Financial Page International

10 October 2009 - Global Markets Review

Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
 
I am travelling full-on today and so in order to make sure I get the Newsletter issued, I am going to have to forego my own personal take on the markets and limit this edition to 'the week that was'.
 
The numbers across the boards for the week were:
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....
 US SummaryUS stocks rose, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a one-year high, as analyst recommendations spurred gains in technology and health-care shares. The Dollar and oil rose, while gold and Treasuries fell.

International Business Machines Corp. led gains in the Dow after Barclays Plc upgraded computer hardware companies, saying server and storage demand is picking up. Google Inc. climbed as Credit Suisse Group AG lifted its price estimate and said the search business will benefit from a rebound in advertising. WellPoint Inc. and Humana Inc. rallied at least 3.6% after analysts said shares of health insurers are cheap.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 0.6% to 1,071.49 at 4:06 p.m. in New York. The Dow climbed 78.07 points, or 0.8%, to 9,864.94, its highest close since Oct. 6, 2008. The Nasdaq Composite Index increased 0.7% to 2,139.28.

The S&P 500 rallied 4.5% this week, its steepest advance since July, as US service industries grew after 11 months of contraction, jobless claims fell more than forecast and Alcoa Inc. kicked off the third-quarter earnings season with an unexpected profit.

Treasuries fell, with two-year notes recording their first weekly loss since September, as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the bank is ready to tighten monetary policy once the economic outlook improves.

Thirty-year bonds declined the most in four months after Thursday's $12 billion auction of 30-year bonds, the last of four offerings this week totaling $78 billion, drew weaker-than- average demand. The yield on the 30-year bond closed below 4% last week for the first time since April as reports showed manufacturing declined and inflation remains subdued.

The yield on the two-year note rose eight basis points, or 0.08%age point, to 0.97% at 4:19 p.m. in New York, according BGCantor Market Data. The 1% security maturing in September 2011 fell 5/32, or $1.56 per $1,000 face amount, to 100 2/32. Yields have climbed 10 basis points since Oct. 2, the first weekly increase since Sept. 18.

Yields on 30-year bonds rose 14 basis points to 4.22%. The yield increased as much as 16 basis points, the most since it gained 18 basis points on June 10. For the week the yield has increased 23 basis points, the most since it rose 31 basis points the week ended Aug. 7.

Google rose 0.4 per cent to $516.25 after Credit Suisse raised its price target on the stock, citing a potential rebound in advertising. The market initially opened lower as investors mulled over comments from Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, who said late on Thursday that the central bank could tighten monetary policy as the economic recovery takes hold.

Citigroup was in focus on Friday after confirming it would sell its controversial Phibro commodities business to Occidental Petroleum. Occidental said its net investment in the business would total about $250m and the deal is expected to help deflect political anger over a potential $100m pay-out for its star trader Andrew Hall. While financial stocks were broadly up, Citi shares lost 0.4 per cent to $4.63.

Government-backed mortgage lenders also weighed on the sector. Edward DeMarco, the acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said late on Thursday that the mortgage groups might need further aid from the US Treasury. Fannie Mae was down 4 per cent to $1.43 and Freddie Mac lost 3.9 per cent to $1.71.

Shares in both companies fell on Wednesday, in spite of a broad rally in the financial sector, after reports suggested they were working on a programme to help independent mortgage banks get access to short-term credit for home loans.

Retreating commodity prices hit mining and industrial stocks in early trading on Friday.

Newmont Mining suffered further after speculation that the company could be preparing a hostile bid for Australia's Newcrest Mining. Newmont shares were down 1.1 per cent at $46.50.

Chevron said late on Thursday that higher oil prices would lead to significantly better profits in the third quarter than the previous one. The shares were up 1.8 per cent at $72.76.

Such optimism did not spread to its rivals and ExxonMobil trailed the market, gaining 0.3 per cent to $69.927. ConocoPhillips lost 1.2 per cent to $50.78 after announcing it would temporarily shut down parts of its refinery in Texas for maintenance.

A flurry of deal activity helped lift sentiment. Kimberly-Clark, the maker of Huggies nappies and Kleenex tissues, announced it had bought I-Flow for $324m. Kimberly-Clark gained 0.3 per cent to $59.23, while shares in I-Flow, which sells surgical products such as catheters, rose 7 per cent to $12.58.

Sunrise Senior Living, the retirement home group that warned this year of possible bankruptcy, agreed to sell 21 of its assisted living communities to an affiliate of rival Brookdale Senior Living for $204m.

Sunrise shares rose 44.6 per cent to $4.77.
European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....
 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks fell as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the central bank will be ready to raise interest rates when the economic outlook "has improved sufficiently."

Vedanta Resources Plc, the mining company controlled by billionaire Anil Agarwal, and Antofagasta Plc led basic-resource producers lower as metals retreated. BAE Systems Plc slid 1.5% after forecasting no growth at its Land and Armaments unit for as long as five years. Gamesa Corporacion Tecnologica SA sank 6.7% after its chief executive officer resigned.

The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index slipped 0.3% to 242.72, trimming this week's gain to 3.7%, the steepest advance since July. The gauge has retreated 1.4% from this year's high on Sept. 17 as data on US unemployment, manufacturing and consumer confidence missed economists' forecasts, fueling concern that the global economic recovery may not be robust.

National benchmark indexes rose in 11 of the 18 western European markets. The UK's FTSE 100 added 0.1% while France's CAC 40 slipped 0.2%. Germany's DAX lost 0.1% as K+S AG retreated.

The Stoxx 600 posted the biggest gain since July 24 this week as US service industries grew after 11 months of contraction and Alcoa Inc., the largest US aluminum producer, reported an unexpected third-quarter profit.

Stada Arzneimittel AG rallied 7.4% to 20.20 Euros, the best performer on the Stoxx 600. BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research resumed coverage of the German generic-drug maker with a "buy" recommendation.

GERMANY

German stocks declined, with the benchmark DAX Index trimming its biggest weekly gain since July, as a report showed exports unexpectedly dropped for the first time in four months.

The DAX slipped 0.1% to 5,711.88. The measure still climbed 4.5% this week after US service industries expanded in September for the first time in a year and Alcoa Inc., the largest US aluminum producer, reported an unexpected third-quarter profit. The broader HDAX Index added less than 0.1% Friday.

Sales abroad in August, adjusted for working days and seasonal swings, slid 1.8% from July, when they climbed a revised 1.7%, the Federal Statistics Office said. Economists expected a gain of 1.9%, the median of 12 forecasts in a survey showed.

K+S AG, Europe's biggest producer of potash, declined 1.4% to 38.35 Euros, snapping a four-day gain. Belarusian Potash Co. said worldwide industry sales this year may drop to less than half of 2008's level, providing the glummest outlook yet among suppliers of the crop nutrient.

Salzgitter AG, Germany's second-largest steelmaker, fell 1.4% to 67.33 Euros, following European basic-resource shares lower as metals including copper, nickel and tin dropped.

Volkswagen, Europe's biggest carmaker, slid 1.4% to 112.71 Euros, erasing Thursday's gain.

Deutsche Boerse, operator of the Frankfurt exchange, climbed 1% to 56.75 Euros, a fifth straight advance in the longest winning streak since July. Adidas AG, the world's second-largest sporting goods maker, increased 1% to 34.85 Euros, snapping a two-day decline.

Hugo Boss jumped 5% to 28.24 Euros, the steepest gain in two months, after the clothing maker was upgraded to "outperform" from "neutral" at Exane BNP Paribas, which cited "the potential for cost savings."

Stada Arzneimittel surged 7.3% to 20.20 Euros, the highest closing price since January, after BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research reinstated coverage of the shares with a "buy" recommendation.

Leoni added 1.8% to 15.74 Euros. Germany's biggest maker of automotive electrical cables may reach annual sales of almost 2.2 billion Euros, Boersen-Zeitung reported, citing an interview with Chief Executive Officer Klaus Probst.

Celesio, the largest drug wholesaler in Europe, rose 1.5% to 18.80 Euros as Equinet AG upgraded the stock to "buy" from "accumulate."

FRANCE

France's CAC 40 Index slipped 7.20, or 0.2%, to 3,799.61 in Paris, for a 4.1% gain this week. The SBF 120 Index lost 0.1% Friday.

ArcelorMittal dropped 29 cents, or 1.1%, to 25.45 Euros, falling for a second day this week. The world's largest steelmaker was cut to "hold" from "buy" by analysts at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, who cited "limited upside potential" in the share price.

CNP Assurances, France's largest life insurer, jumped 3.47 Euros, or 4.9%, to 73.66 Euros, its biggest gain since May. Exane BNP Paribas raised its recommendation on the shares to "outperform" from "neutral."

Jacquet Metals, a metals producer, surged 2.74 Euros, or 6%, to 48.45 Euros, its biggest increase in more than two months. Societe Generale raised its recommendation on the shares to "buy" from "hold."

Nexeya soared 1.44 Euros, or 18%, to 9.39 Euros for a record gain. The maker of electronic products said 2008-09 net income rose 5.9% to 4.2 million Euros ($6.2 million). Analysts at Gilbert Dupont raised the stock to 'buy' from 'add'.

PPR slipped 1.46 Euros, or 1.7%, to 86.38 Euros, falling for a third day. Natixis Thursday cut its recommendation on shares of the French owner of the Gucci Group to "add" from "buy."

"After the recent remarkable share performance, the share's upside now looks more modest," the analysts wrote. PPR is up 49% since Jun. 30.

Valeo, France's second-largest auto-parts supplier, added 61 cents, or 3.1%, to 20.36 Euros, advancing for a fifth day. CA Cheuvreux raised its recommendation on the shares to "outperform" from "underperform," saying "next year, suppliers will enjoy a mechanical rebound in production in Europe."

BELGIUM

In Brussels the Bel 20 closed the day at 2,547.01, up 0.19% on the day.

