Financial Page International

14 November 2009 - Global Markets Review

Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
 
Let's start this week with the US Dollar - or what is left of it anyway!

Brazil, South Korea, Russia and other developing nations are fighting a losing battle to mute gains in their currencies as a falling Dollar and economic recovery create more demand for their assets than central banks can handle.

South Korea Deputy Finance Minister Shin Je Yoon said Thursday the country will leave the level of its currency to market forces after adding about $63 billion to its foreign exchange reserves this year to slow the appreciation of the Won. Chile Finance Minister Andres Velasco said the same day that lawmakers approved an increase in local debt sales to finance spending, a move that will allow the government to keep more of its Dollar-based savings overseas and slow the peso's rally.

Governments are amassing record foreign-exchange reserves as they direct central banks to buy Dollars in an attempt to stem the greenback's slide and keep their currencies from appreciating too fast and making their exports too expensive. Half of the 10-best performers in the currency market this year came from developing markets, gaining at least 14% on average

The Won, after falling 44% against the Dollar in March 2009 from its 10-year high of 899.69 to the Dollar in October 2007, is now headed for its biggest annual rally since a 15% gain in 2004. It traded Friday at 1,160.32, up 8.6% since the end of December.

Brazil's Real is up 1.6% this month, even after imposing a tax in October on foreign stock and bond investments and increasing foreign reserves by $9.5 billion in October in an effort to curb the currency's appreciation. The Real has risen 33% this year.

Russia's Bank Rossii increased its foreign reserves by 15% since March 13 as it sold Rubles in an attempt to cap the currency's gain. Even so, the surge in commodities prices this year means Russia's steps to fight a stronger Ruble may "not be productive," the International Monetary Fund said Thursday. Energy, including oil and natural gas, accounted for 69.5% of exports to countries outside the former Soviet Union and the Baltic states in the first nine months, according the Federal Customs Service.

Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s US Dollar Index, which tracks the currency's performance against the Euro, Yen, Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swiss franc and Swedish Krona, touched 74.774 on Nov. 11, the lowest level since August 2008, and has fallen 16% from the high this year of 89.624 on March 4 to 75.550 Friday.

Much of the greenback's decline stems from investors borrowing funds in the US, where the target benchmark interest rate is between zero and 0.25%. They then invest the proceeds in countries with higher rates and faster growing economies!

World Bank President Robert Zoellick said the recent fall of the Dollar is a response to the currency's earlier rise and to market dynamics, giving the US few near-term options for changing its course.

The value of the Dollar depends on confidence in Dollar- denominated assets and also to the movements of other currencies, Zoellick told Asia-Pacific business leaders in Singapore Friday. The Dollar grew in value during the height of the financial crisis because investors viewed it as a safe haven, he said.

France's Finance Minister Christine Lagarde said in an interview in Singapore Friday that her government favors a "strong" Dollar as an appreciating Euro threatens to hurt European exports.

An unprecedented net $47 billion flowed into equities in India, Indonesia, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand in the last three quarters. That eclipsed the previous full-year high of $33 billion in 2005, nine year of data show.
 
Chile's peso has strengthened 26% this year versus the Dollar, the second-biggest gain among Latin American currencies after the 33% rise in the Brazilian real.

South Korea's economy expanded 6% in the nine months ended in September, the fastest rate since it grew 6.9% during the same period in 2002. The rebound came as companies such as Hyundai Motor Co. in Seoul and Samsung Electronics Co. in Suwon reported surging profits driven by exports.

Brazil's economy emerged from a recession in the second quarter, swinging to a 1.9% expansion after six months of contraction, a Sept. 11 report from the statistics agency showed. Six straight months of job growth, coupled with tax breaks and record low borrowing costs, pushed up consumer spending and helped Latin America's largest economy rebound from the global financial crisis.

On to matters regional now and to Hong Kong where the Hong Kong Monetary Authority said on Friday it planned to submit proposals to the Legislative Council in the first quarter of next year to enable the increase, as market participants have argued that the HK$100,000 coverage limit is too low.

Late last year, the HKMA vowed to guarantee 100% of deposits at Hong Kong banks until the end of 2010, following moves by other countries amid concern about the viability of banks globally as the global financial crisis worsened after the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers. Hong Kong banks have weathered the crisis relatively well as they had little exposure to sub-prime mortgage.

Before the introduction of the 100% deposit guarantee, the HKMA protected deposits up to HK$100,000 under a deposit protection board scheme.

The HKMA said it was working with Malaysia and Singapore to arrange a coordinated exit from full-deposit guarantee schemes in the three jurisdictions.

On the opposite side of the coin, Hong Kong is a new target of US prosecutors pursuing a global campaign against evaders of federal taxes, spurred by data acquired in their crackdown on Swiss banks.

Prosecutors are trying to determine what role financial professionals in Hong Kong play in tax evasion, according to people familiar with the matter. They are examining how much taxable money was moved to the former British colony, whether accounts were based there in name only and what banks were involved, the people said.

The push follows the government's success in penetrating Swiss bank secrecy and learning from insiders how UBS AG helped Americans evade taxes. UBS, the largest Swiss bank by assets, avoided prosecution by agreeing in February to pay $780 million and disclose account data on 250 clients. In August, it agreed to supply information on another 4,450.

The IRS is analyzing a trove of information from more than 7,500 taxpayers who voluntarily disclosed their offshore accounts this year to avoid prosecution. To qualify, clients had to disclose everyone who handled their money overseas and everywhere it went.

"We're going to be scouring the 7,500 disclosures to identify financial institutions, advisers and others" who helped taxpayers cheat on taxes, IRS Commissioner Douglas Shulman said Oct. 14.

He said the IRS is hiring 800 people in the next year and increasing staff in eight overseas offices, including Hong Kong. It also will open offices in Beijing, Sydney and Panama City.

While Hong Kong has strict anti-money laundering measures, it is easy to set up nominee and trust accounts there that obscure the ownership and control of assets, according to the Financial Action Task Force, an inter-governmental body.

"The availability of corporate services and the relative ease with which shell companies can be purchased contribute to the risk of Hong Kong being used for structuring of the proceeds of financial crime, corruption, tax evasion and smuggling," according to a June 2008 report by the task force, which works to combat money laundering.

Elsewhere, on Wednesday the European Commission set deadlines for some of its member countries to bring down budget deficit below the 3% ceiling.

Austria, the Czech Republic, Germany, Slovakia, Slovenia, the Netherlands and Portugal are asked to reduce budget deficit by 2013. The deadline for Belgium and Italy, which are likely to have a deficit above 3% in 2009, is 2012. The Commission gave time till 2013 to France, 2014 for Ireland and financial year 2014/15 for the UK.

The Commission also examined the action taken by five countries - France, Greece, Ireland, Spain and the UK. It concluded that these countries except Greece have taken effective action to reduce their budget deficits.

Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner JoaquĆ­n Almunia said cutting the deficits, widened during the economic crisis, is necessary to prevent a rise in long-term interest rates that would raise the debt servicing costs.

The Commission assessed that Austria, Germany and the Netherlands have scope to continue with stimulus measures in 2010, thanks to relatively good starting public finance position. In the case of the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia , the Commission said authorities should implement the deficit reducing measures in 2010 as planned in the draft budget laws. It urged the Italian government to implement the budgetary measures in 2010 as planned in the three-year fiscal package.

The Commission's autumn economic forecasts show that the average budgetary position in the EU has gone from negative 0.8% of GDP in 2007, the best position in 30 years, to negative 2.3% in 2008, the year when the financial crisis turned into a full-blown economic crisis. That figure is expected to treble to negative 6.9% this year and to increase further to negative 7.5% in 2010, which will remain largely a stimulus year on account of the recovery being fragile. "Public debt is set to increase by more than 20 percentage points of GDP in the same period, and to continue rising even after the deficits start coming down," the Commission said in a statement.

In the US, The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. has seized two San Francisco banks in recent weeks and federal regulators have four other Bay Area banks under scrutiny, as the region loses what had been its relative immunity from an epidemic of failures.

Two weeks ago Friday, the FDIC closed the 14-branch Pacific National Bank and reopened it the next day under the ownership of US Bank.

Last Friday, the FDIC closed the 63 US branches of United Commercial Bank, which was taken over and reopened by East West Bancorp of Los Angeles.

United Commercial was the 120th (ONE HUNDRED AND TWENTIETH) bank seized by federal regulators so far this year. Last November, it received $298.7 million under the federal government's Troubled Asset Relief Program.

A spokeswoman for East West Bank said the FDIC has written off United Commercial's TARP commitment. My question here, is that if the FDIC has done that for the other 119 banks, exactly how much money does the FDIC have?

On to those numbers on the boards for the week that was:
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....
 US SummaryUS stocks rose, extending a second straight weekly advance, amid higher-than-estimated earnings at Walt Disney Co. and Abercrombie & Fitch Co. The Dollar declined against most major counterparts, boosting gold and silver. Oil fell, and Treasuries rose.

Disney, the world's largest media company, added 4.8% as higher fees for its ESPN channels helped lift profit by 18%. Abercrombie & Fitch rallied 11% as earnings excluding some items beat the average analyst estimate by 48%. The earnings overshadowed an unexpected drop in consumer confidence.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.6% to 1,093.48 at 4:04 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 73 points, or 0.7%, to 10,270.47.

Benchmark equity indexes briefly erased gains in morning trading after confidence among US consumers slid for the second consecutive month amid surging unemployment. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment decreased to 66 from 70.6 in October. The index was projected to rise, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists.

The S&P 500 gained 2.3% this week and on Nov. 11 closed at its highest level since October 2008. The index has rallied 62% from a 12-year low in March, recovering almost half of its plunge from a record in October 2007, amid optimism that government stimulus programs and record-low interest rates are helping to drag the economy out of recession.

US stocks hit fresh highs for the year this week after assurances from the Federal Reserve over low interest rates lured in more investors.

A rush of deal activity also raised hopes that corporate America was returning to health.

Kraft launched a hostile bid for Cadbury on Monday, which the British chocolate-maker promptly rejected.

After the closing bell on Wednesday, Hewlett-Packard announced that it had struck a deal to buy 3Com, sending shockwaves through the rest of the networking gear industry.

Over the week, the S&P gained 2.3%, the Dow was up 2.5% and the Nasdaq 2.6%.

Positive surprises from the consumer discretionary sector helped to lift the market further on Friday.

Shares in Walt Disney rose 4.8% to $30.44 after the world's largest media and entertainment group reported an 18% jump in fourth-quarter profit.

The company also lifted the mood across the industry after optimistic comments about the prospects for television advertising over the next six months.

Abercrombie & Fitch, the fashion retailer, also surprised analysts by reporting a smaller decline in profit than had been expected, mainly due to aggressive cost cutting. Its shares rose 10.7% to $40.68.

Elsewhere in the retail sector, Goldman Sachs upgraded PetSmart to "buy" from "neutral", citing the prospect of improved margins. Its shares gained 3.9% to $25.67.

Nordstrom, the department store chain, warned that its gross margin would not increase in 2009 as much as analysts had hoped. Its shares slid 1.5% to $33.99.

Shares in JC Penney, the third-largest department store in the US, gained 6.2% to $31.21 after the retailer raised its annual profit forecast.

