Financial Page International

12 June 2010 - Global Markets Review

Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen,
 
I'm suffering a bad case of Paramnesia at the moment - and for those that have no idea what I'm talking about, for 'Paramnesia', read ''déjà vu'.
 
'Déjà Vu': 
 
The experience of feeling sure that one has witnessed or experienced a new situation previously (an individual feels as though an event has already happened or has happened in the recent past), although the exact circumstances of the previous encounter are uncertain (but here's where my case is different; I know precisely when and why I have seen this before).
 
The US has huge unemployment problems, major disasters in home waters (every pun intended), focus concentrating on their domestic financial problems and what do they do .....?
 
Of course we know the pattern by now; they turn on the RMB and blame the world's woes on China!  US unemployment problem - China's fault.  US economical woes - China's fault.  US go out of the World Cup - blame China for making the goalposts!
 
And here was me thinking that China held the patent for 'blame apportionment' - looks like the US are catching up on that one.
 
Yes Ladies and Gentlemen, the 'attack is back' but this time more vociferous and quite probably the most outspoken frontal assault on the RMB to date.
 
The words 'warning' and 'must take heed' were directed at China from the Senate - yet somehow I cannot quite see China shaking in its boots over that.
 
But then came the really, really severe warning from the US Treasury; can you believe this immortal utterance:
 
"CHINA HAS UNTIL THE END OF THE MONTH BUT THEY MUST UNDERSTAND, WE CAN'T HOLD THE DOGS BACK MUCH LONGER!"
 
Ha-ha, ha-ha, ha-ha is the only riposte I can think of to that charmer.
 
A quick SMS from Beijing to Washington could resolve this and would probably go along the lines of: "U O US $4 Trln - Shut It".
 
Officials in the US, stopping one short of Obama himself, have openly stated that China needs to 'grow up', stop evading WTO rules and be more 'fair' in its global dealings.
 
Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner (I can hazard a guess what the 'F' stands for) said China's exchange-rate policy prevents a balanced global recovery and called for a stronger RMB that would help officials fend off inflation in the world's third-largest economy.
 
"The distortions caused by China's exchange rate spread far beyond China's borders and are an impediment to the global rebalancing we need," Geithner said in testimony to the Senate Finance Committee Friday. A more flexible RMB would allow China to pursue "a more effective, independent monetary policy, which is particularly important now, with China's economy facing a risk of inflation in goods and in asset prices."
 
The US has been trying to pressure China to allow the currency to strengthen, with Geithner resisting efforts at trade sanctions and hoping talks will lead to a higher RMB. China has kept the RMB pegged to the Dollar during the financial crisis, fueling complaints from trading partners and US lawmakers that the world's biggest exporting nation has an unfair advantage in global commerce.
 
China's economy is "fast on its way to becoming the world's second-largest" after the US and supplanting Japan, the current No. 2, Geithner said. "American firms operating in China should have the same rights enjoyed by Chinese companies, just as Chinese firms have in the United States. This is a simple principle of fairness." 
 
A report released earlier Friday in Beijing showed China's exports jumped the most in six years and property prices rose at a near-record pace, signs that China is withstanding the sovereign-debt crisis in Europe. 
 
Exports gained 48.5% in May from a year earlier, China's customs bureau said, more than the 32% median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 32 economists. Real- estate prices rose 12.4% across 70 cities, the statistics bureau said separately.
 
The US lacks a "coordinated" policy on China, said Max Baucus, the committee's chairman and a Democrat from Montana. "We must craft a holistic strategy, orchestrated and led by the White House, to develop a strong, mutually beneficial US-China economic relationship."
 
However, obviously not everyone in the US Senate shares the diplomatic train of thought.
 
Senator Charles Grassley, the top Republican on the committee, said China needs to "grow up and be citizens of this world as mature citizens." China became a member of the World Trade Organization in 2001.
 
"Instead of doing everything it can to comply with the letter and spirit of its World Trade Organization obligations, the Chinese government appears to be looking for ways to evade those rules," Grassley said.
 
The Senate will vote "soon" on a measure aimed at getting China to raise the value of the RMB, Senator Charles Schumer of New York told Geithner at the hearing.
 
What are they going to do? The mind boggles as to what they actually CAN do apart from impose trade sanctions - and that would of course start a trade war that neither country ultimately wants or needs.
 
"This is fair warning," said Schumer, a Democrat and lead sponsor of the legislation. Lawmakers, "despite the administration asking us not to do it, are going to move forward with our bipartisan legislation to provide specific consequences for countries that fail to adopt appropriate policies." Schumer said Thursday that the Senate would vote within two weeks.
 
Geithner, in response, said "I recognize, and I think it's very important for China to understand," that Schumer's legislation "has very broad support" from Democrats and Republicans.
 
The US Commerce Department, in its monthly report on the country's trade balance, said Friday that US-China trade totaled $126.5 billion in the first four months of the year, up 19% from January through April last year. US imports of Chinese goods exceeded exports to China by $71 billion, a 5.7% increase in the bilateral trade gap from the year- earlier period, the report showed.
 
"We want China to provide a level playing field for the products of American workers and investments by American companies," Geithner said. "And we want China to change its growth strategy to rely less on exports and more on consumption." Geithner said the US is "seeing some progress, but we still face many challenges."
 
Since July 2008, the RMB has been held by officials around 6.83 per Dollar, after Premier Wen Jiabao's government allowed a 21% advance in the prior three years. In April, Geithner delayed the release of a twice-yearly report on whether China or any other country is manipulating its exchange rate.
 
Under questioning Friday, Geithner said he hasn't decided when to release the currency report. "Once we get through the G-20 meeting we'll take some stock," he said, referring to a Group of 20 nations leaders' summit in Toronto later this month.
 
Geithner told the Senate panel that "reform of China's exchange rate is critically important to the United States and to the global economy." It would be "in China's own interest to allow the exchange rate to reflect market forces," he said.
 
But of course, he never went on to explain just how it would be in China's best interests.
 
Ladies & Gentlemen, I see a trade war looming or at the very least a currency war and as I have always said, if you push China on anything, anything at all, then China will just step back. 
 
Who knows, we might see the daily trading band for the RMB widen from its current 0.5% to say 2.0% and the RMB go up to 7 or 7.2 to the Dollar over the next week or two - case in point.  Don't push otherwise when China steps back, you'll just fall flat on your face.
 
It's a funny world isn't it when not even 18 months ago, Mr Obama was in China assuring Beijing that when he became President, he would not have any problems with China and the RMB - "China must be allowed to deal with their currency at their own pace" he said.
 
Perhaps he should have added a caveat " ..... or until the US has problems internally and we need to deflect attention away from them".
 
On to other issues this week and this is the second astonishing request to come out of Never-Never-Land in the past two days.
 
General Motor's 'Opel Division', head up by a bunch of absolute day-dreamers, asked for German State Aid to help keep Opel alive and kicking.
 
Can you believe that?  A US company has asked the German Government to bail them out.  My second bout of hysterics for the day.
 
General Motors may now be forced to contribute more than the planned 1.9 billion Euros ($2.55 billion) of US taxpayer funding (more laughter) to keep Opel afloat as the loss-making European brand slashes 20% of its capacity and rejuvenates the bulk of its model range through the end of 2014.
 
I cannot for the life of me believe their gall.
 
And here's the even funnier part (have they no shame of embarrassment? Obviously not!), here's Opel's response:
 
"GM is naturally very disappointed with this decision as is Opel after such a very long process. We've spent a long time answering many, many hundreds of questions being reviewed by many, many different committees," Opel Chief Executive Nick Reilly told reporters on Wednesday
 
"I don't particularly understand the reasons why," he continued, adding he would now discuss with parent GM about possible funding options.
 
So, the 'parent company' GM was not even his first port of call it seems - he has not even discussed 'funding options' with them yet.
 
"Charity Begins Overseas" must be GM's new motto! 
 
But then again, they couldn't have been watching Mrs Merkel very closely because we all know what she told Greece when they held out their hand ....
 
Hilarious, absolutely hilarious; if this were not for real it would make a great parody for Monty Python. 
 
I can just picture John Cleese ..... "But Mrs Merkel, you give us the money and we'll share our American Technology with you that will allow BMW, Porsche and Mercedes Benz to improve their looks and performance!".
 
I can't stop laughing here I really can't.  What planet do these people currently inhabit - because it cannot be planet Earth for sure.
 
To sum it all up in the week that US banks find themselves facing short-selling fraud investigations over their 'Flopping' of homes, Billionaire investor George Soros said "we have just entered Act II" of the crisis as Europe's fiscal woes worsen and governments are pressured to curb budget deficits that may push the global economy back into recession.
 
"The collapse of the financial system as we know it is real, and the crisis is far from over," Soros said Friday at a conference in Vienna. "Indeed, we have just entered Act II of the drama."
 
Enough Actors around to fill the cast on this one then for sure; current front-runner for 'The Stooge' has to be Mr Obama himself I feel because if ever I saw a scapegoat being lined up, not even halfway through his term, then he's your man!
 
But perhaps those in the secret corridors of Washington and Wall Street knew this all along - after all, they're ultimately driving the Good Ship America - and they know how to kill more than one bird with a single stone (or oil disaster as the case may be!).
 
On to the numbers for the week that was:  
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....

 US SummaryUS stocks advanced after National Semiconductor Corp. spurred a rally in technology shares that helped the market overcome the largest drop in American retail sales since September. Treasuries rallied, oil broke a three-day winning streak and the Dollar strengthened versus the Euro.
 
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.4% as of 4 p.m. in New York after reversing its loss in the last 25 minutes of trading. It rallied 2.5% this week, the most since March. Technology stocks in the measure climbed 1.1% Friday as Microsoft Corp. gained 2.7%, while the Russell 2000 Index of small companies rallied 1.4%. Yields on 10- year Treasuries fell 9 basis points to 3.23%. Crude futures slumped 2.3% to $73.78 a barrel. The Euro dropped 0.1% to $1.2112.
 
The technology-stock rally pushed the S&P 500 higher even as a gauge of consumer shares retreated. While the US Labor Department said retail sales decreased 1.2% in May, compared with median economist estimate that called for a 0.2% gain, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan measure of consumer confidence released an hour and a half later rose to the highest level in two years.
 
Stock futures retreated and Treasury yields jumped after the Commerce Department report at 8:30 a.m. New York time. Equities then rallied after the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 75.5, the highest level since January 2008. The gauge was projected to rise to 74.5, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 65 economists.
 
Falling consumer shares pushed the market lower before the technology-stock rally helped power the S&P 500 higher in the final 25 minutes of trading. Volume of 7.6 billion shares on US stock exchanges was the lowest since April 6.
 
The S&P 500, which surged 3% Thursday, completed its second back-to-back rally since April Friday. The benchmark index for US stocks has fallen 10% since April 23 on speculation the credit crisis spreading in Europe will curb global economic growth. US-traded shares of BP Plc plunged 44% since April 20, when the biggest oil leak in US history began at one of the firm's wells in the Gulf of Mexico.
 
Anadarko, a Texas oil company that owns a 25% stake in the damaged oil rig, was one of the week's worst performers in the S&P 500 index, ending 7.4% lower to $41.79.
 
Anadarko would be responsible for a commensurate part of the final clean-up bill, said BP, which expected costs of the oil spill to be between $3bn and $6bn, according to an analyst briefed by the company.
 
Retail stocks were lower across the board on Friday, with department stores among the worst performers. Macy's fell 0.2% to $21.24, JC Penney declined 1.1% to $25.99 and Saks was 1.8% lower to $8.30.
 
Talbots, a retailer of women's apparel, fell 0.6% to $12.25 even as the stock's target price was raised to $14 per share from $12.30 at Credit Suisse.
 
Discount retailers performed moderately better, with Walmart slipping 0.7% to $50.86, Costco Wholesale inching down 0.2% to $57.52 while Target was up 0.2% to $53.71.
 
Dell, the world's third- largest personal computer maker by market value, was 0.6% higher to $13.15 on Friday. It said it had delayed filing its latest quarterly report as it revises financial results to book a $100m liability.
 
The company also said Michael Dell, chief executive, is in settlement discussions with the Securities and Exchange Commission over allegations related to Dell's relationship with Intel, the maker of computer chips. Shares added 0.4% to $20.64.
 
Goldman Sachs was one of the week's worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 index. It declined 4.6% to $135.64 as the SEC announced a second probe into the bank. On Thursday, the stock fell to its 52-week low.
 
Other financial stocks fared better during the week. Bank of America rose 1.6% to $15.60, and Citigroup rallied 2.4% to $3.88.
 
Wendy's Arby's Group rose 7.1% on Friday to $4.65 a day after Nelson Peltz, its chairman, said an unnamed party expressed interest in a potential deal involving the fast food company.
 
The Vix index, a measure of market volatility, fell 6.2% on Friday to 28.68 and declined 19.2% over the week.
 
Motorola, a maker of telecommunications equipment, gained 4% to $7.11 on Friday after the company announced a settlement and licensing agreement with Research in Motion, which makes the BlackBerry device.

European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....

 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks advanced as a report showed confidence among US consumers rose to the highest level in more than two years, boosting optimism that the world's biggest economy can withstand the sovereign debt crisis.
 
