Financial Page International

28 August 2010 - Global Markets Review

Good Morning Ladies and Gentlemen,
 
Oh how a few years change things!
 
It's hard to believe that just 5 years ago (yes, FIVE years only), Dublin in Ireland was being touted as the deputy financial Capital City of Europe; second only to London.
 
But 5 years seemingly is a long, long time in the banking world (just ask Lehman's et al).
 
Raising money just got a whole lot tougher for Ireland's cash-strapped banks.
 
Standard & Poor's this week cut the country's credit rating to AA-, the lowest since 1995, just as 30 billion Euros ($37.9 billion) of government-guaranteed bank debt is due to roll over. Lenders may have to turn to the European Central Bank it seems.
 
The timing is awful in reality. If the banks can't refinance, then they become more reliant on the ECB, which hurts the perception of Ireland, which in turn drives sovereign spreads wider. It becomes a vicious circle.
 
S&P said on Tuesday it may cost as much as 50 billion Euros to recapitalize Irish banks, which almost toppled during the credit crisis and are saddled with bad debt. The cut pushed up the extra yield demanded by investors to hold 10-year Irish government bonds over German to a record. The next test comes Friday when Ireland sells as much as 600 million Euros in bills.
 
The sovereign debt crisis had been put on the back burner for several weeks, but now the market will rediscount the hot spots. The Ireland news was like an aftershock for the Euro bond markets.
 
The cost of insuring against default on Irish bank bonds approached the highest in a year Thursday.
 
Credit-default swaps on the senior debt of state-owned Anglo Irish Bank Corp., which was taken over by the government in 2009, Friday rose to 581, after rising to as high as 584 Wednesday, according to data provider CMA. That means it costs 581,000 Euros annually to insure 10 million Euros of the lender's bonds for five years.
 
Irish banks have about 30 billion Euros of government- guaranteed debt securities to roll over in September, Nomura International Plc said in a report on Aug. 17.
 
The premium investors demand to hold Irish 10-year debt rose partly on the worrisome bank guarantee roll, also known as the funding cliff.
 
The difference in yield between Irish and German 10-year bonds climbed to a record 345 basis points Friday. The spread has widened 78 points since the European Commission approved the injection of more cash into Anglo Irish on Aug. 10.
 
The Irish Financial Index has fallen 54% over the last year.
 
As part of the Euro area, Irish banks can resort to the ECB in Frankfurt. The central bank offers lenders unlimited cash against eligible collateral at the benchmark lending rate of 1% for up to three months.
 
Still, they may not have to raise as much as 30 billion Euros after selling troubled real-estate loans to the National Asset Management Agency, set up by the government to help cleanse the financial system of toxic debt.
 
On the face of it, it may look like Irish banks are facing a wall of maturing debt in September, but NAMA has a twofold impact on bank liquidity.
 
First, lenders including Bank of Ireland Plc and Anglo Irish are selling loans with a nominal value of 81 billion Euros to the agency, meaning they have fewer assets to finance. Second, the banks are receiving government-backed bonds to replace real-estate loans.
 
These 'NAMA Bonds' can be refinanced with the ECB or act as a liquidity buffer but banks are likely to seek to raise 15 billion Euros by the end of the year.
 
While some Irish lenders have sold debt securities in private sales in recent months, no government-guaranteed lender has sold a benchmark bond since April, when Irish Life & Permanent Plc found buyers for 1.25 billion Euros of bonds.
 
Investors this week demanded a record 382 basis points, or 3.82%, of extra yield to hold the 3.125% bonds due 2013 sold by Irish Life & Permanent, according to Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc prices on Bloomberg.
 
It's now two years since the Irish banks were first put on government-sponsored life support. Given that the banks are still struggling to raise funds, I can't see how anyone can see this as anything other than a disappointing outcome.
 
The danger for Ireland is that increasing reliance on ECB may in turn impact on government debt.
 
Central Bank Governor Patrick Honohan said last week that the Anglo Irish bailout may cost about 25 billion Euros. S&P said the figure may be 35 billion Euros.
 
Anglo Irish has proved to be an even larger black hole than anyone imagined and there are major worries around at the moment that the cost of banking recapitalization is now beyond the reach of the government.
 
Now that is a real scary thought!
 
I wanted to avoid mentioning the US this week, but just when I thought I could, I stumbled across a pearl deep in the realms of US economic opinion.
 
Just when I thought it impossible to find a subjective American, my trawls this week came across a very good article that is currently causing much debate in the US Senate and Congress.
 
Social security and its ever-spiralling deficit.
 
"Social Security just celebrated its 75th birthday. Love it or hate it, it has done its job and should retire.
 
We need a new system, the Personal Security System, which retains Social Security's best features, scraps the rest, and covers its costs.
 
Social Security's objective - forcing people to save for retirement - is legit'. Otherwise millions of us would seek handouts in our old age.
 
But Social Security has also played a central role in the massive, six-decade Ponzi scheme known as US fiscal policy, which transfers ever-larger sums from the young to the old.
 
In so doing, Uncle Sam has assured successive young contributors that they would have their turn, in retirement, to get back much more than they put in. But all chain letters end, and the US's is now collapsing.
 
The letter's last purchasers -- Friday's and tomorrow's youngsters -- face enormous increases in taxes and cuts in benefits. This fiscal child abuse, which will turn the American dream into a nightmare, is best summarized by the $202 trillion fiscal gap discussed in my last column.
 
The gap is the present value difference between future federal spending and revenue. Closing this gap via taxes requires doubling every tax we pay, starting now. Such a policy would hurt younger people much more than older ones because wages constitute most of the tax base.
 
What about cutting defense instead? Sadly, there's no room there. The defense budget's 5% share of gross domestic product is historically low and is projected to decline to 3% by 2020. And the $202 trillion figure already incorporates this huge defense cut.
 
Reducing current benefits, most of which go to the elderly, is another option. But such a policy is highly unlikely. The elderly vote and are well-organized, whereas 3-year-olds can neither vote, nor buy Congressmen.
 
In contrast, cutting future benefits is politically feasible because it hits the young. And that's where Congress is heading, starting with Social Security. The president's fiscal commission will probably recommend raising Social Security's full retirement age to 70 from 67, for those who are now younger than 45. This won't change the ages at which future retirees can start collecting benefits. It will simply cut by one-fifth what they get.
 
Some political economists point to Social Security's 2010 Trustees Report and say, "Leave it alone. The system won't run short of cash until 2037."
 
Unfortunately, the Trustees' cash-flow accounting, like all such accounting, is arbitrary and misleading. In fact, Social Security is broke. Its fiscal gap, which the Trustees measure correctly, is $16 trillion.
 
This gap is small compared with the US's overall $202 trillion shortfall, not because the Trustees treat Social Security's $2.5 trillion trust fund as an asset (a questionable choice), but because they credit one-third of federal revenue to the program.
 
But Dollars are Dollars. If we re-label Social Security "payroll" taxes as "general revenue wage taxes," Social Security's fiscal gap increases by $60 trillion, and the fiscal gap of all other government activities falls by $60 trillion, leaving the overall $202 trillion gap unchanged.
 
Even by the Trustees' measure, there's a massive problem. Coming up with $16 trillion requires permanently raising revenue or cutting benefits by 26%, starting now. In other words, the program is 26% underfunded. 
 
Now cutting benefits of new retirees by 20%, with an increase in the so-called full retirement age, starting 20 or so years from now isn't the same as immediately cutting the benefits of all retirees by 26%. Hence, the fiscal commissioners will need to hit young people with an even bigger whammy if they really want to solve Social Security's long-term woes.
 
Most likely, Washington will simply raise the retirement age and kick the can further down the road. This is what the Greenspan Commission did in 1983, knowing full well that by 2010 the system would be in even worse shape.
 
I say, retire Social Security and replace it with a version that works. Do this by freezing the current system, paying Friday's retirees their benefits, while paying workers only what they have accrued so far once they retire.
 
Next, have all workers contribute 8% of their pay to the new system, with half going to a personal account and half to an account of a spouse or legal partner. The federal government would make matching contributions for the poor, the disabled and the unemployed, permitting the system to be as progressive as desired.
 
All contributions would be invested in a global, market- weighted index of stocks, bonds, and real estate. The government would do the investing at very low cost and guarantee that contributors' account balances at retirement would equal at least what was contributed, adjusted for inflation.
 
Between ages 57 and 67, each worker's balances would gradually be swapped for inflation-indexed annuities sold by the government. Those dying before 67 would bequeath their account balances to their heirs.
 
While this plan has private accounts, Wall Street plays no role and makes no money. Additional contributions would be used to fund life- and disability-insurance pools.
 
Our nation is in terribly hot water. Business as usual is no answer. The only way to move ahead is to radically reform our retirement, tax, health-care and financial institutions to achieve much more for a lot less.
 
The Personal Security System is a major step in that direction. It meets all the legitimate goals of Social Security without the system's waste and penchant for robbing the young."
 
Very true to the point I feel and certainly not in keeping with what CNBC and Bloomberg television have been 'spouting' of late.
 
But this week China has also come into focus, albeit the crosshairs of CNBC and Bloomberg once again - that in its own right is usually a sign that the US is in trouble and deflecting attention away from them serves a short-term diversionary purpose.
 
China's crime? High increases in food and coffee prices in Eastern seaboard cities.
 
Who are the complainants?  Migrant Chinese coming into those major cities.
 
Who has taken umbrage and taken up this issue with a passion? CNBC and Bloomberg. Go figure!
 
On to the numbers on the boards for the week that was:
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....

 US SummaryUS stocks rose, paring the market's third straight weekly loss, as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke vowed to safeguard the recovery and growth in gross domestic product slowed less than estimated.
 
Alcoa and Exxon Mobil helped lead materials and energy producers to the top gains among 10 groups after Bernanke said the central bank will do "all that it can" to foster growth. Boeing Co., the world's largest aerospace company, advanced 3%. 3Par Inc. jumped 25% after Hewlett- Packard Co. offered $30 a share for the company, topping Dell Inc's $27-a-share proposal.
 
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index gained 1.7% to 1,064.59 as of 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 164.84 points, or 1.7%, to 10,150.65. It ended the week down 0.6%.
 
The S&P 500 lost 0.7% this week after lower-than- forecast US durable-goods orders and home sales cast further doubt on strength of the world's largest economy. The gauge has tumbled 13% from this year's high in April.
 
Benchmark indexes rebounded from seven-week lows Friday after the government said the US economy grew at a 1.6% annual rate in the second quarter, topping the average economist estimate of 1.4%.
 
The S&P 500 briefly erased gains as a gauge of consumer confidence trailed estimates, Bernanke started speaking in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, and Intel Corp. cut its sales forecast at the same time, 10 a.m. in New York. The Thomson Reuters/ University of Michigan final index of US consumer sentiment for August rose to 68.9, lower than the median economist forecast of 69.6, from an eight-month low of 67.8 in July.
 
Stocks then rebounded, with energy companies rallying 2.8% for the second-biggest gain among 10 industries in the S&P 500. Bernanke said the US central bank "will do all that it can" to ensure a continuation of the economic recovery, and outlined steps it might take if the growth slows.
 
Exxon Mobil, the largest US oil company, rose 2.3% to $59.80 and Chevron Corp., the second-largest, increased 2.2% to $74.93. Consol Energy Inc., a coal and Appalachia natural-gas producer, advanced 5% to $32.78.
 
DuPont, the third-biggest US chemical maker, gained 3.9% to $41.01. Alcoa, the largest US aluminum producer, rose 3.1% to $10.32. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world's largest publicly traded copper miner, increased 6.1% to $71.20 as materials producers climbed 2.9% for the biggest gain among 10 industries in the S&P 500.
 
Industrial companies climbed 2.1% as a group, led by Boeing, which rose 3% to $63.16. General Electric Co. advanced 1.5% to $14.71.
 
Intel said third-quarter revenue will be $11 billion, "plus or minus $200 million," below the previous expectation of between $11.2 billion and $12 billion. Trading in the shares was briefly halted after they triggered an exchange circuit breaker meant to prevent excessive volatility. The stock closed up 1.1% to $18.37.
 
SanDisk Corp., the biggest maker of flash-memory cards, slipped 4.4% to $34.19 for the biggest decline in the S&P 500.
 
3Par surged 25% to $32.46. HP boosted its offer for the company to $30 a share after 3Par said it would accept Dell's increased offer of $27 per share, which matched a prior offer from HP. The public bidding kicked off on Aug. 16, when Dell said it would pay $1.15 billion, or $18 a share.
 
Netezza Corp. soared 33% to $19.87. The maker of data-storage appliances increased its full-year sales forecast after second-quarter earnings beat analysts' estimates.
 
J. Crew Group Inc. declined 7.2% to $31.04. The US clothing retailer reduced its forecast, saying it expects earnings of $2.35 a share at most in the current fiscal year. The company had projected profit of as much as $2.45.
 
Investors withdrew a net $7.1 billion from equity funds tracked worldwide in the week to 25 August and put some $5.2 billion into bonds amid concern economies in the US and Europe are losing momentum, EPFR Global said. Speculation that the global rebound will falter is driving investors to the relative safety of bonds, sending yields on two-year Treasury bonds and German 30-year government securities to record lows this week.
 
Tiffany & Co. fell the second-most in the S&P 500, dropping 3.2% to $40.71. The world's second-largest luxury jewelry retailer reported second-quarter sales of $668.8 million, missing the average analyst estimate by 3.2%.

European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....

 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks rose for a second day, paring the Stoxx Europe 600 Index's third straight weekly drop, as stronger-than-forecast US economic growth eased concern the world's biggest economy will return to recession.
 
