Financial Page International

15 May 2010 - Global Markets Review

Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen,

Oh what a week that was!

What I mentioned last week concerning my innate distrust of Ratings Agencies, filtered through to the banking sector this week.

The battery of allegations against Wall Street banks extended dramatically on Thursday as some of the world's largest financial firms confirmed they faced criminal investigation.
 
At least nine major banks were said to be under criminal and civil probes over the sale of mortgage-backed products that have been blamed for sparking the global economic crisis.
 
What began as an investigation into Goldman Sachs' trading practices now appears to have become a near sector-wide investigation that is striking at the heart of Wall Street's credibility.
 
In two separate probes, the Securities and Exchange Commission and New York's Attorney General are said to be investigating whether banks misled investors by selling securities they bet against and also deceived ratings agencies about the products' value. The Wall Street Journal on Thursday reported that Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank and UBS are all the subject of criminal investigation for selling mortgage related deals while betting against them.
 
Meanwhile the New York Times reported that the government's top local prosecutor, Andrew Cuomo, was probing whether eight banks misled ratings agencies to inflate the grades of certain mortgage securities. Standard & Poor's, Fitch Ratings and Moody's Investors Service were said to have rated the mortgage deals. The agencies have taken flack for overstating the quality of mortgage securities that later lost value in the wake of the housing collapse.
 
The Times, citing unidentified individuals with knowledge of the investigation, said Mr Cuomo was also looking into a practice of bank mortgage desks hiring rating agencies employees to help create mortgage deals that secured better ratings than they were due. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Credit Agricole and Merrill Lynch - which is owned by Bank of America - were all cited as targets by the paper.
 
On the markets themselves this week; not such severe swings as the previous week - but none less volatile at the core.
 
Talking of last week's massive Thursday decline, the US investigated quickly toalleviate global fears relating to the US Market volatility - and this Ladies & Gentlemen was their initial discovery:
 
Major Wall Street firms retreated from the market Thursday at the very moment when they were most needed to support normal trading, in what a senior federal regulator called the "most significant" factor behind the stock market's dramatic volatility.
 
Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Mary Schapiro discounted Monday many of the most widely discussed theories behind why the markets panicked. These include an erroneous "fat finger" trade that started it all; hacking or terrorist activity; unusually large trading in shares of Procter & Gamble, a component of the Dow Jones industrial average; and trading in derivatives.
 
"The markets failed investors," Schapiro said. But, she added, "at this point, we are unable to point to a single event which could be the sole cause."
 
In prepared testimony before a congressional panel probing the market turmoil, Schapiro said a key cause was the sudden withdrawal from the market of firms that traditionally play a role as a "liquidity provider" by purchasing stocks when prices are declining and selling stocks when prices are rising.
 
Under securities laws, some of the firms -- often associated with a major bank or brokerage -- are required to remain active in the market even during times of market stress. But many of these more established liquidity providers have been displaced in the past decade by high-speed electronic trading firms that face no such legal obligation to provide liquidity.
 
The SEC named no names. Some of the largest established liquidity providers include Citadel Securities, Barclays Capital and Merrill Lynch, which are part of financial conglomerates. Less-known firms that are recent comers to the industry include Getco and Jump Trading. These companies are smaller operations that focus exclusively on electronic trading.
 
Schapiro said liquidity providers stopped buying stocks that suffered large price declines Thursday, "whether because of an intentional decision to withdraw or because of specific market practices," without specifying those practices. She said there is no indication that government rules were breached.
 
Regulators have spent the past several days analyzing millions of trades but have yet to determine what was behind Thursday's volatility. On that day, the Dow Jones industrial average rapidly fell nearly 1,000 points before rebounding 700 points, as many individual stocks suffered dramatic plunges before reclaiming most of their declines.
 
Schapiro said that the investigation's preliminary findings will be issued Monday but that the task at hand is huge: reviewing millions of trades in billions of shares.
 
Schapiro identified as another key cause of the volatility the different rules among exchanges for when to slow or stop trading in a fast-declining stock. On Monday, Schapiro gave US stock exchanges 24 hours to devise a marketwide plan to stop or slow trading in stocks that are falling rapidly.
 
The SEC said on Tuesday that it had received the exchanges' recommendations but would not say what they were.
 
Meanwhile, the SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced Tuesday the creation of a joint task force to discuss emerging regulatory issues, with an initial focus on Thursday's volatility. The task force will look at regulatory loopholes and any possible gaps between areas of the market overseen by the two entities.
 
Members of the committee include, among others, Brooksley Born, a former CFTC chairman who warned more than a decade ago about the risks of derivatives; former SEC chairman David S. Ruder; and former Vanguard chief executive Jack Brennan.
 
Schapiro said Thursday's volatility raises several regulatory implications. She said the SEC would look at "timeout" mechanisms that pause action in the market or particular stocks during times of distress.
 
She said the automated nature of Friday's trading might require additional timeout mechanisms. In addition, she said the SEC is considering limits on the prices at which trades can be executed and limitations on the size of market orders.
 
Schapiro also said the agency would look at whether short-term trading strategies, such as those that use computer analysis to make split-second decisions, need to be curtailed.
 
The SEC has several proposals outstanding that would address some of these issues. One proposal would beef up risk-management controls for brokers. Another would make it easier to capture and analyze trading patterns across markets.
 
So, in a nutshell, we're none the wiser how or why this happened - astonishing in 2010 - how can we NOT pinpoint something; for every action there is a reaction, so it is not rocket science to think that we should be able to trace back to what caused this to happen at that specific time in the trading day.
 
Talking of the US's problems, of course Europe has problems of their own although I personally think that whilst undoubtedly Europe has its 'issues' - and large issues they most certainly are for certain countries - I cannot help but feel that the US is revelling in Europe's woes because as I mentioned last week, this creates a diversion away from their own severe problems - problems that I think run much deeper than the problems in Europe and will only result in the complete demise economically and fiscally of the US of A.
 
Whilst casting stones freely and deriding European Governments, those across the pond only have to look at their own Governments to see the root causes of their own under-the-surface turmoil.
 
There is good news and bad news about the debt crisis in Greece. The good news is that, notwithstanding stock markets' breathtaking plunge and recovery of recent days, it doesn't seem likely to do much damage to the US economy.
 
The bad news is that the US economy will suffer a lot if they keep following the sort of fiscal policies that have created the crisis in Greece.
 
Greece's problem is that it has lived far beyond its means. Its government budget deficit is now nearly 14% of its gross domestic product, and its total debt is 115% of GDP. The Greek parliament has approved some painful cuts and tax increases, but recent strikes and riots raise doubts whether the government can make them stick.
 
The nearly $1 trillion bailout by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund has reassured investors, who had grown very skittish about getting repaid. Markets yo-yo'ed all week, but that major rescue effort seems to have reduced the panic and kept it from spreading, at least for now.
 
Though the Greek economy is small, its collapse could have dampened growth in the US, so the improved sentiment midweek was good news for Americans. Fortunately, the US economy is showing signs of a potential recovery, with three consecutive quarters of growth and low inflation. Hiring is also picking up at last.
 
Banks have emerged from the downturn with stronger balance sheets. Robust growth in countries such as China and India is serving as a tonic for economies in the rest of the world.
 
But the hopeful short-term prospects in the US are not addressing the plainly obvious issue. The real problem for the American economy is that the federal government (and many states, insolvent Illinois included) is making the same fiscal mistakes that led Greece to the edge of the cliff.
 
The federal budget deficit is expected to top 10% of GDP this year, the highest since World War II, and next year won't be much better. Given current trends, the total debt will reach a scary 90% of GDP just a decade from now.
 
Much of the recent deficit spending in Washington stems from a defensible response to a severe economic crisis. But once that is past, spending will continue to rise, by nearly 60% over the next decade. Revenues will lag far behind.
 
Add in an unexpected economic downturn sometime in the next few years, and a bad situation could get much worse - a la what's happening in Greece.
 
The US has the advantage that the Dollar enjoys a preferred place as the international reserve currency, giving their policymakers a certain latitude FOR THE MOMENT.
 
But that status is not guaranteed for all time and when that status starts to fall, then I feel Europe will have the last laugh and laugh the longest!
 
If Americans want to avoid the fate of toay's Greece, they had better do what the Greeks failed to do: scale down what they demand from the government and accept the need to pay for what they get.
 
As the saying goes; Americans in Glass Houses shouldn't throw stones (well, that is what the saying says in my little book of idioms).

 
But seriously, I cannot write this newsletter today without covering Europe - and it does not look too pretty on the surface.
 
Amid cries of outrage and expressions of disbelief, a new age of austerity has arrived in Europe.
 
As governments across the Eurozone impose cuts on a scale unseen in decades, Greece - widely seen as the centre of the crisis - has already seen violent demonstrations and general strikes. Now there is growing concern that such displays of public anger will become more widespread.
 
Spanish trade unions were on Thursday threatening nationwide walkouts and protests. The shock is palpable in countries which have moved from poverty to prosperity during the decades of almost uninterrupted growth since the second world war and have always enjoyed the material benefits of European Union membership.
 
"Two things are hard to believe: I can get laid-off and that I'll have to work to 65 to get a pension," says Yannis Adamopoulos, who is a security guard at a state-controlled Greek corporation. Another Greek, Fotis Magriotis, a self-employed civil engineer, has put his sports utility vehicle up for sale. Work is hard to find and taxes on petrol have twice been increased. "There's no alternative to downsizing," he says.
 
Such statements provoke grim humour in the northern half of Europe, where job insecurity, retirement at 65, small cars and high petrol prices are not unusual.
 
In the end it was the financial markets, not the austere German paymasters of the Eurozone, that exposed the vulnerability of Greece, Spain and Portugal and triggered a €750bn rescue package unveiled at the weekend.
 
The emergency bail-out, which aims to free up sovereign debt and interbank markets in Europe, came with strings attached by the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the US: after the two-year fiscal spending binge that followed the financial crisis of 2008 and made life easier during the recession, governments will be obliged to cut their deficits, and cut them hard.
 
For the first time since EU aid started flowing freely in the 1980s, Greeks face a significant drop in living standards, with the economy set to shrink 4 per cent this year and another 2.6 per cent in 2011.
 
The new reality being imposed by the Greek socialist government - a 12 per cent wage cut for civil servants, reductions in pensions and looming job losses in public sector corporations - stuns workers in the bloated state sector.
 
A similar, if less severe, adjustment is being imposed by the socialist government of Spain. José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, prime minister, is angering former allies in the trade union movement by going back on his promises and cutting civil service pay by 5 per cent from next month as part of a drive to control the deficit.
 
Orthodox economists, and Mr Zapatero's conservative opponents, say the government and the Spanish people have been slow to grasp the importance of having a dynamic private sector to pay for the welfare state. "The Spanish want to think like Cubans and live like Yankees," says Lorenzo Bernaldo de Quirós, an economist and business consultant.
 
In the north, the Germans have been living up to their reputation as diligent workers prudently aware of the eternal trade-off between services and taxes. Many voters in the North Rhine-Westphalia state election last Sunday said they would rather pay more taxes than see their local swimming pool or kindergarten close.
 
"Germans are far more in favour of stability and austerity and not for deficit spending," says Jürgen Falter, professor of political science at Mainz university. "It is part of the collective memory, going back to the hyperinflation that wiped out their grandparents' savings in the 1920s."
 
The north-south divide, however, is not as stark as it first appears.
 
France straddles north and south and could face mass protests over a three-year government spending freeze. Ireland and the UK in north-west Europe were among the most profligate European nations as bubbles in housing and financial services swelled unsustainably in the heady years before the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
 
In Dublin at least, the harsh cuts unveiled to restore order to public finances are beginning to bite. Around the corner from Government Buildings, John Myley, a shoe repairer, complains that a lot of his customers are finding it hard to pay. "Everyone's trying to keep up appearances. But at the moment, I tell you, I've got 14 pairs of shoes on tick [credit], for people who can't pay until they're paid at the end of the month."
 
The former and the new British governments have proposed sweeping cuts to public expenditure but the issue was not much discussed in the general election campaign and details remain secret. There is no means yet of knowing how well Britain will accept its fate. But even small cuts of £500m to university expenditure this year brought howls of protest.
 
Nor are southern Europeans necessarily as profligate as some suggest.
 
Italians feel their belts have been tightened for some time, although the word austerity has not entered Italy's political vocabulary because Silvio Berlusconi, prime minister, likes to keep the mood upbeat. Over the past five years both centre-left and centre-right governments have kept a fairly tight lid on spending, keeping Italy's ratio of budget deficit to gross domestic product within manageable limits.
 
In Portugal, the economically conservative inhabitants are responding to tough austerity measures by saving, prioritising mortgage payments and defending jobs.
 
As in previous recessions, when thousands worked for months without pay, the country has opted for resilience rather than revolt. Domestic savings are up and defaults on mortgage loans remain low.
 
