hardly perked up by overnight bullish trading on Wall Street. US stocks posted their best single-session advance in over a month, with the Dow Jones industrial index racking up 122.05 points or 1.1% to 11,167.32.
 
SINGAPORE
 
The shares prices in Singapore rose 15.6 points or 0.53% on Friday with the benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) closing at 2,974.61 points.
 
The overall volume stood at 1.83 billion shares worth 2.08 billion Singapore Dollars (about 1.52 billion US Dollars).
 
Oversea-Chinese Banking gained 1.3% and United Overseas Bank was up 0.8% ahead of their earnings next week.
 
UOB will be implementing a scrip dividend scheme for the first time, after getting shareholder approval during its annual general meeting Friday.
 
The scheme will give shareholders the option to receive their dividends for 2010 in the form of new ordinary shares in lieu of cash.
 
The move is expected to help UOB enlarge its share capital base, and retain cash for general corporate purposes.
 
Its rival OCBC put in its own scrip dividend scheme last year.
 
UOB had proposed to pay its final dividend of 40 cents per share for financial year 2009 in the form of scrips.
 
No surprise, some shareholders were excited. 
 
MALAYSIA
 
Share prices on Bursa Malaysia rallied on Friday with the key index hitting a new high since March 3, 2008.
 
Dealers said the strong buying momentum from the start of trading continued into the afternoon session, pushing the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index 10.52 higher at 1,346.38 at the close.
 
Following lack of fresh leads on the domestic front, they said, the market took the cue from overnight advances on Wall Street and the gains recorded on other Asian markets.
 
Investor sentiment had improved following news of a bailout for debt-stricken Greece and upbeat economic news from the United States, they said.
 
The Finance Index surged 98.8 points to 12,091.79, the Industrial Index jumped 11.87 points to 2,776.67 and the Plantation Index gained 4.55 points to 6,448.09.
 
The FBM Emas Index rose 64.72 points to 9,105.25, the FBM70 surged 55.32 points to 9,017.78 and the FBM Ace Index increased 5.22 points to 4,168.85.
 
Advancers outpaced decliners by 436 to 265 while 321 counters traded unchanged, 347 untraded and 27 others suspended.
 
Turnover was slightly lower at 889.094 million shares compared with 898.809 million shares Thursday but the value rose to RM1.474 billion from RM987.982 million.
 
Rotating equipment distributor Turbo-Mech that made a debut on the Main market Friday, gained two sen to 65 sen with 135,193 lots traded. The counter opened at 68.5 sen, 5.5 sen above its issue price of 63 sen.
 
Among active stocks, Talam Corporation declined half a sen to 14 sen, while Axiata Group added 12 sen to RM3.91 and KNM Group lost one sen to 53.5 sen.
 
For heavyweights, Maybank rose 18 sen to RM7.66, Sime Darby gained three sen to RM8.78, CIMB Group Holdings added four sen to RM14.18 and Maxis was flat at RM5.31.
 
The Main Market volume increased to 743.389 million shares worth RM1.435 billion from 738.171 million shares worth RM946.26 million Thursday.
 
Volume on the ACE market decreased to 75.05 million shares worth RM13.07 million from 81.978 milllion units valued at RM18.476 million.
 
Warrants decreased to 56.97 million units worth RM10.5 million from 64.492 million units worth RM8.776 million.
 
Consumer products accounted for 21.3 million shares traded on the Main Market, industrial products 148.01 million, construction 24.5 million, trade and services 254.01 million, technology 34.9 million, infrastructure 12.2 million, finance 86.4 million, hotels 9.7 million, properties 135.6 million, plantations 15.5 million, mining 0, REITs 837,400 million and closed/fund 34,300.
 
THAILAND
 
The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) composite index moved up 10.31 points, or 1.37%, to close at 763.51 points on Friday.
 
Some 2.67 billion shares worth 19.67 billion baht (about 614 million US Dollars) changed hands.
 