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA surged 5% after the Italian lender more than tripled net income. Royal Vopak NV gained 7.3% after the world's largest chemical- and oil- storage company raised its profit outlook. Carrefour SA, the world's second-biggest retailer, climbed 3.3% as Citigroup Inc. recommended the shares.
 
The Stoxx 600 advanced 0.6% to 251.24 at the 4:30 p.m. close in London, erasing an earlier drop of 0.9%. 
 
GERMANY
 
German stocks rose, with the benchmark DAX Index trimming its weekly decline, after a report showed that the US economy grew more than estimated in the second quarter.
 
Deutsche Telekom AG rose 2.3% and Drillisch AG climbed 5.2% as telecommunication shares surged across Europe, posting the best performance among 19 industry groups in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. Salzgitter AG, Germany's second- largest steelmaker, rose 1.6%, following metal prices higher. SMA Solar Technology AG gained 3% after refuting speculation that it was the target of a takeover bid by First Solar Inc. of the US Infineon Technologies AG, Europe's second-largest chipmaker, declined 1% as Intel Corp. cut its third-quarter revenue and gross margin forecasts.
 
The DAX Index surged 0.7% to 5,951.17 at the close in Frankfurt, trimming its weekly decline to 0.9%. The gauge has retreated 6.3% from this year's high on 9 August as the Fed said the pace of recovery in the US economy will probably be "more modest" than forecast. The decline has pushed the DAX to its cheapest valuation relative to companies' reported earnings since 2008. The broader HDAX Index also gained 0.7%.
 
Deutsche Telekom AG rose 2.3% to 10.41 Euros as European telecommunications shares surged 2.2%. Drillisch AG, the operator of mobile networks for T-Mobile, Vodafone-D2 and E-Plus, gained 5.2% to 5.10 Euros, the stock's biggest gain since July 13.
 
Salzgitter AG rose 1.6% to 47.78 Euros, extending Thursday's 0.6% advance. Copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc climbed on the London Metal Exchange.
 
SMA Solar Technology AG, the maker of solar power equipment, climbed 3% to 82.34 Euros. "Rumors about a First Solar takeover are baseless," Anna Raudszus, a spokeswoman for investor relations at SMA Solar, said Friday by telephone. First Solar spokesman Sebastian Fasbender in Berlin declined to comment.
 
Commerzbank fell 2% to 6.27 Euros after Handelsblatt reported that Germany's second biggest bank plans to sell new shares as early as autumn this year. Commerzbank may sell 5 billion Euros ($6.38 billion) or more if the stock market can absorb it so that the German government can exit the Frankfurt- based lender more quickly.
 
Infineon dropped 1% to 4.61 Euros. Intel now expects third-quarter revenue to be $11 billion, "plus or minus $200 million," compared with its previous forecast of $11.2 billion to $12 billion.
 
Intel said its forecast third-quarter gross margin is now 66%, "plus or minus a point", lower than the previous forecast of 67%, "plus or minus a couple of points."
 
German households are increasingly optimistic about the economy, a survey found, adding to existing signs that the biggest Eurozone economy is firmly on the recovery track.
 
The forward-looking consumer confidence index rose to 4.1 points in September from a revised 4 points in August, a monthly survey from GfK Group showed Thursday. Economists had expected the index to show a reading of 4 points. The substantial rise in German gross domestic product in the second quarter, falling unemployment and the decrease in the use of reduced working hours were cited as the sentiment boosting factors.
 
Reflecting brightening consumer optimism, moderate inflation rate and the continuing improvement on the Labour market, households' income expectations increased further. After logging 29.1 points in July, the indicator rose to 36 points in August.
 
Further, a measure for households' propensity to buy remained at 27.9 points in August. GfK said the stable high level of propensity to buy seems to be a good sign of sustained positive consumer sentiment after the special business cycle of the football World Cup is over. At the same time, the firm noted that uncertainties with regard to planned austerity measures and the expiration of stimulus programs are evidently preventing a more substantial upward trend in the propensity to buy.
 
"Consumers clearly do not believe the recovery of the German economy to be a flash in the pan, but rather expect it to continue," GfK said. German businesses also share the consumers' optimism. In August, the Ifo business climate index rose again.
 
In the second quarter, the German economy expanded at its fastest pace since reunification. Gross domestic product grew 2.2% sequentially following a revised 0.5% increase in the first three months of the year. Given the strong second quarter GDP figure, Deutsche Bundesbank raised its 2010 growth outlook to 3% from 1.9% projected earlier. 
 
FRANCE
 
France's CAC 40 Index gained 0.9% to 3,507.44 at the 5:30 p.m. close of trading in Paris, paring this week's drop to 0.5%, the gauge's third straight week of losses. The SBF 120 Index also climbed 0.9% Friday.
 
Carrefour, the world's second-biggest retailer, climbed 3.3% to 35.72 Euros for the second-largest gain in the CAC 40 after Citigroup Inc. raised its recommendation to "buy" from "hold" and lifted its price estimate 5% to 40 Euros. The bank praised the group for introducing its Carrefour Planet format, which attempts to "capture the consumer's imagination" by "outsourcing a large portion of the non-food offer."
 
European Aeronautic, Defence & Space, the parent company of Airbus, declined 3.2% to 17.39 Euros, for the second-biggest drop on the CAC 40. Les Echos reported that Airbus has slashed its A350 airplane production targets, citing estimates given to sub-contractors. The world's biggest commercial-aircraft maker now plans to make 10 A350s in 2013, compared with a previous target of 18, the newspaper said.
 
Etam Developpement surged 3.9% to 34 Euros after the women's clothing designer and retailer said first-half net income rose to 7.2 million Euros ($9.2 million) from 2.2 million Euros a year earlier.
 
Scor rose 4% to 16.94 Euros. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its recommendation on France's largest reinsurer to "overweight" from "neutral," saying the shares are trading at a 34% discount to its estimated book value for 2010.
 
France' private sector expansion slowed in August from June led by slower growth in the service sector, figures showed on Monday.
 
The Markit France composite purchasing managers' index fell to 59.0 from 59.7 in July. This marks a five-month low in the indicator.
 
This was mainly due to a fall in the services PMI, which dropped to 59.9 from 61.1, a four-month low. On the other hand, the manufacturing PMI climbed to 54.7 from 53.9, a two-month high.
 
The manufacturing output index rose to 57.1 from 56.7 in July, a three-month high. 
 
BELGIUM
 
The Bel 20 in Brussels ended the week at 2,467.55, a Friday gain of 0.86%.
 
Prices of houses and apartments rose by about 5% in the first half of 2010, according to new figures from the Belgian economic ministry (SPF Economie). Residential land prices rose by 14%.
 
From January to June, a house defined as "ordinary" sold for an average price of 177,775€, versus 169,310€ at the end of the same period in 2009, a rise of 4.99%. Prices of larger houses ("villas") rose by 5.4% and now cost an average of 314,852€. The average price of an apartment rose 5.5% to 184,598€.
 
In the same period, land for building residential property rose to 103.6€ per square metre, a 14.4% increase. 
 
SPF Economie's report shows that trends are "roughly similar" in Wallonia and Flanders. For an "ordinary" house, the average price rose 3.4% in Wallonia (to 135,774€) and 4.1% in Flanders (to 188,630€).
 
In Wallonia, Hainaut province is the least expensive with an average price of 117,856€ for an "ordinary" dwelling; Brabant Wallon is the most expensive with an average price of 213,097 Euros. Lasne is the most expensive commune, with an average price of 350,846€.
 
According to SPF's website, the numbers reflect the prices of properties that were sold (as opposed to the prices offered by sellers).
 
Business confidence in Belgium increased for a second month in August amid a rebound in the economy .
 
The indicator of business confidence rose to minus 5.1 in August from minus 6.5 in July, the National Bank of Belgium said Tuesday. The reading was much better than economists' forecast for minus 6.
 
Sentiment increased in each of the four business sectors surveyed, with the sharpest improvement logged in the building industry. The rise in confidence was largely driven by a more favorable view of orders, the central bank said. The confidence indicator for the building industry rose to minus 3.2 from minus 5.6.
 
Confidence in the manufacturing sector grew due to brighter prospects for employment and appraisal of order books. The corresponding indicator rose to minus 8.1 from minus 9.5.
 
Underpinned by the improved outlook for demand, the sentiment in the business-related services sector grew for the first time after a fall over four consecutive months. The relevant index rose to 4.1 from 3.1. The confidence index for trade climbed to 1.1 from 0.8.
 
The smoothed overall synthetic curve that mirrors the underlying trend in the economy showed a decline for the second month in a row, the bank said.
 
The Belgian economy grew 0.7% sequentially in the second quarter, following stagnation in the previous quarter. Last week, data released by the central bank showed that consumer confidence improved for the third consecutive month after a significant decline observed in May. 
 
THE NETHERLANDS
 
In Amsterdam the AEX headed into the weekend on 317.04, up 0.90% for the day.
 
State-owned bank ABN Amro posted a loss of almost €1bn in the second quarter of this year, due partly to the cost of the merger with Fortis.
 
Both banks were taken over by the state in 2008.
 
The sale of parts of its operations on EU orders also hit earnings, the bank said in a statement.
 
Excluding one-offs, ABN Amro booked net profit of €325m, up 57% on a year ago.
 
'This underlying performance was driven by an increase in revenues, predominantly as a result of growth of the loan portfolio and improved margins on savings products, as market conditions improved,' CEO Gerrit Zalm said in the statement.
 
'However, we remain cautious and expect the level of loan impairments in the remainder of the year to be somewhat higher than the low levels seen in the first six months,' he said.
 
Supermarket group Ahold booked sales of €7.1bn in the second quarter of 2010, an increase of 10.8% on the same period a year ago.
 
Excluding currency effects, the growth in sales was 4.4%
 
Operating profit was up 17.6% at €347m while net profit rose 3.1% to €202m.
 
"We continued to grow sales, volumes and market share in the Netherlands and the United States while delivering solid financial results,' CEO John Rishton said in a statement.
 
However, 'market conditions remained challenging with high levels of competitive promotional activity,' he said.
 
In the US, net sales were up 5.5% to $5.5bn, due largely to acquisitions. In the Netherlands, net sales rose 4.4% to €2.3bn.
 
Dutch producer confidence index increased in August from the previous month, a report by the Central Bureau of Statistics showed on Thursday.
 
The producer confidence index was 0.4 in August, up from minus 2.4 in the previous month. The latest increase came after two consecutive months of decline. A year earlier, the confidence indicator was minus 9.2.
 
Among the major three sub indicators, sentiment regarding the stocks of industrial companies improved in August compared to the previous month, while there were more entreprenEurs having a positive opinion about the order position. Production expectations increase and producers were less pessimistic about future employment trends in their industry. 
 
SWITZERLAND
 
Zurich's SMI drew a line under the trading week at 6,183.14, a Friday gain of 0.84%.
 
Switzerland's employment showed a slight increase in the second quarter as the decline in the industrial sector moderated and the tertiary sector continued to add more jobs, the Federal Statistical Office said Thursday.
 
The number of jobs rose 0.6% annually in the second quarter to 3.968 million. Economists had expected a 0.8% annual growth in payrolls and the expected level of employment was 3.975 million. In the first quarter, the employment level was 3.961 million, up 0.1%. The statistical office said all short-term employment indicators showed a positive trend for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2007.
 
The renewed optimism was most strongly felt in the secondary sector, where the decline was less pronounced. Employment in the sector dropped 0.6% to 1.031 million. At the same time, employment in the tertiary sector continued to grow, with a 1% rise in the second quarter. Meanwhile, the level was 2.937 million.
 
Total number of employed in the second quarter was 4.54 million, an increase of 0.5% from a year ago. There were 2.48 million employed men and 2.06 million employed women. Swiss citizens with job fell 0.1% annually to 3.27 million, while the number of foreigners working in the country increased 2.1% to 1.27 million.
 
The Swiss Labour market situation is expected to improve further. Earlier in the month, monthly data released by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs, or SECO, showed that the seasonally adjusted number of unemployed fell to 149,864 in July from 153,817 in June. The agency expects employment to increase 0.4% this year and 0.6% next year. Moreover, investors and consumers are upbeat about the economy.
 
The Swiss economy expanded 0.4% sequentially in the first quarter following 0.8% growth in the final quarter of 2009. The SECO is due to release second quarter national accounts on September 2. It foresees Switzerland's economic growth to moderate to 1.6% in 2011 from an estimated 1.8% in 2010.
 
Switzerland's M3 money supply, the broadest measure of money supply in the country, climbed 6.5% year-on-year in July, slower than the 7.4% increase in the previous month, the Swiss National Bank said on Monday.
 
At the same time, M2 money supply slowed to 9.4% from 11.1%, while M1 money supply slowed to 9.7% from 12.3%.
 
The Swiss tax authorities say they have met Thursday's deadline for examining the cases of about 4,450 United States clients of the UBS bank, suspected of tax offences.
 
The State Secretariat for International Financial Matters (SIF), issued a statement saying that the Federal Tax Administration (FTA) had "issued the corresponding conclusive decrees" on the cases, as it was obliged to do by an agreement signed last August between Switzerland and the US.
 
Client data in about half the cases has already been supplied to the US, and delivery will "be largely concluded by autumn 2010", the statement added.
 
The Swiss Federal Tax Administration had about 40 experts processing the data of alleged tax evaders, Mario Tuor, a spokesman for the SIF told swissinfo.ch earlier.
 
Michael Ambühl, the state secretary for International Financial and Tax Matters, said last week he believed Swiss banks should not run into further trouble with the US taxman.
 
Switzerland and UBS have signed an accord to disclose details of the US accounts at UBS thereby settling a long dispute.
 
