Good Morning Ladies and Gentlemen,
Without question, the news this week has been focused on the frailties of the Euro. The Euro nose-dived for most of the week until finally, sense prevailed in Europe and we managed to get some cohesion between the decision-makers. As of writing the Newsletter this morning at 7.30am China time, the US Dollar versus the Euro stands at 1.342. Eurozone leaders on Thursday night agreed a rescue package for Greece including assistance from the International Monetary Fund as well as bilateral loans from fellow Euro-member states. "We hope that it will reassure all the holders of Greek bonds that the Eurozone will never let Greece fail," said Herman Van Rompuy, president of the European Council. "If there were any danger, the other members of the Eurozone would intervene." The agreement followed a breakthrough earlier in the day between France and Germany on the principles of a rescue. Under the accord reached between President Nicolas Sarkozy and Chancellor Angela Merkel, Athens would, in the event of "very serious difficulties", receive co-ordinated bilateral loans from its Eurozone partners as well as IMF assistance, which France had previously resisted. Mr Van Rompuy said it would be a joint mechanism between Eurozone members states and the IMF. Mr Sarkozy said the proportion of funding would be one-third IMF and two-thirds Eurozone. Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, who had expressed doubts about IMF involvement, said he was "entirely content" with the deal, which he said preserved the responsibilities of European governments. The deal pulled the Eurozone back from the brink of what would have been a damaging row over how to help members with debt difficulties and may help stabilise financial markets and the currency. The aid would be subject to assessments carried out by the ECB and the European Commission, ensuring that the European Union retained control of the rescue terms. However, Berlin won agreement that the IMF contribution would be "substantial". Any decision by the Eurozone countries to lend money to Greece would have to be unanimous, according to the text of the agreement, thus in effect giving Germany a veto. The Franco-German agreement was presented to the other 14 Eurozone leaders gathered in Brussels for an EU summit. If the rescue plan is triggered, Eurozone members would provide loans according to their capital shares in the ECB, ensuring that Germany would make the largest contribution. The ECB announced that it was abandoning plans to raise its minimum collateral requirements at the end of this year. The unexpected move relieved some pressure on Greece, which could have seen its bonds excluded from ECB liquidity-providing operations if the country's credit ratings were downgraded further. France and Germany also have sought to commit their fellow EU members to the formation of an "economic government" for the Union, to promote stronger co-ordination of economic policy. British officials said last night the wording had been changed from economic government to economic governance. Gordon Brown (fat man with no character, talks strangely and soon to be out of a job), the prime minister, feared a backlash from the Eurosceptic press if such an inflammatory phrase entered the final communique. A British diplomat said: "The prime minister intervened to secure a change in the language. There's no question of powers being ceded to Brussels or sovereignty being affected whatsoever." Talking of the UK, this week saw Mr Darling's budget released and within a day or so, this threw up one of the more bizarre newsworthy events of the week. The UK Treasury faces a wave of demands from international sports stars that they be exempt from tax when they compete in the UK, to match the tax waiver announced in the Budget for foreign-based footballers playing in next year's Champions League final at Wembley. A Budget resolution made provision "to exempt certain persons from income tax in respect of certain income arising in connection with the 2011 Champions League final". The move was requested by Gerry Sutcliffe, sports minister, because the taxation issue was proving a stumbling block in the Football Association's attempt to persuade European counterpart Uefa to bring its high-profile final to Wembley. Revenue & Customs taxes the prize money and image and sponsorship rights of overseas sports stars that come to the UK to take part in international events. Two years ago Uefa rejected Wembley as host of the 2010 final and awarded it to Madrid, singling out UK tax laws as the reason for its decision. The Budget resolution set the seal on a deal between Uefa and the government that in January last year resulted in the governing body awarding the 2011 final to Wembley. Spurred on by London's winning of the 2012 Olympics, the government has been encouraging cities and sports bodies to bid for the hosting rights of prestigious international sports events. But sports rights holders are demanding the government relaxes its tax rules as a condition of bidding for their events. The Treasury has agreed to tax exemptions for officials of Fifa, football's world governing body, in the event that England wins the right to host the 2018 World Cup. According to some tax experts, the Champions League exemption is bound to rekindle demands from other international sports stars competing in the UK to be treated similarly. One such expert said: "I can appreciate the logic of such a move to protect Britain's ability to host this event. However, it smacks of discrimination and will prompt an outcry." He added: "Why should footballers appearing in the Champions League final be exempted from UK taxes whilst tennis players at Wimbledon or golfers at the British Open are not?" The Department for Culture, Media and Sport declined to comment - not surprisingly because they probably had no answer! The UK is in such a rut at the moment and the budget did absolutely nothing to restore faith in the country going forward. Oh what a mess .... but then again, that's why I'm living here and not there! On to the numbers and the news for the week that was: |
| US Markets
How the US did this week ..... |
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US stocks were flat on Friday after fourth-quarter growth figures were revised downward and fears of military tensions on the Korean peninsula flared up. US gross domestic product grew at a 5.6% yearly rate at the end of 2009, according to the commerce department, lower than the previously estimated rate of 5.9%. The market was supported on Friday by consumer sentiment figures. The University of Michigan's index in March was 73.6, in line with expectations, revised upward from earlier estimates of 72.5. But traders used the sinking of a South Korean ship, which was being investigated as a possible attack by North Korea, as an opportunity for profit-taking. US indices climbed each week in March, the first four-week winning streak since last April. The S&P 500 closed 0.1% higher at 1,166.59, gaining 0.6% since the start of the week.The Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.1% to 10,850.36 and 1% on the week. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.1% at 2,395.13 for a weekly gain of 0.9%. Financials saw gains once again. Fitch, the ratings agency, said that proposed US regulatory reforms would, on balance, reduce risks for banking companies. Among the advancers was Citigroup, which was up 1% to $4.31, benefiting from speculation the government might convert its warrants into shares. It rose 10.5% on the week. Bank of America, was up 0.9% to $17.90 for a 6.4% weekly gain. Radioshack led S&P 500 gainers, adding 8.5% to $23.65, after a report that it could be sold for $3bn to Best Buy, its bigger rival. The much larger electronics chain was up 5.3% on the week, part of a group of closely watched consumer shares that gained after strong earnings reports. Lululemon Athletica, a sportswear retailer, was up 21% on the week and Qualcomm, a maker of networking equipment, rose 4.4% over the five days. Urban Outfitters, the clothing retailer, rose 3.1% to $37.98 after an upgrade by analysts at JPMorgan from "neutral" to "overweight". Luxury retailer Coach was also upgraded by JPMorgan. It rose 4.2% to $40.31. Consol Energy issued $2.75bn of notes in advance of its planned purchase of Dominion Resources' oil and gas reserves. It slid 1.1% to $42.50 for a 6.7% weekly decline. Genzyme, the drugmaker, saw its shares rise 3.7% to $53 after being raised to "outperform" by analysts at Leerink Swann, the healthcare specialist group. Shares in Genzyme have been volatile as investors track activist Carl Icahn's interest in the company, which was down 10.7% on the week. Pfizer fell 1.4% to $17.14 on Friday after a jury told it to pay $142m in damages related to promoting a drug for unauthorised uses. The health sector, knocked about after the US approved a healthcare reform bill, was down 1% on the week, with energy and utilities also lower. The worst individual performer in energy was Chesapeake, whose shares pulled back 7.6% for the five days. |
| European Markets
What has been happening in Europe this week ..... |
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European stocks fell, trimming a fourth straight weekly gain, on concern mounting government debt may derail the economic recovery even after the European Union agreed a Greek aid plan. Unipol Gruppo Finanziario SpA sank the most in a year after Italy's third-largest insurer announced a share sale and posted a loss. Abertis Infraestructuras SA slid 3.4% as Caja de Ahorros del Mediterraneo sold a stake in the highway manager. National Bank of Greece SA jumped the most in four months after the EU endorsed a Franco-German proposal to provide Greece with International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans if required. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index declined 0.5% to 263.58, retreating from an 18-month high. The benchmark gauge for European equities has risen 1.3% this week as the EU moved toward agreeing a contingency rescue package to help Greece cut Europe's biggest budget deficit. National benchmark indexes declined in 12 of the 18 western European markets. France's CAC 40 dropped 0.3% and the UK's FTSE 100 retreated 0.4%. Germany's DAX slipped 0.2% as Nordex AG sank. GERMANY German stocks fell for the first time this week as the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Europe's largest economy will expand 1.1% this year, the lowest growth outlook of any regular forecaster. Bayer AG, which accounts for more than 7% of the benchmark index by market weighting, fell as Chancellor Angela Merkel agreed to curb the power of drugmakers to influence the price of new medicines. Fresenius SE dropped as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its recommendation on the shares. Nordex AG slumped the most in more than 10 months after Goldman Sachs sold a stake in the maker of wind turbines. The DAX decreased 0.2% to 6,120.05 in Frankfurt. The benchmark gauge for German equities has rallied 2.3% this week as the European Union moved toward agreeing a contingency rescue package to help Greece cut its budget deficit. The broader HDAX Index also lost 0.2% Friday. The German economy will expand 1.1% this year after contracting 5% in 2009, the OECD said. That's less than any economic organization forecast over the past six months. Bayer, Germany's biggest drugmaker, lost 1.3% to 49.97 Euros, while Stada Arzneimittel AG, a generic-drug maker, slid 1.1% to 30.25 Euros. Merkel's coalition government reached an agreement to cut as much as 2 billion Euros ($2.7 billion) in drug spending with new rules that break pharmaceutical companies' hold on prices. Health Minister Philipp Roesler, as part of his plan to overhaul Germany's health system, Friday unveiled the framework for price negotiations between drugmakers and insurers. The measures apply to medicines the companies have proven to offer an added benefit for patients over similar treatments or lower- priced generics. Fresenius preferred shares slipped 0.6% to 55.69 Euros, the first decline in more than a week. The parent company of the world's biggest provider of kidney dialysis was cut to "neutral" from "buy" at Goldman Sachs, which cited the stock's "strong performance over the past six months." Nordex sank 8.1% to 8.44 Euros, the biggest decline since May. Goldman Sachs sold 6.5 million shares for 8.50 Euros apiece. Celesio AG lost 1.3% to 23.49 Euros. Europe's largest publicly traded drug wholesaler was cut to "accumulate" from "buy" at Equinet AG, which said "the outlook for 2010 and beyond is OK, but not overwhelming." Washtec AG lost 1.5% to 8.59 Euros after the company reported full-year net income declined to 5.8 million Euros from 15.3 million Euros, as revenue fell. Deutsche Lufthansa AG, Europe's second-biggest airline, slipped 1.2% to 12.43 Euros, while K+S AG, the region's largest potash producer, dropped 1.3% to 45.61 Euros. Volkswagen preferred stock climbed 4% to 69.20 Euros. The carmaker, which is selling preferred shares to help finance the takeover of Porsche SE's auto-making unit, set the offer price at 65 Euros, the upper end of a previously announced range. Leoni rose 2.1% to 17.10 Euros. Germany's biggest maker of automotive electrical cables was raised to "buy" from "hold" at Equinet AG, which said the company "has done its homework during the crisis and significantly improved its cost position and won new orders." Hochtief gained 2.9% to 61.75 Euros as Equinet AG lifted its share-price forecast 14% to 90 Euros on Germany's biggest builder. Praktiker advanced 10% to 7.47 Euros, its biggest gain since June. The company will propose an unchanged dividend of 10 Euro cents per share, and sees operating profit rising "strongly" this year. FRANCE France's CAC 40 Index lost 11.55, or 0.3%, to 3,988.93 in Paris, trimming the weekly advance to 1.6%. The SBF 120 Index slid 0.2% Friday. Bollore rallied 2.7% to 124 