Financial Page International

29 August 2009 - Global Markets Review

Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
 
You know me; not a person to say too many positive things about the US; that's for sure.

However, I wanted to start this week's Newsletter by mentioning a new law that the US is implementing starting next week - a law that the rest of the world would do well to follow (at least I think so anyway).

Prerecorded commercial telemarketing calls, known as robocalls, will be illegal starting Tuesday unless the telemarketer has obtained permission in writing from those being called.

The new rule prohibits robocalls whether or not consumers previously have done business with the seller. Penalties are up to $16,000 a call.

How about that then?  All they need to do is go one stage further and prohibit cold calls too and we'd have in my opinion, the perfect attitude to stopping annoying, interrupting, disturbing, frustrating ...... okay, you get the picture.

And what brought about that little outburst of mine?  Guess what, in a week where many people are still on holiday, the following happened:

Monday - 9.20am - called by a Financial Company, offering me 'the offer of a lifetime' - something 'unmissable' and I'd be 'stupid' if I never took the opportunity to know more. 

Where were they based?  They were calling me from South Korea.

9.25am - same company called back and asked why I had put the phone down.

11.30am - South East Asian lady called reception, asked to be put through to me in person and said that her boss was a client of mine and wanted to speak with me.

I took the call and she promptly asked me if I would like to see a Financial Advisor that was 'visiting' Shanghai week commencing 7 September. A Financial Advisor that could make me 30% growth a year offshore.

Tuesday morning - Foreign Financial Company based in Shanghai calls my mobile and asks me if I would like to go to their office to talk 'seriously' about my finances and 'get professional help with my portfolio'.

Having explained that I was not interested, asked the young lady to take my name off of their database or at least annotate that I myself worked in finance, felt that I would not hear from that company again.

One hour later - call on my mobile from same company (different telesales person), giving me the same spiel. I repeated my comments from earlier and asked to be 'blacklisted/highlighted' in their company administration so that I do not receive any calls.

4.30pm - receive call from a 'financial advisor' working for the same company mentioned above, telling me he was 'in my building' next week and could conveniently meet with me for a coffee to 'discuss my finances'.

Retaining all patience, I explain to him who I am, what I do and that this is the third call that I had received that day.  He apologised, said that he was new to the company and new to Shanghai and he would mention it to the telesales people.

He obviously didn't - 5.30pm receive yet another call (fourth for the day) from a young guy at the same company; before he could say his script, I asked to speak to his 'General Manager' as I was fed up with these REPEATED calls from his company (one that I have never heard of before either).

He hung up on me!

Wednesday - whilst eating breakfast, mobile rings and I get a call from a bank in Australia asking me if I would be interested in their Foreign Currency Mortgages.

Late Wednesday afternoon I get a call on the mobile again, foreign financial company in Pudong wanted to know if I was interested in meeting their 'hedge fund specialist' that was in town for 'one day only'.

Thursday - absolutely amazing day - no-one called me and interrupted my day!

Friday - two calls in the space of 5 minutes; first from a financial company here seeing if I want a meeting with one of their advisors. NO, NO and NO.

Second call, young French guy, offering to sell me 10,000 names, email addresses and contact numbers for 'wealthy' Expats here in Shanghai.  He promised me "no other financial company has these names" and he would sell them to me at a discounted price of 8 RMB per name.

Aggggghhhhhhh ........ the joys of cold-calling, robo-calling or whatever they call it now - if only Shanghai would implement the same rules, our days would run a whole lot smoother for not being disturbed.

Yes, I have picked on the 'financial industry' as being the main perpetrators there, but I did also receive a call from a Real Estate company, a 5-star hotel promoting their 'moon-cake launch, a Car-Rental firm and an Ayi company (go figure).

So the US have actually gotten one thing right this week and I applaud them in implementing that new law.

Not much news other than that because I never had much time to work - I was always answering cold-calls or being otherwise disturbed!!!

At least with email 'spam', you can block them or delete them - if someone could invent the same thing for blocking 'cold-callers', Shanghai in particular would be a much better place to conduct business UNDISTURBED!

Rant over. On to the numbers for the week that was:
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....
 US SummaryUS stocks fell as investors sold companies whose profits are least tied to the economy after Dell Inc. and Intel Corp. bolstered confidence that the outlook for technology spending is improving. The Dollar and oil advanced.

Merck & Co., McDonald's Corp. and AT&T Inc. fell as drugmakers, sellers of consumer goods, and phone companies posted the steepest drops in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. Dell, the second-biggest computer maker, gained 1.8% after beating analysts' profit estimates. Intel, the largest chipmaker, added 4% following its increased forecast.

The S&P 500 lost 0.2% to 1,028.93 at 4 p.m. in New York, trimming its second straight weekly gain to 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 36.43 points, or 0.4%, to 9,544.20 in its first drop since Aug. 17. The Dollar Index added 0.4%, while crude oil for October delivery added 0.3% to $72.74 a barrel.

Makers of telephone equipment and drugs and suppliers of household goods failed to keep pace with the S&P 500 as it rebounded from a 12-year low on March 9, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. They also trailed the benchmark gauge for US equities as it doubled between 2002 and 2007, with so- called consumer-staples providers climbing 40% and drugmakers increasing by 41%.

Merck, maker of the asthma and allergy treatment Singulair, fell 1.7% to $32.32, leading health-care companies to the biggest decline among the 10 industries in the S&P 500. Bristol- Myers Squibb Co., the maker of anti-clotting drug Plavix, slid 2.9% to $22.12 after Morgan Stanley lowered its rating to "equal-weight," saying the shares aren't cheap.

McDonald's, the world's largest restaurant company, fell 1% to $56.07. AT&T, the biggest US phone company, dropped 0.8% to $26.21.

Novell Inc. fell the most in the S&P 500, losing 7% to $4.38. The maker of Linux operating-system software posted adjusted quarterly profit of 7 cents a share, missing the average analyst estimates by 4.1%.

Intel rose 4% to $20.25, the biggest gain in the Dow average, and had the biggest positive influence on the S&P 500. Third-quarter sales will be at least $8.8 billion, Intel said in a statement Friday. That compares with at least $8.1 billion the company projected last month. The company also increased its gross-margin forecast for the period.

Dell, the second-biggest maker of personal computers, climbed 1.8% to a 10-month high of $15.93. Dell reported second-quarter profit excluding some item of 28 cents a share on $12.76 billion of revenue. The average analyst estimates in a Bloomberg survey were profit of 22 cents a share on $12.59 billion of sales. Its gross margin also beat estimates.

Tiffany & Co. and J.Crew Group Inc. also beat analyst estimates for profit and sales. Tiffany, the world's second- largest luxury jeweler, rose 11% to $37.57 for the second-biggest advance in the S&P 500. J.Crew Group, the clothing retailer, advanced 6% to $34.73.

More than 72% of S&P 500 companies beat the average analyst estimate for second-quarter earnings, matching the highest proportion since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1993.

Led by financial companies, the S&P 500 rose to its highest level since Oct. 6 Thursday, extending its rebound since March 9 to 52%.

AIG and Citigroup were two of the strongest stocks on the S&P as momentum built behind the two financial conglomerates, which have both been bailed out by the government.

This strength forced short sellers out of the market, contributing to sharp rises and frenzied trading.

That pattern continued on Friday, as Citigroup gained 3.6% to $5.23 while AIG rose 5% to $50.23, taking its weekly gains above 50%.

Tiffany the luxury jewellery retailer, also beat estimates by some distance after seeing sales drop by less than analysts had predicted. The company said declines in customer spending were slowing and lifted its full-year forecast. That saw the shares advance 11.3% to $37.57.

Weakness during the day came from defensive stocks, with some of the country's biggest drugmakers losing ground.

Bristol-Myers Squibb gave up 2.9% to $22.12, while Merck lost 1.7% to $32.32.
European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....
 Europe SummaryEuropean shares rose for the first time in three sessions Friday with investors cheered by results from companies such as L'Oreal and Carrefour.

The pan-European Dow Jones Stoxx 600 index gained 1.1% to 237.70.

Miners led the way, as shares of BHP Billiton climbed 1.7% and Rio Tinto rose 1.8%.

Overall, the French CAC-40 index rose 1.2% to 3,693.14, the German DAX index climbed 0.9% to 5,517.35 and the UK's FTSE 100 index gained 0.8% to 4,908.90.

GERMANY

German stocks climbed for the first time in three days, sending the DAX Index to a weekly gain, as companies from Dell Inc. to L'Oreal SA reported earnings that beat analysts' estimates and metal prices advanced.

Beiersdorf AG jumped 2.9% as L'Oreal reported a smaller-than-estimated earnings decline and forecast a recovery, prompting upgrades from three banks. ThyssenKrupp AG and Salzgitter AG, Germany's biggest steelmakers, advanced at least 1.2%. Volkswagen AG declined for a fifth straight week.

The benchmark DAX Index added 0.9% to 5,517.35, extending its weekly gain to 1%. The measure has rallied 51% since March 6 as companies worldwide from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Bayer AG posted better- than-projected earnings and economic data signaled improvement. The broader HDAX Index also advanced 0.9% Friday.

German stocks extended gains after a report showed European confidence in the economic outlook increased twice as much as economists forecast in August. An index of executive and consumer sentiment in the 16 nations that use the Euro rose to 80.6, the highest since October, from 76 in July, the European Commission in Brussels said Friday. Economists had predicted a two-point increase to 78, according to the median of 29 estimates.

Beiersdorf, the maker of adhesives and skin care products, climbed 2.9% to 36.24 Euros. L'Oreal, the world's largest cosmetics maker, said operating profit fell 8.3% to 1.37 billion Euros ($1.96 billion) in the six months through June. Oddo Securities, Bank of America Corp. and UBS AG all upgraded the stock.

ThyssenKrupp gained 2.5% to 24.28 Euros as metal prices rose in London. Smaller competitor Salzgitter climbed 1.2% to 68.00 Euros. Steelmakers are resuming production at mills from China to Russia and the US as the industry pulls out of its worst slump since World War II.

Commerzbank AG, Germany's second-biggest bank, surged 7.2% to 6.53 Euros. The German government currently has no plans to cut its stake in the bank, Finance Ministry spokesman Oliver Heyder-Rentsch said Friday. The Swiss government sold its 6 billion-Swiss franc ($5.6 billion) investment in UBS AG last week.

MAN SE, Europe's third-largest truckmaker, rallied 2.7% to 53.88 Euros. The company expects 50% of sales from emerging economies in the next five years, Chairman Hakan Samuelsson said in New Delhi Friday. The company gets about 25% of its revenue from emerging markets currently, Samuelsson said.