Banco Santander SA led a surge in Spanish stocks after its chairman said he's "optimistic" about the outlook. BP climbed 7.2%, its first gain in five days. Novartis AG advanced 3.1% after winning a US regulatory advisory panel's backing for a multiple sclerosis drug. Club Mediterranee SA rallied 9.4% after posting a profit. Brit Insurance Holdings NV soared after saying it rejected a takeover offer
 
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.4% to 249.46. The benchmark gauge has risen 2% this week after the Federal Reserve said it would act as needed to support the recovery and as economic reports from Japan to Australia reassured investors that the economic recovery is intact. Stocks declined earlier as a report showed sales at US retailers unexpectedly dropped in May, signaling consumers boosted savings as unemployment slowed and stocks fell.
 
The Stoxx 600 is still down 8.3% from this year's high on April 15 amid concern that European nations will struggle to fund their budget deficits. The decline has left the index trading at less than 15 times the reported earnings of its companies, near the lowest level in 17 months.
 
National benchmark indexes gained in 14 of the 18 western European markets. The UK's FTSE 100 increased 0.6% and France's CAC 40 gained 1.1%. Germany's DAX slid 0.1%.
 
Spain's IBEX 35 rallied 4%, the most among the 18 western European markets, as Santander, the nation's biggest lender, surged 7.2% to 8.61 Euros. The bank said that it can benefit from rivals' "weakness" in mature markets, 2009 results were good and the "same will happen" in 2010. Smaller rival Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA gained 5.6% to 8.47 Euros. 
 
GERMANY
 
German stocks were little changed, with the benchmark DAX Index posting a weekly gain, as an unexpected drop in US retail sales helped offset reports on economic growth in China.
 
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG and Daimler AG retreated more than 1%, while ThyssenKrupp AG followed European basic- resource shares lower. K+S AG, the world's largest salt producer, rallied 3.4% after raising prices for the second time this year.
 
The DAX lost 0.1% to 6,047.83 in Frankfurt, having swung between gains and losses about 20 times Friday. The gauge advanced 1.8% on the week, while it is still 4.5% below its April 26 high on concern the sovereign-debt crisis in Europe will hold back economic growth. The broader HDAX Index also fell 0.1% Friday.
 
The DAX's drop from this year's high has left the measure valued at less than 15 times its companies' reported earnings, near the cheapest since 2008, according to Bloomberg data.
 
BMW and Daimler, the world's biggest makers of luxury cars, retreated 1.4% to 40.09 Euros and 1.2% to 42.74 Euros, respectively.
 
ThyssenKrupp, Germany's biggest steelmaker, slid 1.1% to 21.06 Euros. European basic-resource shares lost 1% Friday, among the worst performer in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index.
 
Continental, Solar Shares
 
K+S climbed 3.4% to 39.33 Euros. The company will raise the price of muriate of potash by 8 Euros per metric ton to 305 Euros. The increase is aimed at adjusting the Euro price toward global market prices, spokesman Michael Wudonig said in an e-mail Friday. Wudonig was responding to a report in the FMB Weekly Potash Report.
 
Continental AG surged 5.7% to 42.41 Euros, extending its weekly gain to 12%. Europe's second-biggest car-parts maker was raised to "buy" from "hold" at Deutsche Bank AG, which said "margins are recovering faster than anticipated" and the "automotive group revenues are growing fast."
 
Q-Cells SE jumped the most in more than a year, climbing 13% to 5.68 Euros. The solar company was raised to "buy" from "sell" at DZ Bank AG, which cited the declining Euro and an improving outlook for solar-panel demand.
 
German consumer price inflation continued to rise in May, in line with preliminary estimates, a final report from the Federal Statistical Office showed on Thursday.
 
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.2% year-on-year in May, faster than 1% in the previous month. It was the seventh annual increase in a row. The CPI remained unchanged a year earlier.
 
Higher energy prices influenced inflation to a large extent in May. Energy prices rose 4.9% year-on-year. Further, mineral oil product prices jumped 17.9% with heating oil costs surging 34.6% and motor fuels logging a 14% gain. There was a 2.9% rise in electricity prices.
 
Excluding energy prices, inflation for May stood at 0.8%, the agency said. Stripping out mineral oil products, the rate was 0.5%.
 
Food prices grew for the third consecutive month, up 1.3%. Food and non-alcoholic beverages prices rose 1.1% annually in May, while clothing and footwear prices climbed 1.2%. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels prices increased 1% and health charges rose 0.2%. Transport charges grew 4.1%.
 
On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.1% in May, reversing the 0.1% fall in April. The monthly change was characterised by a 3.5% increase in prices for package holidays and a 4% gain in prices for accommodation services. Prices of clothing and footwear as well as food, especially vegetables, declined.
 
Meanwhile, the harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP), which is calculated for European purposes, rose 1.2% year-on-year in May, faster than 1% in the previous month. The index edged up 0.1% compared to the preceding month. Germany's HICP inflation remains below the European Central Bank target of 'below, but close to 2%'.
 
The German government on Wednesday rejected a request by car maker General Motors for state aid to help it restructure its loss-making European subsidiary Opel.
 
The announcement about the rejection of the aid request was made by German Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle, who took the decision after a committee assessing the aid requests from companies affected during recession failed to reach a decision on GM's request.
 
"I am confident that Opel has a good future without credit guarantees," Bruederle said Wednesday while announcing his decision on GM's aid request. "I am convinced that GM has sufficient funds."
 
Earlier, GM had requested the German government for providing 1.1 billion Euros ($1.3 billion) in loan guarantees for its loss-making Opel unit, mostly for restructuring the unit. GM has also announced plans to cut 8,000 jobs at Opel units across Europe and to reduce the production capacity of its European business by around 20%.
 
Currently, there are some 24,000 employees in Opel's four factories in Germany, where it assembles Insignias, Astras and Corsas. Apart from Germany, Opel has plants in Austria, Belgium, Britain, Hungary, Poland and Spain.
 
The 1.1 billion state aid sought from the Germany was part of a larger 1.8 billion Euro loan guarantees GM has requested from European governments for its loss-making unit. The company has said that it intends to spend about 1.9 billion Euros on restructuring Opel.
 
Following the rejection of GM's request for state aid by the German government, Opel's chief executive Nick Reilly said he did not "particularly understand the reasons why" the request was rejected.
 
"GM is naturally very disappointed, as is Opel, with this decision after such a very long process, and we have spent a lot of time answering many, many hundreds of questions, being reviewed by many committees," Reilly said.
 
Reilly said Opel would now "review all our options for funding," adding that both British and Spanish governments have "signaled they are willing to give guarantees so that we will have access to capital markets."
 
General Motors, which emerged from bankruptcy last July, has repaid $8.1 billion in loans it had received from the US and Canadian governments. The company reported its first quarterly profit in nearly three years in May this year.
 
Early September 2009, GM agreed to sell its majority stake in Opel and Vauxhall to a consortium led by Canadian car-parts maker Magna International. The deal was originally expected to be signed early October and to close by the end of November.
 
In October 2009, however, GM scrapped its plans to sell Opel to the consortium led by Canadian auto parts maker Magna, angering the German government in the process. GM then said its board had decided to retain the German unit Adam Opel GmbH and British sister brand Vauxhall, citing improving business environment, as well as the brand's importance to GM's global strategy.
 
The German government had favored the joint bid made by Magna and its Russian partner Sberbank for Opel, ahead of offers made by Belgian investment fund RHJ, Italy's Fiat, and China's Beijing Automotive Industry Holding. The country's political leaders and workers unions also backed Magna's bid for the ailing automaker, believing it would help protect the future of some 24,000 local Opel workers.
 
The German government had offered aid worth Euro 4 .5 billion ($6.7 billion) in loans and credit guarantees to support the Magna deal, and urged other European countries with Opel plants to make commitments to back the deal in order to protect European jobs in the ailing company. 
 
FRANCE
 
France's CAC 40 Index rose 38.88, or 1.1%, to 3,555.52 in Paris, bringing the measure's gain this week to 2.9%. The SBF 120 Index advanced 1%.
 
BNP Paribas added 5.6% to 46.28 Euros, gaining for the third day. The French bank plans to increase its level of front-office fixed-income staffing by slightlyover 10% this year, Les Echos reported, citing Frederic Janbon, global head of the unit.
 
Cie. de Saint-Gobain climbed 2.1% to 32.865 Euros, extending Thursday's 6.3% gain. Citigroup Inc. raised its recommendation on Europe's biggest supplier of building materials to "buy" from "hold."
 
Club Mediterranee, Europe's largest resort operator, jumped 9.4% to 12.60 Euros, rising the most since September 25. The company said bookings advanced in the last eight weeks in every region.
 
JCDecaux increased 3.4% to 21.12 Euros, rising to the highest level since May 13. It was raised to "buy" at Oddo & Cie.
 
Michelin & Cie, the world's second-largest tiremaker, gained 2.6% to 58.59 Euros, its highest level since March 25. It was initiated at "buy" at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.
 
Rue du Commerce slumped 3.3% to 5.80 Euros, dropping for a second day. The online electronics retailer said full-year net income fell to about 400,000 Euros($483,000) from 2.1 million Euros a year earlier.
 
French manufacturing output growth eased in April, while overall industrial production declined for the first time in four months driven by weak energy output.
 
Manufacturing output in April was 0.4% higher than in the previous month, data released by the statistical office INSEE showed on Thursday. The growth rate matched economists' expectations, but was comparatively smaller than the 1.2% gain in the preceding month.
 
The increase in production was mainly driven by the electrical and electronic equipment industry, where output rose at a faster pace of 2.1% from the previous month, while the manufacture of transport equipment recovered in April, by rising 1.3%, following a 2.1% fall. The 'other manufacturing' output edged up 0.1%, much smaller than March's 1.9% growth.
 
Overall industrial output, at the same time, dropped unexpectedly by 0.3% on a monthly basis in April, in contrast to a 1.3% increase in the previous month. Economists were looking for an increase of 0.1%.
 
Industrial production is not as bad as the headline suggests, in that it leaves April factory output 0.6% above the previous quarter average, said Tullia Bucco, an economist at UniCredit Research. "We doubt however that momentum can be sustained going forward."
 
Year-on-year, manufacturing output climbed 8.5% in April, faster than the revised 7.7% gain in the previous month. Economists' had expected only a 7.1% increase. On an annual basis, industrial output also grew at a faster pace of 7.9%, following 7.1% in March. The annual growth exceeded 6.9% consensus forecast.
 
The construction output fell 6.7% annually in April, following a 4.6% decline in the previous month. Month-on-month, construction output dropped 2.2%, reversing a 0.9% increase in March.
 
In contrast to a fall in the French industrial output, German industrial production showed 0.9% monthly rise in April. Italian industrial production recorded a 1% month-on-month growth, following the 0.2% rise in March.
 
Separate data issued by Insee Friday showed an increase in non-farm payroll employment in the first quarter. Employment rose by a revised 0.2% after staying flat in in the fourth quarter of 2009. This growth was led by the increase in temporary workers.
 
The French ILO mainland jobless rate stood at 9.5% in the first quarter, unchanged from the fourth quarter. Further, the statistical agency said the employment rate of the population aged 15-64 years increased in the first quarter of 2010, due to the temporary contract employment. The employment rate stood at 63.8%.
 
Business confidence in France's industrial sector decreased slightly in May from April, the Bank of France said on Tuesday. Sentiment among France's service providers picked up during the month. All industrial sectors recorded growth, excepting the automobile sector.
 
The industrial sentiment indicator fell to 101 in May from 102 in April. Economists had forecast the indicator to remain unchanged at 102. The capacity utilization rate for the industrial sector increased slightly in May but was still below its long-term average.
 
Order books improved to bring them closer to a level deemed normal by industries. Inventories were also consistent with targeted levels. The short-term forecasts are oriented towards maintaining production levels, the bank said.
 
Meanwhile, the services sentiment index rose to 96 in May from 94 in April. The rise in services confidence was driven by the IT industry. Prices were more or less flat, while staff levels registered a small increase, the bank said. 
 
BELGIUM
 
The Bel 20 in Brussels concluded a busy trading week on 2,463.85, ip 0.02%.
 
Anxiety is mounting in financial markets that a prolonged bout of political uncertainty in Belgium following national elections next Sunday could prevent decisive action to tackle the nation's debt mountain that threatens to turn it into "the Greece of the north".
 
Interest rates on 10-year Belgian government bonds jumped from 3.15 to 3.50% last week and investors are demanding a mounting premium to hold the debt over corresponding German paper.
 
Belgium's debt is currently at 99% of its gross domestic product, the highest in the Eurozone after Greece and Italy, and is forecast to exceed GDP by the end of the year.
 
Yet no political party is campaigning for an explicit belt-tightening mandate. Despite rising unemployment and sluggish growth, the economy has barely featured in the campaign.
 
"In other European countries you see cuts in public spending. In Belgium that is not happening, and it won't happen without a government," says Philippe Ledent, economist at ING in Brussels.
 
Belgian politics is, instead, dominated by an arcane institutional dispute involving the demarcation of electoral districts in the suburbs of Brussels - a debate that even most Belgians openly admit baffles them. The quarrel brought down the last government, a right-leaning five-party coalition led by Yves Leterme, in April and feeds into a larger debate about devolving more power to the regions.
 
Moreover, the Belgian economy runs a trade surplus, which makes financing debt easier. Household debt is among the lowest in the Eurozone. And Belgium has a solid track record of paying down high debt.
 
However, Belgium's climb out of recession has been slow, with GDP rising by just 0.1% in the first quarter, below the Eurozone average.
 
The structure of its debt could add to its problems. Eighty two% of short-term paper is owned by foreigners. It has relatively short maturity - under six years - meaning Belgium must return regularly to tap the markets for fresh funds.
 