Euros after reporting an 84% increase in 2009 net profit to 94 million Euros and lifting its dividend 18%. Guillemot Corporation dropped 4.1% to 1.88 Euros, falling for the first time in nine days. The computer accessories manufacturer posted a net loss of 4.5 million Euros for 2009. Iliad slipped 0.9% to 75.36 Euros as founder Xavier Niel sold 700,000 shares, or a 1.3% stake in the company, for 74 Euros apiece. That leaves him with a 64.4% holding. Maisons France Confort added 3.8% to 32.60 Euros. France's second-largest homebuilder forecast a return to sustained growth this year. NRJ Group soared 9.2% to 7 Euros. The operator of French commercial radio station NRJ reported net income of 6.8 million Euros in 2009. That compares with a year- earlier loss of 4.6 million Euros. Valeo climbed 1.9% to 28.12 Euros as Nomura Holdings Inc. raised its recommendation on France's second-biggest car-parts maker to "buy" from "neutral," saying the company's 2010 targets "are ambitious but achievable." Veolia Environnement lost 1.1% to 25.72 Euros. JPMorgan Chase & Co. downgraded the world's biggest water company to "underweight" from "neutral," citing the stock's "demanding valuation." BELGIUM The Bel 20 in Brussels completed the week on 2,656.93, down 0.57% for the day. French utility GDF Suez Tuesday said it has reached an agreement with Belgian municipal holding company Publigas to transfer its 38.50% stake in Fluxys, a Belgian natural gas operator. The 270,530 shares will be ceded at the price of Eur2,350 per share for a total amount of Eur636 million. After this transaction, the participation of Publigas in Fluxys will be brought to 89,97%, while GDF SUEZ will completely step out of the capital of the company. Belgian radiotherapy implant maker IBt said on Wednesday its chief executive Francois Blondel had stepped down following a takeover of the company by two shareholders. The two major shareholders said they had closed the takeover bid, which the Belgian regulator had forced them to make, with a combined stake of just over three quarters. Tuesday, the National Bank of Belgium said in a report that the business confidence indicator stood at minus 3.6 in March, up from minus 7 in February. This was the biggest level since August 2008. Economists expected a reading of minus 6.9. Manufacturing industrial confidence increased to minus 6.5 in March from minus 8.6 in February. At the same time, the building industry confidence rose to minus 9.3 from minus 14.3 in February. Meanwhile, the confidence indicator in trade sector stood at minus 1.2 in March, up from minus 4.9 in the previous month. THE NETHERLANDS In Amsetrdam the AEX ended the trading session and the week Friday on 343.81, a drop of 0.52%. State-owned insurance company ASR Nederland said Tuesday that a stock market listing is the most likely option for its future privatization as it prefers to stay independent and as a trade sale will prove difficult in the current market. "Our goal is to stay independent when we are privatized. So an initial public offering is the most logical option," Chairman Jos Baeten told reporters at ASR Nederland's headquarters in Utrecht. ASR, formerly part of financial services giant Fortis Holding, was bought and nationalized by the Dutch government at the height of the financial crisis during a rescue operation for Fortis. ASR, one the Netherlands' biggest insurers, will be privatized in coming years but the Dutch government hasn't detailed how or when that will happen. Chairman Baeten, speaking after ASR published its full-year results, declined to give an indication of ASR's potential market value, saying it would be "highly speculative" to comment given currently volatile market sentiment. Baeten said a trade sale would be tough at a time when Dutch players such as ING Groep, Aegon and SNS Reaal are prevented from making acquisitions or are themselves selling assets as they are still repaying state aid they received in the financial crisis. An acquisition by a foreign player seems unlikely as the insurance market in the Netherlands is not very attractive for future growth, Baeten said. "The Dutch market is saturated and margins are under pressure." For more solid growth prospects it would be better to look at Eastern Europe and Asia, he said. Therefore, consolidation within the Dutch insurance market, which has been the subject of market speculation in the past year, is not imminent, Baeten said. "I don't expect much to happen in the next three years," he said. ASR Tuesday swung to a full-year net profit of Eur255 million from a net loss of Eur640 million in 2008, mainly because of a recovery in financial markets. However, sales dropped 16% to Eur4.86 billion on a slump in gross premium income at ASR's life insurance business. The company said that general economic trends don't show much sign of improvement. Ziggo, the largest cable operator in the Netherlands, said on Tuesday it is asking banks to allow it to refinance 1 billion Euros ($1.35 billion) of expensive mezzanine debt with a high-yield bond. Ziggo is refinancing Europe's largest-ever mezzanine loan, which was put in place at the height of the boom in 2007, with a cheaper unsecured high-yield bond that will extend its maturity and allow it to take advantage of demand from bond investors. Ziggo is also asking banks for the flexibility to issue senior secured high-yield bonds at a future date to refinance senior bank debt, a senior leveraged banker said. The company is viewed as a candidate for an Initial Public Offering (IPO), investment bankers say.. Ziggo's unsecured high-yield bond will be one of the first to be issued for a private-equity owned company since the European high-yield bond market re-opened around two weeks ago with a series of corporate issues, several sources said. SWITZERLAND The SMI in Zurich concluded a hectic week on 6,838.95, a dip of 0.8%. Swiss-based chipmaker STMicroelectronics on Wednesday said a US court had affirmed a $431 million arbitration award against Credit Suisse for investing outside its mandate. The Swiss bank said it would appeal and said it had found an amicable settlement in a similar case with Roche in January. The dispute between the firms was about loss-making investments that STM says were made by the bank outside the risk profile agreed for the investments. US District Judge Deborah Batts in New York affirmed a February 2009 arbitration by financial industry regulatory authority FINRA about what STM called investments in "unauthorized auction rate securities against company instructions." Credit Suisse said, however, that it would appeal and that in any case it would only have to pay $354 million. STM said it had already received some $75 million in December. "We respectfully disagree with the court's decision and are evaluating an appeal," Credit Suisse said in a statement. Switzerland must adopt a gradual exit from stimulus and the central bank should avoid raising interest rates quickly given the uncertainty linked to economic growth, the International Monetary Fund said in report on Tuesday. "Any exit from expansionary policies should be carried out gradually and with due regard to the remaining general economic risks," the Washington-based lender said in its annual country report for Switzerland that was released by the finance ministry. The IMF economists expect growth of about 1.5% in 2010-2011. "Growth prospects in the medium term are subject to a degree of uncertainty," the IMF said. "These lie primarily with the financial sector and expected developments in immigration." While stating that the monetary policy pursued by the Swiss National Bank was adequate to aid the economy in the slowdown, the IMF said, "Interest rate should not be raised too early-or without regard to a strengthening in the currency." "While normalization of monetary policy will imply an exit from foreign exchange interventions, and a rise of interest rates, the tightening of monetary and financial conditions should remain cautious." The lender expects inflationary pressures to remain subdued due to the slack in the economy and the appreciation of the Swiss franc. Further, IMF does not see any easing in the lending policies of financial institutions. Elsewhere Friday, the SNB President Philipp Hildebrand reiterated that the central bank will act decisively to counter an excessive appreciation of the franc against the Euro and control the risk of deflation. He said the central bank's approach proved viable in the crisis. Now the central bank should find ways to withdraw smoothly from the measures taken to contain the crisis. The appreciation of the Swiss franc is a main concern for the central bank. The IMF report said the currency "does not appear to be misaligned". According to the lender, the real appreciation reflects continuing trade surpluses, improving fundamentals, and safe haven effects. "In these circumstances, foreign exchange interventions may be used to resist short term disruptive pressures," the report said. Regarding public finances, the IMF cautioned the country that consolidation of the budget should not exceed the specifications of the debt brake rule. Welcoming the significant financial market reform undertaken by the Swiss authorities, the lender said measures to reduce the risks posed to the national economy by large financial institutions will serve the economy as a whole well and enhance the reputation of the financial centre. The Swiss National Bank said on Monday that the M3, the broadest measure of money supply grew 6.1% in February from the previous year. The central bank revised January's growth rate to 6.1% from 5.6%. Further, the report showed that M2 money supply increased at a slower pace of 12.9%, following January's 16.5% growth. AUSTRIA The ATX in Vienna finished the day Friday on 2,630.32, a gain of 0.06%. Vienna-based real estate firm Immofinanz managed to keep its turnover stable in the first three quarters of its 2009/2010 business year (1 May to 30 April). Company officials said Wednesday it had had turnover of 552.8 million Euros, down by just 0.47% compared to its turnover during the same period of its previous business year. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) had soared by a third to 281.7 million Euros, they added. It was also announced that earnings before interest and taxes (Ebit) had improved between 1 May and 31 October 2009. After suffering losses of 1.754 billion Euros in the first three quarters of the previous business year, Immofinanz earned 246.7 million Euros in the first three quarters of the current business year. Immoeast, the firm's subsidiary set to merge with Immofinanz, had earnings before interest and taxes (Ebit) of 215.8 million Euros after losses of 1.4 billion Euros in the first three quarters of the previous business year. Immofinanz has been in the news in a negative context over the past few months. State prosecutors have tried to find out whether reports that it paid 10 million Euros to lobbyists Walter Meischberger and Peter Hochegger for their services in its successful bid to take over the federal construction and housing management association (Bauen und Wohnen GmbH or BUWOG) are accurate. Former Finance Minister Karl-Heinz Grasser decided to privatise BUWOG in 2000. Meischberger, one of the two Immofinanz lobbyists, is a close friend of Grasser and a former Freedom Party (FPÖ) MP - as is the minister. Media have claimed payments were made via a Cypriot company. Meischberger and Hochegger, the other Immofinanz lobbyist, have admitted to having engaged in tax evasion, while Grasser has denied any wrongdoing. Raiffeisenzentralbank (RZB) boss Walter Rothensteiner has claimed plans to merge RZB with its sister bank Raiffeisen International (RI) have nothing to do with financial difficulties. Austrian media have been speculating for weeks about a RZB and RI merger. RI - which manages RZB's investments in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) - separated from the institution only five years ago. Rothensteiner and RI chief Herbert Stepic called a press conference on short notice last month to rubbish rumours they were planning to merge. But Rothensteiner explained Friday (Tues) the merger "will not cost a dramatic sum". He added the plan was to carry it out retroactive to 1 January 2010. He said a delegation of RZB board members would fly to London tomorrow to inform shareholders and investors. Rothensteiner announced Stepic would become board chief of the newly created banking institution that will be listed on the Vienna Stock Exchange, while Karl Sevelda is set to become his deputy. The RZB boss said he would become board chairman of the holding company that would not be affected by the merger. Rothensteiner said he would also become head of the merged bank's supervisory board. He announced that all current board members would remain in office under the new structure. RI's earnings before interest and taxes (Ebit) dropped from 1.43 billion Euros in 2008 to 368 million Euros last year after carrying out an aggressive investment plan in CEE. RZB is a major player in CEE where it is active in 17 countries through RI. After years of soaring profits, the institute has seen results plummet since the global economic crisis gripped the CEE region. RI has done especially badly in Ukraine and Hungary since 2008. Raiffeisen is Austria's biggest private employer. Every tenth Euro generated in Austria can be attributed to the company and its branches and investments. It has 2,200 branches in Austria and holds interests in insurance companies, gastronomy firms, companies active in the tourism industry and, with shares in Kurier newspaper and the News publishing group, in the press. Fears among Raiffeisen's 100,000 employees about possible job cuts began growing after rumours of plans to merge circulated earlier this year. But Stepic said Friday: "We are excellently positioned and a top brand." Monday, the Statistics Austria announced that the producer price index or PPI dropped 1.3% on an annual