In its market debut, Dollar General, the discount retailer that is almost entirely owned by private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, rose 8.2% to $22.73 after pricing shares at the lower end of estimates.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber also added to the market's optimism after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to "buy" from "neutral".

Earlier in the week, the group said it would raise prices on consumer replacement tyres in North America by up to 6% to help offset higher raw materials costs. Its shares rose 4.4% to $14.34.

Blockbuster, the largest movie rental chain in the US, posted a larger-than-expected quarterly loss after the closing bell on Thursday. Its shares fell 6% to 78 cents.

Lime Energy was one of the day's biggest fallers after the engineering company reduced its sales forecast.

Shares in the group, which specialises in energy-efficient products, plunged 23% to $4.88.
European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....
 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks rose for a third day, extending the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index's second straight weekly gain, as a return to growth in the region's economy overshadowed an unexpected drop in US consumer sentiment.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont, the world's largest jewelry maker, and Bulgari SpA, the third-biggest jeweler, jumped more than 5% after earnings beat estimates. KBC Groep NV, Belgium's largest bank and insurer by market value, gained 4.5% after reporting a surprise profit increase.

The Stoxx 600 added 0.5% to 247.8, bringing this week's advance to 2.8%. The measure has rallied 57% since March amid signs that government stimulus programs and record-low interest rates are helping to drag the economy out of recession.

GERMANY

German stocks advanced as a report showed the country's economic recovery accelerated last quarter and Fresenius Medical Care AG shares gained. [bn:WBTKR=FME:GY]

Fresenius Medical, the world's biggest provider of kidney dialysis, climbed 2.1% after a report said competitor Gambro AB may face a US ban. ThyssenKrupp AG, the country's largest steelmaker, rose 1.2% after saying the company expects to return to profitability in 2010.

The benchmark DAX Index added 0.4% to 5,686.83 in Frankfurt, having advanced 3.6% this week. The measure has rallied 55% since March 6 as companies posted better- than-estimated earnings and investors speculated the global recession is easing. The broader HDAX Index also added 0.4% Friday.

Gross domestic product increased a seasonally adjusted 0.7% from the second quarter, when it rose 0.4%, the Federal Statistics Office said in Wiesbaden Friday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 35 economists was for growth of 0.8%.

Fresenius Medical Care gained 2.1% to 35.96 Euros. Gambro, a Swedish maker of dialysis products, has been threatened with a ban on exports to the US because of concerns over some of its factories, Dagens Nyheter reported, citing the Food and Drug Administration.

ThyssenKrupp climbed 1.2% to 23.84 Euros. Earnings before tax and adjusted for one-time items for the current fiscal year will be in the "low three-digit million-Euro range," the company said. ThyssenKrupp will pay a dividend of 30 cents a share out of retained earnings, down from 1.30 Euros a year earlier, Chief Financial Officer Alan Hippe told reporters.

Volkswagen slid 1.9% to 96.40 Euros, extending Thursday's 5.1% drop. The company said 2010 will be a "specially challenging year." Commerzbank, the country's second-biggest bank, slumped 2.6% to 6.99 Euros, the lowest close in a week.

Bauer jumped 5.6% to 29.46 Euros as Sal. Oppenheim Jr. & Cie. and Berenberg Bank recommended buying the shares.

GEA Group declined 1.2% to 14.33 Euros, snapping a nine-day winning streak. The company whose machines milk a third of the world's dairy cows was rated "underweight" in new coverage at Morgan Stanley.

IVG Immobilien jumped 9.6% to 7 Euros, the biggest gain since September. Germany's largest commercial real estate company said its third-quarter loss narrowed as the decline in the value of its offices slowed. The net loss was 10.4 million Euros ($15.5 million) compared with 12.7 million Euros a year earlier, the company said.

Kloeckner & Co. lost 6.1% to 15.88 Euros. The steel trader said nine-month sales fell to 3 billion Euros from 5.4 billion Euros and that demand is "still fluctuating" at a "low level."

Sky Deutschland climbed 8.3% to 3 Euros. Germany's biggest pay-television company was raised to "buy" from "sell" at UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking, which said in a report "we have more trust in the new equity story than the old" after third-quarter earnings and set a new share-price estimate of 3.50 Euros.

FRANCE

France's CAC 40 Index retreated 2.06, or 0.1%, to 3,806.01 in Paris, limiting the weekly gain to 2.7%. The SBF 120 Index declined 0.1% to 2,771.29.

Accor rose 82.5 cents, or 2.4%, to 35.04 Euros, the highest close since Oct. 21. Europe's biggest hotel company was raised to "buy" from "add" at Natixis SA.

Bouygues  dropped 90 cents, or 2.5%, to 35.17 Euros, snapping two days of gains. France's biggest construction company said nine-month sales fell 3% to 23.2 billion Euros ($34.5 billion), led by a 10% drop in sales at its Colas road-building unit.

Groupe Vial tumbled 86 cents, or 17%, to 4.35 Euros, its biggest drop since December 2008. The French discount carpenter reported a first-half loss of 14.8 million Euros and said it's renegotiating debt with a group of banks.

The company added that its long-term debt of 84 million Euros has been converted into current liabilities after it breached the terms of the loans.

Natixis tumbled 20.4 cents, or 4.8%, to 4.06 Euros, paring two days of gains. The investment-banking unit of BPCE, France's second-largest lender by branches, posted third-quarter net income of 268 million Euros, compared with a 234 million-Euro loss a year earlier. That fell short of the 396 million-Euro median estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods cut its recommendation on the stock to "underperform" from "market perform" after the earnings report. Societe Generale SA lowered the stock to "hold" from "buy."

Poweo declined 37 cents, or 2.3%, to 16.03 Euros, a third day of declines. The French power utility was cut to "reduce" from "add" at Oddo & Cie.

Vallourec dropped 5.35 Euros, or 4.3%, to 118.95, ending a seven-day winning sequence. The shares were cut to 'neutral' from 'buy' at MF Global Equities.

Vilmorin & Cie. climbed 2.66 Euros, or 3.6%, to 76.46 Euros, a fourth increase this week. Europe's second-largest seed company said first-quarter sales rose 15% to 148.3 million Euros on "excellent" demand for rapeseed and "satisfactory" sales of cereal seed.

Vivendi added 19 cents, or 1%, to 19.81 Euros, a third gain this week. The owner of the world's largest music company said third-quarter profit excluding one-time gains rose 3.2% to 645 million Euros, helped by higher in sales of "Guitar Hero 5" and other games at its Activision Blizzard Inc. unit.

BELGIUM

The Bel 20 in Brussels closed the trading session at 2,506.47, up 1.03% on the day.

Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world's largest brewer, reported third-quarter profit that beat analysts' estimates after a cost-cutting drive and price increases offset worsening sales of Budweiser and Bud Light.

Net income for the quarter was $1.55 billion, the Leuven, Belgium-based company said Friday, above the $1.39 billion average of eight estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The company didn't provide a net income figure for the previous year's period, when it was being formed by a $52 billion merger.

AB InBev has slashed marketing and administration expenses since that deal, which brought the Budweiser and Stella Artois brands together, and cut $265 million of expenses in the third quarter, bringing year-to-date savings to $875 million. The brewer is still grappling with shrinking beer markets, which drove down profit growth excluding interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization to 11.9% on a so-called organic basis from 18.5% in the second quarter.

Belgian National Bank Monday said it estimated its total dividend for the financial year 2009 to be between Eur114 to Eur131.5 gross per share.

After the deduction of withholding tax, at 25%, this would amount to between Eur85.5 to Eur98.63 a share, the bank said.

The amount of the dividend will be finalized after the end of the financial year, which runs until 31 Dec., and after the approval of the annual accounts, the bank added.

The bank has published an exceptional estimation for the full year dividend due to a new financial provisions law.

Belgian banking and insurance group KBC will partly float operations in the Czech Republic and Hungary to secure European Union approval for receiving state aid, business daily De Tijd said on Thursday.

KBC, into which the Belgian and Flemish regional governments have pumped 7 billion Euros ($10.5 billion), has previously said it aimed to keep growing in central and eastern Europe and did not wish to divest its insurance activities. De Tijd said that KBC would float 40% of its Czech unit CSOB and 40% of K&H Bank in Hungary. The operation, possibly to be carried out before mid-2010, could raise more than 1 billion Euros, the newspaper said.

THE NETHERLANDS

Amsetrdam's AEX finished the day Friday at 317.37, a gain of 0.10% for the session.

Wednesday, the Netherlands' Central Bureau of Statistics said in a report that industrial production dropped nearly 8% year-on-year in September, slower than the 9% decline in the previous month. Economists expected a decrease of 8.2%.

All industrial sectors showed a fall in production in September, with output in the transport industry slipping 34% on an annual basis. The smallest declines were recorded in the food & beverage sector and the petroleum, chemical & plastic products sector, by about 2.5%.
 
In the August to September period, industrial output increased a seasonal and working day adjusted 2% compared to the June to July period.

In a separate report, the statistical office said that industrial turnover dropped 21% annually in September. Turnover in the domestic market fell 18%, while turnover was down 24% in the foreign market.

Aegon, the Hague insurance giant, swung to net income of 145 million Euros from a year-earlier loss, reflecting lower impairments and faster-than-forecast cost cuts.

In the year-earlier quarter, Aegon had a loss of 329 million Euros. Underlying pretax earnings fell 30% to 351 million Euros from 500 million. Sales of new life insurance fell 22% from a year earlier to 484 million Euros.

They rose 3% from the second quarter. Impairments totaled 285 million Euros against 407 million a year earlier.

And through the first nine months, the company reached its cost-savings target for the year of 150 million Euros.

At the end of this month, the company is scheduled to repay 1 billion Euros to the Dutch government, "an important first step toward full repayment of the capital support Aegon received last year," Chief Executive Alex Wynaendts said in a statement on Thursday.

ING Groep NV's decision to split off 12 billion Euros ($18 billion) of insurance businesses is likely to have competitors jostling for its units in emerging markets on three continents.

Amsterdam-based ING plans to separate the insurance operations over the next four years to win European Commission approval for a reorganization plan after receiving a 10 billion- Euro cash injection and guarantees on 21.6 billion Euros of US mortgage assets from the Netherlands last year.

The split will bring to market businesses with about $64.5 billion of sales, ranking ING as the world's sixth-largest insurer after Axa SA, Allianz SE, American International Group Inc., Assicurazioni Generali SpA and Aviva Plc, ING said. Fully and partly owned insurance businesses in countries ranging from India to Chile and Poland will be up for sale.

ING rose 6.6% to 10.18 Euros in Amsterdam, paring its drop since Oct. 23 to 13%. That was the last trading day before it released plans to sell assets and raise 7.5 billion Euros in a rights offering to repay half the state aid. ING posted third-quarter net income of 499 million Euros Friday, in line with the forecast it made last month.

"I have to use hands and feet to count" the expressions of interest in our assets, including some who are looking at the insurance unit as a whole, Chief Executive Officer Jan Hommen told reporters Friday. "We have plenty of time, we're not in a hurry, we're not a distressed seller."

ING may start evaluating and implementing one or two options "sometime early next year," he said.

AUSTRIA

The ATX in Vienna ended the week on 2,633.21, up 0.37%.