After a decade of the lowest economic growth in the Eurozone, however, the Portuguese face another four years of belt-tightening with growing frustration.
 
The same is true of most of western Europe. Each Eurozone country is taking the measures it must take or can take - from pursuing tax cheats in Spain and Greece, to reducing child benefits in Ireland and controlling public spending almost everywhere - to reach a budget deficit target of 3 per cent of GDP in the next three or four years.
 
The danger is that a Europe hounded by market forces has acted too late, and that these sharp doses of austerity will stifle the first stirrings of new economic growth and so worsen budget problems in the future by provoking a relapse into recession.
 
A lot of Spaniards have realised this week that the money isn't theirs', it's borrowed from others and so they do not have sovereign powers - and they are getting worried that is for sure.
 
On to the numbers for the week that was:
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....

 US SummaryUS stocks fell, paring a weekly rally that's the biggest in two months, as concern Europe's debt crisis is destabilizing its currency overshadowed stronger-than- estimated reports on retail sales and industrial production.
 
All but 11 companies in the S&P 500 declined, led by technology companies and banks, as the Euro traded at its weakest level against the Dollar since the aftermath of the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in 2008. Visa Inc. and MasterCard Inc. slumped more than 8% after a Senate vote to curb debit-card fees. Nvidia Corp. fell the most in a year after its sales forecast fell short of analyst estimates.
 
The S&P 500 lost 1.9% to 1,135.68 at 4 p.m. in New York, trimming its weekly advance to 2.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 162.79 points, or 1.5%, to 10,620.16. Seven stocks declined for every one that rose on US exchanges.
 
The S&P 500 gained 4.2% this week through Thursday after the European Union set up a financial-aid package valued at almost $1 trillion, including a plan to buy government and private debt, after downgrades of Greece, Spain and Portugal made investors wary of the region.
 
The main benchmark for US stocks is down 6.7% from this year's high on April 23 amid concern European measures to avert debt defaults will derail the global recovery. Japan's Sony Corp., the maker of televisions and cameras that is a bellwether of consumer spending, said it may suffer a "significant impact" if Europe's deficit problems spread and forecast profit for this fiscal year that's less than half the average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
 
Intel Corp., the world's largest maker of semiconductors, Caterpillar Inc., the largest maker of construction equipment, and Alcoa Inc., the largest US aluminum producer, all fell at least 2.7%.
 
The benchmark index for US stock options increased 17%, reflecting a higher cost of using derivatives as insurance against losses. The VIX, as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index is known, rose 4.56 points to 31.24. The VIX had the biggest weekly gain in its two-decade history last week, increasing 86%.
 
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. fell 2.8% to $69.72, helping lead declines in commodity producers as copper futures slumped 3%. Aluminum, lead and zinc also slumped on the London Metal Exchange, reflecting a weaker outlook for global growth.
 
Exxon Mobil, the biggest US oil company, fell 1.8% to $63.60. Crude fell to $71.61 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest settlement for a most-active contract since Feb. 5. The Euro's drop helped push the Dollar to a one-year high against a basket of six major currencies, curbing demand for Dollar-denominated commodities.
 
Visa, the world's biggest electronic-payments network, fell 9.9% to $77.26. MasterCard, the second-biggest, retreated 8.6% to $212.45.
 
The Senate action on debit-card fees also weighed on banks. Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., the biggest US debit-card issuers, all fell at least 2.2%.
 
American Express Co., the biggest US credit-card issuer by purchases, dropped 5.1% to $40.64 for the biggest decline in the Dow average. While AmEx doesn't issue debit cards, the measure allows retailers to offer discounts for competing card brands.
 
Retail purchases increased 0.4% last month, exceeding the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, after a 2.1% gain in March that was larger than previously estimated, the Commerce Department said Friday.
 
Also indicating the economic recovery extended into the second quarter, the Federal Reserve said the output of factories, mines and utilities increased 0.8%, compared with a 0.7% median estimate, and the March increase was revised higher.
 
Nvidia Corp. slid 12% to $12.96 for the biggest decline in the S&P 500. The world's second-largest maker of graphics chips said sales will drop as much as 5% to about $950 million in the current quarter from last quarter's $1 billion. Analysts had predicted sales of $991 million on average, according to a Bloomberg survey.
 
Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Nvidia's smaller rival, declined 6.6% to $8.80.
 
Of the S&P 500 companies that have reported first-quarter results, 77% have topped the average analyst estimate as a profit recovery extended into a second quarter. Aggregate profits fell from the year-earlier period for a record nine straight quarters beginning in June 2007.  

European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....

 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks slumped, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index paring its biggest weekly gain since July, amid mounting concern that the region's debt crisis will hamper economic growth.
 
Banco Santander SA and Barclays Plc led a retreat among bank stocks as Credit Suisse Group AG forecast new regulation may cost the industry 244 billion Euros ($306 billion). Rio Tinto Group plunged 5.5% as mining stocks fell. Saras SpA declined 2.6% after the Italian oil refiner swung to a loss in the first quarter.
 
The Stoxx 600 sank 3.4% to 248.46 as all 19 industry groups declined. The gauge has still rallied 4.8% this week after the European Union unveiled a 750 billion-Euro financial assistance package, backed by European Central Bank bond purchases, aimed at stopping the turmoil from spreading. The Euro Stoxx 50 Index of Euro-region equities tumbled 4.7% Friday, its biggest drop since March 2009.
 
Spain's IBEX 35 tumbled 6.6%, the biggest decline since October 2008 and the worst performance among the 18 western European markets. Italy's FTSEMIB Index slumped 5.3%. Spain's underlying inflation rate turned negative in April for the first time on record as the highest jobless rate in the Euro region curbed demand. The UK's FTSE 100 Index slumped 3.1%, while Germany's DAX Index declined 3.1%. 
 
GERMANY
 
German stocks slumped, with the benchmark DAX Index trimming its biggest weekly gain since July 2009, as concern lingered that Europe's debt crisis may curb economic growth.
 
Deutsche Bank AG and Commerzbank AG sank more than 4%. Infineon Technologies AG, Europe's second-largest chipmaker, dropped 3.5% as Sony Corp. forecast profit that missed analysts' estimates. ThyssenKrupp AG and Salzgitter AG retreated with metal prices. 
 
The DAX slid 3.1% to 6,056.71, snapping a four-day advance. The gauge rallied 6% this week after the European Union unveiled a 750 billion-Euro ($929 billion) financial-aid package for indebted countries and the European Central Bank said it will purchase government and private debt. The broader HDAX Index lost 3.1% Friday.
 
The benchmark gauge for German shares has fallen 4.4% from this year's high on April 26 amid concern Europe's economy will struggle to withstand a spiraling sovereign-debt crisis that began in Greece.
 
Deutsche Bank, Germany's biggest bank, slipped 4.2% to 48.75 Euros. Chief Executive Officer Josef Ackermann said in an interview with ZDF television late Thursday that Greece may not be able to repay its debt in full, arguing it would require "incredible efforts."
 
Commerzbank, Germany's second- largest bank, tumbled 4.1% to 6.10 Euros. Allianz SE, Europe's biggest insurer, slid 4.1% to 83.29 Euros.
 
Infineon declined 3.5% to 5.04 Euros, snapping two days of gains. Sony, the maker of Bravia televisions and Cyber- shot cameras forecast net income of 50 billion Yen ($540 million) this fiscal year, less than half the average of 19 estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
 
ThyssenKrupp, Germany's largest steelmaker, dropped 4.4% to 22.66 Euros, while smaller rival Salzgitter fell 4.7% to 53.73 Euros. Copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc all declined on the London Metal Exchange.
 
Germany registered surprise growth for the first three months of the year led by investment and exports despite a harsh winter. The economy grew for the fourth quarter in a row, maintaining its gradual recovery.
 
The largest Eurozone economy grew 0.2% on a quarterly basis in the first quarter, according to a report released by the Federal Statistical Office on Wednesday. The result for the fourth quarter of 2009 was slightly revised upwards to 0.2% from the initial flat reading.
 
The statistical office said that the economy continued to expand despite the relatively cold and long winter. Economists were expecting the economy to remain flat in the first quarter of 2010.
 
The sequential growth was led by a positive contribution from capital formation in machinery and equipment as well as exports. Also, the building of inventories and the increase in government final consumption expenditure contributed to offsetting the negative influence of capital formation in construction, final consumption expenditure of households, and imports.
 
When compared with a year earlier, the gross domestic product increased, following the slump in the previous few quarters. The price-adjusted GDP in the first quarter rose 1.7%, reversing a 1.5% fall in the prior quarter. Annual growth exceeded the consensus forecast of 1.2%.
 
At the same time, the calendar-adjusted annual growth was 1.6% compared to the 2.2% contraction seen in the fourth quarter. The statistical office will release more detailed results on May 21.
 
Further, the report showed that the economic performance in the first quarter was achieved by 39.8 million persons in employment, down 107,000 persons or 0.3% from a year earlier.
 
The German government expects the economy to expand 1.4% this year and forecast an acceleration in growth to 1.6% for 2011. The Washington-based International Monetary Fund forecasts 1.2% growth for this year and 1.7% in 2011.
 
Separate data released Friday showed that the French economic growth slowed to 0.1% in the first quarter from 0.5% in the final three months of 2009. Meanwhile, Spain exited recession with a modest 0.1% growth.
 
These growth figures came in a week that saw the European Union adopting extraordinary steps to safeguard the stability of the Euro region. At the start of the week, EU finance ministers agreed emergency measures worth up to Eur 500 billion to stop the Greek debt crisis from spilling over to other countries in the Euro area. The package includes loan guarantees worth Eur 440 billion provided by the 16 member states of the Eurozone, plus a Eur 60 billion contribution from the European Commission.
 
German insolvency courts reported 13,487 insolvencies in February, an increase of 11.3% over a year earlier, the Federal Statistical Office said Wednesday. There were 2,558 enterprise insolvencies, up 6.9% year-on-year. Consumer insolvencies grew 15.9% to 8,632.
 
In January and February, 26,507 insolvencies were registered, which marked an increase of 6.9% compared to the same period of the previous year. A breakdown of data showed that there were 5,105 enterprise insolvencies. Altogether, the courts registered 16,897 consumer insolvencies, which were 10.1% more than in January and February 2009.
 
FRANCE
 
France's CAC 40 Index fell 171.18, or 4.6%, to 3,560.36 in Paris amid mounting concern that Europe's debt crisis will hamper economic growth. The broader SBF 120 Index declined 4.4%.
 
ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steelmaker, dropped 2.01 Euros, or 7.1%, to 26.25 Euros, pacing European steel and mining stocks lower as commodity prices declined.
 
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said Thursday the foundations for a global recovery aren't "solid" and the sovereign-debt crisis is "deepening."
 
Credit Agricole fell 66 cents, or 6.4%, to 9.62 Euros as a person familiar with investigations said New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo subpoenaed eight banks including Credit Agricole.
 
Separately, analysts at Credit Suisse Group AG forecast new European regulation may cost the region's banks 244 billion Euros ($306 billion).
 
BNP Paribas, France's biggest lender, dropped 7.4% to 47.97 Euros. Societe Generale SA (GLE FP) tumbled 8.6% to 35.25 Euros.
 
European Aeronautic, Defence & Space climbed 78.5 cents, or 5.1%, to 16.32 Euros as Deutsche Bank AG raised its recommendation for the shares to "buy" from "hold." The maker of Airbus planes Friday reported a 64% drop in earnings before interest and taxes to 83 million Euros, in line with some analysts' estimates including Oddo Securities' Yan Derocles, who said the "risk-reward ratio is now attractive."
 
Total, Europe's third-largest energy company, declined 1.68 Euros, or 4.2%, to 38.43 as crude oil fell to a three-month low on concern Europe's sovereign-debt crisis will reduce global economic growth and fuel consumption.
 
The French economic growth slowed more than expected in the first three months of this year as households' consumption leveled out and government's stimulus measures started fading.
 
Gross domestic product, or GDP, grew 0.1% sequentially in the first quarter, statistical office Insee said Wednesday. However, the growth was less than Economists' growth forecast of 0.3%. In April, the Bank of France had predicted 0.4% rise for the quarter.
 
Meanwhile, the statistical office revised down fourth-quarter GDP growth to 0.5% from 0.6% reported earlier.
 
Details of data showed that households' consumption expenditure stagnated after logging 0.9% growth, while government spending increased at a slower pace of 0.1% compared with fourth quarter's 0.7% rise.
 
Total gross fixed capital formation continued to decrease, but the pace of decline eased to 0.8% from 1.1%. Non-financial corporated and unincorporated enterprises investment fell 0.9%, households contribution decreased 0.7% and general government investment dropped 1.2%.
 
Export growth jumped to 3.9% from 0.4%, while imports rose at a slower pace of 2% than 2.6% rise in the fourth quarter. However, inventory changes negatively contributed to economic growth. It marked 0.1% decline, reversing 0.6% growth.
 