basis in January, compared to the 1.6% fall in the previous month. A year earlier, the PPI was up 0.8%. The PPI for intermediate goods rose 2.7% on an annual basis in January, while capital goods prices rose 1.3%. Energy prices were up 0.4%. On a monthly basis, the PPI declined 0.2% in January, after a flat reading in the previous month. SWEDEN Stockholm's OMX headed into the weekend on 1,027.42, a drop og 0.57%. Shares of Swedish automobile safety device maker Autoliv Inc. rose in early-week trading as an analyst raised his rating on the company's shares. R.W. Baird & Co. analyst David Leiker upgraded the rating to "outperform" from "neutral" because earnings estimates are rising faster than the stock price. Leiker said in a note to investors that Autoliv stock has risen nearly 50% since November, but earnings estimates have more than doubled. The company, based in Stockholm, has seen strong revenue performance driven by Asia, European exports and increased market share, Leiker wrote. In addition, its margin performance has improved driven by higher volume, cost cutting and lower commodity costs. Leiker set his stock price target at $60 per share, up from $47. On Monday, Autoliv raised its revenue and margin guidance for the first quarter due to higher auto production in North America and Asia. Swedish giant Electrolux, the second biggest producer of electrical appliances in the world, has made an offer to buy South Korea's Daewoo Electronics, an Electrolux spokesman said Wednesday. "I can confirm that we have made an indicative offer on the appliance part of Daewoo," spokesman Anders Edholm told AFP, without giving further details. "We are always looking for interesting opportunities and we will now continue the discussions about Daewoo," he added. Electrolux will be competing against a rival bid from Iranian company Entekhab Industrial Group, according to Swedish media reports. Daewoo Electronics produces mass market appliances including microwaves, refrigerators, vacuum cleaners and washing machines. Swedish economic sentiment indicator dropped to 107 in March from 107.6 in February, results of the latest confidence survey by the National Institute of Economic Research showed Wednesday. The fall was unexpected as economists were looking for an increase to 109. But, Swedish households are more positive about the economic situation than normal. The consumer confidence indicator climbed to 15.5 from February's 13. Meanwhile, the expected reading was 13.2. Further, a measure for manufacturing confidence stood unchanged at 3, while total industrial sentiment improved to 16 from 15. The Swedish National Financial Management Authority on Tuesday forecast smaller government budget deficits in this year and the next, before returning to a surplus in 2012. The agency projects a budget deficit of SEK 48.8 billion this year, followed by a deficit of SEK 9.8 billion next year, before turning to a surplus of SEK 8.1 billion in 2012. ESV had previously forecast the budget to turn to surplus in 2013. "The outlook for the central government budget and public finances is favorable," the agency said in a report. "The economic recovery, together with strong public finances in the first place, will almost bring balance as early as next year, with substantial surpluses expected further ahead." The agency sees central government debt narrowing to 25% of gross domestic product in 2014, its lowest level since the mid-1970s NORWAY The OBX in Oslo closed out the week on 339.16, down 1.03% for the day Friday. Wednesday, Norway's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged at 1.75% for a second straight rate-setting session. The last change in the key policy rate was in December, when the central bank hiked the rate by 0.25 percentage point to its current level. "The interest rate is set with a view to stabilizing inflation over time close to 2.5%," the Norges Bank said in a statement. The central bank said it now plans to raise its key policy rate more slowly than previously thought, as it wants to monitor Norway's currency and inflation. The Executive Board's strategy is that the key policy rate should be in the interval 1.5% and 2.5% in the period to the publication of the next Monetary Policy Report on 23 June 2010 unless the Norwegian economy is exposed to new major shocks, the central bank said. Wednesday, the Statistics Norway announced that the jobless rate stood at 3.3% in January, measured by the average of three months from December to February period, same as in October, measured by the average of three months from September to November. Economists' expected the jobless rate to be 3.4%. The number of unemployed totaled 85,000 persons in January, smaller than the 86,000 persons in the previous month. Coca-Cola Enterprises said Monday that it agreed to acquire Coca-Cola bottling operations in Norway and Sweden for $822 million. In a filing with the US Securities Exchange Commission, or SEC, the company said that its indirect unit Bottling Holdings (Luxembourg) s.a.r.l., and Coca-Cola entered into an agreement on Saturday, March 20, under which Bottling Holdings will buy all of the issued and outstanding shares of Coca-Cola Drikker AS and Coca-Cola Drycker Sverige AB from a subsidiary of Coca-Cola. The company said the purchase price is subject to adjustment based upon the net working capital of the Norway and Sweden Companies at closing, and based upon EBITDA of the Norway and Sweden Companies for fiscal 2010. The acquisition is subject to various conditions, including the absence of legal prohibitions and the receipt of requisite regulatory approvals. Coca-Cola Enterprises, the largest bottler of Coca-Cola drinks, noted that the latest acquisition is part of its merger agreement with Coca-Cola announced on February 25. Both companies then had agreed in principle that CCE will buy the company's bottling operations in Norway and Sweden for $822 million, subject to the signing of definitive agreements, and that CCE will have the right to acquire the company's 83% equity stake in its German bottling operations 18 to 36 months after closing for fair value. Coca-Cola then agreed to acquire Coca-Cola Enterprises' entire North American business, which consists of about 75% of US bottler-delivered volume and almost 100% of Canadian bottler-delivered volume. At the close of the transaction, Coca-Cola will have direct control over about 90% of the total North America volume, including its current direct businesses. Coca-Cola currently owns approximately 34% of the outstanding common stock of Coca-Cola Enterprises. DENMARK Copenhagen's OMX completed the trading session Friday on 384.57, down 1.01%. Monday, the Statistics Denmark announced that the consumer confidence indicator stood at minus 1 in March, down from 1.8 in the previous month. Consumer assessment of the household financial situation increased to 1.6 in March from 1.2 in February, while the gauge for the household financial situation over the next twelve months rose to 16.5 from 14.2. Consumer confidence on the current economic situation of Denmark was minus 25.4 in March, lower than the minus 24.2 in February. A shouting match between Danske Bank's shareholders association president and the general assembly moderator dominated Thursday's meeting Angry shareholders demanded that Danske Bank's general assembly Thursday be declared illegitimate because the speaker opened it without including all relevant proposals, reported financial daily Børsen. Although Egon Geertsen, president of Danske Bank's shareholders association, failed to stop the meeting at Copenhagen's Bella Center on Tuesday afternoon, he managed to make his concerns clear to everyone present, including the media and Danske Bank's board of directors. For many years, the bank's general assembly has been traditionally opened by moderator Oluf Engell, who took the podium Thursday and proclaimed that the meeting was officially underway - despite that there were written protests about the legality of the meeting. Geertsen and his colleagues alleged that the meeting was illegal because the 19 questions and concerns they said they raised according to proper procedures were not included on the meeting's agenda. The conflict erupted into a shouting match when Geertsen walked up to the podium and accused Engell of illegally opening the assembly. Engell responded in kind, saying that the meeting had started and that Geertsen should not waste general assembly time on the issue. 'You're welcome to try this matter in the courts, although we probably already know what the outcome of that would be,' said Engell. But Geertsen continued to make his presence known at the meeting, interrupting proceedings several times. When Danske Bank CEO Peter Staarup took the podium, Geertsen told the assembly the executive was 'unfit to lead a major financial institution'. 'When a large company comes out with a tiny profit margin, then it's covering over a huge deficit,' argued Geertsen. 'I don't trust the figures given in the annual report.' The shareholders' association president also demanded that Staarup truthfully say whether or not he had dined with convicted fraudster Stein Bagger, whose now defunct IT Factory was loaned millions by Danske Bank. 'If you did so, then you lied at the last assembly and you should step down as CEO,' Geertsen said. Staarup responded that he had not met with Bagger and that although the losses the bank suffered as a result of Bagger's fraud were his responsibility, he was not personally involved in the loans' approvals. Staarup was given at least a temporary vote of confidence from board chairman Alf Duch-Pedersen, who said at the assembly the CEO was 'worthy and qualified' to lead the bank. No driver, high level of operational stability and happy passengers are some of the reasons why Copenhagen's metro voted better than the London Underground Copenhagen's metro has been voted the best in the world at the annual MetroRail conference in London. The Danish company, Metro, which runs the system, took home the award for best driverless metro and took the overall best metro prize ahead of transit systems from London, Madrid, Sao Paulo and Seoul. The awards' jury said that Copenhagen's metro had taken the overall prize because of its high level of operational stability, passenger satisfaction, innovative technology and expansion plans for the transit system. It was also nominated in the category for best European metro system but lost out to the London Underground. Transport minister Hans Christian Schmidt was extremely pleased at the news. 'The prize is fully deserved. The metro in Copenhagen is known for running on time and it's an important factor that passengers are happy. It shows that it was the right decision to develop the city ring [new metro line being built],' the minister said. FINLAND The OMX in Helsinki rounded off the day and the week at 7,360.46, down 0.22% on the session. Finnish engineering company Outotec said Friday that it has completed the acquisition of Australian smelting technology supplier Ausmelt Ltd for some AUD50m. In December 2009, Outotec announced that it bought 19.9% of the Australian company from the interests associated with Ausmelt's founder Dr John Floyd and launched an off-market takeover bid for the whole company. The Finnish company reported in separate announcements in December 2009 and February 2010, that its stake in Ausmelt raised to 37.4% and to 92.1%, respectively. The takeover is part of Outotec's strategy to acquire complementary technologies, CEO Pertti Korhonen said. Via Ausmelt's acquisition, Outotec will be able to offer smaller scale copper and nickel smelters as well as solutions for ferrous metals, zinc, lead and tin concentrates, zinc bearing residues, recycling and various secondary and waste materials, Korhonen stated. Finnish industrial machinery company Metso said Friday that it will supply board making technology, worth over Eur20m for the containerboard production line of a paper mill in Hou-Li, Taichung County, Taiwan. The customer is Taiwanese paper and paperboard producer Cheng Loong Corp. Metso will deliver three headboxes for the three-ply liner machine with a dilution profiling system for the back ply, a press section and a film size press. The dryer section will be equipped with a moisturising unit for web moisture profile control. The deal is included in the order intake for the first quarter of 2010 of Metso's Paper and Fiber Technology and Energy and Environmental Technology units. The Bank of Finland upgraded its economic growth projections for 2010. However, growth in the years ahead is set to be much slower than before the economic crisis. The economy may expand 1.6% in 2010, following a contraction of 7.8% last year, according to the latest economic outlook released by the Bank of Finland on Tuesday. Earlier, the central bank had estimated a flat growth for 2010. Economic growth for 2011 is seen at 1.8% and 2.2% in 2012. "GDP growth will, however, be much slower in the immediate years ahead than it was before the financial crisis," Bank of Finland's Governor Erkki Liikanen said at a press conference. "Real GDP will not reach the level of 2008 even by the end of the forecast period in 2012." Inflation is not forecast to be a problem for the economy, Liikanen said. The increase in the harmonized consumer prices will ease back to 1.3% this year and price pressures will be negligible, the central bank added. In 2011 and 2012, consumer prices will rise somewhat faster as economic growth takes root and labor costs rise. Liikanen noted that central government finances are in a difficult position. "Finland's economy will fade if the foundations of growth are not strengthened, the price competitiveness of Finnish output sustained and the sustainability of the public finances secured." Regarding labor market, the central bank said unemployment increased less than expected due to a contraction in labor supply. Liikanen said the slow recovery in growth is not expected to reduce unemployment from around 9% this year. Tuesday, the Statistics Finland announced that the jobless rate stood at 9.2% in February, up from 7.6% recorded a year ago. Economists expected the jobless rate to be 9.6%. The number of unemployed totaled 242,000 persons in February, up from 201,000 persons last year. At the same time, the number of employed persons amounted to 2.39 million, smaller than the 2.44 million a year earlier. Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate stood at 65.4% in February, down slightly from 65.8% last year. SPAIN Madrid's Ibex brought the week to a close at 11,071.10, down 0.18%. Spain's overnight stays at hotel establishments increased 4.3% on an annual basis to 13.2 million in February, the National Institute of Statistics said on Tuesday. The overnight stays by residents increased 3.7% annually in February, while overnight stays by non-residents grew 4.9%. For the first two months of the year, overnight stays increased 2.4% compared to the same period of the previous year. Further, the hotel price index decreased 4.8% on an annual basis in February, which was 0.8 points higher than the previous year. The Spanish Cabinet approved a bill on Friday to diversify the economy and shift it from its over-reliance on the construction sector. The government aims to boost innovative industries such as renewable energy, biotechnology, while also targeting the aeronautical, automobile and food industries so as to raise the economy's long-term growth potential. Press reports cite Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero as saying the bill is essential for Spain's present and future after a cabinet meeting in the Andalusian capital of Seville. Spain's economy contracted 0.1% in the three months through December, as it continues to battle high unemployment. The Iberian nation has the largest unemploment rate in the Eurozone at 20%, with some 45% of under 25s without a job. The government pumped billions of Euros into the economy in order to mitigate the downturn and in the process racked up a massive budget deficit. Spain's budget deficit - at 11.3% of gross domestic product - is nearly four times over what European Union rules allow. The government has announced spending cut plans, including a civil service hiring service and a raise in the retirement age in a bid to consolidate public finances and bring down its deficit. Travel-reservations company Amadeus IT Holding SA said Tuesday it will go ahead with its plan to list on the Spanish stock exchange during the first half of the year in what would be one of the biggest initial public offerings in Europe since the onset of the financial crisis. It wasn't immediately clear how much the company could be valued at in the listing, but last year people close to the company said Amadeus may be worth more than Eur8 billion. The Madrid-based company said it plans to sell at least 25% of its share capital. People familiar with the matter said it aims to file its IPO prospectus with the Spanish stock market regulator by mid April and to price the shares in the offering later the same month. If successful, Amadeus's return to the stock market could be the biggest listing in Europe since the financial crisis hit global markets more than two years ago. Amadeus was taken private five years ago in a Eur4.34 billion takeover by European private-equity firms BC Partners and Cinven Group Ltd. They now control 52.76% of it. PORTUGAL Lisbon's PSI Generali approached the weekend on 2,774.56, up 0.47%. Rating agency Fitch on Wednesday lowered Portugal's long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings, or IDR, to 'AA-' from 'AA'. The outlooks on the long-term IDRs are negative. The agency has simultaneously affirmed the country's short-term foreign currency rating at 'F1+' and country ceiling at 'AAA'. The downgrade reflects significant budgetary underperformance in 2009, the rating agency said. The general government deficit was 9.3% of GDP in 2009 versus 6.5% of GDP forecast by Fitch last September. It warned that further fiscal or economic underperformance in 2010 and 2011 could lead to another downgrade. "Friday's downgrade is another reminder that the Eurozone's fiscal problems are not limited to Greece," said Jennifer McKeown, an economist at Capital Economics. The economist noted that the fiscal crisis is clearly a dark cloud over the Euro area's medium-term prospects and it will continue to put downward pressure on the Euro. "A sizeable fiscal shock against a backdrop of relative macroeconomic and structural weaknesses has reduced Portugal's creditworthiness," said Douglas Renwick, associate director in Fitch's Sovereign team. Fitch said the Portugal government will need to implement sizeable consolidation measures from next year, on top of the reversal of the fiscal stimulus this year, in order to meet the 3% of GDP deficit target by 2013. The negative outlook on ratings reflects Fitch's concern about the potential impact of the global economic crisis on Portugal's economy and public finances over the medium term, given the country's existing structural weaknesses and high indebtedness across all sectors of the economy. Portuguese bonds fell after Fitch Ratings cut the southern European nation's credit grade, citing deteriorating public finances. The yield premium investors demand to hold Portuguese bonds instead of German securities widened after Fitch lowered the credit rating by one step to AA- from AA, and said its outlook on Portugal remains negative. German 10-year bunds snapped three days of gains as a confidence index for Europe's biggest economy and a report on European manufacturing and services stoked optimism about prospects for economic growth. The yield on Portugal's 10-year bond climbed 5 basis points to 4.35% as of 11:49 a.m. in London. The 4.8% security maturing in June 2020 fell 0.39, or 3.90 Euros per 1,000-Euro ($1,336) face amount, to 103.63. The yield spread with Germany increased 1 basis point to 125 basis points, according to generic data compiled by Bloomberg. Bond yields for Europe's most-indebted nations widened their spreads with German bunds this year amid concern the countries will struggle to manage rising debt burdens as the economic recovery slows and ratings agencies downgrade their credit. Greece, with the widest spread in the Euro region, is at the center of a political debate over the best way to prop up the nations in the event they need a rescue. ITALY Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index rose 29.41, or 0.1%, to 23,063.87. The gauge has gained 1.7% this week. Amplifon advanced 3.2% to 3.88 Euros, a fourth straight gain. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. increased its price estimate on the world's largest hearing-aid distributor to 4.6 Euros from 3.65 Euros. The brokerage reiterated a "buy" rating on the stock. Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena retreated the most since Feb. 4, falling 2.7% to 1.14 Euros. Italy's third-biggest bank reported a fourth-quarter loss of 181.3 million Euros ($242.5 million), compared with a profit a year ago. The results were "weaker than expected both in terms of revenue and costs" in the fourth quarter, Deutsche Bank AG said in a note. Banco di Desio e della Brianza, a regional bank, increased 2.1% to 4.24 Euros, the highest in about two months. Banca Leonardo upgraded the stock to "buy" from "underweight," citing "good fourth-quarter results and credit quality stabilization." Fiat SpA lost for the first time in four days, declining 2.2% to 9.75 Euros. Chief Executive Officer Sergio Marchionne said the European car market may take about four years to return to pre-crisis levels. He made the comments at the company's annual meeting in Turin Friday. Fondiaria-Sai fell 6% to 11.34 Euros, the biggest decline since May last year. Italy's second-biggest insurer swung to a 2009 net loss of 342.6 million Euros, compared with profit of 87.4 million Euros a year earlier, according to a statement distributed by the Italian exchange. The company proposed a dividend of 40 Euro cents. Cheuvreux reiterated an "underperform" rating after the release. Impregilo rose for second day, increasing 1.8% to 2.55 Euros. Cheuvreux lifted its price estimate on Italy's biggest builder to 3.1 Euros from 2.8 Euros and kept an "outperform" rating. Parmalat advanced 3.4% to 2.07 Euros, the highest since 2008. Italy's biggest dairy food company was upgraded to "overweight" from "equal weight" at Morgan Stanley." UniCredit gained for a second day, increasing 3% to 2.25 Euros. BofA-Merrill Lynch Global Research reiterated a "buy" recommendation on Italy's biggest bank after Thursday's "convincing" presentation by the bank's Corporate and Investment Banking unit. MF Global trimmed its price estimate to 3.1 Euros from 3.4 Euros and reiterated a "buy" rating, saying in a note that the CIB unit is "positioned for greater returns." Unipol Gruppo Finanziario sank 7.7% to 84.5 cents, the biggest loss since March last year. The insurer posted a 2009 net loss of 772 million Euros, compared with a profit of 92.6 million Euros a year earlier. Unipol also said its board proposed a sale of shares for as much as 500 million Euros. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Ltd and Exane BNP Paribas downgraded the stock to "underperform." Banca Akros cut its rating to "sell" from "hold." GREECE Greece's ASE Index, which was closed for a holiday Thursday, jumped 4.1%, the most in more than six weeks, after the EU pledged support and the European Central Bank said it would extend emergency lending rules. The Athex in Athens brought the week to an end at 2,147.83. Greece's economy could shrink as much as 2% this year, in line with a Bank of Greece forecast, Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said. Even with a bigger drop in GDP than forecast in Greece's budget plan, the target for a 4 percentage point cut will be achieved, he said. He spoke at a conference in Athens Friday. Aegean Airlines remained well in the black last year, although net profit fell 22% to €23 million ($31.1 million) from the €29.5 million earned in 2008 as a result of the recession and the decline of the Greek economy during the final four months of the year. Revenue increased 2% to €622.7 million mainly due to what Aegean called a "significant" international network expansion, which included new routes from Athens to Brussels, Berlin Tegel, Barcelona, Venice, Istanbul Ataturk, Vienna and Madrid. The Greek carrier, which was invited to join Star Alliance in May last year and which announced last month the launch of merger negotiations with rival Olympic Air, carried 6.6 million passengers in 2009, up 10%. Domestic boardings rose 2% to 3.8 million while the number of passengers carried on international flights increased 22% to 2.8 million. It operates 32 aircraft. MD Dimitris Gerogiannis warned that "the conditions that we are facing in 2010 are even more difficult [than in 2009] given the deteriorating economic conditions in Greece" and said Aegean hopes "to ensure the long-term prospects of the company by effective cost management, maintaining the quality of services provided while improving the attractiveness of our fare offers and securing and implementing the necessary local and international cooperations and alliances." The merger with Olympic is expected to be completed in 2011. Titan, Greece's biggest cement maker, will sell a minority stake in an Egyptian plant to the World Bank's private sector lending arm, as it struggles to cope with a shrinking business and to cut debt. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) will spend 80 million Euros buying a 16% stake in the Alexandria Portland Cement Company. The deal is expected to be completed before the end of June 2010, Titan said in a statement on Tuesday. The Greek company had already said in October it was considering selling a minority stake in one of its two plants in Egypt. Titan last week reported a 41% drop in profit in 2009 and slashed its dividend to save cash. Egypt is Titan's only growth market. Construction activity in Greece and the US, Titan's two biggest markets have been hit by recession. "The collaboration with an institution such as the IFC is expected to add significant value to Titan's investment in Egypt," the Greek company said. |
| The UK Market
Did it follow the Global trend ..... |
UK stocks fell for the first time in four days, trimming the FTSE 100 Index's fourth straight weekly advance, as shares from International Power Plc to Man Group Plc slipped in London. International Power lost 3.9% and Scottish & Southern Energy Plc fell 2.1% as JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered its recommendations for the utilities. Man Group dropped 3.6% after people with knowledge of discussions said the hedge-fund manager is scouting for deals in the US British Airways Plc declined 1% as the airline's cabin crew strike for a second time in a week tomorrow. The benchmark FTSE 100 Index declined 24.63, or 0.4%, to 5,703.02 in London, trimming this week's advance to 0.9%. The FTSE All-Share Index lost 0.3% Friday and Ireland's ISEQ Index gained 0.3%. The FTSE 100 has advanced for four weeks, the longest stretch of gains since August, amid growing optimism that Greece will not default on its sovereign debt. Late Thursday, leaders of the 16-nation Euro region endorsed a Franco-German proposal for a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans to provide Greece with financial assistance if required. International Power lost 3.9% to 316.9 pence as JPMorgan downgraded the UK-based utility with interests in more than 45 electricity plants, to "neutral" from "overweight." Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling Friday unveiled plans to cut the budget shortfall to 89 billion Pounds ($132 billion) by April 2014 from 167 billion Pounds this fiscal year. He said borrowing will fall to 163 billion Pounds next year before declining to 74 billion Pounds in 2014-15. The chancellor said he'll stick to current spending plans for the fiscal year that starts next month, with a 2.2% gain in real terms. Johnson Matthey declined 1.6% to 1,720 pence after BofA Merrill Lynch downgraded the stock to "neutral" from "buy." Arriva surged 4.7% to 750 pence, the highest level since September 2008. France's Transport Ministry said it will back state railroad SNCF in a bid for Arriva, setting up a contest with German rival Deutsche Bahn AG for the UK bus and train company valued at 1.49 billion Pounds ($2.2 billion). Smiths Group gained 1.5% to 1,156 pence. Revenue from continuing operations for the six months ended Jan. 30 fell to 1.28 billion Pounds from 1.29 billion Pounds for the same period a year earlier. These are "strong results" and the "outlook is improving," Credit Suisse Group AG analyst Andre Kukhnin wrote in a report to investors Friday. Bellway Plc climbed 5.6% to 760 pence. The worst- performing UK homebuilding stock this year posted a profit in its fiscal first half as the housing market showed signs of recovery. |