Wednesday, a report by Statistics Austria said the new vehicle registrations dropped 2.6% year-on-year in October to 32,002. Working day adjusted,however, registrations rose 4.1%. Compared to September, registrations fell 6.2%.

During the month, registrations of new passenger cars increased by 2.7% to 26,694. After adjusting for working day, registrations grew 9.3%.

Telekom Austria swung to a surprise loss in the third quarter due to goodwill writedowns for eastern European assets and cut its full-year core earnings outlook after missing estimates for the quarter.

The group reported a net loss of 136.3 million Euros ($204.2 million) after writing 352 million Euros off the value of its mobile operators in Belarus and Serbia, once among its growth hopes but now a drag on earnings as crisis hits the region.

Analysts polled by Reuters had on average expected net profit of 132 million Euros and EBITDA of 502 million Euros.

The European Union should extend its tolerance of Austria's extraordinary state support for its banking system, Austrian Finance Minister Josef Proell said Monday.

"It's important that these supports don't run out in a centralized timeframe in 2010," Proell told reporters as he arrived for a meeting of EU finance ministers. He added that this would risk ruining the economic recovery in what will be "the most sensitive year".

Austria gave a support package of Eur100 billion to its banks in the wake of the financial crisis, most of it in the form of loan guarantees. The EU allowed a temporary restriction of its rules on state aid running to the end of 2009.

Austrian banks are among the most heavily exposed to central and eastern Europe, a region in which many countries have seen their economies and their financial systems come under particular pressure in the wake of the crisis.

SWITZERLAND

Zurich's SMI finished the trading session on 6,351.08, a slight decline of 0.07% for the session.

Swisscom Wednesday reported a 8.2% rise in third quarter net profit on cost cutting and a strong performance at Italian subsidiary Fastweb, and kept its full-year profit and dividend target.

The company said net profit for the three-months to Sept. 30 rose to 512 million Swiss francs, or $507.6 million, from CHF473 million a year ago, beating analysts' expectations for net profit of CHF494 million, on cost cutting and lower impairment charges.

Revenue fell 2.8% to CHF3.0 billion from CHF3.09 billion a year ago. The figure was in line with forecasts as the market had expected Swisscom wouldn't grow sales in its home market of Switzerland due to heated competition.

"Price erosion continued in Switzerland and we are seeing that once fast growing market segments such as broadband are reaching a culmination point," said Chief Executive Carsten Schloter, adding that Swisscom would continue to cut costs.

Schloter noted that Fastweb gained market share and grew sales by around 10% even as the Italian economy was shrinking. This, he said, should help the company boost sales further once the Italian economy recovers.

Still, Swisscom said it expects the decline in its Swiss business to continue for the rest of the year due to stiff competition.

Excluding Fastweb, Swisscom expects full year sales of up to CHF9.3 billion, while Fastweb should reach revenue of about Eur 1.8 billion, in line with analysts' views.

Profits, however, should continue to rise. Swisscom said it expects operational earnings before depreciation and ammortization to reach up to CHF4.46 billion and it kept its goal to pay out around 50% of its cash flow, which should reach up to CHF2.7 billion this year.

Swiss banks and insurers will have to ensure that management bonuses are dependent on the institutions' long-term success, but bonuses Won't be limited otherwise, Switzerland's financial markets regulator Finma said.

New regulations that come into effect Jan. 1 will apply to Switzerland's seven biggest banks and five biggest insurers, the regulator said. The new compensation rules apply to all employees, not just those residing in Switzerland.

The publication of the new guidelines follows months of debate with financial institutions, trade groups and politicians.

Though only one Swiss bank, UBS AG, needed to be saved by state intervention last year, the discussion on excessive bonus payments for bankers was as heated here as elsewhere and led to calls for capping bonuses.

The regulator said it "didn't accede to the request that an absolute or relative cap be placed on salaries," and ruled out that the new rules should only apply to Switzerland's major banks, UBS AG and Credit Suisse.

Under the new regulation, bonuses must be treated as the employees' stake in the success of the company, and therefore must have been earned by the company over the long term, Finma said. This enables banks or insurers to pay out bonuses even if they didn't make a profit, provided the loss-making period is only brief.

The regulator urged banks to pay only deferred forms of bonuses when business performance is negative, and said it welcomes clawback and malus provisions, which allow for the complete or partial loss of already granted bonuses if negative events occur.

The regulator put particular emphasis on bonuses for top executives, saying those managers, who have significant responsibility for risk or high total remuneration, must have a significant part of their bonus deferred and thus tied in a way which is linked to risk.

The new rules are unlikely to lead to sweeping changes in compensation plans, given that many banks have already tried to link pay more closely to long-term goals while decreasing incentives to take high risks for short-term rewards.

Baloise Holding Tuesday said it has successfully placed CHF242 million in senior unsecured convertible bonds due 2016.

Main Facts:

-The bonds will be convertible into 2.0 million shares which represent 4.0% of Baloise's outstanding share capital. -The shares to be delivered upon conversion will be sourced from existing shares.

-The offering attracted high quality domestic and international investors resulting in an order book that was multiple times oversubscribed.

-The coupon of the bonds has been set at 1.5% per annum, payable annually in arrear.

-The conversion price has been set at CHF121.26 which represents a 35% premium to the volume weighted average price of the shares on the SIX Swiss Exchange from 1.00 p.m. CET on 10 November 2009 to pricing of the bonds on 10 November 2009.

-The bonds were issued at 100% of their principal amount and, unless previously redeemed, converted or cancelled, will mature on 17 November 2016. Payment and settlement is expected on or about 17 November 2009.

-The offering consists of a public offering to investors in Switzerland and private placements outside Switzerland, the United States, Canada, Australia and Japan.

-Baloise intends to make an application for the bonds to be admitted for listing and trading on the SIX Swiss Exchange. Provisional trading is expected to start on 16 November 2009.

-The offering was led by UBS Investment Bank acting as Sole Bookrunner.

SWEDEN

The OMX in Stockholm closed out a busy week at 967.44, a dip of 0.30% for the day.

Monday, Sweden's Finance Minister Anders Borg said the economy is forecast to shrink 4.9% this year compared to a 5.2% fall estimated initially. The economy is set to expand 2% next year, revised significantly from the 0.6% growth projected in September.

The upward revision was driven by strong development abroad and reduced uncertainty among businesses and households. "Sweden has landed on its feet after the financial crisis. But if we are able to maintain stability, we need to continue with the expansive economic policy which we have now," said Borg.

Borg added that projections now suggest that the deterioration in the labor market will be slightly less than previously expected. The jobless rate is forecast to rise to 10.7% next year from an estimated 8.5% in 2009.

New orders for Swedish industry increased 0.7% month-on-month in September, following a revised 3.6% fall in August, the Statistics Sweden said Tuesday. Orders from domestic market decreased 0.9%, while those from the export market were up 2.2%.

Total volume of new orders decreased 12.1% year-on-year, with a 14.2% decline in the domestic market and a 10.4% fall in the export market. In August, new orders dropped by a revised 18.4%.

In the third quarter, new orders for Swedish industry increased by 4.6% compared to the second quarter.

Sweden's jobless rate stood at 5.4% in October, up from 5.3% in September, a report by the Public Employment Service showed on Wednesday. Economists' expected the jobless rate to be 5.3%. The jobless rate is measured by the number of unemployed registered with the Employment Service.

The number of unemployed registered in the employment service totaled 251,000 in October, showing an increase of 2.1 percentage points or 96,000 persons over a year ago.

There were more men are enrolled in unemployed than women in October, which was 142 000 for men and 109 000 for women, the agency said.
 
Meanwhile, the number of vacancies notified to the country's employment service totaled 31,000, which is 13,000 less than in the previous year

The number of vacancies notified to the country's Employment Services stood at 30,000 in October, which was 10,000 less than a year ago.

Industrial production in Sweden rose 0.2% month-on-month in September, rebounding from the downwardly revised 4.4% fall in August, Statistics Sweden reported on Tuesday. Economists were looking for a 0.5% increase.

In September, manufacturing output, which accounted for 96.5% of total output, increased 1.8% on a monthly basis, while mining output soared 63.8%. Automobile production jumped 22.7%.

On a yearly basis, industrial output declined 15.7% in September, compared to expectations for a 19.7% fall. This was the smallest annual decline recorded since November 2008, the agency said, adding that the recent development indicates a rise in industrial production. During the September quarter, industrial production increased 3.7% from the previous three months.

Tuesday, a report by Statistics Sweden said the activity index, which measures activity in the Swedish economy, dropped a seasonally adjusted 0.54% in September, after a 0.09% growth in August. The index decreased to 101.74 from 102.3.

On a trend basis, the index slipped 0.3%, which translates into an annual decline of 3.6% in September.

The statistical office said the decrease in the index was mainly due to a fall in exports and industrial production on a trend basis.

FINLAND

Helsinki's OMX rounded off Friday on 6,303.44, up 0.26%.

Finland retail sales fell 1.4% year-on-year in September, Statistics Finland said Friday. Sales volume dropped 1.3% over the same period. It follows a 3.4% decline in August. Retail sales have been falling since February this year.

Wholesale trade sales fell 23.8% and motor vehicle sales slumped 32%. Total sales dropped 19.4% in September.

In January to September, retail trade fell 2.4%. Over the same time period, motor vehicle sales were 32.3% and wholesale trade sales 20.4% down on the year before. Total trade during the period were down 17.4%.

Friday, the Statistics Finland announced that the consumer price index or CPI dropped 1.5% year-on-year in October, compared to the 1% fall in the previous month. Economists expected a decline of 0.8%.

The decrease in consumer prices was mainly due to reduction of the value added tax on food, the statistical office said.

On a monthly basis, the CPI fell 0.5% in October, after rising 0.2% in September.

Meanwhile, the harmonized index of consumer prices or HICP increased 0.6% on an annual basis in October, and it was down 0.5% compared to the preceding month.

Finland's trade deficit widened to Eur 240 million in September from a revised deficit of Eur 95 million in August, data released by the Customs Office Tulli showed Monday.

Exports were down 36% year-on-year to Eur 3.7 billion, while imports fell 30% to Eur 3.91 billion. During January to September, exports fell 36% and imports plunged 34% over the previous year.

Tuesday, the Statistics Finland in a report said industrial output dropped a working day adjusted 23% in September, faster than a 21% fall in the previous month. Industrial output has been falling continuously since November last year.

During the month, the largest drop in output of 47% was in the electrical and electronics industry, followed by a 36.8% fall in the metal industry. In the forest industry, output was down 7.9%, the smallest decline since spring 2008, the statistical office said.

Capacity utilization in the manufacturing sector stood at 71.4% in September, down 11 percentage points from last year.

Month-on-month, industrial output slipped a seasonally adjusted 1.7% in September, after a 0.1% growth in August. In the first nine months, industrial output was down 22.9% from the corresponding period in the previous year.

DENMARK

The OMX in Copenhagen completed a busy week too, finishing on 331.62, a slight dip of 0.06% on the day.

Denmark's minority government agreed with an opposition party on Thursday on a revised 2010 budget bill that is more expansionary than its initial draft, in a bid to combat the deepest recession in decades.

Denmark -- the first European country to enter recession in the financial crisis -- was already headed for a record 2010 budget deficit after the centre-right government proposed to boost spending in August.