Belgian PVC window frame maker Deceuninck said on Thursday that it had received subscriptions representing 93.19% for its 4-for-1 rights offer priced at 0.98 Euros.

The company launched an 84.5 million Euro ($124.9 million) rights issue to repay 41.3 million Euros in debt, fund its restructuring and finance working capital. The company said major shareholders Sofina NV, Desco SAK and Defiac NV had exercised their rights and subscribed to new shares for a total 33.42 million Euros.

Deceuninck said ING, KBC Securities, BNP Paribas Fortis and Dexia had underwritten the rights issue.

Anheuser-Busch InBev is within a short dash of its $7 billion divestment target after selling its US theme parks, strengthening its hand in further sales even if renewed acquisitions may be some way off.

The sale of its SeaWorlds and Busch Gardens to Blackstone brings the world's largest brewer's divestments to some $6.5 billion. It remains on course to pay off $45 billion of loans that funded InBev's $52 billion takeover of its US rival last November.

AB InBev shares rose as much as 3.4% on Thursday to 32.70 Euros, their highest level since May 2008.

The brewer of Budweiser, Stella Artois and Beck's needs just one further sale to hit its target, the most likely being its 11 breweries in seven central and eastern European countries.

Private equity firm CVC Capital Partners has submitted the only bid, of around $2 billion, sources have said.

AB InBev, determined that none of its divestments become fire sales, has held out for some weeks, prompting CVC to put more equity into its bid, according to bankers close to the deal.

The Blackstone sale reinforces the view that the brewer needs no fire sales and could withdraw.

THE NETHERLANDS

The AEX in Amsterdam closed out this week at 315.55, up 0.25% for the session.

Supermarket group Jumbo said on Thursday it was not considering raising a 480 million Euro offer for Dutch peer Super De Boer after a third food retailer indicated it was prepared to pay 36 million more.

Super de Boer has become the focus of long-awaited consolidation in the sector, with four Dutch supermarkets now chasing ownership of it in two separate camps.

"We are still very comfortable with our proposal. It is in the interest of all stakeholders. At this moment, we are not considering (raising) our offer," Jumbo spokesman Jeroen Sparrow said.

Jumbo, which is offering 4.20 Euros per share, agreed to sell about 80 Super De Boer stores to rival grocer Schuitema, which operates the C1000 brand, if its bid succeeded.

But rival Sperwer upped the stakes on Wednesday with a preliminary bid worth 516 million Euros after it reached a deal to sell about 40 Super De Boer stores on to market leader Ahold.

A consortium led by Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) is close to a deal to buy London's Gatwick Airport for up to 1.8 billion Euros this month, sources familiar with the deal said on Wednesday.

Dutch telecoms group Royal KPN NV raised its buyout offer to minority shareholders of iBasis Inc on Monday as it battles to take over the US voice traffic carrier. KPN already owns 56% of iBasis and said its new offer, increased to $2.25 per share from $1.55, values the remaining stake at $70 million and gives a 73.1% premium over the closing price of iBasis's shares on July 10, just before KPN's first offer was made.

Shares in iBasis were up 7.5% at $2.30 by 1409 GMT. They have been trading above $1.55 since KPN made its first offer in July. KPN was up 1.4% at 11.54 Euros.

iBasis has so far resisted the sale, saying KPN's offer is "grossly inadequate and opportunistic" and has challenged the move in court.

In a statement KPN said it continues to pursue its counterclaims which "seek to invalidate the 'poison pill' purportedly adopted by iBasis." It added that the Delaware Court of Chancery would hear its claims on Oct. 8 and 9.

In reaction to the revised bid, iBasis said it would review and evaluate the offer and make a recommendation to its stockholders in due course.

"iBasis stockholders are urged to consider the ... recommendation before taking any action with respect to KPN`s revised offer," the US company said in a statement.

The price of the tender offer has been at the centre of the dispute as iBasis has accused KPN of concealing internal projections suggesting the company might perform better than projected, perhaps justifying a higher offer.

KPN's offer expires on Oct. 23, the Dutch company said.

SWITZERLAND

The SMI in Zurich finished the week on 6,291.64, this was a decline of 0.22%.

Swiss pharmaceutical company Novartis AG said Thursday it has gained exclusive world-wide rights to market a drug candidate that is currently in late-stage trials to treat infections caused by drug-resistant bacteria.

The drug candidate, dubbed PTK 0796, is in trials to treat patients with complicated skin and skin-structure infections. The drug could become the first once-a-day broad-spectrum antibiotic that can be given as a tablet or intravenously, Novartis said.

Broad-spectrum antibiotics fight bacteria such as methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, or MRSA, which cause complicated, sometimes fatal, skin infections and which are resistant to drugs already on the market. Novartis will share the responsibility for developing the drug with US-based, closely held Paratek Pharmaceuticals.

Swiss flavours and fragrances maker Givaudan AG showed signs of emerging from recession as customers warily rebuild stocks, helping its nine-month sales meet forecasts and boosting the stock.

Givaudan, which makes ingredients for designer perfumes such as Calvin Klein and Burberry, confirmed on Friday its previous forecast to outgrow the broader market for 2009.

The group said customer destocking in its fragrance ingredients unit, which was prevalent in the first half of the year as people spent less on expensive perfumes, appears to have ended.

Shares rose 3.1% to 820 francs by 0726 GMT, versus a 0.3% gain in the DJ Stoxx European chemicals sector.

The maker of ingredients for soaps, confectionery and soft drinks has escaped much of the impact of recession, despite customers running down stocks in the first half.

Nine-month sales fell 4% to 3.0 billion Swiss francs ($2.9 billion) in the first nine months of 2009, hit by the weak US Dollar.

The stock trades at about 14 times forecast 2010 earnings, roughly in line with rivals International Flavors and Fragrances and Symrise.

The groups also compete with Firmenich in the $20 billion flavours and fragrances market, supplying companies like Donna Karan and Givenchy.

Givaudan had been expected to post sales of 3.0 billion francs in the first nine months, according to a Reuters poll of 11 analysts.

AUSTRIA

The ATX in Vienna ended the Friday trading session at 2,673.96, gains of 0.65% for the day.

Austria's Erste Group Bank is planning to start a roadshow for a rights issue of at least 1 billion Euros ($1.47 billion) in early November, two sources familiar with the deal said on Wednesday.

The share sale is mainly aimed at bolstering capital of emerging Europe's third-biggest lender, which is struggling with rising bad debts in the crisis-stricken former Communist part of Europe, in particular in Romania.

Erste would join a list of European banks tapping markets, including Erste's main competitor in eastern Europe, UniCredit , as well as Societe Generale and BNP Paribas ( BNPQY.PK - news - people ) .

The deal comes as investors have overcome their scepticism on emerging European banks, which bordered on panic in February and March. Erste's share price has more than quadrupled since a low of 6.84 Euros reached on Feb. 24.

At least eight analysts have raised their target prices for the stock in the past month.

The subscription period for the rights issue is planned for mid- to late November, the sources said. The volume of the issue could be higher than 1 billion Euros if demand is good.

Erste shares slightly widened losses on Wednesday, trading down 1.2% at 28.79 Euros.

A spokesman for Erste declined to comment.

Unlike BNP and SocGen, Erste does not aim primarily to pay back 1.2 billion Euro in state capital it received earlier this year, the sources said. Rather, the bank's main goal is to reach a 'solid' Tier 1 ratio, they said.

However, with new equity under its belt, Erste may try and walk away from plans to raise an additional 1 billion Euros in hybrid debt from the government. This debt would rank as lower quality Tier 1, not as core Tier 1 capital as equity does.

To pay back the capital received and do without the hybrid debt, Erste would have to raise around 2.2 billion Euros. However, such a deal would be likely to dilute its main shareholder, a foundation.

Erste is one of Europe's least capitalised banks with a core Tier 1 ratio of 6.6% at the end of June even including the state capital it already received, despite its presence in some risky markets.

Erste owns the biggest bank in Romania, the Balkan country which has received a 20 billion Euro emergency loan from the International Monetary Fund to fend off financial crisis.

Erste Chief Executive Andreas Treichl last week listed 'low capitalisation' among his bank's weaknesses in slides prepared for a presentation at an investor conference, although he added that this was 'justified', without elaborating on the slides.

Unternehmens Invest AG has been informed by Buy-Out Central Europe II Beteiligungs-Invest AG about the fact that Buy-Out Central Europe II Beteiligungs-Invest AG does no longer intend to purchase the total number of UIAG shares held by CROSS Industries AG and to follow up the announced takeover bid.

The assumption, existing due to a legal opinion established in 2006, that no claims can be made against UIAG out of its former interest in Libro AG as a result of forfeiture through the statute of limitations, could not be confirmed beyond a reasonable doubt within the due diligence process.

SWEDEN

The OMX in Stockholm rounded off the week at 899.70, adding 0.49% for the day.

The Swedish government said Thursday it will extend its credit guarantee program for banks by six months to maintain stability in the financial sector, amid fears about economic turmoil in Latvia where Swedish banks do extensive business.

The government said the program, providing credit guarantees to banks of up to 1.5 trillion kronor ($214.5 billion), will be extended to the end of April next year.

"Even if the financial markets have improved during the past year it is too early to start winding up the guarantee program," Financial Markets Minister Mats Odell said in a statement. "There is still a need for an extra security net if financial stability should deteriorate again."

Odell also said he wanted to coordinate the eventual phase-out of bank support programs with other countries within the European Union.

The credit guarantee was part of last year's bank security package, which also included a 15 billion kronor ($2.1 billion) stability fund to bail out Swedish banks with solvency problems.

The Swedish banks Swedbank AB, SEB AB and Nordea AB, account for 50% of Latvia's banking industry and mass loan defaults in the Baltics is expected to reverberate through Sweden as well.