| Asia Pacific Regional Markets
Did they set the tone or follow the lead ..... |
JAPAN
Japanese stocks rose, sending the Nikkei 225 Stock Average to its highest close in almost 18 months, as a weaker Yen boosted the earnings outlook for companies dependent on overseas demand. Canon Inc., a camera maker that gets 59% of its sales in the Americas and Europe, climbed 1.9%. The Euro strengthened after European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said he welcomed a European Union agreement to aid debt- burdened Greece. Advantest Corp., the world's largest maker of memory-chip testers, gained 3.1% after US-based Qualcomm Inc. boosted its profit forecast and memory prices jumped to more than a three-year high. The Nikkei 225 briefly topped 11,000 and rose 1.6% to 10,996.37 at the close in Tokyo, the highest level since Oct. 2, 2008. The broader Topix Index climbed 1.5% to 966.72, with all of its 33 industry groups advancing. The Topix has gained 1.9% this week, its fifth- straight weekly advance, as a government report showed the nation's exports increased at the fastest pace in 30 years in February. That's the index's longest streak of weekly gains since 14 August. Companies in the Topix are estimated to post a 72% surge in earnings per share in the year starting April 1, as overseas demand helps boost revenue. Topix-listed shares trade at 33.5 times estimated earnings, the highest level globally, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Friday was the last day investors can get rights to dividends for companies whose fiscal year ends March 31, according to Nomura Holdings Inc. Canon, the world's biggest digital-camera maker, jumped 1.9% to 4,265 Yen. Sony Corp., an electronics manufacturer that gets 46% of its revenue from the US and Europe, rose 2.2% to 3,545 Yen. Electronics makers contributed the most to the Topix's advance. Advantest climbed 3.1% to 2,329 Yen. Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., the world's largest maker of silicon wafers for semiconductors, advanced 3.4% to 5,500 Yen, while Sumco Corp. rose 3.2% to 1,905 Yen. Qualcomm, the world's biggest maker of mobile-phone chips, jumped 5% in New York Thursday after boosting its second-quarter profit and sales forecasts. The Dramexchange Index, which tracks prices of the most widely used computer-memory chips, advanced 0.3% in Taiwan to the highest level since December 2006. Pioneer Corp., the maker of the world's first car CD player, surged 9.6% to 331 Yen and was the biggest winner in the Nikkei 225. Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. raised its rating on the stock to "buy" from "neutral," citing a demand recovery. SOUTH KOREA Seoul shares finished higher on Friday, reversing early losses, as investors shook off global debt concerns that cut Wall Street gains. Shipping companies rallied on hopes for the downturn-hit sector's turnaround. The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was likely to test 1,700 points next week, with market participants expecting no major correction in the US market, analysts said. Foreign investors continued to support the index, notching their 11th consecutive session of net buying. The KOSPI rose 0.55% to end at 1,697.72 points. Shipping companies rose sharply amid signs of rising global trade and reports that some exporters are even suffering container shortages. Korea Line (005880.KS) jumped 12.04%, Hanjin Shipping rose 6.09% and STX Pan Ocean climbed 6.56%. South Korea's No.2 life insurer Korea Life rose 3.45% after the stock stalled since a strong debut earlier this month. Mobile carrier SK Telecom rose 1.71% and fixed-line and broadband leader KT Corp added 1.48%. Sugar maker CJ CheilJedang and retailer Shinsegae, both selling shareholdings in the upcoming Samsung Life IPO, fell 1.55% and 0.9%, respectively, as negotiations between Samsung Group and its creditors over the IPO were prolonged. Creditors of Samsung Group's failed auto unit plan to sell 34.5 million shares in the IPO, a source told Reuters. Foreign investors bought a net 186.5 billion won worth of shares on the main bourse and retail investors sold a net 120 billion won. Institutions bought a net 610 million won worth. Advancers led decliners at 492 to 290, with 93 issues ending flat. Trading volume stood at 391 million shares worth 4.1 trillion won, compared with Thursday's 382 million shares worth 4.4 trillion won. The KOSPI 200 June futures index ended up 1.15 points at 222.15, and the KOSPI 200 spot index rose 1.18 points to 222.25. The junior Kosdaq market rose 0.85% to close at 524.66. HONG KONG Hong Kong shares rebounded from a three-week low on Friday, with oil counters such as CNOOC up after crude prices rose, while HSBC gained on expectations that Greece won't default on its debts. CNOOC rose 2.3%, while Sinopec was up 2.4%. British lender HSBC added 2.3%, getting a lift from news that Euro zone leaders and the IMF agreed to help Greece out of its debt woes, dealers said. The benchmark Hang Seng Index ended up 1.3% at 21,053. The China Enterprises Index of top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks advanced 1.2%. CHINA China's stocks rose the most in a week after banks reported higher profit and property developers rallied on speculation the government will delay raising interest rates. Huaxia Bank Co. surged the most in four months and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. added 0.6% on increased earnings. Poly Real Estate Group Co. climbed for the first time in five days after the central bank said current measures to control liquidity work "very well." Kweichow Moutai Co. rose 1.1% after saying operations weren't affected by a drought. The Shanghai Composite Index gained 1.3% to close at 3,059.72, the most since March 17. The index lost 0.3% this week amid concerns that a drought in southwest China will push up food prices and fuel inflation. The CSI 300 Index added 1.4% to 3,275, with all 10 industry groups advancing. The Shanghai stock gauge has lost 6.6% this year, the fourth-worst performer globally among 93 benchmark indexes tracked by Bloomberg, as the government stepped up measures to cool economic growth and contain "We are very careful on the interest rate, because it is a heavy-duty weapon," central bank Deputy Governor Zhu Min said in Hong Kong Thursday. "We are very careful managing liquidity" with other instruments, and it looks like that "works very well," he said, citing an expected slowdown in credit growth in March. The central bank will raise interest rates this month or next after the government reported higher-than-expected consumer-price gains in February, according to 11 of 15 economists surveyed. Huaxia Bank, the bank that's partly owned by Deutsche Bank AG, said its net income last year rose 22% to 3.76 billion Yuan ($550.7 million). The lender also said it aims to keep its non-performing loan ratio within 1.5% this year. The stock added 5.9% to 12.25 Yuan, the sharpest gain since Dec. 4. Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co. rose 3% to 22.26 Yuan. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, the country's largest lender, advanced 0.6% to 4.90 Yuan after reporting a record profit. Bank of China Ltd., which reported record annual profit earlier this week, added 1.7% to 4.23 Yuan. Poly Real Estate led property stocks higher, adding 2% to 20.20 Yuan and snapping a four-day losing streak. Gemdale Corp., based in Shenzhen, climbed 3% to 13.78 Yuan, the most since March 9. The People's Bank of China has twice boosted the required ratio of assets that must be held in reserve, while stopping short of raising rates -- even as India and Malaysia have taken that step. The central bank hasn't increased interest rates since December 2007, underscoring the concern Premier Wen Jiabao's government has about fostering a sustained rebound before imposing higher borrowing costs. Consumer prices rose to a 16-month high of 2.7% in February as industrial production grew 20.7% in the first two months of 2010, the most in more than five years. Kweichow Moutai gained 1.1% to 159.66 Yuan. The company said its source for water wasn't affected by a drought in Guizhou province. Shanghai Haibo Co. led a rally for transportation companies based in the city on the prospect the Shanghai World Expo will boost earnings. Haibo, an investment holding company that provides taxi services, jumped by the 10% daily limit to 11.28 Yuan. Net income rose 7.1% from a year earlier to 160.7 million Yuan in 2009 as the company expanded its taxi fleet, Haibo said in a statement. The company plans to improve profitability and expand its core businesses this year as it benefits from the Expo, according to the statement. Shanghai Qiangsheng Holding Co., which also provides taxi and mini-bus services, surged by the 10% limit to 9.85 Yuan while rival Shanghai Jiao Yun Co. climbed 10% to 10.11 Yuan. Chang Jiang Shipping Group Phoenix, a provider of inland river transportation, gained 10% to 6.44 Yuan. China may issue a plan to speed up the development of inland transport along the country's Yangtze River, Sina.com said late Thursday, citing Xu Xianping, a deputy director at the National Development and Reform Commission. Jiangxi Sanchuan Water Meter, a maker of water meters, jumped 77% to 86.5 Yuan on its first day of trading in Shenzhen. The company sold 13 million shares in an initial public offering on March 10. TAIWAN Taiwan's share prices closed higher Friday with the weighted index, the market's key barometer, moving up 38.76 points, or 0.49%, to close at 7,876.86. The local bourse opened at 7,808.15 and fluctuated between a low of 7,770.42 and a high of 7,909.41 during the day's trading. Market turnover totaled NT$120.14 billion (US$3.77 billion) . Four of the eight major stock categories gained ground, with cement issues and plastics and chemicals shares gaining the most at 0.73%. Machinery and electronics moved up 0.69% while banking and financial stocks were up 0.13%. Three stock categories lost ground, with paper and pulp issues dropping the most at 0.88%, followed by textile issues at 0.28% and construction shares at 0.01%. Foodstuff shares remained unchanged. Gainers outnumbered losers 1,458 to 1,417 with 337 remaining unchanged. Foreign investors and Chinese QDIIs were net buyers of NT$7.89 billion in shares. THE PHILIPPINES Local shares hit a new two-year high on Friday as investors snapped up banking, mining and property stocks. The main-share Philippine Stock Exchange index added 9.54 points or 0.3% to close at 3,180.68. It is the market's best finish since closing at 3,161.05 on Feb. 20, 2008. For the whole week, the index has advanced 83.45 points or 2.7%. Thursday, Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., Philippine National Bank, Security Bank Corp. and Banco de Oro Unibank Inc. were among the top gainers alongside Ayala Corp., SM Investments Corp., Ayala Land Inc., Vista Land & Lifescapes Inc., GMA Holdings Inc.