BASF SE, the world's biggest chemical company, followed European chemicals shares higher, adding 1.8% to 36.96 Euros. The company named Saori Dubourg as head of its regional functions and country management Asia Pacific.

Bayer AG added 1.5% to 42.97 Euros. The drugmaker's material science unit will reduce costs by moving its research center in Uerdingen, Germany to a site in Leverkusen, Rheinische Post said, citing Guenter Hilken, the company's head of polycarbonates.

Siemens AG, Europe's biggest engineering company, rallied 1.3% to 61.03 Euros. The company is investing $15 million Euros in Arava Power Company, an Israeli solar plant developer, and securing a 40% stake.

Infineon Technologies AG increased 4.2% to 3.51 Euros. Intel Corp., the world's biggest chipmaker, raised its sales forecast for this quarter, adding to evidence that computer demand is recovering. Dell Inc., the world's second- biggest maker of personal computers, reported profit and revenue Thursday that topped analysts' estimates.

Volkswagen, which has slumped 40% since Aug. 14, when Porsche SE said Qatar will buy a stake and take over most of the company's options for Volkswagen shares, lost 2.4% to 135.60 Euros. The company's preferred stock is overtaking its common shares for investors as Qatar prepares to exercise options that may reduce the stock's free float to less than 10%.

Praktiker AG rallied 5.7% to 9.24 Euros, a seventh straight advance. Germany's second-biggest home- improvement retailer was raised to "overweight" from "neutral" at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

FRANCE

France's CAC 40 Index advanced 44.61, or 1.2%, to 3,693.14, taking its weekly gain to 2.1%. The SBF 120 Index also rose 1.2% to 2,687.10 Friday.

Aeroports de Paris added 1.49 Euros, or 2.5%, to 61.16, reversing Thursday's 1.4% decline. The operator of the French capital's Roissy-Charles de Gaulle and Orly airports said net income rose 1.3% to 127.3 million Euros ($182.8 million) in the first half.

Bouygues surged 2.94 Euros, or 9.1%, to 35.10 Euros, the highest in 11 months. The builder and mobile phone operator increased its sales forecast for 2009, helped by a "slight" improvement in the outlook for its construction business.

Carrefour rose 1.45 Euros, or 4.6%, to 33.10 Euros. Europe's biggest retailer confirmed its full-year targets and reported a first-half net loss of 58.1 million Euros after writing down the value of assets in Italy and lowering French food prices to keep cash-strapped shoppers from defecting to rivals. The net loss was in line with analysts' estimates.

Euler Hermes soared 2.96 Euros, or 6.7%, to 47.46. JPMorgan Chase & Co. initiated coverage of the world's largest credit insurer with an "overweight" recommendation and a price estimate of 65 Euros.

Hermes International slipped 1.05 Euros, or 1%, to 103.00 Euros, paring three days of gains. The maker of Birkin handbags said first-half net income fell 7% to 125.4 million Euros.

JCDecaux added 48 cents, or 3.1%, to 15.68 Euros, a second day of gains. Credit Suisse Group AG upgraded the world's second-largest seller of outdoor ads to "neutral" from "underperform."

L'Oreal soared 4.81 Euros, or 7.4%, to 69.50, the steepest climb in nine months. The world's largest cosmetics maker said first-half profit fell 14% to 1.08 billion Euros as European and US shoppers bought less makeup and perfume.

UBS AG and Bank of America Corp. upgraded the stock to "neutral" from "sell" and to "buy" from "neutral," respectively.

Lagardere rose 2.16 Euros, or 7.6%, to 30.45 Euros, the highest level since February. France's largest publisher said first-half net income fell 19% to 129 million Euros, excluding returns from its stake in European Aeronautic Defence & Space Co. The company said operating results up to the end of June confirmed its "ability to meet" its full-year guidance.

Orco Property dropped 84 cents, or 7.6%, to 10.24 Euros, extending Thursday's 5.1% slide. The developer with much of its business in central and eastern Europe said its net loss for the first half of the year widened as the value of its real-estate portfolio fell 12%.

STMicroelectronics surged 68 cents, or 12%, to 6.17 Euros, the steepest climb since 2002. Dell Inc., the world's second-biggest maker of personal computers, topped profit and revenue estimates and Marvell Technology Group Ltd., the maker of chips for computers and mobile phones, reported per-share earnings that were 30% higher than analysts anticipated in the second quarter.

Separately Bank of America increased its price estimate on Europe's largest semiconductor maker to 7 Euros from 6 Euros and reiterated a "buy" recommendation.

Suez Environnement rose 18 cents, or 1.2%, to 14.50 Euros, paring Thursday's drop. Morgan Stanley lifted its recommendation on Europe's second-biggest water company to "overweight" from "equal-weight."

BELGIUM
 
In Brussels the Bel 20 ended Friday at 2,393.66, gains of 0.75% on the day.

Shares in Tessenderlo slipped as much as 5.0% after the Belgian chemicals and plastics group reports a worse-than-expected second-quarter operating loss late on Thursday and says it sees no market recovery yet.

The figures were hit by large provisions for plastics restructuring and inventory writedowns.

The shares fell to a low of 24.25 Euros in early trading and were the weakest in Belgium's mid-cap index.
 
Shares in Omega Pharma jumped more than 16% to hit a seven-month high after the Belgian health products distributor reports a first-half core profit above expectations and says that demand for its products is picking up lightly in most countries.

ING increases its rating to "buy" from "hold" and Bank Degroof to "accumulate" from "hold".

Fortis, the insurer that sold its banking businesses in October to avert a collapse, reported a first-half profit, helped by proceeds from a divestment.
 
Net income amounted to 886 million Euros ($1.26 billion), Fortis, based in Brussels and the Dutch city of Utrecht, said Friday in a statement. The insurer had a 697 million-Euro gain on the sale of 25% of AG Insurance NV, Belgium's biggest life insurer, to Paris-based BNP Paribas SA.

Fortis, Belgium's biggest financial-services company before it was forced to sell most of its assets last year because of the credit crisis, said it will publish the results of a review on Sept. 25 that aims to streamline the organization. The company has cut jobs at its headquarters and repurchased debt to lower costs since emerging from its breakup as an insurer.

THE NETHERLANDS

Amsterdam's AEX closed out the week 300.20 - up 1.1% Friday.

Heineken NV, the world's third- largest brewer, reported a 20% gain in first-half profit that beat analysts' estimates on cost savings and higher prices.

Net income climbed to 489 million Euros ($699 million) from 407 million Euros a year earlier, the Amsterdam-based company said Friday. The average estimate compiled by Bloomberg was 425 million Euros. Heineken rose as much as 9.3% in Amsterdam trading, the steepest intraday advance in 10 months.

The maker of Amstel and the US's Heineken Premium Light reduced expenses by 50 million Euros in the first half under its so-called Total Cost Management program, which has shed jobs in the US and Europe and culled warehouses and trucks globally. Heineken also increased prices in markets from the US to eastern Europe to offset shrinking consumption.

Dutch retail property group Eurocommercial Properties met forecasts with a 4.3% rise in annual operating profit and said the value of its portfolio had fallen 8.8% over the year.

Investment writedowns stood at 208 million Euros ($299 million) at the end-June finish to its fiscal year, up from 105 million at the end of March, ECP said on Friday.

It made a 2008-09 operating profit of 65.1 million Euros.

Shares in ECP, which manages around 2 billion Euros in property, mainly in France, Sweden and Italy, were up 1.2% at 26.9150 Euros.

Dutch oil and chemicals storage company Royal Vopak raised its core profit outlook after strong demand and capacity expansion drove profit growth in the first half.

The revised outlook assumed a 95 capacity utilisation rate for the rest of the year, finance director Jack de Kreij said in an interview on Friday.

Vopak, which stores and handles liquid and gaseous chemical and oil products, now expects 2009 earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), excluding exceptionals, of about 495 million Euros ($711 million), up from at least 450 million.

Its shares, which had risen about 70% since the start of the year, were up 2.5% at 46.65 Euros.
 
SWITZERLAND

The SMI in Zurich finished the week on 6,211.58 - up 0.69% for the day.

The Swiss economy grew at a faster pace last year than previously thought, revised data showed on Friday.

Swiss gross domestic product grew by 1.8% in 2008, the Federal Statistics Office said, revising the growth rate up from an originally reported 1.6%.

The statistics office also revised growth for 2007 up to 3.6% from 3.3%.

The Swiss economy is expected to shrink by some 3% in 2009, which would be the worst drop in over 30 years.

The economy shrank by 0.8% on the quarter in the first three months of 2009. Second quarter data is due next week.

In a rare sign of confidence in the struggling insurance sector, Baloise Holding Thursday reaffirmed its medium-term goals and said it saw signs of rising premiums in Europe, even as the Swiss firm's first-half net profit edged down 11%.

Baloise's bullish outlook, which contrasts sharply to bearish comments made by peers such as Swiss Life Holding and industry watchers such as Fitch Ratings, comes as many life and non-life insurers are being hurt by jittery financial markets and slow consumer demand in the economic downturn.

Rating agency Moody's Investors Service in mid-August said that conditions in the industry, both in the life and non-life segment, remain "challenging" and that many insurers are in need of repairing their balance sheet by tapping fresh funds before the industry can recover.
 
Since the start of the recession, many insurers have been forced to cut premiums, the prices for products such as car insurance or fire-protection policies. However, due to higher claims, Baloise said the company is now able to ask for higher prices again.

Drug discovery company Mondobiotech is listing on the Swiss stock exchange, and plans to issue new shares on a regular basis to ensure its future funding, it said on Wednesday.

Mondobiotech, based in Stans in central Switzerland, focuses on discovering new treatments for rare and neglected diseases, then licenses those drug candidates to third parties.

The company gave no details of how much it hopes to raise from going public.

It is the first health care company to list on the Swiss exchange since Addex in 2007, though there are other potential offerings in the wings.

AUSTRIA

Vienna's ATX managed sharp gains Friday, up 2.23% to finish the week at 2,554.82.

German airline Deutsche Lufthansa AG said Friday the European Commission has approved its takeover of Austrian Airlines Group, allowing it start integrating the company in September.

Cologne-based Lufthansa is taking over about 42% of the shares of Austrian Airlines owned by the government for about Euro336,000 ($480,000), according to the European Commission.