In the initial draft, the government proposed 17 billion crowns ($3.1 bln) in new spending for 2010, forecasting a budget deficit of 86 billion.

On Thursday, the government said it had agreed with the Danish People's Party -- a right-wing and anti-immigration party on which it often relies for support -- on a revised bill that includes extra stimulus measures of 5 billion crowns over the next three years, and 3 billion earmarked for municipalities.

The government last month cut its forecast for the Danish economy this year, after activity in the second quarter dropped much more than expected, to a contraction of 4% before GDP returns to 1-1.5% growth in 2010.

Gross domestic product in the heavily export-dependent country shrank 2.6% in the second quarter for a year-on-year drop of 7.2%.

Inflation was at its lowest in nearly six years in September, though economists expect it to pick up in the months ahead.

The government has announced big stimulus packages including income tax cuts since the start of the global economic crisis and Finance Minister Claus Hjort Frederiksen has said repeatedly he would do more to soften the impact of it.

The government said in the revised bill a seemingly improving global economy, together with substantial fiscal policy easing, improved the outlook for the Danish economy.

'But the turn in the Danish economy is expected to come later than in many of the countries around us,' it added.

Debenhams, Britain's second-largest department-store company, plans to buy Denmark's Magasin chain for 12.3 million Pounds ($20 million), the first time the retailer will have its own outlets outside the UK and Ireland.

The six-store chain, including the iconic Magasin store in Copenhagen's city centre, will be acquired from Magillum A/S, a company controlled by Icelandic bank Straumur and investor Alshair Fiyaz, Magillum director Vincent de Canniere said by phone. Debenhams will run the stores under a 25-year lease from property owner Solstra Holding A/S, owned by Straumur and Fiyaz.

Monday, the Statistics Denmark announced that the consumer price index or CPI rose 1% year-on-year in October, faster than the 0.8% growth in the previous month.

Food and non-alcoholic beverages prices dropped 1.6% on an annual basis in October, while clothing and footwear prices climbed 1%. At the same time, transport charges were down 19%.

On a monthly basis, the CPI remained unchanged in October, after rising 0.2% in September.

Meanwhile, the harmonized index of consumer prices or HICP rose 0.6% annually in October, rising from 0.5% growth in the previous month. Month-on-month, the HICP recorded a flat reading in October.

Monday, the Statistics Denmark announced that the total trade surplus stood at DKK 3.4 billion in September, down from DKK 3.9 billion surplus in the previous month.

Exports dropped 21.2% year-on-year to DKK 40.2 billion in September, while imports fell 23.1% to DKK 36.8 billion.

On a monthly basis, exports and imports decreased by 4.5% and 3.8%, respectively in September.

The trade surplus, excluding ships, etc..amounted to DKK 4.6 billion in September, down from DKK 5.2 billion surplus in August. Exports dropped a seasonally adjusted 4.4% month-on-month to DKK 40.1 billion in September, while imports decreased 3.4% to DKK 35.5 billion. On an annual basis, exports decreased 20.8% in September, while imports dropped 22.5%.

Separately, the statistical office said, the current account deficit amounted to DKK 8.4 billion in September, up from DKK 6.6 billion surplus in the previous month. The current account surplus was DKK 8.8 billion a year ago.

NORWAY

Oslo's OBX ended the day and the week Friday at 314.61, a gain of 0.47%.

Tuesday, Norges Bank Deputy Governor, Jan Qvigstad said the appropriate key policy rate will be 2.75% around the end of next year, provided economic developments are broadly in line with projections. "But the interest rate forecast is a forecast, and not a promise", said Qvigstad.

Qvigstad said, "The future is uncertain. Actual interest rate developments may therefore deviate from our forecasts. We try to be open about how we will react if new information implies a different interest rate path."

On October 28, the Norges Bank had raised its deposit rate by a quarter point to 1.5% from a record low of 1.25%, where the rate stayed since June 2009. The central bank slashed interest rates by 4.5 percentage points between October 2008 and June this year.

The Executive Board is more of a "collegial committee", where the members are unanimous in their decision and if all members publicly explain their own views, communication may become unclear, said Qvigstad. He noted that there is another argument in favor of unanimous decisions. Central banks are important social institutions, which should not be too closely linked to individuals but have a public identity.

Tuesday, Statistics Norway announced that the consumer price index rose 0.6% year-on-year in October, slower than 1.2% rise in the previous month. This was mainly due to an increase in electricity costs, the statistical agency said. Economists had expected prices to rise by 0.8%.

The core consumer price inflation rate stood at 2.1%, roughly in line with expectations for 2.2% growth. In September, the rate was 2.4%.

By components, consumer prices increased 4.4% in the alcoholic beverages & tobacco sub-group. Prices of miscellaneous goods & services increased 4%. Prices recorded the largest decline in the communications category, down 8.6% in October.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.2% in October, compared to expectations for prices to remain flat. Core consumer prices slid 0.1%, as opposed to expectations for a 0.1% increase. In the January to October period, consumer prices grew 2.2% from a year ago.

The giant Norwegian Government Pension Fund, one of the largest sovereign-wealth funds in the world, has reported its best quarterly returns on record and has unveiled a new recruitment programme aimed at finding its next generation of leaders from among the most talented graduates.

Norway's central bank, Norges Bank, which manages the fund, said it grew 13.5% to Nkr2.5 trillion (€304bn) in the three months to September 30, thanks to rising equity markets, normalising fixed income markets and a further €7bn of transfers of state oil tax receipts; its source of income.

It also stated that it now owns 1% of the world's equity markets - with its average holding in Europe hitting 1.8% of all companies.

However, the fund's executives also said that its use of external asset management firms in its fixed income portfolio - that now accounts for 38% of the fund - fell to its lowest since 2003. This followed a series of firings earlier in the year, following poor returns in a number of strategies in US securitised debt during 2008.

Also, in equities, the fund's report said it had hired eight new firms focused on emerging-markets. A spokesman declined to name any of the managers concerned, saying the fund would report its full roster of managers only in its 2009 annual report.

At a press conference unveiling the report, senior Norges Bank Investment Management staff also flagged up the organisation's "investment training programme", or ITP.

The scheme, open to 10 university graduates each year from around the world, is the idea of NBIM's chief executive Yngve Slyngstad.

Norway anticipates $3.56 billion in contract spinoffs from the F-35 Lightning II combat fighter procurement program against a backdrop of deepening talks between the country's defense industries and the aircraft's supplier, Lockheed Martin.

The government's expectation of a multibillion Dollar bonanza for Norwegian industries emerged after 50 of the country's defense and technology system groups met with Lockheed Martin representatives during the US company's Global Business Opportunity Days in Oslo on Nov. 9 and 10.

SPAIN

Madrid's IBEX finished Friday on 11,867.00, up 0.27%.

Spain's Fund for Ordered Bank Restructuring (FROB) will issue up to 3-billion Euros ($4.49 billion) in 5-year bonds this week, probably on Thursday, a financial market source said.

'It will definitely be this week,' the source said.

The FROB is initially worth 9 billion Euros but may be expanded to up to 99 billion Euros if necessary though, to date, no bank has needed to apply for help from the fund.

The bond, handled by BBVA, Calyon, HSBC, Barclays and Deutsche Bank, has been granted the same rating as Spanish sovereign debt by the three main rating agencies Fitch, S&P's and Moody's.

Thursday, the National Statistical Institute of Spain announced that the gross domestic product or GDP dropped 0.3% sequentially in the third quarter, compared to the 1.1% fall in the preceding quarter. This was the fifth consecutive quarter of contraction in GDP. Economists expected a decline of 0.4%. A year ago, the GDP was down 0.6%.

On an annual basis, the GDP decreased 4% in the third quarter, slower than the 4.2% decline in the previous quarter. Economists were looking for a decrease of 4.1%. The GDP had grown 0.5% a year earlier.

Telefonica said Thursday net profit slipped 1% in the third quarter as weaker revenue hit its mature European markets, especially in Spain.

Telefonica, Europe's largest telecommunications company by market capitalization, said net profit for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was Eur1.99 billion compared with Eur2 billion a year ago, right in line with analysts' forecasts.

The results were in line, said Societe Generale analyst Saeed Baradar, noting that Spain was a weak point for the company. "On the back of these numbers and the stellar performance of the shares in 2009, I will be taking profits Friday," he said in a note.

Madrid-based Telefonica said operating income before depreciation and amortization, or Oibda, fell 3% to Eur5.71 billion for the period, while total revenue fell 6% to Eur14.13 billion.

Telefonica has been slashing expenses and capital expenditure this year in response to weak European markets and to preserve cashflow and honor dividend commitments.

The company's operating expenses fell 6.5% in the third quarter to Eur8.73 billion while capital expenditure in the first nine months of the year declined 19% to Eur4.38.

Telefonica's move to cut expenditure and costs in order to keep its pledges to shareholders mirrors other European rivals. Vodafone Group Tuesday reiterated its guidance by means of cost cutting, following Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom and others. BT Group also on Thursday raised its cost savings target for the fiscal year to March 31, as second-quarter earnings topped expectations.

In October, Telefonica pledged to increase shareholder returns with higher dividends, but revised down its guidance for 2012 and has ruled out any new share buybacks in the near future.

PORTUGAL

The PSI General in Lisbon closed out the week at 2,901.20, up 0.30% for the session.

Portugal's consumer price index was flat in October from the previous month when it rose 0.2%, the National Statistics Institute (INE) said on Wednesday.

Year-on-year inflation last month was at a negative reading of 1.5%, compared to minus 1.6% in September.

Average annual inflation, the government's benchmark measure, was at minus 0.6% in October.

Portugal's Banco Comercial Portugues Wednesday said its third-quarter net profit fell 25%, as lending income continued to fall and as the bank wrote down the value of its securities portfolio.

Portugal's largest bank by market capitalization said its net profit fell to Eur30.7 million in the quarter, from Eur40.8 million a year earlier.

This year's results were helped by a Eur57.2 million net gain from the sale a stake in the Baia de Luanda urban development project. That partly offset a Eur84.4 million write-down of the valuation of securities held on BCP's books.

The result was below analyst expectations--a Dow Jones Newswires poll of five analysts had estimated a third-quarter net profit of Eur45 million.

In the first nine months of the year, net profit at BCP rose 25.3% to Eur178.1 million from Eur142.1 million a year earlier.

BCP continued to suffer in the third quarter from lower lending margins in Portugal and at the bank's international operations. The bank's net interest income--a key measure of lending profitability--decreased to Eur322.6 million from Eur434.8 million in the previous year.

Portugal's Galp Energia posted on Wednesday a 49% fall in adjusted nine-month net profit as refining margins slumped 60%, but said the downstream division started to recover in the third quarter.

"Oil product sales are showing signs of upturn in Portugal," Galp said in a presentation, adding that refining outlook was still uncertain and dependent on economic recovery.

Galp's net profit, adjusted to reflect changes in the company's stocks of crude, fell to 179 million Euros ($268.2 million), still beating market consensus of 163 million Euros.

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) fell 36% to 472 million Euros. Analysts had forecast, on average, an EBITDA of 441 million Euros.

Galp said its operating performance was "hurt by the current economic downturn", but noted that its third quarter net was a 51% improvement from the second quarter thanks to a recovery in the refining and marketing division.