However, the UBS clients had the possibility of going to court to fight the handover of their data.
 
By the end of July there were around 300 cases which were either still being heard by the courts or where it had been decided, after examination of the data, that the information should not be passed on, Tuor said.
 
At the moment 57 appeals from US clients are still pending at the Federal Administrative Court. A court decision in the middle of July, rejecting one client's appeal not to have her data handed over, is likely to apply to 40 of these remaining cases.
 
Court spokesman Andrea Arcidiacono confirmed media reports that 120 appeals had been submitted between May and August.
 
AUSTRIA
 
The ATX in Vienna rounded out the Friday session and the week at 2,413.73, up 0.61%.
 
BAWAG, the Austrian bank owned by Cerberus Capital, said profit would decline in the second half as funding costs rise and credit demand falls, but it would post its first profit since 2006.
 
BAWAG said on Wednesday it raised net profit by seven times in the first half to 97 million Euros ($123 million), mainly thanks to lower bad debt charges and higher revenue as well as lower structured credit writedowns compared to last year.
 
BAWAG is planning to sell its 10% stake in Hungarian bank MKB, which is controlled by Germany's BayernLB, but Chief Executive Byron Haynes said he would wait until the market was more favourable for such an asset sale.
 
Austria's production index rose a working day-adjusted 5.7% annually in June, Statistics Austria said Tuesday. Month-on-month, the index fell a seasonally adjusted 0.6%.
 
During the month, industrial output was 9.1% higher than last year. Meanwhile, construction output fell 6.3% annually. In June, production of input materials recorded a robust growth of 13.4%. At the same time, energy production climbed 7.8% year-on-year.

 
Production of capital goods industries increased 6.5% and that of durable consumer goods rose 1.7%. Output of non-durable consumer goods grew 3.7% annually in June.
 
Compared to May, industrial output declined 0.5% after adjusting for seasonal variations. Month-on-month, production in construction declined 0.8%. Output in durable consumer goods industries dropped 2.6% from previous month.
 
Production of capital, intermediate and non-durable goods as well as energy output also declined on a monthly basis.
 
Earlier, data from the Austrian Institute of Economic Research, or Wifo, showed that the economy expanded 1.9% year-on-year in the second quarter, after a stagnation in the first quarter.
 
Sequentially, the economy grew a seasonally and calender adjusted 0.9%.The growth was mainly driven by buoyant external demand.
 
Austria's visitor arrivals increased in the May to July period compared to the previous year, a report by the Statistics Austria showed on Wednesday.
 
The number of visitors arrived in Austria increased a record high of 5.3% in the May to July period compared to the same period of the previous year. During the period, visitor arrivals totaled 8.79 million. Meanwhile, the number of overnight stays increased 1.4% annually to 29.78 million.
 
For the January to July period, the total number of overnight stays increased 0.6% compared to the same period of the previous year. Overnight stays totaled 78.77 million during the period. 
 
SWEDEN
 
Stockholm's OMX 30 ended the Friday session on 1,018.89, that was up 1.27% for the day.
 
Venture capital company Cevian Capital, led by Christer Gardell, and American billionaire Carl Icahn have together bought 4.64% of the shares in Swedbank, according to a disclosure notice on Monday.
 
Gardell also seeks a seat on the bank's election committee.
 
Through Cevian Capital Fund II, Cevian controls 3.58% of Swedbank's shares, while Icahn directs another 1.06%.
 
Through his stake, Gardell is eligible for a position on Swedbank's nomination committee, which votes on candidates for the organisation's board.
 
However, Gardell declined to comment on whether he sees a need to reshuffle the board.
 
"I do not want to comment on this matter," he said.
 
Cevian's investment in Swedbank is long-term, according to Gardell.
 
Sweden's centre-right government on Thursday reportedly outlined reforms that will be executed if it wins the election next month. The election will be held on September 19.
 
The proposed reforms worth around SEK 32.8 billion will be implemented between 2011 and 2014, the government said in its manifesto ahead of the election. The government also plans to reduce the stakes in Nordea Bank and the telecom operator TeliaSonera.
 
The number employed persons in Sweden aged 15-74 totaled 4,744,000 in July, up 98,000 from the prior year, Statistics Sweden said Thursday. The number of temporarily employed persons rose by 73,000.
 
The number of unemployed persons in July came in at 415,000. This is no statistically significant change compared to the same month in 2009, the statistical office said.
 
The unemployment rate came in at 8% in July. The expected rate was 7.9%. Among men, the jobless rate equaled 8% and among women 8.1%. These are no statistically significant changes compared to July 2009, the report said.
 
Swedish consumer confidence improved more than expected in August, the National Institute of Economic Research, or NIER, said Wednesday. The corresponding index rose to 25.2 from 23.3 in July.
 
Economists were looking for a reading of 23. Compared to July, interest rate expectations two years ahead remained unchanged at 4.2%. However, their optimism regarding the Swedish economy increased since last month.
 
Meanwhile, the economic tendency indicator remained unchanged at 109.9 in August, signaling considerably stronger than normal sentiment among businesses and consumers. Economists had forecast a reading of 112 for the index.
 
The confidence indicator for the manufacturing industry rose three points between July and August after declining seven points in the previous month. 
 
DENMARK
 
Copenhagen's OMX closed out the Friday trading session on 393.45, a Friday jump of 0.20%.
 
A study of 56 financial institutions in the Danish kingdom has found that 27 have failed to live up to at least one of the five 'threshold limit' categories developed by the Financial Supervisory Authority to determine the risk of a bank's operations to customers, according to a new study.
 
The study of Danish, Faroese and Greenlandic financial institutions was carried out by financial newsletter Bankinfo and analyst Bjarne Jensen of BJ Consult. The analysis was based on figures from the bank's 2009 financial statements.
 
The FSA's five categories for banks are: the sum of large loans (under 100% of base capital); loan growth (less than 20% annually); real estate risk (less than 25% of total loans); stable funding (loans exceeding 1.25 times the deposit); and liquidity coverage (greater than 50%).
 
According to the FSA, financial institutions will need to comply in all five areas by the end of 2010 or be subject to punitive action from the authority.
 
Four of the banks - Amagerbanken, Eik Bank, Max Bank and Århus Lokalbank - failed to meet three of the category requirements. Six others - FIH, Grønlandsbanken, Middelfart Sparekasse, Morsø Bank, Sparekassen Hvelbo and Østjydsk Bank - fell short in two categories.
 
The 17 banks that violated one category are: Alm. Brand, BankNordik, Danske Bank, Den Jyske Sparekasse, Morsø Sparekasse, Nordea Bank, Nykredit Bank, Skjern Bank, Skælskør Bank, Sparekassen Faaborg, Sparekassen Lolland, Sparekassen Østjylland,  Svendborg Sparekasse, Sydbank, Totalbanken, Tønder Bank and Vestjysk Bank.
 
The OMX in Stockholm completed a hectic trading week on
 
Christian Clausen, the CEO of Nordic banking group Nordea has spoken out against state bail outs of troubled banks, arguing that they should be allowed to fold.
 
Speaking in an interview with Danish magazine Lederne, Clausen divides responsibility for the fall out from the finance crisis with politicians, the banks themselves, and their customers.
 
"The bad banks should be allowed to go bankrupt, and customers should have been affected. This has just not been politically acceptable, as it would have affected the customers," Clausen said to the magazine.
 
But Clausen said that the consequences would be the same as for customers of businesses in other sectors, such as airlines or construction firms, which would not be saved by the state.
 
"The discipline required in choosing a bank you have faith in has been removed due to the principle of being 'too big to fail'," adding that he hoped that international regulation would continue in the direction of allowing troubled banks to fail.
 
Clausen said that while Nordea was not responsible for the crisis, it would do its bit to ensure that there would be no repeat.
 
Danish jobless rate dropped in July from the previous month, a report by the Statistics Denmark showed on Thursday.
 
The seasonally adjusted jobless rate dropped to 4.1% in July from 4.2% in the previous month. The jobless rate was 4.1% in May. The unemployment rate for men and women was 4.7% and 3.5%, respectively.
 
The number of unemployed persons totaled 112,800 in July, smaller than 113,600 persons in the previous month.
 
On an unadjusted basis, the jobless rate rose to 3.6% in July from 3.3% recorded a year ago. The number of unemployed persons increased to 97,900 from 89,400 in the previous year.
 
Danish economy expanded at a faster pace in the first quarter. The gross domestic product increased to 0.5% sequentially from 0.2% growth in the fourth quarter of 2009. The annual consumer price inflation rose to 2.3% in July from 1.7% in the previous month.
 
Statistics Denmark said on Monday that the country's consumer confidence index increased to 4.4 in August from 4.1 in July.
 
Consumer assessment of the household financial situation in the past 12 months fell to 1.8 in August from 2.5 in July, while views on the household financial situation over the next 12 months eased to 11.8 from 15.5.
 
Danes rate the general economic situation in the last 12 months better, with the sub-index rising to -2.9 from -9.7. Perception of the economic situation in the next year, meanwhile, was slightly less optimistic, with the index falling to 16.5 from 17.9.
 
The indicator assessing consumers' willingness to spend money on major purchases rose to -5.3 from -5.9.
 
Danish based cleaning firm ISS has become the fourth largest company in the world measured in the number of employees, reports public broadcaster DR.
 
The firm has a total of 525,000 employees across 51 countries and thereby moves into the big league, fourth after giants Tesco, Wall Mart and Group Four Securicor, and ahead of multinationals like Siemens and McDonald's.
 
Established in 1901, ISS is now owned by EQT Partners and Goldman Sachs Capital and is headquartered in Copenhagen.
 
FINLAND
 
In Helsinki the OMX finished the week at 6,498.29, up 0.19%.
 
Finland's unemployment rate remained unchanged at a seasonally adjusted 8.3% in July compared to the previous month, Statistics Finland said Tuesday.
 
Prior to July, the rate was declining steadily since January.
 
On a seasonally adjusted basis, the number of unemployed was 226,000, slightly up from the 225,000 in June.
 
According to the statistical office, 2.45 million Finns were employed in the country during July.
 
However, on an unadjusted basis, the jobless rate fell to 7.5% in July from 8.8% in June and the number of unemployed was 206,000. A year earlier, the rate was 7.7% and the trend of the unemployment rate was 8.3%.
 
The number of employed persons increased by 27,000 from last year. The employment rate was 70.6%, 0.3 percentage points higher than a year earlier.
 
The Labour force population increased 0.8% over last year in July and the number of the unemployed decreased 2.2% annually. The Labour force participation rate was 67.9% in July. According to estimates of Ministry of Employment and Economy, the number of unemployed job seekers registered at the various employment offices was 289,000 at the end of July, which was 1,000 less than the July 2009 numbers.
 
At the end of July, the number of persons covered by Labour market policy measures totaled 74,000, which was 6,000 higher than that in July of the previous year. Altogether, 2.7% of the Labour force was covered by Labour market policy measures.
 
Last week, the Finnish government, in its 2011 budget proposal, projected an unemployment rate of 8.6% for this year, which is expected to edge down to 8.2% in 2011.
 
The government expects the economy to grow 2% this year and the growth rate to be close to 3% in 2011 due to a pick-up in investment. The Finance Ministry pointed to the fragile global growth and slow growth of employment as the major risks to the current forecasts.
 
The nominal earnings of wage and salary earners in Finland rose between April and June compared to a year ago, figures showed on Friday.
 
Statistics Finland said wage earnings increased 2.7%. When adjusted for changes in consumer prices, the earnings rose 1.8% compared to a year ago.
 
Wage earnings rose in the local government sector by 3.9%, in the central government sector by 3.2%, and in the private sector by 2.3%.
 
NORWAY
 
Oslo's OBX pulled the curtains on the trading session Friday at 320.41, up 0.92%.
 
As expected, the Executive Board of the Norwegian Central Bank (Norges Bank) on Wednesday decided to keep the key policy rate unchanged at 2%.
 
"Recent developments in the Norwegian economy have been broadly in line with expectations.  Activity is rising moderately.  Inflation has slowed and is now below 2%," says Norges Bank Governor Svein Gjedrem.
 
The bank stated that global economic growth has been slightly stronger than expected, but the level of activity is still low in advanced economies. Turbulence related to public finances in several European countries has receded, but the outlook for the US economy is somewhat more uncertain.
 
"Considerations relating to both inflation and stable developments in output and employment imply that the interest rate should be kept low. The consideration of guarding against the risk of future financial imbalances that may disturb activity and inflation somewhat further ahead suggests that the interest rate should be gradually brought closer to a more normal level," Gjedrem says.
 
The Government Pension Fund Global - also known as the National Oil Fund - reports a 5.4% (NOK 155 billion) negative return in the second quarter, caused by a decline in global equity markets.
 
"The biggest stock market drop was in Europe, where the fund has about half its equity investments," says Yngve Slyngstad, Chief Executive Officer of Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM). "The decline was largely driven by concern over high sovereign debt in some European countries, funding challenges for banks and fears of a new economic slowdown."
 
The fund's investments consisted of 59.6% equities and 40.4% fixed-income securities at the end of the quarter. These had a second-quarter return of -9.2% and 1%, respectively, measured in international currency. The fund's return was in line with the return on its benchmark portfolio.
 
The market value of the fund rose 29 billion kroner to 2,792 billion kroner. A decline in the krone exchange rate added 149 billion kroner to the market value, which was also increased by 35 billion kroner in capital inflows from the government. This was partially offset by the negative quarterly return of 155 billion kroner.
 
The single worst-performing investment was in oil producer BP. The company's oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico in April was the largest in US history and BP's share price halved in the second quarter. However, this has led the Pension Fund to purchase more BP shares.
 