Earlier this week Sweden's finance minister Anders Borg lashed out at Latvia's government for failing to fulfill obligations set in a bailout loan agreement signed last summer. The country needed the international bailout loan to avoid bankruptcy and prevent a devaluation of its currency, which could hit people who borrowed money in foreign currency.

Borg and other EU leaders are insisting that Latvia cut next year's deficit - through cutting costs and raising taxes - by 500 million lats ($1 billion).

On Thursday the government said it will hold an extraordinary meeting next Monday to try to find ways to further reduce next year's budget deficit and meet lenders' demands. Latvian Prime Minister Valdis Dombrovskis has said cuts that go too deep would prolong the country's economic agony.

Sweden's Odell welcomed Riga's move, but told local news agency TT the decision to extend the Swedish credit guarantee had nothing to do with the recent turbulence in Latvia.

Our Swedish banks have a sufficient capital base and liquidity to handle even very tough scenarios on the other side of the Baltic Sea," Odell was quoted as saying.

However, Danske Bank analyst Lars Christensen said the turbulence in Latvia "is bad news for everyone," including the Swedish banks.

"It is quite clear that the confidence that Dombrovksis can deliver what he says is very low," he said. "The question is if he has the necessary support within the coalition government."

Nordea, the Nordic region's biggest bank by market value, said on Friday Finnish insurer Sampo Oyj had become its biggest shareholder, overtaking the Swedish state.

At the end of September, Sampo owned 800 million shares in Nordea, or around 19.8% of the stock, data published on Nordea's website showed.

The Swedish state owns 799.2 million shares.

At the end of August, Sampo said it would seek approval to increase its stake above 20% in Nordea.

Sampo had a 19.45% stake in Nordea on Aug. 25, up from 18.5% two weeks earlier.

Sampo Chief Executive Kari Stadigh said in August the company would hike its holding in Nordea to 20% by year end, allowing it to consolidate the Nordic bank's results, but added Sampo did not see the stake rising past 25%.

Swedish telecom operator TeliaSonera AB said Thursday it has reached the 90% threshold required for a squeeze-out of remaining shareholders in Eesti Telekom (ETLAT.ET) since owners representing 29.31% of the shares in the company have accepted its recent cash offer.

TeliaSonera already owned 60.98% in Eesti Telekom.

The Stockholm-based company on Aug. 24 said it would make a cash offer worth around $468 million for the shares it didn't already own in the Estonian operator.

DENMARK

Copenhagen's OMX finished Friday at 332.40, a slight decline of 0.19% for the day's session.

Danish luxury electronics company Bang & Olufsen reported smaller-than-forecast losses for the first quarter of its 2009-10 financial year and stood by its guidance for a break-even result for the full year.

The stereo and television group reported a pretax loss of 53 million Danish crowns ($10.51 million) for the three months to end-August, against a loss of 62 million in the same quarter last year.

The result beat an average forecast of a loss of 69 million crowns in a Reuters survey of six analysts, whose estimates ranged from a loss of 81 million to a loss of 51 million crowns.

Bang & Olufsen shares jumped 5.6% to 66 crowns by 1014 GMT, outperforming a 0.5% gain in the Copenhagen bourse's bluechip index .

"Bang & Olufsen maintains the expectations that the 2009-10 financial year will result in a break-even result before tax based on a turnover level a little below the previously announced 3.2 billion crowns," Bang & Olufsen said in a statement.

First-quarter turnover dropped 25% year-on-year to 565 million crowns, hit by the global economic crisis, Bang & Olufsen said.

The company reduced capacity costs by 98 million crowns to to 278 million, it said.

Turnover in the automotive business grew to 49 million crowns from 44 million a year earlier.

2009 marks a turning point in the Danish economy when clean technologies like wind power have finally terminated the era of pork supremacy.

If asked, you might guess that butter cookies are the leading Danish export, but you would be wrong. The Danes are known for something even more tasty -- pork. Really, really good pork (to which I can attest) and for decades pork has led the charge in Danish GDP (after taxes).
 
But as of 2009, pork will no longer be the leading Danish export. This can be accounted for by two trends. First is an 18% drop in pork exports as more pigs are being sent to Germany where labor is cheaper in the meat industry. Denmark always closely followed the US as the leading pork exporter but now that honor goes to Germany.
 
Second is the rapid growth in the Danish cleantech sector. Almost mirroring the pork decline, clean tech posted 19% growth in 2008 totaling 64 billion DKK, double the number of energy exports just ten years prior.

The Danes use about the same amount of energy Friday as they did in 1980. But over that same period of time, the country's economy has grown by 70 per cent. A tighter focus shows that from 1990 to 2007, economic activity in Denmark grew by 45 per cent while carbon-dioxide emissions were reduced by more than 13 per cent.

Denmark has become synonymous with wind energy. It accounts for 20 per cent of the power generated in the country. Now, the Danes are selling the technology throughout the world and getting rich doing it. The biggest wind-turbine manufacturer in the world, the Danish giant Vestas, can't fill orders from China and India fast enough. Danish exports of energy technology stood at about $13-billion in 2007.

The Danish utility Dong Energy has entered into an agreement with Project Better Place of California to mass-produce electric cars. Work is under way to build recharging and battery-swapping infrastructure throughout the country to make the project feasible. Cars should start to arrive in a couple of years.

But then, who needs cars? Fifty-five per cent of people living in Copenhagen (population 550,000) ride their bikes to work every day. City officials have estimated that people cycle 1.2 million kilometres, seven days a week. That's 30 times around the world every day. No wonder you can't find a fat person anywhere.

Denmark is the most energy-efficient country in Europe. By 2020, 30 per cent of its energy supply will come from renewable sources. All household waste is incinerated to generate heat and power. In Canada, incineration still conjures up images of the technology that hasn't existed in decades.

Each year, the eco-devoted from around the world make pilgrimages to Samso Island, situated off the east coast of the Jutland mainland.

FINLAND

Helsinki's OMX completed the week on 6,346.47, up a full 0.5% for the day.

Finland's economy shrank 9.2% in July from a year earlier, the government statistics agency said, correcting figures it published earlier this week.

Statistics Finland said seasonally adjusted output fell by 0.3% in July from the month before and 9.2% from July 2008. On Wednesday, it said the economy had shrunk by 11.6% annually in July.

Based on Nokia's employee stock option plan, 7 500 shares of Nokia Corporation were subscribed for between September 1, 2009 and September 30, 2009. The total amount of subscription prices will be recorded in the fund for invested non-restricted equity.

The new shares carry full shareholder rights as from the registration date, October 6, 2009. The shares are admitted to public trading on the NASDAQ OMX Helsinki Ltd as of the registration date together with the old Nokia share class (NOK1V).

After the registration, the total number of shares is 3 744 956 052, including the shares held by the company.

Nokia was expected to a report clear improvement in sales when compared to the previous quarter, but third-quarter earnings per share were seen sliding to 0.09 Euro, according to a Reuters poll of 37 analysts.

Its network equipment unit was seen struggling the most, with analysts saying it was time for Nokia to announce further restructuring.

Nokia Siemens slashed annual costs by 2 billion Euros ($2.9 billion), cutting around 9,000 jobs, after its 2007 merger.

NORWAY

The OBX in Oslo ended trade Friday on 306.40, up 0.47% for the session.

One of the world's biggest sovereign wealth funds (SWF) on Thursday renewed its attack on Volkswagen's planned takeover of Porsche as costly and opaque and signalled a more activist approach to shareholdings in its $420 billion portfolio.

Anna Kvam, head of corporate governance at Norway's state fund, said on Thursday it was determined to improve the rights of minority shareholders and raise standards of corporate governance and sustainability in the firms it owns.

But analysts cautioned investors seeking to take on VW that it is a partially state-owned entity with strong unions which operates under laws which shield the company from unwanted pressures.

Volkswagen plans to acquire an initial 42% stake in the Porsche AG sports car unit by the end of this year for a price of 3.3 billion Euros ($4.88 billion), financed in part by issuing new preferred shares in the first six months of 2010. It would also buy other parts of Porsche's business over time.

Norway's police economic crimes unit will investigate transactions made in oil company DNO International's shares, including trades involving the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG).

DNO sold 44 million of its own shares last year to the KRG, which ended up in the hands of privately-held Turkish company Genel Energy, in the process of merging with Heritage Oil (HOIL.L) -- a London-listed oil company active in Kurdistan.

Norway's financial watchdog Kredittilsynet had asked the police to probe the transactions.

SPAIN

In Madrid the IBEX ended the Friday trading session at 11,743.20, a drop of 0.6% for the day.

Telefonica SA pledged Friday to increase shareholder returns with a €1.40 dividend next year, but lowered its forecast until 2012 amid falling revenue in mature European markets.

Europe's largest telecommunications company by market value also lowered its earnings per share target to €2.10 for 2010, down from previous guidance of €2.304.

In a filing to the Spanish market regulator ahead of its Investors Day Friday, Madrid-based Telefonica said its revenue comPound annual growth rate, or CAGR, until 2012 would increase 1% to 4%. In its last Investor Day two years ago Telefonica had set out a revenue CAGR of between 5% to 8% for the period 2006 to 2010.

The company said it would pay a €1.40 dividend for 2010, up 21.7% from €1.15 last time, and that its 2012 dividend would be at least €1.75 a share.

Analysts were upbeat on Telefonica's forecasts. Banesto, in a research note, described the dividend guidance as a "positive surprise," adding that shares would likely react well, at least in the short term.

Telefonica said in a separate presentation that it would use any additional cashflow for a future share buyback, but didn't provide further details.

In the past, Telefonica has used aggressive buybacks to reward shareholders. The company said it targets a free cash flow in excess of €40 billion between 2009 and 2012.

Telefonica also said it would be selective with mergers and acquisitions, limiting this to consolidation in markets where it already operates and to spectrum auctions. The company reiterated that it wants to increase its stake in China Unicom to 10% from the 8.4% it has now, giving it a stronger foothold in the world's largest telephony market.