ITALY

Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index rose 74.73, or 0.3%, to 23,284.2 in Milan. The gauge gained 3.3% this week.

Amplifon gained 13.25 cents, or 4.4%, to 3.18 Euros, a ninth consecutive increase. Exane BNP Paribas upgraded the world's largest hearing-aid distributor to "outperform" from "neutral." The brokerage said in a note Friday that "the impact on margins of the US restructuring plan, which has been delayed by administrative issues, is still underestimated."

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena lost 1.4 cents, or 1.1%, to 1.3 Euros. Italy's third-biggest bank said in a stock-exchange statement Friday that third-quarter net income fell 42 as it put aside more money for bad debt. UBS AG cut its price estimate to 1.4 Euros from 1.45 Euros, citing "a third-quarter a touch below expectations."

Exane BNP Paribas kept an "underperform" rating, while lifting its price projection by 4% to 1.35 Euros.

Brembo  rose 12.5 cents, or 2.4%, to 5.44 Euros. Exane BNP Paribas upgraded the world's largest manufacturer of disk brakes to "neutral" from "underperform." Gruppo Banca Leonardo lifted its recommendation to "underweight" from "sell."

Bulgari climbed 30.5 cents, or 5.1%, to 6.3 Euros, a fifth straight gain. The world's third-largest jeweler posted a profit in the third quarter amid improved demand for luxury goods at its own stores and a rebound in Asia. Gruppo Banca Leonardo and Centrobanca upgraded the stock to "underweight" from "sell" and to "hold" from "sell," respectively. JPMorgan Chase & Co., BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, and Natixis Securities lifted their price projections.

Credito Emiliano added 12 cents, or 2.3%, to 5.29 Euros, extending gains of 8.8% Thursday. Cheuvreux lifted its recommendation on the lender to "outperform" from "underperform" and Banca Akros upgraded the stock to "hold" from "reduce," while Exane BNP Paribas boosted its price estimate by 28% to 5.3 Euros with a "neutral" rating unchanged. The brokerages cited "strong" third-quarter results.

Davide Campari-Milano rose 15 cents, or 2.1%, to 7.2 Euros, a third increase this week. The distiller had its price estimate increased to 6.95 Euros from 5.7 Euros at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and to 7.5 Euros from 6 Euros at UBS AG. UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking also lifted its price projection to 7.5 Euros from 6.9 Euros, while cutting its rating to "hold" from "buy."

Digital Bros climbed 24 cents, or 11%, to 2.44 Euros. The video game developer and publisher said in a statement after the closing of the market Thursday that net income in the first fiscal quarter ending Sept. 30 was 75,000 Euros compared with a loss of 968,000 Euros in the same period of last year.

EEMS Italia advanced 5 cents, or 5.7%, to 92.3 cents, snapping a two-day loss. The Italian company that assembles and tests memory chips had its price estimate increased to 1.8 Euros from 1.2 Euros at Intermonte Sim SpA, which reiterated a "buy" recommendation citing "good visibility on recovery."

ERG dropped 22 cents, or 2.1%, to 10.2 Euros. The crude oil refiner said in a stock-exchange statement Friday that its third-quarter net loss was 14 million Euros. "Third-quarter results were as weak as expected," Kepler Capital Markets said in a note. The brokerage kept a "buy" rating, while noting that "guidance for the fourth quarter continues to be cautious, with refining still suffering low margins and all other divisions are expected to report weaker full-year results."

Esprinet increased 23.5 cents, or 3.4%, to 7.25 Euros. The computer and electronics distributor said in a statement Thursday after the market closed that net income rose to 5.1 million Euros in the third quarter compared with 2.2 million Euros a year earlier. The results "confirm the company capacity to achieve efficiency gains, through a strict cost control, offsetting the weak top line," Banca Imi said in a note.

Maire Tecnimont rose 6.25 cents, or 2.7%, to 2.43 Euros, paring a 19% drop Thursday. Nomura International Plc reiterated a "buy" rating on the energy-services company, while trimming its price estimate to 3.1 Euros from 3.9 Euros, defining the recent weakness "as an opportunity."

Santander Private Banking also lowered its price estimate to 2.82 Euros from 3.63 Euros, while reiterating a "buy" rating and citing "more appealing valuation" after the stock's drop.

Pirelli & C. advanced 0.85 cents, or 2.1%, to 41.8 cents, after gaining 2.4% Thursday. Morgan Stanley reiterated an "overweight" recommendation on the stock, after the company said on Nov. 11 that it has agreed to consider the integration of the assets of Pirelli Re SpA with Fimit-Fondi Immobiliari Italiani Sgr SpA, to create "a new entity" in the asset management and real estate markets.

Tiscali increased 2.4% to 17.32 cents. Mediobanca Securities upgraded the Internet provider to "neutral" from "underperform," saying that "the new shape of the group after the unwinding of the economic contribution of the disposed UK activities looks more profitable than previously estimated."

Unipol Gruppo Finanziario retreated 3.8 cents, or 3.7%, to 98.9 Euro cents. Italy's fourth-largest insurer said nine-month profit tumbled 93% as higher claims and shrinking premiums hurt income at the property and casualty unit. Banca Akros downgraded the stock to "reduce" from "hold" and Mediobanca Securities cut its recommendation to "neutral" from "outperform." JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Cheuvreux lowered their price estimates to 81 cents and 80 cents, respectively.

GREECE

The Athex in Athens rounded out the week at 2,588.71, down 1.21% on the day and making it Europe's heaviesy loser Friday.

Monday, the General Secretariat of the National Statistical Service of Greece announced that the consumer price index or CPI increased 1.2% year-on-year in October, faster than the 0.7% growth in the preceding month. A year ago, the CPI was up 3.9%.

On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.5% in October, slowing from 1.9% increase in September.

On the same day it also announced that the harmonized index of consumer prices or HICP increased 1.2% year-on-year in October, faster than the 0.7% increase in the preceding month. A year earlier, the HICP inflation was 4%.

On a monthly basis, the HICP rose 0.5% in October, slower than the 1.9% growth in the previous month.

It also mentioned in its report that the industrial production dropped 9% year-on-year in September, compared with a 3.8% fall last year.

Manufacturing production fell 10.5% on an annual basis in September, while mining and quarrying production slipped 4.3%.

For the January to September period, industrial production declined 9.7% compared to the same period of the previous year.

Wednesday, container-ship company Danaos, reported a lower profit for the third quarter ended September 30, impacted by rise in expenses, as well as a significant loss on fair value of derivatives. Earnings for the quarter came in ahead of analysts expectations, while revenues fell short.

The Piraeus, Greece-based company's third quarter net income was $16.37 million or $0.30 per share, down from $27.93 million or $0.51 per share in the prior year period. The year earlier period included a net loss from discontinued operations of $38 thousand, while the latest quarter included a loss on fair value of derivatives of $8.16 million.

On average, six analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected the company to report earnings of $0.26 per share for the third quarter. Analysts' estimates typically exclude special items.

EBITDA for the third quarter was $51.16 million, down from $49.52 million for the same period last year.

Operating revenues for the quarter rose 4.5% to $79.79 million from $76.42 million for the previous year period. Five analysts expected revenues of $81.26 million for the quarter.

Income from operations for the third quarter was moderately lower at $33.66 million from $34.11 million for the same period last year, impacted by rise in expenses. The company's depreciation & amortization expenses increased to $17.69 million from $14.99 million a year earlier and vessel operating expenses rose modestly to $23.11 million from $22.77 million last year.
The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsJohnson Matthey was among the top performers on Friday as the FTSE 100 inched to its highest closing level in more than a year.

The catalytic converter maker gained 2.4% to £15.58 after Merrill Lynch added the stock to its "buy" list, saying full-year results due on November 25 "should mark the trough in earnings". Merrill highlighted October auto sales data from India and China, showing year on year growth of 34% and 77% respectively.

New regulations in the US and Europe to limit truck emissions will provide a kicker to growth between 2010 and 2012, analyst Andrew Stott said. He upgraded Johnson Matthey on a £17.30 target price.

The FTSE 100 ended a choppy session up 19.88, or 0.4%, to 5,296.38 - its highest closing level since September 2008. But turnover in blue-chip stocks barely broke 1bn across all leading exchanges, the lowest daily total in two months.

Property stocks rose on expectations of reassuring results. British Land, up 2.8% to 298¼p, and Land Securities, up 2.3% to 726½p, are both due to present annual earnings on Wednesday.

BA's confirmation that it agreed a merger with Iberia got a muted reaction. BA closed up 0.9% to 217p, taking its weekly gain to 9.2%.

Shire, up 1.4% to £11.48, will be in focus on Monday after the US healthcare regulator said drugs from rival Genzyme may be contaminated. Shire rushed a Gaucher disease treatment to market this year to capitalise on Genzyme's manufacturing problems.

British Land Co. climbed 2.2% to 495.2 pence and Land Securities Group Plc rose 1.9% to 724 pence.
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN

Tokyo stocks fell Friday as commodity-related stocks sank on lower oil and metals prices amid overall thin trading ahead of heavily awaited earnings reports from major Japanese banks such as Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) and Mizuho Financial Group.

The Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 34.18 points, or 0.4%, to 9770.31 after trading in a narrow range of less than 90 points. The Topix index of all the Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section issues fell 0.90 point, or 0.1%, to 866.80, with 20 of 33 subindexes closing in negative territory.

Trading volume totaled about 1.74 billion shares, falling well under 2 billion for the tenth consecutive day, despite the settlement of Nikkei options, which normally boosts activity.

Resource-related shares were lower as gold, base metal and crude prices fell. Shares of Sumitomo Metal Mining, which are seen as closely tied to nickel, copper and gold values, fell 1.1% to Y1,492.

Among other commodity-related stocks, Mitsubishi Materials lost 2.2% to Y223, Japan Petroleum Exploration fell 2.9% to Y4,360, and trading house Marubeni dropped 2.1% to Y468.

Bucking the broader market's weakness, FamilyMart surged 6.9% to Y2,700 after the convenience store operator said in the early afternoon that it will buy smaller rival am/pm Japan in a deal valued at some Y12 billion.

The acquisition should make FamilyMart more competitive in the central Tokyo area, where am/pm has many stores in prime locations.

December Nikkei 225 futures ended down 40 points, or 0.4%, at 9750 on the Osaka Securities Exchange.

For the week, the Nikkei lost 0.2%, and is currently off 2.6% for November. Year-to-date, however, the index remains up 10%.

SOUTH KOREA

Seoul shares trimmed losses by Friday's close, with declines in LG Electronics and Samsung SDI on concerns over consumer spending offset by an advance by LG Display.

Trade stayed in a narrow range, with data that showed a decline in South Korea's household income in the third quarter painting a bleak outlook for domestic demand, following the cautious outlook from Wal-Mart Stores Inc.

The Korea Composite Stock Price Index ended down 0.05% at 1,571.99 points. It moved only slightly on the week, but was off 8.8% from its 15-month peak reached in late September.

Shares in flat-screen maker LG Display Co Ltd rose 3.9% to 30,750 Won ($26.5), its highest close in almost three weeks after JPMorgan raised the target price to 40,000 Won and its recommendation to 'overweight'.

Underscoring the optimism about the sector, research company DisplaySearch expected the global LCD market to face a supply shortage from the second quarter of 2010.

