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Financial Page International

8 August 2009 - Global Markets Review

Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,

They don't call Mr Trichet 'Lightening' do they!

European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet said higher unemployment might damp an economic recovery in the 16-nation euro region.

"We will have to accept that unemployment will have to augment, maybe significantly, and that will have a bearing on the evolution of growth," Trichet said in an interview with Bloomberg Television Friday after the ECB left interest rates unchanged at a record low of 1%. "We have to remain ourselves very cautious and also very prudent."

The euro region's jobless rate rose to a decade-high of 9.4% in June as companies shed jobs amid the worst recession since World War II. That comes after European economic confidence rose to an eight-month high in July and a contraction across the region's manufacturing and service industries slows.

While the ECB currently predicts the economy will contract about 4.6% this year and 0.3% in 2010, Trichet didn't exclude the bank may raise its forecasts next month. Some economists expect the economy to return to growth this quarter.

"I exclude nothing," Trichet said when asked about the chances of growth in Europe this year. "We have to take into account all the signs that the contraction is slowing down. But at the same time we have to remain prudent."

Trichet said interest rates are "currently appropriate" and refused to say whether they have reached their lowest level. "There is no news there, we did not discuss it" Friday, he said.

The man is amazing; the sooner he goes, the better off Europe will be - simple as that in my humble opinion! He states the obvious, the absolute obvious and always about a month or two too late. Plus of course, he always says things that other people have already mentioned and I think it is not within his capacity to state something 'original' - the guy is a walking (limping) parrot!

Europe is better off without you Mr Trichet and I have just the candidate to replace you:

When Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England, stood up in the grand setting of the Mansion House in the City of London on the warm evening of 17 June, with the Chancellor Alistair Darling sitting just a few seats away, he did what he has done throughout the financial crisis: he challenged the government directly. National debt, he warned, was dangerously high, "at more than double the levels before the crisis".

Banks had become too big and the Bank of England itself needed greater powers. "The Bank finds itself in a position rather like that of a church whose congregation attends weddings and funerals, but ignores the sermons in between."

In a televised appearance in front of the Treasury select committee just a week later, King went further and all but accused the Prime Minister of carelessness with the public finances. "We are confronted with a situation where the scale of the deficits is truly extraordinary," he said, and noted, in an aside that perplexed the Treasury, that the Chancellor had not bothered to consult him on changes to banking legislation that would directly affect the Bank of England.

King is an unlikely rebel. Quietly spoken and cerebral, he is the first governor of the Bank of England to have been a full-time academic: before joining in 1991, he was a professor of economics at the London School of Economics. Yet, since the credit markets first froze over in August 2007, he has been in pugnacious mood and continuously in conflict with the Treasury and the Prime Minister. At times, throughout what is the worst financial crisis since the period leading up to the First World War, the relationship between King and the government has been radioactive.

Some Treasury insiders go so far as to accuse King of being concerned about protecting his reputation and that of the Bank to the detriment of everyone else involved in stabilising the finan­cial system and preventing a cataclysmic collapse.

The authority of Bank of England governors once stemmed from the dignity of the office they held. The authority of the present governor stems entirely from his intellect. In the past, governors were drawn largely from the banks of the City of London. When these stately figures moved from the parlours of the old merchant and clearing banks to Threadneedle Street, to be protected from the outside world by the great curtain wall designed by Sir John Soane, they transmogrified into something far more majestic. The visitor to the Bank would be guided through a maze of spacious corridors, under the vaulted ceilings, to the almost-hidden entrance to the governor's drawing room. On their journey, they would pass portraits of past governors and deputy governors. The escorts, pink-frock-coated "waiters", nearly all veterans of the armed forces, marched at a formidable pace. In the presence of the governor, all it required was a lift of the eyebrow for the attendant banker to recognise the game was up.

Friday, the Bank's corridors are as magnificent as ever, the marbles, mosaic floors, Persian rugs and Chippendale furnishings unchanged, and the mystique remains intact, but its new core is that of rigorous analysis. The bankers and brokers, who were on easy terms with the governor, are no longer the insiders. King, who took an academic route to the top of the Bank, is a trenchant critic in public and private of the bankers, of their risk-taking, profiteering and greed. And it is King's cerebral approach and tendency to subject all he does to rigorous intellectual stress-testing that has opened a chasm between himself and Gordon Brown.

Downing Street was especially enraged when, on the eve of the G20 summit in London in April, King warned against "significant fiscal expansion". In so doing, he thwarted the Prime Minister's hopes of forging an agreement with President Obama and other global leaders on a second round of anti-recessionary stimulus packages. King's views accorded with those of the Treasury, which was putting the final touches to a Budget that projected unprecedented levels of new borrowing - £703bn by 2013-14, or an ­astonishing 76.2% of national output.

But King has exasperated the Treasury, too. In private, the Chancellor was incandescent with anger when King, at his May inflation report press conference, laid out a far gloomier prospect for the British economy than that described by Darling in the Budget. The Bank forecast output could fall by as much as 4.5% in 2009 and that recovery could be delayed well into 2010. King was downbeat, in sharp contrast to the message of Darling, who had been making the case for recovery by the end of the year.

The differences of tone provided a sharp reminder of how hard it had been throughout the crisis for the Treasury to coax King into  responding to the need for decisive action, notably over the creation of the special liquidity scheme - which was designed to clear the bank balance sheets of mortgage debts. King delayed, demanded late-night meetings and relentlessly analysed the plan - "nitpicking it to death", as one insider put it.

Brown was expected to have taken the ­decision on King's reappointment to a second five-year term in late 2007, when the scale of the disaster affecting the world's ­financial markets was increasing. The Prime Minister hesitated in approving the reappointment, and leaks pointed to King's position as governor being in danger. But Brown eventually recommended a second term for King on 30 January 2008. His aides warned that discarding King in the middle of the crisis could provoke havoc on financial markets.