The fiscal account of the Norwegian central government showed an increase in both revenue and expenditure in the second quarter of 2010.
 
Revenue grew 1.3% in the second quarter from the previous year and expenditure by 2.3%, Statistics Norway said Thursday. The surplus was approximately unchanged at NOK 121 billion.
 
Total revenue in the second quarter came in at NOK 352 billion, up NOK 4.4 billion compared to the same period last year. About half of this increase was due to improved operating surplus in extraction of petroleum.
 
At the same time, total expenditure rose by NOK 5.2 billion to NOK 231 billion. The increase in expenditure was due to a rise in transfers to municipalities and county municipalities and transfers to other state accounts.
 
The number of employed persons in Norway rose by 17,000 in June from March, data from Statistics Norway showed on Wednesday. The unemployment rate remained stable at 3.5% in the same period, the statistical office said. June's figure is the average of May to July numbers and March represents average of February to April.
 
In comparison, seasonally-adjusted figures for those registered unemployed with the Labour and Welfare Organisation including government initiatives to promote employment fell by around 2,000. 
 
SPAIN
 
The IBEX in Madrid drew to a close Friday on 10,148.20, up 1.44%.
 
Spain's gross domestic product continued to creep up in the June quarter, figures showed on Thursday, but economists say the outlook for the southern European country is grim.
 
The economy grew 0.2% between April and June, the country's statistical office INE said on Thursday, confirming an earlier estimate. The growth figure means Spain has averted falling back into recession for now. The country exited its worst recession for decades in the March quarter, growing 0.1%.
 
INE also revised up the annual GDP comparison for the June quarter. The economy is now estimated to have contracted 0.1% compared to a year ago, better than the 0.2% decline estimated earlier.
 
Growth in the June quarter was driven by exports and consumer spending. Exports climbed 10.5% from a year earlier, while household consumption grew 2%, the first rise after seven quarterly falls.
 
Investment in equipment rebounded to grow 8.7%, also contributing to growth. However, construction investment was still depressed, down 11.4%.
 
Analysts say there is little to cheer about the data and pointed out that the increase in consumer spending was mainly brought about by temporary factors such as the final days of the government's car scrappage scheme and consumers bringing forward purchases to avoid the VAT rise in July.
 
Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero announced steep budget cuts aimed at bringing down the country's large budget deficit, after pressure from the European Union. Measures include public sector wage cuts and smaller budget allocations for regional governments. Spain currently has a deficit of 11.2% of GDP, which it has pledged to bring under 3% by 2013.
 
The government's spending cuts have been met with stiff resistance from Spaniards, with numerous demonstrations and strikes staged by public sector workers. The Iberian nation has the highest unemployment rate in the Euro area at 20.1%, with nearly half of under 25s without a job.
 
The average state pension for retirees in Spain rose to Eur 886.40 a month at the start of August, data released by the Ministry of Employment and Immigration showed on Tuesday. This represents a 3.5% increase from a year ago.
 
The ministry said that overall state pension - including those for disabled persons, orphans, widows and widowers - was at Eur 781.34 per month, representing an annual increase of 3.4%.
 
Some 8.7 million pensions were being paid out in Spain at the start of August, up 1.6% annually, with retirement pensions amounting to 5.2 million of the total.
 
Earlier this year the Spanish government introduced the harshest spending cuts since Spain returned to democracy following the death of General Francisco Franco in 1975 in a bid to cut its gaping budget deficit. Measures introduced include a suspension on pension payments beginning next year and a pay cut for public sector workers. 
 
PORTUGAL
 
Lisbon's PSI General concluded the week Friday at 2,615.41, up 0.64% for the session Friday.
 
Portuguese energy company Energias de Portugal, or EDP, Monday said a regulatory change in Portugal, including an investment incentive for new power plants, will boost its earnings from next year.
 
The company said the new regulation will make remuneration for power in Portugal similar to that in Spain, representing an estimated increase of EDP's consolidated annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or Ebitda, of Eur45 million from 2011 onward.
 
Portugal's current account deficit narrowed in the January to June period from a year ago, data from the Bank of Portugal showed on Thursday.
 
The current account deficit totaled Eur 9.17 billion in the January to June period, narrowing from Eur 9.45 billion deficit last year. The balance in goods account dropped to minus Eur 8.58 billion from Eur 8.34 billion last year, while the balance in the services account increased to Eur 2.51 billion from Eur 2.24 billion.
 
At the same time, the income account deficit narrowed to Eur 3.95 billion from Eur 4.19 billion a year ago. The capital account surplus decreased to Eur 482 million from Eur 854 million.
 
Meanwhile, the financial account surplus widened to Eur 9.18 billion in the January to June period from Eur 8.63 billion a year ago. The direct investment rose to Eur 1.06 billion from Eur 817 million, while portfolio investment showed a deficit balance of Eur 17.27 billion compared to Eur 11.66 billion surplus last year. 
 
ITALY
 
Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index gained 0.4%, to 19,817.46 at the 5:30 p.m. close in Milan, paring this week's loss to 0.3%.
 
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA surged 5% to 95.6 Euro cents, the stock's biggest gain since July. Italy's third-largest bank said its second-quarter net income more than tripled to 118.9 million Euros ($151.2 million) from 31.5 million Euros a year earlier.
 
Citigroup Inc. and Credit Suisse Group AG upgraded the stock to "hold" from "sell" and to "neutral" from "underperform," respectively. Banca Akros lifted its rating to "accumulate" from "hold."
 
Banca Popolare di Milano Scrl 4.5% to 3.42 Euros, the stock's third loss in four days. Italy's oldest co-operative bank said its second-quarter net income fell to 20.1 million Euros from 52.4 million Euros a year earlier.
 
"We believe consensus EPS for 2010-12 will be revised down by 10-15% and expect the market to react negatively to what we consider a very weak set of results," Credit Suisse wrote in a note. Intermonte Sim SpA downgraded the stock to "neutral" from "outperform."
 
Hera advanced a second day, rising 1.5% to 1.41 Euros. Intermonte Sim upgraded the regional utility to "outperform" from "neutral," while Equita Sim SpA added the stock to its "small cap portfolio."
 
Impregilo increased 4.5% to 2.01 Euros, its second day of gains. Italy's biggest builder said first-half net income rose 6% to 56.2 million Euros.
 
Intesa Sanpaolo declined 2% to 2.26 Euros, paring Thursday 4.1% gain. Italy's second-biggest bank said second-quarter profit rose to 1 billion Euros from 513 million Euros a year earlier helped by a capital gain from asset sales. That compares with the 1.04 billion-Euro median estimate of 18 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
 
Landi Renzo rose 2.7% to 3.65 Euros, extending Thursday's 2.9% gain. Banca Akros upgraded the maker of injection systems for alternative fuels to "buy" from "accumulate," saying in a note that second-quarter results were "good despite Italian incentive termination."
 
Landi also had its price estimate increased to 3.20 Euros from 3 Euros at Exane BNP Paribas.
 
STMicroelectronics, Europe's largest semiconductor maker, retreated 3.4% to 5.38 Euros, erasing Thursday's increase, after Intel Corp. cut its sales forecast.
 
Telecom Italia, Italy's biggest phone company, advanced 3.9% to 1.07 Euros, the shares' third consecutive increase as telecommunication shares were the best performers in Europe Friday.
 
Tod's increased 1.3% to 62.33 Euros, the stock's third straight gain. UBS AG, Deutsche Bank AG, and Natixis Securities lifted their price estimates on the luxury-goods maker.
 
Confidence among Italian consumers plunged in August to its lowest level since March 2009 as government austerity measures made households more pessimistic about their personal financial situation and the possibility for savings, survey results showed Thursday.
 
The seasonally-adjusted consumer confidence index fell to 104.1 in August from a revised 105.5 in July, research firm ISAE said in a survey. Economists had expected a reading of 105.3.
 
The decline in the sentiment index was mainly driven by a fall in the consumers' evaluation of their personal financial situation. The corresponding indicator fell to 116.4 from 119.3 in July.
 
Consumers were more downbeat on the possibility for future savings and their propensity to purchase also dampened. The indicator measuring households' propensity to buy durable goods fell to minus 102 in August from minus 74 in the previous month.
 
However, the survey showed that their intentions for heavy purchases in the next 12 months showed some improvement. Italians considered the present time as favorable for same savings, but remained cautious about the their ability to save in the next 12 months period.
 
Italians' assessment regarding current personal financial situation fell in August, as the indicator dropped to 112.9 from 114.6 in July. Their view about future economic situation was also dull with the indicator dropping to 95.3 from 96.4.
 
Nonetheless, households' assessment about the overall economic situation improved and the corresponding index increased to 81 from 79.8. They were also more positive about the prospects of the Labour market.
 
According to preliminary data released earlier this month, the Italian economy expanded 0.4% sequentially in the second quarter, at the same pace as in the first three months of the year. Annually, economic growth quickened to 1.1% in the second quarter from 0.5% in the first quarter.
 
Economists believe that the growth was mainly boosted by exports. However, Bank of Italy had observed that going forward, the boost from exports may lessen as countries start consolidating their budgets and completes the phasing out of emergency measures.
 
Last month, annual inflation hit a 19-month high of 1.7%, bolstered by higher electricity and transportation costs. In June, inflation was 1.3%. 
 
GREECE
 
In Athens, the Athex Composite ended both the session and the week Friday on
 
Greece's trade deficit narrowed to Eur 1.56 billion from Eur 2.75 billion in the same period of last year, the Hellenic Statistical Authority said Wednesday.
 
Total value of exports totaled Eur 1.41 billion compared to Eur 1.24 billion in June 2009. Annually, exports grew 13.4%. At the same time, the total value of imports dropped 25.6% to Eur 2.96 billion.
 
During January to June, exports totaled Eur 7.39 billion and imports came in at Eur 18.29 billion, resulting in a deficit of Eur 10.9 billion.
 
The head of the Bank of Greece and top officials from the country's largest lenders met Thursday to discuss the improving prospects of the economy.
 
After quite a long time, the leaders of Greece's banking industry appeared optimistic on the economy and its future course, stating that a difficult cycle was ending and a new one beginning.
 
They all agreed that efforts must gradually turn toward improving economic growth policies. A 25-billion-Euro bank support program, seen as provideing a boost to slowing credit growth, is expected to contribute to this goal.
 
Finance Minister Giorgos Papaconstantinou pointed out in Parliament Thursday that "this liquidity, arising from the second part of the support schedule, will be given based on one prerequisite: the submission of credit growth plans from each bank separately."
 
"Only under this condition will money be provided to Greek banks. The funds must reach the real economy and boost loan growth to households and businesses. This is the government's goal," he told lawmakers.
 
Bank of Greece Governor Giorgos Provopoulos stressed in his meeting with bankers the need to re-establish the flow of credit to businesses and households as economic conditions and prospects improve following recent reforms.
 
The heads of National Bank, Eurobank EFG, Alpha, Piraeus and ATEbank took part in the meeting.
 
They, in turn, expressed satisfaction with the government's so far successful implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact and recognized the positive prospects for the economy. Provopoulos added that this needed to be more widely communicated in Greece and abroad.
 
Another topic of discussion at the meeting was the Bank of Greece taking over the supervision of the insurance sector, which is to begin on December 1. According to sources, Provopoulos asked that all banks take the necessary steps to improve their insurance subsidiaries.

The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsLondon's market ended higher on Friday, although Rolls-Royce missed out on the advance, slipping 0.6% to 555½p after Boeing blamed the engine maker for a further delay to its 787 Dreamliner.
 
Boeing said it was pushing back delivery of the jet by a few months to approximately February 2011 due to "engine availability issues". That came after an engine from Rolls, launch supplier for the 787, blew up during testing earlier this month.
 
London's market ended higher on Friday, although Rolls-Royce missed out on the advance, slipping 0.6% to 555½p after Boeing blamed the engine maker for a further delay to its 787 Dreamliner.
 
Boeing said it was pushing back delivery of the jet by a few months to approximately February 2011 due to "engine availability issues". That came after an engine from Rolls, launch supplier for the 787, blew up during testing earlier this month.
 
"The recent underperformance has resulted in Aggreko's premium to the market halving," said Morgan Stanley. "This provides an attractive entry point for investors to gain exposure to this structural growth story."
 
Aviva was up 0.9% to 381½p as Goldman Sachs repeated "buy" advice in the wake of RSA Insurance's rejected bid for the group's non-life division.
 
RSA's approach put Aviva's management under increasing pressure to cut debt and reduce its pension deficit, said Goldman. The best option, it said, may be to seek a full merger with RSA that "could create a national champion".
 
RSA advanced 0.5% to 123½p in spite of the bid uncertainty, leading Goldman to cut its rating to "neutral".
 
African Barrick Gold was the top performer among the mining stocks, up 4.3% to 596p, while Randgold Resources added 1.9% to £59.25.
 
Essar Energy gained 2.3% to 412p after it was unexpectedly added to the Stoxx 600 European index as part of the latest quarterly review.
 
Directories publisher Yell, down 4.3% to 14¾p, was removed from the benchmark.
 
Tullow Oil tumbled 3.8% to £12.11 after Uganda's energy minister said it had taken back an expired exploration licence at the group's Kingfisher field. The minister denied the move was related to the tax row between Tullow and the government.
 
"In effect, the government has shut down Tullow's activities whilst the long-term problem of capital gains tax is being resolved," said Arbuthnot Securities.
 
"Friday's news is very significant and worrying, particularly if it leads to other assets being taken back by the government."
 
Among the mid-caps, Restaurant Group rose 3.2% to 246p amid more gossip about interest from private equity.
 