French economic growth is expected to pick up from the second quarter. The Bank of France said on Monday that it expects the second biggest Eurozone economy to grow 0.5% in the second quarter.
 
Also on Wednesday, official reports showed that the German economy grew 0.2% and the Spanish economy exited recession by growing 0.1%. Spanish growth comes after six successive quarters of negative growth.
 
Economists expect the Euro area economy to expand 0.1% in the first quarter. 
 
BELGIUM
 
The Bel 20 in Brussels closed the week on 2,447.17, a drop of 3.46% for Friday.
 
KBC Groep NV, Belgium's biggest bank and insurer by market value, reported profit that surpassed analysts' estimates after making smaller additions to provisions for bad loans.
 
First-quarter net income was 442 million Euros ($559 million) compared with a net loss of 3.6 billion Euros a year earlier, KBC, based in Brussels, said Friday in a statement. Profit beat the 376 million-Euro average of seven analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Loan impairments totaled 355 million Euros, a 46% drop from the preceding quarter.
 
Chief Executive Officer Jan Vanhevel said KBC "may have seen a turn in the credit cycle," prompting the bank to make smaller provisions even as the proportion of loans in arrears continued to increase. KBC also said it accumulated 1.5 billion Euros of surplus capital so far, which should help the bank reimburse 7 billion Euros of state aid by 2013.
 
Reversals of writedowns on KBC's synthetic collateralized debt obligations added 182 million Euros to first-quarter profit and have surpassed 2 billion Euros since the second quarter of 2009 because of narrowing credit spreads.
 
Operating expenses on an underlying basis fell 6% to 1.18 billion Euros in the quarter and the bank's cost-income ratio, a gauge of expenses as a proportion of revenue, narrowed to 50% from 55% last year.
 
KBC aims for a cost-income ratio of 52% after completing disposals including the planned sale of its private bank KBL European Private Bankers SA and an initial public offering of a minority stake in its Czech banking unit CSOB AS, Philips said on the call. KBC is in talks with "different parties" about the planned sale of its private bank, Vanhevel said Friday, without naming them.
 
Loans more than three months in arrears increased to 3.6% of loans outstanding as of March 31 from 3.4% at the end of last year. KBC's cover ratio for non-performing loans decreased to 48% from 50% on Dec. 31.
 
Belgian Insurance firm Ageas, formerly known as Fortis Holding and the remnant of the financial services giant Fortis NV, said Wednesday that the falling value of its legacy assets pushed it into the red in the first quarter.
 
The company made a net loss of Eur209 million compared with Fortis Holding's profit of Eur44 million a year earlier, after being hit by Eur271 million in write-downs on its general account, which includes the company's investment portfolio.
 
Chief Executive Officer Bart De Smet said in a statement: "In line with previous announcements, Ageas took additional initiatives to adjust the risk concentration on government bonds. It reduced its position in Southern European government bonds and redeployed the proceeds into other fixed income securities. Going forward Ageas will continue to manage its investment portfolio in line with its overall investment strategy."
 
The company said it had reduced its exposure to Greece, Portugal and Italy with most of the proceeds reinvested in Belgian government bonds. Between Jan. 1 and May 10, Ageas sold Southern European government bonds worth Eur4 billion.
 
It said profit after minorities for its insurance activities increased to Eur85 million from Eur21 million a year earlier, with asset inflows up 20% at Eur5 billion.
 
The increase came mainly from substantially higher inflows in its Asian business, especially in China.
 
Inflows in continental Europe and the UK were up 16% and 21%, while Belgium inflows declined 3%, the company said.
 
Chemicals and plastics company Solvay Tuesday said net profit grew almost 20 times in the first quarter, boosted by a capital gain from the sales of its drugs unit, and that 2010 had started well.
 
"The year 2010 started in the context of demand/recovery," the Belgian company said in a statement, adding that if the trend continues, the chemicals sector's recurring operating profit for the full year should be in line with that of 2009, while that of its plastics business should expand.
 
Brussels-based Solvay's net profit rose to Eur1.73 billion in the first quarter, from Eur91 million in the first three months of 2009, slightly disappointing the Eur1.76 billion median estimates of analysts compiled by Vara Research. Revenue decreased by about 4% to Eur1.91 billion, mainly due to the divestment of its pharma activities on Feb. 15, 2010.
 
Solvay said last year it was selling its pharma unit for Eur4.5 billion in cash to rival Abbott Laboratories, and it got a Eur1.7 billion capital gain earlier this year. That's the main reason behind the first-quarter net profit boost.
 
THE NETHERLANDS
 
In Amsterdam the AEX finished the trading session Friday at 327.24, a dip of 3.13% on the session.
 
ING Groep NV, the biggest Dutch financial-services company, swung to a first-quarter profit as writedowns narrowed, bad loans fell and it booked a gain on the sale of Asian and Swiss private-banking businesses.
 
ING rose as much as 7.2% in Amsterdam trading after reporting net income of 1.33 billion Euros ($1.68 billion), higher than the 981 million-Euro average estimate of 12 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. The company posted a 793 million-Euro loss in the year-earlier period.
 
ING, which traces its roots to 1743, plans to operationally separate its insurance and banking units by the end of the year as it prepares to sell the insurer. The divisions reported profit excluding asset sales and special items of 269 million Euros and 1.28 billion Euros, respectively. Net gains on investments amounted to 403 million Euros, ING said in a statement.
 
Aegon NV, the Dutch operator of Transamerica and other US insurance companies, reported a return to profit in the first quarter on Wednesday, as it wrote down the value of investment assets by the smallest amount in nearly two years.
 
Net profit was Euro371 million ($471.1 million), from a loss of Euro173 million in the same period a year earlier.
 
"We saw improved underlying earnings and net income, as well as strong deposits," said Chief Executive Alex Wynaendts in a statement.
 
Underlying earnings -- a nonstandard measure that strips out the impact of impairments and divestments -- were Euro488 million, up from a loss of Euro98 million in the same period a year ago. That was mostly due to a strong improvement in the US, where Aegon has the bulk of its business.
 
Consumer prices in the Netherlands increased 1.1% year-on-year in April, the Central Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday.
 
This was exactly in line with analyst forecasts and follows a 1% increase in March.
 
The rise in the inflation rate was mainly due to higher charges for air travel, the statistical office said. Vegetable prices also increased in April, contributing to the rise in inflation.
 
On a harmonized basis, consumer prices increased 0.6% annually, slower than the 0.7% growth in the prior month.
 
This compares to a HICP rate of 1.5% in the whole of the Euro area. 
 
SWITZERLAND
 
Zurich's SMI ended the week on 6,428.68, a drop of 2.23% for the day.
 
The Swiss government proposed the parliament to bring legislation to quickly and effectively limit the risks for the national economy caused by large, systemically important banks.
 
"The insolvency of a large financial institution would have serious repercussions for our country," the government said in a statement. "The Federal Council believes that measures to prevent and mitigate damages are to be taken quickly via legislation."
 
The government said the risks of systemically important banks should be restricted, as more stringent capital, liquidity and risk diversification requirements will be set out in the Banking Act.
 
The proposal on the legislative measures should be put out for consultation in the form of a conference in October 2010, and be adopted by the Federal Council by the end of 2010, the government report said.
 
Swiss producer and import prices rose 0.6% in April on a monthly comparison, data from the Federal Statistical Office showed Wednesday. Economists had expected the monthly growth to ease to 0.4% from 0.5% in March.
 
Higher prices for petroleum and metal products in particular led to an increase of 0.5% in the producer price index and of 0.7% in the import price index. On a yearly basis, producer prices and import prices were up 0.3% and 1.8%, respectively.
 
Annually, the producer and import price index climbed 0.8% in April, after staying flat in the March. Consensus forecast was for 0.6% increase.
 
Swiss consumer confidence improved significantly in April, the latest quarterly survey conducted by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs or SECO showed Tuesday. Consumers are expecting, for the coming months, a much lower increase in unemployment as well as a stronger positive development of the economy.
 
The consumer sentiment index stood at plus 14 in April, up from negative 7 points seen in January. The index stood well above the consensus forecast of 1.
 
The survey conducted among 1,100 households showed that the expectations on the general economic situation for the coming 12 months rose to 44 from 24 in the prior quarter and the index for unemployment stood at 8, down from 77.
 
Further, assessment of future development of the personal financial situation rose slightly to 7 in April from 6 in January, while future potential to save money dropped to 15 from 19. 
 
AUSTRIA
 
The ATX in Vienna headed into the weekend on 2,479.90, down 2.95%.
 
Europe's biggest online betting site Bwin has released its latest financial results for Q1 2010, showing a 1.2% increase in gross gaming revenue to €133.2m compared to the same period in 2009 of €117.6m.
 
The Austrian company currently operates across 25 major markets and offers sports betting, poker, casino games and soft games to its more than 20 million customers worldwide.
 
In Q1, its sports betting business saw an impressive increase in revenue of 13%, while the company's other verticals posted impressive gains with casino revenue up 10% and games revenue increasing by 82%.
 
Bwin's poker revenue also grew a solid 22.4% from €31.1 million in the first quarter of 2010 to €38.1 million in Q1 2010. However, the company's acquisition of Gioco Digitale in September was largely responsible for Bwin's impressive poker figures, without which poker revenue would have fallen 17%.
 
Austrian biotech company Intercell is eyeing a significant pick up in sales of its Ixiaro vaccine against Japanese Encephalitis after posting a wider-than-expected first-quarter net loss.
 
The group posted a net loss of 14.7 million Euros ($19.72 million), trailing the average estimate in a Reuters poll as research and development expenses jumped 19.1%. [ID:nLDE6490SW]
 
"Product sales are expected to increase significantly in Q2 2010 driven by both the traveller and the military market segments," the group said in a statement.
 
Austria's gross domestic product or GDP remained unchanged on a sequential basis in the first quarter, compared to the 0.3% growth in the previous quarter, the Austrian Institute of Economic Research or WIFO said on Wednesday. A year ago, the GDP was down 2.2%.
 
Year-on-year, the GDP increased 0.4% in the first quarter, compared to the 1.2% fall in the preceding quarter. 
 
SWEDEN
 
In Stockholm, the OMX rounded out the week on 984.91, down 2.51% for the Friday session.
 
Sweden's central bank is seen hiking interest rates at a slightly faster pace than previously anticipated over the coming 12 months, a survey of key business and financial groups showed on Wednesday.
 
The TNS SIFO Prospera survey showed the central bank's repo rate at 1.4% in 12 months time, up slightly from the 1.3% anticipated by businesses in the previous survey in April.
 
In two years' time, the repo rate is seen at 2.5%, down from 2.6%.
 
The key interest rate is currently at 0.25%.
 
Meanwhile, Sweden's gross domestic product is seen growing 2.3% in a years' time, up from the 2.2% increase predicted in the previous survey.
 
In two years' time, the economy is seen growing 2.8%.
 
Businesses expect inflation to hit 1.6% in 12 months' time and 2.2% in 24 months' time. The April survey showed one-year and two-year inflation expectations of 1.7% and 2.3%, respectively.
 
Swedish jobless rate stood at 4.9% in April, a report by the Public Employment Service showed on Tuesday. The jobless rate came in line with economists expectations.
 
The number of registered unemployed persons totaled 412,000 in April, which was 9% of the workforce. At the same time, the number of vacancies increased by 14,000 from the prior year to 48,000.
 
Swedish industries' capacity utilization rate rose to 84.9% in the March quarter from 80% in the December quarter, Statistics Sweden said on Tuesday.
 
The manufacturing sector's capacity utilization rate climbed to 84.6% from 80%, while in the mining sector, it improved to 88.6% from 87.5%.
 
Meanwhile, total stocks or inventories in industry increased 6.2% in the March quarter compared to the December quarter to SEK 10.1 billion.
 
Compared to the March quarter of 2009, total stocks in industry went up by 8.7%. 
 
DENMARK
 
Copenhagen's OMX was closed Thursday and Friday for a Public Holiday.
 
Denmark's current account balance recorded a surplus of DKK 4.99 billion in March it was announced this week.
 
This is larger than the DKK 3.48 billion surplus recorded in February.
 
The surplus on goods and services increased to DKK 8.78 billion in March from DKK 5.19 billion in February.
 
The income account, on the other hand, swung to a deficit of DKK 515 million, while the deficit in the current transfers account narrowed to DKK 3.28 billion.
 
Consumer prices in Denmark increased 2.4% in April compared to the same month a year ago, data released by Statistics Denmark showed on Monday.
 
It follows a 2.2% rise in prices in March.
 
The largest price increase was registered in the alcoholic beverages & tobacco component, up 5.4%, mainly due to higher prices of tobacco.
 
Transport costs jumped 4.4% from a year ago, mainly due to higher prices of gasoline.
 