Having kept King in office, the government had little choice but to work with him. Nevertheless, at the Treasury, King is regarded as difficult to the point of obstreperous. The paradox of his position is that the power and moral strength that he exercises is largely the result of one of the earliest decisions taken by Brown as chancellor in May 1997, when, following Labour's landslide general election victory, he set the Bank of England free of Whitehall and granted it full independence over monetary policy and the ­setting of interest rates.

King is accused of being slow to have recognised the scale of the crisis when the credit crunch hit in August 2007, in sharp contrast to his opposite number at the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Jean-Claude Trichet. King has since moved an enormous distance, but not at a speed fast enough or in a responsive enough way for Downing Street. His critics say that it was only when the Bank realised that there was very little choice, if the nation was not to have a major bank failure on its hands, that he decided on the Bank's role as "lender of the last resort" and began pumping ever-increasing quantities of loans into Northern Rock when it hit trouble in August 2007.

He similarly prevaricated in April 2008, only reluctantly signing up to the government's special liquidity scheme, under which the Bank would take securitised mortgages held by banks on to its balance sheet in exchange for short-term paper - the equivalent of cash. The initial £50bn plan, intended to revitalise Britain's moribund home loans market, would eventually soak up more than £200bn of taxpayers' money.

The Bank also changed the way it conducted its operations in the money markets, or the inter-bank market, where banks lend to each other. Previously it had provided money to the banking system through a series of daily, weekly and monthly auctions, at which authorised financial institutions would bid for money when they could not square their books. This process had sometimes proved embarrassing, as happened in the summer of 2007, when the names of those banks (notably Barclays) which had temporarily run short of cash was publicised. (The Bank of England would eventually move to a US-style "discount" window arrangement, whereby banks can borrow directly without the risk of their identity being disclosed and becoming stigmatised in the financial markets.)

King claims he was at the forefront of the dramatic move by the government, in September 2008, which resulted in the recapitalisation of British banks and their part-nationalisation.

Where the Brown government led, other countries followed, or so it was said. Brown, in a slip of the tongue in the Commons, told MPs he "had saved the world". Most recently, King has embarked on an ambitious programme of quantitative easing, or printing money. This involves buying up government and corporate bonds for cash in an effort to head off deflation and refloat the economy - a bold move.

King saw his appointment as an "interesting secondment" and not necessarily as a long-term career move. On Black Wednesday, 16 September 1992, when Britain was left without a monetary framework following ejection from the ERM, it was King who picked up the pieces; he invented and personally wrote the first of the Inflation Reports that were to become the centrepiece of policymaking. When the Bank was given its independence on 6 May 1997, his future path was all but set. In 1998, he was elevated to deputy governor, with responsibility for monetary policy, and became the first governor from academe when George retired in 2003.

Yet, in retrospect, the seeds of the credit crunch were planted with independence when Brown announced that banking supervision was to be moved from the Bank to a newly created Financial Services Authority, against the wishes of Eddie George. "Financial stability became the least interesting part of the Bank," a former member of the Monetary Policy Committee, which sets interest rates, said. "Until the crisis no one who wanted to be successful wanted to work there."

King denies such criticism. He believes that the Bank's financial stability wing was ahead of the game in warning about the dangerous build-up of debt and credit that ultimately contributed to the implosion of the financial system. If this is true, why did the Bank not do more to prevent disaster happening? An important reason is that few people were prepared to listen.

Through the autumn of 2007, as the government struggled with the collapse of Northern Rock, King sought to improve his understanding of the crisis and what steps needed to be taken. He reads deeply in financial history and has set up his own book club, which enables him to play host at his home in west London to leading economic and financial historians. During this long period of intense reading and deep introspection, as he consulted the Bank of England archives looking for historical parallels to the present crisis, King came to believe that the crisis facing the banking system was certainly the worst since the period of near-meltdown before the First World War. From among the extensive literature of financial crashes, he regarded J K Galbraith's The Great Crash, 1929 (first published in 1954) as the most insightful, and also admired Walter Bagehot's Victorian classic Lombard Street (1873).

King's reading led him to accept that the problems of the banking system were not just those of liquidity, but of capital - the equity and other top-grade securities that underpin lending. Historically, the ratio of capital to lending was seven to ten times. In the run-up to the credit crunch, some of the investment banks were lending 60 or 70 times capital. Because banks were insufficiently capitalised for the vast lending they had done, fear and loathing stalked the money markets. The governor believed that trying to persuade banks to increase lending would be a waste of time until they had restored their capital bases and trust resumed on the money markets.

The governor was becoming more confident in the crisis and his remedy, dramatically, was adopted by the government in September 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the 158-year-old Wall Street dealer-brokerage firm.

King was at this point showing himself to be a "Roosevelt-calibre politician" in his handling of the crisis. Yet, at the same time, King, newly ­appointed to a second term, found himself in open conflict with the Treasury. Darling wanted a scheme directly to support the mortgage market. King wanted nothing to do with any package that rewarded the banks for their mistakes. Eventually, after much prompting and political prodding and severe irritation on Downing Street's part, the special liquidity scheme, under which banks could exchange mortgages, was born on 21 April 2008.

It was not an easy birth. Hunkered down in his office at Threadneedle Street, King delayed and fussed about the detail of the scheme, much to the irritation of the Treasury and the elected politicians, who were not convinced he had grasped the gravity of what was happening. In spite of the seriousness of events, King never lost his sense of humour. At the height of the storm, he had to fly to Japan for a routine session of G7 finance ministers. One participant recalls how King regarded the exercise as futile and, to pass the time, "decided to mark the finance leaders out of ten for their sartorial elegance".

King likes to believe that it was his bold thinking which eventually led Brown and the government to recapitalise the British banks on 13 October 2008. The dramatic decision left the British government with majority stakes in Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group. The implementation may have been carried out by the Treasury, but it was King and the Bank which made the case in Whitehall for a comprehensive bailout. King is of the view that the solution had to be an economic one, not the partial solutions and spatchcock bailouts being demanded by individual banks. He was determined that top bankers should be made to pay for their sins with their jobs. The government should draw the line under "fat-cat" bonuses, he said, and insist in future on counter-cyclical banking under which bankers would build cash reserves during the good years instead of paying them out to staff through bonuses.