Takeover speculation also helped Wellstream, the oilfield pipe maker, advance 5.5% to 533½p. UBS upgraded the stock, moving from "sell" to "neutral" with a 500p price target.
 
Southern Cross Healthcare jumped 56.2% to 28½p after the care homes group rejected a "highly preliminary" bid approach from TowerBrook Capital, the private equity fund, write Bryce Elder and Neil Hume.
 
Panmure Gordon said the bid looked opportunistic given an 86% drop in Southern Cross's shares since March. "However, the approach does highlight that the UK residential care sector remains attractive to certain investors, drawn by the potential demand for care homes as a result of the demographic shifts in the UK population, and we would not be surprised if in time other suitors emerged."
 
Falklands-focused Rockhopper Exploration climbed 2.3% to 318¾p on expectations of an update on flow tests at its Sea Lion well early next week.
 
Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch started coverage of Rockhopper with a "buy" rating and 650p target price. "We think the market has yet to fully appreciate the value accretion of pushing Sea Lion to commerciality, of Rockhopper's exploration upside, or M&A attraction," it said.
 
Plant hire group Lavendon lost 16.9% to 44¼p after cutting full-year guidance due to a weak German market and slower than expected progress in the Gulf.
 
Having cut its dividend on Thursday, F&C Asset Management bounced 6.5% to 61¾p as activist investor Sherborne became the under-fire fund manager's biggest investor. After the close of trade, Sherborne said it had bought 16m shares, raising its stake including options to nearly 13%.
 
British high street sales were higher than a year ago for the second consecutive month on better weather at the beginning of August. Although slower than expected, it was the fastest expansion since April 2007. Now, retailers expect the increase in sales to continue in the months ahead.
 
Around 53% of retailers said the volume of sales rose during the first two weeks in August, while 18% reported a fall, giving a positive balance of 35%, the Distributive Trades Survey from the Confederation of British Industry showed Thursday. The balance was the biggest since April 2007 and follows July's 33%. But, it was weaker than the 45% expected by respondents in July.
 
The survey found that sub-sectors recording the strongest growth were clothing, grocers, durable household goods and footwear and leather. Further, the balance for the underlying trend, the three-monthly moving average of sales volumes, was positive 21%, which was the strongest figure since July 2007. The August Distributive Trades Survey was conducted between July 27 and August 11, and covered 133 companies.
 
Data from the Office for National Statistics had shown that retail sales growth accelerated in July with strong performance in non-food sectors. Sales volume including automotive fuel rose 1.1% month-on-month in July, following a 0.7% gain in June.
 
Retailers expect sales to continue growing in September and they are more optimistic about the general business situation in the coming three months, the survey showed. The balance of retailers forecasting sales volume to increase in September came in at 39%. However, the broader outlook for consumer spending is still uncertain.
 
Reflecting the recent run of better retail sales, a net 22% of firms projected the overall business situation to improve in the coming three months, with sentiment at its most positive since May 2004.
 
On the price front, the survey found that inflation will accelerate with a balance of 58% of firms saying average selling prices rose from a year ago. It was the fastest pace of price increases since February 1992.
 
The UK emergency budget will hit the poorest more than the richest, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne had claimed in his Budget speech that the June 2010 Budget was a 'progressive Budget'.
 
Once all of the benefit cuts are considered, the tax and benefit changes announced in the Budget are clearly regressive, the think tank said Wednesday. According to IFS, low-income households of working age lose the most as a proportion of income from the tax and benefit reforms announced in the emergency Budget.
 
"The distributional effect of all tax and benefit reforms due to be implemented by 2014-15 is clearly regressive within the bottom nine decile groups of the income distribution when losses are expressed as a percentage of net income, although it is less clear cut when losses are expressed as a proportion of expenditure," said IFS.
 
Further, the IFS noted the argument of the government that the consumer price index better reflects the inflation experience of households receiving benefits was questionable. Only 23% of benefit claimants are unaffected by increases in mortgage interest payments and council tax, which are the main items that are excluded from the CPI but included in the retail price index. 
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN
 
Tokyo stocks rose Friday as exporters such as Sony and Honda Motor turned higher after word spread that the Japanese government plans to announce measures to tackle the recent rise in the Yen.
 
The Nikkei Stock Average closed up 84.58 points, or 1.0%, to 8991.06, following a 0.7% rise on Thursday. The Topix index of all the Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section issues rose 7.83 points, or 1.0%, to 819.62, with 31 of 33 subindexes closing in positive territory.
 
Shares dropped from the opening bell as investors nervously awaited further cues on the US economic outlook, with second-quarter gross domestic product data and a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke expected later Friday.
 
But those losses were wiped out in the afternoon as media reports said that Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan would hold a press conference later in the day to address the stronger Yen and unveil details on additional economic stimulus measures.
 
The prime minister's office later said that Kan would make brief remarks to the media when visiting a local factory in an industrial part of Tokyo early Friday evening, but did not disclose the contents of the planned remarks.
 
Sony closed up 2.7% at Y2,439 and Honda Motor gained 1.6% to Y2,811, boosted by the weaker Yen following reports of Kan's press conference. At 0650 GMT, the Dollar stood at Y84.72.
 
Asahi Breweries rose 0.9% to Y1,607 after it said after Thursday's close it has agreed to acquire P&N Beverages Australia-- Australia's third-biggest soft drink maker by sales volume--for about Y27.2 billion. The Japanese maker of beer and soft drinks aims to merge P&N Beverages with Schweppes, which Asahi also bought in 2009.
 
Mercian surged 10% to Y163 after Kirin Holdings said it will make the Japanese winemaker into a wholly-owned subsidiary through an Y11-billion equity swap, effective Dec. 1. Under the accord, one Mercian share will be exchanged for 0.14 Kirin share.
 
But Kirin closed down 1.1% at Y1,175 as some investors viewed the deal as demerit for the brewer, who earlier this month reported a Y5.6 billion in special losses linked to Mercian's inflated earnings.
 
Resona Holdings fell 4.2% to Y872, sharply off its intraday high of Y948, after it said it plans to buy back Y400 billion in government-owned preferred shares. Traders said investors started taking profits since the plan was widely expected.
 
September Nikkei 225 futures closed up 80 points, or 0.9%, at 8970 on the Osaka Securities Exchange.
 
For the week, the Nikkei fell 2.1% and remains down 15% year-to-date. 
 
SOUTH KOREA
 
South Korean shares closed flat Friday as buying based on strong corporate news and earnings offset persistent worries over slower global economic growth.
 
Market participants also stayed on the sidelines ahead of revised US second quarter GDP data and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech on the outlook for the US economy due later in the day.
 
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index, or Kospi, was down 0.2 points at 1729.56. Foreigners were net sellers of KRW136.13 billion of shares, while domestic institutions bought a net KRW115.41 billion. Local retail investors were net buyers of KRW135.99 billion of shares.
 
Analysts said the fall in US shares overnight weighed on sentiment. But the relatively strong earnings performance of domestic firms so far this year also triggered bargain-hunting, keeping the index from slipping much further.
 
Most blue chips ended lower on continued selling by foreign investors. Samsung Electronics was off 0.9% at KRW766,000, while Posco was 0.4% lower at KRW484,500. Hynix was down 0.2% at KRW22,550.
 
KB Financial managed to rise 2.1% to KRW48,000, rebounding firmly after hitting a near two-month low of KRW47,000 at Thursday's close. News that its key unit, Kookmin Bank, is preparing to offer voluntary early retirement to employees may also have boosted hopes that the firm's restructuring efforts are proceeding as promised.
 
Korea Gas Corp. rose 1.2% to KRW42,750 after a person familiar with the situation told Dow Jones Newswires earlier Friday that the firm is poised to acquire around 10% of a A$15 billion LNG project being built by Australia's Santos Ltd. and Malaysia's Petroliam Nasional Bhd. 
 
HONG KONG
 
Hong Kong's benchmark stock index fell for a third week as developers dropped after Henderson Land Development Co. reported a larger-than-estimated decline in first-half underlying profit.
 
Henderson Land slid 1.6%. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the world's largest lender by market value, climbed 1.3% after second-quarter earnings beat analysts' forecasts. China Green Holdings Ltd. tumbled by as much as 45% after the producer of fruits and vegetables said its auditor needed more time to complete the annual report for board approval.
 
The Hang Seng Index fell 0.1% to close at 20,597.35, extending its drop this week to 1.8%. Concern economic growth may slow in the US, Europe and China has dragged down the gauge by 5.5% from a four-month high on Aug. 9. Shares on the measure trade at an average of 13.3 times estimated earnings.
 
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of so-called H shares of Chinese companies declined 0.4% to 11,395.05.
 
The Hang Seng Index's 2.3% losses in the past six days marked its longest losing streak since the six days ended Jan. 27.
 
Nineteen stocks fell while the same number rose among the Hang Seng Index's 43 constituents. Futures on the gauge dropped 0.4% to 20,536.
 
New World Development Co., a developer controlled by billionaire Cheng Yu-tung, dropped 1.7% to HK$12.72. Hang Lung Properties Ltd., the best performer on the Hang Seng Property Index this year, fell 2.6% to HK$34.10.
 
ICBC advanced 1.3% to HK$5.65. The bank posted a 38% gain in second-quarter profit as margins widened and demand for loans and fee-based services increased. Net income climbed to a record 43 billion RMB ($6.3 billion) from a year earlier, based on figures released by the company Thursday. That beat the 40.25 billion RMB average estimate of 10 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
 
China Green plunged 37% to HK$5.54. It earlier fell 45%, the biggest slump since its January 2004 debut. A board meeting, which was to have been held Thursday to approve the report, has been delayed to Aug. 30, the company said.
 
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd., the nation's second-largest wireless operator, climbed 1.2% to HK$10.46. The company may start selling Apple Inc.'s iPad in mid to late September, the China Business News reported, citing an unidentified person at the carrier.
 
The company posted a steeper-than-estimated 54% drop in second-quarter net income to 1.4 billion RMB after it spent more on handsets and marketing, according to figures derived from first-half earnings reported by the company Thursday.
 
China Oilfield Services Ltd. climbed 2.2% to HK$9.86, the biggest gain on the H-share index, after the drilling unit of the nation's largest offshore oil producer reported first- half profit more than doubled from a year earlier.
 
Ports Design Ltd., the clothing designer and retailer that runs Giorgio Armani and Versace outlets in China, sank 10% to HK$19.10. The company closed 60 stores while opening 33 in the first six months of this year, prompting Mirae Asset Securities to cut their rating on the stock to "hold" from "buy."
 
Ports Design reported Thursday that net income rose 1.4% to 209 million RMB.
 
China Resources Enterprise Ltd. declined 2.7% to HK$30.70, after the Chinese partner of SABMiller Plc said it may spend as much as HK$5.5 billion on acquisitions by the end of the year.
 
Skyworth Digital Holdings Ltd., a Chinese manufacturer of televisions, plunged 11% to HK$4.19 after Bocom International Securities Ltd. cut its profit forecasts for 2011 and 2012.
 
Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Ltd., which makes vehicles with Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, surged 6.2% to HK$3.27. First-half net income was 509.5 million RMB, compared with a loss of 386 million RMB a year earlier, according to a company statement.
 
China Life Insurance, the nation's biggest life insurer by premiums, extended its declines for the sixth straight session, falling 1.8% to HK$30.10, a more than 13-month low. It last traded below Friday's closing level on July 13, 2009, when it ended at HK$29.65. 
 
CHINA
 
China's shares ended slightly higher Friday, led by oil firms after their solid earnings reports and after Beijing said it will maintain policy stability in the second half of the year.
 
The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks both A and B shares, ended up 7.26 points, or 0.3%, at 2610.74. The Shenzhen Composite Index rose 9.49 points, or 0.9%, to 1128.49. The Shanghai index fell 31.57 points, or 1.2%, over the week.
 
Analysts said the Shanghai index will likely hover around the psychologically important 2600 level next week, barring further tightening measures from Beijing.
 
Oil companies led the gains after PetroChina and China Oilfield Services reported strong first-half results Thursday.
 
China Oilfield Services jumped 6.2% to CNY13.58 after it reported its first-half net profit more than doubled to CNY2.17 billion. PetroChina added 0.7% to CNY10.31 after reporting a 29% rise in first-half net profit to CNY65.33 billion.
 
Firms in other resources sectors, such as steel and cement, also advanced on hopes Beijing will continue to support key industries to promote growth.
 
Finance Minister Xie Xuren said Thursday the Ministry of Finance will maintain current policies in the second half of the year, "making policy stability the basis for macroeconomic policy."
 
Chinese officials as high up as Premier Wen Jiabao have been stressing policy stability in recent weeks, which has reassured markets that no further tightening measures, such as those adopted in April to rein in property speculation, are imminent.
 
Baoshan Iron & Steel rose 0.6% to CNY6.32, and Angang Steel gained 0.3% to CNY8.11. Anhui Conch Cement rose 3.6% to CNY21.99.
 
The September 2010 index futures contract, the most actively traded of the four index futures contracts traded in China, ended 0.5% higher at 2872.6.
 
The futures contracts are referenced to the CSI-300, an index of 300 Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed RMB-denominated A shares. The CSI-300 ended 0.3% higher at 2858.57. 
 
TAIWAN
 
Boosted by strong buying in construction shares, Taiwan share prices closed up 0.43% Friday, recovering slightly from losses in the previous two days, dealers said.
 
The weighted index rose 33.17 points to 7,722.91, after moving between 7,702.59 and 7,722.91, on turnover of NT$92.1 billion (US$2.88 billion).
 
The market opened up 12.85 points, with investors more reluctant to continue to dump shares as the market found technical support after two days of correction, dealers said.
 