On a month-over-month basis, the consumer price index edged up 0.2% in April.
 
Meanwhile, the harmonized consumer price index increased by 0.2% on a monthly basis and by 2.4% on a yearly basis.
 
Also on Monday, they announced that the country's exports jumped 10.1% in March compared to a year ago.
 
The spike in exports was due an increase in commodity, fuel & chemical exports, which traditionally see large monthly fluctuations.
 
Exports to non-E.U. countries rose 22.6%, while those to E.U. countries were up 4%.
 
Imports, meanwhile, increased 2.9% on an annual basis in March.
 
The country recorded a trade surplus of DKK 8.3 billion in March, up from DKK 5.2 billion in February. 
 
NORWAY
 
In Oslo, the OBX finished trading at 329.66, a 3.61% drop on the day.
 
The Norwegian government has tightened its 2010 budget in its mid-year revision by targeting a non-oil deficit of NOK 139.6 billion compared to the NOK 148.5 billion set in October.
 
The tightening will be achieved by cutting the spending of its oil revenue by NOK 17 billion.
 
Norway runs large budget surpluses when its petroleum and oil revenues are included but deficits when they are excluded.
 
To avoid overheating, the country invests all its oil revenue in an offshore fund and spends only 4% of its value each year.
 
The country's finance ministry forecasts mainland gross domestic product to expand 2.1% in 2010 after contracting 1.5% in 2009.
 
Norway's harmonized index of consumer prices increased 3.4% in April compared to a year ago, Statistics Norway said on Monday.
 
That compares to a 3.6% increase in March.
 
On a month-over-month basis, harmonized consumer prices increased 0.2%, led by price increases on clothing and books.
 
Along with this, they also reported that Consumer prices in Norway increased 3.3% in April compared to the same month a year ago.
 
That is higher than analyst forecasts for a 2.9% inflation rate and follows a 3.4% increase in prices in March.
 
On a month-over-month basis, consumer prices increased 0.2% - again missing expectations for a 0.2% fall.
 
Core consumer prices increased 1.7% in April compared to one year ago - the same rate as in the previous month. On a monthly basis, core prices were up 0.3%.
 
Meanwhile, producer prices in Norway rocketed 26.7% in April, faster than the 21.7% rise in March.
 
The rise in the producer price inflation rate was influenced by higher prices in the export market and higher prices in the extraction of oil and natural gas, Statistics Norway said.
 
On a monthly basis, producer prices increased 3.5%. 
 
FINLAND
 
In Helsinki the OMX wound down the week, finishing at 6,550.82, down 3.48% for the day.
 
This week it was announced that the building costs in Finland increased 0.2% on an annual basis in April, compared to the 0.5% fall in the previous month.
 
Labor costs in construction increased 0.3% annually in April, while prices of materials grew 0.8%. Other inputs costs fell 2.3%.
 
On a monthly basis, building costs grew 0.3% in April, faster than the 0.2% growth in the previous month. The prices of materials climbed 0.6% and those of other inputs rose 0.2%. In contrast, labor costs fell 0.3%.
 
Retail sales value in Finland increased 6.8% year-on-year in March, faster than the 1.8% increase in the previous month, Statistics Finland said on Wednesday.
 
In volume terms, sales were up 5.7%, faster than the 1.2% increase in the preceding month.
 
At the same time, wholesale trade increased 8.5% in value terms and 5% in volume terms.
 
Separately, the statistical office said turnover in the services industries decreased 3.6% in the December to February period when compared to the same period a year ago.
 
Turnover contracted the most in professional, scientific & technical activities, down 7.6% annually.
 
Finnish job vacancies rose 8% year-on-year to 49,700 in the first quarter of this year, the Statistics Finland also said this week.
 
According to official data, 34,800 or 70% of the job vacancies were in private enterprises. Job vacancies increased in Northern Finland and Western Finland and diminished in Uusimaa region.
 
By industry, job vacancies increased in trade and in recreational, cultural and sporting activities and in other service activities. Contraction was recorded in public administration, education and human health and social work activities.
 
The statistical office said employers had fewer recruitment problems than one year ago. The share of hard-to-fill vacancies of all job vacancies fell by nine percentage points to 23%. 
 
SPAIN
 
Madrid's Ibex ended up at 9,314.70, down a massive 6.64% for Friday alone.
 
Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero has announced fresh budget cuts aimed at bringing down the country's large budget deficit, while official figures showed that the economy emerged from its deep recession in the first quarter.
 
Zapatero told Parliament that wages in the public sector would be slashed by 5% on average this year and frozen in 2011. Other measures include a Eur 1.2 billion cut in funding for regional governments, and the abolition of a Eur 2,500 childbirth allowance.
 
The prime minister said the government planned to save up to Eur 15 billion through the new measures and that it would shave a further 1.5 points off the deficit to gross domestic product ratio by 2011.
 
Spain currently has a deficit of 11.2% of GDP, which it pledged to bring under 3% by 2013. But with the Euro in freefall and fears rife of contagion effects spreading from Greece, the government said earlier in the week that it intended to accelerate fiscal consolidation and bring down its public deficit sooner.
 
Zapatero said government wages, including his own, will be reduced by 15%, while investment will also be cut. The government will also suspend pension payments from 2011.
 
With the economy grappling with massive imbalances and high unemployment, the new measures are likely to be met with resistance by Spaniards. Figures released for the March quarter showed that Spain had an unemployment rate of 20.05% - the highest in the Euro area, with nearly half of them under 25s without a job.
 
Data released Friday by statistical office INE showed that the Spanish economy emerged from recession after growing 0.1% between January and March. It comes after six successive quarters of negative growth and follows a 0.1% contraction in the final three months of 2009.
 
On a year-over-year basis, gross domestic product was still down 1.3%. Analysts had forecast a 1.4% decline. The figures are only preliminary estimates however, and may be revised up or down.
 
Investor confidence in the Spanish economy has taken a nosedive in recent weeks over fears that contagion effects could spread from the debt crisis in Greece and it remains to be seen whether the positive growth in the economy could spark a turnaround in confidence.
 
Spain had its long-term sovereign debt rating downgraded to AA from AA+ by ratings agency Standard & Poor's last month, with a deep deterioration in public finances and a long period of economic weakness blamed.
 
That downgrade forced Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero to appeal for calm in the financial markets and quash speculation that Spain could be the next country to need an aid package from the European Union.
 
Although, Spain's government debt is mild when compared to some of its European counterparts, the country's private sector suffers from a massive debt overhang.
 
Reforms to Spain's labour market would help the government to bring down its large budget deficit, the head of the country's central bank Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez said on Tuesday.
 
"A significant proportion of the dramatic increase in the deficit recorded in the last two years is directly or indirectly related to trends in the labour market," Ordonez said in a conference in Madrid.
 
"Preventing the increase in structural unemployment would greatly enhance the process of fiscal consolidation."
 
Spain's unemployment rate at the end of the March quarter stood at 20.05% - the highest in the Eurozone. 
 
PORTUGAL
 
The PSI General in Lisbon headed into the weekend at 2,491.57, declining 3.97% in the process.
 
Wednesday, the Statistics Portugal announced that the gross domestic product or GDP increased 1% on a sequential basis in the first quarter, compared to the 0.3% fall in the previous quarter.
 
Year-on-year, the GDP grew 1.7% in the first quarter, after a 1.1% fall in the fourth quarter. A year earlier, the GDP was down 3.7%.
 
The final GDP estimates for the first quarter is due on 9th June 2010, the statistical office said.
 
They also announced that the consumer price index or CPI rose 0.7% year-on-year in April, faster than the 0.5% growth in the previous month. A year ago, the CPI was down 0.5%.
 
Month-on-month, the CPI dropped 0.4% in April, compared to the 1.1% increase in the previous month.
 
Meanwhile, the harmonized index of consumer prices or HICP rose 0.7% on an annual basis in April, faster than the 0.6% growth in the preceding month. The HICP was down 0.4% compared to the previous month. 
 
ITALY
 
Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index tumbled 1,097.66, or 5.3%, to 19,781.17 in Milan, the steepest retreat since March 2009. All forty stocks in the index fell amid mounting concern that Europe's debt crisis will hamper economic growth.
 
El Pais reported Friday that French President Nicolas Sarkozy threatened to pull out of the Euro at a May 7 summit of European leaders to force German Chancellor Angela Merkel to agree to a rescue package for heavily indebted Euro members.
 
Aides to Sarkozy, Merkel and Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero all denied the report. The Madrid-based newspaper said Zapatero related the exchange at a meeting two days ago with members of his Socialist Party.
 
ERG fell 25 cents, or 2.4%, to 10.02 Euros after the refiner posted a first-quarter net loss at replacement cost of 16 million Euros ($20 million). ERG said it expected higher refining margins in the next quarter.
 
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario declined 3.5 cents, or 4.8%, to 0.7015 Euros after the insurer recorded a net loss of 7 million Euros in the first quarter, compared with profit of 39 million Euros a year earlier. The company said it expects to return to profit in 2010.
 
Prysmian lost 80 cents, or 6.5%, to 11.60 Euros after the company said its first-quarter net income fell to 22 million Euros from 90 million Euros a year earlier.
 
Saras retreated 4.6 cents, or 2.6%, to 1.708 Euros after the company swung to a loss of 9.3 million Euros in the first quarter from a profit of 58.2 million Euros a year earlier. Saras also said in a slide presentation on its website that it expects an impact on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $20 million to $26 million this year due to scheduled maintenance.
 
Unione di Banche Italiane tumbled 70.5 cents, or 8.3%, to 7.78 Euros after Italy's fourth-largest bank posted a 57% rise in first-quarter profit to 38.1 million Euros that still missed analysts' estimates of profit of 61 million Euros. The company cited a trading loss and lower interest income.
 
Separately, Credit Suisse Group AG said in a report Friday that new regulations may cost European banks as much as 244 billion Euros and could curb earnings by 37%.
 
Intesa Sanpaolo, Italy's second-biggest bank which Friday reported a 36% decline in first-quarter profit, lost 12.25 cents, or 5.3%, to 2.175 Euros.
 
The Italian economy staged a good start in the first three months of the year by logging better than expected growth.
 
Gross domestic product rose 0.5% on a sequential basis following a revised 0.1% contraction, figures from the statistical office Istat showed Wednesday. Growth exceeded economists' expectations for 0.3% expansion.
 
On an annual basis, GDP climbed 0.6%, ending seven quarters of negative growth. It followed 2.8% contraction in the fourth quarter.
 
UniCredit Research described Italy's first quarter growth as a "good start" of 2010. Although the Italian GDP series has recently displayed some volatility, so that a stepback into weaker growth cannot be ruled out, Friday's numbers clearly represent an upside risk to our call of a 0.5% growth for 2010," the firm said.
 
Also on Wednesday, separate reports showed that the German economy grew 0.2% after stagnating in the fourth quarter, while French growth eased to 0.1% from 0.5%. The Spanish economy exited recession by growing 0.1%. Debt-ridden Greek economy remained mired in recession. GDP fell 0.8% in the first quarter, extending the fall that started in the fourth quarter of 2008. 
 
GREECE
 
In Athens, the ATHEX Composite rounded off the week at 1,658.29, a Friday dip of 3.41%.
 
The Socialist government in Greece late Monday announced tough pension reforms as part of its austerity measures to pull the debt-ridden country out of its economic debacle.
 
Drafted after consultations with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund which together finance the 110 billion Euro ($144.5 billion) bailout loan, the Pension Reform Bill endorsed by the George Papendrou Cabinet raises retirement age of female workers and discourages employees from seeking early retirement.
 
It also provides for swingeing cuts in pensions with an average reduction of seven% envisaged by 2030. Those opting for voluntary retirement will see an annual six% reduction in pensions for each of the remaining year they would have otherwise spent on the job. Moreover, the pension sum drawn by respective pensioners will come to only 65% of the salary drawn by them while in active service.
 
Labour Minister Andreas Loverdos said the measures were not only aimed at saving pensions and health care but were also meant for the welfare of future generations. "We are saving the pensions and heath care, not only of this, but also of future generations," he said.
 
If the pension system were to be left in its present form it will cost the government a whopping 24% of its Gross National Product in 2050, Loverdos said.
 
The Bill will be tabled in the Parliament later this week and is expected to secure a massive endorsement from the ruling Socialists when it is put to vote in June. Another of its proposals includes calculating all pensions through a uniform method and hence special benefits for certain professions will be scrapped.
 
Greece's labor unions have openly come out against the austerity measures which they say target only the poor sections of the society and fresh round of protests have been called for Wednesday with the possibility of another crippling nationwide strike looming large.
 
The country owes its current economic mess to a host of factors including the abandoning of its currency 'drachma' in favor of Euro which made it all the more easy for it to borrow money, the massive costs involved in staging the Athens Olympics, global recession and widespread tax evasion resulting in government coffers turning empty.
 