King was emboldened. After output plunged in the first quarter of 2009, he rapidly redirected the Monetary Policy Committee and the Bank to start a programme of quantitative easing. Once again, the governor had reached into the past for clues about how to combat deflation. He concluded that the Japanese response to deflation in the 1990s and the Federal Reserve's failure to provide adequate money in the 1930s offered the best answers.

Throughout the financial crisis, King never lost his intellectual bearings. Certainly his early responses to the credit crunch and the collapse of Northern Rock were feeble, but as the crisis intensified he came to be seen as a voice of sanity amid the claims of "saving the world" coming from Downing Street. In retrospect, King's insistence that the Bank should be given huge new powers to intervene in future banking crises made eminent sense.

King is likeable, and he is able to explain financial complexities in a direct and understandable way. But protecting his own reputation often seems as important to him as looking after colleagues or the actual results of the Bank's actions. He has taken independence to the limit, publicly challenging the government, and speaking out whenever he can, so that there is no ambiguity about his own position, even if it means placing himself in direct opposition to the Prime Minister. If his decision - gamble, really - to flood the economy with cash achieves the desired objective of refloating the British economy, the governor rather than Gordon Brown could yet emerge as a hero of the crisis.

Who better to run the ECB and turn things around?

For those of you that don't know me better, I am of course joking about Mr King because I for one have no real idea who is the right person to take over from Mr Trichet - but what I do know is that someone has to take over from him sooner rather than later if Europe is to make serious progressive steps.

On to the numbers for the week that was:
US Markets 
How the US did this week .....
 US SummaryUS stocks jumped after the unemployment rate decreased for the first time since April 2008, bolstering speculation that a recovering economy justifies the steepest rally in equities in seven decades. The Dollar advanced and Treasuries capped their biggest weekly drop in six years.

American Express, Walt Disney and General Electric added at least 2.7% after the Labour Department said the nation lost 247,000 jobs last month, 78,000 fewer than economists projected, and the jobless rate fell to 9.4% from 9.5%. American International Group Inc. rallied 20% after its first profit since 2007 topped estimates. CBS Corp. and D.R. Horton Inc. climbed on analyst upgrades.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 1.3% to a 10- month high of 1,010.48 at 4:08 p.m. in New York, completing a fourth straight weekly advance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 113.81 points, or 1.2%, to 9,370.07.

The S&P 500 has rallied 49% from a 12-year low on March 9, the steepest surge since the Great Depression. The market's rebound restored almost $4 trillion in value to US equities, after 2008 marked the worst year for stocks since the 1930s. Reports this month showed better-than-estimated sales of cars and pending contracts to buy existing homes, while service industries contracted less than economists forecast.

While profits at S&P 500 companies are falling for a record eighth straight quarter, results have surpassed projections by an average of 10% in the current season. Per-share earnings have beaten estimates at three-quarters of the 447 companies in the S&P 500 that released second-quarter results since June 17.

Companies in the S&P 500 will earn a combined $74.49 per share in 2010, according to forecasts as of Thursday. Overall profits are projected to rise 21%, led by an 85% increase at chemical and mining companies, a 54% gain at banks, brokers and insurers, and a 47% jump at energy producers, the data show.

The S&P 500 and the Dow have gained 12% and 6.8%, respectively, in 2009 as better-than-expected earnings and improving economic data suggest the worst recession since the 1930s may be subsiding and investors regain some confidence in US equities. The two gauges rose more than 2% each over the past five days, capping a fourth straight weekly gain.

AIG climbed 20% to $27.14 and more than doubled over the past week. The insurer bailed out by the US government reported second-quarter earnings per share of $2.57 on an adjusted basis, beating the $1.50 average analyst estimate. Shares of AIG climbed 63% on Aug. 5, and rose 2.4% Thursday before results were released.

A group of financial stocks in the S&P 500 rallied 2.7% to the highest level since Nov. 5. JPMorgan Chase & Co. gained 4% to $42.36, while Wells Fargo & Co. added 2.8% to $28.76. The group posted a 10% gain this week, the best among 10 S&P 500 industry groups.

American Express, the best performing stock in the Dow this year with a 76% rally, climbed 4.4% to $32.69 after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. boosted its share-price estimate to $33 from $28.

Disney, the biggest media company in the world, rallied 5.2% to $26.69, while GE climbed 2.7% to $14.70 for a seventh straight gain, the longest streak since May 2007.

Nvidia added 4.5% to $13.71 after the second- biggest maker of graphics chips forecast sales of as much as $830.9 million in the third quarter, compared with an average analyst estimate of $757 million.

D.R. Horton, the largest US homebuilder by sales, gained 7.8% to $13.52 as Goldman Sachs added the shares to its "conviction buy" list. That's the biggest rally since May 18.

Nine of the 10 industry groups in the S&P 500 advanced after the pace of job losses slowed more than forecast, the clearest sign yet that the recession is easing. Economists at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Thursday changed their forecasts for a smaller drop in payrolls, saying the world's largest economy and the Labour market are showing some signs of improvements. Goldman Sachs lowered the forecast to 250,000, almost matching Friday's report.

The Dollar Index, a gauge of the US currency against six major trading partners, climbed 1.2% to 78.976 for the biggest advance in almost two months. The price of the 10-year Treasury note slipped for a fifth consecutive day as investor risk aversion receded, with the yield up nine basis points to 3.85%. Ten year yields rose 37 basis points, or 0.37 percentage points, in the week.

Chiquita Brands International Inc. rallied the most since May 1, adding 16% to $14.82, after the seller of bananas and other produce posted second-quarter earnings excluding some items of $2.08 a share, more than twice the average analyst estimate, according to data.

CBS, the only major broadcast network to gain viewers last season, surged the most in the S&P 500. The stock added 27% to $10.81 after earnings topped analysts' estimates and Benchmark Co. raised the shares to "buy" from "hold," saying the stock is "well positioned to benefit from the improving economic outlook."