The commission also approved a Euro500 million government restructuring program, which Lufthansa has said in the past would be necessary to reduce Austrian's debt.

Lufthansa also made a Euro166 million offer for the free floating Austrian shares and has more than the necessary 75% for the takeover, Lufthansa said.

Lufthansa said it would extend the Austrian share purchase by about another week, but then envisions a squeeze out of the remaining minority shareholders.

The EU made its decision based on the condition that Lufthansa and Austrian give up some of their flights on the routes between Vienna and Frankfurt, Munich, Stuttgart, Cologne and Brussels for competition reasons.

Lufthansa has been busy consolidating the airline industry, and is now Europe's largest airline by sales ahead of AirFrance-KLM.

Austrian steelmaker Voestalpine is phasing out shorter working hours for around 3,500 staff at its biggest site as capacity rises, but it reiterated there was still the risk of an economic slump in 2010.

Voestalpine put around a third of its staff in its steelmaking branch on shorter working hours at the beginning of 2009 as demand for steel products dried up and orders slumped as the global slowdown set in.

The company said on Friday that the workers at its Linz plant would go back on to full working hours from the beginning of September because the environment had improved. Its shares were trading over 5% higher by 0800 GMT at 22.26 Euros, outperforming a 1.7% rise in the DJ Stoxx Basic Resources index.

Austria's economy has rallied in 2009, helping to boost returns of the iShares MSCI Austria Investable Market Index Fund (EWO) to more than 61% year to date.

EWO is among the popular iShares MSCI funds. This indexing method allows iShares to take "slices" of the MSCI index to offer individual country funds.

EWO tracks the MSCI Austria Investable Market Index, which contains publicly traded securities in the Austrian market.

The fund uses a capitalization weighting strategy, so Austria's largest companies are included in EWO's basket.

SWEDEN

The OMX 30 in Stockholm ended a volatile week at 919.91, up 1.99% for Friday.

The Swedish stock exchange is set to agree on giving shareholders the right to the same price in a takeover, regardless of the amount of voting power commanded by the share, the bourse said on Wednesday.

Nasdaq OMX, the owner of the Stockholm bourse, will announce a decision on possible new rules on Thursday.

The Swedish system allows companies to have different series of shares which usually give the shareholder of a class A stock greater voting power than the owner of a B share.

A shares and B shares would get the same price in the case of an offer - adding that a formal decision has not yet been made.

But according to custom, the bourse follows the recommendation of the Swedish Industry and Commerce Stock Exchange Committee.

The committee has suggested the changes as a part of a bigger package of regulatory changes, according to the bourse.

The issue of different pricing on series A and series B stocks became a hot topic in Sweden in 2007 when the Icelandic investment firm Milestone placed a cash bid on the financial group Invik.

Milestone offered 253 Swedish Crowns ($35.97) per A share, but only 230 Crowns for a class B share, causing a storm of discontent among shareholders.

Under the proposed new rules, a bidder could be allowed set aside the rules on equal treatment in certain cases. However, it would need to offer an equal premium on the past share price performance for both kinds of stock.

World number two truck maker Volvo AB said its truck shipments fell 54% year-on-year in July as the economic downturn weighed on demand for commercial vehicles across the globe.

Volvo, which sells trucks under brands such as Renault, Nissan Diesel and Mack as well as its own name, said in a statement on Thursday deliveries fell 66% in Europe, its biggest market, and shrank 46% in North America.

In Asia, Volvo's truck deliveries were down 42% from a year ago.

Shares in the company were down 1.2% to 63 Crowns.

Finnish insurer Sampo said Thursday it has applied for a license to increase its ownership above 20% in Nordic financial group Nordea Bank AB in a move that would make it the bank's largest shareholder.

Sampo said it will submit an application to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority to raise its stake above 20% from 19.45% held on Aug. 25.

The insurer has gradually increased its stake in Swedish-based Nordea and said it intends to consolidate the bank into its account once exceeding the 20% threshold.

The Swedish state owns close to 19.8% in the bank, but has long sought to divest its holding as part of a privatization drive, which was put on hold after the financial crisis escalated this autumn.

Sampo said it will announce the decision from the FSA once it receives it.

DENMARK

Copenhagen's OMX 20 finished Friday up 1.39% at 339.46.

Denmark's central bank trimmed its key lending interest rate by 10 basis points to 1.35% on Thursday to ease upward pressure on the Crown and narrow the spread to the Euro zone.

Growth in the foreign-exchange reserves of the central bank, whose monetary policy aims to keep the Crown within a 2.25% band to the Euro, sometimes triggers interest rate changes.

'The reduction is a consequence of purchases of foreign exchange in the market,' Nationalbanken said in a statement, giving the same reason for the cut as it did when it last trimmed the lending rate by 10 bps on Aug. 13.

The bank gave no other explanation for the cut, which narrowed the gap to the ECB's refinancing rate to 35 basis points, and its spokesman Karsten Biltoft declined to comment further.

The bank's foreign exchange reserves climbed by 6.2 billion Crowns to 336.4 billion in July, and the bank is scheduled to release its August reserves figures on Sept. 2.

The bank's forex reserves have risen every month since October 2008 when they fell to 132.4 billion Crowns.

The Danish Crown softened only marginally on the news, 7.4436 to the Euro by 1438 GMT from 7.4433 just before the announcement.

The Crown has firmed from levels around 7.45 to the Euro seen in early May and from a 2009 trough of 7.4567 in March.

The bank's monetary policy aims to keep the currency steady around its central parity of 7.46038 per Euro and between 7.2925 and 7.6282 Crowns.

The cut was the Danish central bank's 10th since it began easing from 5.50% in November 2008 as the global financial crisis deepened.

It was the bank's third independent rate cut -- two 10 bps cuts in August and one 10 bps reduction in June -- since May when it last lowered rates simultaneously with the ECB.

The Board of Directors of Ossur Friday decided to apply for listing of the Company's shares on NASDAQ OMX Copenhagen.

Ossur's shares will continue to be listed on NASDAQ OMX Iceland as they have been since 1999.

An additional listing on NASDAQ OMX Copenhagen is believed to make strong strategic sense for the Company. Copenhagen offers access to the international investor community and is a recognized market for healthcare companies.

Listing and compliance requirements are similar in Denmark and Iceland and both exchanges are part of the NASDAQ OMX Nordic group.

FINLAND

The OMX Helsinki followed regional leads and closed out the week at 6,305.56, up 1.62% for the session.

It's official - Finland's economy is in deep recession!

Finland grew strongly from 2004 to 2007, with 3.9% average growth - way above the Euro area. But growth in 2008 dropped to 0.92%. High inflation, the credit crunch, and lower demand for Finland's exports, which account for around 45% of GDP, squeezed the economy. 

Export volumes contracted 25.5% y-o-y in Q1 2009. Because of this, economy is expected to shrink by as much as 5.7% in 2009. Unemployment, now 9.1%, is expected to be over 10% by the end of 2009.

Finland's long housing boom was encouraged by a decade of under-building. Less than 30,000 dwellings were completed annually from 1994 to 1999, down on 40,000 units annually from 1983 to 1991 (with a peak level of 65,397 units in 1990).

Around 58% of dwellings are owner-occupied, 32% are for rental while other forms of tenure account for the remaining 10%. Around 40% of new dwellings in Finland are bought by housing associations, and 35% by private individuals.

Finland's private rental market is still relatively subdued, with about half of rental dwellings (about 800,000 units) receiving some form of government subsidy or support. Even with the complete deregulation of the private rental market in 1995, private rents are still distorted, due to the large social housing sector. Government subsidized rents are 25% lower than private rents in Helsinki, and 15% cheaper for Finland as a whole.

After the initial rapid rent increases after rent liberalization, recent rental growth has been slow. From 2001 to 2007, house prices in Finland rose by around 50%, while private rents trailed with growth of only 17%. In Helsinki, house prices rose 55% while private rents rose by only 12% over the same period. This has led to relatively low rental yields in Finland, ranging from 3.7% to 5.8% per annum in August 2008, according to the Global Property Guide.

In 2008, private rents rose 4.06% y-o-y, while government-subsidized rents rose by 5.3%.

In 2009 low inflation and weak demand, and a larger supply of units as home sellers lease out unsold second houses, are expected to moderate rent rises.

By June 2009 annual inflation was only 0.1%, raising concerns of a deflationary cycle similar to Japan's. In response, the government has increased spending and cut taxes, pushing the budget into deficit for the first time since 1997. This year's deficit is expected to be 2.5% of GDP.

Mobile phone maker Nokia Corporation (NOK) was initiated as a "Sell" by analysts at MKM Partners on Thursday.

The analyst also set a $10 price target on the shares, which closed at $13.13 on Wednesday. MKM cited Nokia's disappointing near-term pricing for the negative rating.

MKM said "We have been avoiding shares of NOK since our early June coverage began, when shares were trading at the $26 level."

"The company has a dividend yield of 3.96%, based on last night's closing price of $13.13. The stock has technical support in the $12-13 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $18 price level. We would remain on the sidelines for now."

NORWAY

Oslo's OBX ended Friday at 278.44 - up 1.81% for the day.

Shares in Norwegian oil company Rocksource tumbled 6.6% Tuesday after it revised down its 2009 oil production target on a sharper than expected fall in US output and swung to a second quarter net loss on lower revenues.

The company also announced its chairman Dag Dvergsten had stepped down to focus on his position as a senior adviser for the company.

Rocksource traded down NOK0.27 or 6.6% to NOK3.82, outstripping the 0.52% decline on Oslo's OSEBX index.

The company has faced a number of technical challenges at its onshore US production wells, forcing it to cut its 2009 production target to 1,300 barrels of oil equivalents a day, from 1,700 boe/day previously.

It had previously warned of the risk of a downgrade.

Rocksource said production challenges, combined with low gas prices, led to a drop in revenues in the second quarter, pushing it to a net loss of NOK39.3 million compared to a profit of NOK41.8 million in the same period a year ago.

Revenue in the period tumbled to NOK22.6 million from NOK90.0 million a year ago, while operating expenses increased to NOK95.1 million from NOK77.5 million in the second quarter of 2008.

Average daily production in the quarter was 1,422 boe/day, down from 1,707 boe/day in the first quarter after wells were shut in to replace production tubing and allow for stimulation.

Oslo-listed oilfield services group Prosafe posted a forecast-lagging 25% drop in second-quarter profit on Thursday, but said it expected good long-term demand in the accommodation rig market.