By contrast, LG Electronics Co Ltd, the world's second-biggest TV brand, slid 3.8% on worries about a possible slowdown in the US market. Shares in Samsung SDI, a rechargeable battery maker, lost 3.9%.

Investors also were cautious about any exit strategy, which was viewed as the biggest risk to stocks, although officials have repeatedly dismissed it as premature yet.

Business and political leaders said on Friday countries would have to closely coordinate unwinding stimulus packages to keep asset bubbles under control and to avoid derailing a fragile recovery in consumer confidence.

Banks clawed back some recent losses, with sector leader KB Financial Group 2.9% higher.

An official at the regulatory Financial Services Commission told foreign media reporters on Friday that the regulatory agency would soon announce detailed measures to enhance local banks' foreign currency liquidity.

Looking ahead, creditors-turned-shareholders of Hynix Semiconductor will meet on Nov. 16 to discuss their stake sale plan after the sole bidder, Hyosung, pulled out.

The final bid for Daewoo Engineering & Construction will be closed by Nov. 18.

HONG KONG

Hong Kong stocks rose 0.7% on Friday, as a bullish outlook from Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and a spurt of corporate takeover talk in the financial sector offset concerns about weak US consumer spending.

ICBC rose 2% to HK$6.80 after its chairman said he expected the non-performing loan situation in China's banking sector to improve next year, as Chinese firms climb out of the global economic crisis.

Taifook Securities gained 6.6% to HK$4.84 after rising as much as 9.9% to HK$5.00, its highest since January 2008.China Construction Bank is in talks to buy control of the brokerage to give it a solid footing in Hong Kong's lucrative retail securities market, Reuters reported on Thursday.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index closed up 156.06 points at 22,553.63.

The China Enterprises Index of top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks rose 1.03% to 13,461.79.

CHINA

Chinese stocks ended higher on Friday. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which covers both A shares and B shares on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, edged up 0.46% or 14.7 points and closed at 3,187.65 points after fluctuating between 3,189.09 and 3,127.5 points.

The Shenzhen Component Index on the smaller Shenzhen Stock Exchange rose 0.64% or 84.12 points to 13,264.4 points, after touching an intraday low of 12,989.75 points.

Gainers in the Shanghai market outnumbered decliners 540 to 263, while 55 were unchanged. Aggregated turnover on the two bourses was RMB 274.8 billion.

ChiNext stocks ended higher. Chengdu Guibao Science and Technology, one of the leading silicone sealant manufacturers in China, surged by the daily limit of 10% to RMB 46.2. Bode Energy Equipment swelled 6.87% to RMB 41.37.

The tourism sector performed well. China CYTS Tours Holding grew 5.98% to RMB 13.99. China International Travel Service, the largest comprehensive travel agency in China, rose 5.72% to RMB 19.04.

Bank stocks also ended higher. China Construction Bank, one of the country's Big Four state-owned commercial banks, increased 0.67% to RMB 5.99. China Minsheng Banking swelled 3.96% to RMB 8.41.

Market heavyweight PetroChina, the nation's top oil producer, edged up 0.15% and closed at RMB 13.53, while Asia's largest oil refiner, Sinopec, edged down 0.25% and closed at RMB 11.9.

Share prices of securities firms ended lower. Haitong Securities, China's second largest broker in terms of assets, decreased 0.32% to RMB 15.58. Sinolink Securities sank 0.75% to RMB 23.93.

Property stocks also ended lower. China Vanke, the country's largest publicly traded residential properties developer, slid 0.59% to RMB 11.81. Gemdale decreased 0.94% to RMB 15.78.

TAIWAN

Taiwan stocks slid 0.07% on Friday, snapping a five-session winning streak, as investors sold financial stocks, but LCD makers such as Chi Mei curbed losses on the prospect of improving demand.

The main TAIEX share index finished down 5.3 points at 7,665.63.

The main index has been moving in a boxed range between 7,500 and 7,700 over the past week as trading volume failed to expand.

Top technology brands in Taiwan such as Acer and Asustek slipped following overnight losses on Wall Street on concerns over slower consumer spending during the holiday season.

Acer, the world's No.2 PC brand, fell 0.6%, while netbook pioneer Asustek fell 1.38%.

Further pressuring the main board were losses in banking stocks such as Cathay Financial, which slipped 1.16%.

Several local newspapers reported on Friday Taiwan's top finance regulators reiterated that Taiwanese banks will not be immediately open to Chinese investments even after a financial memorandum of understanding is signed by the two sides.

However, LCD maker Chi Mei continued its rally from the previous session on market rumours that sector giant AU Optronics and electronics parts giant Hon Hai have approached it about a possible merger.

Chi Mei, the session's most-active stock by volume, jumped 3%, while AU Optronics and Hon Hai rose 1.29% and 0.38%, respectively.

THE PHILIPPINES

Philippine share prices on Friday took a breather from a three-day rally which lifted them above a key level.

The local bourse's decline mirrored the overnight negative movement of US stocks.

The bellwether 30-company Philippine Stock Exchange index dropped 39.60 points or 1.2883% to 3,034.32 while the all shares slid 15.21 point or 0.7961% to 1,895.42.

Four of the six sub-indices were in the red, led by the 11.2994-percent plunge of Mining and Oil and the 1.0767-percent dip of Holding Firms. Financials and Property were the two sectoral indices which escaped the plunge.

Market breadth was negative with 78 losers against 31 gainers and 58 stocks which close unchanged.

Volume traded reached 2.88 billion valued at P4 billion.

Cornering 28.07% of the total trading, Philex Mining Corp. was the most active stock. Its share price plunged 14.1026% to P16.75. Philex, which reported that its nine-month earnings were reduced by nearly half, had been driving the market's rally.

Another mining firm Century Peak Metal Holdings Corp. plummeted P0.20 or 3.2258% to P6.

Remittance firm I-Remit Inc. climbed P1.40 or 28.5714% to P6.30.

SM Investments Corp., the holding company of the SM group, shed P2.50 or 0.7576% at P327.50.

Telecommunications giant Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. lost P15 or 0.5848% at P2,550.

SINGAPORE

The blue-chip Straits Times Index closed 0.99 points higher at 2,727.23.

Banking shares were up, with DBS Group rising two cents to 14.14, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp up three cents to 8.16 and United Overseas Bank edging up four cents to 18.96.

Singapore's Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong warned at a gathering of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation group that late withdrawal of monetary stimulus may stoke asset bubbles.

Genting Singapore said its third quarter net loss narrowed to S$93.3 million.

This was an improvement from the S$116.8 million loss incurred in the same period last year.

It said the improvement was due to higher operating profit from its British casinos operations, a net foreign exchange gain and lower interest expense. An absence of an impairment loss also helped.

Genting Singapore is now building the Resorts World Sentosa integrated resort. The firm said Resorts World is on track for a soft opening by January next year.

It added that it will be incurring significant pre-opening costs as it accelerates training and recruitment, which would have an impact on its overall profit and loss results.

Mainboard-listed Sihuan Pharmaceutical Holdings on Friday said it will be delisted from the Singapore Exchange on or around December 2.

It said the SGX has not objected to its delisting proposal.

In August, Sihuan said it had received a voluntary conditional cash offer from investment holding company China Pharma.

Sihuan said it is delisting as the offeror presently holds 99.3% of its total issued shares.

Only 0.7% remains in the hands of a small number of minority shareholders.

Trading of its shares have been suspended since October 21 and will remain suspended.

MALAYSIA

Share prices on Bursa Malaysia ended mixed on Friday as investors locked in profits in most heavyweights and lower liners amid the lacklustre performance of regional bourses, dealers said.

In volatile trading, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index closed 0.79 of a point or 0.06% lower at 1,270.96. The key index had moved between the 1,267.70 and 1,273.23 levels Friday.

It had opened 1.42 points higher at 1,273.17.

However, Lityan and NSTP bucked the market trend and helped limit the losses.

NSTP shares surged 40 sen to close at RM2.40 on a higher takeover offer from the Media Prima Group and a special dividend while Lityan, which has been queried by Bursa Malaysia Securities recently over the sharp price and volume increase, also climbed 40 sen to RM2.71.

At 5pm, the FBM Emas eased 0.34 of a point to 8,488.83 and the FBM Top 100 lost 2.07 points to 8,281.01.

The FBM 70, however, advanced 10.20 points to 8,178.10 and the FBM ACE gained 20.13 points to 4,523.87.

The Finance Index also gained 34.58 points to 10,927.30 but the Industrial Index gave up 1.75 points to 2,697.98 and the Plantation Index shed 14.39 points to 6,179.32.

Gainers beat losers by 315 to 311 while 276 counters were unchanged and 372 others untraded.

Overall volume was lower at 789.569 million shares worth RM994.637 million compared with Thursday's 925.994 million shares worth RM1.243 billion. -- MORE

Turnover on the Main Market declined to 709.956 million shares worth RM972.125 million as against the 804.835 million shares worth RM1.210 billion posted Thursday.

The ACE Market volume also dropped to 60.241 million shares worth RM16.538 million versus 95.659 million shares worth RM21.426 million.

The volume for Warrants however, rose slightly to 13.817 million shares worth RM3.011 million from 12.044 million shares worth RM2.751 million previously.

Leading the actives, Time Engineering gained 3.5 sen to 50 sen, Inch Kenneth advanced 6.5 sen to 50.5 sen and Ramunia edged up one sen to 42.5 sen.

Hubline-warrants and Talam, were however unchanged at 13 sen and 11 sen, respectively.

Of the heavyweights, Petronas Gas fell nine sen to RM9.80 and Sime Darby lost three sen to RM9.06 while CIMB Group gained two sen to RM12.92 and Malaysia Airlines was up eight sen to RM3.20.

Maxis will be included in the 30-stock FBM KLCI, replacing the national carrier with effect from Nov 20, a day after the telco starts trading.

Consumer products accounted for 58.060 million shares traded on the Main Market, industrial products 103.581 million, construction 37.783 million, trade and services 284.216 million, technology 62.448 million, infrastructure 18.914 million, finance 46.484 million, hotels 1.577 million, properties 47.554 million, plantations 46.167 million, mining 1,000, REITs 3.094 million, and closed/fund 77,800.

THAILAND

Brokers in Bangkok expected profit-taking after results, however, the market surprised and eked out gains Friday.

The SET closed up 0.23% at 698.33.

Thailand's PTT Aromatics lost nearly 3% after it reported a net profit in the third quarter, turning round from a net loss a year earlier due to higher petrochemical income and an absence of inventory losses. Refiner IRPC IRPC.BK fell 2.4% and CP Foods dropped 1% after quarterly results.

CP All, Thailand's biggest convenience store chain, said on Friday its third-quarter earnings rose 68%, more than expected, driven by rising sales and store openings.

CP All, formerly known as CP 7-Eleven and a proxy for domestic consumption in Thailand, reported a July-September net profit of 1.42 billion baht ($42.64 million), or 0.32 baht a share, up from 844 million baht a year earlier.

The result was also up from 1.23 billion baht in the previous quarter.

INDONESIA

The Indonesian stock market posted a modest gain in thin trading on Friday, with mining stocks leading the way.

The Jakarta Composite Index rose 6.52 points, or 0.3%, to 2,426.8. Some 5.2 billion shares worth Rp 2.87 trillion ($307 million) changed hands. Gainers outnumbered decliners 101 to 69.