Leap Wireless International Inc., the pay-as-you-go mobile phone company, slid 24% to $17.06 after posting quarterly results and revenue that missed analysts' estimates as rivals increased competition with new products. Thursday, telephone stocks slid the most of 10 industry groups in the S&P, dropping 1.2% after MetroPCS Communications Inc. reported disappointing results.

PMI Group, the fourth-largest US mortgage insurer, lost 22% to $2.74. The company posted an eighth straight quarterly loss, missing the average analyst estimate. Mortgage defaults cut into income and policy sales declined.

The simultaneous advance Friday in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average to their highest levels of the year is a bullish sign for the US stock market among traders who use charts to make forecasts.

Dow Theory, developed by Wall Street Journal co-founder Charles Dow in 1884, holds that moves by the industrial average must be "confirmed" by the transportation average in order to be sustained. The Dow industrials climbed Friday to the highest level since President Obama was elected on Nov. 4., while the Dow transportation gauge jumped to the highest since Nov. 5.
European Markets 
What has been happening in Europe this week .....
 Europe SummaryEuropean stocks climbed as an unexpected decline in the US unemployment rate overshadowed speculation that four straight weeks of gains for the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index have outpaced the prospects for earnings.
The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index rose 1.2% to 230.68, extending its weekly gain to 2.6% with the highest close since Nov. 4. The gauge has climbed 46% since March 9 as companies from GlaxoSmithKline Plc to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reported better-than-estimated earnings. The measure is now valued at 40.1 times the profits of its companies, the highest level since 2003.

National benchmark indexes rose in 15 of the 18 western European markets. The UK's FTSE 100 advanced 0.9% and France's CAC 40 added 1.3%. Germany's DAX increased 1.7%.

GERMANY

German stocks rose for a second day, led by Deutsche Bank AG and Deutsche Telekom AG, after the US unemployment rate dropped for the first time since April 2008.

Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank AG, Germany's largest lenders, gained at least 1.8% as the pace of US job losses slowed more than forecast last month. Deutsche Telekom advanced 3.8% after Commerzbank raised its recommendation on the stock. Volkswagen AG climbed 3.7% after raising its full-year sales forecast.

The benchmark DAX Index added 1.7% to 5,458.96, extending the benchmark's weekly increase to 2.4%. The broader HDAX Index rose 1.6% as a report showed German exports increased the most in almost three years in June, helping to haul Europe's largest economy out of its worst recession since World War II.

The DAX completed its fourth straight week of gains. German companies that have reported quarterly earnings since July 8 beat projections by an average of 16%, while net income declined 60%, according to data.

Deutsche Bank rose 3.3% to 47.01 euros and Commerzbank added 1.8% to 5.98 euros.

Deutsche Telekom climbed 3.8% to 9.11 euros. Commerzbank raised its recommendation for Europe's biggest telephone company to "hold" from "reduce."

Volkswagen added 3.7% to 252 euros. Europe's largest carmaker expects 2009 sales to drop by about 5%, half the 10% decline estimated before. The company raised its full-year sales forecast after government subsidies helped spur demand for Golf and Polo compact models.

Daimler, the world's second-biggest luxury carmaker, increased 3% to 33.58 euros. Daimler's Mercedes-Benz cars achieved record sales in China, rising 35% to 5,000. DZ Bank AG lifted its share-price estimate to 26 euros from 20 euros.

ThyssenKrupp, Germany's biggest steelmaker, added 1.7% to 23.36 euros. Deutsche Bank raised its price projection for the shares 30% to 13 euros.

ElringKlinger surged 4% to 12.84 euros, the first gain in six days. The German auto-parts company had its price estimate raised at HSBC Holdings Plc and Unicredit.

Hamburger Hafen & Logistik retreated 2.5% to 30.11 euros, a sixth straight decline. The largest container-terminal operator at Germany's biggest port was lowered to "neutral" from "buy" at Nomura Holdings Inc.

Kloeckner & Co SE climbed 2.9% to 19.38 euros, the highest close since September. The German steel trader was rated "buy" in new coverage at Bank of America Corp. The brokerage has a price estimate of 24 euros on the stock.

Leoni AG surged 15% to 16.03 euros, the highest close since October. Germany's biggest maker of electrical cables for cars, was upgraded to "buy" from "hold" at Commerzbank, which cited "higher estimates for 2010" and "expectation of solid second-quarter reporting."

ProSiebenSat.1 Media jumped 22% to 6.10 euros, erasing Thursday's 6.7% decline. Germany's biggest private broadcaster had its share-price estimate raised 36% to 9.50 euros at Deutsche Bank. UniCredit SpA lifted its price projection 22% to 6 euros on the stock.

Puma slid 4.6% to 189.83 euros. Europe's second-largest sporting goods maker reported a 16% drop in second-quarter profit after cutting prices to keep up with rivals. UniCredit cut its recommendation to "hold" from "buy" and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. removed the stock from its "conviction buy" list.

SMA Solar Technology added 2.6% to 59.50 euros, the highest close in almost a year. Deutsche Bank cut its share-price estimate for the German maker of solar power converters 31% to 47 euros.

FRANCE

France's CAC 40 Index climbed 43.31, or 1.3%, to 3,521.14 in Paris, after falling as much as 1.2% earlier. The index rose 2.8% this week. The SBF 120 Index gained 1.1% Friday.

GDF Suez, owner of Europe's biggest natural gas network, climbed 4.4% to 27.49 euros. Vallourec SA, the world's second-largest maker of steel tubes for oil and gas production, rallied 3.1% to 104.10 euros.

Assystem sank 50 cents, or 7.2%, to 6.45 euros after climbing for the past five days. The software company said first-half net income dropped 92% to 1.1 million euros ($1.58 million).

France Telecom added 61 cents, or 3.6%, to 17.71 euros, rebounding from three days of losses. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its recommendation on shares of Europe's third-largest phone company to "overweight" from "neutral."

Maisons France Confort advanced 1.89 euros, or 7.7%, to 26.60 euros, rising for a third day. France's second-largest homebuilder said orders have started to recover. The company reported a 20% decline in first-half revenue to 213.8 million euros.