The construction sector, which gained the most at 2.7%, was boosted by a forecast by Credit Suisse research analyst Tao Dong that Taipei's real estate market will certainly go up.
 
Textile stocks rose 1.4%, and the foodstuff sector added 1.3% after suffering a 2.4% decline on Thursday.
 
Financial shares were up 0.9%, plastics and chemical issues advanced 0.7%, and paper and pulp shares rose 0.6%.
 
The machinery and electronics sector edged up 0.1%, while cement stocks remained unchanged.
 
A total of 1,780 stocks closed down and 1,683 finished higher, while 333 remained unchanged.
 
Foreign investors, including mainland Chinese investors, were net sellers of NT$5.93 billion-worth of shares.
 
WT Microelectronics Co., Ltd., the second-largest IC distributor in Taiwan, has announced a buyout of South Korea-based Brilliant Semiconductor (BSI) for US$16.8 million in cash, aiming to supply large enterprises and expand its influence in South Korea`s IC distribution market, according to the firm.
 
BSI, founded 1979, is a seasoned IC distributor, who has focused business in South Korea and South Asia, posting revenue of about US$84.91 million and a gross profit rate of 8.8% for last year, and NT$39.27 million and 9.2% for the first half of this year, expecting revenues of an estimated US$80 million for 2010.
 
WT Microelectronics indicated that BSI agreed to the acquisition for its founder may retire, and stressed that the buyout will also help to take over BSI`s existing clientele, which is key to WT Microelectronics to explore South Korea`s IC distribution market.
 
WT Microelectronics explained that BSI`s clients are mostly set-top boxes, TVs and handsets suppliers, with South Korea`s top three electronic manufacturers also among the firm`s clients. 
 
THE PHILIPPINES
 
Local share prices rallied for the second straight session on Thursday, fuelled by the country's better-than-expected economic growth in the second quarter.
 
At the Philippine Stock Exchange, the composite index rose 41.58 points, or 1.17% to 3,595.58, while the broader all-shares index gained 23.36 points, or 1.04% to 2,269.53.
 
Gainers beat losers, 101 to 40, while 28 stocks were unchanged. A total of 1.13 billion stocks worth P3.83 billion were traded.
 
Trading was halted for almost an hour due to technical problems. The break allowed investors to embrace the surprise growth so when trade resumed, investors went on a buying spree. 
 
SINGAPORE
 
Stocks in Singapore ended mixed on Friday after a quiet session as investors turned cautious over the weakening US economic outlook.
 
Traders said there were few incentives to encourage buyers and sentiment was cautious after the recent spate of US data.
 
The ST index rose 12.87 points to 2,938.74 on a volume of 1,363.8 million shares.
 
There were however 220 losers against 203 advances by the close of the session.
 
On Thursday, the Dow closed below 10,000 a day ahead of an expected downward revision in US second-quarter economic growth.
 
Investors were also awaiting a major speech by US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke who will be offering a fresh assessment on Friday of the weakening US economy.
 
Among gainers, commodities firm Olam International rose as much as 17 cents to S$2.68 after fourth quarter net profit nearly doubled, thanks to strong volume growth and higher net contributions.
 
Property developer City Developments rose 6 cents to $11.96. -
 
Singapore property developer GuocoLand said on Friday it plans to raise S$532.5 million ($393.3 million) through a rights issue to fund potential acquisitions and strengthen its balance sheet.
 
GuocoLand has proposed issuing about 296 million new shares at S$1.80 each, which represents a discount of about 15.9% to its last closing price of S$2.14.
 
Under the proposed rights issue, one rights share will be distributed for every three existing ordinary GuocoLand share.
 
Its parent, Hong Kong-based Guoco Group, will subscribe for its pro-rata entitlement of the rights shares and any others which are not taken up by other shareholders of GuocoLand, it said in a statement.
 
MALAYSIA
 
Share prices ended mixed Friday as continued gains in selected heavyweights such as Sime Darby and Maybank helped to boost major indices, dealers said.
 
The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) advanced 3.05 points to 1,411.05.
 
Dealers said overall, market breath remained cautious amid overnight losses on Wall Street and lingering fears of a global economic slowdown.
 
They said investors will also be paying attention to a speech later Friday to be delivered by Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, gauging the extent of the pace of the US economic recovery.
 
The Finance Index lost 41.119 points to 12,701.69, the Plantation Index declined 0.33 of a point to 6,553.13 and the Industrial Index rose 22.35 points to 2,705.83.
 
The FBM Emas Index increased 2.25 points to 9,418.48, the FBM70 Index decreased 38.13 points to 9,148.08 and the FBM ACE Index went down 20.95 points to 3,720.14.
 
Turnover increased to 762.501 million shares worth RM1.532 billion from 684.902 million shares worth RM1.292 billion.
 
Decliners outnumbered advancers by 405 to 286 while 285 counters were unchanged, 388 untraded and 27 suspended.
 
Among active stocks, Carotech was flat at 8.5 sen, Time Dotcom decreased 1.5 sen to 49.5 sen, Talam Corporation was flat at 10 sen and Axiata Group declined two sen to RM4.45.
 
Sime Darby which announced plans to revamp its business into six flagship subsidiaries, rose to a near two-month high to RM8.10 with the counter surging 22 sen.
 
CIMB declined 18 sen to RM7.74, Maybank rose four sen to RM8.26, Proton was down seven sen to RM4.53 and Genting rose four sen to RM9.04.
 
The Main Market volume increased to 635.603 million shares worth RM1.517 billion from 574.436 million shares, worth RM1.274 billion Thursday.
 
Warrants increased to 48.601 million units valued at RM6.532 million from 38.943 million units, valued at RM6.061 million Thursday.
 
Turnover on the ACE Market increased to 74.697 million worth RM6.774 million from 68.327 million units, valued at RM9.794 million Thursday.
 
Consumer products accounted for 64.7 milion shares traded on the Main Market; industrial products 91.2 million; construction 50.5 million; trade and services 185.7 million; technology 31.6 million; infrastructure 53.3 million; finance 62.6 million; hotels 2.9 million; properties 73.1 million.
 
THAILAND
 
Thailand's main share index the SET scaled a key-900 mark to approach a 33-month high as the region's fast-growing emerging economies keep luring investors it seems.
 
Thailand's SET index ended up 1.6% at 900.37, just a shy of the 33-month peak of 900.78 set on 23 August.
 
Among outperformers, top industrial conglomerate Siam Cement and olefins maker PTT Chemical, each gained about 3%.
 
Buying interest came ahead of a 2 September court verdict on an environmental dispute at the country's largest industrial estate, Map Ta Phut. Its resolution could boost companies with projects suspended there, including PTT and Siam Cement.
 
Thailand will prevent any excessive volatility of its currency without moving against the market trend, Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva said.
 
"We have learnt an expensive lesson before," Abhisit told reporters in Bangkok Friday, without elaborating. "All Asian countries have the same problem with strengthening currencies."
 
Thailand's currency climbed to 31.31 a Dollar earlier Friday, the strongest level in more than two years, after the central bank raised borrowing costs for a second month this week. The Bank of Thailand said Aug. 25 interest rates are "on an uptrend" and that it's "not concerned" that higher rates will attract capital inflows and pressure the baht to rise.
 
The government's economic advisory body earlier this week urged the central bank to "be careful to make sure monetary policy won't affect rising investment," saying higher interest- rates may attract capital inflows, strengthen the baht and hurt export competitiveness. Commerce Minister Porntiva Nakasai said last week the Thai baht's strength is a "risk" to the country's overseas sales, and the central bank should "take care" of the currency.
 
The central bank should manage the currency as well as inflation, Abhisit said Friday. "I think the central bank will be careful in raising the interest rate."
 
The Bank of Thailand raised its benchmark rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 1.75% on Aug. 25. The rate will climb to 2% by the end of the year, according to the median forecast of 12 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, with one predicting as much as 2.25%.
 
The country's exports jumped 46% in June from a year earlier, the most in more than 18 years, before easing to a 20.6% pace last month in line with cooling global demand. Thailand is a manufacturing base for companies including Toyota City, Japan-based Toyota Motor Corp.
 
Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said in Singapore Friday the baht's strength will have a "marginal" impact on exports. Central bank Deputy Governor Bandid Nijathaworn said Thursday Thai companies can manage the current movements in the baht.
 
Southeast Asia's largest economy after Indonesia grew 9.1% in the second quarter as exports countered the impact of political clashes that killed at least 89 people. The central bank expects the economy to expand as much as 7.5% this year, which would be the strongest pace since 1995.
 
Economic growth will slow in the second half of 2010 in line with the cooling global economy, Abhisit said. Still, growth for the whole year may be more than 7%, he said. That's more than the finance ministry's June forecast of as much as 6%.
 
Bandid said Thursday "the reduction of monetary accommodation is necessary to make sure the economic recovery is sustained," as the rebound will lead to an acceleration in inflation. The growth momentum may continue in the second half of the year as export orders are still at a satisfactory level, he said.
 
Thailand's inflation accelerated in July, with consumer prices rising 3.4% from a year earlier after climbing 3.3% in June.
 
The central bank will be "cautious" in its monetary policy, and is "monitoring the US economy," Bandid said. Growth in the world's biggest economy is expected to slow in the second half, which will affect the global recovery, he said.
 
Risk aversion may spur more capital flows to Asia, and the region has seen "continued capital inflows" in the last two to three weeks, Bandid said. For Thailand, the funds went into both stocks and bonds, he said.
 
"Speculation happens from time to time," Abhisit said. "Sometimes on stocks and sometimes on the currency. The Bank of Thailand and the Securities & Exchange Commission have to take care of that. Still, it's not unusual yet even though capital flowed in a lot on some days."
 
The baht has climbed the most against the Dollar among Asia's most-traded currencies this month as overseas investors bought $370.6 million more Thai shares than they sold through Thursday. Thai stocks are still among the cheapest in the region and are "under held" by foreign investors, Korn said. 
 
INDONESIA
 
Indonesia's Jakarta Composite dropped 1.3%, coming off an all-time high set on Thursday.
 
Dealers said the market took a breather on caution ahead of August inflation data to be released on Wednesday.
 
Rallying big-capitalised stocks retreated, with state telecoms firm PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia and the second-biggest lender PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia each sliding more than 2%.
 
Jakarta recorded outflows of $31 million on the session, erasing $27.4 million combined inflows over the past four-straight sessions.
 
INDIA
 
Indian equities ended deep in the red on Friday, as risk-averse investors booked profits ahead of US GDP data. All the sector indices, except oil & gas ended in the red. Shares logged their biggest weekly loss in three months.
 
Market opened on a subdued note trailing weak Asian peers and turned lacklustre due to lack of direction. Negative opening of the European markets and decline in the US futures saw benchmarks slipping below psychological levels.
 
Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex ended at 17,998.41, down 227.94 points or 1.25%. The index touched intraday high of 18,248.11 and low of 17,944.16.
 
National Stock Exchange's Nifty closed at 5408.70 down 69.20 points or 1.26%. The index touched a low of 5391.95 and high of 5495.20 in Friday's trade.
 
Looking at the options data, 5400 strike price has seen maximum build up in open interest, once it sustains below 5400 levels then unwinding and long liquidation may push the market to lower levels.
 
On the upside, 5500 strike price calls has been fresh writing which would work as a strong immediate resistance for the market.
 
Market is tumbling from recent 52-week high levels and open interest positions of Nifty future has been built up heavily, hence a cautious approach is advised to market participants.
 
India volatility index (India VIX) is also giving cautious signal. It has bottomed out and stood at 19.63 levels at the end of the session. Now any rise in VIX from these levels may put pressure on the market.
 
Amongst the sectors, BSE Realty Index was down 2.67%, BSE Bankex moved lower by 2.07% and BSE IT Index slipped 1.84%. BSE Oil&Gas Index moved 0.36% higher.
 
Shares of IT companies reacted negatively after government proposed a hike in the MAT on book profits to 20% from the prevailing 18% in the proposed new Direct Taxes Code bill.
 
Losers included DLF (-3.63%), Hero Honda (-3.46%), Axis Bank (-3.42%), HCL Tech (-3.36%) and PNB (-3.31%).
 
GAIL (3.46%), ONGC (1.95%), Tata Steel (1.42%), BPCL (1.20%) and Sterlite Industries (0.40%) were amongst the index gainers.
 
ONGC announced new oil discovery in the western onshore basin located in the Ahmedabad-Ankleshwar belt. This block was won under the sixth round of competitive bidding (NELP-VI).
 
GAIL is planning to set up gas-based power plants in four stares of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh, say reports.
 
Tata Power is planning to acquire 50% stake in InterGen NV from GMR Infrastructure. The deal is likely to be announced in next two month. At least four companies are in race to acquire stake in InterGen NV.
 
Market breadth was negative on the NSE with 2215 losers against 1028 gainers. 
 
AUSTRALIA
 
The Australian share market rose slightly Friday despite a fall on Wall Street overnight, with consumer staples and financials providing most of the support. After a weak open, the local index tracked offshore equities, which crept higher before a speech by Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke at a central bankers symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
 
The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed up 14.1 points, or 0.3%, at 4370.1 after bouncing from 4330.2 to 4379.0. Share trading volume was inflated by Thursday's expiry of August equity options.
 
Overnight, Wall Street's S&P 500 fell 0.8% as jobless claims data failed to allay concerns about the US economy. Market participants were awaiting revised US second quarter GDP data, due later Friday, along with Bernanke's speech on the economic outlook and the Fed's response.
 
Consumer staples were the standouts, with Woolworths rising 1.1% to A$27.85 after Citigroup upgraded it to a buy from hold. Wesfarmers tracked Woolworths, rising 1.7% to A$31.61.
 