Polls show separatist parties faring well in Dutch-speaking Flanders, which will make the ensuing task of building a coalition with Francophone Walloon partners trickier even than the last election in 2007, when it took 284 days for a permanent government to emerge.
 
Parties on all sides of the political divide say a solution to the communitarian issues, including a new power-sharing agreement between the regions and the federal government, must be brokered before a permanent government can be formed. That is unlikely to happen before September, even if an interim government is quickly formed to handle the rotating presidency of the European Union that Belgium will inherit for the second half of the year.
 
The rise of separatist parties in Flanders does not spell an imminent break-up of the country, but it makes Belgian politics even more unpredictable than before. If the polls are borne out on Sunday, it is not clear who will have a mandate to become prime minister.
 
Political uncertainty in nothing new in Belgium - it's just that they've never had it at the same time as a sovereign debt crisis.
 
The Belgian economy grew at a slower pace in the first quarter, the latest report from the National Bank of Belgium showed on Wednesday.
 
The gross domestic product (GDP) increased 0.1% on a sequential basis in the first quarter, following a 0.3% gain in the previous quarter. The GDP increased for the third consecutive quarter. A year earlier, the GDP slipped 1.7%.
 
Consumer spending rose 0.5% quarterly, while public expenditure grew 0.4%. Overall fixed capital formation shrunk 0.9%. Domestic demand grew 0.2%, while the change in inventories added 0.4 percentage points to GDP. Net exports deducted 0.7 percentage points from GDP.
 
Year-on-year, the GDP increased 1% in the first quarter, rebounding from 0.8% drop in the fourth quarter. This was the first positive GDP figure since the third quarter of 2008. A year ago, the GDP fell 3.7%.
 
The annual and sequential GDP figures were unrevised from the flash report published on April 30th.
 
Belgium is set to hold its general election on June 13. The country has drawn attention amid the recent Eurozone debt crisis as it has heavy debt on its books. The budget deficit is well above the 3% set by the Maastricht Treaty. In May, consumer confidence dropped sharply, while business sentiment deteriorated for the first time since it hit a low point in March 2009.
 
Fraud linked with CO2 emission rights has cost Belgium's public coffers 79 million Euros, reported De Tijd, an amount much higher than what is usually lost each year through "traditional" VAT theft (also known as carousel fraud).
 
Illegal activity in the trading of CO2 emission rights is a new phenomenon that has emerged since emission trading schemes were implemented at the European level. Fraudsters sell emission rights along with VAT, but then never pass the VAT along to tax authorities.
 
According to Belgium's federal anti-fraud minister Carl Devlies, the sum of 79 million Euros is small in comparison with other countries. Carousel fraud decreased greatly in 2009, he said, costing Belgium 14.6 million Euros, against 29.8 million Euros in 2008.
 
THE NETHERLANDS
 
Amsterdam's AEX finished the trading session and the week Friday on 325.56, up 0.04%.
 
Dutch industrial production increased 10.2% year-on-year in April after rising 7.1% in March, the Central Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.
 
Production of electrical equipment and machinery increased 17.1% in April compared to 10.9% in the previous month. Manufacture of transportation equipment rose 8.9% during the month versus 6.1% in March.
 
Meanwhile, production growth of food and beverages slowed to 1.6% from 5% recorded in the previous month. Growth in oil and chemical production also slowed during the month.
 
Separately, the agency reported that the country's industrial turnover increased 19% year-on-year in April following a 15.7% growth in March. Turnover of oil and chemical manufacturers increased 48.4% year-on-year after a 41.6% rise in the previous month.
 
Revenue from the manufacture of transport equipment rose 10.9% after declining 2.5% in March. Food and beverages industries recorded a 1.6% increase in turnover and firms manufacturing electrical equipment and machinery posted a turnover increase of 8.8%.
 
New orders received by Dutch industrial firms surged 45.3% year-on-year in April compared to 24.4% in the previous month. The biggest increase in new orders was recorded by the transportation equipment industry, where there was an 89.4% rise in new orders compared to 36.6% in the previous month.
 
Tornier, a Dutch medical device company with its headquarters in the United States, is hoping raise as much as $205 million in an initial public offering, The Minneapolis Star-Tribune reported.
 
The developer of orthopedic products  didn't detail the size or price of the planned offering in its filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
 
Tornier, taken private in 2006 by an investor group led by Warburg Pincus, plans to use the proceeds to pay down debt.
 
Amsterdam bicycle company De Fietsfabriek, which helped make cargo bikes the hip way to transport children, has been declared bankrupt.
 
The company has debts of over €1m and has been hit by falling sales, local tv station AT5 said.
 
However, according to the official receivers a number of potential buyers have come forward and there is good hope the company will be able to restart.
 
The Dutch financial services regulator AFM has fined Mercedes €24,000 for extending too much credit to a number of car buyers in 2008 and 2009.
 
The AFM investigated 30 loans made by Mercedes -Benz Financial Services, the regulator said in a statement.
 
It found that the company had used a 'lower norm for living expenses' than set down in the financial sector's code of conduct when it calculated how much certain categories of household could borrow. 'That is serious,' the watchdog said. 
 
SWITZERLAND
 
The SMI in Zurich headed into the weekend at 6,426.74, up 0.79%.
 
The economic climate looks brighter for Switzerland than most of Europe, with an upturn for manufacturers and consumer sentiment still high. But the struggling Euro and a surging housing market give some cause for concern.
 
On Tuesday, the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (Seco) revised its prediction for gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year from 1.4% to 1.8%. At the same time, it downgraded growth for 2011 from 2% to 1.6%.
 
Unemployment figures for the month of May fell 0.2% to 3.8% - showing the employment market in Switzerland is significantly better than in the rest of Europe.
 
The better news for 2010 was mirrored by Swissmem, the umbrella group for the electrical and mechanical engineering industries, that heralded a 22% growth in orders. "After 15 hard months, prospects... are looking up again," Swissmem stated at the end of last month.
 
Also on the positive side, a survey of small and medium-sized enterprises by UBS showed an improvement in trading conditions in the first quarter, while separate data from the bank showed an acceleration of consumer spending in April.
 
General business sentiment is also increasing with the KOF Swiss Economic Institute's latest economic barometer - measuring expectations from a broad range of industry sectors - showing that most firms forecast more promising times ahead.
 
However, beneath the surface of the apparently improving economic conditions lurk a few demons that are expected to weigh on Swiss firms next year. The most troubling problem is that of European government debt pulling down the value of the Euro, which would make Swiss exports more expensive for its biggest market.
 
Swissmem reported last month that the main driver for improved orders for its members was the steadily growing Asian market. The organisation warned that the Euro's fall to SFr1.40 was damaging margins.
 
The Swiss National Bank's efforts to stabilise exchange rates by buying up large reserves of Euros could also come with a downside, according to KOF. "To block inflationary trends, this development needs to be defused," it warned in a recent bulletin.
 
Economic think tank Avenir Suisse is worried that such low interest rates could result in the buoyant housing market spiralling out of control in areas such as Zurich, Geneva and Basel.
 
Unlike many other countries, Switzerland's housing market resisted the economic crash and remains strong. House prices have risen to 1990 levels in Zurich and interest rates are likely to remain low for some time.
 
In the late 1980s house prices reached unsustainable levels and, coupled with low interest rates and relaxed lending attitudes, resulted in a real estate crash.
 
The potential problem has also attracted the attention of Swiss National Bank (SNB) chairman Phillip Hildebrand, who recently warned banks not to get carried away issuing mortgage loans.
 
"It has not happened yet, but banks could be tempted into lowering their credit standards with increasing competition and shrinking margins," Avenir Suisse said. "The SNB cannot raise interest rates to cool off the property market while the franc is appreciating."
 
Separately, the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs said the risk of inflation is expected to remain low. SECO forecast consumer price inflation to reach 1.1% in 2010, before slowing to 0.8% in 2011.
 
Switzerland's seasonally adjusted jobless rate in May was 4%, unchanged from April, latest report from the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs showed Tuesday. Economists had forecast slight decrease to 3.9%. There were 156,453 unemployed people in May, down from 157,793 in April.
 
The unadjusted jobless rate eased to 3.8% from 4%, in line with economists' expectations. The number of unemployed fell to 151,074 from April's 158,570.
 
Youth unemployment in May fell to 22,518 from 24,740 in April. Total number of jobseekers was 215,264, down 8,540 from April. Total number of vacancies decreased to 17,097 from 17,294.
 
Switzerland is well on the way to getting itself removed from a "grey list" of tax havens, after parliament approved a series of tax agreements.
 
The House of Representatives on Thursday followed the Senate in overwhelmingly accepting a package of ten double taxation agreements drawn up in accordance with the demands of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
 
There is nothing new about double taxation agreements in themselves. Switzerland has concluded dozens of them over the years. Their main purpose is to ensure that businesses based in two different countries and individuals resident abroad do not get taxed twice.
 
But the agreements placed before parliament contain an important new element: they were drawn up to take into account Article 26 of the OECD's Model Tax Convention, under which countries agree to share relevant data in cases of suspected tax cheating.
 
This means that Switzerland will no longer restrict its administrative assistance to cases of presumed tax fraud (which involves the falsification of documents). It will also provide information where tax evasion is suspected - in other words, where money not declared to national tax authorities has been deposited in a Swiss bank.
 
Until now, Switzerland had been the only country which made a distinction between fraud and evasion.
 
Although the new obligation deals yet another blow to Swiss banking secrecy, the government decided to adopt it in March 2009 after coming under intense international pressure.
 
A number of countries, led by France and Germany, had accused Switzerland of encouraging tax evasion by offering undeclared money a home in Swiss safes.
 
The issue came to the fore as the world financial crisis meant that states found themselves facing liquidity shortages. Tensions came to a head in 2009 when, under pressure from the G20 group of industrialised states, the OCDE put Switzerland on its "grey list" of tax havens.
 
The only way for Switzerland to get off the grey list was for it to sign 12 double taxation agreements which included the new article. This it achieved in September 2009.
 
Exchange of information will take place once the new agreements come into force.
 
AUSTRIA
 
Vienna's ATX ended the week on 2,363.11, up 1.04%.
 
The Austrian economy did worse than the European Union (EU) average in the first quarter of this year, according to a leading think tank.
 
Institute for Economic Research (WIFO) announced Friday (Fri) the Austrian gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 0.3% in the first three months of 2010 compared to the fourth quarter of last year.
 
The EU-wide average GFP meanwhile soared by 0.2% in the first quarter of 2010 compared to the last three months of last year.
 
WIFO pointed out soaring mineral oil prices would not only keep investments low but also lead to declining spending by Austrians.
 
Researcher agency KMU Forschung Austria however announced earlier this week that Austrians' spending power rose strongly in "crisis year 2009". The body said people's purchasing power jumped by 4.6% year on year, adding that Austrians had around 135 billion Euros of disposable income to spend.
 
WIFO meanwhile stressed the Austrian economy would continue to recover from the impact of the economic crisis, but added this process would occur slower than initially expected.
 
Austria's trade deficit widened to Eur 1.08 billion in the first quarter from Eur 1.05 billion in the same period last year, the Statistics Austria said Tuesday.
 
Exports rose 3.9% year-on-year in the first three months of this year and imports were up 3.8% annually. Imports from the EU member states increased 4.2% in the first quarter, while exports to these countries increased 3.8%. Shipments to countries outside Europe grew 4.1% year-on-year and there was a 2.8% increase in imports from these countries.
 
In March, the trade deficit was Eur 368.2 million, up from Eur 307.5 million recorded a year ago. Meanwhile, exports grew 9.6% year-on-year and imports rose 9.9% annually.
 
Austria's wholesale price inflation accelerated to 4.9% in May from 4.8% in the previous month, the Statistics Austria said Monday. The index registered 0.4% increase compared to the previous month. The wholesale price index reflects price trends for goods that are sold by wholesale enterprises. 
 
SWEDEN
 
In Stockholm the OMX rounded off the week at 1,016.29, a dip of 0.14% for the day.
 
Swedish growth and inflation expectations increased in one year perspective and two-year perspective, results of a survey released on Wednesday showed.
 
TNS SIFO Prospera's survey of money market players suggests inflation would be 1.5% in next one year, up from 1.3% expected in the March survey. Participants raised their outlook for the next two years to 2% from 1.9%. However, they believe inflation in the second year from now will stay within the Riksbank's 1%-3% tolerance band.
 
Survey participants foresee an increase in repo rate in the next three months and would reach 1% in one year. Thereafter, the rate would be increased in the two-year.
 
The Swedish economy would grow 1.7% in the next one year and 2.2% in the two years from now. In the previous survey, the economy was forecast to grow 1.1% in next 12 months and 2% in 24 months. On a five-year perspective, the Swedish economy would grow 2.5%, slightly slower than the 2.6% growth forecast in the previous survey.
 
Money market players' one-year outlook on wage increase was unchanged from the previous survey. But, they expect slight increase in the next two years and five years.
 
TNS SIFO Prospera has been commissioned by Sveriges Riksbank to conduct a series of surveys, twelve times a year, aiming at mapping expectations of inflation, GDP and future repo rates in Sweden among money market players. The mandate also includes mapping expectations of future GDP-growth and repo rates, for money market players also the five year government bond rate, the SEK/Eur and SEK/USD rates.
 