Greek gross domestic product or GDP dropped a seasonally adjusted 0.8% on a sequential basis in the first quarter, same as in the previous quarter, the statistical office said on Wednesday. A year earlier, the GDP was down 1%.
 
Year-on-year, the GDP decreased 2.3% in the first quarter, after falling 2.6% in the fourth quarter, revised from 2.5% fall reported initially.
 
On an unadjusted basis, the GDP fell 2.3% annually in the first quarter, compared to the 2.5% decline in the preceding quarter.
 
Greek import price index increased 9.6% on an annual basis in March, compared to the 3.1% fall recorded a year ago, the statistical office also highlighted this week.
 
On a monthly basis, import prices climbed 1.5% in March, after falling 0.1% in February.
 
In the twelve-month period April 2009 to March 2010, the annual average rate of change of import prices grew 0.8%, compared to the 4.4% increase a year ago.   
    

The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsA week that had begun so brightly ended badly as fresh concerns about Eurozone debt levels, and the impact of the austerity measures needed to tackle them, combined to cause a sell-off.
 
The FTSE 100 suffered its biggest one day percentage fall in six months, losing 170.9 points, or 3.1%, to 5,262.8 with mining and banking stocks taking the brunt of the selling. Elsewhere, the FTSE 250 lost 263 points, or 2.5%, to 10,022.9.
 
In spite of Monday's fall, the blue chip index still ended the week 143 points, or 2.7% higher, recovering some of the previous week's 7.8% drop. The FTSE 250 gained 531 points, or 5.5%, over the week.
 
Mining stocks led the market lower after Chile followed the lead of Australia and announced plans to increase tax on mining companies.
 
However, Liberum Capital said a Chilean mining tax would not be as punitive as the Australian one because state-owned Codelco, the world's largest copper producer, was the country's largest tax contributor.
 
Miners Xstrata, down 7.9% to £10.09, BHP Billiton, off 4.5% to £19.14, Antofagasta, 5.7% cheaper at 902p, and Anglo American, 5.4% lighter at £26.03 - all of whom have operations in Chile - fell sharply.
 
Banks were under pressure, hit by worries about exposure to Eurozone debt and a report from Credit Suisse that said new regulations could cost the European banking industry €244bn, or 37% of estimated 2012 earnings.
 
"Given the increase in regulatory proposals in recent months we believe that it is helpful for investors ahead of next month's G20 summit to track the impact these could have on the European banks sector," Credit Suisse told clients.Barclays gave up 6.1% to 308.9p, Lloyds Banking Group fell 4.7% to 57.68p and RBS dipped 3.8% to 47.26p.
 
BP remained under pressure, falling a further 3.2% to 530.20p.
 
Capital Shopping Group, which owns the Lakeside shopping centre in Essex, eased 5.3% to 324.1p on profit taking. Panmure Gordon, which started coverage of the stock with a "neutral" rating on Friday, said the shares were only worth 330p given the outlook for regional shopping groups.
 
Wolseley was the only FTSE 100 company to end the session in positive territory. Shares in the building materials group rose 5% to £16.88 on news that group trading profit for the year ending July would be above market expectations of £374m because of a successful cost-cutting programme.
 
Among mid caps,Renishaw, a maker of specialist measuring equipment, added 2.1% to 697p after a positive trading update.
 
Inchcape was marked 7.7% lower at 32.12p on concerns about its exposure to Greece.
 
Fund manager Gartmore dipped 4.6% to 144.20p after a trading statement failed to impress.
 
Raymarine, the heavily indebted marine electronics company, was the main talking point on Friday, writes Neil Hume.
 
Its shares, which started the day at 14½p, were suspended at 18¾p after its lenders demanded immediate repayment of their loans and the company was placed into administration.
 
But, after the market closed, Raymarine said it had sold all of its operating businesses to Flir Systems and a sum of 20p a share could be returned to shareholders.
 
"The administrators concluded that the sale to Flir provided the best available outcome for employees, shareholders and creditors," said Raymarine.
 
Earlier in the day, Garmin, a US rival, also held talks with the administrators over a similar deal that could have seen 35p a share returned to investors, subject to approval by the competition authorities.
 
Management Consulting Group eased 2% to 25p after the company announced plans to raise £25m by way of a placing and open offer at 22p a share. Collins Stewart said the fundraising would derisk MCG's balance sheet and help trigger a rerating.
 
Centamin Egypt dipped 4.3% to 149¾p after a vehicle in which Josef El-Raghy, executive chairman, is a shareholder declared the sale of 9.9m shares at 155p a share.
 
European Nickel shed 23.1% to 6½p on news that a permit to develop its Caldag project in Turkey would have to be reissued. However, the company said it expected the process to be straightforward and to be in possession of a new permit before the end of the third quarter. 
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN
 
Tokyo stocks fell Friday as Sony's weak earnings projection cast a pall over the market early, with pre-earnings buying of big bank shares only serving to blunt the broader market's losses a tad by the end of the day.
 
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average closed down 158.04 points, or 1.5%, to 10,462.51. The Topix index of all the Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section issues also fell 11.45 points, or 1.2%, to 936.45, with 29 of 33 subindexes ending in negative territory.
 
Sony's worse-than-expected current fiscal year forecasts of an operating profit of Y160 billion and a net profit of Y50 billion released after the Thursday market close provided all the necessary sell incentives. Its shares lost 6.8% to Y2,950--their sharpest loss of 2010 and set the pace for a primarily technology share-led sell-off. Tokyo Electron also dropped 3.0% to Y5,900.
 
Euro weakness, especially against the Yen, sent shares of Konica Minolta down 3.9% to Y1,070, despite the firm's positive earnings report. As the company's European sales account for 29% of its total, a Euro fall of Y2.5 impacts operating profits by some 6%, noted one Citigroup analyst.
 
Some dip-buying was seen in the afternoon session, once the cash market fell below the Nikkei options' settlement price of 10,435, one Japanese brokerage manager noted. Shares of Mizuho Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group ended flat at Y165 and off just 0.1% at Y2,875, respectively. Both firms were slated to report business results Friday after the closing bell.
 
Pioneer added 9.0% to Y362 after filing its earnings report following Thursday's market close and forecast its first profit in seven years despite damage from the strong Yen. A Deutsche Securities analyst said that there are worries that if a recovery in global automobile production stalls, Pioneer--a major car audio equipment maker--could be hurt.
 
Shinsei Bank lost 4.5% to Y106 after it reported earnings results during the midday break. Its CEO commented that the bank is considering raising capital of less than Y100 billion. Shinsei posted a group net loss of Y140.15 billion in the just-ended fiscal year, its second consecutive year of red ink. Shinsei and Aozora Bank also officially scrapped their merger agreement, a move already expected by the market.
 
On the Osaka Securities Exchange, June Nikkei 225 futures ended down 190 points, or 1.8% at 10,450. 
 
SOUTH KOREA
 
South Korean shares ended flat Friday as earnings-driven gains in car makers and airlines offset losses in bank stocks caused by worries over the US government's move to tighten regulations on financial institutions.
 
Posco rose after the government chose the steelmaker as the preferred bidder for a controlling stake in Daewoo International, while Daewoo International fell.
 
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index, or Kospi, ended up 1.05 points at 1695.63 after falling to as low as 1677.44 in the morning following the fall in US stocks overnight due to the widening probe by US regulators into Wall Street banks' roles in mortgage-bond deals.
 
Foreigners and domestic institutions were net sellers of shares worth KRW195.5 billion and KRW11 billion worth stocks, respectively. But local retail investors were net buyers of KRW223.6 billion worth shares.
 
Lee added that "upgrades of 12-month forward looking earnings estimates for major exporters continue, leading local investors to pick up autos and chipmakers actively Friday on expectations that foreigners will resume buying these stocks aggressively once risk appetite normalizes."
 
The Kospi will likely resume its rally after a short-term tug of war between offshore investors and domestic investors, said analysts. Immediate resistance is pegged at 1700.
 
Posco rose 1.5% to KRW464,000 after it was named the preferred bidder for a controlling stake in Daewoo International
 
Daewoo International fell 2.2% to KRW34,050 as investors sold on news after earlier buying the stock on expectations that Posco would be picked as the preferred bidder, said Lim Young-ju, an analyst at Prudential Investment & Securities.
 
Car makers extended their winning streak on rising expectations that Hyundai Motor and Kia Motors would likely continue to expand their global market shares on the back of new models and improving brand image and quality.
 
Hyundai Motor rose 2.1% to KRW144,500 and Kia Motors climbed 2.4% to KRW31,900, both hitting a fresh record closing high.
 
Asiana Airlines surged 14.3% to KRW7,440 as various brokerage houses raised their target price for the stock after the firm reported a record high first-quarter operating profit of KRW115 billion Thursday.
 
Korean Air Lines advanced 1.9% to KRW75,700 on expectations of a further rise in both passenger and cargo traffic as the global economic recovery gains traction.
 
Among decliners, KB Financial Group fell 1.2% to KRW50,600 and Shinhan Financial Group dropped 1% to KRW44,650, tracking overnight losses in their US peers on worries over the US government's tightening regulations on financial institutions. 
 
HONG KONG
 
Shares in Hong Kong fell 1.36% on Friday as weak overseas cues and a lack of catalysts kept investors sidelined.
 
The benchmark Hang Seng Index ended down 277.03 points at 20,145.43. The China Enterprise Index of top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks fell 1.2%.
 
Shares of Europe-focused fashion retailer Esprit Holdings fell 6.5% to a more than four-month closing low after UBS said in a report on Friday that lower demand growth in Europe from the region's debt problems could hurt Esprit's revenues.
 
Alibaba.com, operator of China's biggest online commerce site, rose the most in four months in Hong Kong trading after the company said billionaire investor George Soros bought a stake.
 
The shares rose 5.3% to close at HK$15.82 in Hong Kong after climbing as much as 11%. The founder of Soros Fund Management LLC visited Alibaba in the summer and has become one of the company's biggest shareholders after making an investment during the third quarter, Alibaba Chief Executive Officer David Wei said Friday.
 
Hong Kong rules on new home sales, including the use of show apartments and disclosing transactions that involve senior company executives, will take effect on June 1, the government said, as it seeks to curb surging prices.
 
The rules will apply to all new apartments and show flats, the city's Transport and Housing Secretary Eva Cheng said in televised comments Friday. Show flats are walk-through models of apartments that developers use to entice buyers before a building is completed.
 
Hong Kong has been stepping up measures to cool its property market, where prices of existing homes have risen to a 12-year high. Apart from raising stamp duties on luxury home transactions and increasing land supply, the government is also clamping down on developers' sales tactics to boost transparency.
 
The government, which consulted developers on the proposed rules, rejected most of their suggestions, Cheng said.
 
The only adjustment it made is that developers won't have to publish asking prices three days before starting to sell whole buildings or entire housing projects, as these don't involve public transactions, Cheng said. They will have to disclose details within five days after a sale, she added.
 
"This doesn't mean that we are backing down," Cheng said.
 
One of the measures that will take effect is that developers must provide a show flat that will be in the exact same condition as when the home is built and ready for delivery, according to the nine rules spelt out by Financial Secretary John Tsang on April 21.
 
The following is a list of the nine measures:
 
Developers must abide by all regulations stipulated by the Real Estate Developers Association when selling new homes, regardless of whether the construction has been completed.
 
Developers must provide an on-site apartment when selling new homes that are completed for the public to view.
 
Developers have to announce sales details within five days. They also have to disclose transactions involving board members and their relatives.
 
Show flats must fulfill a series of requirements, including: providing at least one model apartment in which the layout, decorative materials and complimentary facilities are exactly the same as when the homes are ready for delivery.
 
The first price list must cover more homes. For smaller developments, the list must cover at least 30 units or 30% of the units available for sale, whichever is higher. Bigger projects would cover at least 50 homes or 50% of those available for sale, whichever is higher.
 
Manuals must be issued to home buyers seven days before sales begin, instead of 24 hours now.
 
Developers must announce the prices of homes three days before selling any number of units to anyone.
 
Promotional materials of the projects must provide clear information of the locations and addresses.
 
Developers must simultaneously upload the projects' manuals and all the price lists on their websites.
 
CHINA
 
China's shares ended lower Friday following sharp gains in the previous session because of a media report the country's securities regulator had denied halting the approval process for initial public offerings.
 
The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks both A and B shares, ended down 0.5% at 2696.63, after rising 2.1% Thursday, the biggest single-day rise in more than six weeks.
 
The Shenzhen Composite Index rose 0.1% to 1039.64.
 
The state-run China Securities News on Friday reported an unnamed official from the China Securities Regulatory Commission as saying the regulator hadn't stopped approving IPO applications. The comments follow market rumours Thursday that the regulator had temporarily stopped approving IPOs after the stock market's recent sharp falls, the report said.
 