Operating profit fell to $47 million in April-June from $63 million a year earlier, matching the trend of many of its oil services sector peers as oil prices fell but lagging an average forecast of $50 million in a Reuters poll of 12 analysts.

Prosafe, which owns 12 accommodation rigs or "flotels" for workers on offshore fields, declared an interim dividend of 0.35 Crowns per share for the second-quarter.

Norwegian oil rig company Seadrill reported a bigger-than-expected rise in second-quarter operating profit on Thursday and said it was seeking to list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange next year.

"As alluded to in the second quarter report last year and in response to the growth of the company, the board has decided to seek a US listing," Seadrill said in a statement. It said it was targeting the listing in the first quarter of 2010.

Operating profit rose in the three months to end-June to $339 million from $212 million a year ago, with the increase mainly due to a full quarter in operation for four new rigs as well as improved overall utilization.

Estimates ranged between $253 million and $377 million, with an average of $320 million.

SPAIN

The Ibex in Madrid closed out another volatile week at 11,442.70, an uptick of 0.76% for the days' proceedings.

Spain's recession-hit economy shrank 1.1% in the second quarter, official data showed on Thursday, worse than the original estimate of 1.0%.

Compared with a year earlier, the economy contracted 4.2%, rather than 4.1%, according to final figures provided by the National Statistics Institute.

The second quarter marks the fourth consecutive contraction in the once booming economy. It shrank 1.9% in the first three months of the year, 1.0% in the last quarter of 2008 and 0.3% in the third quarter of 2008.
 
Spain's economy has proved especially vulnerable to the global credit crunch because growth relied heavily on credit-fueled domestic demand and a property boom boosted by easy access to loans.

Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana Friday said it swung to a net loss in the second quarter, hit by falling demand for air travel as the recession grips Spain.

The country's largest airline by sales reported a net loss of Eur72.8 million, after a Eur21.2 million net profit a year earlier.

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortization and aircraft rentals - Iberia's preferred measure of profitability - was Eur2.4 million, down from Eur135.4 million a year earlier, while revenue fell 22% to Eur1.07 billion.

The company has reduced domestic flights in favor of more lucrative long-haul flights, mostly to Latin America. This segment has also been hit by the international financial crisis, as well as the company's other strategic bet during Spain's boom years, an expanded business section.

Iberia has been adjusting to the weaker demand for air travel by slashing routes and frequencies as well as operating smaller aircraft on some routes.
 
The company added it had accelerated capacity cuts to 6%, a deeper reduction than the 4.3% cut it had originally set out in its contingency plan last year.

To reach the cuts, Iberia said it would ground three more short and medium-haul aircraft and has delayed the delivery of new long-haul Airbus A-340-600 planes. Iberia said the combined reduction accounted for 10 aircraft.

The weaker economy in Spain is taking a toll on domestic demand, resulting in a drop in total occupancy rates - or passenger load factor - of 0.7 percentage points to 78.9% in the first half, in spite of the company's moves to adjust to the lower demand.

Operating costs fell 9.6% to Eur2.44 billion in the first half as the company scaled back operations and cut personnel and other costs.

Iberia has spent Eur580.1 million so far this year on fuel, down from Eur732.1 million in the first six months of 2008. The company said that the drop was due to a fall in oil prices, lower consumption of fuel as the company reduced capacity and hedges on the Dollar/Euro exchange rate.

Iberia and British Airways have maintained a long-standing code-sharing agreement and are negotiating the terms of a tie-up. Hopes of a merger were rekindled in July when Iberia named Antonio Vazquez as its new chairman.

The company's statement Friday gave no additional information about the planned merger.

PORTUGAL

The PSI General in Lisbon ended at 2,681.09, one of the few markets in Europe actually down - dropping 0.02% on the day.

Portugal's retail-heavy Sonae conglomerate reported on Tuesday a 38% fall in second-quarter net profit, hit by a drop in mall property prices, but said sales improved, allowing it to cautiously expect profitable growth.

Portugal's largest employer runs the Continente supermarket chain as well as domestic appliance, sporting goods and other megastore chains. It also has a telecommunications division and an international shopping mall development and management business.

"We remain cautious about the overall economy and the uncertain evolution of the markets where we operate," Sonae Chief Executive Officer Paulo Azevedo said in a statement, singling out competitive pressures in the retail and telecoms areas.

"Despite this caution, the resilience of the cash flows generated at almost all our businesses allows us to be confident in our ability to maintain our shareholder remuneration policy," Sonae said, also promising "profitable growth while building a strong market position."

While net profit fell to 7 million Euros ($10 million) from a year ago, it was a sharp improvement from the first quarter's loss of around 36 million Euros, as the pace of real estate depreciation decreased and sales improved, partly helped by Easter holidays falling in April this year.

Overall revenues rose 9% to 1.34 billion Euros and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization jumped nearly 12% to 155 million Euros, slightly exceeding market expectations.

Portuguese pulp and paper group Portucel Soporcel is expected to follow its European counterparts and look to Brazil, Uruguay and Mozambique to set up factories, analysts cited by Portuguese news agency Lusa said.

This would be a long term project that aimed to boost Portucel Soporcel's organic growth, as the group "has been analysing several alternatives for its international expansion," in regions "where natural conditions provide high levels of forestry productivity."

According to the analysts cited, large international groups have already opened the way for these types of investment, notably Swedish-Finnish group Stora-Enso, which shares the Veracel pulp factory in Brazil with Aracruz and recently, in consortium with Chile's Arauco, acquired the forestry assets of Spain's Ence in Uruguay (around 110,000 hectares).

ITALY

Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index gained 197.76, or 0.9%, to 22,672.54 in Milan. The gauge increased 3.5% this week.

Atlantia gained 34 cents, or 2.2%, to 15.69 Euros, the highest in more than two weeks. Intermonte Sim SpA reiterated a "buy" rating on Europe's largest toll-highway operator, citing "potential improvement in traffic." The brokerage said the stock "could be a good buying opportunity for a 3-6 month investment window."

Autogrill, the world's biggest manager of airport restaurants, retreated 19 cents, or 2.4%, to 7.74 Euros. "Some profit taking, coupled with the break of this week's low at 7.85 Euros, affected the shares," said Davide Manenti, head of research at Nuovi Investimenti Sim SpA.

Banca Italease SpA dropped 15 cents, or 6.4%, to 2.2 Euros. The Italian leasing company had a first- half loss of 160.4 million Euros ($230.3 million) and said a coupon on 150 million Euros of preferred securities due on Sept. 8 won't be paid. A shortfall in regulatory capital "negatively impacts the possibilities for developing Banca Italease's core business activity," the company said.

"Italease remains the single most important risk factor for Banco Popolare's shareholders," Credit Suisse Group AG said in a note Friday. Banco Popolare SC (BP IM), the first Italian bank to seek state aid during the financial crisis and Italease's main shareholder, fell 6.5 cents, or 1%, to 6.28 Euros. The lender said after the closing of the market that net income in the first half fell to 204 million Euros from 319 million Euros.

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena fell 4.7 cents, or 3.1%, to 1.49 Euros, ending a two-day gain. Italy's third-biggest bank said second-quarter net income totaled 31.5 million Euros, missing the 37.2 million-Euro average estimate of eight analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Citigroup Inc. kept a "sell" rating, saying "bad debt provisions were a touch higher."

Banca Akros cut its recommendation on the stock to "sell" from "reduce."

Brembo SpA advanced 19 cents, or 3.5%, to 5.56 Euros. The world's largest manufacturer of disk brakes said in a statement that "the first signs of recovery began to appear in the second quarter," allowing the company to post net income of 6.5 million Euros in the three-month period.

Exane BNP Paribas increased its price estimate to 5.4 Euros from 2.8 Euros. The brokerage kept an "underperform" rating. UBS AG reiterated a "neutral" recommendation, while lifting its price projection to 5.2 Euros from 4.7 Euros.

Bulgari SpA fell for a third day, losing 7.5 cents, or 1.4%, to 5.13 Euros. Equita Sim SpA downgraded the world's third-largest jeweler to "hold" and removed the stock from its "main portfolio."

Hera SpA dropped 4.7 cents, or 2.6%, to 1.74 Euros, the biggest loss in almost three weeks. Intermonte Sim SpA downgraded the municipal utility in the Bologna region in Italy to "underperform" from "neutral."

Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione added 9 cents, or 6.5%, to 1.48 Euros, paring a 7.7% loss Thursday. The owner of shopping centers had its price estimate increased to 1.65 Euros from 1.45 Euros at Cheuvreux. The brokerage reiterated an "outperform" rating.

Impregilo added 4 cents, or 1.4%, to 2.89 Euros. Italy's biggest builder posted first-half net income of 55.3 million Euros on sales of 1.43 billion Euros.

The company doesn't see difficulties in meeting 2009 targets, Impregilo said in a stock-exchange statement Friday.

Intesa Sanpaolo rose for a seventh day, adding 7.25 cents, or 2.4%, to 3.06 Euros. Italy's second- biggest bank said second-quarter profit fell 62%, beating analysts' estimates, as it put aside more money to cover bad loans. UBS AG increased its price estimate to 3.3 Euros from 2.8 Euros after the results and reiterated a "buy" rating.

Italcementi gained for the first time in four days, adding 13 cents, or 1.3%, to 10.52 Euros. Bank of America Corp. increased its price estimate on Italy's largest cement maker to 8.2 Euros from 6.1 Euros, leaving an "underperform" rating unchanged.

Saipem, Europe's largest oil-field services contractor by market value, gained 19 cents, or 1%, to 18.93 Euros. Crude oil rose for a second day, rising above $73 a barrel, as advancing equity indexes boosted confidence that the global economy will rebound.

Tenaris, the world's biggest maker of seamless steel tubes for pipelines, increased 12 cents, or 1.2%, to 10.39 Euros.

STMicroelectronics climbed 67 cents, or 12%, to 6.15 Euros, the steepest increase since October 2002. Intel Corp., the world's biggest chipmaker, raised its sales forecast for this quarter, adding to evidence that computer demand is recovering.

Separately Bank of America Corp. increased its price estimate on Europe's largest semiconductor maker to 7 Euros from 6 Euros and reiterated a "buy" recommendation.

Tiscali gained 3.1 cents, or 9.7%, to 35.15 cents. The Italian Internet provider announced a reverse stock split at a ratio of one share for every 10 existing shares. The reverse split is expected to be effective by the end of September, Tiscali said in a note. The company also said that its first-half loss widened to 402.9 million Euros after the sale of assets in the UK

GREECE

In Athens the Athens Composite (Athex) closed out Friday at 2,540.40 - only the second European market to drop on the day; down 0.16%.