Foreign investors sold 6.02 billion baht ($186 million) more of Thai equities than they bought in the last four days, according to stock exchange data. They recorded the biggest net sales in five months on April 28, when authorities used force to prevent a convoy of about 5,000 demonstrators from traveling to the north of Bangkok. Seventeen protesters were injured in the incident, which led to the soldier's death.
 
The sell-off of Thai equities by foreigner investors amid a seven-week anti-government protest belies a "very sound" outlook for the economy, said Patareeya Benjapolchai, president of the country's stock exchange.
 
Overseas investors sold a net 1.62 billion baht ($50 million) of Thai shares Thursday, boosting sales in the past six days to 8.5 billion baht, the most since a similar period ended Nov. 4, according to stock exchange data.
 
Thailand's SET Index has risen 5% since the protest started March 12, compared with the 3% gain in the MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index. The central bank raised its economic growth forecast Thursday as exports rebounded.
 
Gross domestic product may expand 4.3% to 5.8% in 2010, Paiboon Kittisrikangwan, assistant governor of the central bank, said Thursday. That compares with a January forecast of 3.3% to 5.3%.
 
The anti-government demonstrators, who largely support fugitive ex-Premier Thaksin Shinawatra, have blocked off roads in Bangkok's commercial and shopping center to demand a new election. Conflicts between demonstrators and security forces have killed 27 people this month and injured more than 900.
 
Protesters have set up roadblocks around an area about the size of New York's Central Park, forcing Central Pattana Pcl, the Four Seasons hotel and the Grand Hyatt Erawan to close the shopping malls and facilities.
 
Thailand's Total Access Communication reported a better-than-expected 65% rise in its first-quarter net profit on Friday as economic recovery pushed up mobile phone use.
 
TAC, controlled by Norway's Telenor, posted a January-March net profit of 2.44 billion baht ($76 million), or 1.03 baht per share, up from 1.48 billion baht a year earlier.
 
Fourteen analysts polled by Reuters had expected an average net profit of 2.3 billion baht for the quarter. Some analysts have raised their earnings growth forecasts to reflect strong performance in the January-March period but the first quarter is expected to the best for TAC this year.
 
TAC, Thailand's second-largest mobile phone operator, has about 30% of the Thai market. Advanced Info Service ADVA.BK has about 50%.
 
Before the earnings announcement, TAC shares closed down 0.7% at 34 baht, underperforming a 1.4% rise of the overall market.
 
Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said Friday the Bangkok protests may reduce economic growth by as much as two percentage points this year.
 
Standard & Poor's said April 26 that Thailand may face a downgrade of its BBB+ credit rating should the political unrest continue. Fitch Ratings cut its outlook on the nation's local- currency credit rating to negative from stable last week, citing "an escalation in political uncertainty."
 
Interest-rate swaps show investors are paring bets as to when the central bank will tighten monetary policy.
 
The one-year onshore interest-rate swap, the fixed cost needed to receive a floating payment, fell to 1.31% from 1.525% at the start of this week. The benchmark rate is at 1.25%.
 
INDONESIA
 
Indonesian shares closed higher by 44.392 points, or 1.51%, to a level of 2,971.252 points on Friday.
 
As many as 121,652 transactions were booked on Friday at a volume of 6.014 billion US Dollars worth 5.407 trillion rupiah ( about 599.7 million US Dollars)
 
Indofood Sukses Makmur was up 2% after it said its first-quarter net profit jumped 473% while lender Bank Rakyat gained 3.5% after it reported a 25% rise in first-quarter net profit.
 
INDIA
 
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index gained 55.24 points, or 0.3%, to end at 17,558.71. The benchmark index, which has lost 0.8% this week, traded between 17,503.47 and 17,646.61 during the day. The National Stock Exchange's 50-stock S&P CNX Nifty added 23.85 points, or 0.5%, to close at 5278.
 