Swedish central government payments showed a surplus of SEK 20 billion in May, the National Debt Office said in a report on Monday. The balance for May was smaller than the SEK 25.2 billion surplus estimated by the Debt Office due to lower tax revenue.
 
Tax revenue was SEK 4.5 billion lower than expected in May after three consecutive months of higher tax revenue than forecast. The lower revenue was somewhat compensated by lower disbursements, the report showed. The net lending was SEK 2.1 billion higher than calculated. Interest payments on central government debt, at the same time, were SEK 0.6 billion lower than calculated.
 
Data revealed that central government payments resulted in a deficit of SEK 138 billion during the twelve-month period up to the end of May. Central government debt totaled SEK 1,116 billion at the end of May.
 
Swedish consumer price inflation increased at a slightly faster than expected pace in May, a latest report from Statistics Sweden showed on Thursday.
 
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.2% year-on-year in May, faster than 1% in the previous month. Economists had expected an increase of 1.1%.
 
On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.2% in May, after a flat reading in the preceding month. Economists were looking for an increase of 0.1%.
 
The price increase was mainly driven by the higher interest costs for owner occupied housing, up 2.4% and clothing and footwear prices, up 1.4%. The combined contribution to inflation was 0.1 percentage points. Increase in rents, prices of books and dairy products also added 0.1 percentage points.
 
The increases were partly offset by lower prices for vegetables, down 6.2%. This deducted 0.1 percentage points. Prices of electricity also dropped in May, but the agency noted that the decrease had no influence on the monthly change as the electricity price level for April is underestimated.
 
The underlying inflation rate according to CPIF was 2.1% in May, smaller than 2.2% in April. Economists had forecast a core inflation rate of 2%. On a monthly basis, the CPIF edged up 0.1% after staying flat in the previous month.
 
The CPIX rose 1.8% year-on-year in May and 0.1% from the previous month. Meanwhile, the harmonized index of consumer prices rose 1.9% over a year earlier and increased 0.1% compared to the preceding month.
 
Thursday, the TNS SIFO Prospera's survey of money market players, commissioned by the Riksbank, suggested that inflation would be 1.5% in next one year, up from 1.3% expected in the March survey. Participants raised their outlook for the next two years to 2% from 1.9%. However, they believe inflation in the second year from now will stay within the central bank's 1%-3% tolerance band.
 
In April, the central bank revised down its inflation outlook for this year to 1.1% from 1.6% estimated in February. Forecast for 2011 is placed at 2.1%, down from 2.9% projected earlier. 
 
NORWAY
 
Oslo's OBX completed the week on 323.29, up 0.52% for the session.
 
Norwegian investment in oil and gas activity is estimated to climb to a record high in 2011, while the investment estimate for 2010 has also been revised upwards.
 
Total investments in oil and gas activity in 2011, including pipeline transportation, are estimated at NOK 146.3 billion, the highest on record, the first-time estimate by the Statistics Norway said Thursday. The estimate for 2010 is adjusted upward at NOK 139.7 billion.
 
The estimated investment amount for 2011 would be NOK 10.2 billion more than the corresponding estimate for 2010 that was given in the second quarter of 2009. The agency noted the increase was mainly driven by a sharply higher estimate for fields on steam.
 
Meanwhile, there has been downward adjustments in the level of investment in exploration, field development, onshore activity and pipeline transportation.
 
The investments for exploration activity in 2011 are estimate at NOK 30.1 billion, NOK 3 billion less than the estimate for 2010 given in the second quarter of 2009.
 
Investments for field development and fields on stream in 2011 are estimated at NOK 109.7 billion, an increase of NOK 14.3 billion compared to the corresponding estimate for 2010. Onshore activities and pipeline transportation are estimated at NOK 5.8 and NOK 0.7 billion, respectively.
 
Total investments in oil and gas activities for 2010, including pipeline transportation, are estimated at NOK 139.7 billion. This estimate is NOK 4.1 billion higher than the estimate given in the previous quarter but NOK 5.5 billion lower than the corresponding estimate for 2009.
 
Norwegian consumer price inflation eased in May due to a fall in electricity charges from the prior month, the latest report from Statistics Norway showed on Thursday.
 
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.5% year-on-year in May, slower than the 3.3% growth in the previous month and 3.4% in March. Thus, inflation slowed for a second month in a row. Economists had expected an increase of 2.8%.
 
The easing in inflation was mainly due to a fall in the prices on electricity included grid rent by 11.6% in May from April versus a 1.7% decline a year ago. Further, prices on fuels and lubricants slipped 0.4%, compared to the 3% increase last year. The prices on airline fares climbed 4.6% and footwear rose by 2.9%.
 
Food and non-alcoholic beverages prices rose 0.7% annually in May, while clothing and footwear prices fell 3.4%. Transport charges grew 2.7% and education costs rose 3.3%. Communication charges fell 2.9%.
 
Month-on-month, the CPI declined 0.5% in May, compared to a 0.2% rise in the previous month. Economists were looking for a 0.4% decline.
 
Food and non-alcoholic beverages prices rose 0.1%, while clothing and footwear prices grew 0.7%. Health costs fell 0.1%. For the first five months of the year, the CPI increased 3% compared to the same period of the previous year.
 
The CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products (CPI-ATE) rose 1.5% year-on-year, matching economists' expectations. Core inflation was slower than 1.7% in the previous month. On a monthly basis, the index edged up 0.1% compared to a 0.3% rise in April. Economists had forecast a 0.2% rise.
 
Separately, the statistical office said the harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP), which is calculated for European comparison purposes, rose 2.6% year-on-year in May, slower than the 3.4% gain in the previous month. This was mainly due to a fall in electricity prices. Month-on-month, the HICP fell 0.5%.
 
Norway's producer price inflation eased in May, it was also revealed Thursday.
 
The producer price index (PPI) rose 18.4% year-on-year in May, slower than the 26.7% growth in the previous month. Manufacturing, mining and quarrying output grew 6.5%, slowing from 9.7% gain in April. Electricity, gas and steam output climbed 24.8% versus 35.2% in April.
 
Intermediate goods output grew 7.2% annually in May. Production of consumer goods and energy goods increased by 2.9% and 29.8%, respectively. Production of investment goods fell 0.7%.
 
On a monthly basis, the PPI dropped 0.5% in May, reversing from 3.5% gain in April. The decline in prices was mainly due to electricity charges, which fell by 11.3% from the prior month. Further, extraction of oil and natural gas prices slipped 0.3%, while electricity, gas and steam supply fell 11.3%. However, manufacturing, mining and quarrying prices grew 0.3%. 
 
FINLAND
 
In Helsinki, the OMX closed out the week on 6,575.14, up 0.24% for the day.
 
Finnish gross domestic product, or GDP, fell 0.4% sequentially in the first quarter, the Statistics Finland said Wednesday. It followed a revised 0.2% decline in the fourth quarter. The economy contracted for a second consecutive quarter following growth in the third quarter of 2009.
 
On an annual basis, the working day adjusted GDP declined 0.8%, but much slower than fourth quarter's revised fall of 5.2%. GDP has been falling since the fourth quarter of 2008. At current prices, working days adjusted GDP dropped 0.1%.
 
The seasonally adjusted GDP was down 0.6% year-on-year in the first quarter following a 5.4% decline in the previous quarter. That was the sixth straight quarterly fall in GDP.
 
Compared to the fourth quarter, exports and private consumption continued to decline. Export volume dropped 11% and private consumption by 0.5%. Investment was down 0.9%.
 
Finland industrial production grew by working day adjusted 8.8% in April from twelve months earlier. April's growth figure was bigger than the 2.4% increase seen in March. In April, seasonally adjusted output rose 2.1% month-on-month, following a 1.9% rise in March.
 
Forest industry showed the largest annual growth of 22.9% in April. After decreasing for nearly eighteen months, the metal industry grew 9.3%. Meanwhile, output of chemical industry decreased 8.2% due to a service shutdown in oil refining. Production of food industry plunged 16.6%.
 
The capacity utilization rate in manufacturing improved to 69% in April. The utilization rate in the forest industry rose to 84.8% and that in the metal industry climbed to 66%.
 
Finnish trade balance swung to a surplus of Eur 355 million in April from Eur 345 million deficit in March, the National Board of Customs said Wednesday. A year ago, the trade balance was a surplus of Eur 645 million.
 
Total exports rose 7% year-on-year to Eur 4.36 billion. Exports to EU grew 10% to Eur 2.4 billion and those to the Eurozone climbed 3% to Eur 1.3 billion.
 
On the other hand, total imports gained 17% to Eur 4 billion. Imports from EU were up 9% to Eur 2.28 billion and those from Euro area climbed 9% to Eur 1.38 billion. 
 
DENMARK
 
The OMX in Copenhagen drew the week to a close on 402.22, a gain on the day of 0.10%.
 
Denmark's consumer price inflation eased in May, a report by Statistics Denmark showed on Thursday.
 
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.2% year-on-year in May, slower than 2.4% in the previous month. The inflation came in line with economists' expectations.
 
Prices on alcoholic beverages and tobacco increased the most by 5.1% annually in May, mainly due to higher prices of tobacco. Communication charges grew 1.9%, while housing and education costs rose by 4%, each.
 
On a monthly basis, the CPI remained unchanged in May, in line with economists' expectations. It follows a 0.2% gain in the previous month. Food and non-alcoholic beverages prices fell 0.4%, while clothing and footwear prices dipped 0.3%. Transport charges fell 0.2%.
 
Meanwhile, the harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP), which is calculated for European comparison purposes, rose 1.9% on an annual basis in May, slowing from 2.4% growth in April. Month-on-month, the HICP fell 0.1%, after rising 0.2% in April.
 
Danish exports decreased in April from the previous month, a report by Statistics Denmark showed on Wednesday.
 
Exports excluding ships and aircrafts dropped a seasonally adjusted 11% on a monthly basis to DKK 41.9 billion in April, in contrast to the 15.4% growth in the previous month. Shipments of food products, beverages, tobacco fell 12.4% and those of the finished products and other goods slipped 13.6%. Chemicals and chemical products exports decreased 13%.
 
Similarly, imports excluding ships and aircrafts dropped 3.9% in April from the previous month, compared to the 6.9% increase in the previous month. Imports of fuel and lubricants climbed 24.8% and those of chemicals and chemical products fell 5.5%. Thus, the trade balance showed a surplus of DKK 5.8 billion in April, down from DKK 9.5 billion in the previous month.
 
The trade surplus, including ships and aircrafts narrowed to DKK 5.6 billion in April from DKK 9.4 billion in the preceding month. Exports and imports dropped by 11.5% and 4.3%, respectively compared to the preceding month.
 
Separately, the statistical office said the current account surplus stood at DKK 7.8 billion in April, rising from DKK 7.3 billion in the previous month. This was mainly due to surplus of goods and services, both stayed at DKK 4.4 billion. A year earlier, the current account surplus stood at DKK 5.1 billion.
 
Production in Danish industrial firms decreased in April with the output in non-durable goods industries falling notably.
 
Output dropped 1.8% year-on-year in April and 0.8% month-on-month, the Statistics Denmark said Monday. The monthly figure for March was revised down to show a 0.2% decline versus the 0.1% growth reported earlier.
 
Manufacture of non-durables slid 7.2% monthly and output of durables fell 4.4%. However, production in capital goods industry increased 7.6%.
 
Meanwhile, total industrial turnover slipped 8.4% month-on-month. Capital goods industry recorded the biggest turnover decline of 13.6%. Revenue from the export market fell 9.9%, while in the domestic market, turnover dropped 5.4% monthly.
 
Industrial new orders declined 11.2% on a monthly basis. New export orders decreased 12.2%, while there was a 8.1% drop in orders received from the domestic market. The export orders received by the capital goods industry, accounting for the major share in total exports, declined 15.2%. 
 
SPAIN
 
The IBEX in Madrid finished the trading session Friday on 9,561.70, a huge gain on the day of 3.95%.
 
Spain's government is expected to issue a decree for bringing in Labour market reforms after a bid to evolve a consensus on the matter failed, reports said.
 
On Thursday, conciliatory talks involving trade union representatives and employers organization, CEOE, failed to break the deadlock with both sides sticking to their respective positions.
 
Trade union representatives warned that they will respond with a general strike if authorities attempt to unilaterally impose reforms.
 
Public sector workers staged a 24-hour walk out on Tuesday to protest the planned cost-cutting measures by Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero's government. But it failed to evoke a massive response prompting questions over the support commanded by the unions.
 
The government has set a June 16 deadline for pushing through the reforms which are aimed at slashing the Iberian nation's soaring budget deficit, which is currently running above 11% of its GDP.
 
The proposed austerity measures mainly include a 5% slash in workers wages starting June and a wage-freeze in 2011. Besides, suspending automatic inflation-adjustments for pensions, doing away with childbirth payments to parents, and a massive $1.4 billion reduction in government allocation are also in the offing.
 
While authorities say the measures will help save close to $19 billion over the next two years, trade unions allege that the austerity plan targets ordinary Spaniards.
 
Spain's public sector currently has a 2.5 million plus workforce and the country has an unemployment rate of 20%, among the highest in the developed world.
 
Public-sector workers in Spain have begun a 24-hour strike to protest an average five% cut in pay, the country's first public wage cuts in three decades.
 
The trade union confederation CCOO has called upon more than 2.5 million public-sector employees to join the industrial action Tuesday.
 
Early reports say municipal cleaning services were largely paralyzed in the morning hours.
 