Spanish wind turbine maker Gamesa said on Thursday it had named banker Jorge Calvet Spinatsch chairman of the company following the resignation of Guillermo Ulacia Arnai.

Calvet, who joined Gamesa's board of directors in 2005, has worked primarily in the financial banking sector, holding posts such as Managing Director and Country Head of UBS in Spain and Chairman of Fortis Bank for Spain and Portugal.

Ulacia, who had served as chairman of the wind turbine maker since 2005, resigned for personal reasons, the company said in a statement.

PORTUGAL

Lisbon's PSI General Index finished the week on 2,977.27, up 0.18%.

Portugal is now officially out of a recession, reports this week have indicated.

Portugal's economy is likely to shrink less in 2009 than the 3.5% the central bank had predicted earlier and may grow slightly next year, Bank of Portugal Governor Vitor Constancio said on Tuesday.

'At the moment, the prospects point to a lower recession this year (than 3.5% previously estimated) and a gentle growth in 2010,' Constancio told a meeting of Portuguese-speaking African central bankers in Lisbon. The central bank had expected a GDP drop of 0.6% in 2010.

'The performance of the Portuguese economy is likely to be a little better than that expected for the Euro zone,' he said.

ITALY

Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index rose for a second day, adding 106.88, or 0.5%, to 23,770.56 in Milan. The gauge gained 4.9% this week.

Banco Popolare rose 29 cents, or 4.3%, to 7.04 Euros after gaining 4.2% Thursday. Cheuvreux, which cited a meeting with management, said in a note that the bank "is exploring and actively pursuing several capital management options." The brokerage said "Factorit seems to us the most viable option in the near term."

Bulgari rose 32 cents, or 5.9%, to 5.79 Euros, a fifth straight gain. The company's chief executive officer said in an interview that sales improved in the second part of the year, led by gains in Asia and higher demand for handbags. Equita Sim SpA, which has a "hold" on the stock, said in a note there's "room for an upward revision of consensus estimates, which should underpin the stock." Banca Akros increased its price estimate to 6.5 Euros from 4.8 Euros and reiterated an "accumulate" rating.

Davide Campari-Milano rose for a fourth day this week, adding 7.5 cents, or 1.2%, to 6.39 Euros. The Italian distiller known for its bittersweet red aperitif sold 350 million Euros ($515 million) of seven-year bonds. Conditions of the deal were "good," Cheuvreux said in a note. The brokerage kept the stock on its "selected list."

Fiat added 52 cents, or 5.3%, to 10.33 Euros, the highest in more than a year. UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking expects "that the announcement of third- quarter results, due on Oct. 21, and the presentation of Chrysler Group LLC's new industrial plan on Nov. 4, could generate additional news flow able to support the stock's price performance in the short-medium term."

Exor, Fiat's main shareholder, added 36 cents, or 2.7%, to 13.86 Euros.

Intesa Sanpaolo rose 3.5 cents, or 1.2%, to 3.09 Euros, a second day of gains. BNP Paribas may be interested in buying the lender's asset management unit Eurizon Capital SGR, daily MF reported, without saying where it got the information.

The two banks aren't negotiating a transaction yet, the newspaper said.

Maire Tecnimont rose 10.75 cents, or 3.4%, to 3.3 Euros, snapping a two-day decline. The Italian engineering and services company had its price estimate increased to 4.23 Euros from 3.55 Euros at Banca Imi. The brokerage, which cited "2010 earnings visibility from backlog," reiterated a "buy" rating.

Piaggio & C. rose for the first time in three days, adding 3.9 cents, or 2.6%, to 1.56 Euros. Banca Imi upgraded Europe's largest motor-scooter maker to "buy" from "hold." The brokerage cited a "better outlook."

Snai climbed 13% to 3.57 Euros. Weekly magazine Il Mondo reported that private equity fund Carlyle is ready to bid for the company. Equita Sim SpA reiterated a "buy" recommendation on the stock, noting that current prices do not discount any "speculative appeal."

Snai and Snai Servizi, which controls Italy's biggest racetrack manager, said in a statement in response to a request from Italian regulator Consob that there are no talks regarding a potential sale of the controlling stake or the entrance of another shareholder.

Tenaris advanced 49 cents, or 4%, to 12.76 Euros, the highest in a more than a year. The world's biggest maker of seamless steel tubes for pipelines was rated "buy" at UBS AG, which started coverage of the stock with a price estimate of $21. The brokerage also set a price estimate of $42 for the ADR.

GREECE

In Athens the Athens Composite ended the week at 2,753.23, gains of 0.53% for the session.

Credit Agricole SA's Greek unit Emporiki Bank said Wednesday that its French parent plans to inject Eur1 billion worth of Tier 1 capital into it as part of a restructuring plan intended to return it to profit by the end of 2011.

Since acquiring a majority stake in Emporiki several years ago, Agricole has been striving to turn the Greek bank around. Earlier this year, Emporiki raised Eur850 million through a capital increase and issued Eur250 million in Tier 1 bonds that were fully subscribed by its French parent.

Agricole had owned 8.93% of Emporiki and was in partnership with the bank from 2000. In 2006, it launched a bid for the remaining stake that valued the bank at Eur3.3 billion. It now owns over 82% of it.

Agricole's Chief Financial Officer Bertrand Badre said the French bank had made mistakes with Emporiki but was finally getting around to sorting it out. "We have paid a high price for Emporiki," he told Analysts at a presentation in Paris.

He said Agricole had considered a range of options for the Greek bank - including selling it or merging it with a competitor - before deciding to restructure it.

In a separate statement Wednesday, Agricole said it remained committed to Emporiki and that it will take a Eur500 million impairment charge against its stake in the bank in its third-quarter accounts.

The restructuring plan through 2013 aims to cut costs by improving risk management, loan recovery and streamlining staff. It will also optimize the bank's real-estate assets through sale and leaseback operations, renegotiating branch leases and moving its headquarters out of Athens. The measures should reduce its cost-income ratio to 70% in 2011 and 50% in 2013, the bank said.

Emporiki said the capital injection will cover its needs through 2011 and that it aims to have a Tier 1 ratio of 8%. It didn't say what the level is currently.

Both banks declined to comment on what form the capital injection would take.

Foreign investors pumped a net 722 million Euros ($1.06 billion) into Greece's equities market in September, Athens bourse (EXCr.AT: Quote, Profile, Research) data showed on Wednesday.

Foreign portfolios owned 49.8% of the Greek market's free-float in September, up from 48.4% in August, but down from 51.1% in September 2008.

In contrast, domestic investors were net sellers, with outflows reaching 637 million Euros.

For the whole of 2008, foreign investors were net sellers, with outflows of 3.6 billion Euros.

The average daily trading value in September rose to 251 million Euros from 199 million in August. It was down from the same month a year earlier when the bourse traded 280 million Euros daily.

Foreign investors accounted for 51% of transactions in September, compared with 60.5% in the same month in 2008.

Month-on-month, the Greek equity market's total capitalisation rose 7.24% in September to 98.8 billion Euros, about 39.5% of the country's gross domestic product (GDP). Compared with September 2008, the market's value was down 7.4%.

The market capitalisation of the bourse's blue-chip FTSE-ASE 20-share index, which attracts most of the foreign interest, rose 8.3% month-on-month to 70.7 billion Euros.
The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsUnilever was among the risers on Friday as the FTSE 100 crept to its biggest weekly gain since July.

Shares in Unilever rose 2.7 per cent to £18.16 after industry data showed sales of product lines such as ice-cream and deodorant accelerating since July.

Cadbury looked to be faring worse, the broker said. It thought Cadbury's UK sales had been sharply below company targets since July. The company has cranked up its promotions after last month's bid from Kraft, so a sales miss looks unlikely, JPMorgan added.

Cadbury closed flat at 785p, with the stock inching off lows after US value investor Franklin Resources said it had raised its stake to 7.6 per cent.

Oil stocks helped underpin the FTSE 100, which added 7.23 points at 5,161.87 after a quiet day's trading. The index rose 3.5 per cent on the week, thanks largely to the falling US Dollar.

Whitbread added 1.6 per cent to £12.69 ahead of results on Tuesday, with Morgan Stanley, UBS and Deutsche Bank all advising clients to buy before the release.

An upgrade this week from BarCap also helped.

InterContinental Hotels, up 1.5 per cent to 823½p, mirrored a rally in US peer Marriott International overnight, which beat forecasts but provided a relatively downbeat view of 2010. Credit Suisse said the positive industry trends were more significant than the murky outlook.

BT Group was up 0.7 per cent to 135¾p after announcing it would accelerate the roll-out of its fibre network at no extra cost.

The group said it would connect directly to 2.5m homes by 2012, against a 1m target previously.

UBS said the move provided a significant sales boost, as fibre wholesale tariffs are unregulated and allow service bundling. Moreover, the threat of extra spending from fibre was an investor concern, it said.

Competition worries in the US and India continued to dog Vodafone, down 1.6 per cent to 132½p. The stock has also been hit by renewed speculation about how it could resolve an uneasy relationship with US joint venture partner Verizon Communications.

BAE Systems slipped 1.5 per cent to 319¼p on concerns that a trading update next week could unnerve investors. BAE's appointment this week of Paul Anderson, former BHP Billiton executive, also spurred talk of a major acquisition.

Autonomy was down 2.3 per cent to £15.66 on profit taking after a trading statement on Thursday that was as strong as predicted.

Piper Jaffary, which cut Autonomy to "neutral," worried that deals might have been pulled forward to help beat forecasts and argued that hopes of a bid from Microsoft looked unlikely both on strategy and price.

Among the mid-caps, DSG International rose 1 per cent to 27p after SocGen added the retailer to its "buy" list, encouraged by the fact that most of DSG's management was taking up a share scheme that swapped basic salary for three-year options priced at 28.4p apiece.

Condom maker SSL International, the subject of takeover theories, added 1.2 per cent to 638½p after a push from Nomura.