Trading volume on the BSE rose to INR47.49 billion from Thursday's INR42.45 billion. Gainers outnumbered decliners 1,682 to 1,215, while 101 stocks were unchanged.
 
Dow Jones Newswires technical analysis suggests the Sensex could trade between 16,800 and 18,100 next week.
 
Tata Motors climbed 3.6% to INR872.85 on robust institutional buying, driven by hopes of strong results, dealers said. Motorcycle maker Hero Honda jumped 3.7% to INR1,904.95 on value buying.
 
State Bank of India rose 1.0% to INR2,297.95, while private sector lender ICICI Bank was up 0.6% at INR950.50.
 
NTPC, India's largest power producer by capacity, advanced 1.6% to INR206.95, while software exporter Infosys Technologies, which has lost 3.4% in the past 10 sessions, rose 1.1% to INR2,736.15.
 
Tata Steel slipped 2.2% to INR618.80 as sentiment weakened after Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee Thursday raised the export tax on iron ore lumps to 15% from 10% to temper local prices of steel, which are partly fanning inflation. 
 
AUSTRALIA
 
The Australian market snapped three-days of losses and ended in positive territory on Friday, taking cues from Wall Street where the major averages ended with modest gains led by earnings and speculation that debt crisis in Greece might be resolved shortly. Positive earnings from Macquarie Group lifted banks while resource stocks also advanced. However, gains were capped as investors turned cautious ahead of the release of new Henry tax rules this weekend.
 
The benchmark S&P/ASX200 Index added 21.80 points, or 0.46% to close at 4,807, while the All-Ordinaries Index ended at 4,834, representing a gain of 17.80 points, or 0.37%.
 
On economic front, data released by the Reserve Bank of Australia revealed that the amount of credit extended to private sector recipients in the country increased 0.5% in March 2010 compared to the preceding month. The RBA further noted that for the full year to March, total private sector credit was up 2.1%.
 
A report released by the Housing Industry Association in Australia revealed that new home sales in the country increased 0.9% month-on-month in March, following a sharp 5.2% decline in the previous month. The report further noted that private sector detached house sales increased by 1.9%, while multi-unit sales fell 8.7% during the recent month.
 
Light sweet crude oil futures for June delivery ended at $85.58 a barrel in electronic trading, up $0.41 per barrel from previous close at $85.17 a barrel in New York on Thursday.
 
Finance stocks advanced after investment banking company Macquarie Group reported better than expected results. The stock surged up 4.01%. Among other major banks in the country, ANZ Bank remained unchanged from previous close, Commonwealth Bank of Australia rose 1.63% and Westpac Banking Group advanced 0.74%. However, National Australia Bank bucked the positive trend and ended in negative territory with a loss of 0.04%.
 
Oil stocks advanced following rise in crude oil prices in the international market. Woodside Petroleum added 0.11%, Santos climbed 2.29%, Oil Search advanced 0.18% and Origin Energy rose 1.80%. ROC Oil remained unchanged from previous close.
 
Mixed trading was witnessed among mining and mineral stocks. BHP Billiton added 0.62%. However, Fortescue Metals fell 3.17%, Gindalbie Metals shed 2.07%, Iluka Resources slipped 0.43%, Macarthur Coal lost 1.65%, Mincor Resource slumped 2.35%, Murchison Metals plunged 4.96%, Oz Minerals declined 3.35% and Rio Tinto was down by 0.68%.
 
Gold stocks also declined. Lihir Gold lost 1.30% and Newcrest Mining shed 1.58%.
 
NEW ZEALAND
 
New Zealand shares rose, rounding out a monthly gain of 1.1%, as stronger US earnings and economic data, and abating fears of a meltdown in Greece gave investors more appetite for shares. AMP NZ Office Trust led gains in property investors and Kathmandu Holdings rose after an Australian rival was acquired.
 
The NZX 50 rose 3.85, or 0.1%, to 3286.12, the second daily gain. Within the index, 24 stocks rose, 15 fell and 11 were unchanged. Turnover was $88.6 million.
 