Most of the postal workers also joined the strike, while sectors such as health services, firefighters and prisons were providing minimum services, and some public broadcasters cut down on programs, trade union leaders claimed. Hundreds of thousands from schools and local government also joined the stir.
 
The strike was the first major Labour unrest faced by Socialist Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero since he took over power in 2004.
 
After insisting for months that Spain would be relatively unaffected by the economic crisis, the Socialist government backtracked on a policy of not slashing social benefits under pressure from the European Union and other international analysts, who were concerned that the European debt crisis that began in Greece could spread to Spain.
 
The salary cut was part of a government austerity package aimed at reducing the country's budget deficit from 11.2% in 2009 to six% in 2011 and to below the EU limit of three% by 2013.
 
The bitter austerity measures, announced last month, threaten the public sector employees with freezing of salaries in 2011. The government estimates a cost cutting of 4.5 billion Euros ($5.4 billion) by this measure.
 
The austerity package worth 15 billion Euros ($18 billion) also includes freezing pensions, trimming public investments and eliminating a bonus to the parents of new-born children.
 
Demonstrations were also planned all over the country Tuesday, and an eventual general strike is in the offing over the government's plans to reduce protection for workers on permanent contracts in order to make the Labour market more flexible. 
 
PORTUGAL
 
The PSI General in Lisbon closed out the week at 2,528.83, up 0.89%.
 
The Portuguese economic performance improved in the first quarter, latest report by Statistics Portugal showed on Wednesday.
 
The gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.8% year-on-year in the first quarter, rebounding from a 1% fall in the previous quarter. This was the first positive GDP figure since the third quarter of 2008. The first quarter GDP was revised from 1.7% drop reported initially. A year earlier, the GDP decreased 3.9%.
 
The gross capital formation slipped 3.8% annually in the first quarter, following a 12.6% fall in the previous quarter. At the same time, the gross demand increased 13%, compared to the 2% decline in the fourth quarter.
 
Sequentially, the GDP climbed 1.1% in the first quarter, revised from 1% estimated initially. In the fourth quarter, the GDP slipped 0.1%.
 
Separately, the statistical office said the trade deficit widened to Eur 4.80 billion in the February to April period from Eur 4.63 billion a year ago. In March, the trade deficit stood at Eur 4.42 billion. Exports increased 18.4% year-on-year to Eur 8.98 billion in the February to April period from Eur 7.86 billion last year. At the same time, imports climbed 12.9% to Eur 13.78 billion from Eur 12.21 billion a year earlier.
 
The Euro is unlikely to fall to parity with the US Dollar and the measures so far taken to ease financial market tensions are expected to work, Portugal economy minister Jose Vieira da Silva said Tuesday.
 
Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of a conference in Shanghai, Da Silva said the recovery in Europe is fragile. He said the recently announced austerity measures across the Eurozone would work towards restoring confidence.
 
Eurozone finance ministers on Monday approved Eur 440 billion austerity package that was designed a month ago to help those countries in danger of insolvency. The fund, together with Eur 60 billion from the European Commission and Eur 250 billion from the International Monetary Fund was aimed to reduce the risk of the Greek public-debt crisis spreading to other states with a high deficit, such as Spain or Portugal. 
 
ITALY
 
Italy's FTSE MIB Index gained 269.18, or 1.4%, to 19,660.27 in Milan. The gauge has climbed 4.9% this week.
 
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena followed bank shares higher across Europe, gaining 2.8 cents, or 3.2%, to 91.1 cents. "We are expecting a rally in European bank shares, triggered by the stabilization that the EU purchases of sovereign bonds will bring to markets and the size of the correction that we have seen to date," MF Global wrote in a note Friday. Banca Popolare di Milano Scrl (PMI IM) rose 7 cents, or 2.1%, to 3.43 Euros. Intesa Sanpaolo SpA (ISP IM) increased 6.25 cents, or 3%, to 2.18 Euros. Unione di Banche Italiane ScpA (UBI IM) gained 22.5 cents, or 3.2%, to 7.29 Euros.
 
Bulgari, the world's third-largest jeweler, fell 11.5 cents, or 1.8%, to 6.25 Euros after sales at US retailers unexpectedly dropped in May, signaling consumers boosted savings as employment slowed and stocks fell.
 
Impregilo added 7.4 cents, or 3.9%, to 1.98 Euros, after Banca Profilo initiated coverage of the stock with a "buy" recommendation and a price estimate of 3.2 Euros.
 
Separately, shares of Italy's biggest builder rose above their 20-day moving average.
 
Pierrel SpA advanced 16 cents, or 4.5%, to 3.71 Euros, after saying that Russian regulators approved its Articaine anesthetic.
 
Pirelli & C. Real Estate jumped 2.45 cents, or 7.1%, to 36.95 cents after Pirelli & C. SpA Chairman Marco Tronchetti Provera said that Pirelli Re, which the tiremaker is in the process of separating, "doesn't need partners," speaking to reporters in Venice.
 
Prysmian climbed 44 cents, or 3.6%, to 12.71 Euros. The world's second-biggest cable maker won a contract worth more than 200 million Euros ($242.6 million) to connect offshore wind plants in Germany, according to a statement distributed by the Italian exchange.
 
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario advanced for a third day, rising 1.7 cents, or 2.6%, to 66.85 cents. Gruppo Banca Leonardo SpA reiterated a "buy" rating on the insurer, noting that the "shares plummeted 24% -- net of dividend paid -- since the announcement of the capital increase on March 25." The brokerage says it's "unlikely for the capital increase to be carried out at a large discount on current market prices."
 
Italy's economy grew less than previously estimated in the first quarter, latest figures from the statistical office Istat showed Thursday.
 
Gross domestic product, or GDP, rose 0.4% sequentially in the first three months of this year, slightly slower than the 0.5% growth reported initially. It followed 0.1% contraction in the fourth quarter.
 
"This is a fairly unbalanced report, which confirms that recovery is still there, but that more is needed on the domestic demand front to make it sustainable," ING Bank Economist Paolo Pizzoli said.
 
Among the components of GDP, final consumption expenditure dropped 0.1% sequentially, of which households final consumption expenditure stagnated and government spending declined 0.5%. Gross fixed capital formation was up 0.6%. A 5.3% rise in exports boosted growth in the first quarter. Imports increased 3.3%.
 
On an annual basis, GDP climbed 0.5%, also slower than the preliminary estimate of 0.6% rise. In the fourth quarter, the economy contracted 0.1%, revised up from a 2.8% decline reported earlier. 
 
GREECE
 
The Athex Composite in Athens ended the trading session and the week Friday on 1,484.13, up 0.52% for the day.
 
Greece's unemployment rate slowed for the first time in three months in March, the Hellenic Statistical Authority said Thursday.
 
The jobless rate stood at 11.6% in March, down from 12.1% in February. The rate was however, much higher than the 9.2% logged a year ago. The number of unemployed was 578,723, while there were 4.3 million inactive people in the country during the month.
 
The number of employed decreased by 65,773 persons or 1.5% from March 2009 and increased by 19,848 persons or 0.5% from the previous month. Similarly, unemployment increased 26.6% year-on-year and fell 4.4% month-on-month.
 
The highest unemployment rate was recorded among persons of 15 to 24 years age group. The rate for the group was 29.8%.
 
Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said Wednesday that the country is on track to meet its 2010 deficit targets, with data suggesting that the deficit dropped about 40% in the first five months of the year.
 
During the same period, revenue increased 8%, while spending dropped by more than 10%, Papaconstantinou said in Athens. He noted that speculations that Greece will face a default or would leave the Euro area were baseless.
 
The country accumulated a budget deficit of 13.6% of gross domestic product in 2009. The government has pledged to cut the shortfall to 8.1% of GDP this year.
 
Greece targets to bring the budget deficit under 3% in 2014 in exchange for financial aid from the E.U. and the International Monetary Fund. The government has unveiled a number of austerity measures to slash the deficit, sparking mass unrest and violent demonstrations in the streets of Athens.
 
Greece's economy contracted at a faster pace than estimated earlier in the first quarter, a latest report from the statistical office showed on Wednesday.
 
The gross domestic product (GDP) at constant prices dropped a seasonally adjusted 1% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter, faster than the 0.8% decline in the previous quarter. The GDP decreased for the sixth consecutive quarter since the fourth quarter of 2008. The first quarter GDP was revised down from 0.8% decline reported initially. A year earlier, the GDP decreased 1%.
 
Year-on-year, the GDP dropped 2.5% in the first quarter, revised from 2.3% fall reported initially. In the fourth quarter, the GDP slipped 2.5%.
 
Gross fixed capital formation decreased 14.6% and total gross value added dropped 3.2%. On an unadjusted basis, the GDP decreased 2.5% in the first quarter, same as in the previous quarter. The first quarter GDP was revised from 2.3% fall estimated initially.
 
At current prices, the GDP dropped a seasonally adjusted 0.2% sequentially in the first quarter, after a 1% growth in the fourth quarter. On an annual basis, the GDP grew 0.6%, compared to the 0.7% fall in the previous quarter.
 
Exports decreased 0.5% year-on-year in the first quarter, while imports fell 6.6%. At the same time, merchandise exports and imports fell by 3.9% and 11.1%, respectively.  
    

The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsBP was largely responsible for the London market's rally on Friday with its stock showing the strongest rebound since the Deepwater Horizon disaster.
 
The stock bounced 7.2% to 391.9p after Steve Westwell, BP's chief of staff, estimated that total clean-up and containment costs would be between $3bn and $6bn. That was $3bn lower than forecast by Credit Suisse, which hosted the meeting.
 
Analysts at JPMorgan Cazenove were also positive on BP stock, in spite of the political pressure on its dividend. It argued that BP's proven oil resources and reserves were being valued at less than $1 per barrel.
 
BP's bounce added 19 points to the FTSE 100, which closed up 31.18 points, or 0.6%, to 5,163.68. For the week, the index was up 0.7%.
 
Pharmaceuticals stocks helped Friday's positive trend with GlaxoSmithKline up 2.9% to £11.97 and AstraZeneca 2.2% firmer at £30.65. Barclays Capital upgraded both stocks to "overweight" based on valuation and regulatory concerns that it said had been exaggerated.
 
Reed Elsevier was up 2.3% to 494½p on the back of a Morgan Stanley upgrade to "overweight" with a 600p target price.
 
"Improving underlying market conditions suggest a strong bounce-back in 2011-12," the broker said. "July's interims should be the nadir of Reed's fundamentals from an earnings view."
 
InterContinental Hotels was up 1.2% to £11.55 following a presentation to US investors this week.
 
Credit Suisse kept an "outperform" in response, saying its confidence had been strengthened in the hotelier's cost-cutting and rebrand of Holiday Inn.
 
Persistent talk of a deal lifted International Power by 1.7% to 305½p; French peers GDF-Suez and EDF were linked to the rumours.
 
Banks weakened on profit-taking with Lloyds Banking Group off 2.8% to 54¼p and Royal Bank of Scotland 1.8% softer at 42¼p.
 
Standard Chartered drifted 2% to £16.15½ following speculation that it may be in the running to buy a minority stake in Indonesia's Panin Bank.
 
Ahead of results on Tuesday, Tesco was down 1.8% to 394¼p after it launched a debt buy-back.
 
Lloyd's of London insurers led the mid-cap index after Brit Insurance rejected an indicative bid approach from Apollo Global Management of about £10 per share.
 
News of the bid was "a ray of light for a depressed sector", said Collins Stewart analyst Ben Cohen. "With the sector trading at close to historic lows on price-to-book multiples, M&A should provide an underpinning for valuations," he said.
 
Brit closed up 20.7% to 880p while Catlin was 6.3% higher at 347p and Beazley took on 5.3% to 120¼p.
 
Dana Petroleum led the oil explorers with a 4.2% gain to £10.88 after UBS added the stock to its "buy" list on valuation grounds. Drill results due this year from the Faroe Islands, Mauritania and Guinea could provide a catalyst for Dana shares while growth in the North Sea provides a valuation backstop, UBS argued.
 
DSG International gained 5.8% to 27p following results from Home Retail Group on Thursday that suggested its Argos chain was losing electricals market share to DSG.
 
F&C Asset Management lost 0.5% to 53p on word that an institutional shareholder sold about a 3% stake.
 
888 Holdings, the online casino, lost 1% to 49¾p after Barclays Capital savaged its strategy and dismissed takeover hopes, write Bryce Elder and Matt Kennard.
 
In a note downgrading the stock to "underweight", BarCap argued that 888 is sub-scale with no particular unique selling point. It said the group was caught out by European moves to regulate gaming, which have left it highly reliant on the UK, where taxation could cut earnings by 20-30%. The analysts "fundamentally disagreed" with bid theories, given 888 has yet to reach a settlement with the US government over possible prosecution.
 
African Consolidated Resources added 7.1% to 11½p after it signed a joint venture to develop its recently acquired Nkombwa Hill project in Zambia.
 
Kenmare Resources rose 2% to 12¾p after JPMorgan Cazenove started coverage of the titanium miner with an "overweight" rating and 20p target price. Expansion at Kenmare's industry-leading Mozambique mine came at a time when titanium minerals were becoming scarce due to Chinese demand and economic recovery in the west, which could drive a step change in pricing, it said.
 
First Derivatives, the trading systems maker, was marked down by 2.5% to 300p after non-executive director Michael O'Neill sold 100,000 shares at 300p apiece.
 