Growth in Greek household borrowing slowed to an annual 5.2% in July from 6.2% in June, in line with broader Euro zone trends, the country's central bank said on Thursday.

A sharp slowdown in economic activity coupled with tighter credit conditions are eating into the loan growth that fuelled consumption and economic expansion in Greece and boosted bank earnings.

Greece's economy, about 2.5% of the Euro zone, may slip into recession in 2009 after years of 4% growth, the central bank has said, a view shared by the EU Commission, the IMF and the OECD.

The Bank of Greece said household loan balances grew by 383 million Euros in July. Mortgages grew by a slower 5.2% annual pace or 329 million Euros, from 6.0% in June.

Consumer credit expanded by 5.8%, down from 7.1% in June and 16% in December.

The trend was in line with decelerating private sector loan growth in the Euro zone, where credit to households and businesses in the 16-nation region fell to a record slow annual pace of 0.6% in July.

Greek authorities have sought to keep the pace of credit expansion above 10% this year and came up with a 28 billion Euro bank support package to keep the economy adequately funded.

But the pace of credit expansion to the private sector is now seen slowing to 5 to 6% by the end of the year, Greece's central bank has said.

The Bank of Greece said credit to business also slowed to an annual 7.9% clip in July from 8.6% in June.
 
Titan Cement Thursday said that second-quarter net profit fell 48% as building activity slumped in most of its key markets, and it warned of further weakness ahead.

"The outlook for the remainder of 2009 is influenced by the global financial crisis," the company said in a statement. "Prevailing market trends in the regions where the group operates are anticipated to continue throughout 2009."

For the three months to June 30, the company said net profit fell to Eur38.1 million from Eur73.3 million a year earlier hit by slowing demand for cement in Greece, the US and the Balkans. Revenue also fell, down 11.6% to Eur375.7 million from Eur424.9 million a year earlier.

However, the results are not directly comparable with year-earlier financial data because of two major acquisitions the company made in Turkey and Egypt early last year.

The second quarter figures were exactly in-line analysts' expectations of a 48% drop in net profit and an 11% decrease in revenue.

Eurobank EFG reported Thursday that Q2 net profit went up by 9% q-o-q to €88m.

On a first half net basis, net profit reached 169 mil. Euro, registering a 61% drop "on account of sharply higher provisions and in-line with market expectations," as Dow Jones Newswires notes.

Bank's Q2 net interest income expanded 8.5% q/q reaching 590 mil. Euro. Again, on H1 terms, it dropped 1.9% shaping at 1.13 bn Euro.

Organic profit almost doubled to €61m in 2Q09, from €33m in 1Q09 while group business loans expanded by 7.1% y-o-y and mortgages by 10.3% y-o-y, the bank said.

New loan disbursements to businesses and households in Greece exceeded €6bn in 1H09 with total deposits growing by 7.3% y-o-y and loans to deposits ratio further improving to 117%1 from 120% in 1Q09 and 122% at the end of 2008.
The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsShares in package holiday group Thomas Cook rose 2.9% to 231p on talk that Arcandor's stake could be sold early next week amid strong demand.

Traders said the 43.9% holding may be placed at about 210p a share, a narrower discount than some investors had feared. Lenders including Royal Bank of Scotland seized the shares as collateral after Arcandor, the German retailer, collapsed in June.

Evolution Securities was cynical of the talk, advising clients to shun any sale priced above 150p a share.

Miners and financial stocks helped push the FTSE 100 to its second successive monthly gain. The index Thursday rose 0.8%, or 39.55 points, to 4,908.9, its second highest close of the year. For August the Footsie gained 6.5%.

Lloyds Banking Group led the day's risers, up 6.3% to 111¼p. The debate over whether it should cut its exposure to the government's Asset Protection Scheme has squeezed the shares higher by 9.6% this week.

"Buy" advice from Deutsche Bank helped lift Smiths Group by 2.2% to 802p. The market rally has eased pension concerns and additional cost savings could be announced in September, it said.

A theory that America's "cash for clunkers" scrappage scheme may be extended to white goods saw fellow engineer Invensys add 0.9% to 274p.

InterContinental Hotels rose 0.5% to 764½p, helped by talk that an Emirates investment group was interested in its small portfolio of luxury hotels.

Raymarine, the troubled Portsmouth-based manufacturer of radar and navigation systems for boats, was the biggest small cap faller on Friday. Its shares dropped 37% to 11½p after revealiing it had breached several banking covenants and its debts now stood at £88m.

If that was not enough, Raymarine went on to warn shareholders that there was no guarantee they would get anything more than a nominal amount from Garmin, the US company that is trying to acquire Raymarine.

Dragon Oil added 2.1% to 385p in above average volume - 3.4m shares changed hands - on further speculation that 52% shareholder, the Emirates National Oil Corporation, had tabled a 400p a share cash offer.

Bid rumours were also swirling around property company Minerva. Its shares advanced 22.6% to 32p on talk of a takeover approach from Hammerson.

Health food specialist Provexis proved to be a talking point. It shares hit 22.75p before the company rushed out a statement saying it knew of no reason for the 78% gain. The shares eventually closed 9.8% higher at 14p. Traders reckoned the reason for the gain, was the clearance of an overhang. Earlier this week Angle, up 1.9% at 13¾p, announced the disposal of its holding in Provexis.

Asian Citrus, the Aim-listed group that is China's largest orange producer, added 8.9% to 275p on news it was to apply for a listing on the main board of the Hong Kong stock exchange.
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN

Tokyo stocks rose Friday, helped by Wall Street's resilience and rising crude futures, but weak Chinese stock markets and lingering concerns over the stubbornly strong Yen limited the broader market's upside.

Caution before Sunday's Lower House elections was also seen tempering share gains in the absence of more fundamental domestic trading cues.

Though a strong victory for the opposition Democratic Party of Japan is widely expected and already priced into the market, players are keenly watching for hints that may forecast details of the election outcome.

Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 60.17 points, or 0.6%, to 10,534.14. The Topix index of all the Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section issues rose 5.08 points, or 0.5%, to 969.31. Trading volume was relatively low at about 1.9 billion shares.

If the DPJ wins in Sunday's general election as expected, one investment strategy would be to focus on retailers and other consumption-related stocks for the short-term and environment-related stocks for the medium- to long-term.

The DPJ's economic growth strategy focusing mainly on environmental technologies and policies supporting consumers may benefit auto, electronics, and various retail and consumer sectors.

Among individual share movers, Casio Computer surged 8.5% to Y919 on nearly triple normal volume. Casio, NEC, and Hitachi are in talks to consolidate their mobile handset operations, two people familiar with the matter said Friday. Any positive impact of such a move on earnings would benefit Casio most as it is the smallest of the three firms, said Mizuho Investors Securities analyst Nobuo Kurahashi.

All Nippon Airways also rose 2.1% to Y290 after US aircraft maker Boeing said its 787 Dreamliner would make its first test flight by the end of this year, while delivery of the first plane would take place by end-2010. Although Boeing's latest update represents yet another delivery delay, analysts said that knowing the timeline was nevertheless better than total uncertainty.

For the week, the Nikkei added 2.9%, and is up 1.7% for August. Year to date, the index has risen almost 19%.

September Nikkei 225 futures ended up 20 points, or 0.2%, at 10,530 on the Osaka Securities Exchange.

SOUTH KOREA

South Korean shares closed higher Friday with blue chip auto and technology stocks regaining ground, though it lost steam later in the session following sharp falls in the Chinese stock market.

After rising as high as 1616.29 on a firm finish by US stocks overnight, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index, or Kospi, ended up 8.61 points, or 0.5%, at 1607.94.

Foreigners bought a net KRW202.1 billion worth of stocks, extending their buying spree into a sixth consecutive session Friday.

In contrast domestic institutions were net sellers for the sixth straight day by disposing of a net KRW121 billion worth of stocks.

Analysts expect more fund redemption requests after the Kospi broke above 1600, a point at which many customers' investments are finally generating some profits.

Market analysts also expect the pace of the Kospi's rise to slow despite continued momentum related to global economic recovery expectations, because they see growing potential for a technical correction.

Hyundai Motor rose 2.5% to KRW104,000 on growing expectations it might have posted its highest monthly sales in the United States in August, said Jeff Lee at Hana Daetoo Securities.

Most technology stocks also regained ground after taking a breather in the past few days.

LG Electronics rose 4.7% to KRW144,500, while Hynix Semiconductor rose 2.4% to KRW21,350 partly on a positive industry outlook from personal computer maker Dell.

Hyundai Mobis jumped 8.5% to KRW147,000, and LG Chem climbed 6.4% to KRW190,500, hitting their historic peaks on news they are in talks to start a joint venture to produce electric vehicle battery packs.

The potential joint venture is expected to generate visible synergies to each firm, said analysts.

Hyundai Steel outperformed its peers, ending 4% higher at KRW76,000 after saying it will raise hot-rolled coil and other steel product prices by up to 6.9% from September to reflect an increase in raw material costs.

HONG KONG

Hong Kong shares shrank 0.7% on Friday, taking a cue from the steep drop by the Shanghai bourse where worries about shrinking flow of liquidity into stocks stayed in the spotlight.

BOC Hong Kong, dodged the downdraft to jump 5.8% to HK$16.00, after posting a lower-than-expected 5.6% drop in interim earnings, helped by strong fee income as the stock market boomed during the period.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index finished 144.13 points lower at 20,098.62 after opening 0.8% firmer.

The index was down 0.6% in its second straight weekly drop.

The China Enterprises Index, which represents top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks, was down 1.2% at 11,433.98, while the Shanghai Compsosite Index slid 2.9%.

CHINA

China's stocks fell, with the Shanghai Composite Index completing a fourth weekly decline, on concern government measures to curb lending and production in industries including steel and cement will slow economic growth.

Bank of China Ltd. dropped 1.8% after saying it plans to slow credit growth in the second half. China Cosco Holdings Co. declined 4.7% after swinging to a first-half loss. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. and PetroChina Co., the nation's two biggest refiners, retreated at least 2% on speculation the government will delay fuel-price increases.

The benchmark index fell 85.71, or 2.9%, to 2,860.69 at the close. The gauge dropped 3.4% this week, its longest weekly losing streak since October. It's the world's worst performer this month, slumping 16%. The CSI 300 Index, measuring exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen, declined 3.5% to 3,046.78.