Equity markets extended their gains in Asia Friday, with Japan's Nikkei 225 Index climbing 1.2% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 1.1%. European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Ollie Rehn said he expects discussions about the aid package for Greece to be finished in the "next few days" lifting optimism the problems Won't become contagious.
 
AMP NZ Office and ING Property Trust both gained 2.7% to 77 cents. Kiwi Income Property Trust rose 2% to $1.01 and Goodman Property Trust rose 1% to $1.
 
Kathmandu, the outdoor equipment chain, rose 0.9% to $2.37, buoyed by Super Cheap Auto Group's announcement that it has agreed to buy Ray's Outdoors for A$54 million to expand in camping and outdoor leisure.
 
PGG Wrightson fell 5.4%to 53 cents after Rural Portfolio Investments, which owns just over 6% of the stock, said it can't find the cash to prevent a breach of its preference share trust deed and may not be able to make more dividend payments. The announcement suggests RPI may be forced to monetise its remaining Wrightson shares or its 10 million shares in NZ Farming Systems Uruguay.
 
Pike River Coal, which is part-way through a $50 million equity raising, dropped 2.6% to $1.12. Its quarterly cash flow and activities reports, released Friday, show the mine developer is chewing through cash at a monthly rate of about $5.5 million while it completes development work. The company figures show that its $13.5 million CreditPlus Facility and $10 million multi-option debt facility are tapped out and it has used up $3.5 million of a $15 million loan from New Zealand Oil & Gas.
 
Guinness Peat Group fell 1.1% to 88 cents. Shareholders are to find out at the annual meeting next week how the investment group plans to make a "value return" as promised to investors.
 
OceanaGold Corp., the operator of the Macraes goldfield, rose 0.9% to $3.43. The mining company said Friday it has taken a one-off C$73 million hit to its balance sheet, using the bulk of the C$86.3 million in recent equity-raising to close "out of the money" forward hedge contracts that had begun to weigh substantially on its results.
 
Among other companies, children's clothing chain Pumpkin Patch rose 1.8% to $2.24, while Telecom Corp. declined 0.9% to $2.17.            
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesOil prices rediscovered some upward momentum this week after positive data on the US economy raised hopes of stronger demand.
 
Concerns over the Eurozone debt crisis weighed on crude at the start of the week, but in the last three days Nymex June West Texas Intermediate oil, the US benchmark, gained $3.71 to $86.15 a barrel - just a Dollar shy of its level a month ago, the highest point since October 2008.
 
The Federal Reserve provided an upbeat assessment of the US economy on Wednesday, while data on Thursday showed new jobless claims falling slightly.
 
There has been talk in the market that the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico might block shipping lanes, preventing deliveries of crude so pushing prices higher.
 
Analysts and traders remain cautious on supply and demand fundamentals.
 
ICE June Brent, the European benchmark, rose 19 cents on the week to $87.44 a barrel. WTI usually trades at a premium to Brent, but a build-up of inventories in the US Midwest has caused the relationship to invert.
 
Natural gas for June delivery fell 7% to $3.95 per million British thermal units after the US Department of Energy reported a greater-than- expected rise in inventories.
 
Gold surged to its highest level this year as investors fled to safety amid fears of Eurozone contagion. Spot gold rose 2.1% to an intraday peak of $1,181.05 a troy ounce Thursday. Nicholas Brooks, head of research at ETF Securities, said: "Investors that before wouldn't have thought about gold now are thinking about it. What's happening with the Euro is forcing them to think a lot faster."
 
Cocoa reached a 33-year high on Friday, as stronger demand combined with a disappointing crop in Ivory Coast, the world's largest producer. Liffe July cocoa gained 2.9% to £2,404 a tonne.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Euro dropped to a one-year low against the Dollar this week as worries over the fiscal problems in heavily indebted Greece and other countries on the periphery of the Eurozone escalated.
 