- Philippine depositary receipts and First Gen Corp. By sectors, the index was supported on Friday by the gains posted by the mining/oil, financials and property counters which were up by 1.96%, 1.3% and 1.28%, respectively. There were 52 advancers as against 42 decliners while 78 stocks were unchanged. Value turnover amounted to P3.34 billion. On the other hand, among the decliners were Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co., Universal Robina Corp., SM Prime Holdings Inc., First Philippine Holdings Corp., Energy Development Corp. and Alliance Global Group Inc. SINGAPORE Singapore stocks rose 0.62% on Friday in line with most Asian bourses as investors took to the market given that prices looked attractive after recent weakness. Investor sentiment was also helped by the easing of sovereign debt fears in regional markets as investors mulled a financing plan to help debt-laden Greece. The Straits Times Index finished 17.91 points higher at 2,906.28. Volume was 1.54 billion shares worth S$1,16 billion. Gainers led losers 309 to 167. Property developer CapitaLand led gains, rising 2.28% at S$4.03, while DBS Group Holdings added 1.1% to S$14.60 and Singapore Telecommunications ended 0.63% up at S$3.20. Rig builders ended firmer, with Sembcorp Marine rising 1.5% to S$4.08 and Keppel Corp moving up 0.8% to S$9.15. Commodity stocks also saw some bargain-hunting. Olam International rose 1.2% to S$2.63, while Golden Agri Resources gained 0.9% to S$0.545. DBS has identified several aquisition targets in Indonesia as it reveals its plans to expand in fast growing emerging markets. It aims to have 30% of its revenue from South-East Asia, excluding Singapore, 30% from China and 40% from Singapore within 5 years. Since 2001 after it paid US$5.8 billion for Dao Heng Bank in Hong Kong and later having to pay for a big writedown for it in 2005, DBS has been conservative in looking out for acquisition opportunities. KEPPEL Offshore & Marine (Keppel O&M) secured a floating production storage and offloading vessel (FPSO) conversion job and two rig repair and upgrades worth a total of $140 million. Of the three subsidiaries' contracts, it is likely that Keppel Shipyard's upgrading and conversion of a Suezmax tanker into an FPSO for repeat customer Bumi Armada will form the bulk of the contracts' value. MALAYSIA Share prices on Bursa Malaysia ended higher prompted by gains in heavyweights and lower liners, dealers said. Buying sentiment was stimulated by the upcomin announcement of the New Economic Model (NEM) next week. The benchmark FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) ended 2.66 points higher at 1,315.14 after opening 0.89 of a point better at 1,313.37. The Finance Index advanced 30.22 points to 11,738.93, the Plantation Index increased 8.19 points to 6,410.88 and the Industrial Index rose 13.15 points to 2,664.93. The FBM Emas Index added 40.37 points to 8,911.51, the FBM70 surged 76.19 points to 8,836.03 while the FBM Ace Index perked 0.81 of a point to 4,212.5. Advancers outpaced decliners 517 to 238 while 261 counters were unchanged, 332 untraded and 30 others were suspended. Turnover stood at 1.25 billion shares, worth RM1.706 billion, from 1.244 billion shares valued at RM1.845 billion Thursday. Among heavyweights, Maybank rose three sen to RM7.42, Sime Darby increased seven sen to RM8.68, CIMB Group Holdings gained four sen to RM14.00 but Maxis was flat at RM5.38. Hock Heng Stone Industries, which made its debut Friday was also the most actively traded share, finishing 2.5 sen higher at 57.5 sen with 283,687 lots traded. It earlier opened at 57 sen, for a two sen premium above its issue price of 55 sen. Meanwhile, KNM Group and Privasia Technology both rose half-a-sen to 73 sen and 10.5 sen, respectively, DRB-Hicom gained 15 sen to RM1.17 and but Tomei Consolidated shed 3.5 sen to 62.5 sen. Turnover on the main market decreased to 1.03 billion shares, worth RM1.65 billion from 1.05 billion shares, valued at RM1.788 billion, Thursday. The ACE market volume fell to 77.167 million units, valued at RM12 million, from 80.587 million units, worth RM13.04 million, Thursday. Warrants increased to 121.8 million shares, worth RM22.4 million, from 82.13 million shares, valued at RM20.08 million, on Thursday. Consumer products accounted for 47.6 million shares traded on the Main Market, industrial products 276.3 million, construction 72.1 million, trade and services 305.1 million, technology 45.5 million, infrastructure 38.2 million, finance 85.2 million, hotels 5.9 million, properties 127.08 million, plantations 25.1 million, mining 508,300, REITs 1.65 million and closed/fund 138,400. INDONESIA The Jakarta Composite Index continued to climb higher on Friday, closing above the 2,800 level for the first time since Jan. 9, 2008, as investors snapped up mining and property stocks. The JCI rose 13.93 points, or 0.5%, to close at 2,813.08. The benchmark index gained 2.6% on the week for its fourth-consecutive weekly advance. Volume was robust. Some 5.2 billion shares worth Rp 4.6 trillion ($506 million) changed hands. Gainers outnumbered decliners 120 to 69. International funds were net buyers by $554 million this month, according to Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) data. Meanwhile, the rupiah strengthened as foreign investors bought more local stocks and debt. The rupiah traded at 9,119 against the US Dollar on Friday, compared with 9,135 on Thursday. Foreign holdings of rupiah debt totaled Rp 130.3 trillion as of Thursday, up from Rp 108 trillion at the end of last year. Coal miners led the gains on the stock market on Friday. PT Bumi Resources rose 4.4%, while PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam gained 4.1%. THAILAND Shares in the Thai unit of Malaysia's No. 2 bank, CIMB Group Holdings, plunged more than 8% on Friday after announcing plans to raise about 9 billion Baht ($278 million) via rights and bond issues. CIMB Thai Bank, 93.15%-owned by CIMB, said it plans to sell by June 2.97 billion new shares in a 2-for-9 rights issue at a price of 1 Baht each -- a steep 67% discount to Thursday's closing price of 3.02 Baht. By 0354 GMT, the stock was down 6.6% at 2.82 Baht after hitting as low as 2.76 Baht. Thailand's overall stock market .SETI was down 0.17%. CIMB Thai also plans to sell up to 6 billion Baht of subordinated bonds to boost tier 1 and/or tier 2 capital, it said. The issue of new shares, which have a par value of 0.50 Baht each, will raise the bank's registered capital to 8.16 billion Baht from 6.67 billion. The plan is subject to approval from shareholders in the meeting on April 29. As part of a restructuring to focus on its core business, CIMB Thai board approved a plan to sell all of its 99.99% stake in bad debt management unit Sathorn Asset Management to CIMB Group for 229 million Baht, it said. After the stake sale, CIMB Thai would sell its non performing loans of 3.2 billion Baht to Sathorn Asset Management. The bank also planned to sell all of its 99.99% stake in fund firm BT Asset Management Co Ltd to CIMB-Principal Asset Management Bhd for 250 million Baht and sell 20% stake in Worldclass Rent A Car Co. to CIMB Bank for 73.8 million Baht. INDIA The 50-unit S&P CNX Nifty attained its highest closing level in more than two years supported by persistent buying by the foreign funds. The barometer index BSE Sensex achieved its highest closing level in more than two months as equities gained for the seven straight week. The Sensex jumped 85.91 points or 0.49%, off close to 40 points from the day's high. The market sentiment remains firm on heavy buying by foreign funds this month. As per data from the stock exchanges, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought stocks worth a net Rs 12125.81 crore this month, till 25 March 2010. Finance secretary Ashok Chawla said on Tuesday, 23 March 2010, that foreign capital flows into India are currently not posing any concern. Emerging-market equity funds combined took in a net $1.4 billion during the week ended 24 March 2010, a 10-week high, bringing year-to-date inflow totals past the $7 billion mark, according to the latest data from global fund tracker EPFR Global. But, China equity funds posted outflows in the week. Encouraging Q4 March 2010 advance tax figures of top Indian firms, indicating good Q4 March 2010 results, boosted Indian equities over the past few days. The market also witnessed a strong post-Budget rally driven by sustained buying by foreign funds since the presentation of the Union Budget 2010-2011 on 26 February 2010. Global credit rating agency Standard & Poor's, last week, revised the outlook on India to stable from negative due to improved government finances. Data on Thursday showed the fuel price index rose 12.68% in the year to 13 March 2010, flat on the week. The government had raised motor fuel prices in late February. The food price index rose an annual 16.22% in the year to 13 March 2010, lower than the previous week's reading of 16.30%. The primary articles index was up 13.88% for the latest period, compared with 14.16% in the previous week. After the most recent rate hike, analysts are betting the RBI will raise rates to a slightly higher level this year than earlier expected. Most now see rates being raised by a total of 100 basis points by the end of 2010. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Thursday it was imperative to curb inflationary pressures fuelled by increased capacity utilisation and rising energy and commodity prices. Earlier on Thursday, a document from the country's top policy panel said India should aim for an average 5% inflation and this was a target "quite within the realm of possibilities". A week after the RBI unexpectedly lifted its key rates, it said food prices were moderating but were still high and the pace of inflation in non-food manufactured goods was accelerating. The RBI spoke of challenges in managing the central government's record $100.4 billion borrowing plan for the financial year that begins on 1 April 2010 and said the timing and maturity profile of fresh issuances were key. The huge borrowing sums could harden yields, making funds for banks and corporates more expensive, the RBI said. The RBI said the process of fiscal consolidation would help better monetary management. The stock market will spurt if the government undertakes structural reforms such as decontrol of petrol and diesel prices, targeting of food subsidies, and financial sector reforms such as increase in foreign direct investment in insurance sector. The S&P CNX Nifty was up 21.60 points or 0.41% to 5282, its highest closing since 28 February 2008. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.71% and outperformed Sensex. The BSE Small-Cap index fell 0.03% and underperformed Sensex. The BSE Auto index (up 1.75%), the BSE Bankex (up 1.59%), the BSE Consumer Durables index (up 1.37%), the BSE FMCG index (up 0.74%), the BSE Oil & Gas index (up 0.72%), the BSE Metal index (up 0.53%), outperformed the Sensex. The BSE IT index (down 0.67%), the BSE Teck index (down 0.55%), the BSE Realty index (down 0.25%), the BSE HealthCare index (down 0.17%), the BSE Capital Goods index (down 0.06%), the BSE Power index (up 0.01%), the BSE PSU index (up 0.21%), underperformed the Sensex. The market breadth, indicating overall health of the market was weak in contrast to a strong breadth earlier in the day. On BSE, 1192 shares advanced as compared with 1660 that declined. A total of 88 shares remained unchanged. The breadth was much stronger earlier in the day. From the 30 Sensex shares, 18 stocks rose and the rest fell. AUSTRALIA The Australian share market closed slightly higher on Friday as cautiousness concerning recovery in the US and debt problems in Europe remained a dominant theme. Investors turned to defensive stocks early in the day but funds returned to the major resource and finance sectors later in the session to send the major indices higher. The benchmark S&P/ASX200 index added 11.5 points, or 0.24%, to 4,896.9 points, while the broader All Ordinaries index gained 8.9 points, or 0.18%, to 4,905.2 points. On the Sydney Futures Exchange the June share price index contract was 15 points higher at 4,918 points on volume of 28,205 contracts. CSL shares rose by 55 cents to $36.63, Cochlear added $1.38 to $73.38 and Sonic Healthcare gained 40 cents to $14.36. BHP Billiton stocks lost four cents to $43.28 and Rio Tinto fell by 30 cents to $78.32, both well off their earlier lows. Among financial stocks, Commonwealth Bank added 17 cents to $57.37, ANZ gained 10 cents to $25.45, Westpac rose by 19 cents to $27.98 and National Australia Bank closed eight cents higher at $27.59. Insurance Australia Group Ltd (IAG) cut its 2010 insurance margin for the second time this month as insurers' claims mount from Perth's hailstorm and the cyclone in Queensland. Suncorp-Metway said costs from the Perth storm and cyclone Ului would see its aggregate reinsurance program of $250 million exceeded. IAG shares added one cent to $3.92 andSuncorp gained four cents to $8.61. The oil and gas sector was mixed. Woodside Petroleum dropped 56 cents to $46.92, Oil Search lost one cent to $5.93, while Santos gained one cent to $14.77 after it said it would sell its working interest in Evans Shoal in the Bonaparte Basin to Magellan Petroleum Australia for up to $200 million. The spot price of gold in Sydney was $US1,094.40 per fine ounce at 1620 AEDT, up $US5.00 from Thursday's close of $US1,089.40 per fine ounce. Lihir Gold was up seven cents to $3.09, while Newcrest added 12 cents to $32.94. The most traded stock by volume was energy company Oil Basins, with 423.6 million shares worth $16.82 million changing hands. Oil Basins was up 2.3 cents, or 209.09%, at 3.4 cents. Oil Basins announced on Friday it had been appointed coal seam gas operator of its Canning Basin permit, which it holds with Backreef Oil, in Western Australia. Preliminary market turnover was 2.73 billion shares worth $7.84 billion, with 511 stocks up, 510 down and 391 unchanged. NEW ZEALAND NZ share rose Friday, kicking off gains in equity markets across Asia as European leaders prepare to meet to consider their bailout of Greece with the International Monetary Fund. New Zealand Windfarms Ltd. jumped 10% after gaining an advantageous consent to expand. Contact Energy Ltd. rose with wholesale power prices while PGG Wrightson Ltd. fell as investors eschewed rural plays. The NZX 50 Index rose 2.93, or 0.1%, to 3240.447. Within the index, 14 shares rose, 22 fell and 14 remained unchanged. Turnover was $98.5 million. Contact Energy, the biggest utility on the NZX 50, rose 1.8% to $6.23 a share, buoyed by rising wholesale power prices, as the electricity market revalues its stored water assets. Terrence Currie, Chairman of the Major Electricity' Users' Group, said high wholesale prices, "are out of step with current lake levels, which are average for this time of year." Wholesale prices are sitting around 100% of average for this time of year, according to MEUG. Shares rose across Asia Friday, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 1.5% and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rising 0.2%, on optimism, European leaders will succeed in their plan to help Greece avoid default. Windfarms rose 10% to 33 cents a share Friday. The electricity generator Friday said it gained consent to expand its Te Rere Hau site into a windier area, making its turbines more productive. The company has received a confidence boost after Tyndall Investments disclosed that it had increased its stake in the company, to 11.5%. Wrightson, the country's largest rural services company, fell 3.3% to 58 cents. Fonterra Co-operative Group this week reiterated its milk fat payment, while posting a 3.7% decline in first-half sales. Meantime, a Hong Kong based investor group says it wants to spend as much as $1.5 billion on dairy farms and other assets around the country, a move that requires approval from the Overseas Investment Office. Rakon was the biggest gainer on the NZX 50 Friday, up 4.2% to 99 cents. Guinness Peat Group rose 1.2% to 87 cents a share. The investment company has announced its scrip dividend alternative, at 1 new share for every 35 owned. Cavalier fell 3.5% to $2.80, the biggest fall on the benchmark index. Telecom fell 0.9% Friday to $2.12. The phone company's recent problems with its new XT network and forecasted losses due to a new rural broadband scheme have caused over the last two weeks its lowest share prices since the late 1990s. Nuplex Industries rose 0.9% to $3.48 Friday. Chairman Rob Aitken said demand is recovering from the low point of the last financial year, but is still below its peak levels of 2007/2008. Nuplex is in a strong position," he said. "We have a sound balance sheet and a good cash flow." |