The Shanghai index has fallen 18% since this year's peak on Aug. 4 as banks reined in lending to avert asset bubbles and policy makers advised industries such as steel and cement to curb overcapacity. China's new August loans may fall below 300 billion RMB ($43.9 billion), less than the 400 billion RMB expected by the market, the China Business News said Friday, citing economists.

Bank of China, the nation's third largest, dropped 1.8% to 3.90 RMB. Lending in the second half will be "much smaller," with new credit in July and August dropping from the monthly averages of the first half, President Li Lihui told reporters Thursday. The bank posted an unexpected profit gain of 22.6 billion RMB in the second quarter.

Other banks declined. Industrial Bank Co., backed by a unit of HSBC Holdings Plc, slumped 5.8% to 30.97 RMB, capping a 17% decline this week. China Minsheng Banking Corp., the nation's first privately owned bank, lost 5.2% to 6.43 RMB, a three-month low.

China Cosco, the world's largest operator of dry-bulk ships, slid 4.7% to 13.68 RMB. The company said it slumped to a first-half loss of 4.59 billion RMB from a restated profit of 15.1 billion RMB after rates for hauling commodities and containers plunged on overcapacity and the global recession.

China Petroleum, also known as Sinopec, sank 5.2% to 12.37 RMB. The stock has lost 20% from its Aug. 4 peak. PetroChina, the world's largest oil company by market value, slid 2% to 13.72 RMB.

Industry Web site C1 Energy reported this week that China might increase retail prices of gasoline and diesel on Aug. 26, citing unnamed officials from Sinopec and PetroChina.

TAIWAN

Taiwan stocks closed up 1.78% on Friday, ending a three-session losing streak, as Acer led gains after the world's No. 3 PC company reported earnings in line with market estimates.

The main TAIEX share index finished 119.11 points higher at 6,809.86, wrapping up the day to post a 2.3% weekly gain.

Acer, the session's fifth most active share by turnover, rose 3.25%, outperforming the electronics sub-index's 1.88% rise.

Shares of Formosa Plastics, a top Asia petrochemical producer, rose 2.19% after the company logged a better-than-expected second-quarter net profit.

Taiwan stocks fell more than 2% in the past three days as political uncertainty and worries over an H1N1 outbreak triggered a broad sell-off.

Investors were also concerned that the Dalai Lama's visit to Taiwan would hurt China-related shares.

The banking and sub-index climbed 2.41%, with Chinatrust Financial jumping 4.16%.

Yang said he expects the TAIEX to remain volatile until the end of next week, trading mainly between 6,700 and 6,900, before Taiwan's government announces its new cabinet members.

TSMC, the world's top contract chip maker, also the session's third most active share by turnover, rose 1.19% on outsourcing orders from Japan's Fujitsu.

Dell Inc, the world's No. 2 personal computer brand, reported a stronger-than-expected quarterly profit on Thursday, sending shares of its contract makers, such as Quanta and Compal, higher.

Quanta and Compal, the world's top two contract laptop PC makers, advanced 2.67% and 2.19%, respectively.

Shares of Asustek rose 1.54%, after its partner, Garmin, said it had picked a US carrier for a line of smartphones.

Smartphone maker HTC rose 1.99% after a local newspaper reported that the company will jointly develop 3G chipsets wit China Telecom.

Delta Electronics Inc, the world's top maker of power supplies for electrical devices, surged 6.24% after a newspaper reported that it would launch an electronic reading device in 2010 to gain market share in the expanding e-book market.

THE PHILIPPINES

The Philippine shares' main index climbed to a new three-week high on Friday following US stocks rise, favorable local businessmen outlook and better-than-expected second quarter economic output.

Trading was brisk as volume turnover hit 5.02 billion shares amounting to P4.22 billion. Market breadth was positive as gainers led losers at 58-40 while 71 issues were unchanged.

The Philippine Stock Exchange index inched up by 0.1% or 2.78 points to close higher for the third straight session at 2,884.18.

However, BPI Securities Corp said the market may correct next week given that the market is treading at near the highs for the year.

The broader all-shares gained 0.16% or 2.97 points to 1,830.18.

The financial and industrial indices moved up at 623.26 and 4,118.29, respectively.

Bucking the trend, the mining and oil index posted the biggest loss at 2.48% or 207.83 points to 8,180.69, while the service and holding firm indices headed south at 1,462.71 and 1,620.31, respectively.

Andrew Tan-led Megaworld Corp., which will match Robinsons Land Corp.'s bid Friday on the North Bonifacio property, was the top actively traded stock. Cornering 9.05% of the trading, its shares closed about 2.5-percent higher at P1.62. each.

However, Ayala Corp. and Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. ended weaker at P307.50 and P2,520, respectively.

There will be no trading on Monday as Aug. 31 has been declared as National Heroes Day.

The National Statistical Coordination Board announced Thursday the gross domestic product (GDP), or the value of goods and services produced within the country, improved 1.5% in the second quarter, better than the revised 0.6% growth in the first quarter.

However, this was lower than the 4.2-percent growth recorded in the same period last year.

SINGAPORE

Singapore shares closed flat on Friday as investors stayed on the sidelines, dealers said.

The blue-chip Straits Times Index edged 0.57 points, or 0.02%, higher to 2,642.80. Volume totalled 2.64 billion shares worth $1.47 billion (US$1.02 billion).

There were 272 rising issues, 277 losers and 814 flat.

Retail participation simply is not there. Many people are still holding on to their shares and riding the recent positive momentum, but not buying any at the moment.

Commodity firm Olam International was among the losers, closing five cents down at $2.52 while shipping firm Neptune Orient Lines was flat at $1.64.

For the blue-chips, Singapore Airlines eased two cents to $13.26, Singapore Telecoms added three cents to $3.24 while Keppel Corp was one cent up at $7.80.

DBS Group firmed two cents to $12.90, United Overseas Bank rose by the same amount to $17.04 and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp was eight cents higher at $8.20.

THAILAND

Thailand's index, the SET, ended up 0.7%.

Gainers were led by energy and banking shares, with PTT up 1.2%, PTT Exploration and Production up 1.8%, Kasikornbank rising 2.1% and Siam Commercial Bank 1%.

MALAYSIA

Share prices on Bursa Malaysia ended on Friday in mixed as buying interest in key heavyweights in the final hour, offset the loss in others such as Bumiputra-Commerce, said dealers.

The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) ended 2.63 points or 0.22% lower at 1,174.27 after opening 0.98 of a point higher at 1,177.88 in the morning.

According to analysts, the market was also quiet ahead of the long weekend in view of the Merdeka Day holiday.

The Finance Index declined 102.17 points at 9,433.92, while the Plantation Index gained 3.12 points to 5,837.42 and the Industrial Index lost 3.77 points to 2,593.99.

The FBM Emas Index fell 13.39 points to 7,924.05, the FBM Top 100 went down 12.05 points to 7,707.52 and the FBM ACE Index shed 16.62 points to end at 4,145.53.

However, losers still led gainers 390 to 258 while 251 counters closed unchanged with 352 untraded and none suspended.

Turnover rose to 632.06 million shares worth RM1.308 billion from 585.087 million shares worth RM1.009 billion Thursday.

Of the volume leaders, Tas Offshore fell three sen to 87 sen, Bumiputra-Commerce declined 47 sen to RM9.95 and KNM dropped two sen to 75 sen.

MSports meanwhile, slipped three sen to 58 sen, with Axiata and YTL Power gaining four sen each to RM3.15 and RM2.21 respectively.

The top gainers included Tanjong which jumped 64 sen to RM15.32 while Selangor Properties advanced 22 sen to RM3.30.

Panasonic, LPI Capital and Nestle each rose 20 sen to RM12.20, RM11.40 and RM34.00 respectively.

The top losers included MISC-01 which declined 17 sen to RM8.72, while Petronas Gas and Cview fell 14 sen each to RM9.73 and 51 sen respectively.

Among the heavyweights, Sime Darby rose one sen to RM8.25 while Tenaga Nasional and Public Bank gained two sen each to RM8.02 and RM9.95.Maybank and IOI Corp were on the other hand, flat at RM6.51 and RM5.11.

DiGi rose 10 sen to RM22.10 and Genting went up eight sen to RM6.68.

MAS gained six sen to RM3.15 for the day, after the airline announced that its current chief financial officer, Tengku Datuk Azmil Zahruddin would replace Datuk Seri Idris Jala as the new managing director and chief executive officer effective Friday.

Volume on the Main Market was higher at 571.739 million shares worth RM1.293 billion from Thursday's 518.922 million shares worth RM995.548 million.

The ACE market volume, however, decreased to 38.556 million shares valued at RM9.434 million from 48.268 million shares valued at RM9.067 million previously.

Warrants gained to 16.338 million units worth RM3.202 million from 14.643 million units worth RM2.635 Thursday.

INDONESIA

The sentiment in Dow Jones index, anticipation in inflation rate as well as the announcement of central bank benchmark interest rate next week still triggered optimism over market players.

The situation initiated purchase over blue chip shares, bringing the Indonesian share price to gain by 0.89% to level 2,377.24.

Traded shares reached 9.38 million lots worth Rp 3.06 trillion with a frequency of 76,215 times.

Gainers against decliners were 100 against 80.

The blue chips which dominated the rise in index included Astra International Tbk, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Perusahaan Gas Negara.

Foreign investors booked purchase transaction by Rp 585.59 billion and Rp 672.3 billion of sales.

INDIA

The Nifty closed at fresh 2009 high Friday. Both equity benchmarks gained 4.5% each this week.

Among the broader indices, the Nifty Junior Index rose 3.5%. The CNX Midcap Index went up 4.5% and BSE Small Cap Index up 7.7%. All BSE sectoral indices end in the Green.

In the largecaps, Reliance Industries surged 6.5%; Bharti Airtel up 5.5%; Sterlite Industries up 10.5%; Suzlon up 7.5% and Ranbaxy up 7.2%.

On the sectoral front, the BSE Realty Index outperformed other indices on the weekly basis. It jumped nearly 11%. Unitech rose 17.3% and DLF up 10%.

The BSE IT Index shot up 8%. Wipro was up 10%; TCS up 6.2%; Infosys up 8% and HCL Tech up 9.5%.

Capital Goods Index was the third top gainer, up 6.7%. Siemens, L&T and ABB were up 6.5-10%.

Auto Index was up 4.8%, as Tata Motors gained 13% and Maruti up 2%.

Oil marketing companies were also losers this week. BPCL was down 6.5%; HPCL down 6.5% and IOC down 3%.