The single currency was under pressure early in the week as fears mounted that a joint rescue package for Greece from its Eurozone partners and the International Monetary Fund would not be large enough, or come soon enough, to shore up its finances.
 
But the Euro plunged on Tuesday after rating agency Standard & Poor's slashed Greek government debt to junk and downgraded Portugal. The Euro was hit by another wave of selling on Wednesday after S&P cut Spain's rating. The single currency dropped to a 12-month low of $1.3112 against the Dollar as the yields on Greek, Portuguese and Spanish government debt surged to record levels.
 
The Euro recovered some poise later in the week on reports that a rescue package for Greece had been agreed between its leaders and representatives from the European Union and the IMF and was to be unveiled in the next few days.
 
Reports suggested that Athens had agreed to target a €24bn ($32bn) reduction in its budget deficit over three years. In exchange, Athens would receive funding of €100bn-€120bn, from the IMF and Greece's Eurozone partners.
 
The Euro recovered to stand down 0.3% at $1.3307 against the Dollar on the week. The single currency also recovered from a three-month low against the Pound to stand 0.2% higher at £0.8711 against the Pound on the week and eased 0.3% to Y125.15 against the Yen.
 
Meanwhile, the Dollar and the Yen benefited at the start of the week as worries over Greece spilled over into the wider market, sending global equities sharply lower and driving haven demand for the US and Japanese currencies.
 
But investor confidence rebounded on hopes of a Greek rescue package, combined with strong corporate earnings and a pledge from the Federal Reserve to keep US interest rates at ultra-low levels for an extended period. This saw the Dollar and Yen give back some of their gains.
 
Over the week, the Dollar rose 0.7% to $1.5273 against the Pound and climbed 0.2% to SFr1.0771 against the Swiss franc. The Dollar was little changed at Y93.99 against the Yen on the week.
 
The Australian Dollar rose 0.5% to $0.9300 against the US Dollar over the week after stronger than expected consumer price inflation data boosted expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia would raise interest rates further at its policy meeting this month.
 
The Swiss Franc was headed for its first monthly drop against the Euro since June as Swiss National Bank Chairman Philipp Hildebrand said policy makers are "acting decisively to prevent an excessive appreciation" of the currency.
 
Any threat to the stability of the Euro "would, by definition, have a negative impact on Switzerland, above all if the Swiss Franc were to appreciate sharply due to its role as a safe-haven currency," Hildebrand said in the transcript of a speech in Bern, Switzerland, supplied by the SNB.
 
The franc has declined 0.6% to 1.4328 per Euro this month, from 1.4239 on March 31. It was little changed versus the common currency Friday.
 
Brazil's Real has appreciated 3.2% this month to 1.7265 versus the Dollar after the central bank's board voted unanimously on April 28 to raise the target lending rate to 9.5%, from a record low 8.75%. Brazil's currency dropped 0.2% Friday.
 
South Africa's Rand rose for a third day, appreciating 0.2% 7.3525 versus the Dollar as higher metal prices boosted the outlook for South African producers.
 
The British Pound failed on Friday to break above 1.5400 and tumbled falling below 1.5300. GBP/USD finished the week lower, far from the highs that lie at 1.5497 but also Cable managed to recover after falling on Wednesday to 1.5125 (April low).
 
The pair finished the week hovering around 1.5300 almost a hundred pips below the price it had a week ago.
 
Cable also fell sharply against the Euro on Friday. Eur/GBP managed to rise back above 0.8700 from 0.8630 and then pulled back finding support at 0.8675.
 
As always, rounding our currencies here in China, the RMB rose against the US Dollar late Friday afternoon, as expectations (by those without a clue ...) that the Chinese currency will soon appreciate against US unit boosted demand for the RMB.
 
On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar was at CNY6.8252 at 0930 GMT, down from Thursday's close of CNY6.8259. It traded between CNY6.8252 and CNY6.8266.
 