Schools software maker IMJack - which had only resumed trading this week following a four-month suspension - slumped 68.6% to 0.3p on news that the government had withdrawn an offer of match funding for its customers.
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN
 
Tokyo stocks rose for the second straight session Friday, helped by a surge in the Euro, Wall Street's overnight rise, and the resignation of financial services minister Shizuka Kamei, which aided financials that had strained under the prospect of tougher regulations he had helped promote.
 
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 162.60 points, or 1.7%, to 9705.25, following its 1.1% rise on Thursday. The Topix index of all the Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section issues also rose 9.65 points, or 1.1%, to 866.44, with 29 of 33 subindexes closing in positive territory.
 
Trading volume was relatively heavy at over 2.8 billion shares as June Nikkei options and futures settled this morning, with the latter rolling over to the September contract.
 
On the Osaka Securities Exchange, the new futures contract ended up 200 points, or 2.1%, at 9710.
 
Wall Street's sharp overnight gains brightened sentiment from the start, while the Euro's surge against the Yen was immediate salve for beleaguered exporter shares. Tokyo Electron added 4.3% to Y5,560, and Nikon rose 3.7% to Y1,623.
 
Panasonic gained 6.9% to Y1,220 on heavy volume following a Nikkei report that its Sanyo Electric subsidiary will consider producing photovoltaic modules locally in the US and in Europe.
 
Sanyo Electric also closed up 4.8% to Y130.
 
The reported resignation of financial services minister Shizuka Kamei from the newly formed Naoto Kan cabinet--later confirmed--helped financial shares, particularly retail lenders, which surged as a group early before surrendering much of their gains later. Acom closed up 2.4% at Y1,132, while Promise added 4.1% to Y640. One trader at a European brokerage said the buying was short-covering, as consumer lenders are still expected to face a difficult business environment.
 
Kamei had been a proponent of stricter regulations, including the revised money lending law scheduled to take effect next week.
 
Bank stocks were also seen benefiting somewhat from Kamei's stepdown, but its impact was seen as more limited as Kamei's successor will likely be chosen from the same People's New Party (PNP), which Kamei still heads. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group closed up 3.2%, while Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group added 1.4% to Y2,647.
 
Glass makers were among the top beneficiaries of the rising Euro, as several of its largest constituents have relatively high exposure to Europe. Asahi Glass rose 2.7% to Y928, while Nippon Sheet Glass added 2.6% to Y238.
 
"We had been selling these stocks mainly because of worries about the health of the European economy," said a local fund manager, noting investors' concerns about demand for auto and construction use glass amid sovereign debt problems in the region.
 
For the week, the Nikkei lost 2.0%, and remains down 8.0% year-to-date. 
 
SOUTH KOREA
 
South Korea's Kospi index rose 23.64, or 1.4%, to 1,675.34 at the close in Seoul, ending the week 0.7% higher.
 
The following were among the most-active stocks in South Korean markets.
 
Aerospace-related shares: Vitzro Tech, which makes key components for launch vehicle engines, lost 15%, or the daily limit, to 7,820 won. Satrec Initiative, which makes satellite platforms and components, dropped 15% to 24,900 won. South Korea failed in its second attempt to launch a research satellite into space using a domestically developed rocket, dealing a blow to the country's ambition to snare a share of a $250 billion global market.
 
Shipbuilders: Hyundai Heavy Industries, the world's biggest shipbuilder, added 6.9% to 223,500 won. Samsung Heavy Industries climbed 4.5% to 23,400 won. Hyundai Mipo Dockyard gained 4.1% to 128,000 won. The shares rose on speculation they may raise prices to offset a stronger currency and higher material costs.
 
Chin Hung International, a South Korean builder, lost 4.5% to 535 won. The stock fell after announcing a plan to 320 million new shares.
 
Korea Kumho Petrochemical, a South Korean maker of rubber products, added 5% to 40,800 won, the highest since Sept. 24, 2008. Daewoo Securities Co. raised the price estimate to 60,000 won from 40,000 won, and maintained its "buy" recommendation in a report Friday, saying second-quarter operating profit may rise 33% to 86.5 billion won ($70 million) from the previous quarter.
 
LG Electronics, South Korea's second- largest electronics maker, shed 1.9% to 94,600 won, the lowest since March 31, 2009. The company was downgraded to "neutral" from "buy" at UBS AG.
 
HONG KONG
 
Hong Kong shares ended marginally higher Thursday, led by fashion retailer Esprit because of the Euro's rebound, but instant-messaging service provider Tencent slumped due to concerns about an online market slowdown.
 
The blue-chip Hang Seng Index rose 11.46 points, or 0.1%, to 19,632.70 after trading between 19,517.61 and 19,729.15.
 
Market volume totaled HK$47.26 billion, down from HK$51.54 billion Wednesday.
 
Analysts said investors were cautious ahead of China's consumer price index data due Friday. China's inflation likely hit the government's 3% annual target in May, up from 2.8% in April, according to a survey of economists' forecasts.
 
Retailer Esprit was the biggest blue-chip gainer, rising 3.7% to HK$43.60, because of the Euro's rebound. The company derives most of its revenue from Europe.
 
Oil company Cnooc rose 2.6% to HK$12.68 on strong crude prices. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for delivery in July traded at US$74.63 a barrel at 0622 GMT, up US$0.25 in the Globex electronic session. July Brent crude on London's ICE Futures exchange rose US$0.12 to US$74.39 a barrel.
 
Tencent was the biggest blue-chip decliner, plunging 7.3% to HK$127.40, extending its 4.4% drop Wednesday. Traders said a slowdown in on-line gaming raised concerns of a slowdown in other online markets.
 
China auto stocks also slid, led by Geely Auto, which tumbled 7.7% to HK$2.39, following weak sales data. The company said Wednesday its car sales fell 4.3% in May from April to 31,041 units.
 
Traders said recent auto sales data suggest the sector is entering a downcycle, adding a slowdown in sales will be followed by price cuts and margin erosion.
 
Dongfeng Motor fell 4.7% to HK$7.73 and BYD dropped 3.7% to HK$59.70. 
 
CHINA
 
China's shares ended higher Friday as banks rose after recent sharp losses, but concerns surrounding Beijing's macro-policies and uncertainty about the domestic economic outlook capped gains in the broader market.
 
The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks both A and B shares, ended up 0.3%, or 7.36 points, at 2569.94 after rising as high as 2590.98 in the morning session. The index gained 0.6% this week.
 
The Shenzhen Composite Index fell 0.3%, or 3.1 points, to 1066.10 because of profit-taking on the small- and medium-sized enterprise board on the bourse.
 
Analysts said they expect the benchmark Shanghai index to continue to consolidate between 2,500 and 2,600 in the remaining sessions of this month, because slower industrial output growth in May added to concerns about a possible double dip in the domestic economy.
 
China's major economic indicators for May showed consumer-price inflation breaching the 3% level for the first time in more than a year and a half, but economists said they expect inflationary pressures to ease in the second half of the year on falling global raw material prices.
 
Other indicators showed the pace of economic growth in China is moderating. Fixed asset investment in urban areas rose 25.9% in the January-May period, slower than 26.1% growth in the January-April period, and industrial production expanded 16.5% in May, a tad slower than April's 17.8% rise.
 
Banks rose after recent sharp falls. ICBC ended up 0.7% at CNY4.17 after dropping 12% since the middle of April, and China Construction Bank gained 0.6% to CNY4.80 after declining 14% over the same period.
 
But analysts said further upside in the sector will be limited because of concerns about the resurgence of bad assets following last year's lending binge and recent tightening measures targeting the property market.
 
Turnover on China's two stock exchanges totaled CNY152.66 billion, down from CNY169.04 billion Thursday. Analysts attributed the lower volume to investors' caution ahead of market closures Monday to Wednesday for the Dragon Boat Festival.
 
Companies listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's small- and medium-sized enterprise board fell in heavy trade after recent sharp gains. The board fell 0.9% to 5514.79, after rising 3.7% in the previous four sessions.
 
On the SME board, textile company Sunvim Group dropped 5.4% to CNY10.50, Sinoma Science & Technology declined 3.7% to CNY39.84, and Shan Dong Sun Paper fell 3.0% to CNY10.80. 
 
TAIWAN
 
Taiwan share prices closed up 1.63% Friday after a strong showing on Wall Street overnight as a Euro rebound against the US Dollar gave investors at home and abroad some relief from concerns over debt problems in the Eurozone, according to dealers.
 
The weighted index rose 117.72 points to 7,299.49 after moving between 7,273.70 and 7,321.60, on turnover of NT$86.96 billion (US$2.68 billion).
 
The market opened up 1.69% as investors hailed the Dow Jones Industrial Average's comeback to above the key 10,000-point level overnight, and the momentum continued throughout the session, led by financial stocks, the dealers said.
 
A total of 2,401 stocks closed up and 677 ended the day down, with 276 remaining unchanged.
 
The financial sector posted the largest gains, up 2.7%. Paper and pulp, and plastics and chemicals closed up 1.6% each, while machinery and electronics shares were 1.5% higher. The cement and construction sectors both gained 1.3%, while textiles were up 0.6% and foodstuff shares grew 0.3%.
 
Fubon Financial gained 4.08% to NT$35.75, Cathay Financial rose 3.76% to NT$45.50 and Chinatrust Financial added 2.09% to NT$17.10.
 
In Taiwan, financial holding companies operate insurance, banking and securities businesses.
 
The previous day, the local bourse closed up 1.55%.
 
Flat panel manufacturer AU Optronics saw its shares rise 3.05% to NT$30.40, despite news that a federal grand jury in San Francisco has charged the company and six of its executives with price-fixing.
 
PC maker Acer closed up 3.13% at NT$79.20 on its strong May sales figures, while United Microelectronics Corp. added 2.51% to end the session at NT$14.30 and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. rose 1.85% to finish at NT$60.50. 
 
THE PHILIPPINES
 
The US market's rebound failed to inspire the local equities Friday which finished 0.59% lower as most investors remain wary of the Euro debt crisis and the health of the US economic recovery.
 
The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index lost 19.43 points to close at 3,254.83, while the all share index fell by 0.35% or 7.46 points to 2,078.56.
 
Trading volume reached 1.58 billion shares valued at 3.2 billion pesos (68.55 million US Dollars) with more foreign sellers than buyers with 280.62 million pesos (6.01 million US Dollars).
 
Decliners swept advancers 54 to 35 while 77 stocks did not move. Except for the mining and oil sector, the other five counters finished lower.
 
Friday's market performance is a complete reversal from Tuesday's trading, where the local equities bucked the 100 point decline of the US market and despite the presence of profit takers still managed to close in the positive.
 
After a very tight range trading, the local equities finished lower Friday despite the US market recovering 123 points of its value to settle at 9,939.98 last night.
 
Most stocks in the 30-company index finished in the red. Among the most actively traded issues that lost their value are Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., heavyweight Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. and Manila Electric Co.
 
SINGAPORE
 
Singapore stocks closed 0.6% higher on Friday, helped by Wall Street's rally overnight.
 
The Dow surged on upbeat data out of Asia on Thursday that showed Japan's economy growing quicker than initially thought, and Chinese exports soaring.
 
The benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) gained 16.71 points to end at 2,796.29.
 
Gainers led losers 267 to 161, with 771 issues unchanged. Overall volume traded was 903.1 million shares worth S$950.8 million.
 
Singapore Telecom rose 0.68% to S$2.97 and Singapore Airlines was up 1.38% to S$14.72.
 
Banking shares extended gains amid optimism about growth in the city-state's economy, with top lender DBS Group Holdings and United Overseas Bank each rising more than 1%.
 
INDONESIA
 
Indonesian shares gained more than 1% on Friday, leading gains in most other Southeast Asian markets, as investors bought resource shares because of strength in oil prices.
 
Indonesia's index ended at its highest since June 7 but it posted a loss on the week of 0.76% despite foreign buying of $79.18 million, down from last week's foreign buying of $146 million.
 
Asia's second-best-performing market trades at a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1, the highest in Southeast Asia, according to Thomson Reuters StarMine.
 
Indonesian stocks look overvalued compared to the region. It has priced in recent positive factors, including a decision by Indonesia's central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged. It's likely that the market will be weighed down next week by profit-taking.
 
Among gainers in Jakarta, state gas operator PT Perusahaan Gas Negara rose 3.4% and energy firm PT Indika Energy was up 1.8%. Automotive firms also gained including a 0.6% rise in automotive distributor Astra International and a 3.7% rise in United Tractors.
 
MALAYSIA
 
Share prices on Bursa Malaysia climbed the most this week, with the key index hitting the 1,300-point level, taking the cue from the Wall Street rally and positive local corporate developments, dealers said.
 
The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) was 8.94 points better at 1,300.25, after opening 7.2 points higher at 1,298.51 as most of the heavyweights gained like British American Tobacco (BAT), DiGi and Axiata.
 
The US market rose overnight, riding on increased Chinese exports and the strengthening Euro. Oil price jumped US$1.10 to close at US$75.48 per barrel.
 
On the 10th Malaysia Plan tabled Thursday, OSK Research said investors were not unduly surprised by the unveiling of the five-year development plan as it came within market expectations, adding that they were also waiting for more details of the proposals envisaged in the plan.
 
Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak tabled the plan in the Dewan Rakyat, sharing his vision of turning the nation into a high-income economy.
 
The government has allocated RM230 billion for development expenditure under the plan.
 
Meanwhile, the Industrial Index rose 11.84 points to 2,589.44, the Finance Index perked 72.67 points to 11,694.24 and the Plantation Index rose 29.76 points to 6,124.55.
 