Among the small oil exploration companies' shares, Alphageo was up 50%, Selan Exploration up 36% and Aban Offshore up 34%.

In the midcap space, Suven Life Sciences surged 44%; Madhucon Projects up 37%; KEI Industries up 28% and Maytas Infra up 25%.

AUSTRALIA

The Australian share market stayed firm on Friday as continued resilience on Wall Street generated further strength in financials, while resources managed slight gains despite a pullback in China's Shanghai Composite.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index closed up 38.8 points or 0.9% at 4489.6. It recovered from an intraday low of 4459.5 to close near a 10-day high of 4492.6, hit in early trading.
 
Friday's close was the highest since Oct. 7 2008.

Volume was relatively light after allowing for activity related to Thursday's expiry of equity options.

Financial stocks continued to generate most of the strength in the Australian market after a rise in their US peers lifted the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.4%.

Among banks, Westpac rose 1.3% to A$24.31, National Australia Bank rose 1.6% to A$27.81, Commonwealth Bank rose 0.9% to A$45.15 and ANZ rose 0.7% to A$20.46.

Elsewhere in the financials sector, QBE Insurance surged 4.1% to A$23.10, shaking off recent selling related to its dividend reinvestment plan, while AMP rose 2.7% to A$6.51.

With China's Shanghai Composite falling more than 3.0% intraday, resources finished well off their intraday highs.

But BHP was still up 0.5% at A$37.85 by the close.

At the smaller end of the resources spectrum, Aquila Resources surged 9.2% to A$7.15 on news that China's Baosteel planned to invest up to A$285.6 million in the Australian coal and iron ore-focussed exploration company.

Overall, traders said they were impressed by Wall Street's continued resilience. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's rise Thursday was for its eighth consecutive day.

Some also believed domestic second quarter GDP data, due Wednesday, would be strong enough to generate more asset allocation toward Australian equities, particularly from offshore investors.

A Dow Jones Newswires survey of economists found most were expecting GDP to rise about 0.6% for the June quarter.

Toll Holdings rose 2.9% to A$7.82 after the Australian Financial Review said Brambles was approached by Credit Suisse with a proposal involving Brambles buying Toll.

Caltex fell 5.9% to A$12.80 after scrapping its interim dividend and Sims Metal fell 2.3% to A$23.05 after it slashed its final dividend payout.

But Harvey Norman surged 17% to A$3.74 after reporting a full year profit of A$214.4 million, beating a market consensus expectation of A$197.3 million.

Sonic Healthcare jumped 8.6% to A$13.90 after its annual profit beat expectations and it predicted 10%-15% profit growth in fiscal 2010.

Nufarm fell 6.1% to A$11.34 after saying it hadn't reached an agreement with Sinochem on a possible takeover despite continuing talks.

NEW ZEALAND

New Zealand shares ended higher Friday as investors remained upbeat on several companies that recently reported their full year result.

The NZX-50 ended up 1.1%, or 33 points, at 3109.34.

The market was encouraged when there were "no nasty surprises" in Auckland Airport's earnings.

It ended up 0.6% at NZ$1.76. The company reported a sharply lower net profit for the 12 months to June 30 but said its underlying net profit for the period was up 2.1% at NZ$105.9 million and was slightly better than the company's guidance.

Resins maker Nuplex continued to gain as investors remained positive after the company Thursday announced it would pay a special dividend of 3.5 NZ cents a share "reflecting their confidence in the company's future performance and the strength of the balance sheet." The stock ended up 6.0% at NZ$2.49.

On Friday, company managing director John Hirst said trading conditions improved in July and August after a tough year and he was cautiously optimistic about the current fiscal year.

National carrier Air New Zealand fared better during the session, ending up 0.8% at NZ$1.24. On Thursday the company posted a sharply lower full-year net profit but Chief Executive Rob Fyfe said the company had seen some stabilization in demand in the first quarter of fiscal 2010.

Construction company Fletcher Building gained 2.3% to NZ$8.02, the first time it has closed over NZ$8.00 since June 2008.

Earlier Friday, Statistics New Zealand said the number of residential building permits issued in New Zealand rose in July and the underlying trend has started to improve despite remaining at low levels.

In the other direction, rural services provider PGG Wrightson shed 7.6% to NZ$0.73 as investors are still disappointed after the company late Thursday reported a net loss after tax for the full year to June 30 of NZ$66.4 million.

Bellwether Telecom gained 3.0% to NZ$2.79. Earlier Friday, the New Zealand Commerce Commission said it has for now decided not to commence an investigation into whether regulation of the national mobile roaming service should be extended to include price controls.

The decision signaled the prospect of no price controls being imposed on roaming services in the future.
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesCommodities prices were mixed during the week, with oil prices posting a small decline, but base metals prices rising and sugar hitting a 28½-year high.

In the oil market, Nymex October West Texas Intermediate settled in New York at $72.74 a barrel, down 1.6% on the week. ICE October Brent closed at $72.79 a barrel, down 1.9%.

The energy market will turn its attention soon to the Opec oil cartel's meeting in Vienna on September 9. The meeting should not cause much of a reaction in the markets either, as the cartel will more than likely stay as they are.

Nymex October natural gas on Friday fell to $3.033 per million British thermal units, after the September contract, which expired in the week, hit a seven-year low of $2.692 per mBtu.

Among base metals, lead prices surged more than 12% over the week to hit a one-year high above $2,149 a tonne, amid concerns that more Chinese smelters will close after an industry-wide clampdown caused by poisoning incidents in Shaanxi province.

China is the world's largest producer of the toxic metal. The probe is expanding to top producers in the in Henan, Hunan and Guangxi provinces and the market fears more closures.

Copper prices surged to a fresh 11-month high above $6,500 a tonne, rising more than 3% during the week. Aluminium fell 2.2% to $1,895 per tonne.

Among agricultural commodities, sugar pushed to a 28½-year high on the back of bad weather hitting Brazil and India, the world's two largest producers. In New York, ICE October raw sugar rose 7.2% over the week. Soyabean prices were strong on the back of tight supplies. CBOT September soyabeans rose 10.8% during the week to $11.50 per bushel.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 Sterling fell this week to an 11-week low to the Euro and a one-month trough against the Dollar as concerns grew over UK finances.

The currency, already undermined by the Bank of England this month announcing an unexpected increase in its quantitative easing programme, suffered as the focus turned towards the rising levels of UK debt.

Analysts said the Bank knew domestic risks to growth were skewed to the downside and was running its monetary policy accordingly. It said the UK's public debt, set to reach 100% of gross domestic product, according to ratings agency Standard & Poor's, could lead to a funding crisis if badly handled.

to £0.8800 against the Euro and 1.9% to Y152.70 against the Yen.

The Yen gained, rising 0.8% to Y93.56 against the Dollar and 0.7% to Y134.40 against the Euro. This was in spite of a relatively upbeat series of global economic data releases, including buoyant consumer confidence measures in the Eurozone and in the US and above forecast US GDP and new home sales figures.

These supported equities and in recent times would normally have stemmed haven demand for the Yen.

A number of factors combined to support the Yen. Analysts said falling US government bond yields increased the attractiveness of assets denominated in the Japanese currency.

Expectations that Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic party would lose its hold on power to the opposition Democratic party of Japan (DPJ) in this weekend's elections boosted the Yen.

Yukio Hatoyama, DPJ leader, has called for a push towards a single regional currency and said there was a doubt about "the permanence of the Dollar as the key global currency".

The Dollar was little changed on the week, easing 0.2% to $1.4365 against the Euro and holding steady at SFr1.0558 against the Swiss franc.

The Australian Dollar rose 0.7% to $0.8438 to the Dollar as a surprise rise in second quarter capital expenditure sparked talk that the Reserve Bank of Australia might raise interest rates at its policy meeting next week. Most forecasters believed a rate rise was unlikely.

The South African Rand was trading at 7.7512 against the Dollar, 0.3% stronger than its previous close in New York after touching a four-week high of 7.7350 earlier in the session.

And finally, here in China and the RMB - the US Dollar lost ground vis-à-vis the Chinese RMB as the greenback closed at CNY 6.8256 in the over-the-counter market, down from CNY 6.8273.
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsChina's exports narrowly edged ahead of those from Germany in the first six months of the year, new figures showed on Monday, in a fresh sign that the latter's status as the world's leading exporter is at risk.

China exported goods worth $521.7bn (€364.9bn, £318.1bn) in the first six months of this year, while Germany's total was $521.6bn, the Geneva-based World Trade Organisation reported.

Such export figures are closely followed in Germany, Europe's largest economy, which has national elections next month.

Sales of its industrial products have largely powered the economic growth in recent years, and throughout the economic crisis the government of Angela Merkel, chancellor, has strongly defended the country's export-driven economic model.

Germany has long been braced for the much faster-growing Chinese economy to assume its "world export champion" title.

However, the likely value of German and Chinese exports for the full year remains uncertain and will depend heavily on exchange rate movements in coming months. A strong Euro would help flatter Germany's figure. Germany's export businesses have also shown signs of reviving in recent months.

"It is too close to say for the whole year and who knows for next year," said Patrick Low, the WTO's chief economist.

Germany's exports were badly hit by the collapse in global confidence that followed the failure of Lehman Brothers investment bank last year.

But signs of a strong recovery have emerged. In June, the latest month for which data are available, German exports leapt by 7% compared with the previous month. Nevertheless they were still 22.3% lower than a year before.Chinese exports have followed a similar pattern.

The surge in exports helped explain why Germany was able to report a rise in gross domestic product in the second quarter, compared with the previous three months - meaning it emerged from recession ahead of the US, the UK and most of the other large European economies.

In turn, Germany's rebound is helping lift the overall performance of the Eurozone. Eurozone industrial orders surged by 3.1% in June compared with the previous month, according to data on Monday from Eurostat, the European Union's statistical office.

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Bank of China Ltd., the nation's third-largest by assets, plans to slow credit growth in the second half of the year and improve loan quality after posting an unexpected profit gain in the second quarter.

Net income climbed 10% to 22.6 billion RMB ($3.3 billion), based on earnings figures the Beijing-based company reported Thursday. That exceeded the 19.51 billion RMB average estimate of analysts.

Bank of China joined its three biggest publicly traded rivals in reporting better-than-estimated profits after state- owned lenders advanced a record amount of new loans in the first half to revive economic growth. Plans to rein in loan growth may relieve investors concerned that asset bubbles will form and bad loans will rise. Bank of China advanced more new credit than any other Chinese lender in the first half.