The mining and agriculture sectors rose 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively.

Meanwhile, the Krona strengthened against the Dollar on Friday as the country's relatively robust economic growth and higher yields attracted overseas investors.

The Rupiah hit 9,364 against the Dollar as of the stock market's close, compared with 9,422 on Thursday.

Bank Indonesia on Thursday predicted that recovering exports and steady domestic spending would fuel annual fourth-quarter economic growth of 4.4%.

Newmont Mining said Friday that the deadline for the sale of a 14% stake in its Indonesian unit has been delayed to Nov. 23 at the request of the central government after state nickel miner PT Aneka Tambang earlier in the week backed out of a consortium buying the stake.

The postponement is the latest development in an ongoing saga over a contractual requirement that the foreign shareholders in PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara or PTNNT, as the unit is known, divest a majority stake in stages to local buyers.

INDIA

Indian stocks advanced, led by Steel Authority of India Ltd. and Oil & Natural Gas Corp., after the government said it will sell shares in state-run companies and increase the price of gas.

Steel Authority gained 3.4% after the finance ministry said it's among 60 state-run companies eligible for share sales, increasing optimism the government will act on election promises this year to reduce control of the economy. Oil & Natural Gas climbed 3.1% after it was reported that the government proposed a 31% increase in the administered price of natural gas.

The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index, or Sensex, added 152.80, or 0.9%, to 16,848.83. The Sensex has risen 4.3% this week, extending its biggest annual rally in 18 years with a 75% climb so far in 2009. The S&P CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock Exchange gained 0.9% to 4,998.95. The BSE 200 Index climbed 0.7% to 2,091.21.

Steel Authority advanced 3.4% to 182.3 rupees. The Ministry of Finance is in talks with the steel and coal ministries to sell stakes in Steel Authority and Coal India Ltd., Sunil Mitra, secretary for asset sales at the finance ministry, said in New Delhi Friday.

Oil & Natural Gas, India's largest state-owned oil explorer, rose 3.1% to 1,184.1 rupees. Oil India Ltd., the nation's second-biggest state-owned energy explorer, climbed 1% to 1,194.45 rupees.

Hero Honda Ltd. rose 3.8% to 1,578.9 rupees on optimism an economic recovery will benefit India's largest motorcycle maker and car manufacturers. India's economy may grow 6.2% in the year ending March 31, the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, a Mumbai-based research group, said in a statement. The group had in October forecast expansion of 6%.

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd., the nation's biggest carmaker, increased 3.9% to 1,478.35 rupees.

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. climbed 2.3% to 670.15 rupees. India's largest software-services provider will build a services center in Michigan as part of the accord with Dow Chemical Co., the largest US chemical maker, the Mumbai- based company said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange Friday.

Golden Tobacco Ltd. jumped 5% to 114.85 rupees after the Economic Times said that the tobacco maker is the subject of a hostile takeover bid by investor Pramod Jain.

Network 18 Media & Investments Ltd., an Indian holding company that includes a television shopping channel among its assets, soared 16% to 86.05 rupees. The shopping channel unit raised $23.5 million to expand its business, the company said in a statement to the Bombay Stock Exchange Friday.

Overseas funds bought a net 9.73 billion rupees ($208.9 million) of Indian stocks Nov. 11, the Securities and Exchange Board of India said on its Web site. The funds have bought 711.6 billion rupees of Indian stocks this year to date, compared with record net sales of 530 billion rupees for the whole of 2008.

AUSTRALIA

The Australian share market was hit by broad-based profit-taking on Friday after Wall Street broke a six-day winning streak.

Cyclicals extended Thursday's pullback, while defensives found support as investors took some risk off the table.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 41.5 points or 0.9% at 4706.4 on moderate volume, after hitting a four-day low of 4690.9 in early afternoon trading.

The index failed this week at a downtrend line drawn from the October peak, while in offshore trading, stronger-than-expected crude oil inventories saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the US Dollar shy off major technical resistance and support levels, respectively.

Heavyweight banking and materials stocks did most of the damage after their offshore peers weakened overnight.

National Australia Bank fell 4.0% to A$28.89, ex-dividend, while ANZ fell 2.0% to A$22.48, Westpac fell 0.8% to A$25.82 and Commonwealth Bank fell 0.5% to A$54.33.

Traders said they expect some short-term selling pressure on ANZ, NAB and Westpac from their dividend investment plans, with ANZ's dividend reinvestment plan pricing period kicking off on Friday.

Among big cap miners, BHP Billiton fell 1.4% to A$39.01 and Newcrest Mining fell 2.8% to A$34.57 after London Metals Exchange copper fell 0.7% and spot gold fell 1.3% overnight.

However, Rio Tinto fell just 0.5% to A$69.52, outperforming the materials sector.

Energy stocks held up surprisingly well considering that crude oil fell US$2.34, or 3.0%, to US$76.94 on the higher-than-expected US crude inventories data.

Origin fell 1.1% to A$16.22, while Santos fell 0.9% to A$15.17 and Woodside fell 0.2% to A$48.96.

Woodside said it was disappointed with a planned 48-hour strike by the Maritime Union of Australia, which has the potential to negatively impact its business.

The MUA is seeking increases in allowances and wages, and plans to embark on a series of strikes at 12 shipping companies servicing the offshore oil and gas sector, with the first strike set to get underway Tuesday for 48 hours at Farstad Shipping ASA, which supplies the offshore oil and gas sector.

NEW ZEALAND

New Zealand shares ended lower in light trade Friday, weighed down by weak offshore leads, and with much of the focus on outdoor apparel and camping goods retailer Kathmandu's debut.

The NZX-50 ended down 0.4%, or 13.94 points, at 3,158.14.

Kathmandu, also listed in Australia, made its debut on the New Zealand Stock Exchange at a premium to its issue price. It was New Zealand's first new listing in nearly two years.

Kathmandu opened at NZ$2.22 compared with its issue price of NZ$2.13. The stock traded as high at NZ$2.29 and closed at NZ$2.23.

New Zealand property company DNZ Property Group plans to launch an IPO next week to raise around NZ$350 million. NZX Ltd. plans a listing by next month, a person close to the deal said Friday.

On Thursday, dairy company Synlait Milk said it plans to proceed with an IPO and listing on NZX Ltd. Earlier this week, Hamilton-based natural sweetener manufacturer BioVittoria Ltd said it will seek to raise NZ$20 million in an IPO.

Construction company Fletcher Building shed 1.0% to NZ$8.00, largely on some profit-taking after strong gains Thursday. The construction company failed to benefit from strong housing data.

Earlier Friday, the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand said home prices rose in October, but sales fell, reflecting tight supply. REINZ said the national median home price in October rose 1.4% to NZ$355,000, compared with NZ$350,000 in September, and was up 6% from NZ$335,000 in October 2008.

Discount retailer The Warehouse dropped 4.4% to NZ$4.11. Earlier Friday, the company said its first quarter group sales were down slightly from a year earlier as consumption remains subdued.

Among other leading stocks, bellwether Telecom gained 0.4% to NZ$2.56 while energy company Contact Energy fell 2.5% to NZ$5.94.   
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesGold extended its record breaking run this week but had its thunder stolen by a stunning rise in the freight market.

The Baltic Dry index, the global benchmark for freight costs for dry bulk commodities, jumped 21.2% to 4,111 points over the week as bids rose daily for the Capesize vessels that transport iron ore and coal to China. Growing ship congestion outside key ports in China and Brazil has also driven the Baltic higher - up 85.2% since the start of October.

Strength in the Capesize market also spilled over into rates for hiring Panamax and Handymax vessels, with the latter also boosted by Indian iron ore exports to China.

Freight brokers noted a growing interest in hiring vessels for several months rather than single voyages and said this indicated confidence that shipping demand would remain firm.

Gold hit a record $1,122.85 a troy ounce on Thursday before slipping to $1,116 on Friday, up 2% this week. Some traders believe that gold could be vulnerable if the Dollar rallies.

Crude oil prices came under pressure after US inventories data indicated a broad weakening in demand conditions.

Nymex December West Texas Intermediate slipped 59 cents to $76.35 a barrel on Friday, down 1.4% this week, while ICE December Brent lost 47 cents to $75.55, down less than 1% on the week.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Dollar pulled back from a 15-month low on a trade-weighted basis this week as China's currency policy came under the spotlight. Ahead of the visit of Barack Obama, US president, to Shanghai and Beijing, China gave the first hint that it might be preparing to let the renminbi appreciate.

Speculation (from everyone except those people in China) mounted that China was preparing to let its currency appreciate after the People's Bank of China omitted a phrase promising to keep the renminbi stable in its third-quarter monetary policy report on Wednesday.

The central bank added that it would consider significant currencies, not just the Dollar, in guiding the exchange rate of the renminbi, which has in effect been pegged to the Dollar for more than a year.

The renminbi rose sharply in the futures market, with investors moving to price in an appreciation of more than 3.5% in the Chinese currency against the Dollar over the next year. In the wider forex market, the speculation helped to pull back the Dollar from a 15-month trade-weighted low.

Robust China data helped push the Dollar index, which tracks its progress against a basket of six leading currencies, down to a low of 74.774 early in Wednesday's session.

Data showing strong growth in Chinese industrial production and exports helped to boost investor optimism over the health of the global economy.

The resulting rise in risk appetite put pressure on the Dollar, encouraging investors to use it as a funding currency in carry trades, in which low-yielding currencies are sold to fund the purchase of riskier, higher yielding assets elsewhere.

But the Dollar pulled back from its lows as investors considered the implications of a potential change in Chinese currency policy. Analysts said the prospect of a higher renminbi had two key implications for broader forex markets.

China has built up foreign exchange reserves of $2,273bn as a result of keeping the renminbi at what many people consider to be artificially low levels in order to support exports. To maintain the balance of leading currencies within its reserves, China has to persistently sell Dollars and buy Euros - and to a lesser extent Sterling and Yen - as it accumulates the US currency.

The Dollar index pared its losses to stand down 0.1% at 75.487 on the week.

The Dollar rose 0.3% to $1.4837 against the Euro over the week, 0.1% to $1.6636 against the Pound, 0.3% to SFr1.0177 against the Swiss franc but eased 0.3% to Y89.71 against the Yen.

The Australian Dollar hit a 15-month high against the US Dollar after a rise in Australian employment heightened expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia would raise interest rates. Over the week, the Australian Dollar rose 0.6% to $0.9279.

THE South African Rand remained firm ahead of the weekend with the Dollar still under some pressure amid an improvement in global risk appetite.

In late trade the Rand was bid at R7.4308/$ from R7.4564 at its previous close. It was bid at R11.0543/€ from its previous close of R11.0703 and was at R12.4050 against Sterling from R12.3720.

And finally, here in China with the much talked about RMB; another steady Dollar-RMB central parity rate drained the market of any volatility, leaving the RMB stable against the US unit Friday.

On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar was at CNY6.8263, down slightly from Thursday's close of CNY6.8266. It traded between CNY6.8260 and CNY6.8270.