The FBM Emas Index jumped 56.08 points to 8,742.63 and the FBM Ace Index was up 25.22 points to 3,796.04 and the FBM70 Index was 41.92 points higher at 8,625.17.
 
Advancers led decliners 208 to 19 while 67 counters were unchanged, 1,078 untraded and 33 others suspended.
 
Volume stood at 56.077 million shares worth RM52.537 million.
 
Among the active stocks, Denko rose 2.5 sen to 13.5 sen, troubled furniture-maker Kenmark gained half a sen to 20 sen, while Talam was flat at 14 sen.
 
Among heavyweights, Maybank and CIMB, both added six sen to RM7.47 and RM6.96, while Sime Darby was three sen higher at RM7.83.
 
BAT rose 20 sen to RM44.20, DiGi added 16 sen to RM22.74 after it signed a MoU with its rival, Celcom Axiata, to work on a proposal to share infrastructures that could lead to cost savings and reduce duplication in network operation areas.
 
Axiata, the parent company of Celcom Axiata, was up 11 sen to RM3.88.
 
Effective June 21, Malaysia Airlines (MAS) will replace Nestle in the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KL Composite Index following the semi-annual review approved by the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Index Advisory Committee.
 
The committee has also cut CIMB's investability weight from 100% to 75% while raising Digi's weight from 40% to 75% and 50% to 75% for Tanjong PLC.
 
OSK Research, in its daily report, said this will have the effect of dethroning CIMB from its top weightage spot on the FBM KLCI to third place behind Public Bank and Maybank.
 
The move also cuts the banking sector's weightage to 35% on the KLCI while increasing the Telco sector's weightage to 15%.
 
"We see some potential portfolio changes given that the index weighting change is not small for CIMB and DiGi," it added.
 
Meanwhile, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index will see the inclusion of Axiata, Malaysian Bulk Carriers, Bintulu Port and Kulim.
 
THAILAND
 
Bucking the regional trend, Thailand suffered net foreign selling of about $100 million on the week, with foreigners still cautious over the political situation in the country.
 
The Thai government is working on a reconciliation plan to mend political divisions and pave the way for elections after bloody anti-government protests.
 
Among outperformers in Bangkok on Friday were property and media sectors, which gained after positive consumer confidence in May, with Pruksa Real Estate, the second-largest housing developer by market capitalisation, rising 4.4%.
 
INDIA
 
Stronger-than-expected industrial output growth and robust regional markets pushed Indian shares higher Friday.
 
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index gained 142.87 points, or 0.8%, to close at 17,064.95. The index, which lost 0.3% this week, traded between 16,994.07 and 17,131.56 during the day.
 
On the National Stock Exchange, the 50-stock S&P CNX Nifty added 40.75 points, or 0.8%, to close at 5119.35.
 
Trading volume on the BSE rose to INR43.79 billion from Thursday's INR35.94 billion. Gainers outnumbered decliners 1,531 to 1,311, while 125 stocks were unchanged. The Sensex rose broadly, with 21 of the 30 constituents ending higher.
 
Reliance Industries climbed 3.0% to INR1,046.25 on news the country's largest company by market value agreed to buy a 95% stake in Infotel Broadband Services for INR48 billion. Infotel Friday emerged as the only pan-India winner for INR128.48 billion in a government auction of bandwidth to offer broadband wireless services.
 
Sentiment was also helped after Reliance said it made a sixth oil discovery in the Cambay basin in the western Indian state of Gujarat.
 
Earlier in the day, official data showed that India's industrial production increased 17.6% from a year earlier in April, outpacing the 13.3% median estimate in a Dow Jones Newswires poll of 15 economists.
 
Auto stocks were higher on hopes of strong sales growth. HDFC Securities said the Indian consumption growth story remains intact as reflected in the robust local automobile sales for May.
 
Utility vehicles maker Mahindra & Mahindra gained 2.1% to INR604.40 while car maker Maruti Suzuki India ended 0.8% higher at INR1,356.45.
 
ICICI Bank, India's largest private-sector lender by assets, rose 1.9% to INR845.35, while rival HDFC Bank added 1.5% to finish at INR1,943.60.
 
Brokerage HSBC said in a note it prefers private-sector banks to state-run banks as they offer brighter growth prospects in the early stages of the upcycle as well as fewer asset quality issues and more flexible pricing power.
 
Bharti Airtel slipped 3.8% to INR274.55 on concerns the mobile-phone operator overpaid for the four areas that it won at the broadband bandwidth auction. Bharti, which won the areas for INR33.14 billion, said the availability of fewer slots pushed prices higher. 
 
AUSTRALIA
 
Better than expected data from major economies in recent days, easing fears that sovereign debt problems in Europe will slow the pace of the global economic recovery, helped propel Australian stocks to gains of more than 1% for the second straight session Friday.
 
The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed up 70.2 points or 1.6% at 4505.5, putting it on track to end the week in positive territory after it fell heavily on Monday. With markets to close Monday for the Queen's Birthday observance, Australian stocks are now down just over 10% from the 18-month highs touched in mid-April.
 
Strong leads from the US market with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all up close to or around 3%, and a raft of positive news out of Europe contributed to broad-based gains in Australian stocks, particularly among mining, energy and banking stocks.
 
China's consumer price index rose 3.1% in May from a year earlier, with industrial production expanding by 16.5% during the month, a tad slower than the 17.8% rise in April, and below economists' expectations of a 17.0% rise.
 
Resource giants BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto also posted solid gains of 2.6% and 1.8%, respectively, even as resistance to the planned introduction of a new tax on Australian miners continued to rage.
 
In a letter to shareholders, BHP Billiton Chairman Jac Nasser said Friday that a planned resource super profits tax in Australia should either be substantially redesigned, or scrapped, as it is "flawed in design" and would make Australia's mining industry globally uncompetitive.
 
Nasser said the 40% tax rate, proposed by the government May 2, should vary according to the mineral resource being mined and should be applied on the value of minerals alone, excluding infrastructure processing or other support activities.
 
"Substantive redesign of this proposed tax is necessary and, if this can't address its fundamental failings, it should be abandoned," he said.
 
Minara Resources rose 5% after saying it will return to normal production at its Murrin Murrin nickel-cobalt project over the next week after the repair of a processing system damaged in a pipeline failure last month.
 
Forestry group Gunns surged 16% after revising its earnings guidance sharply higher and announcing three companies are in due diligence studies on equity stakes in its proposed A$2 billion Bell Bay pulp mill in Tasmania state.
 
Banking stocks all rose, led by a 3.5% jump in Westpac and 3.9% rise by Macquarie Group. Commonwealth Bank rose 2.2%, ANZ added 1.9% and National Australia Bank gained 1.4%. 
 
NEW ZEALAND
 
New Zealand shares ended higher Friday, as investors took heart from signs the global economy is recovering.
 
Investors "were obviously taking a lead from offshore," Goldman Sachs said.
 
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 2.8% on Thursday as data from China and the US provided reassurance of a global economic recovery. The strong lead from the US and a raft of positive news out of Europe contributed to gains in Asian stock markets Friday.
 
The benchmark NZX-50 ended up 1.3% or 38.94 points at 3,041.26, extending its gain to 2.4% for the week.
 
Port of Tauranga added 3.8% to NZ$6.80 after upgrading its profit forecast for the year ending June 30 due to a strong increase in cargo volumes.
 
Goldman Sachs said the port was benefiting from increased exports and the upgraded guidance boded well for the economy as a whole.
 
Just before the closing bell, Toocooya Nominees Limited said it had conditionally agreed to sell its 23.5% stake in listed meat processing company AFFCO Holdings Limited to private fish processing company Talley's Group Limited at NZ$0.37 a share.
 
Toocooya says Talley's, which already owns 52.8% of the company, will have to make a full takeover offer under the Takeovers Code. AFFCO ended unchanged at NZ$0.37.
 
Bellwether Telecom added 2.1% to NZ$1.91, recovering after touching a fresh all time low this week. The already-battered stock had come under renewed pressure after last month saying it was considering structural separation in order to participate in the government's planned national high-speed broadband network.
 
Whitegoods maker Fisher & Paykel Appliances ended up 3.8% at NZ$0.55. Goldman Sachs said optimism about a global recovery, particularly in the US market, helped the stock.
 
AMP NZ Office Trust rose 1.4% to NZ$0.71 after saying changes in depreciation rules in the government's May budget won't affect its distributions, gearing ratios or interest cover in the current financial year.
 
The update from AMP NZ Trust bolstered sentiment around other property stocks, with Kiwi Income Property adding 2.3% to NZ$0.91.
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesCoffee prices soared on Friday as a lack of availability in the physical market left investors scrambling to cover their positions.
 
Robusta, the lower-quality bean used mainly in instant coffee, spiked to a peak of $1,579 a tonne on Friday on the London market, its highest in over a year. Liffe July robusta was up as much as 18.2% over the week.
 
Higher-quality arabica coffee gained 11% on the week to $1.485 a Pound in New York.
 
A number of funds had been betting on lower prices for the bean, traders said, but lower-than- expected physical supplies forced them to reverse their positions.
 
Traders added that the price of robusta in the physical markets had been running significantly higher than the London futures price. That may have led some coffee consumers to decide to hold futures to expiry and take physical delivery of the bean, traders said, squeezing the market.
 
"There's a sense of panic around," one trader added.
 
Exports from Vietnam, the largest robusta grower, are 20.5% lower than at the same point last season, according to the International Coffee Organisation.
 
Inventories of robusta at Liffe-registered warehouses have fallen to 230,000 tonnes, down from nearly 400,000 tonnes a year ago.
 
Elsewhere, oil prices recovered during the week on the back of improving US demand and a weaker US Dollar.
 
On Friday, Nymex July West Texas Intermediate closed at $73.78 a barrel. ICE July Brent closed at $74.35 a barrel.
 
Gold hit a fresh nominal all-time high of $1,251.2 a troy ounce during the week. The precious metal on Friday traded at $1,227.85 an ounce, up 0.7% on the week.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Dollar and the Yen lost ground this week as risk appetite made a tentative return to the world's currency markets.
 
Early in the week, concerns over Eurozone government debt problems and worries over the speed of the global economic recovery had put both currencies on the front foot.
 
Indeed, as global equities tumbled on Monday, the Dollar notched up a fresh four-year high of $1.1875 against the Euro as rising turbulence boosted haven demand for the US currency.
 
But as equity markets stabilised towards the end of the week, the Euro recovered some poise.
 
The main driver of the increased confidence was robust Chinese export data on Wednesday, which raised expectations of the pace of the world's economic rebound.
 
A surprise drop in May US retail sales on Friday took some of the impetus away from the rally in global asset markets, however.
 
Also helping the Euro higher was a successful Spanish government bond auction on Thursday, which eased some concerns over the country's ability to service its debt.
 
The single currency also received support as the Chinese state pension fund, a large holder of Euro reserves, maintained its commitment to hold assets in the currency.
 
A decision from the German constitutional court to reject an injunction to prevent the country from contributing to the Eurozone rescue package also boosted the Euro.
 
The Euro recovered to stand up 1.2% to $1.2115 against the Dollar on the week, 0.9% higher at Y111.02 against the Yen and 0.4% stronger against the Pound at £0.8305.
 
But analysts doubted whether the rally in the Euro could last.
 
Daragh Maher at Crédit Agricole said: "For now, it looks like the Dollar and the Yen will be a little weaker, and other currencies stronger. But if the more buoyant mood can be sustained, we suspect that a greater degree of rational differentiation among the likely 'winners' in an environment of rising risk appetite. The Euro, despite its current relief, is unlikely to be at the forefront."
 
Indeed, commodity-linked currencies were the main beneficiary of the rebound in investor confidence.
 
The New Zealand Dollar rose 2.7% to $0.6887 against the US Dollar over the week, given an additional boost as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 25 basis-point rise in interest rates to 2.75% at its policy meeting.
 
The Australian Dollar rose 3.1% to $0.8485 against the US Dollar on the week while the Canadian Dollar climbed 2.8% to C$1.0324.
 
The Swiss franc also advanced, hitting a fresh all-time high of SFr1.3731 against the Euro and rising 1.3% to SFr1.1481 against the Dollar on the week.
 
The Swiss franc rallied as figures showed that the Swiss National Bank had amassed $73.2bn of currency reserves in May as it intervened in an attempt to stop the currency from appreciating against the sliding Euro. Perversely,, this boosted the Swiss franc as investors questioned the sustainability of the SNB's intervention campaign.
 
Elsewhere, the Dollar fell 0.8% to $1.4582 against the Pound on the week and eased 0.3% to Y91.64 against the Yen.
 
South Africa's Rand weakened against the Dollar, reversing an earlier 0.5% advance.
 
The currency of Africa's biggest economy traded 0.2% down at 7.7279 to the Dollar from a close Thursday of 7.7165. Earlier the Rand traded as strong as 7.6773.
 
And to close currencies this week, as always I leave you with the RMB which was lower against the US Dollar late Friday afternoon due to companies' demand for the Dollar ahead of a long holiday next week, offsetting revived expectations of RMB appreciation after China reported slightly higher-than-expected consumer price inflation in May.
 
On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar was at CNY6.8323, up from Thursday's close of CNY6.8308. It traded between CNY6.8290 and CNY6.8342.        
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsGround-breaking policy shifts in China as we all know, do not take place with one big cathartic announcement or after a cliff-hanging vote. Instead, they evolve through a steady drip of leaks, hints, denials and oblique official statements - such as the 40-character notice last week by the State Council that it had approved plans gradually to reform the "real estate tax system".
 