Shares in the company rose 1.6% to HK$3.87 at 10:06 a.m. in Hong Kong. The stock has gained 82% this year, outperforming China Construction Bank Corp., Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. and Bank of Communications Ltd.

Lending in the second half will be "much smaller," with new credit in July and August dropping from the monthly averages of the first half, President Li Lihui told reporters Thursday.

Bank of China was the last of the country's four biggest publicly traded lenders to report earnings.

Construction Bank this week warned of asset bubbles in capital markets after posting a 4.9% drop in net income in the first six months. ICBC, the world's biggest bank by market value, last week said its profit in the period rose 2.9% on record lending.

China's regulators are changing tack after gross domestic product expanded 7.9% in the second quarter and the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index rallied 25%.

The China Banking Regulatory Commission last month required the nation's lenders to raise reserves to 150% of non- performing loans by the end of this year, and on July 27 told banks to ensure loans intended for investment in fixed assets go to projects that support the real economy. Three days later, it announced plans to tighten rules on working capital loans.

The regulator also sent draft rule changes to banks on Aug. 19 requiring them to deduct all existing holdings of subordinated and hybrid debt from supplementary capital, people familiar with the matter said last week. As a result, banks may need to rein in lending to meet capital requirements.

The lender posted an 8.3% drop in first-half net interest income, or the difference between revenue from lending and payments to depositors, as the profitability of loans worsened. Income from fee-based services, such as trade finance and distribution of insurance policies, gained 2.6% to 22.98 billion RMB.

Bank of China set aside 7 billion RMB to cover potential loan defaults in the first half, an increase of 7.8% from a year earlier. Its impaired-loan ratio narrowed to 1.83% from 2.29% three months earlier.

Impairment losses on Bank of China's subprime-related investments and other securities holdings stood at $4.67 billion as of June 30, down from $4.84 billion three months earlier. The loss remains more than that suffered by all the other Chinese banks combined.

The bank still held $2.2 billion of subprime-mortgage investments, $1.05 billion of securities backed by so-called Alt-A home loans and $3.2 billion of other "non-agency" mortgage investments as of June 30.

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China Cosco Holdings Co., Asia's biggest shipping company by market value, said it may cancel container-vessel orders after posting a second straight loss on slumping world trade.

The company also plans to delay new ships, terminate charters earlier and lease or sell vessels to pare growth, it said in statement Thursday. Furthermore, along with three partners, it will cut Asia-Europe capacity by about 20%.

China Cosco's container-shipping business, the nation's biggest, had a 4.32 billion RMB ($632 million) operating loss as US and European consumers pared spending on Asian-made goods, hammering rates. Its commodity-ship operations, the world's largest, posted a loss after sales tumbled 72% on overcapacity in the global fleet.

China Shipping Container Lines Co., the nation's No. 2 cargo-box carrier, also said Thursday it will "tackle the crisis" through steps including accelerating the sale of obsolete vessels. Orient Overseas (International) Ltd., Hong Kong's largest container line, last night said it was delaying two new ships.

China Cosco fell as much as 3.5% and was down 2.5% at HK$9.89 as of 2:31 p.m. in Hong Kong trading. In Shanghai, it lost as much as 5.8%. China Shipping Container dropped as much as 5.8% in Hong Kong after posting a 3.42 billion RMB first-half loss.

China Cosco reported a 4.59 billion RMB first-half net loss, compared with a restated 15.1 billion RMB profit a year earlier. The company separately said it will pay 2 billion RMB to buy the outstanding 49% stake in a logistics venture from unit Cosco Pacific Ltd.

The shipping line's losses from hauling commodities were larger than its container-shipping losses, once 6.7 billion RMB in gains from freight-forward agreements and net changes in provisions were stripped out, according to UBS.

The company's first-half dry-bulk volume fell 4.8%, with revenue plunging to 11.1 billion RMB. Container volumes tumbled 22% to 2.35 million twenty-foot equivalent units. Revenue dived 52%, led by a 70% slump on Asia- Europe routes. Average second-quarter container rates fell 47%, according to UBS.

The shipping line's container fleet comprised 149 vessels as of June 30, with another 57 on order. It also operated 431 dry-bulk ships, with orders for 44 more. The company canceled eight commodity ships last month.

The shipping line, the world's second-biggest by market value behind A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S, won't pay an interim dividend.

All 10 of the world's largest listed container-shipping companies have posted losses this year, triggering industrywide efforts to raise rates through coordinated increases and capacity cuts.

****************************

Chinese stocks are trading at the steepest discount in the world compared with analysts' price targets after this month's 16% slump in the nation's benchmark stock index.

Companies in China's Shanghai Composite Index trade 13% below analysts' combined price targets, the biggest gap among the world's 10 largest markets, data shows. The gauge rose 5.8% in the past six days even as Premier Wen Jiabao said the economic recovery isn't stable yet, China Construction Bank Corp.'s chairman warned of asset bubbles and policy makers advised industries such as steel and cement to curb overcapacity.

This month's slump stopped a rally that had sent the Shanghai Composite up 103% from a November low on prospects the government's 4 trillion RMB ($586 billion) stimulus program and a record amount of new loans will ensure the economy grows at least 8% this year.

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, the world's largest by market value, is trading 33% below the average price target of analysts. The Beijing-based lender posted higher-than-estimated second-quarter profit and has a "buy" rating from 25 of 30 analysts. The shares slipped 0.6% Thursday, while the Shanghai Composite lost 0.7% to 2,946.40.

Shanghai-based Baoshan Iron & Steel, China's largest steelmaker, may jump 32%, according to the average of 15 price targets. New York-based Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which raised its forecast this month, expects the shares to more than double.

China Railway Construction Corp., the builder of more than half the nation's railroads, is trading 31% below analysts' target price. Per-share earnings for the Beijing-based company may rise 47% this year and 34% in 2010, according to analysts' projections.

Industrial & Commercial Bank, Baoshan Iron & Steel and China Railway Construction dropped at least 12% this month as concern deepened China's government will restrict investment and new loans, slowing the pace of an economic recovery and forcing speculators who borrowed money to buy shares to exit the market. Mainland investors opened about 11.3 million new stock trading accounts this year, up 6% from the same period in 2008, according to data from the nation's clearing house.

Chinese banks, which extended a record 7.4 trillion RMB of new loans in the first half of 2009, reduced credit growth to the lowest level in nine months in July, according to the People's Bank of China. The government plans to tighten capital requirements for financial institutions, three people familiar with the matter said last week.

The Shanghai Composite's gain since Nov. 4, the biggest among world equity benchmarks, sent its valuation to 31 times reported earnings over the past 12 months, according to data. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index, a 22-country benchmark, trades for 18 times profit.

Guo Shuqing, chairman of China Construction Bank, said this week that excess cash in the banking system has led to bubbles in capital markets. The Beijing-based bank is China's second- largest lender.

The People's Bank of China raised its reserve-requirement ratio for lenders seven times in 2007 before the Shanghai Composite peaked in October of that year. The central bank scrapped lending quotas in November 2008 and has kept interest rates at a four-year low of 5.31%.

The index still trades for two-thirds the price-to-earnings ratio of 52 at its peak in October 2007, and profits are growing faster than developing nations as a group. Morgan Stanley estimates that earnings in China will gain 15% this year and 20% in 2010, compared with a 15% drop for MSCI's emerging-market index. Companies in the S&P 500 may report a 14% decline in profits this year, according to analysts' estimates.
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 Interest rate markets and stocks seem to be pricing in a swifter economic recovery and speedier exit from quantitative easing than some policymakers' declarations might suggest.

Next week's various meetings of finance ministers and central bankers (G20; BIS meeting; ECB, RBA, Riksbank policy meetings) will provide an opportunity for officials to rein in market expectations further - if they want to.

Exit strategies from massive monetary and fiscal stimulus, ways to rebalance drivers of world growth, and stock-taking of how past promises have been implemented will dominate the September 4-5 G20 finance meeting more than the sort of debate about international reserve currencies that erupted before the last such gathering.

Markets are looking for more clarity on how stimulus will be withdrawn -- and how those who lead the way will cope with any FX fallout of the sort that Israel is grappling with after raising rates.

The meeting will also show how much international support there is for France's drive to clamp down on bankers' bonuses or FSA chairman Adair Turner's backing for a Tobin tax.

The G20 debate about the fiscal outlook and budget policy test the relative resilience of government bonds, which have recently withstood data surprises, supply and world stocks' rise.

Any marked shift in policymakers' tone on fiscal strategy or the timeframe over which monetary policy will become less accommodative could unsettle moves that are seeing Bund futures on track for their third consecutive month of gains.

ECB officials are showing few signs of complacency about the economic outlook and the latest data showing annual growth rate of loans to private sector is at record lows will support their line that the economy is no longer in freefall but the crisis isn't over.

After the huge take-up of funds at the last ECB one-year tender, markets are looking for a steer from Thursday's ECB news conference about whether the central bank might add a spread over its key policy rate at the next such tender.

Any clearcut guidance, as well as how ECB staff forecasts are revised, will shape market expectations about this tender and could trigger swings in interest rate and FX markets.

Once Japan's elections are out of the way at the weekend, the market will be looking for signs of what might change in terms of economic strategy and whether the size of the majority is large enough to give the next government a free hand.

FX policy will be of key interest, and while swift and sudden changes in rhetoric are unlikely, even nuanced shifts in emphasis will be important at a time when the Dollar is not too far away from 90 Yen, the area around which Japanese policymakers have tended in the past to step up FX declarations.

In the US, economists expect the August unemployment rate to rise slightly, to 9.5%. That figure will be released next Friday, a day after major retailers report on August sales and three days after auto makers detail their results for the month.

Eagerly awaited clinical-trial results for heart drugs will be presented at a cardiologists' meeting beginning Saturday.

Among companies reporting quarterly results next week are the nation's two largest tax-preparation firms.

On Wednesday, the government reports on July factory orders and issues a revised figure for second-quarter productivity. The earlier report showed a 6.4% jump in productivity as workers hours were cut faster than output. The Federal Reserve also issues minutes of its August meeting Wednesday.

The Institute for Supply Management reports on manufacturing Tuesday and on the service sector two days later. Reports on regional manufacturing activity are due Monday from Chicago purchasing managers and the Dallas Fed.

All in all, another week full of 'bits and pieces' but overall, I think the focus will once more be on China and it will be interesting to see if Beijing releases more statements relating to how they will curb lending.
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
In This Issue
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The UK Market
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Global Commodities
Global Currencies
China This Week
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