Among financials, Westpac rose 0.9% to A$21.75, Commonwealth Bank rose 0.5% to A$49.21, although Macquarie Group fell 0.8% to A$36.50.
 
In resources, BHP Billiton fell 0.2% to A$37.30 and Rio Tinto fell 0.4% to A$69.30 despite a 2.9% rise in London Metal Exchange copper overnight.
 
Newcrest Mining fell 2.0% to A$35.28 after Lihir Gold, which has agreed to be taken over by Newcrest, reported disappointing interim results. Lihir's underlying profit of US$142.5 million missed the market consensus expectation of US$155.5 million by around 8.4%. Lihir fell 2.0% at A$4.38.
 
In the energy sector Woodside fell 0.9% to A$42.10, while Santos rose 1.6% to A$14.30 after a person familiar with the matter told Dow Jones Newswires that Korea Gas Corp. is in talks to buy more than 2 million metric tons of LNG a year from Santos and its Gladstone LNG partner, Petronas, while also taking an equity stake in the project of around 10%. 

Such a deal would considerably improve the prospect of Santos and Petronas sanctioning the planned liquefied natural gas project by the end of the year, then approving an expansion to double its size by the end of 2011.
 
Elsewhere, Sims Metal rose 5.3% to A$16.36 and Fairfax rose 4.4% to A$1.42 on strong earnings reports. Sims reported 2010 full year profit of A$126.7 million versus expectations of A$117 million, although it was unable to give specific 2011 guidance due to uncertain economic conditions. Fairfax reported 2010 underlying profit of A$278.7 million versus market expectations of A$262.1 million, while its 1.4 cent dividend also pleased investors.
 
Ramsay Health Care rose 4.3% to A$14.22 after brokers upgraded after its full-year results.
 
Retailer, Harvey Norman, fell 1 cent to A$3.53 after reporting underlying 2010 full-year earnings of A$290 million versus consensus estimates of A$289.5 million.
 
Australian private sector industries' capital expenditure between April and June fell a seasonally adjusted 4% compared to the preceding quarter, data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed on Thursday.
 
It followed a downwardly revised 1% fall in the previous quarter. Total capital expenditure amounted to A$26.2 billion during the three-month period.
 
Industry-wise, capital expenditure by private sector manufacturing firms surged 16.5% compared to the previous quarter. Spending by mining firms increased 2.6%. Expenditure by other industries fell 10.9%.
 
Spending on buildings & structures decreased 3.9% while that on equipment, plant & machinery was down 4.1%. On a year-over-year basis, capital expenditure decreased 4.8% in the June quarter. 
 
NEW ZEALAND
 
New Zealand stocks ended weaker Friday, tracking offshore leads in a fairly quiet session as investors digested local company results.
 
The benchmark NZX-50 ended down 0.4%, or 11 points, at 3007.44. The index has gained 0.2% over the week. "The reporting season over the last handful of days has been pretty good and people are just sort of digesting that. It has been pretty quiet," said UBS NZ Managing Director Campbell Stuart.
 
Infrastructure company and gas distributor Vector added 1.9% to NZ$2.12 after reporting a 17% increase in full year net profit, boosted by revenue from the installation of its smart meters.
 
National carrier Air New Zealand continued to benefit from its positive commentary around increased demand in the current financial year on Thursday. The stock added 1.6% to NZ$1.28.
 
Casino operator Sky City, which reported a record full year net profit earlier in August, added 1.0% to NZ$2.91.
 
In the other direction, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare shed 0.7% to NZ$2.81. Earlier Friday, the company lowered its full year net profit guidance, mainly due to the impact of the strong New Zealand Dollar.
 
NZ Farming Systems Uruguay ended down 4.2% to NZ$0.69. Earlier Friday Uruguayan-based Union Agriculture Group Friday abandoned its attempt to take a controlling stake in the company.
 
However, brokers said the stock would remain around the current levels given the other options. Singapore's Olam International has offered NZ$0.70 a share and NZ Farming Systems Uruguay has also revealed it's in negotiations with a third unnamed party on a proposal to issue equity without any change of control. NZ Farming System Uruguay has not provided further details of the negotiations.
 
Resin and chemical maker Nuplex shed 1.6% to NZ$3.10, partly on some bargain hunting after the stock jumped 6.8% Thursday on the company strong result. On Friday, Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy saying the stock is fairly priced.
 
New Zealand businesses expect inflation to pick up sharply in the next 12 months due to the introduction of the Goods & Services Tax and other likely price rises, a survey showed on Tuesday.
 
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand said one-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 3.9% in the September quarter survey from 2.9% in the June quarter. This follows the 0.8 percentage point increase seen in the previous survey. The median one-year rate was still higher, at 4.5%.
 
At the same time, two-year ahead inflation expectations dropped to 2.6% from 2.8%. The median two-year rate was 2.7%.
 
A quarterly rise of 0.7% is expected in the consumer price index in the September quarter, unchanged from the preceding quarter. Quarterly inflation is expected to pick up to 1.6% in the December quarter.
 
Survey respondents also revised down their one-year ahead expectations of economic growth to 2.3% from 2.7%. Two-year ahead growth expectations were unchanged at 2.8%.
 
Businesses expect the unemployment rate to drop to 6.1% by June next year from the current 6.8%. A year later, the unemployment rate is expected to have dropped further, to 5.7%.
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesCotton prices surged to a near 15-year high on Friday as traders fretted about tightening supplies after Pakistan's floods, the worst in 80 years, devastated a large chunk of the country's crop, just as global demand surges.
 
In New York, ICE October cotton jumped on Friday to 90.10 cents per Pound, up nearly 3.5% on the week. Excluding a single trading day in mid-2008, when cotton prices surged briefly above 90 cents, the fibre is trading at its highest level since October 1995.
 
Cotton prices hit a nominal all-time high of 117.20 cents in April 1995. Clothing groups have warned of rising retail prices on the back of surging cotton costs.
 
Pakistan's mills are prized for their yarns and high-quality finished textiles. The country is among the world's top five importers. Depending on the extent to which the flood hinders mill operations in the country, Pakistan could call on more foreign fibre, straining global supply.
 
China is the world's largest consumer of cotton, while the US is the largest exporter of the fibre.
 
Elsewhere in commodity markets, base metals ended the week on a strong note.
 
On the London Metal Exchange, tin for delivery in three months hit a two-year high of $21,750 a tonne, up nearly 4.5% on the week. Copper rose 2.5% on the week to $7,472 a tonne.
 
Oil traded sideways during the week, under pressure from rising inventories in the US, the world's largest crude oil consumer, and fears about a global economic slowdown. Nymex October West Texas Intermediate was up 0.9% on the week at $74.17
 
Gold futures for December delivery rose $4.20, or 0.3%, to $1,241.90 an ounce at 9:15 a.m. on the Comex in New York. A close at that price would leave the most-active contract up 1.1 percent this week.
 
The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 commodities rallied for a second straight day, led by coffee, nickel, corn and cotton.
 
Silver futures for December delivery rose 10.8 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $19.13 an ounce on the Comex.
 
Platinum futures for October delivery fell $8.90, or 0.6%, to $1,531 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Palladium futures for December delivery rose 30 cents to $504.60 an ounce.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Yen surged to a 15-year high against the Dollar this week as fading confidence in the global economy drove haven demand for the Japanese currency.
 
The move raised the spectre of the Japanese authorities intervening in the market for the first time since 2004 to stem the rise of the Yen.
 
A stream of poor US economic data, including a plunge in home sales, sent equities and US Treasury bond yields lower, pushing the Yen up to a high of Y83.57 against the Dollar on Tuesday, its strongest level since 1995.
 
Comments on Friday from Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, who said that the US recovery had softened more than expected, added to the deterioration in sentiment.
 
That raised the prospect that the Yen could threaten to rise to the record high of Y79.70 it hit in April 1995. This hurt Japanese shares, which dropped to their lowest level of the year this week, and caused consternation in Japan that a rising currency could stifle economic activity.
 
Indeed, Japanese officials upped their verbal intervention in a bid to stem the Yen's rise, with almost daily pronouncements about the currency's strength.
 
Analysts warned that these comments were losing their effectiveness, however, with the market increasingly sceptical that they would lead to physical intervention in the market.
 
That was reflected in the muted response to comments on Friday from Naoto Kan, Japan's prime minister, who said his government was ready to take "bold" action in the foreign exchange markets.
 
The Yen also hit a nine-year high against the Euro, rising 1.1% to Y107.68 on the week, and rose 1.5% to Y131.06 against the Pound.
 
Rising risk aversion also boosted haven demand for the Swiss Franc, pushing it to a record high of SFr1.2968 against the Euro on Wednesday. Over the week, the Swiss franc rose 0.7% to SFr1.3053 against the Euro and climbed 0.5% to SFr1.0286 against the Dollar.
 
Despite gloomy US data, the Dollar found haven support elsewhere, however. Against the Euro, the Dollar was up 0.2% to $1.2685 on the week and 0.6% higher at $1.5451 against the Pound.
 
The Dollar also advanced against commodity-linked currencies. Over the week, the Dollar rose 0.5% to $0.8890 against the Australian Dollar, climbed 1.3% to C$1.0613 against the Canadian Dollar and was up 1% at NKr6.2931 against the Norwegian Krone.
 
In South Africa the Rand recouped earlier losses against the Dollar after comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke about additional stimulus for the US economy offset the impact of expectations for a domestic rate cut to boost growth in South Africa.
 
The Rand traded at 7.3075 against the greenback, up 0.31% from its previous close of 7.33 and off Friday's earlier low of 7.4144.
 
And finally here in China and the RMB. On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar was at CNY6.7982, down slightly from Thursday's close of CNY6.7998. It traded between CNY6.7970 and CNY6.7990. 
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsA number of the world's biggest banks have launched international roadshows promoting the use of the renminbi to corporate customers instead of the Dollar for trade deals with China.
 
HSBC, which recently moved its chief executive from London to Hong Kong, and Standard Chartered, are offering discounted transaction fees and other financial incentives to companies that choose to settle trade in the Chinese currency.
 
"We're now capable of doing renminbi settlement in many parts of the world," said HSBC's head of trade for greater China. "All the other major international banks are frantically trying to do the same thing."
 
HSBC and StanChart are among a slew of global banks - including Citigroup and JPMorgan - holding roadshows across Asia, Europe and the US to promote the renminbi to companies.
 
The move aligns the banks favourably with Beijing's policy priorities and positions them to profit from what is expected to be a rapidly growing line of business in the future.
 
The phenomenon will accelerate Beijing's drive to transform the renminbi from a domestic currency into a global medium of exchange like the Dollar and Euro.
 
Chinese central bank officials accompanied StanChart bankers on a roadshow to Korea and Japan in June. The bank held similar events in London, Frankfurt and Paris.
 
JPMorgan's head of treasury and securities services for China, said there had been a "spike in interest" from international clients.
 
An increasing number of Chinese companies have been asking foreign trading partners to accept renminbi as payment, said Carmen Ling, Hong Kong head of global transaction services at Citi.
 
BBVA, Spain's second-biggest bank, is also drawing up plans for a global marketing campaign that will focus on Latin American companies that export to China.
 
Banks started establishing renminbi trade settlement operations in mid-2009, when Beijing introduced a pilot scheme allowing companies to use the renminbi for trade outside China.
 
The scramble has intensified in recent months as Beijing has substantially expanded the scheme - from a handful of Asian countries to the whole world - and introduced other liberalisations to its currency regime.
 
Cross-border trade in renminbi totalled Rmb70.6bn ($10bn) in the first half of the year - about 20 times the Rmb3.6bn recorded in the second half of 2009.
 
But those figures remain tiny compared to the $2,800bn worth of goods and services that were traded across China's borders last year, most of which was settled in Dollars or Euros.
 
With renminbi trade settlement volumes expected to increase rapidly, banks are under pressure to establish a foothold in the nascent market and demonstrate to Chinese officials that they are committed to the scheme.
 
China has taken several steps in recent months to boost the international use of its currency and to establish Hong Kong, the special administrative region, as the global centre for offshore renminbi business.
 
McDonald's, the US burger chain and icon of globalisation, took advantage of the new rules this month when it became the first foreign multinational to issue renminbi-denominated bonds in Hong Kong.
 
************************************
 
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the world's largest lender by market value, posted a 38% gain in second-quarter profit as margins widened and demand for loans and fee-based services increased.
 
Net income climbed to a record 43 billion RMB ($6.3 billion) from 31.27 billion RMB a year earlier, based on figures released by the Beijing-based company Friday. Profit beat the 40.25 billion RMB average estimate of 10 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
 
Chairman Jiang Jianqing, 57, who more than tripled profit following a government bailout in 2005, is poised to defend ICBC's position as the world's most profitable bank for a third straight year. That may not be enough to ease investor concerns that bad loans will rise as the economy slows and policy makers crack down on property speculation and off-balance-sheet lending.
 
Smaller rival Bank of China Ltd. Friday said first-half profit advanced 27% to 52 billion RMB, matching estimates and aided by an increase in fee-based services.
 
ICBC is trading at 10.5 times forecast earnings in 2010, while Bank of China is trading at 9.2 times, compared with 13.5 times for Hang Seng Index.
 
ICBC extended 626 billion RMB of new loans in the first six months, up 11% from the end of 2009. The bank is targeting 900 billion RMB of new lending this year.
 
ICBC's capital adequacy ratio fell to 11.34% as of June 30 as loan growth drained capital, slipping below the required minimum of 11.5% for large state-owned banks.
 