Investors have been concerned fund-raising plans from big state banks and the IPO of Agricultural Bank of China will further weaken the stock market by diverting liquidity.
 
The weakness in overseas stock markets also damped investor sentiment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 113.96 points, or 1.05%, to 10782.95 Thursday, its sixth drop in the past eight sessions.
 
Ping An Insurance led the losses in the local market, falling 2.2% to CNY48.30 after US private-equity firm TPG cut its stake in the insurer. TPG has raised US$1.25 billion from selling just over half of its 4% holding in Ping An Insurance, a person familiar with the situation said Thursday.
 
Other financial companies were also lower, with China Merchants Bank down 1.2% at CNY13.88 and Citic Securities off 1.9% at CNY21.21.
 
Other heavyweight blue chips fell on profit-taking. Air China lost 2.0% to CNY11.00 after rising 4.7% Thursday, and Chongqing Changan Automobile fell 1.8% to CNY10.54 after a 4.4% gain in the previous session.
 
The May 2010 index futures contract, the most actively traded of the four index futures contracts traded in China, ended down 1.4% at 2862.6.
 
The futures are referenced to the CSI-300, an index of 300 Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed RMB-denominated A shares. The CSI-300 ended down 0.7% at 2868.02. 
 
TAIWAN
 
Taiwan stocks ended flat on Friday in cautious trading, amid concerns over the Eurozone and poor outlooks from some US companies, with PC firm Asustek slumping after trimming its revenue forecast.
 
Tech shares were slightly lower following downbeat comments on the US economy from Cisco Systems and as Sony slumped after its forecast for annual operating profit fell short of analysts' expectations.
 
The main TAIEX share index inched up 1.56 points 0.02% to 7,772.13, closing this week with a 2.7% jump.
 
Turnover was light at T$78 billion ($2.5 billion). 
 
Asustek plunged 5.1% to its lowest closing level since August 2009. Its president said on Thursday that second-quarter revenue was likely to be about the same as that of the first quarter, compared with a previous forecast of flat to up to 10% growth.
 
Chi Mei Innolux, Taiwan's largest LCD maker by capacity, fell 0.63% after it said it planned to issue up expansion.
 
Foreign investors turned net buyers of Taiwan shares on Thursday for the first time this month, buying some T$8 billion as the market rallied 2% in a burst of optimism that Euroep could manage its debt crisis. But they have still sold a total net T$69.8 billion so far this month.
 
THE PHILIPPINES
 
Share prices extended their winning streak for the fourth straight session on Friday, thanks to last-minute buying in some stocks.
 
After trading in the red for most of the session, the key Philippine Stock Exchange index closed up 3 points or 0.08% to 3,330.42. This brought the market's week-on-week gains to 6%.
 
The broader all-share index went up 9 points or 0.4% to 2,089.08.
 
The subindices ended mixed, with only the financial, industrial and holding firm sectors advancing.
 
Overall, market breadth was positive as gainers beat losers, 65 to 49. There were 62 issues left unchanged.
 
A total of 2.4 billion shares valued P3.49 billion were traded.
 
A tenth of that amount came from Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. (PLDT), making it the most actively traded stock by value.
 
PLDT inched up 0.4% to P2,505 after it announced that its net income for the first quarter rose by 19% to P11.4 billion.
 
Second most active was Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co., which gained 5.6% to P56.50.
 
Power producer First Gen Corp. was the third most active stock, closing 2.2% higher at P11.50. Traders said investors picked up First Gen because it was still relatively cheap compared to other major energy players.
 
Meantime, Philippine National Bank (PNB) and JG Summit Holdings Inc. also ended in the green.
 
PNB jumped 4.9% to P32 after it reported a 22% rise in net income to P889 million. JG Summit gained 4% to P12, its highest closing price in more than 2 years.
 
SINGAPORE
 
Singapore's Strait Times Index ended in negative territory with a loss of 12.71 points, or 0.44%, at 2,855
 
SINGTEL, South-east Asia's biggest telco, warned of lower earnings from Singapore and India in the coming year after beating expectations with a 6.6% rise in quarterly profit.
 
SingTel, 55% owned by state investor Temasek, said earnings from Singapore would be hit by start-up costs in broadband infrastructure and pay TV, and earnings from India would be affected by associate Bharti Airtel's costs for an African deal.
 
The bearish outlook dampened a solid performance during the last financial year, when revenue and profits both rose 13% despite the financial crisis, pushing SingTel shares down 1% even as most Singapore blue chips gained.
 
Singapore's future as a regional media hub is under threat as a result of new government rules for the pay-TV industry, said the Cable and Satellite Broadcasting Association of Asia (Casbaa).
 
Casbaa represents the interests of 130 content producers, pay-TV platform operators and equipment-and-service suppliers across 16 Asian markets.
 
Singapore-listed Thai Beverage PLC said Friday that its first-quarter net profit fell 17.5% due to lower profit contributions from both its alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverage businesses and an increase in costs.
 
Net profit for the three months ended March 31 dropped to THB2.49 billion from THB3.02 billion a year earlier.
 
Revenue rose 8.6% to THB30.0 billion from THB27.6 billion a year earlier due to an increase in sales revenue from the group's beer, spirits, non-alcoholic beverages and food businesses.
 
Revenue from Thai Beverage's spirits business rose 5.6% to THB18.97 billion, while contributions from the nonalcoholic beverages business rose 42.3% to THB1.58 billion.
 
Revenue from beer sales rose 8.3% to THB8.6 billion, the company said.
 
Cost of sales and services rose 10.4% to THB21.5 billion from THB19.5 billion.
 
SIA Engineering's net profit rose 12.8% to S$73.9 million for its fourth quarter.
 
The company said the improved performance came on the back of gains from disposal of fixed assets and write-back of tax provisions by an associated company.
 
Its revenue in the quarter ended March 31 increased 10.9% to S$272.6 million over the same period last year. This was primarily contributed by fleet management programme and airframe & component overhaul work. 
 
Meanwhile, the group's full-year net profit ended March fell 9.4% to S$236.1 million from the same period last year.
 
The decrease was due to a 3.7% fall in revenue to S$1 billion because of lower airframe and component overhaul work and revenue from its turnkey project. 
 
MALAYSIA
 
Share prices on Bursa Malaysia closed lower across the board as investors retreated from the market ahead of the weekend and lack of market moving factors, dealers said.
 
At 5pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) ended 7.62 points easier at 1,339.3, dragged by losses made by Sime Darby Bhd, the second largest company in terms of KLCI weightage.
 
Despite the 10.1% economic growth announced Thursday, the favourable data is yet to have any impact on the local bourse as external factors like the credit crisis in Eurozone and Sime Darby's anticipated losses in the second-half kept investors at bay.
 
The FBM KLCI, which opened 7.01% lower at 1,339.91, moved between 1,337.36 and 1,341.23 throughout the day.
 
At close, the Finance Index slipped 10.3 points to 12,111.05, the Industrial Index erased 43.12 points to 2,700.70 while the Plantation Index added 7.74 points to 6,425.47.
 
The FBM Emas Index declined 38.96 points to 9,015.74, the FBM70 edged up 0.52 of point to 8,870.89 but the FBM Ace Index advanced 50.07 points to 4,014.11.
 
Decliners led advancers 371 to 293 while 260 counters closed unchanged, 453 untraded and 32 others were suspended.
 
Total turnover dropped to 682.221 million shares, worth RM1.084 billion, from Thursday's close of 905.772 million shares valued at RM1.04 billion.
 
The Main Market volume declined to 513.275 million shares worth RM1.052 billion compared to Thursday's closing of 654.607 million shares worth RM969.554 million.
 
The ACE Market volume eased to 114.754 million units valued at RM17.497 million from 145.322 million shares worth RM25.387 million Thursday.
 
Warrants dropped to 45.696 million shares worth RM6.822 million versus Thursday's close of 79.484 million units worth RM14.857 million.
 
Topping the actives and losers' list was Sime Darby, which lost 40 sen or more than five% to RM8.25.
 
Sime Darby's share, which resumed trading after been suspended for a day, lost 42 sen to RM8.23 at the opening bell.
 
Other losers, British American Tobacco dropped 28 sen to RM43.20 and Bintulu Port Holdings was 14 sen lower at RM6.20.
 
Other actives include Olympia Industries, which added 4.5 sen to 27 sen, while Advance Information shed 2.5 sen to 13.5 sen.
 
Among the heavyweights, Maybank and Maxis were both unchanged at RM7.72 and RM5.33, respectively, CIMB Group lost eight sen to RM14.40 while Tenaga added one sen to RM8.50.
 
THAILAND
 
Thai stocks eked out slim gains on Friday as investors bought beaten shares with positive corporate earnings, although political violence continued to dent broader market sentiment.
 
The index earlier fell to its lowest in two weeks as anti-government protesters battled troops attempting to seal off their encampment after an assassination attempt on a renegade general unleashed a new wave of violence.
 
The SET index, Southeast Asia's cheapest bourse in terms of valuation, finished up 0.29%.
 
The political uncertainty remained. But if the Thai government can end the political protests over this weekend the market will react more positively next week.
 
The growing political concerns had fuelled foreign selling in the past seven sessions. Foreign investors sold Thai shares for a net 2.6 billion baht ($80.39 million) to Thursday.
 
Gains in Bangkok were led by a 1.9% rise in national carrier Thai Airways and a 1% gain in chicken firm after it reported good quarterly results.
 
INDONESIA
 
The Jakarta Composite Index gained ground in thin, volatile trading on Friday, as investors took a wait-and-see stance toward the European debt crisis ahead of the weekend, analysts said.
 
The JCI gained 10.76 points, or 0.4%, to close at 2,858.38, after afternoon profit-taking brought it down from an intraday high of 2,869.
 
The index gained 4.3% this week, after tumbling 7.8% the week before.
 
Coordinating Minister for the Economy Hatta Rajasa said on Friday that the economy would maintain its stability, even amid the volatility in Europe and the departure of Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati.
 
Hatta also praised the European Union and international financial institutions for their "positive efforts" in addressing Greece's debt problems.
 
"They've prepared a hefty bailout, almost $1 trillion, which I think should help avoid a crisis, and other economies would soon rebound," he said.
 
Meanwhile, the rupiah fell for the first time in three days on concern that demand for higher-yielding assets may weaken as deficit-cutting measures in Europe hurts growth in the region. The rupiah traded at 9,128 against the Dollar as of 6 p.m. on Friday, compared to 9,083 at the same time on Wednesday.
 
On the stock market, banking stocks led the JCI's gains.
 
PT Bank Mandiri and PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia rose after the government said the two state-run banks may pay a dividend amounting to 35% and 30%, respectively, of last year's net profit. Bank Mandiri gained 1.8%, and BRI climbed 1.2%. PT Bank Central Asia rose 1.9%. 
 
Consumer goods company PT Unilever Indonesia climbed 2.6%.
 
Among the major decliners were PT International Nickel Indonesia which lost 2.7% and PT Perusahaan Gas Negara that fell 1.2%.
 
INDIA
 
Disappointing quarterly results from State Bank of India and a sharp fall in metal stocks dragged Indian shares lower Friday.
 
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index lost 271.27 points, or 1.6%, to end at 16,994.60. The index, which has risen 1.3% this week, traded between 16,923.65 and 17,329.32 during the day. The National Stock Exchange's 50-stock S&P CNX Nifty fell 85.40 points, or 1.7%, to 5093.50.
 
Trading volume on the BSE rose to INR39.60 billion from Thursday's INR38.78 billion. Decliners outnumbered gainers 2,019 to 844, while 99 stocks were unchanged.
 
A technical analysis by Dow Jones Newswires suggests the Sensex could trade between 16,400 and 17,400 next week.
 
Sentiment was also damped after a weak opening of European markets.
 
The fall in the Sensex was broad-based, with 26 of its 30 constituents ending lower.
 
State Bank of India slipped 4.0% to INR2,222.65 after the country's largest lender by assets reported a 32% drop in fourth-quarter net profit to INR18.67 billion, hurt by a 70% jump in provisions.
 
Metals were weak, tracking muted base metal prices. Copper producer Sterlite Industries slid 3.8% to INR701.40, while Tata Steel, the world's eighth-largest steelmaker by output, slipped 4.7% to INR548.55. Kotak's Shah said the run-up in metal prices over the past few months is not in tandem with growth in the global economy and that the stocks would be attractive if they corrected further.
 
Reliance Industries, which has the highest weight on the Sensex, fell 2.6% to INR1,043.55. Engineering company Larsen & Toubro was down 2.7% at INR1,529.60. Software services exporter Infosys Technologies shed 1.7% to end at INR2,656.85, while infrastructure company Jaiprakash Associates sagged 2.7% to INR129.70.
 
Bharti Airtel climbed 2.2% to INR264.45 after the federal communications minister said the government will take the views of all mobile-phone operators before deciding on the telecom regulator's recommendations on second-generation bandwidth allocation.
 