The Dollar-RMB central parity rate was set at 6.8273, up slightly from 6.8268 Thursday. The fixing has been set within a narrow six-point range for the last five sessions. 
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsChina's President Hu Jintao told Asia-Pacific business leaders the country will take "vigorous" steps to boost domestic demand to reduce a reliance on investment and exports for economic growth.

"We have been working hard to improve the consumption environment," Hu said Friday in Singapore, where he is attending the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation group summit. We want to "increase people's ability to spend and foster new areas of consumer demand," he said.

Hu made no reference to foreign exchange rates, a source of friction with some Asian neighbors because China pegged its currency to a weakening Dollar last year, making its exports more competitive. Japan and Taiwan are among Asian governments that purchased Dollars to limit gains in their currencies and maintain a degree of competitiveness.

The People's Bank of China this week said foreign-exchange policy will take into account global capital flows and changes in major currencies, and scrapped language in a previous report to keep the RMB "basically stable."

"China will further boost domestic demand, vigorously expand the domestic market, and promote balanced growth of domestic and external demand," Hu said.

China's 4 trillion RMB ($586 billion) stimulus plan helped accelerate the country's economic growth to 8.9% in the third quarter from a year ago, boosting demand from Asian companies such as South Korea's Samsung Electronics Co.

China's economic influence over the region is expanding. In the past decade, China, the world's third-biggest economy, replaced the US as the biggest trading partners for Japan and South Korea.

In 2002, US two-way trade with Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore exceeded Chinese trade with those countries. In 2008, each of those countries traded more with China than with the US, according to US and Chinese trade figures.

Asian central banks this year have increased their holdings of US Dollar assets, including Treasuries. While China's holdings of Treasuries rose 10% this year, Japan's increased 16% and those in the rest of Asia grew 25%.

**********************************

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said the world faces a gradual and uneven recovery from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

"The worst is over," Wen said in speech televised from a forum in Beijing. "The global economy is starting to recover but a total recovery will be a slow and bumpy process."

Risks include trade protectionism, the sustainability of fiscal stimulus measures, and "price uncertainties," China's central bank said Thursday. Confidence in the world economy dipped in November as governments withdrew some emergency measures, sparking concern that a recovery may falter, a survey of Bloomberg users showed.

China will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy and a "proactive" fiscal stance and continue to fine-tune its 4 trillion RMB ($586 billion) stimulus plan, Wen said. He also reiterated that policy makers need to manage inflation expectations.

He didn't comment on China's currency, which has been held at close to 6.83 per Dollar since July last year to help exporters as demand slumped. The central bank Thursday triggered speculation that the currency could rise, by dropping a pledge to keep the RMB "basically stable" from its third- quarter monetary-policy report.

China will "continue opening up, cooperating and shouldering its responsibilities" to help restore stable global growth, Wen said Friday.

The nation's industrial production and trade surplus climbed in October, according to data released Thursday. The world's third-largest economy can maintain stable and relatively fast growth, the central bank said in its report.

China's expansion has led Asia and the global economic recovery. Its gross domestic product expanded 8.9% from a year earlier in the third quarter, while US GDP rose at an annual rate of 3.5% from the previous three months.

The Professional Global Confidence Index fell to 60.3 from 61.7 in October, the highest level in the series that began two years ago. The index exceeded 50 for a fourth month, which means there were more optimists than pessimists.

**********************************

China Minsheng Bank will aim to raise up to $4.68bn through Hong Kong's largest initial public offering this year in a move that should solidify China's dominant position in the global IPO market.

The country's first privately owned lender will on Monday embark on a long-delayed roadshow in preparation for what will also be the world's fourth-largest IPO of 2009, if the shares are priced at the top end of a range of HK$8.50-HK$9.50.

If successful, Minsheng's listing will give China five of the top 10 global IPOs this year.

The bank plans to sell 3.32bn shares, or 15% of its enlarged share capital, to raise as much as $4.1bn and could sell an additional 498m shares to take the total up to $4.68bn under a "greenshoe" option if the offering is heavily oversubscribed, which is often the case in Hong Kong.

Unlike almost every other Chinese lender, Minsheng was established with investment from private entreprenEurs and virtually no state funding in 1996, but it is still in effect controlled by the government through Communist party appointments of top executives.

The bank was listed on the Shanghai stock exchange in 2000 and has suspended previous plans to list in Hong Kong on at least two occasions.

People involved in the sale said there was huge interest from institutional investors wanting to buy into the cornerstone tranche of the issue but the final price of the shares will be set in 10 days, depending on the result of the roadshow. Shares are expected to start trading in Hong Kong on November 26.

IPOs in Hong Kong are open to global investors and allow Chinese companies to raise foreign exchange, while Shanghai listings are open only to domestic investors who cannot freely convert their funds out of renminbi.

Minsheng's plans to expand beyond China's borders were dealt a blow on Friday when United Commercial Bank, a large San Francisco lender with branches in Hong Kong and Shanghai, became the 120th US bank to fail this year.

Minsheng owns 9.9% of UCBH Holdings, United Commercial's parent company, and by the end of September had been forced to write down 93% of the $126m it has invested over the past two years.

Gaming company Las Vegas Sands is set to raise up to HK$25.95bn ($3.35bn) through an initial public offering of shares in its Macao business, sources with knowledge of the IPO told Reuters. The company is selling 1.87bn shares at HK$10.38 to HK$13.88 per share, the sources said.

**********************************

Citic Pacific Ltd., an arm of China's biggest state-owned investment company, signed initial agreements to sell as much as two-thirds of the iron ore from its $4 billion project in Australia to Chinese steel mills.

"We've identified the major steel works in China who have signed up preliminary sales agreements," Barry Fitzgerald, chief executive officer of the Hong Kong-based company's Australian unit, said in an interview. The balance of the output will be used by the company's own mills in China, he said.

China is expected to use more iron ore in the next five years than Australia, the biggest exporter, has produced throughout its history, Rio Tinto Group said this month. The Asian nation's economic growth is projected to accelerate to 10.5% this quarter, according to a Bloomberg News survey, as stimulus spending boosts demand for automobiles and fridges.

Of the mine's 28 million metric ton output, as much as 20 million tons may be sold to customers with the rest kept for Citic Pacific's own steel plants in China, Fitzgerald said. Citic Pacific also develops properties and runs toll roads.

"China demand will continue," Fitzgerald said in an interview in Perth Thursday, declining to name the mills who'd signed initial accords. "The stimulus package is a short-term issue. The long-term market will be there."

First output is scheduled in the fourth quarter next year from Citic Pacific Mining's Sino Iron project at Cape Preston, 100 kilometers (62 miles) southwest of Karratha in Western Australia's Pilbara region.

Citic Pacific Mining may consider expanding the project, Fitzgerald said. The company "can either increase the length of our operation or increase the capacity," he said. "Once we are able to move our focus from delivering the start-up of production and adding the additional lines, I'm sure we'll need to review what the demand is and what the pricing points are."

The open pit mine will be one of the largest in the world, and over its estimated 25-year life span will be 5.5 kilometers long, 3 kilometers wide and 600 meters deep. After the material is mined, it will be transported to six grinding mills. The mills, being built in China, will shipped on site from January.

The strong Australian Dollar is affecting construction costs, Fitzgerald said. "We sell our products in US Dollars and a lot of our costs are in Australian Dollars," he said. "It's pretty well known that with any of the exporters out of Australia that any time you see that the Australian Dollar goes up, the profit forecasts goes down."

The Australian Dollar is trading at the highest in more than a year, boosted by economic growth in China, the South Pacific nation's biggest trading partner.

Citic Pacific owns 80% of the Sino Iron project, which will mine magnetite iron ore, and the rest is held by China Metallurgical Group Corp.

A 25-kilometer slurry pipeline will transport the product from the mills to the port, which is being built specifically for the project. Water to the operations will be supplied by a custom-built 51-gigaliter desalination plant.

Citic Pacific is building a 450-megawatt on-site combined- cycle gas fire power station. That will be fueled by gas from the Reindeer natural gas field, a joint project between Apache Corp. and Santos Ltd.

The power plant's capacity is equivalent to the current energy needs of the entire Pilbara region, according to the company. The region includes 11 iron ore mines operated by Rio, seven by BHP Billiton Ltd., and other projects and towns.  
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 In my view, forget stockmarkets in the coming week; it's all going to be about currencies.

Beijing's announcement it will consider "major currencies," not just the Dollar, in guiding the RMB's exchange rate puts extra focus on US President Obama's visit to China this week.

Adding to the anticipation, finance ministers of APEC countries, including China, endorsed "market-oriented" exchange rates.

The Chinese announcement raises the questions of which currencies will be included, what would be the impact on those currencies and when any new regime would take effect.

Echoing calls from Washington, some emerging economies are also unhappy with RMB weakness so the FX market will watch closely for any details.

Resistance to local currency appreciation is also rearing its head again from Taiwan to Brazil, as I mentioned at the outset of this Newsletter.

Then there is the outright resistance to appreciation shown by the likes of Russia, which is intervening directly in the currency markets to the tune of up to hundreds of millions of Dollars a day.

These emerging markets individually and collectively may be relatively small in relation to the $3 trillion-plus a day FX market, but as investors are discouraged from pouring capital into them, it leaves the path of least resistance in this long-term Dollar downtrend still against the free-floating currencies.

If the Euro gains a sustainable foothold above the psychologically important level of $1.50, expect more rhetoric from European companies, politicians, business groups, and possibly even ECB officials.

French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde has already spoken on the issue, but the market is likely to essentially ignore all that until ECB head Jean-Claude Trichet himself steps in (the mind boggles; is he actually capable of making a proactive - as opposed to a 'reactive' - step?).

There seem to be limited grounds to protest about the pace of the Euro's rise, since that has so far been anything but "brutal." Indeed, risk reversals on Euro/Dollar options show traders are more concerned about a sharp reversal rather than a continued climb toward $1.55 then $1.60 and beyond into uncharted territory.

Financials, miners and other cyclical stocks have been the best performers in Europe since March, and many investors will probably stick with them as the year-end approaches for fear of lagging behind overall market performance.

But a shift may be underway as the market has moved from discounting recession to discounting recovery.

Underperforming defensive stocks, such as telecoms, tobacco and food producers, offer higher dividends while government bond yields remain relatively low and have more scope for re-rating.

Euro zone, US and UK inflation data, with the latter coming on the heels of benign Bank of England forecasts, will provide more clues to whether markets have run ahead of themselves by increasingly pricing in the potential of rising prices.

Demand at inflation-protected bond auctions has been strong in the three markets. Breakevens -the difference in yields between conventional bonds and inflation-protected debt, and a gauge of inflation expectations - have been widening, albeit from historically narrow levels - suggesting investor unease about the specter of future price rises as central banks remain sanguine about the risks.

So as I say, I think this coming week will be more about currencies than stocks - interesting to watch China and see whether it delivers a nicely wrapped present to Mr Obama on his first visit to China, in the shape of a currency move; although I doubt it very much.

More than likely, with the world's media focusing on Mr Obama's visit to Shanghai and Beijing, I think China will take his visit as the perfect opportunity to say that no matter how popular (or unpopular) Mr Obama may be, China's stance on the RMB will be as it always has been - "our currency, our pace"!

It will be interesting to watch though, nonetheless.
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
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US Markets
European Markets
The UK Market
Asia Pacific Markets
Global Commodities
Global Currencies
China This Week
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