Net interest income rose 23% to 143 billion RMB in the first half as the profit margin on loans widened to 2.37%. Net fee and commission income from products and services such as credit cards, wealth management and insurance sales rose by a third to 36.9 billion RMB, the bank said.
 
The lender said Thursday it will sell 25 billion RMB of six-year convertible bonds on Aug. 31. The company is also seeking to complete 45 billion RMB in rights offers in Hong Kong and Shanghai before year-end, Chairman Jiang said Friday.
 
China's banking regulator this month ordered lenders to transfer off-balance-sheet loans back onto their books and make provisions for those that may default. ICBC President Yang Kaisheng said Friday that it sold almost 2 trillion RMB of wealth-management products in the first half including those through trust firms, and it may need to move as much as 80 billion RMB of trust loans back onto its books by 2011. Bank of China needs to move 14 billion RMB back to its books by then, President Li Lihui told reporters Friday.
 
The regulator has stepped up scrutiny on lending to local- government financing vehicles and banned third-home mortgages to curb property speculation.
 
The move to tighten lending may trigger an increase in bad loans in the second half, JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts led by Samuel Chen wrote in a note Aug. 8, adding that the regulator's intention is to "minimize potential loss rates, rather than engineering a credit crunch."
 
Bank of China had 419.7 billion RMB of loans to local government financing vehicles by the end of June, and risks are controllable, Li said. About half those loans have cash flows to fully cover payments of interest and principal, 12% have enough to cover 30 to 70% of required payments. The balance have cash flow to cover less than 30% of interest and principal.
 
************************************
 
China Resources, the Chinese partner of SABMiller, may spend as much as HK$5.5 billion ($700 million) on acquisitions by the end of the year after first-half profit more than tripled.
 
"We have negotiations at the moment in all four sectors" of retail, beer, non-alcoholic beverages and food, Chief Financial Officer Frank Lai said in Hong Kong Thursday. He declined to name specific targets.
 
Net income for the government-backed company climbed to HK$4.24 billion in the first half from HK$1.16 billion a year earlier, on surging growth at its retail division, which has 2,900 stores. China Resources said in June that it was buying control of Pacific Coffee Group, Hong Kong's second-largest coffee chain, posing a threat to Starbucks Corp.'s leadership on the mainland.
 
China Resources will open coffee shops at some of its 200 5,000 square-meter (54,000 square-foot) hypermarkets, "allowing customers to relax," Lai said. "It's a good time to tap the China coffee market."
 
Starbucks has about 380 stores in China and plans to have "thousands" there eventually, Chief Executive Officer Howard Schultz said in April.
 
While Lai didn't specify how the company will finance the planned acquisitions, China Resources' cash and bank balances as of June 30 were at HK$14.3 billion, 68% higher than at the end of 2009.
 
SABMiller and China Resources have said they will pursue acquisitions and increase production capacity in the world's most-populous nation. The London-based maker of Miller Genuine Draft and Grolsch owns 49% of China Resources Snow, the Asian nation's biggest beer brand by volume with 20% of the market.
 
Same-store sales, which strip out the effect of newly opened outlets, rose 8.4% at the division that runs China Resources' supermarkets, hypermarkets, and convenience and retail stores, the biggest contributor to revenue.
 
While sales volume for the beer business, its second biggest, rose 4.8% to 4.39 million kiloliters, growth slowed in the three months ended in June because of bad weather.
 
Earnings per share rose to HK$1.77 from 48 cents a year earlier, the group said in a statement to Hong Kong's stock exchange. Total sales rose 32% to HK$41.6 billion.
 
The company opened more supermarkets in northern and central China, boosting retail sales 50% to HK$26.9 billion. Its store chains include Vanguard, Chinese Arts & Crafts and Ole. Profit for the division grew 77% to HK$955 million.
 
China Resources made a gain of about HK$3 billion after it sold its entire stake in a clothing venture to partner Esprit Holdings Ltd. last year. 
The company proposed an interim dividend of 14 Hong Kong cents, the same as a year earlier.
 
Profit from the beer division was unchanged from a year earlier at HK$258 million in the first half, while sales gained 6% to HK$10 billion, China Resources said Thursday.
 
Sales by volume of Snow beer rose 10% to 3.95 million kilolitres.
 
The beverage division's profit declined 37% to HK$53 million on increased advertising and promotional costs, China Resources said. Sales rose 21% to HK$896 million.
 
Earnings at the food-processing and distribution business grew 14% to HK$240 million.
 
The company opened more than 300 supermarkets in the 12 months ended June and closed more than 100, Lai said. It will expand the business at a similar pace this year, he said.
 
China's retail sales climbed 18.2% in the six months ended June and wages in China's urban areas rose 13% in the first quarter from a year earlier.
 
************************************
 
China Unicom posted a steeper-than-estimated 54% drop in profit after the country's only carrier selling Apple Inc.'s iPhone offered more handset discounts and boosted marketing spending.
 
Second-quarter net income fell to 1.4 billion RMB ($205 million), from 3.05 billion RMB a year earlier, according to figures derived from first-half earnings reported by the company Friday. China's second-largest wireless operator was expected to report profit of 1.45 billion RMB, based on the median estimate of six analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.
 
Marketing costs to attract customers exceeded estimates, fueling concern that Chairman Chang Xiaobing is failing to capitalize on the iPhone and a 3G wireless network that analysts say is technologically superior to that of the industry leader. China Mobile Ltd., the nation's largest phone company, and China Telecom Corp. this month delivered profits that exceeded analysts' projections.
 
China Unicom's addition of 4.88 million users in the second quarter was less than a third of the 15.2 million added by China Mobile in the same period, according to Bloomberg calculations of company data released last month. China Unicom had a total of 157 million mobile subscribers at the end of June compared with 554 million for China Mobile.
 
China Unicom has failed to capture all of the nation's demand for the iPhone by charging higher prices than those at the so-called gray market. 

IPhone sales in China's gray market exceeded 400,000 during the first half of the year, compared with the 500,000 sold by China Unicom, according to estimates last month by Flora Wu, a handset analyst at BDA China Ltd.
 
China Mobile, the world's biggest phone carrier by market value, on Aug. 19 posted second-quarter net income that rose 6.8% to 32.2 billion RMB, beating analysts' estimates.
 
China Telecom, the nation's biggest fixed-line carrier and third-largest wireless company, Thursday posted second-quarter profit that beat analyst estimates after the company almost doubled the number of users at its mobile-phone unit. Profit rose 22% to 4.54 billion RMB.
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 Where to even think markets might go next week? 
 
Consumer confidence down; durable goods down; home sales down; unemployment up .... then all it takes is a chinless wonder of a Fed Chairman to utter those immortal words "The Fed will do all that it can to foster economic recovery" .... and global (not just the US, but global) markets hike higher and basically almost across the board wipe out the week's losses - all markets coming in with under 1% of net declines over the week.
 
Hard to imagine really that such benign figures as August unemployment (out next Friday), August Consumer Confidence (Tuesday), retail reports and a big report on the shape of the car industry, will come in anything worse than 'better than expected' and I would even guess that employment and consumer confidence figures from July will be revised 'downwards' but this will be announced after August figures come in 'better than expected' and so will slip under the radar.
 
But seriously, how markets can look at firm, solid, accurate, fool-proof figures one minute, hold their heads and sigh 'double-dip' when along comes the caped crusading Ben Bernanke and in a shake of his magic wand says "don't worry; as you know we have a bottomless pit (or some might say 'pitless bottom') and we'll throw enough money (not their own I hasten to add) at the problem to come up with a short-term solution; just how can markets take this moron's (my own humble opinion) word against those fundamentals?
 
Quite simply they can because ..... they are greedy, gullible and gung-ho in equal measure.
 
But don't worry, the fourth 'G' will come later in the form of 'guilt' - NOT!
 
I have to steer away from 'LaLaLand' or 'FantasyLand' or whatever we would like to call the US this week because it would be remiss of me to have a rant at the end of the Newsletter; my family simply couldn't take a 'ranting Dad' on a Saturday morning.
 
Moving swiftly on and starting with here in the AsiaPac' region where complicating the outlook for the Yen next week is the possibility the Bank of Japan will take to address the recent strength in the currency. The apparent probability of some kind of action increased Friday when Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan stepped up threats to counter the soaring Yen.
 
Kan is planning to meet with Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa early next week. Currency traders will be on the alert for any indication the bank will take action through added quantitative easing or direct market intervention to quell the strength in the Yen.
 
There is some potential they may opt for another round of QE, buying Japanese government bonds to push rates even lower. However, the BOJ seems averse to lowering the policy rate from 0.1% or increasing their purchases of government bonds outright.
 
The key will be if they expressly announce that the measures are being taken to combat JPY strength. If so, it may signal a larger, coordinated effort between the government and the BOJ to weaken the Yen, potentially entailing market intervention alongside the BOJ measures.
 
Also in Japan next week we see the release of July preliminary industrial production, July retail trade and large retailers' sales. Due out on Tuesday is July Labour cash earnings, vehicle production, housing starts, construction orders, and August small business confidence. Wednesday's releases include August vehicle sales and monetary base. Thursday finishes the week for data in Japan with 2Q capital spending numbers.
 
Be on the lookout for important China data as well (as if anything coming out of China is not firmly wedged under the global-microscope!). Wednesday will see manufacturing PMI and HSBC manufacturing PMI. Set for release on Friday is the non-manufacturing PMI and HSBC services PMI.
 
The data down under starts on Monday with New Zealand's July trade balance. Set for release on Tuesday is Australia July HIA new home sales, 2Q inventories and company operating profit while New Zealand posts August NBNZ Business confidence and activity outlook numbers, July M3 money supply, and July building permits.
 
Wednesday sees July Australian private sector credit, retail sales, building approvals, and 2Q current account balance. Due out on Thursday is Australia's 2Q GDP, August AiG Performance of manufacturing index and New Zealand ANZ commodity price reading. Friday closes out the week with Australian July trade balance and the August Performance of service index.
 
In Australia, higher than expected construction data on Wednesday of this week has increased the chance of a strong economic growth reading next week.
 
However, a strengthening economy - if borne out in next Wednesday's second quarter gross domestic product numbers - won't be enough to convince the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to lift interest rates I feel; not yet anyway.
 
For the ECB, they hold a meeting next week. It is increasingly clear that we won't see any change in the accommodative stance in the near future because we first need to see a turn in the credit cycle - and that simply is not happening.
 
The ECB has said unlimited liquidity will be on offer in one-week and one-month operations until at least mid-October, and until the end of September for three-month money but the market is expecting the central bank to extend this at least until year-end.
 
The European Central Bank will hold a regularly scheduled policy meeting on Thursday. While it is not expected to make any substantial changes to its monetary policy stance, markets will be watching for the ECB to indicate it will maintain its policy of providing unlimited liquidity at its three-month refinancing tender in October.
 
The Eurozone is actually heavy on data next week and starts the action off with Monday's business climate indicator for August as well as August Eurozone confidence numbers. Tuesday sees German August unemployment change and rate, July Eurozone unemployment rate, and the August Eurozone CPI estimate. Wednesday's data includes Germany's July retail sales followed by German, French, and Eurozone August final manufacturing PMI.
 
Set for release on Thursday is July EZ PPI, 2Q preliminary EZ GDP, and the ECB rate announcement.
 
Friday wraps up the week with August final services PMI numbers for Germany, France, and the EZ, July EZ retail sales, and a speech by the EU's Olli Rehn.
 
UK data begins on Monday with the August GfK Consumer Confidence survey. Tuesday's data includes July final M4 money supply, July mortgage approvals, net lending and consumer credit. Set for release on Wednesday is August manufacturing PMI while Thursday sees August nationwide house prices, construction PMI and a speech from the BOE's Andy Haldane.
 
Released sometime between Wednesday through Saturday is the Halifax House Prices number.
 
Friday will close the week out with August services PMI, changes in the official reserves in August, and a speech by the BOE's Paul Tucker.
 
In Brazil next week, Wednesday sees a key Central Bank decision on their lending rate.  It is widely viewed that the bank will hold its benchmark lending rate steady at 10.75%; that would end a tightening cycle of 200 basis points that began in April.
 
Growth in Brazil's economy has slowed from its torrid first-quarter pace and analysts now peg expansion at around 7% this year.
 
Consumer prices in Brazil have dropped in recent readings. The 12-month inflation rate dipped in August below the midpoint of the central bank's target for this year of 4.5%, plus or minus 2 percentage points, the first fall since January.
 
So, I started my summary this morning on a down-note courtesy of 'Ben The Fantasist' and I'll end this week's ramblings with my firm resolution that something is going to happen next Friday!
 
Good, bad, or ugly (markets, not Mr Bernanke), I think it is impossible to have such a mass of economic data globally released on one Friday - the first Friday after the summer holidays - without markets taking either a 2-3% gain (if those numbers are as heavily fudged/revised as I expect them to be in current market conditions and with a US mid-term election approaching; not to mention Batman Ben waiting in the wings to save Wall Street City) or - and this is a very big OR .....
 
We might actually get some truth out of the mouths of those whose job it is to create a long-term fix rather than stick a plaster on things and if that happens .... Friday next week could see markets dive 5% or more.
 
But in my humble opinion, next Friday is going to be the biggest day markets have seen this year and I think all of those whose job it is to 'report' the actual state of affairs, are going to either let us down immensely and spin a 'rosy' look out of a 'black-hole' or we might just get a smidgeon of truth out of the numbers.
 
What do you think?  Are we hoping for too much to be shown the 'real' picture out there?
 
Past experience gives us the answer - and you only have to look to October 2007 for it!
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
In This Issue
US Markets
European Markets
The UK Market
Asia Pacific Markets
Global Commodities
Global Currencies
China This Week
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