The real-world translation of this statement is probably: China will start to introduce some form of annual tax on residential property in the coming months. If that does happen - and it is still is an "if" - it would be one of the most important reforms Beijing has pioneered in years.
 
The immediate explanation for bringing in such a tax is to stifle property speculation, which many fear is feeding a bubble. Data released on Thursday showed that house prices were up 12.4% over the year to May.
 
One of the curious things about China's real estate boom is the number of empty flats in big cities. Spend an evening walking round new comPounds that estate agents say are sold out and it is not uncommon to find buildings where most of the lights are off.
 
The reason is that some of the flats have been bought by investors who have little interest in using them. With no taxes to be paid for just holding property, they keep the apartments as empty shells so they can be "flipped" at the right moment.
 
There are plenty of other reasons why Chinese investors love real estate, notably the negative real returns they get from banks. But a property tax would go some way to making speculation on housing less attractive.
 
Yet the real importance of the proposed property tax goes far beyond controlling frothy housing prices. It could also open the way to some of the social reforms that Beijing has been talking about for years but has not been able to execute.
 
A simmering scandal behind China's rapid development has been the treatment of 100m-150m migrant workers. Deprived of the right to become permanent residents in the cities, they are often denied access to subsidised schools and other social benefits. Chinese reformers bemoan the fate of "second-class citizens" and talk of "apartheid". Li Keqiang, forecast to be China's next premier, said this month that reforming the system was a priority.
 
But attempts at reform have been stalled by the fragile finances of the local governments that would have to provide these benefits. Those finances have become weaker over the past year as cities and provinces have borrowed vast sums of money from banks to fund infrastructure spending.
 
Indeed, if China's post-crisis boom has an Achilles heel, it is the hidden levels of local government debt. If a property tax were introduced, it would eventually help provide local governments with the financial resources to begin paying migrant workers their due.
 
The spillover effects do not end there. With more stable income sources, local governments would not need to be so aggressive about selling land to developers, one of their main sources of revenue and the cause of social tension as residents or farmers are displaced. Such a tax would also increase the pressure on local governments to be more transparent about their spending. As Li Daokui, an adviser to the Chinese central bank, put it, local governments would have to "report back to the homeowners how they have used this money. In other words, the tax can be used as an instrument to improve local government management". Allowing them to issue bonds, he added, would also force local governments to be more accountable.
 
Yet the opposition to property taxes is fierce and sometimes personal. Those officials whose ill-gotten gains have been funnelled into owning multiple apartments will find themselves under new scrutiny. And lots of officials like the current system of auctioning swathes of land, a recipe for "rent-seeking".
 
Most of all, the introduction of the tax, if not well-handled, could cause the property market to crash, endangering economic growth and provoking howls of angst across society. As Mr Li said, if the tax is too high, "you will invite a popular revolt against local government".
 
There is a lot of talk in Beijing these days about "reform fatigue", that the Hu-Wen leadership has given up on difficult decisions and will coast to a planned retirement in 2012. The property tax discussion will be a test of whether this is true.
 
********************************
 
Chinese exports jumped 48.5% last month in spite of the financial crisis in Europe, again increasing pressure on Beijing to appreciate its currency against the US Dollar.
 
The strong increase in exports, which was much bigger than expected by analysts, meant that China recorded a trade surplus in May of $19.5bn, compared with a $1.7bn surplus in April and a modest deficit in March.
 
The figures suggested that the economic problems in Europe, which is China's largest export market, have yet to have any pronounced effect on demand for Chinese goods. However, economists cautioned that it could take several weeks before any difficulties in Europe would feed through to the trade numbers.
 
The government also said on Thursday that house prices had risen 12.4% in May year-on-year, down from a record increase of 12.8% the month before.
 
However, prices increased 0.2% over the previous month, suggesting that the strict measures the government has introduced to cool the housing market, which have led to a sharp slowdown in the number of transactions, have yet to result in big price cuts.
 
By late March, it had seemed likely that China would abandon the Dollar peg it has operated since mid-2008 at some stage in the second quarter of the year. However, the problems in Europe led some parts of the Chinese government to push for any shift in currency policy to be put on hold.
 
The trade figures came as US congressional pressure mounted for China to revalue its currency. In Washington on Wednesday, Charles Schumer, a senior Democratic senator, vowed to press ahead with legislation to punish China if Beijing did not increase the value of the renminbi.
 
"Years of meetings and discussions with Chinese officials in an effort to persuade China to float its currency have repeatedly failed to produce lasting and meaningful results,'' Mr Schumer said on Wednesday, according to Reuters. "No question, this is what is called a 'put up or shut up' moment for lawmakers."
 
The surge in exports last month and the large trade surplus will probably focus attention back on China's exchange rate policy, even though some economists believe the May figures might be a temporary blip.
 
"We believe the very strong exports growth in May is likely to be a temporary phenomenon, much like the very weak exports data recorded in March, and expect June data to show a visible normalisation," said Goldman Sachs.
 
Even though China's exports could yet be hit by slowing demand in Europe, some economists believe the strong export figures this month could give Beijing the political cover to abandon the Dollar peg.
 
Something that simply is NOT going to happen - those analysts are from the US I am told!
 
However, the European sovereign debt crisis has changed the calculation on the exchange rate and May's bumper trade surplus may have arrived too late to influence the debate.
 
Imports rose 48.3% over the same month last year. After taking into account calendar adjustments for the number of working days, China said that exports had risen 45.3% in May from a year earlier and were up 10.9% from April. Imports rose 41.7% from May last year, but fell 0.9% from April.
 
********************************
 
Visa has told banks they must stop using the payment system of Chinese state-backed China UnionPay to process international transactions for co-branded Visa and UnionPay credit cards.
 
The move comes as credit card companies are becoming increasingly frustrated in China, where transactions must be conducted through the monopoly UnionPay, which is aggressively expanding beyond China's borders.
 
Visa has written to banks to remind them of operating regulations that require financial institutions to process international transactions outside China through Visa's system.
 
If banks did not comply with Visa's request, the card company said it would start to charge penalties from August 1.
 
Visa's move to block UnionPay outside China comes after US trade officials held talks in late March with Visa, American Express and MasterCard over the possibility of taking action against China for shutting them out of its growing payment processing market.
 
China does not allow foreign groups to issue their own credit cards, build networks to support such cards or process interbank point-of-sale transactions. Companies such as Visa are required to "co-brand" with Chinese partners to provide any of these services.
 
China's banks generally charge fewer and lower fees than international competitors, and Un-ionPay has been offering cardholders better exchange rates on certain currencies than Visa and its peers normally charge.
 
Although Visa said its actions were not aimed at limiting UnionPay's international expansion, the China group responded with a scathing statement.
 
"Both companies have a responsibility and obligation to provide overseas transaction services to co-branded card holders," UnionPay said. "Neither side has the right to unilaterally restrict cardholders' options for overseas payment channels."
 
Some US lawyers, trade officials and finance executives say China is violating commitments it made on joining the World Trade Organisation in 2001 to open the market to foreign companies for "all payment and money transmission services, including credit, charge and debit cards" by the end of 2006.
 
UnionPay was established by China's central bank in 2002 and is owned by more than 80 Chinese state-controlled banks.
 
While US card groups complain they are blocked from doing business in China, UnionPay-branded cards can be used in more than 90 countries and regions and the company is strongly promoting its cards abroad.
 
China issued around 50m credit cards in 2008, according to McKinsey . It forecasts that by 2013 the number of credit cards in China will surpass 300m.
 
********************************
 
Labour protests that have forced shutdowns at overseas-owned factories in China have spread beyond the country's southern industrial heartland, posing a dangerous new challenge for Beijing.
 
Workers at a Taiwanese factory outside Shanghai clashed with police on Tuesday, leaving about 50 protesters injured. The confrontation represents an escalation of recent industrial action, which until this week had been largely peaceful and concentrated in southern Guangdong province.
 
The unrest suggests that industrial action is proliferating faster than local governments and the sole union allowed by the communist party - the All China Federation of Trade Unions - can resolve them.
 
There is no evidence that workers at different factories are co-ordinating their activities but the success of a strike at the transmission operations of Honda, the Japanese carmaker, has emboldened workers by demonstrating that mass action can yield results.
 
Workers have largely circumvented the official union in recent protests, another concern for Chinese leaders, who are quick to suppress any political organisation outside of the ruling party.
 
Protests by workers are not uncommon in China but they have rarely happened in a concerted fashion in factories operated by multinationals such as Honda and their affiliates.
 
The clashes at KOK International in Kunshan, in eastern Jiangsu province near Shanghai, coincided with renewed action surrounding Honda and its China-based suppliers.
 
The strike, at Foshan Fengfu Autoparts, forced Honda to suspend production at its assembly plants in nearby Guangzhou, Guangdong's provincial capital. The joint venture supplies exhaust components.
 
A Honda spokesman also confirmed further industrial action at a locks supplier late on Wednesday, but no details were available on its impact.
 
Yum Brands declined to comment on a report by the official Xinhua news agency that 68 KFC and Pizza Hut restaurants in Shenyang, in north-east China, had agreed to raise wages 30% to Rmb900 ($130, £90).
 
Workers at Foshan Fengfu, which employs 492, appeared to have been inspired by the strike last week at a Honda transmission plant which ended when the company agreed a 24-33% wage rise.
 
Workers returned to the factory on Wednesday but visitors said production had not resumed.
 
On June 6 about 300 workers at a Taiwanese audio components factory in Shenzhen blocked roads to protest against shift changes. A spokesman for Merry Electronics said the situation was quickly defused. "We had decided at the beginning of the year to raise wages 10% by July 1, but had never announced this to the staff".  
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 US markets tango with data next week, hoping to partner up with something more V-shaped than double-dipped. The latest reports on housing and inflation, coupled with earnings from FedEx and Best Buy, will provide the stock market with more to chew on after a recent of bout of bad news on payrolls and retail sales.
 
And while stock investors have taken every move higher as an excuse to thin equity portfolios, fixed-income investors must be pleased to see bond yields trend lower.
 
The Euro, which just can't seem to break $1.2150, continues to get little help from a crew of Euro zone leaders with big cash needs.
 
It's a busy week on the political and diplomatic front as oil continues to gush into the Gulf of Mexico.
 
After a phone conversation with British Prime Minister David Cameron this Saturday, US President Barack Obama goes to the Gulf himself on Monday. Will he seize the moment to speak of alternative energy sources?
 
On Tuesday, lawmakers hold a hearing in Washington with all the big oil companies including the head of BP's US operation. On Wednesday, Obama will meet the chairman of BP for the first time since the oil spill began and on Thursday, Tony Hayward, BP's CEO, will himself testify in Congress, where lawmakers are eager to make their mark.
 
New regulations for credit rating agencies, hedge funds and insurers will likely be agreed by a House-Senate conference committee on Wall Street reform on Tuesday, which is dealing with the least controversial issues in its agenda before moving to contentious proposals on over-the-counter derivatives, bank trading and consumer protection the following week.
 
Support among lawmakers for harsh crackdowns in these areas is building amid an increasingly hostile political climate for banks.
 
Europe's travails are giving the US economy that sinking feeling again. Three US inflation gauges coming this week are likely to show negative readings, largely because worries about Europe's debt problems drove down the price of oil last month.
 
Import prices on Tuesday, producer prices on Wednesday, and consumer prices on Thursday are all expected to carry minus signs.
 
We also get a first look at housing data for May, with housing starts and building permits on Wednesday, while big names from the real estate world take part in the Reuters Real Estate Summit during the week.
 
Microsoft is expected to announce on Sunday a name and launch date for its "Project Natal" controller-free system at the annual Electronic Entertainment Expo (E3) in Los Angeles.
 
Later in the week, Sony will show off its competing Move motion-sensor and Nintendo will offer the first glimpse of its new 3D handheld device.
 
It's a big week for US IPOs, including the long-anticipated flotation of CBOE, the last major unlisted North American exchange.
 
CBOE and other IPO candidates hope to raise about $1.32 billion, the most since the first week of November 2009, when four deals raised $1.39 billion.
 
But the new issues could struggle as investors fret about debt problems in Europe. Investors are already betting on success for CBOE, though.
 
A CBOE seat conferring stock fetched $2.4 million on Thursday, implying a share price of $28.75, near the top of the expected range of $27 to $29.
 
The acknowledgement this week by ECB President Trichet that the economic environment is "of high uncertainty" was followed by a pledge that 3 mth tenders will be extended through September. Clearly, keeping liquidity levels ample remains a high priority for the ECB.
 
That said, tensions in the Eurozone have come off the boil, for the time being at least.
 
The decent demand seen in the Spanish 3 yr bond auction followed a smooth result for the Portuguese bond sale and will have brought a sigh of relief from EU officials.
 
The World Cup has begun and trading rooms the world over have caught football fever.
 
If past experience repeats, trading activity may become more languid over the next few weeks, especially in the European and NY afternoons, as traders focus on the matches and less on risk-taking. In essence, many people won't be trading as much unless they're forced to by news or price movements themselves.
 
If so, market movements may become more volatile and persistent (meaning less two-way price action), as the normal countervailing interest fails to materialize.
 
As well, next week sees a series of US futures and options contract expirations (quadruple-witching), which may also adversely impact liquidity and heighten volatility.
 
Finally, we are heading into summer and seasonal doldrums may also become apparent. 
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
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China This Week
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