Parsys, which offers computer systems auditing, sank 21 cents, or 7.6%, to 2.57 euros, dropping for a second day. The company reported third-quarter revenue of 1.4 million euros, down from 4.6 million euros during the same period a year ago.

PSA Peugeot Citroen tumbled 1.22 euros, or 5.4%, to 21.25 for the biggest drop since June 26. Europe's second-biggest carmaker's corporate-credit rating was cut to BB+, or junk, by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, citing expectations that auto demand in Europe will remain low in 2010.

Renault SA, France's second-largest automaker, retreated 66 cents, or 2%, to 32.80, paring this week's gain to 9.6%.

Tessi SA climbed 1.11 euros, or 2.6%, to 43.50, advancing for a second day. The data-processing company reported a 14% gain in first-half revenue to 109.8 million euros and forecast a "favorable trend" for sales and operating profit.

BELGIUM

In Brussels the Bel 20 made steady gains of 1.18% Friday, closing the week at 2,252.67.

KBC gained 7.6% to 21.50 euros, extending Thursday's 22% surge. Deutsche Bank raised its recommendation on the recipient of 7 billion euros ($10 billion) in Belgian bank-rescue funds to "buy" from "hold."

Belgian metals and specialty materials maker Umicore surprised investors with a bleak outlook for the rest of the year after it reported a first-half profit that was worse than expected.

The company's prediction that the second half of the year would be no better than the very weak first six months surprised investors and sent its stock price tumbling 10%.

"In the second quarter of 2009, we saw an improvement (versus the first quarter), but not not enough to be able to talk about an upturn," said Chief Financial Officer Martine Verluyten. "The third quarter will be slow as usual."

In late afternoon trading Friday, Umicore shares were down 9.9% at 17.3 euros, against a 3.2% drop for the DJ Stoxx Basic Resources index.

Belgian holding company GIMV said it was investing an additional 30 million euros ($43.14 million) in Finland's CapMan, saying it planned to up its stake in the Helsinki-listed asset manager.

GIMV, part-owned by the Flemish regional government, said it was investing 30 million euros in two Capman funds.

GIMV said it had built up a 4.38% stake in CapMan by buying stock on the market, and intended to increase this to roughly 10%.

THE NETHERLANDS

In Amsterdam, the AEX gained 0.83% Friday, ending the week at 290.50.

A measure of telecommunication companies posted the steepest gain among 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600, rising 2.8%. Royal KPN NV added 2.8% to 10.52 euros. ING Groep NV initiated coverage of the Netherlands' biggest phone company with a "buy" recommendation.

Dutch consumer technology group InnoConcepts said on Thursday it had put together a new management team structure and bought out one of its units, giving its shares a boost.

InnoConcepts said under the supervision of new Chief Executive Niraj Mehra it had simplified its operating structure by integrating the management of the holding company and its various operating companies.

It added it would also announce the results of an ongoing strategic review in the coming months and that further operational restructuring would take place.

The firm, which booked a 22 million euro loss in 2008 and has warned it had a tough first quarter, said it appointed Jeroen de Rijk as finance director and appointed a technology director and an operations director to form a management team of four.

InnoConcepts also bought the remaining 43% of manufacturing unit HTP Technologies it did not already own from HTP managers by issuing them almost 670,000 euros in shares.

Shares in InnoConcepts, which develops plastic packaging, had risen 5.4% to 3.18 euros Thursday but were flat Friday.

Anglo-Dutch IT services firm Logica said cost savings had helped it post a better-than-expected 8% rise in profit, but tempered its outlook as companies held back on major IT projects.

The company, which is listed in London and Amsterdam, reported adjusted operating profit of 127 million Pounds ($216 million) for the six months to end-June on revenue of 1.88 billion Pounds, up 6% due to the weak Pound.

Chief Executive Andy Green said there were some signs of stabilisation in the market but consulting and systems integration remained tough, and the focus would remain on costs.

The group is cutting 75 million Pounds of costs in 2009 and a further 110 million in 2010.

AUSTRIA

In Vienna the ATX closed up 0.49% at 2,362.11.

Public prosecutors in Vienna targeted their examination of insider trading at Austrian energy giant OMV on the company's chief executive officer.

Prosecutors examined the purchase of OMV shares by Chief Executive Officer Wolfgang Ruttenstorfer when the company dumped more than 20% of its stake in Hungarian rival Mol in March 2008, the Financial Times reports.

The Austrian energy company tried unsuccessfully to take control of Mol but abandoned the deal due to concerns raised by the European Commission over market competition.

Mol lashed out at OMV in April, claiming it was acting as a Russian proxy in a deal that included a 21% share in Mol.

Mol Chairman Zsolt Hernadi called the deal suspicious, noting the deal was an aggressive bid by Russia that positioned Austria as a client state.

The OMV-Mol deal came amid political upheavals in Hungary, where the global recession contributed to an environment that brought the resignation of Ferenc Gyurcsany from the Hungarian premiership in March.

Ruttenstorfer bought OMV shares one week before dumping the Mol shares, which created a surge in OMV stock prices.

Representatives for OMV deny the insider trading allegations, saying Ruttenstorfer had "no connection" to the Mol shares and that "everything was carried out correctly."

Austrian machinery maker Andritz said on Friday second-quarter net profit dropped 83%, hit by a fall in revenues at all divisions but hydropower, and by restructuring charges.

Shares in the group fell as much as 6.7% but pared losses after its chief executive told Reuters that orders for pulp mill equipment would rise again in the second half of the year. They were down 3.4% at 31.49 euros by 1112 GMT.

Net profit for the group, which makes equipment for hydropower plants, pulp and steel mills, declined to 6.9 million euros ($9.9 million), including a 24 million euro charge for capacity adjustments, mainly in its pulp and paper business.

The result would have been much worse without the Andritz unit which makes turbines and generators for hydropower plants and which is defying the economic slump thanks to investments by power generators worldwide.