The stock had fallen in the past two days after the regulator proposed charging a one-time fee from operators such as Bharti which hold excess 2G bandwidth and that this fee should be linked to third-generation spectrum, for which auctions are currently going on. Bharti has opposed the regulator's recommendations. 
 
AUSTRALIA
 
The Australian share market retreated slightly in quiet trading Friday, amid a lull in buying interest, after Wall Street gave up some of its recent advance.
 
Financials led broad-based falls in cyclical stocks, while defensives outperformed. Health care stocks rose sharply, with Healthscope surging on the back of a A$1.74 billion takeover bid.
 
The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed down 41.7 points, or 0.9%, at 4611.1, after hitting 4596.2. The index was up 2.9% for the week, its first weekly gain in four weeks.
 
Healthscope starred with a 17% rise to A$5.28 after receiving an "indicative, non-binding and confidential" approach from a private equity consortium to buy the company for A$5.50 a share.
 
Private equity firms Carlyle and TPG were behind the bid, a person familiar with the matter told Dow Jones Newswires.
 
Overnight, the S&P 500 fell 1.2% as disappointing earnings from US retailers caused some nervousness about Friday's US retail sales release. US industrial production and consumer sentiment data were also due for release later Friday.
 
Another trader said bullish catalysts may prove elusive for the next few months, with China trying to head off an economic bubble, Europe grappling with fiscal issues and Australia likely to be facing a federal election later this year.
 
Among financial stocks, the four major banks fell 1.5%-2.2%, accounting for 42% of the fall in the overall market.
 
Resources were relatively better supported, with BHP Billiton down 0.5% to A$38.64, Rio Tinto down 0.4% to A$68.00 and Newcrest up 1 cent at A$33.36.
 
On the positive front, Coca-Cola Amatil rose 2.4% to A$11.21 after reiterating its forecast of first half earnings growth in the high single-digits, driven by its Australian beverages arm.
 
However, Coca-Cola Amatil declined to give full-year guidance due to uncertainty over the impact of Australian interest rate rises and an uncertain global economic outlook. 
 
NEW ZEALAND
 
New Zealand shares ended slightly weaker in a dull session Friday, with brokers saying the market had put in a reasonable performance given the selling pressure on the neighboring Australian bourse and the decline on Wall Street overnight.
 
Goldman Sachs JBWere broker Peter Sigley said investors showed a lack of interest in typically light Friday trade.
 
The NZX-50 Index closed off 0.2%, or 4.80 points, at 3,191.01 gaining 1.4% over the week.
 
Fletcher Building underpinned the market, rising 1.2% to NZ$8.18, after a backlog of earlier sell orders on the company's shares had been cleared.
 
Bellwether Telecom Corp. was up most of the session, but succumbed to late selling, ending off 0.5% at NZ$2.10.
 
Many stocks that had risen Thursday gave back gains, including oil stock Pan Pacific Petroleum, down 3.1% at NZ$0.31 and NZ Rural Systems Uruguay, down 4.9% at NZ$0.39.
 
Retailers weathered worse-than-forecast March quarter retail sales data without too much damage. Brokers said the figures were historical and investors were looking ahead to improved data next quarter. The Warehouse slipped 0.6% to NZ$3.62 and Briscoe Group was unchanged at NZ$1.29.
 
Power company Trustpower rose 0.7% to NZ$7.35 after posting a net profit in line with consensus forecasts and after its 50.5%-owner, Infratil rose 1.2% to NZ$1.70.
 
Sigley said there was little surprise in Trustpower's earnings other than the approval to build a new wind farm, which showed the continued growth and viability of renewable energy.             
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesThe gold price struck an all time high of $1 249 on Friday.
 
Gold is considered to be a safe haven amid the current uncertainty plaguing European markets. But more than this, I have been advocating that Gold will reach $2,000 before the end of 2011 and I still very much see this.
 
We have seen doubters this week comment that Gold is 'over-priced' and that this is a false-dawn for Gold shooting through $1,300 - I disagree entirely and believe we could see Gold rise as high as $1,500 before the World Cup has been and gone - that gives us 6-8 weeks for Gold potentially in my view, to go that high.
 
The telephone has not stopped ringing at the Rand refinery in South Africa this week.
 
Panicking German dealers and banks have been desperate to get their hands on krugerrands, the world's most popular gold coin.
 
"We have some extraordinary sales to German customers," says Deborah Thomson, the Rand treasurer. The refinery, which usually sells 2,000 coins to each customer at a time, says that last week it received an order from one German bank for 30,000 coins. Another bank requested 15,000 coins.
 
Frank Ziegler, head of precious metals at BayernLB, one of Germany's largest wholesale suppliers of gold, says: "People are buying krugerrands like crazy." The frenzy pushed gold prices to a nominal high of $1,248.95 a troy ounce on Friday while the Euro price surged through €1,000 an ounce for the first time. Adjusted for inflation, however, gold prices are still a long way from their all-time high above $2,300 an ounce in 1980.
 
Although coins account for a small part of the market, they are one of the best indicators of investor sentiment towards the precious metal. And right now gold is in massive demand from investors who see it as the ultimate haven at a time of market turmoil and as one of the best hedges against a possible resurgence of inflation.
 
Other important factors are supporting prices: institutional investors are pouring billions into bullion-backed exchange traded funds; central banks have reversed 20 years of selling gold; some, including the Chinese central bank, are buying it; and mine gold supply growth has stagnated.
 
German investors are notoriously wary about inflation. While few are old enough to remember the hyperinflation that wrecked Germany during the Weimar Republic in the 1920s, the episode remains etched into the national psyche: archive film from the period has been running on the news in recent days.
 
The appetite for coins has been so intense that shortages are developing. "In the European market there is a shortage of krugerrands," says Mr Ziegler. As a result, the premium paid for krugerrands in the secondary market has risen from about 2% to 6-8%.
 
The interest has not been confined to coins and bars. ETFs, which hold physical gold and issue shares to investors, have also seen large inflows.
 
The world's largest, the SPDR Gold Trust, has increased its holdings by 50.5 tonnes in the past two weeks, more than in the first four months of the year.
 
One bullish factor is the lack of physical gold, or scrap, being sold, despite the high prices. In Asia, where the gold market is especially sensitive to price, a surge in prices usually leads people to sell their old gold for scrap, boosting supply.
 
Metals, energy and grains prices all fell Friday as the Dollar grew stronger amid investor concerns over whether Europe's financial bailout package could wind up slowing down the global economic recovery.
 
The ICE Futures US Dollar index, which measures the Dollar against six other currencies including the Euro, rose about 1%. Since commodities are priced in Dollars, a stronger Dollar makes them more expensive for overseas buyers.
 
In July contracts, copper fell 9.75 cents to $3.1340 a Pound and platinum fell $24 to $1,715.40 an ounce. June palladium fell $15.40 to $527.90 an ounce.
 
June gold fell $1.40 to settle at $1,227.80 an ounce after hitting $1,249.70 an ounce earlier in the day. July silver fell 27.4 cents to $19.225 an ounce.
 
Energy prices slid across the board, weighed down not only about the European economy, but by plentiful supplies and diminished demand.
 
Benchmark crude for June fell $2.79 to settle at $71.61 a barrel in trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a level not seen since Feb. 5.
 
In other June contracts, heating oil lost 7.13 cents to settle at $2.0606 a gallon, and gasoline lost 6.43 cents to $2.1308 a gallon. Natural gas fell 2.7 cents to $4.312 per 1,000 cubic feet.
 
Grains all closed lower. In July contracts, wheat fell 7.5 cents to $4.7150 a bushel, corn fell 10 cents to $3.63 a bushel and soybeans fell 11 cents to $9.535 a bushel. 
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Euro fell to an 18-month low against the Dollar this week as the euphoria evaporated over a €750bn rescue package to shore up the Eurozone's sovereign debt markets.
 
After a surge following the announcement of the package to a high of $1.3093 on Monday, the Euro declined steadily against the Dollar, on Friday hitting an intraday low of $1.2359, its weakest level since November 2008. It is within reach of testing the $1.2328 level, which would represent a four-year low.
 
The single currency was also undermined as the measures suggested that the European Central Bank was likely to keep interest rates lower for longer than other large central banks.
 
There were also concerns that the ECB had in effect entered into a policy of quantitative easing by announcing that it had started to purchase Eurozone government bonds to try to prop up the region's sovereign debt market.
 
Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, has insisted that its bond purchases would be sterilised. This means that the central bank would withdraw the liquidity it pumps into the financial system - for instance by issuing short-term bills - and thus not increase the money supply.
 
But analysts were unsure that the ECB would be able to honour its pledge.
 
During the week, the Euro dropped 2.9% to $1.2390 against the Dollar, fell 2.5% to Y113.84 against the Yen and hit a record low of SFr1.4000 against the Swiss franc.
 
The Euro was 1% weaker at £0.8525 against the Pound on the week. But Sterling lost ground elsewhere as concerns grew over the UK's fiscal deficit.
 
Over the week, the Pound fell 1.8% to $1.4530 against the Dollar, within touching distance of the 14-month low of $1.4475 that it hit this month and dropped 1.5% to Y133.54 against the Yen.
 
The Pound suffered after the Bank of England struck a dovish tone in its quarterly inflation report, refusing to rule out further quantitative easing.
 
It failed to rally significantly on news that the UK's Conservative party had formed a coalition with the Liberal Democrat party. There are fears that Conservative fiscal tightening plans are being watered down to accommodate Lib Dem policy demands.
 
The Dollar rose 0.4% to Y91.90 against the Yen over the week but suffered against commodity-linked currencies, falling 0.3% to $0.8906 against the Australian Dollar.
 
The South African Rand held up well in late trade on Friday as the Euro dipped under $1.25 against the greenback amid increasing concerns in the Euro zone.
 
Late Friday, the Rand was bid at R7.5088 to the Dollar from R7.4792 at its previous close. It was bid at R9.3680 to the Euro from its previous close of R9.3807 and was at R10.8976 against the Sterling from R10.9607.
 
And keeping with tradition, I'll close currencies this week here in China where the RMB was slightly higher against the US Dollar late Friday afternoon after banks took profit on the Dollar's recent gains and the US currency took a breather from its rally against the Euro earlier this week.
 
On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar was at CNY6.8268, down from Thursday's close of CNY6.8278. It traded between CNY6.8264 and CNY6.8281.  
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsChina's trade balance turned to surplus unexpectedly in April, data released by the General Administration of Customs showed Monday. However, the surplus was sharply lower than than a year ago.
 
The trade balance showed a surplus of US$1.68 billion in April compared to a deficit of US$7.2 billion in March. The expected shortfall for April was US$0.55 billion. April's surplus is 87% smaller than the figure from the same period last year.
 
Exports stood at US$119.92 billion, up 30.5% from the previous year. Imports, at the same time, surged 49.7% annually to US$118.24 billion. Economists had expected a 28.7% rise in exports and a 51.8% surge in imports.
 
Exports during January to April reached US$436.05 billion and imports totaled US$419.94 billion. Exports and imports surged 29.2% and 60.1% respectively. As growth in imports outpaced exports, the trade surplus plunged 78.6% to US$16.11 billion.
 
In a bid to cool inflationary pressures and to prevent the economy from overheating, the People's Bank of China last week asked commercial banks to hold more reserves. For the third time this year, the central bank lifted lenders' reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points, effective Tuesday this week.
 
 China's consumer price inflation rate accelerated more than expected in April, while property prices surged and bank lending grew, notching up the pressure on its central bank to raise interest rates amid fears the economy may be overheating.
 
Consumer prices increased 2.8% year-on-year in April, the National Bureau of Statistics said, exceeding expectations for a 2.7% increase following the 2.4% growth in the previous month. Food prices increased 5.9% in April, while non-food prices were up 1.3%.
 
Meanwhile, producer prices in the country grew 6.8% annually in April, up from the 5.9% spike in March. Economists were looking for a producer price inflation rate of 6.5%.
 
The statistical office said separately that average house prices in 70 cities across China jumped 12.8% in April compared to a year earlier. That is considerably faster than the 11.7% gain in the previous month.
 
The rise in property prices comes despite the government unveiling numerous measures to control runaway growth in the real estate sector. Last month, China's State Council stipulated a minimum 30% downpayment on purchase of first homes larger than 90 square metres, up from 20%, and raised the minimum downpayment on second homes to 50% from 40%. The government also announced that it was stepping up the introduction of tax policies to influence purchases and adjust property investment returns.
 
The pickup in the inflation rate adds to worries that China's economy may be expanding too quickly. The government has tried to put the brakes on growth by ordering banks to increase their reserves so as to limit lending.
 
However, figures released Friday by the People's Bank of China showed that bank lending increased in April compared to March. Chinese banks extended CNY 774 billion in new local-currency loans in April, up from the CNY 510.7 billion lent in March.
 