The Dollar-RMB central parity rate was set at 6.8263, down marginally from 6.8265 Thursday.      
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsChinese President Hu Jintao said Wednesday China-France ties turned over a new leaf with the second state visit of French President Nicolas Sarkozy.
 
Addressing a joint press conference with Sarkozy in Beijing, Hu told reporters China hoped to work with France to maintain high-level exchanges, dialogue and consultations on major issues of common concern.
 
The two leaders held about 50 minutes of one-to-one talks before starting their formal, large-scope talks which Hu described as "candid, friendly and productive", and reaching "many important agreements".
 
To take the comprehensive strategic partnership of the two countries to new heights, Hu made a four-point proposal. In addition to co-operation in traditional fields, the two sides agreed to promote co-operation in saving energy, ensuring environmental protection, creating new energy, as also processing agriculture and farm produce.
 
Hu also called for strengthening cultural exchanges, facilitate language-education, two-way travel and dialogue between each other's media and think tanks.
 
He said the Beijing valued the role being played by the E.U. in international affairs, and appreciated the constructive stance of Frane in promoting China-E.U. relations.
 
Hu accepted Sarkozy's invitation to visit France "at a time convenient for both sides."
 
On his part, Sarkozy, who is on a three-day visit, said that China was a very important strategic partner of France, and they both needed to co-operate closely on major global issues, including boosting economic growth and maintaining world peace.
 
He said that Taiwan and Tibet were both part of China and reiterated the French policy of one-China, which Paris had been adhering to since diplomatic ties were established between the two countries in 1964.
 
Sarkozy said France was willing to work with China to further boost co-operation and exchanges in several fields, including peaceful use of nuclear energy, aviation, transport, environmental-protection, finance, agriculture and culture.
 
He stressed the urgency of ongoing efforts to curb Iran's nuclear program.
 
Stating that he understood Beijing's wish to have dialogue and engage with Iran, Sarkozy added that stronger sanctions should be imposed on that Islamic country if dialogue did not yield results.
 
"The whole question is to examine at what point the absence of constructive dialogue, must lead to sanctions to enhance constructive dialogue. Everyone is convinced that moment is approaching," he added. 

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Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. and China Construction Bank Corp. posted the largest first-quarter profits among the world's banks, powered by the fastest economic growth in three years.
 
ICBC, the world's biggest lender by market value, said net income climbed 18% to 41.55 billion RMB ($6.1 billion) in the three months ended March 31, while Construction Bank's profit increased 34% to 35.2 billion RMB, according to the Beijing-based companies' filings to the Hong Kong stock exchange Thursday.
 
ICBC and Construction Bank, emerging from the financial crisis to become the world's two most profitable lenders, boosted provisions for bad loans as the Chinese government tries to curb speculation in property. The banks' shares have fallen this year even as the economy grew, reflecting investor concern that their record lending in 2009 will lead to more bad loans.
 
ICBC shares have dropped 12% this year in Hong Kong, making it the worst performer in the Hang Seng Finance Index, which has retreated 8.6% since Dec. 31. Construction Bank has declined 7.7% in the same period.
 
China's four largest publicly traded banks need at least 480 billion RMB of additional capital to fund loan growth and comply with regulatory requirements for financial strength over the next five years, ICBC President Yang Kaisheng wrote in an article published in the 21st Century Business Herald in April.
 
ICBC, Bank of China Ltd. and Bank of Communications Co. have announced plans to raise 107 billion RMB by selling bonds and shares this year. Construction Bank said Thursday it plans to raise as much as 75 billion RMB in a rights offering in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
 
ICBC boosted the provision coverage ratio to 180% while Construction Bank increased the ratio to 192%, compared with the 150% required by the nation's banking regulator. The proportion of non-performing loans at both banks dropped to 1.35%.
 
The biggest challenge to the industry right now is whether the government can manage asset bubbles without tightening too much and hurting the economy. China's economic growth accelerated to 11.9% in the first quarter, the fastest pace in almost three years.
 