The units making machines for pulp mills used by paper producers and for steel mills are both highly geared to the global economic cycle and their revenue and order intakes accelerated their decline in the second quarter.

However, Andritz said it now expected some new projects for its pulp unit, which already booked a 160 million euro project in China just after the second quarter ended.

"We do expect some new projects in the pulp mill sector and expect that the order intake in the second half in the year will be quite a bit above that of the first half," Chief Executive Wolfgang Leitner said on the fringes of a news conference.

Analysts said this was a more upbeat tone than before.

SWITZERLAND

The SMI in Zurich closed Friday at 6,026.40 - gains of almost 1% (0.98%) on the day.

Swiss insurer Zurich Financial Services appointed Martin Senn as its new chief executive on Thursday, ending months of speculation as to whether an insider or outsider would take over.

Senn, a Swiss national, is currently Zurich's chief investment officer and will take over on Jan. 1 from James Schiro who is retiring after seven years in charge.

Senn, 52, joined Zurich in 2006 from Swiss Life, where he was also chief investment officer. He has also held various senior leadership positions at Credit Suisse and Swiss Bank Corp, which is now UBS.

Zurich, Europe's fourth-largest insurer by market value, said earlier on Thursday it was still confident that it was well positioned in the financial crisis and that its capital position was strong after it beat second-quarter earnings expectations.

Zurich's earnings fell well short of expectations in the first quarter as the company took $1 billion in realised losses and impairments.

Credit Suisse Group AG, the largest Swiss bank by market value, told bankers a pool of toxic bonds and mortgages set aside as part of their compensation gained 17% since January, a person familiar with the matter said.

About 2,000 bankers were told of the return, based on a $5 billion fund of bad mortgages and bonds, the person said, declining to be identified because the matter is private.

Credit Suisse decided last year to use leveraged loans and commercial mortgage-backed debt, some of the securities blamed for generating the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, to fund executive compensation packages. The Zurich- based bank, which sidestepped the worst of the credit crunch, posted a 29% increase in second-quarter profit last month as revenue from trading stocks and bonds doubled.

Credit Suisse advanced 86% so far this year in Swiss trading, the eighth-biggest gain among the 63 companies on the Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index.

The US and Switzerland need at least five more days to negotiate settlement of a Justice Department lawsuit against UBS AG seeking the names of Americans suspected of evading taxes through 52,000 secret Swiss accounts.

US District Judge Alan Gold in Miami Friday agreed to a request by Justice Department attorney Stuart Gibson to reschedule a telephone conference call for Aug. 12. Gibson told Gold on July 31 that the two governments had agreed in principle to settle the case and hoped to reveal final terms Friday.

"There are still some issues that remain to be resolved," Gibson told Gold Friday. "The parties are working through these issues and plan to continue talking."

Gold said that because of his heavy schedule, any trial must begin on Aug. 17 if the parties want to pursue one this month. Otherwise, the earliest date would be Sept. 21, he said.

Tax lawyers said they expect UBS to disclose thousands of accounts after giving the Internal Revenue Service data on 250 clients on Feb. 18. UBS, based in Zurich, agreed then to pay $780 million to defer prosecution for aiding tax evasion.

Since then, three UBS clients have pleaded guilty in the US to hiding their bank assets from the IRS. Thousands avoided prosecution by voluntarily disclosing their accounts to the IRS under a program that ends Sept. 23, tax lawyers said. The pace of future disclosures may hinge on the accord, according to lawyers for clients of UBS, the largest Swiss bank by assets.

SWEDEN

In Stockholm the OMX 30 gained 2.09% to close out the week at 892.19.

Scandinavian airline SAS said on Friday its passenger traffic fell 13.6% in July from the same month a year earlier and said the market remained unpredictable, sending its shares down.

That was the 11th consecutive month that the loss-making firm, half of which is owned by Sweden, Norway and Denmark, reported a year-on-year drop in traffic.

SAS, whose shares fell 4% to 3.67 Swedish crowns at 0945 GMT, said there was still considerable uncertainty as to when the market would recover.

Swedish security firm Securitas AB on Friday reported a 6.7% increase in second-quarter net profits, in part thanks to stronger sales, and said it aims to explore acquisition opportunities in North America as they arise.

The group said net profit in the quarter - excluding discontinued operations - reached 468 million kronor ($65.5 million), up slightly from 439 million kronor a year ago.

Sales in the April to June period jumped 18% to 15.4 billion kronor.

Securitas gets the majority of its revenues in US Dollars and euros, which have both strengthened against the Swedish krona.

Securitas shares rose 0.4% to 66 kronor in Stockholm.

TeliaSonera said on Friday an arbitration tribunal ordered Turkey's unlisted Cukurova group to sell its remaining stake in Turkcell Holding to the Nordic telecoms firm.

The transfer, for $3.1bn in cash, would give TeliaSonera a majority stake in Turkcell, Turkey's top mobile operator, in which Turkcell Holding owns 51%.

If the shares are not handed over, TeliaSonera said it would demand $1.8bn in damages from Cukurova.

"It will take time before we see the results of this, but it is definitely something that is positive for TeliaSonera, and I don't think it is factored in by the stock market," said a Stockholm-based analyst who declined to be named.

He said it was uncertain whether a sale would take place but said the damages figure would equal around 6% of TeliaSonera's market capitalisation.

Cukurova had agreed in March 2005 to sell its Turkcell Holding stake to TeliaSonera, which would effectively take the Nordic region's biggest telecom operator's ownership in Turkcell to around 64% from 37%.

The $3.1bn price, which was agreed at that time, would imply a discount of around 20% to Turkcell's current market value.

TeliaSonera said the latest ruling, in Geneva, came after Cukurova withdrew from the 2005 deal.

"This is positive for us of course, and it is yet another step in the right direction," Cecilia Edstrom, communications director at TeliaSonera, told Reuters.

"We are going to try to push this as fast as possible, but at the same time we are realistic and say that this can take time."