Meanwhile, M2 money supply, which is the broadest measure of money supply in the country, surged 21.5% year-on-year in April, slower than the 22.5% increase in the previous month. The narrower M1 money supply grew 31.3%.
 
Separately, the statistical office said industrial production in China increased 17.8% year-on-year in April, slowing from the 18.1% increase in the previous month. Economists had expected industrial production to rise by 19.3%.
 
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Shanghai's municipal government may levy an annual tax of about 1.5% of the value of properties, the Hunan province-based Xiaoxiang Morning Herald newspaper reported Friday on its website, citing a developer who declined to be identified.   The government will make the announcement on May 15, the newspaper said. Several Shanghai-based developers have received "hints" that new policies are poised to be issued to cap prices, and have begun to sell their properties, it said. The Oriental Morning Post said the tax will be around 0.8%.
 
Shanghai would be the first city in China to impose its own property tax to combat speculation in the housing market and control price increases. Real estate prices in 70 Chinese cities rose by a record 12.8% in April from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said on May 11.
 
Shanghai's property policy will be more severe than that in Beijing, the Xiaoxiang report said, citing an unnamed developer. Beijing became the first Chinese city to limit residents to purchasing one new home starting this month.
 
China has restricted pre-sales by developers, curbed loans for third-home purchases and on May 2 raised banks' minimum reserve requirements for the third time this year. The government is trying to peel back the effects of a stimulus plan and $1.4 trillion lending binge that revived economic growth while raising the risk of asset bubbles.
 
The Shanghai government is unlikely to impose an aggressive property tax, said Zuo Hongying, a Shanghai-based analyst at AJ Securities Co. "They may introduce different tax benchmarks for different groups of people," he said.
 
Property prices in Shanghai may fall as much as 40% if the new tax is imposed, and declines in other cities would follow, Wu Jianxiong, a Shanghai-based analyst at Central China Securities Holdings, said Thursday.
 
The levy may only be charged on new purchases instead of existing apartments, the Oriental Morning Post reported, citing unidentified sources.
 
Shanghai's housing bureau will meet tomorrow to discuss detailed regulations aimed at curbing speculation in residential property, and new rules may be released within two weeks, China Daily said Friday, citing Sun Lijian, an adviser to the city's government.
 
The government is unlikely to impose a property tax now given its "cautious" style, and such a levy is more likely to be imposed in two or three years' time, Sun was cited by the English-language daily as saying.
 
Shanghai's policies are unlikely to deviate much from regulations announced by the central government over the last month, Sun said.
 
Beijing will limit new apartment purchases to one per family as part of measures aimed at slowing the rise in housing prices, the Xinhua News Agency reported on April 30.
 
Sales in Beijing measured by floor area dropped 41% in April from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said on its website Thursday. The price of new residential properties rose 21.5% from a year earlier and the price of second-hand housing rose 8.4%, according to the statement.
 
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China on Thursday announced its largest investment in South Africa for more than two years, entrenching its position as the resource-rich continent's most important economic and commercial partner.
 
The China Africa Development Fund and Jidong Development Group will help build a new cement plant worth at least Rmb1.5bn ($220m, €174m, £148m).
 
The announcement lays the ground for a planned August visit to Beijing by Jacob Zuma, the South African president, who has made deepening economic and political ties with China a priority of his foreign policy.
 
China emerged as South Africa's largest trading partner last year, partly due to a large rise in iron ore exports, mirroring a trend in other countries on the continent, which have been courted by Beijing for their resources and growing markets.
 
The latest agreement will see the two Chinese entities joining forces with Continental Cement, a local enterprise, and Women Investment Portfolio Holdings, a South African company dedicated to empowering black women. They will build the new plant in Gauteng province, outside Johannesburg.
 
The new plant is aimed at making up a shortfall of domestic building products, such as cement, much of its caused by the huge infrastructure programme from construction for the football World Cup.
 
Congested roads and railways make it relatively costly for South Africa to import cement, so investment in local production facilities is correspondingly more attractive
 
Growing economic ties with China and other big emerging markets have paved the way for closer political ties, especially since Mr Zuma came to office last May. While his predecessor, Thabo Mbeki, expressed reservations about China's role in Africa, Mr Zuma's own enthusiasm has been greater.
 
A $5.5bn investment by the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China in South Africa's Standard Bank agreed in October 2007 remains easily the largest Chinese investment in Africa to date, accounting for about a quarter of the funds that Beijing dedicated to the continent.
 
Much of that investment has concentrated on roads, power plants and other infrastructure but analysts say a growing number of Chinese companies are beginning to buy building and other materials locally. They are also eyeing Africa's rapidly growing consumer markets.
 
For example, FAW, a Chinese carmaker, last month announced a $100m investment in South Africa. "Chinese companies are coming to the party," said Frontier Advisory Services, a Johannesburg-based consultancy. "They have a high level of confidence in the continent and see South Africa as a springboard for expansion elsewhere."
 
They predicted that the China African Development Fund will probably fund much of this investment. CADF, which eventually expects to have $5bn available, established a South African office last March. "They have a lot more deals in the pipeline," they said.
 
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Western wind turbine manufacturers are losing ground in China, the world's fastest-growing green energy market.
 
The combined market share for companies such as General Electric Co. and its European rivals Vestas Wind Systems A/S and Siemens AG fell to 14% last year from 71% in 2005, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Sales are being eroded by local companies including Sinovel Wind Co. Ltd. and Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co. Ltd.
 
"It's a tough market," says Jesus Zaldua, president of Gamesa Corp. Tecnologica SA's Chinese subsidiary, which has four wind-turbine factories in the northeast city of Tianjin. "Some companies will have to leave China in the next five years."
 
To get back in the game, the foreign companies are introducing newer technology. Siemens, based in Munich, expects to open an $80 million plant this year in Shanghai that can build 3.6-megawatt turbines. That's bigger than anything now made by a Chinese company.
 
Gamesa plans to build 2-megawatt turbines after retrofitting its existing plants. It will also open its fifth factory in China next year. The Spanish company's machines cost a third more and are more reliable than Chinese models, according to Beijing-based renewable consultancy Mint Research.
 
"Competing on cost isn't the way to go," said Jens Tommerup, president of the Chinese business unit of Vestas, which is based in Denmark. "It's about quality."
 
Chinese manufacturers say they are improving their quality. Goldwind and Sinovel plan to introduce higher-output turbines next year.
 
"We already have 2.5-megawatt and 3-megawatt products" under development, Goldwind's public relations director said in a telephone interview. "We are going to produce some 2.5-megawatt (turbines), and they will be put into mass production early next year."
 
The head start in technology may pay off for western companies, particularly as the Chinese venture abroad, said Keith Hays, global wind research director at Emerging Energy Research. Western bankers, who would finance the majority of projects outside of China, have more faith in US and European turbine makers because of the companies' experience, he said.
 
For now, the West has an advantage in quality, but the Chinese are catching up fast.
 
Buoyed by $47 billion in stimulus spending for environmentally friendly power over two years, China installed more than double the number of wind turbines in 2009 than in the previous year. This year, the country plans to add 18 gigawatts of wind capacity, the equivalent of 15 nuclear power plants. That's double what's expected in the US, the No. 2 market, according to estimates from New Energy Finance.
 
Germany and Spain, Europe's largest wind energy markets, will add 1.8 gigawatts and 1 gigawatt in 2010, respectively.
 
Vestas, the top foreign wind turbine maker in China, installed turbines with a total capacity of 620 megawatts on the mainland last year, New Energy Finance said. Despite losing market share, Western turbine makers still are selling more units in China, UBS AG estimates.
 
The biggest domestic competitor, Sinovel, which is based in Beijing, sold turbines with a capacity of 3,523 megawatts.
 
Sinovel and Goldwind, the second-biggest Chinese wind- turbine maker, are ranked among the top five global turbine manufacturers, even though they have almost no sales overseas, according to the Danish wind advisory firm MAKE Consulting.
 
Vestas and GE were respectively the first and second- largest suppliers of turbines worldwide in 2009, according to annual rankings compiled by MAKE Consulting. Sinovel finished third, followed by Germany's Enercon GmbH. Goldwind was fifth.
 
A vice president at Sinovel, said in an interview the company is in discussion about opening factories overseas. "We are open to all business models," he said, without providing further detail.
 
Chinese companies have kept costs down by licensing older technology from overseas rivals, including Vestas, Japan's Mitsubishi and others that sell their own turbines in China.
 
While the Chinese pay royalties to the foreign firms, those payments don't come close to making up for the business the foreign companies are losing in China, according to Emerging Energy Research's Hays.  
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 The Euro zone rescue package has helped ease the signs of stress that were becoming increasingly evident across asset classes and in money markets but it has yet to fully douse concern about the mid- to longer-term outlook for some of the Euro zone's most highly indebted countries.
 
While Euro zone yield spreads and CDS have retreated sharply, they have yet to subside to pre-Greek crisis levels. This is also true of the DAX-NEW volatility index, Europe's main barometer of investor anxiety, which remains 30% higher than it was before the sovereign debt fears escalated in mid-April.
 
And even if central banks' bond purchases manage to keep yields in check, the pressure to cut budget deficits could pose its own risks for stock markets.
 
Austerity is the watchword on both sides of the English Channel as highly-indebted Euro zone states, keen to bolster their tarnished credibility, embark on extra austerity measures and the newly-installed UK government starts figuring out where public spending can be cut.
 
For stock markets, the impact on the macroeconomic growth outlook and corporate profits will be a worry, particularly in sectors where P/E ratios are not necessarily at their most attractive levels. For bonds, the expected economic fallout and its implications for monetary policy, should keep the front end anchored at low levels.
 
Euro zone central banks' purchases of certain government bonds have changed the supply/demand dynamics of the secondary bond market by enough to re-inject a dose of two-way risk. There is uncertainty about which countries' paper will be bought, the maturities being targeted, when central banks will be buying and in what quantities.
 
All these unknowns will make it harder for investors to figure out what offers good value in Euro zone bond markets and what might be a selling opportunity.
 
While Euro zone bond markets may have become a trickier play, major currencies (with the notable exception of the Swiss franc) offer far fewer risks of the authorities weighing in and therefore a more attractive forum for those inclined to take a gloomy view on the Euro.
 
Moreover, given Euro zone and British officials have been far from discontented with the slide in their respective currencies, lower levels might appear an even more obvious target for both. How overcrowded this play becomes will determine the point at which investors start paying attention to some of the positive signals on data and political will that have emerged.
 
Market players will pay special interest however to the details of the ECB bond purchase program, expected to be unveiled next week.
 
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said earlier Friday that the ECB will "withdraw the liquidity that we will inject mainly through tendering term deposits."
 
Trichet did not specify potential supplementary draining methods but assured that sterilizing the government bond purchases "does not present technical difficulties."
 
According to the central bank's General Documentation these fixed-term deposits are "envisaged only for fine-tuning purposes in order to absorb liquidity in the market."
 
The deposits accepted from counterparties are for a fixed term and with a fixed rate of interest and the central bank does not give any collateral in exchange for the deposits, the documentation said.
 
Neither the frequency with which deposits are collected nor the maturity of the deposits are standardized and the Eurosystem has the option of restricting the operations to limited number of counterparties.
 
Earlier this week, ECB chief economist Juergen Stark said that the central banks would hold all government bonds until maturity.
 
Investors recovering from sovereign credit contagion fears will have a chance next week to turn their focus back to corporate news from the United States, where quarterly results from retail majors Wal-Mart Stores, Target Corp, Home Depot Inc and Staples will shed light on the outlook for US consumer spending.
 
Next week also in the US we learn the Empire State manufacturing index, the housing sentiment index, long-term Treasury flows, housing starts, PPI, CPI, leading economic indicators and the Philly Fed manufacturing index. And the Fed will release the minutes of its last policy meeting on Wednesday.
 
In Europe, Germany's ZEW and Ifo reports and Euro zone flash PMI data will show if there are any signs of the Euro zone debt crisis affecting investor, business and corporate sentiment.
 
In Australia We will receive the RBA's latest minutes next week in what is a quieter week locally. We have quarterly wage data and the Westpac consumer confidence and inflation expectations surveys and not much else.
 
A key question for next week will be the degree of risk aversion at play in markets. The retreat from riskier assets will likely persist for a couple of days, boosting the Yen and weighing on the Euro and possibly on the commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian Dollars and Brazilian real.
 
One event that could help alleviate pressure on the Euro is the May 19 deadline for Greece to meet Eur8.5 billion in bond redemptions. While Greece is expected to make the payment with assistance from the Euro zone rescue plan, the fact that the fiscally troubled nation is able to honor the payment could be favorable for the Euro - at least in the short term.
 
Other potentially significant events during the week include a Bank of Japan meeting Thursday, although the Japanese central bank is not expected to indicate a shift in policy.
 
All told though, I cannot see next week being anything other than 'Euro-focus'.
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
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