"The market continues to underestimate the Chinese opportunity, medium-term prospects in Russia and increased take-out probability," said Nomura, which added that SSL could be worth 900p to a predator.

ITV edged higher by 0.2 per cent to 43¼p following a retread of rumours that RTL, the Channel 5 owner, might make a bid.

Stobart Group, the haulage firm, rose 6.4 per cent to 116¾p after KBC Peel Hunt cleared a line of 5m shares to one institution.

Earthport, the international payment services company, fell 3.8 per cent to 37¾p after revealing that it had yet to receive a £2m debt due from a partner in the Middle East and, as a result, profits for the financial year just ended would be substantially below expectations.

Attention turns to Earthport's strategic review, the result of which will be announced next week. Traders say a bid for the company is unlikely to emerge.

JJB Sports dipped 5.1 per cent to 32¾p as the sportswear retailer confirmed plans to raise £100m via an equity share placing.

Songbird Estates, the majority owner of Canary Wharf, dropped 24 per cent to 1.43p as the rump of its recent share issue - some 7.6bn shares - were placed with new investors at 1.32p. This was in line with Songbird's pro forma net asset value, but traders had expected a higher price.

IndigoVision, which provides internet-based digital camera security systems, fell 2.6 per cent to 652½p after Barry Keepence, its chief technical officer, declared the sale of 5,000 shares at 640p each.

Telecommunications group Vyke Communications rose 29.4 per cent to 16½p after striking a distribution deal with Steen Group for Latin America.

Iofina, the iodine exploration and production group, edged 0.9 per cent lower at 85½p in spite of rumours about a big contract win.

Translation specialist RWS fell 7.1 per cent to 307½p after warning its full-year profit would be "modestly" below expectations as lower deposit rates hit interest income.
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN

Japanese stocks gained for a fourth day as rising prices of oil and metals boosted commodities producers. Nintendo Co. and Yahoo Japan Corp. advanced after brokerages boosted their investment ratings on the shares.
Dowa Holdings Co., Japan's second-largest zinc smelter, added 4.7% after the Nikkei newspaper said the company had a profit instead of the loss it forecast. Nintendo rose 6.8% as Citigroup Inc. recommended buying the maker of game consoles, and Yahoo Japan climbed 7.6% following an "overweight" rating from Morgan Stanley.

The Nikkei 225 Stock Average added 1.9% to 10,016.39 at the close in Tokyo, the highest finish this month. The broader Topix index gained 1.2% to 897.83 Friday, bringing the weekly gain to 2.7%, the most since July.

Japan's market will be closed on Oct. 12 for a holiday.

Shares got a boost as the Dollar strengthened after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the central bank will be prepared to tighten monetary policy when the outlook for the economy "has improved sufficiently." Each Dollar bought as much as 89.31 yen Friday, from 88.15 Thursday.

A measure of six metals traded on the London Metal Exchange, including copper and zinc, added 4.2% Thursday, the steepest gain since Aug. 3, and oil surged 3.1% to $71.69 in New York. Gold prices climbed to a record for a third day.

Dowa increased 4.7% to 580 yen. The company will likely post a pretax profit of 4 billion yen ($45 million) for the six months to Sept. 30, even as it projects a 2 billion yen loss, the Nikkei reported.

Mitsubishi Corp., which generates more than half of its profit from commodities dealing, gained 1.1% to 1,909 yen. Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Japan's biggest gold producer, rose 2.2% to 1,564 yen, its highest price in two weeks.

Nintendo, Japan's second-largest video-game maker, surged 6.8% to 23,820 yen in Osaka, the steepest gain since Nov. 27. Citigroup's Soichiro Fukuda boosted the shares to "buy" from "hold" on the view that earnings will hit bottom next year and the company's high level of net cash limits the risk of owning the stock.

Yahoo Japan soared 7.6% to 29,870 yen, its steepest advance since June 12 and the third-biggest gain in the Nikkei 225. The market for online advertising may be nearing a bottom, Naoshi Nema, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, said in a report.

The Topix has climbed 4.5% this year, trailing gains by benchmark indexes in the U.S., Europe and the rest of Asia. Shares in the Japanese gauge are valued at 38 times estimated earnings, compared with an average of 27 times over the last five years.

Japan Tobacco Inc., the world's third-biggest maker of cigarettes, led declines by so-called defensive shares, which investors sold as they shifted into stocks more likely to benefit from an economic recovery.

Japan Tobacco slid 2.8% to 271,400 yen. Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp., Japan's former telephone monopoly, dropped 0.8% to 3,860 yen, the lowest since Aug. 3. East Japan Railway Co., the country's biggest railway operator, lost 1.3%. They were the three heaviest drags on the Topix.

Promise Co. soared 13% to 690 yen. The consumer lender named Vice President Ken Kubo as its next president to replace Hiroki Jinnai, who will become chairman. The executive changes will take place Nov. 1, the Tokyo-based consumer lender said in a release. The Nikkei newspaper reported the move is intended to strengthen ties with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc., Japan's second-largest bank by market value.

Takefuji Corp., a rival, gained 9.1%, while Acom Co. added 4.3%.

SOUTH KOREA

Foreign investors led the KOSPI's gains, buying a net 407 billion Won ($348.9 million) worth of shares on the main board. Institutions sold a net 87.7 billion Won worth of shares and retail investors dumped a net 330.5 billion Won.

Advancers led decliners 538 to 261, with 81 counters ending unchanged.

Trading volume stood at 431 million shares worth 5.9 trillion Won, up from Thursday's 369 million shares worth 6.5 trillion Won.

The KOSPI 200 December futures index rose 4.1 points to 216.6, while the KOSPI 200 spot index ended up 4.56 points at 215.57.

The junior Kosdaq market gained 1.88% to 506.29 points.

Construction issues rallied as appetite for builders strengthened amid expectations that a rate rise may not take place in the immediate future, lessening the burden of mortgage loans held by house buyers and builders' debts with banks.

Hyundai Engineering & Construction rose 4.59% and Samsung Engineering Co gained 5.77%.

Key technology issues led gains, with Samsung Electronics , the world's No.1 memory chipmaker, rising 3.75% and Hynix Semiconductor up 1.81%.

LG Telecom, the country's smallest mobile carrier, finished up

0.44% at 9,100 Won after the previous day's announcement that it was considering absorbing its affiliated fixed-line phone and Internet operators.

No. 2 mobile carrier KT, however, fell 1% to 39,800 Won.

HONG KONG

Hong Kong stocks closed flat on Friday, after a four-day, 5.5% gain, as some investors took profit on shares that posted sharp gains in recent sessions, including HSBC.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index .HSI inched up 6.54 points to 21,499.44, the highest since Sept. 23.

The China Enterprises Index of top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks rose 0.32% to 12,496.06. Index heavyweight HSBC fell 0.34%, snapping a three-day 3.9% rise.

Wynn Macau Ltd. rose 6.9% on its first day of trading in Hong Kong, underscoring demand for Macau casino stocks as Sheldon Adelson'sLas Vegas Sands Corp. prepares to raise at least $2 billion.

Wynn Macau, which raised $1.63 billion in Hong Kong's second-largest initial public offering this year, closed at HK$10.78 Friday from the offer price of HK$10.08. The stock earlier gained as much as 13%.

Wynn's debut may help restore investor confidence after five companies in a row declined on their first trading days between Sept. 24 and Oct. 2. Before Friday, 24 of the 34 companies that went public in Hong Kong rose in subsequent trading, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Thursday, three companies that started trading on Hong Kong's main board -- including Yingde Gases Group Co. and Ausnutria Dairy Corp. -- rose.

Hong Kong, which has served as an equity fundraising hub for mainland companies, has seen a recovery in investor appetite for IPO shares this year, attracting foreign sellers. United Co. Rusal, the world's largest aluminum producer, applied this month to become the first Russian company traded in the city.

The recent flops spooked some prospective sellers: Chinese developer Powerlong Real Estate Holdings cut the price of its IPO by as much as 44%. Wilmar China Ltd., the Chinese unit of the world's biggest palm oil trader, delayed taking orders for a sale that may raise as much as $2.5 billion, said a person with knowledge of the matter.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. fell 12% on its first day of trading in Hong Kong on Sept. 24. The builder raised HK$18.2 billion in the city's biggest initial public offering in 18 months.

CHINA

China's stocks jumped, driving the benchmark index to its biggest gain in five weeks, as the nation's markets opened after an eight-day holiday amid evidence the global economy is recovering.

Jiangxi Copper Co. and Zijin Mining Group Co., the country's biggest producers of copper and gold, both gained by the 10% daily limit after metal prices rose. China Cosco Holdings Co., the world's largest operator of dry-bulk ships, jumped the maximum 10% on higher freight rates.

The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 132.29, or 4.8%, to 2,911.72 at the close, the most since Sept. 3. The CSI 300 Index added 5.3% to 3,163.71. An index of Hong Kong- listed Chinese shares gained 5% during China's holiday period as a report showed U.S. service industries expanded and signs of growth prompted Australia to raise interest rates.

The Shanghai index fell 6.1% in the third quarter, the worst performer among the largest emerging markets, on concern a lending slowdown will derail the economy. Equities in the benchmark gauge trade at 32.2 times its companies' reported profit, down from this year's peak of 39.

Jiangxi Copper advanced 10% to 37.59 yuan. Zijin Mining jumped 10% to 9.34 yuan. Zhongjin Gold Corp., the country's second-largest by market value, surged 10% to 59.68 yuan. Copper has gained 2.8% this month, gold advanced 4.7% and crude climbed 1.5%.

PetroChina Co., the country's biggest oil company, added 3.7% to 13.17 yuan. China Shenhua Energy Co., the nation's largest coal producer, rose 8.3% to 32.89 yuan. China Coal Energy Co., the No. 2, advanced 8.4% to 12.36 yuan.