Cukurova had not acted to bring about the transaction, and the tribunal had now ordered the group to hand the stake over. However, TeliaSonera said it did not yet know if Cukurova was willing, or able, to transfer the shares.

FINLAND

In Helsinki the OMX closed the day Friday up 1.14% at 5,942.34.

The head of Finnair Oyj Friday said he will resign, the same day the Finnish airline posted its fourth consecutive quarterly net loss.

Chief Executive Jukka Hienonen Friday painted a bleak picture of the state of the airline industry and of his own company's financial situation. The airline sector, he said in a statement, "is facing its deepest crisis," because the downturn has taken a big bite out of business travel and industry overcapacity has pushed down air fares.

Finnair has tried to respond to its declining revenue by cutting costs. Last year it launched a plan to reduce spending by EUR200 million. Of this, EUR120 million would come from lower Labour costs, mainly lower compensation.

The cost-cutting plan, however, has faced fierce resistance from some of Finnair's seven unions. Importantly, it has been struggling to agree on a new deal with the Finnish Airline Pilots' Association since the most recent one expired last November.

"The most significant points of contention (with the pilots union) relate to pension benefits, restrictions on business management decision-making and working time arrangements," Finnair said.

One exception was Finnair's announcement Thursday that it had reached a new Labour agreement with 1,600 employees in its technical services unit. Finnair estimates this should save it EUR14 million by the end of 2010.

The airline - which is listed on the Helsinki exchange but is controlled by the Finnish government, which holds a stake of about 57% - said it was getting ready to launch new rounds of talks with some of the other unions.

One analyst said Hienonen's decision to retire probably stemmed from his frustration at being unable to get the unions representing pilots and cabin crew on board with his plans.

Hienonen said in a statement: "I am not satisfied with the results achieved; the rate of change has been insufficient."

Hienonen, who has led Finnair since early 2006, was not immediately available for an interview, his secretary said.

He is likely to remain with Finnair until early February since his contract requires him to give six months' notice. He turns 48 on Sunday.

Finnair did not indicate who may succeed him.

Finnair's net loss for the three months ended June 30 was EUR26.1 million, down from a EUR13.4 million net profit a year earlier.

Revenue fell 22% to EUR427.4 million from EUR545.2 million.

The company also posted an operating loss of EUR32.5 million, down from a EUR20.1 million operating profit.

FIM analyst Jaako Tyrvainen said the quarterly result was "worse than expected."

Hienonen's resignation was worrying, Tyrvainen said. "He had good spirit and the drive to lead the company the right way," he added. "If Hienonen can't change the structures in the company, I don't know who can."

Finnair had planned to invest heavily in new aircraft over the next couple of years, but Hienonen said the company now will "relax the timetable for aircraft acquisitions."

Tyrvainen said slowing those purchases would be necessary considering Finnair's weakened cash situation. "To survive, they have to postpone their investment plan and adjust their capacity to the declined demand," he said.

Finnair's shares traded down EUR0.14, or 3.3%, at EUR4.13, somewhat worse than the Helsinki market.

Sporting goods group Amer Sports reported a deeper-than-expected second-quarter loss on Thursday, hit by weakness at all its units, and said its full-year result would fall versus a year ago.

"Amer Sports' market outlook has not materially changed during the second quarter and the market will remain challenging during the rest of the year," Finland's Amer said in a statement.

Its April-June operating loss deepened to 29.4 million euros ($42.3 million) from a loss of 7.8 million a year ago, below all forecasts in a Reuters poll of analysts.

Amer, owner of the Wilson and Atomic brands, said the operating result at its three main units -- Winter Sports, Ball Sports and Fitness - fell versus a year ago, with Ball Sports the only one to record a profit.

"It's evident that in the current challenging times, we have to continue to adjust our structure in order to protect our bottom line," Chief Executive Roger Talermo said in a statement.

Amer shares, already slightly weaker ahead of the result, were off five% at 6.60 euros.

DENMARK

In Copenhagen the OMX 20 closed down 0.29% at 322.98.

Exane BNP Paribas increased Friday its share price target on Danish brewery group Carlsberg by DKK80 to DKK540, maintaining the "outperform" stance.

The French broker has thus set the highest price target on the Carlsberg stock, with the next highest being Sanford Bernstein's, at DKK510, and ING and Nomura's, at DKK500, Danish news agency Direkt-dk said.

Carlsberg rose over the week in Copenhagen trading after beating analysts' profit estimates on higher beer prices and improved profitability in Russia, its biggest market.

Second-quarter net income climbed to 1.94 billion Kroner ($375 million) from 1.42 billion Kroner a year earlier, Carlsberg reported Friday, beating the 1.6 billion-Kroner median estimate of 14 analysts.

The brewer used price increases to squeeze more earnings out of the Russian market, which is shrinking faster than it originally forecast. The brewer stepped up cost cuts in Russia after winning full control of Baltika last year, when it bought out partner Scottish & Newcastle's interest.

Carlsberg, which has also moved Baltika's sales mix toward more higher-margin, mid-priced brews and away from its cheapest brands, said its eastern European operating margin rose to 33.4% from 23.6% a year earlier.

Chief Executive Officer Jorgen Rasmussen said in a Television interview that Baltika raised its leading share of the Russian beer market largely at the expense of Anheuser-Busch InBev NV, the company's largest global rival.

Credit Suisse, Natixis, JPMorgan, UBS, Goldman Sachs and Svenska Handelsbanken (SHB) updated Friday their ratings and share price targets on Danish pharma company Novo Nordis.

Novo Nordisk Thursday published its interim report for the first half of 2009.

Credit Suisse confirmed its "outperform" stance and raised the price target to DKK360 from DKK340. Natixis maintained the "add" advice and lifted the target to DKK333 from DKK320.

JPMorgan, UBS and Goldman Sachs downgraded their recommendations to "neutral". JPMorgan had rated the stock as "overweight", while the other two brokers had recommended "buy" on it.

Moreover, Goldman Sachs removed Novo Nordisk from its "Pan-Europe Buy List".

SHB retained its "buy" rating and upped the price target by DKK10 to DKK375.