ICBC advanced about 334 billion RMB of new loans in the first quarter, while Construction Bank offered 240 billion RMB of new credit in the period. Their capital adequacy ratio fell to 11.98% and 11.44% respectively as of March 31, still above the minimum requirement of 11.5% for large state-owned lenders.
 
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China Construction Bank Corp., the world's second-largest lender by market value, plans to raise as much as 75 billion RMB ($11 billion) in Asia's biggest-ever rights offer to replenish capital eroded by loan growth.
 
Construction Bank will offer 0.7 shares for every 10 held, or as many as 630 million shares in Shanghai and about 15.7 billion in Hong Kong, according to a stock exchange statement late Thursday. The Beijing-based bank rose 2.1% at 11:25 a.m. in Hong Kong trading.
 
The sale would bring to about $27 billion the amount of money being raised by China's four biggest publicly traded banks after they extended record loans last year to support a government-led stimulus. China's banks stayed profitable during the financial crisis, enabling them to increase lending even as US and European banks restrained credit.
 
The bank also nominated former Hong Kong central banker Joseph Yam as an independent non-executive director for a three- year term, according to a separate release.
 
Construction Bank said Thursday its capital adequacy ratio slid to 11.44% as of March 31 from 11.7% three months earlier. Large state-owned banks are required to have a ratio of at least 11.5%. Construction Bank's first- quarter profit jumped 34%.
 
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., Bank of China Ltd. and Bank of Communications Co. had already announced plans to raise a combined 107 billion RMB by selling bonds and shares.
 
That figure excludes stock offers being planned by ICBC and Bank of China, which haven't announced details of how much equity they will sell.
 
Shares of Construction Bank, the nation's second-largest real-estate lender, have dropped more than 5.7% in Hong Kong this year as concerns about a government clampdown on property speculation overshadowed rising earnings.
 
The government this month told banks to stop loans for third-home purchases in cities with excessive price gains, and raised mortgage rates and down-payment ratios for second homes. Deutsche Bank AG economist Jun Ma called the measures the "most draconian" in the country's history and said they may trigger a 20% drop in home prices.
 
Construction Bank, set up in 1954 to fund roads, bridges, dams and other infrastructure, had about 359 billion RMB of loans to developers and 852 billion RMB of personal home loans at the end of last year, according to its annual report.
 
The bank extended 239.8 billion RMB of new credit in the first quarter as growth in the world's third-biggest economy accelerated to 11.9%.
 
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Shanghai restricted access to its financial district and stepped up security across China's richest city ahead of the $44 billion World Expo, which may draw 10 times as many visitors as the Beijing Olympics.
 
Pedestrians and vehicles will be barred from the Huangpu riverfront through Sunday, Shanghai's police department said on its Web site. A larger area of the financial district, home to HSBC Holdings Plc and Citigroup Inc., will be closed during the opening ceremony tonight, police said.
 
The six-month Expo will attract more than 70 million tourists, organizers say. That compares with 6.5 million visitors for the Beijing Games held in August 2008. A host of world leaders are expected to attend the event, which features exhibits by more than 240 countries, companies and organizations from across the globe.
 
President Hu Jintao visited the Expo site Thursday as Shanghai deployed paramilitary police, restricted knife sales and banned hot air balloons to ensure security before the opening ceremony to be attended by French President Nicolas Sarkozy and European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso.
 
The city has declared a five-day public holiday as armed police were deployed to patrol outside the Expo park and inside and outside subway stations, where passengers are also required to have their bags scanned. A helicopter circled the Expo park Friday and police were stationed at tourist attractions, ports, airports and train stations.
 
Residents at the Jiahua Riverside Garden apartment complex, located about five minutes by car from the Expo park, were told they wouldn't be allowed to enter or exit the building or walk onto their balconies after 2 p.m. local time Friday.
 