China Cosco rose 10% to 13.26 yuan. China Shipping Development Co., a unit of China's No. 2 sea-cargo group, advanced 10% to 12.30 yuan. The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for commodities, rose 4% Thursday, bringing this month's advance to 19%.

The Shanghai index has climbed 60% this year as the country's gross domestic product rebounded from the slowest growth in almost a decade, boosted by a $586 billion government stimulus package and record new loans of $1.1 trillion.

China's banking regulator said it's too soon for the government to start winding down stimulus efforts even as growth in the world's third-largest economy accelerates to more than 8%.

Auto stocks gained after both General Motors Corp. and Mazda Motor Corp. said they sold record numbers of cars in China last month.

SAIC Motor Corp., the country's largest carmaker and which has a venture with GM, added 3.3% to 20.41 yuan. Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., the Chinese partner of Ford Motor Co. and Mazda, rose 4.7% to 10.64 yuan.

Cosmos Group Co., a property developer, rose 6.5% to 9.36 yuan after saying net income for the first nine months of this year may rise as much as 60% a year earlier.

Lianhe Chemical Technology Co. rose 10% to 24.75 yuan after saying net income for the same period may climb as much as 70%.

TAIWAN

Taiwan's share prices opened high and maintained their momentum at the end of trading Friday, with the weighted index, the market's key barometer, gaining 68.65 points, or 0.91%, to close at 7,571.96.

The local bourse opened at 7,572.79 and fluctuated between 7,597.79 and 7,506.77 during the day's trading session.

A total of 4.74 billion shares changed hands on market turnover of NT$131.49 billion (US$4.08 billion).

All eight major stock categories gained ground, with paper and pulp issues moving up the most at 2.82%. Textile stocks rose 2.26%, banking and financial shares were up 2.02%, plastics and chemicals shares gained 1.5%, cement stocks added 1.45%, foodstuff issues advanced 1.25%, construction issues rose 1.04%, and machinery and electronics shares were up 0.5%.

Gainers outnumbered losers 1,341 to 1,213, with 235 stocks remaining unchanged.

Foreign institutional investors were net buyers of NT$1.82 billion worth of shares for the day.

THE PHILIPPINES

Philippine share prices closed 0.85% lower Friday with investor sentiment dampened by the potential economic fallout from widespread flooding caused by two tropical storms, dealers said.

The composite index shed 25.24 points to 2,942.78, while the all shares index lost 7.51 points or 0.40% to 1,850.76.

Turnover reached 1.66 billion shares worth P3.24 billion ($69.60 million) with 58 issues up, 43 down and 68 others unchanged.

The Peso traded at 46.538 to the Dollar in the morning.

Tropical storm Parma (local codename: Pepeng) dumped heavy rain across the north of the main island of Luzon in the past few days, causing landslides and floods that claimed more than 90 lives according to initial official tallies.

Last month tropical storm Ketsana slammed into the Philippines, killing almost 300 people and causing the worst floods in 40 years.

Top conglomerate Ayala Corp. fell 2.36% to P310 while flagship unit Ayala Land plunged 4.0% to P12.

Metro Pacific Investments was off 2.67% to P3.65 while Philippine Long Distance Telephone shed 1.14% to P2,600.

SINGAPORE

Singapore shares closed flat Friday ahead of third quarter economic data due out next week, dealers said. The blue-chip Straits Times Index gained 1.56 points, or 0.06%, to 2,652.51.

Volume totalled 1.88 billion shares worth 1.43 billion Singapore Dollars (1.03 billion US), and there were 250 rising issues, 214 losers while 780 issues were flat.

The government is due to release its preliminary estimates of economic data for the third quarter and analysts expect gross domestic product (GDP) to rise 0.5% from a year ago.

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP is seen expanding 14.8%, according to analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires.

For the blue-chips, Singapore Airlines put on 34 cents to 13.74 Dollars and Singapore Telecommunications was four cents higher at 3.08.

Property developer CapitaLand gained one cent to 3.95 Dollars while shipping firm Neptune Orient Lines fell one cent to 1.71 Dollars.

Singapore's economy probably expanded for a second consecutive quarter as the global recession eased, adding to evidence of a regional recovery that has prompted policy makers to consider ending stimulus measures.

Gross domestic product rose an annualized 14.5% last quarter from the previous three months, after climbing 20.7% between April and June, according to the median estimate of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The trade ministry will release the data at 8 a.m. on Oct. 12.

Singapore's benchmark stock index has surged 51% this year and property prices have climbed as the nation emerges from its worst recession since independence in 1965. The central bank is forecast by economists to delay any change in its currency policy until April, while the government is due to say next week if it will keep paying companies to retain workers.

The Singapore government predicts the economy will shrink 4% to 6% in 2009. Economists at UBS, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and DBS Group Holdings Ltd. are more optimistic, with estimates that exceed the government's expectations. UBS forecasts a 1.5% decline this year, while Goldman Sachs expects a contraction of 1.8%.

Singapore's $182 billion economy expanded 0.5% in the three months ended September from a year earlier, growing for the first time in a year, according to a Bloomberg survey of 16 economists.

Industrial output climbed in the first two months of last quarter, and the island's exports fell the least in almost a year in August, helped by gains in pharmaceutical shipments. Manufacturing accounts for about a quarter of the Southeast Asian nation's economy.

The island's private residential property prices rose last quarter for the first time in more than a year. The government said last month it would introduce new measures to prevent excessive price swings in the property market following signs that speculative home buying may be on the rise.

The central bank isn't likely to be in a hurry to change its currency stance in its twice-yearly policy review to be released Oct. 12, a Bloomberg survey of 12 economists showed.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore in April adjusted the trading range for the island's Dollar against an undisclosed trade-weighted basket of currencies, a move that economists say was a de facto devaluation of the currency. It may next shift the policy stance in April, analysts say.

THAILAND

Foreign investors were net buyers of THB2.39 billion of Thai stocks Friday out of a total THB30.34 billion traded, the Stock Exchange of Thailand said.

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) composite index went up 4.43 points or 0.60% to close at 748.46 points at the end of trading session on Friday morning. The trade value was 15.95 billion baht.

The SET50 index ended at 535.09 points, up 3.58 points or 0.67%, with a total trade value of 10.86 billion baht. The SET100 index rose 7.74 points or 0.68% to stand at 1,153.05 points, with a total turnover of 13.76 billion baht. The MAI index went up 0.11 points or 0.05% to close at 206.36 points, with total transaction value of 608.01 million baht.

Top five most active values were as follows;

PTTEP closed at   152.00 baht, up 4.50 baht (3.05%)
PTT closed at   269.00 baht, up 2.00 baht (0.75%)
TTA closed at     31.25 baht, unchanged
PTTAR closed at   25.50 baht, down 0.25 baht (0.97%)
KBANK closed at     90.50 baht, up 1.50 baht (1.69%)

MALAYSIA

Share prices on Bursa Malaysia ended Fridays's session mixed for two straight days amid bullish sentiment buoyed by Wall Street's strong overnight close, dealers said.

The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) ended 3.73 points higher at 1,233.82, making it the highest closing point so far this year.

The benchmark index, which opened 0.04 of a point lower at 1,218.57 this morning, touched an intra-day high of 1,236.89 during the trading session. It had ended 0.942 per cent higher Thursday at a new high of 1,230.09.

According to the dealers, some funds experienced a slowdown in momentum due to the stronger US Dollar against most Asian currencies in late afternoon on Friday.

Foreign funds were believed to have helped push the local bourse to the new high as a weaker US Dollar earlier shifted overseas funds to Asia.

On a technical view, the dealers noted that the FBM KLCI was well above the immediate resistance level of 1,231.50.

"Any boost would easily cause it to test a new level of 1,242.0," said one of the dealers.

At closing, the FBM Emas Index advanced 22.50 points to 8,279.43, the FBM Top 100 increased 23.10 points to 8,070.70, the FBM 70 added 18.00 points to 8,095.93 and the FBM ACE Index added 20.12 points to 4,125.19.

The Finance Index went up 57.04 points to 10,332.19 and the Plantation Index gained 21.35 points to 5,971.19 but the Industrial Index was flat at 2,654.83.

Advancers led decliners 344 to 299 with 261 counters unchanged and 390 untraded.

Turnover declined to 712.749 million shares worth RM1.211 billion from 812.326 million shares valued at RM1.338 billion Thursday.

KNM Group was the most actively traded stock, adding half sen to be at 80.5 sen with 43.840 million shares changing hands.

It was followed by Time Engineering which rose 15 sen to 34 sen and Green Packet-Warrants which added 1.5 sen to 37 sen.

Other actively traded stocks included Genting which fell four sen to RM2.73 and Multi Sports which gained three sen to 53.5 sen.

Among the heavyweights, Sime Darby rose two sen to RM8.60, Maybank dropped three sen to RM6.74, CIMB Group increased 10 sen to RM12.22 and Tenaga Nasional and IOI Corp went up one sen each to RM8.22 and RM5.28 respectively.

The Main Market turnover decreased to 631.736 million shares worth RM1.189 billion from 740.341 million shares valued at RM1.320 billion Thursday.

The ACE Market volume rose to 43.034 million shares valued at RM10.302 million from 36.540 million shares worth RM8.451 million previously.

Volume of warrants went up to 34.672 million shares worth RM9.398 million from 32.508 million shares valued at RM7.803 million Thursday.

INDONESIA

Indonesian shares closed lower on Friday amidst strengthening regional bourses.

The market index closed 10.117 points (0.41%) lower to 2, 474.401 with a transaction volume of 3.071 billion shares worth 3. 910 trillion rupiah (about 391 million U.S. Dollars).

Losers led gainers 89 to 71 while 94 were unchanged.

PT Bumi Resources, Indonesia's biggest coal company, plans to acquire mines in the country and may include China Investment Corp. as a partner after borrowing $1.9 billion from the sovereign wealth fund last month.