| Global Commodities
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' ..... |
Commodities finished the day mixed as oil closed below the psychologically important $80 market and gold finished higher on a weaker Dollar. Gold delivery for June, the most actively traded contract, added $11.30, or 1%, to end at $1,105.40 an ounce. The Dollar index (DXY), which measures the US unit against six other major currencies, fell 0.5% to 81.71. Gold also received a boost after word that a spike in tensions on the Korean peninsula, as a South Korean ship sank near the North Korean border, MarketWatch reported. Meanwhile, crude-oil futures ended 0.7% lower on a downward revision in fourth-quarter US economic growth. Crude oil for May delivery, the most active contract, finished down $0.53, or 0.76% to $80 a barrel. In other metals, silver for May delivery closed at $16.91 an ounce, up nearly $0.17, or 1%. Copper for May delivery added $0.02, or 0.6%, to $3.40 a Pound. Palladium rose $2.70, or 0.6%, to $455.30 an ounce. Platinum, however, declined $10.40, or 0.6%, to settle at $1,596 an ounce. In energy stocks, ConocoPhillips said it plans to start its Wilhelmshaven refinery in northern Germany in April, ending a six-month halt, Bloomberg reported, citing a person with knowledge of the plans. ConocoPhillips shares were down 1.34%, or $0.69, to $50.84. Also Friday, DryShips, a Greek owner of deep-water drilling rigs and drybulk ships, is seeking an initial public offering of its rig segment as early as September, Bloomberg reported, citing Chief Operating Officer Pankaj Khanna. DryShips shares were up 1.15%, or $0.07 to $5.73 in late Friday trading. The French gasoline station arm of ExxonMobil, Esso, is considering selling its service stations, according to French daily La Tribune, citing CEO Francois Duseux. ExxonMobil shares were higher, up $0.18, or 0.27%, to $66.48. In other energy futures, heating oil was up 0.04%, or $0.08, to $207.01 a gallon. Natural gas was down 2.56%, or $0.10, to $3.87. In other commodities, orange-juice futures fell for the fifth day, dropping to a five-week low, as higher US retail prices caused demand to sag, Bloomberg reported. Supermarket prices jumped 2.1% to average $5.47 a gallon in the four weeks ended Feb. 20, according to Nielsen data. supplied by the Florida Department of Citrus. The volume of juice sold fell 8.6%. Tropicana, a brand of PepsiCo and Minute Maid, owned by Coca-Cola, have announced price increases after futures surged 90% last year on expectations for a smaller Florida crop. |
| Global Currencies
In for a Penny, in for a Pound ..... |
The Euro rose from a 10-month low against the Dollar a day after European leaders endorsed a Franco-German proposal to assist Greece through a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans. The Australian and Canadian currencies fell amid speculation that rallies versus the US Dollar and the Euro couldn't be sustained. Europe's common currency also strengthened versus all 16 of its major counterparts after European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet blunted criticism of IMF involvement in a Greek rescue. The Euro strengthened 1% to $1.3408 at 4:37 p.m. in New York, from $1.3273 Thursday, after earlier falling to $1.3268, matching the weakest level since May 7. It fell 0.9% for the week and was headed for losses for the month and quarter. The Euro gained 0.8% Friday and 1.3% on the week to 124.10 Yen. The Yen advanced 0.2% to 92.53 per Dollar, from 92.73 Thursday, when it depreciated to an 11-week low of 92.96. Europe's currency advanced for the first time in four days versus the Dollar after Euro-area leaders at a meeting in Brussels put the IMF on standby to help debt-stricken Greece. Trichet told reporters in Brussels late Thursday he was "extraordinarily happy that the governments of the Euro area found out a workable solution." Earlier, the ECB president said an IMF role in the funding of a rescue for Greece would be "very, very bad." Trichet has expressed concern that turning to the Washington-based IMF to help Greece would show Europe can't address its problems. The Canadian and Australian Dollars dropped versus their major counterparts as traders reversed bets the Euro would fall. The Aussie tumbled 1.5% to A$1.4850 per Euro and fell 0.5% to 90.31 US cents. The loonie, as Canada's currency is nicknamed, dropped 0.3% to C$1.0269 per US Dollar, while remaining near the strongest in 20 months versus the greenback. It fell 1.3% to C$1.3771 per Euro. Canada's Dollar and the Mexican peso will strengthen as a recovery in the US economy buoys the other nations in the North American Free Trade agreement, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said. The peso may rally more than the Canadian Dollar, Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a research report. The peso is up 4.8% this year, the best performance against the US Dollar among the 16 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg. Mexico's currency climbed 0.8% this week to 12.4889 per Dollar, from 12.5854 on March 19. The Yen posted a 2.2% weekly drop against the Dollar, the biggest since Dec. 4, after Japan's statistics bureau said consumer prices excluding fresh food slid 1.2% in February from a year earlier. South Africa's Rand firmed against the Dollar on Friday, supported by a higher gold price and a firmer Euro. The Rand was trading at 7.4350 against the Dollar, 0.67% stronger than New York's close of 7.4850. The Rand has recovered from a 3-week low of 7.50 it touched on Thursday after the central bank reduced the repo rate by 50 basis points to 6.5%. And as always, rounding out currencies here in China; the US Dollar depreciated vis-à-vis the Chinese Yuan as the greenback closed at CNY 6.8270 in the over-the-counter market, down from CNY 6.8271. China announced it will launch stock index futures trading from 16 April on the CSI 300 Index. Traders are focusing on a report from the US due on 15 April that may possibly label China as a currency manipulator (oh no, not again!) |
| China
Key news eminating from China this week ..... |
 Pressuring China to revalue its RMB won't succeed or solve the trade gap with the US, Vice Minister of Commerce Zhong Shan said. "The Chinese government will not succumb to foreign pressure to adjust our exchange rate," Zhong told reporters Thursday during a trip to Washington to meet with US officials and lawmakers. "To force the appreciation of the Yuan will be counterproductive." China, which has held the Yuan at about 6.83 per Dollar for the past 20 months to aid exporters, has been criticized by lawmakers who are looking for the Obama administration to take retaliatory action through import tariffs. Representative Sander Levin, a Michigan Democrat and acting chairman of the US House Ways and Means Committee, held a hearing Thursday in which he called China's Yuan policy "bad for the rest of the world" and said the "status quo is not sustainable." Retaliatory tariffs are unacceptable, Zhong said. He told reporters he has discussed the currency matter with US Treasury Department officials. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said China is likely to allow the Yuan to rise eventually, and the US can't compel Asia's second-largest economy to make such a move in exchange- rate policy. "We can't force them to make that change. But it is very important that they let it start to appreciate again," Geithner said, according to the transcript of an interview Thursday with CNN's John King. "I think it is quite likely that they move over time." Zhong earlier in the day asked business leaders at the US Chamber of Commerce to recognize the benefit to the global economy of the "reasonable stability" of Chinese currency policies. Appreciation of the Yuan isn't "a good recipe" for solving US-China trade imbalances, Zhong said. "It's in nobody's interest, China's, the US, or other countries, to see big ups in the Yuan or big downs in the Dollar," Zhong said in his written remarks to the Chamber, the largest lobbying group for US businesses. Public rhetoric among US lawmakers over the Yuan's restrained value has heated up amid job losses and a recession. Senator Charles Schumer, a New York Democrat, said this week he will seek to pass legislation before the end of May that would push China to raise the value of its currency. Last week, 130 US lawmakers sent a letter to Geithner urging him to take tougher measures, including higher import tariffs, to force China to revalue the Yuan. Their action followed Wen's comments on March 14 that the Yuan was not undervalued and said pressure for currency gains can amount to trade "protectionism." Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao met with foreign chief executive officers including Ford Motor Co.'s Alan Mulally and Rio Tinto Plc's Thomas Albanese on March 22 in Beijing to appeal for their help in avoiding a trade and currency war. China would balk at allowing the Yuan to appreciate if the US labels the country a currency manipulator, said Philip Levy, a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington and former trade official in the Bush administration. "The last thing we want to do is force the issue," Levy said in an interview. "It would make it hard for advocates of change in China." Representative Dave Camp of Michigan, the ranking Republican on the Ways and Means Committee, urged Congress to be more cautious, saying that the US should avoid taking steps such as raising tariffs to push China because that could run counter World Trade Organization rules. "Let's not pretend that China's intervention in the currency markets, by itself, is the root cause of our 10% unemployment or of China's 10% annual GDP growth," Camp said at the hearing. Getting the Chinese to allow an increase in the value of the Yuan would be the best job-creation policy for the US, C. Fred Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, told Levin's committee. Levin and other lawmakers didn't propose legislation aimed at raising tariffs on imports from China or forcing the Treasury to label China a currency manipulator. Instead, Bergsten and Harvard University historian Niall Ferguson called for the Treasury to label China and other Asian nations as a currency manipulator in a report due next month. "If we don't label China a currency manipulator, we will look like the wimps of the Western world," Ferguson said. Representative Charles Rangel, a New York Democrat, was among lawmakers who said they doubt that would happen. "It's almost like we are playing good cop, bad cop," Rangel said. "We can almost write the press release" in advance for when the Treasury will pledge once again to work with China to address the issue, he said. Some Chinese executives are siding with the Obama administration instead of Wen. Yang Yuanqing, chief executive officer of Beijing-based computer maker Lenovo Group Ltd., said gains would boost consumers' purchasing power. Qin Xiao, chairman of China Merchants Bank Co., said an end to the Yuan's 20-month peg to the Dollar would let lenders set market-based interest rates. Chen Daifu, chairman of Hunan Lengshuijiang Iron & Steel Group Co., said a stronger currency would cut import costs. Wen said a planned meeting of Chinese and US officials in May would help "address disputes and problems." Relations between the two countries have been strained by the currency dispute, US plans to sell weapons to Taiwan and Obama's meeting last month with the Dalai Lama. ****************************************** Investors reduced their holdings of Chinese equities in January as the country's government stepped up efforts to cool asset bubbles, according to EPFR Global. Global emerging market and Asia excluding Japan equity funds reduced their average holdings of Chinese shares by 0.72% and 1.13%, respectively, EPFR said in a statement received Friday. China's weighting in global and pacific funds also declined during the month, according to the statement. China's stocks are the worst performers in Asia this year after the central bank twice ordered banks to set aside more funds as reserves and officials stepped up curbs on property speculation. The Shanghai Composite Index has dropped 6.7% in 2010, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, tracking mainly Hong Kong-traded Chinese companies, has retreated 5.8%. "China's story continued to sour" for global developing- nation and Asian fund managers as "the country's government tries to engineer an exit strategy that prevents asset bubbles and keeps inflation within reasonable bounds without drastically curtailing growth," EPFR said. China stock funds have posted net outflows in nine of the first 11 weeks of the year even as emerging-market funds continued to draw fresh money, the Cambridge, Massachusetts- based researcher said in a March 18 statement. ****************************************** China appears on track for an "asset boom, bubble and bust" that may take three years to play out and probably won't be thwarted by tighter economic policy, Citigroup Inc. economists said. The process will begin in the residential property market before spreading to commercial real estate and ultimately to stocks, the Citigroup economists led by former Bank of