Shanghai's 1,535-feet tall Oriental Pearl Tower was closed to tourists as paramilitary police marched on the sidewalk in front of it. Starbucks Corp.'s store outside the Super Brand Mall in the city's financial district was told remove its tables from the deck area in front of the outlet.
 
The start of the 2008 Beijing Olympics was marred by the murder of an American tourist at Beijing's Drum Tower, used in the past to keep time and now a popular tourist destination.
 
Shanghai, home to 20 million people, has a relatively low crime rate, according a notice issued by the US Department of State's Bureau of Consular Affairs on the 2010 World Expo. The threat level for political violence and terrorism against US citizens in China remains low, it said.
 
City authorities aren't taking chances. The sale of knives has been restricted to government-designated outlets where buyers must register their names. Sales of ceramic cutting tools have been banned, according to the city's police.
 
Visitors entering the 5.28 square kilometer Expo park will have to pass through metal detectors and have their bags scanned, according to organizers. They'll be barred from bringing in lighters, matches, alcohol and other drinks, similar to measures taken during the Beijing Olympics.
 
Shanghai is also prohibiting the flying of kites near the Expo park, while 14 types of slow, low-flying objects including hot air balloons, paragliders and model airplanes are banned from the city and in the neighboring provinces of Jiangsu and Zhejiang, according to a statement issued by the city's public security department.
 
Local residents have also been told to remove flower pots from balconies and not to hang clothes out to dry. Advertising should also not be hung from windows and balconies, the city government said.
 
Visa restrictions and other security measures for the Olympics led to lower-than-expected occupancy rates at hotels in the Chinese capital. China this week, days ahead of the expo's opening, lifted a decades-old ban on the entry of foreigners with HIV - now there's progress for you!!!
 
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China Pacific Insurance Group's first quarter net income rose 192% on a year earlier to 2.8 billion RMB, according to a release to the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
 
Sales rose 54% for the period to 40 billion RMB, the statement said.  
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 Next week in the US, the April unemployment rate will be released next Friday, after auto makers and retailers report sales for the month and following recent signs of life in the Labour market.
 
The number of quarterly reports slows next week, with three components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and one-sixth of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index members posting results.
 
And Continental Airlines and United Airlines are expected to announce Monday that they're merging to form the world's largest airline by traffic.
 
The US will also see personal spending data, pending home sales, factory orders, the services index, first quarter productivity, same-store sales and consumer credit next week. It is also unemployment week, with the private sector number out on Wednesday and no-farm payrolls on Friday.
 
While Greek bail-out fears now appear to have eased, confirmation is required next week from the successful passage of a rescue contribution bill through the German parliament. The German Opposition has provided conditional support and the bill will possibly be presented on Monday night. If passed swiftly, the Euro should see a bounce. If not, look out.
 
Monday is also manufacturing index day across the globe, although it seems the UK will be a day late this month. Australia, China, the EU and US will nevertheless chime in. A good result for the US should add to bullish momentum.
 
Australia kicks off on Monday with manufacturing and the TD Securities inflation gauge. Tuesday is RBA decision day and that has become a bit of a toss of the coin, interim events notwithstanding.
 
Next week also sees the services and construction indices, building approvals, retail sales, the trade balance and the RBA's quarterly monetary policy statement on Friday.
 
Hanging over Australia next week will be the release of the Henry Tax Review on Sunday. Unpopular changes such as an additional mining tax could cause concern but one must remember (a) the government is not bound by the review, (b) whatever comes out in the Budget still has to get through the Senate and (c), don't believe the states are likely to lie back and take a beating, particularly the mining states.
 
The European Central Bank and Bank of England both make rate decisions on Thursday, with no changes expected, and Thursday is also the day of the UK general election. A hung parliament is a distinct possibility and should cause further concern, but an outright Tory victory would no doubt give the Pound a boost.
 
All thing considered, next week will once again focus on Europe and in particular how Greece and their 'bail-out' pans out - or doesn't, as the case may be!    
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
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