Bumi shares jumped 6.4% to close at 2,900 rupiah, the biggest one-day gain since 3 September.

INDIA

Indian shares fell 1.2% onFriday, taking losses for the week to almost 3%, as investors cut exposure to financial issues that had run up sharply over the past month.

Outsourcer Infosys Technologies initially rose after it posted a 7.5% rise in quarterly profit and said full-year earnings would drop less than expected, but concerns about a stronger rupee and the weak sentiment pulled it down.

Traders said share valuations were stretched and there was little upside seen in the near term unless more quarterly results indicate a pick up in the coming months.

The 30-share BSE index closed down 1.2%,  200.88 points, at 16,642.66 , after rising 0.7% in the early trading.

The benchmark lost 2.9% on the week but is up over 72% so far this year, boosted largely foreign buying of $12.8 billion since the beginning of January.

Leading mobile operator Bharti Airtel pulled back  2.5% to 343.15 rupees and rival Reliance Communications gained 1.2% to 249.35 rupees, after slumping more than 20% over the previous four sessions on profitability concerns.

Infosys ended down 1.5% at 2,178.35 rupees after rising 3.7% early as the improved outlook failed to impress investors, suggesting the road to recovery for India's showpiece software services companies will be long and bumpy.

Top lender State Bank of India and rival ICICI Bank dropped 2.3% each, to 2,066 rupees and 901.35 rupees respectively as investors took profits.

The bank index, which had jumped 17% since the start of September, shed 1.6%.

Tata Motors shares have risen about 250% so far this year, though they have fallen 5.5% this week. On Thursday the stock rose 5.4%. Its ADRs have risen 188% this year.

In the broader market, losers outpaced gainers in the ratio of 1.8:1, in a relatively moderate volume of 474 million shares. The 50-share NSE index closed 1.14% lower at 4,945.20.

The market will be shut for trade on Tuesday for local elections in the western state of Maharashtra, of which Mumbai is the capital.

AUSTRALIA

The Australian sharemarket closed slightly lower Friday as investors took profits amid nervousness about the strength of companies reporting financial results in the United States.

The benchmark S&P/ASX200 index fell 15.7 points, or 0.33 per cent, to 4,752.9, and the broader All Ordinaries index dropped 8.8 points, or 0.18 per cent, to 4,754.5.

On the Sydney Futures Exchange, the December share price index futures contract reversed 23 points to 4749, on a volume of 27,232 contracts.

Stocks that did well on Friday included importers who were benefiting from the higher Australian Dollar.

Stocks performing poorly were those highly leveraged to earnings in the US.

In the resources sector, global miner BHP Billiton fell 31 cents to $37.85, and Rio Tinto rose 20 cents to $61.50.

Junior iron ore explorer United Minerals was suspended from trading, amid speculation BHP Billiton Ltd may be set to seek control of the company. United last traded at 91 cents.

Polaris Metals hovered at 62 cents after the company's board was unable to decide which of two takeover bids for the iron ore explorer was superior.

Nickel producer Minara Resources was up 5.5 cents at $1.00 after it said it was cautious about the prices of the commodity.

In the gold sector, Lihir dipped four cents to $3.13, Newmont backtracked seven cents to $5.18, and Newcrest strengthened 56 cents to $35.72.

The price of gold in Sydney was $US1047.82 per fine ounce, down $US5.75 on Thursday's close of $US1053.57.

Among the major banks, National Australia Bank added 25 cents to $31.60, Westpac surrendered 18 cents to $26.12, ANZ ejected 12 cents to $24.62, and Commonwealth Bank was up 19 cents at $53.16.

Elsewhere in the financial services sector, Australia's biggest annuities provider, Challenger Financial Services Group, firmed 15 cents at $3.58 after the company said it had put in place the structure and had the money to grow existing businesses and buy new ones in the economic recovery.

Telco Telstra was seven cents lower at $3.16 after it said the federal government's "unnecessary" proposed regulatory changes would destroy shareholder value. Telstra is urging significant amendments.

Among media stocks, News Corp nudged up one cent to $15.52, while its non-voting stock added one cent to $13.39.

Consolidated Media improved five cents to $3.05, and Fairfax found three cents at $1.715.

Retailer Woolworths lost 38 cents to $28.85, and Wesfarmers, which owns Coles, was off 10 cents at $26.30.

Among other stocks, product marketing business GUD Holdings was down 14 cents at $8.48 after it made a takeover offer for Breville Group to create a major Australasian small appliances business.

Property developer Lend Lease Corp slipped three cents to $10.51 after it and its joint-venture partner completed the sale of London's O2 arena.

The top-traded stock by volume was microdot technology firm DataDot Technology, with 160.78 million shares worth $11.36 million changing hands. DataDot was 3.1 cents higher at 8.2 cents.

National turnover was 2.9 billion shares worth $6.39 billion, with 629 stocks up, 474 down and 348 unchanged.

NEW ZEALAND

The benchmark NZSX-50 index closed down 5.684 points, or 0.179 per cent, at 3163.254. Turnover was worth $107.26 million. There were 43 rises and 32 falls among the 110 stocks traded.

The market was struggling to push on when leaders were weak but some second line stock posted respectable gains.

Telecom shares fell 2c to 257 and Fletcher Building fell 13c to 817.

Hellaby fell 5c to 165, Infratil, which owns the strike-affected NZ Bus, fell 3c to 164. Michael Hill fell 1c to 71, Contact fell 7c to 591 and GPG fell 1c to 87.

Freightways rose 10c to 310, Goodman Fielder rose 7c to 210, NZOG rose 3c to 176 and SkyTV rose 8c to 478. Mainfreight rose 9c to 541. Ryman rose 2c to 186 and AirNZ rose 1c to 133. NZX rose 5c to 820 and SkyCity rose 1c to 324.

TrustPower rose 5c to 748 and The Warehouse rose 3c to 443.

Westpac rose 1c to 31.81 on top of a 110c gain Thursday even though it lost a court case against the Inland Revenue Department, involving $961m in back taxes.

Scottech rose 2c to 101 after reporting a small profit and Smartpay rose 0.6 to 3.5 after announcing the purchase of a supplier.

Pyne Gould shares fell 1c to 41 and the rights, which are still trading in big volume, fell 0.1c to 0.4c.
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesGold prices extended their record run, trading above $1,060 a troy ounce on Thursday, while oil and other commodities also surged on the back of US Dollar weakness.

Alcoa, the US-based aluminium producer, started the third-quarter earnings season with an unexpected profit, boosting metals prices as investors took the results as a sign of higher demand for commodities.

The Dollar weakened to $1.4817 against the Euro and plunged to its lowest level in 14 months against a basket of major currencies.

A weaker Dollar supports oil and other commodities because it makes raw materials priced in the US currency cheaper for those holding alternative currencies. In addition, it boosts the price of gold as investors use the metal as a hedge against the Dollar.

Spot gold prices surged to a fresh all-time high of $1,061.2 an ounce, up 1.7 per cent from Wednesday's last quote in New York. Gold prices have rallied almost 6 per cent this week.

Silver prices rose to a 15-month high above $17.92 an ounce, up 2.1 per cent.

Platinum rose 0.9 per cent to $1,338 per ounce while palladium surged 2.2 per cent to $319 per ounce.

In the energy market, oil prices surged above $70 a barrel. Nymex November West Texas Intermediate oil rose $2.12 to $71.69 a barrel while ICE November Brent crude moved $2.57 higher to $69.77 per barrel.

Nymex November natural gas prices consolidated near the $5 per million British thermal unit level, while gasoline and heating oil also posted gains.

Base metals rose sharply, supported by Alcoa's return to profitability. In late trading on the London Metal Exchange, aluminium rose 4.2 per cent to $1,912 a tonne. Copper surged 4.1 per cent to $6.340 a tonne. Zinc jumped 7.2 per cent to $2,079.25 a tonne, supported by production problems. Lead surged 5.8 per cent and nickel moved 4.2 per cent higher.

Agricultural commodities also rallied on Dollar weakness, poor weather and signs of strong exports for US wheat, traders said.

CBOT December corn rose 2.6 per cent to $3.69 a bushel while CBOT December wheat rallied 3.8 per cent to $4.81 a bushel.

Traders are concerned that US corn and soyabean crops, which were planted later because of poor weather in the spring, risk being hit now by a freeze.

Sugar lost ground, with the ICE March raw sugar contract down 1.4 per cent to 22.77 cents per Pound.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Dollar was sold off aggressively this week, prompting much rhetoric from major central banks, while some Asian monetary authorities actively participated in foreign exchange markets to stem the tide.

Initial Dollar losses were prompted by the Reserve Bank of Australia, which on Tuesday became the first major central bank to raise its main interest rate since the onset of the financial crisis.

The RBA lifted rates from an historic low of 3 per cent to 3.25 per cent, saying the move reflected rebounding growth and inflation moving closer to target levels.

The tightening contrasted sharply with the current mantra at the US Federal Reserve, reiterated at every policy meeting since it lowered its rate to 0.25 per cent in December, that economic conditions were likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for some time.

The Australian Dollar rallied 4.5 per cent over the week to $0.9044, hitting a 14-month high of $0.9090 on Thursday, amid widespread expectations for further increases.

Australia's move led investors to ponder which country might next raise rates. Analysts pointed to countries with similar resource-rich or export economies, such as New Zealand, Norway, Canada and South Korea.

Over the week, the New Zealand Dollar climbed 2.6 per cent to $0.7348, the Norwegian krone gained 2.7 per cent to NKr5.6411, the Canadian Dollar rose 3.2 per cent to C$1.0449, while the South Korean won added 1.6 per cent to Won1,163.25.

South Korea's central bank, however, opted not to lift the country's main interest rate at a policy meeting Thursday.