England policy maker Willem Buiter said in a report. It may take as long as two years for the asset bubble to form and at least three years for it to burst, London-based Buiter and Shen Minggao in Hong Kong estimated. Citigroup joins hedge fund manager Jim Chanos, Gloom, Boom & Doom publisher Marc Faber and Harvard University professor Kenneth Rogoff in warning of a potential crash in China. The country has yet to raise interest rates or allow its exchange rate to appreciate, keeping in place some of the extraordinary measures implemented during the financial crisis even as inflation and asset prices accelerate. "What is policy in China doing about the threat of overheating in the financial and real economy?" Buiter and Shen said. "The short answer is: not much, and not enough to prevent the creation of what could become a major asset boom, bubble and bust." Chinese central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said in a March 23 interview that the country's government needs evidence of a "very certain" recovery before it can roll back stimulus policies adopted during the crisis. The country's economic growth quickened to 10.7% last quarter, helped by a 4 trillion Yuan, ($586 billion) two- year stimulus plan for railways, airports and homes. Property prices in 70 cities climbed 10.7% from a year earlier in February. The Shanghai Composite Index of stocks gained 80% last year and is valued at 32 times reported earnings, compared with 52 times at its peak in October 2007 and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index's 19 times. Higher interest rates and an appreciation in the Yuan are necessary to prevent the economy from overheating further, while regulatory steps should be taken to limit the booms and busts in the land, property and stock markets, Citigroup said. China has raised banks' reserve requirements twice this year. The Citigroup economists said they were "quite confident" assets would boom and later go bust in China because that would mirror the experience of other countries where credit conditions had eased against the backdrop of strong fundamentals, frenetic financial innovation and untested economic policy making. "This time is unlikely to be different unless the authorities in China act differently from the authorities in China and elsewhere in the past," Buiter and Shen said. Policy makers probably won't temper investors' exuberance because they don't want to lose political support or hurt the investment growth they view as necessary to ensuring the economy maintains an 8% growth rate and spurs employment, Citigroup said. "Few politicians have been successful running against asset booms and bubbles," the report said. When the asset bubble does break, the impact will be painful for China and its trading partners, Buiter and Shen said. It may still not derail China's economic expansion so long as the nation's leaders seek to make the economy more reliant on domestic demand, they said. ****************************************** China's second-largest mobile operator has announced it will remove Google's search function from new handsets developed with the US company in the first concrete fallout of the clash with Beijing over internet censorship. China Unicom said the Google search function would not be provided on phones using the US company's Android-based operating system. Unicom said the handsets' manufacturers would choose which search engines to use instead. "We are willing to work with any company that abides by Chinese law - we don't have any co-operation with Google currently," said Lu Yimin, Unicom's president. The Chinese government has struggled in recent days to respond to Google's decision to redirect Chinese users of its search function to its uncensored Hong Kong site. Internet users using Google have experienced widely divergent search results in different parts of the country and different times of the day, in part a reflection of splits in the Chinese government over how to react to the US group's move. But Unicom's statement is confirmation that Google's stance against censorship in China could carry a substantial commercial cost, through its exclusion from the fast-growing mobile internet market in the country. According to official Chinese figures, the country has 384m internet users, but 745m mobile subscribers, many of them regular users of the internet on their handsets. Last year, China Unicom and its two competitors started third-generation mobile businesses and have signed up millions on customers to the higher-end services. In January, after announcing its intention to stop censoring its search engine in China, Google delayed the launches of two Android-based mobile handsets that Samsung and Motorola had developed for Unicom. Unicom's website has since started taking pre-orders for the Motorola device. Analysts said China Unicom was likely to take a blow from its decision. "Their distribution of the iPhone is not going very well, and therefore Android was an important part of their strategy," said Charice Wang, an analyst at Ovum, the telecoms research company. China Mobile, the world's largest mobile operator, offers more than a dozen smartphones running on its own platform which is based on Android and which feature Google as one search engine among others. So far, the company has not said whether it will drop Google. ****************************************** Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. Chairman Jiang Jianqing moved to bolster capital after expanding lending by $161 billion last year, almost equivalent to the gross domestic product of the Philippines. ICBC, the world's largest bank by market value, will sell as much as 25 billion Yuan ($3.7 billion) of convertible bonds and will seek shareholder approval to issue stock equivalent of up to 20% of equity capital in Hong Kong, according to a statement Thursday from the Beijing-based company. The fundraising plan comes even after ICBC defended its position as the world's most profitable bank in 2009 and capital stayed above the regulatory minimum. Additional money will serve as a buffer should regulators further tighten capital rules. Citigroup Inc. economists said this week China may be on track for an "asset boom, bubble and bust." The China Banking Regulatory Commission in December ordered the biggest state-owned lenders to maintain capital adequacy ratios, a measure of financial strength, of at least 11%. ICBC's capital adequacy ratio fell to 12.36% at the end of December from 13.06% at the beginning of the year. The bank Thursday posted its fastest profit growth in seven quarters, with net income jumping 58% to 28.6 billion Yuan in the final three months of 2009 from a year earlier. China's publicly traded banks have raised about 150 billion Yuan from bond and share sales since the second half of last year to replenish capital. Lenders including ICBC, Bank of China Ltd., and Bank of Communications Ltd. have announced plans to raise a further 175 billion Yuan, according to Bloomberg data. Shares of ICBC dropped 1.4% Thursday in Hong Kong. The stock has fallen 12% this year, surpassing the 5% decline in the benchmark Hang Seng Index. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., whose 13.18 billion ICBC shares will become freely tradable on April 28, is satisfied with its investment in the Chinese lender and plans to hold most of its shares for the long term, Jiang said Thursday. The chairman capped his decade at the helm of ICBC by advancing a record 1.1 trillion Yuan of loans last year as the government encouraged state-controlled banks to provide credit for stimulus spending. Profit may rise 22% in 2010 as the central bank raises borrowing costs, making lending more profitable, analysts surveyed by Bloomberg predict. The World Bank indicated last week that China should raise interest rates to help contain the risk of a property bubble. The nation's "massive monetary stimulus" risks triggering large asset-price increases, a housing bubble, and bad debts from the funding of local-government projects, it said. "The potentially steep rise in NPLs and other problem loans will be the biggest challenge for the banking sector in the next few years," Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, wrote last week. ICBC's non-performing loan ratio shrank to 1.54% as of Dec. 31, from 2.29% in 2008, according to Thursday's statement. The bank boosted its bad loan coverage ratio to 164.4% by the end of last year, above the 150% regulatory requirement. ICBC has more than 16,000 outlets nationwide and 112 branches outside China, and 190 million individual clients, equivalent to the populations of Russia and Canada combined. |
| Summary
The coming week looks like ..... |
Of course Easter is just ahead as we see next week close out Q1 - so there is bound to be some volatility in the early part of the week as portfolio managers reposition for the last day of the quarter. Next week in Australia sees important releases which will all provide grist to the RBA's rate decision mill. Data on building approvals, private sector credit, retail sales, the trade balance, the AiG manufacturing index and the TD Securities inflation gauge will all be closely watched by the RBA ahead of Tuesday week's rate decision. Tuesday will see RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle address the Australian Mortgage Innovation Forum 2010 in Sydney. Mr Debelle should provide further clarity on the state of the housing sector, and some key insights for homeowners as he discusses the state of the Australian mortgage market. And finally on Tuesday, investors interested in the Asia Pacific mining sector will converge on Hong Kong, for the 2010 annual "Mines and Money Hong Kong" conference. The line-up of speakers will include Mineralogy executive chairman Clive Palmer and executive chairman of Ivanhoe Mines, Robert Friedland. Thursday's manufacturing index is part of the round-the-world roll of equivalent indices from China, the UK, EU and US on Thursday. The latter numbers will be apparent as we sit down to hot-cross buns. The week in the US begins with personal income and consumption data, then followed by the Case-Shiller house price index, Conference Board consumer confidence, the Chicago purchasing managers' index and factory orders. It is also employment week in the US, which means the ADP private sector unemployment measure comes out on Wednesday. As is always the case, the official non-farm payrolls number follows on the Friday which in this case happens to be Good Friday. The only concession to the Christian holiday in the US is the closure of the stock market for the day. Jobs and money are the most important drivers of the US economy, and next week brings crucial readings on both. Monday's report on personal income for February is likely to show a modest advance, according to economists polled by Reuters. Thanks to low inflation, even a slight increase brings greater buying power, so Monday's data is expected to show consumption rising even faster than income. Midweek highlights include Thursday's ISM report on factory activity. Look for more of the same -- moderate growth, powered by export demand. The big number, the March employment report, comes on Friday. Economists are looking for a large gain, perhaps 180,000 jobs added as Census hiring ramps up and companies bounce back from February's snowstorms. But beware the surprise. Preliminary forecasts range from down 40,000 to up 400,000. Automakers report US auto sales for March on Thursday with the focus on expectations that unprecedented incentives will help propel Toyota to a sharp rebound from the prior month, when it was mired in recall trouble. Industrywide, sales are expected to be up year-over-year from March 2009 when the market was reeling from the deep economic downturn and increasing concerns about the strength of US automakers General Motors and Chrysler. Analysts expect March US sales of about 12.5 million vehicles on the annualized basis used by economists, with Edmunds forecasting that Ford Motor Co will retain the top sales spot for a second consecutive month. Ford took the top spot in February for the first time since 1998. The annualized rate of sales was 9.7 million in March 2009 and automakers reported sales in February of about 10.3 million to 10.4 million vehicles on an annualized basis. The pace of recovery in Britain's housing market will be under scrutiny next week following signs that property prices cooled at the start of the year. The number of mortgages approved for house purchase fell in January for the first time since May 2009 and is forecast to have remained broadly unchanged in February. Both consumer credit and mortgage lending are expected to be softer last month than in January. The Nationwide index showed a surprise one% fall in house prices in February, ending a run of nine consecutive monthly increases. Analysts are penciling in a small rise in March although that would still push the annual rate lower. Economists expect no revision to the previous estimate of UK GDP which showed the economy expanded by 0.3% in the final three months of last year after an 18-month recession. Whichever way we look at it though, focus will remain strongly towards Europe and the unwinding saga of Greece, Portugal and of course, Spain and Ireland (the latter of which has avoided close scrutiny to date, but surely that cannot continue much longer?). Europe will carry the headlines next week and with China and the US getting closer towards 15 April and the potential for the US to accuse China outright of currency manipulation, I see the rhetoric here being ramped up next week and with the Western world going into Easter, do not be surprised if China make some comments or take some action whilst the US is unable to respond due to 'holiday mode'. |
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
Market Newsletter Written By
Adrian Page
Managing Director
Financial Page International | |
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