Efforts by the BoK and other Asian central banks on Thursday to stem the appreciation of their domestic currencies by purchasing Dollars in the foreign exchange market met with limited success. In spite of intervention, the Thai baht gained 0.4 per cent over the week to Bt33.30, Taiwan's Dollar nudged up 0.1 per cent to T$32.26 and the Indonesian rupiah climbed 1.9 per cent to Rp9,450.

Comments from Hirohisa Fujii, Japan's finance minister were unhelpful. He claimed the weakening Dollar was being met with a sense of crisis in the US. Meanwhile, Lawrence Summers, chief economic adviser to Barack Obama, US president, stressed the importance of the US stance for a strong Dollar, echoing recent sentiment from Treasury boss Tim Geithner.

The Dollar index, a trade-weighted measure of the Dollar's strength against a basket of six currencies, fell to a 14-month low on Thursday. Against the Yen, the Dollar hit a nine-month low as it shed 0.3 per cent over the week to Y89.55.

Policy meetings at the Bank of England and the European Central Bank were relatively uneventful.

The UK central bank left rates at a historic low of 0.5 per cent and decided to wait and see if the exceptional measures already taken could do anything to turn around a recent run of dismal economic data.

The ECB, after leaving its refinancing rate at 1 per cent, added to the global chorus warning about the impact of the weak Dollar.

Sterling had a volatile week, remaining largely flat against the Dollar at $1.5921. The Pound fell 1.3 per cent against the Euro to £0.9264. The Euro climbed 1.3 per cent against the Dollar to $1.4759.

South Africa's Rand weakened against the Dollar on Friday as the greenback rebounded against major currencies while stocks fell, snapping their four-day winning streak.

The rand stood at 7.36 against the Dollar, 0.4% weaker than its previous close of 7.33.

And to bring currencies to a close we go to China where the RNB ended slightly higher against the Dollar Friday, the first day of trading after the National Day holiday, taking its cue from the US unit's broad weakness on global markets in the past week.

However, Dollar purchases by Asian central banks as they sought to limit strength in their own currencies curbed the RMB's gains.

On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar ended at CNY6.8256, down from CNY6.8263 Sept. 30, the last trading day before China's week-long holiday. It traded between CNY6.8252 and CNY6.8275.
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsChina has become South Africa's biggest trading partner, as rising demand for the African nation's minerals contrasts with a slump in orders from traditionally more important markets harder hit by the financial crisis and economic slowdown.

Unpublished figures from the Department of Trade and Industry for the first seven months of this year show a rise of more than 50 per cent in Chinese purchases from South Africa against the same period of 2008. By contrast, South African exports to Germany, the US, Japan and the UK were well down.

The official figures show that South Africa exported R32.4bn ($4.4bn, €2.9bn, £2.75bn) to China in the first seven months of 2009, compared with R35.9bn for the whole of last year. Exports to the US - South Africa's second biggest market - reached $21.7bn in July, against $66.5bn for 2008 as a whole. Last year China was South Africa's fifth biggest market, behind the US, Japan, Germany and the UK.

Recently published figures also show that China is on course to become South Africa's biggest source of imports. In the first six months of 2009, China exported goods worth $35.2bn to South Africa, ahead of Germany with $31.5bn of exports. In 2008 Germany was the first and China the second most important sources of imports.

The shift may have helped ease the severity of recession in South Africa. Although the economy is expected to contract this year, the slowdown will be less severe than in more developed markets. And it is likely to underscore growing South African corporate interest in China and more generally in Asia. 

South African banks - which escaped largely unscathed from the crisis - have been giving much greater importance to Asia. The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China bought a 20 per cent stake in Standard Bank two years ago, and this year FirstRand, South Africa's largest financial services group, signed a strategic partnership with China Construction Bank.

*************************************

Two years ago China's Minsheng Bank blazed a trail by spending about $100m on 5 per cent of San Francisco-based UCBH - the first Chinese minority investment into a US bank. Now, having doubled its stake last December, Minsheng is reported to be considering boosting its holding to at least 50 per cent.

This is a smart move, for two reasons. UCBH, the fourth-largest bank based in California, is a troubled asset relief programme beneficiary and under pressure to bolster capital. Chinese companies in various industries have crow-barred their way into overseas cash flows by assisting distressed asset-holders. There is no reason why financial services should sit this out.

Meanwhile, diversifying revenues away from China makes sense - not just for Beijing-based Minsheng, China's eighth-largest bank by assets. At ICBC, the nation's number one - currently preparing to relieve the Thai government of a stake in the country's ACL Bank - income streams from Indonesia, Macau, South Africa and Canada provided just under 2 per cent of operating income last year.

But it Won't be easy. As a privately owned bank with three-quarters of its listed shares floated, Minsheng should not ruffle as many regulatory feathers as, say, state-owned ICBC, where 6 per cent of shares are floated. Minsheng already has a seat on the UCBH board, and an option to raise its stake to about 20 per cent. But minority investment is one thing; control another. The last time a Chinese bidder came knocking for a Californian asset - Unocal of El Segundo, pursued by Cnooc four years ago - a political storm erupted.

Assuming Minsheng can amass funds to improve its own sub-par capital position - listing shares in Hong Kong looks the simplest route - a move on UCBH should provide an excellent test case of just how far American attitudes to direct Chinese investment have softened.

China Minsheng Banking is considering a plan to increase its stake in UCBH Holdings in what may be the first US bank acquisition by a mainland Chinese firm, according to two people briefed on the matter, reports Bloomberg.

Minsheng, China's first privately owned bank, plans to seek US regulatory approval to boost its holding in San Francisco-based UCBH to at least 50 per cent from 9.6 per cent, the people said, declining to be identified because the talks are private.

*************************************

Hong Kong has overtaken London and New York as Sotheby's largest wine market after the auction house this weekend sold $7.9m of rare vintage to deep-pocketed Asian collectors.

One mainland Chinese connoissEur splashed out an eye-popping $93,077 (€63,563, £58,436) for a bottle of 1982 Chateau Petrus Imperial, in another example of how wealthy Chinese are setting records in markets from wine to property.

The weekend auction fetched almost 30 per cent more than Sotheby's estimate, taking total wine sales in the Chinese territory this year to $14.3m. New York and London - the traditional leading fine wine trading centres - recorded sales of $10.5m and $8m so far this year for Sotheby's, but they could surpass Hong Kong later this year when they hold more auctions.

The collector who bought the Chateau Petrus, which has never before been sold at auction, secured the six-litre bottle after heavy bidding by Asian investors, who represented 99 per cent of the buyers.

Sotheby's and its rival Christie's started regular wine auctions in Hong Kong after the city abolished wine duties in early 2008. Since then, Asian collectors have helped propel strong sales despite the global financial crisis, with Chinese buyers in particular fuelling the expansion with their growing wealth.

Crown Wine Cellars, a Hong-Kong company that uses a British-built second world war bunker as a wine cellar, says business from mainland China has risen 300 to 400 per cent over the past 18 months.

The wine sales marked a strong start for Sotheby's autumn auction, which will see more than 2,400 lots go under the hammer. Sotheby's is expecting that the artwork and antiques sales will reach $140m.

In a packed room on Monday, Tranquil Landscape, a Chinese painting by artist Li Keran sold for $941,000, contributing to the day's total of $23.4m.
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 The Dollar is likely to continue to sink next week amid growing appetite for non-US assets and signs of apparent official resignation at the dollar's decline.

Mounting faith in economic recovery has reduced the dollar's safe-haven appeal, while global interest-rate dynamics have fostered the use of the dollar as a funding currency for riskier investments.

The lukewarm lip-service paid to the Dollar's decline in recent statements by some international monetary officials doesn't pose much of an obstacle to the U.S. currency's slide, either.

Moreover, if companies continue to report encouraging results in the slew of corporate earnings reports on tap next week, the euro and other higher-yielding currencies should gain ground on the dollar.

Alcoa got Q3 earnings got off to a good start but equity markets will need a steady drip-feed of results showing firms' growth and revenues are improving if world stocks are to extend gains.

Meanwhile, dividend announcements will sway investors' views on the credit versus stocks choice. A financials-heavy week looms and results from the likes of JPMorgan, Goldman, Citigroup, and Bank of America will shed light on the health of the banking sector, the consumer credit market and the extent to which central bank liquidity is being transmitted to the real economy.

An extension of the dollar's slide will test the FX tolerance limits of Europe, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand. Countries which have started raising interest rates, or those about to tighten policy, will find the markets more willing to challenge any resistance they might put up to an appreciation in their currency as the policy aims diverge.

Traders are keeping a close eye on official rhetoric from Trichet, Japanese officials et al, as well as on implied volatilities, risk reversal skews etc to determine whether moves are venturing into the disorderly territory against which the G7 warns.

While gains have been seen in equities, credit, government debt and gold in recent weeks and months, questions are rife over how durable this phenomenon will be and whether it is purely a function of the amount of cash that has been coming out of money market funds.

The relatively contained fallout from Latvia's woes is a signal that investors are - so far - less prone to being spooked than they were a year ago. The "normalization" in money and credit markets that has emboldened investors to seek higher returns in riskier assets will increasingly be put to the test as exit strategy implementation draws nearer.

The RBA rate rise has put the spotlight on other central banks which might follow suit, with Norges Bank and the RBNZ both in the frame as a result - and the market is starting to position accordingly.

Any signals from G7 central banks (e.g. in FOMC minutes) on how soon exit strategies could start to be considered will cause even bigger waves.

In particular, next week's policy meeting gives the BOJ a chance to hone its public message on commercial paper support and the economic outlook given government pressure to keep emergency funding in place.

Two to 30-year euro zone, U.S. and Japanese yield curves have seen a gentle bull flattening and sovereign issuers are targeting the longer end of yield curves.

Italian and Portuguese auctions of 30-year debt next week will be scrutinised to see if investor appetite for ultra-long debt is sustained, especially in light of softer demand at the US 30-year auction on Thursday.
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
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The UK Market
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Global Commodities
Global Currencies
China This Week
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