The shares in Novo Nordisk had slid 3.01% to DKK306.50 on Friday on the OMX Nordic Exchange in Copenhagen.

NORWAY

Oslo shares ended the week at 274.21, gains of 0.63% for the day Friday.

StatoilHydro, Norway's national oil company which is 67% government owned, announced its second-quarter net profits had been wiped out by an extraordinarily high tax charge - a result of the company's shift into using the US Dollar as its primary currency. StatoilHydro rose 1.8% to NKr133.41.

Shares in geophysical data company TGS-NOPEC ASA rose more than 3% Thursday after it reiterated its 2009 targets, saying the commercial climate for its products has improved significantly, and reported a 29% increase in second-quarter net profit due to better financial items.

At 0853 GMT, shares in TGS-NOPEC traded up NOK2.21 or 3.1% to NOK72.54, off an intra-day high of NOK73.87, but still beating the 0.96% rise on Oslo's OBX index.

TGS-NOPEC, which gathers seismic and other data for oil and gas companies, said while the improvement in take-up of its data is encouraging, it is still difficult to predict customer spending patterns in the second half of 2009 and 2010.

It said oil companies are still assessing their costs because of the sharp fall in commodity prices from a year ago, and as a result are cautious about spending on geophysical services. It left its full-year expectations unchanged. Net revenue is forecast at $470 million-$530 million and multi-client library investments at $230 million-$270 million.

Norwegian paper producer Norske Skog warned of more pain ahead, saying it needed to make additional cost cuts as markets showed no signs of improvement, after its magazine division dragged down its second quarter results.

The debt-laden newsprint and magazine paper maker has gone through repeated restructuring of its activities as well as debt, to stay afloat in a shrinking market plagued by overcapacity. And it warned of more pain ahead.

"There are no sure signs of any immediate improvement in the market and production curtailments will still be necessary," Norske Skog said in a statement on Tuesday.

The paper industry has struggled for years from soft demand and overproduction, even before the current global economic crisis further eroded demand for paper and board.

Although core earnings in the second quarter nearly matched analyst forecasts, investors focused on weak magazine paper sales, accounting for some 30% of its business.

Norske Skog noted slight a pick up in demand from Asia and Australia, but its overall gloomy outlook disappointed analysts, especially after Finnish peer UPM-Kymmene indicated that markets were steadying.

SPAIN

In Madrid the Ibex closed out the day at 10,947.60, up 0.59%.

Spanish debt-heavy media group Prisa said on Friday it had broken off talks with rival Imagina over a possible merger of their audio-visual operations, sending Prisa's shares down over 10%.

Prisa is exploring other opportunities to integrate its audio-visual operations with other television operators after it decided not to extend talks with Imagina, an affiliate of Spanish media group Mediapro.

The owner of daily El Pais is labouring under a debt-to-core-earnings ratio of about 6 and a deal with Imagina would have won it much-needed breathing space as it attempts to overhaul its core business and sell some units to raise cash.

"There have been no offers that fulfilled the requirements of the sale process established by Prisa at the beginning of the year," BPI said, highlighting the absence of bids for Prisa's core audiovisual asset, pay TV channel Digital+.

PORTUGAL

In Lisbon the PSI General ended a positive week at 2,563.02, up 0.15% on the day.

Portugal Telecom SGPS said Thursday second-quarter net profit fell 20% as capital expenditure rose and lower mobile termination rates squeezed cellular revenue.

PT, as Portugal's biggest telecommunications company by market capitalization and subscribers is also known, said net profit was EUR89.7 million down from EUR112.1 million a year earlier, but beating analysts' expectations for net profit of EUR88.3 million.

Revenue fell 2.5% to EUR1.63 billion, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization rose 1.6% to EUR594.9 million.

PT's earnings are strong, ING said, adding that its operational performance suggests it can grow revenue over the medium term. ING rates Portugal Telecom at buy with a EUR8.50 target price.

PT also said tax provisions rose 76% to EUR62.3 million in the quarter while net debt stood at EUR6.16 billion at the end of June from EUR5.57 billion a year earlier.

European telecommunications companies, including PT, have been forced to lower their mobile termination rates recently. Termination rates are the fees operators charge each other to connect calls. PT, like most European incumbents, gets a bigger portion of its revenue from mobile termination rates compared with smaller players.

PT has been beefing up its fiber optic network in Portugal to expand its Internet TV and broadband offer as well as improving its third generation mobile network in Brazil. The company said capital expenditure in the quarter rose 41% to EUR506 million compared with a year ago.

The company's bright spot continues to be Brazilian mobile company Vivo Participacoes, which it operates jointly with Spain's Telefonica. Vivo reported earlier this month a second-quarter net profit of $91.7 million from a loss a year earlier.

ITALY

Italy's benchmark FTSE MIB Index climbed 273.53, or 1.3%, to 21,402.19 in Milan. The gauge gained 4% this week.

Diasorin gained 28 cents, or 1.3%, to 22.5 euros, taking this week's rise to 15%. UBS AG increased its price estimate on the supplier of diagnostics tests to 25 euros from 20 euros, keeping a "buy" rating.

Enel rose for a second day, adding 5.75 cents, or 1.5%, to 3.9 euros. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. added Italy's biggest utility to its "conviction buy" list.

Fastweb increased 47 cents, or 2.6%, to 18.58 euros, snapping a three-day loss. Italy's second-biggest phone company said Thursday that second-quarter net income fell to 15.6 million euros from 26.1 million euros.

The company "has delivered strong second-quarter revenue," JPMorgan Chase & Co. said in a note. JPMorgan has a "neutral" rating on Fastweb.

Fiat lost 8 cents, or 1%, to 8.28 euros. PSA Peugeot Citroen sank after Europe's second-biggest carmaker's corporate credit rating was cut to BB+, a junk grade, by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services.

KME Group fell 3.55 cents, or 6.5%, to 50.95 cents. The maker of sheet metal and copper tubes reported a first-half loss of 20.1 million euros, compared with a profit of 12.3 million euros for the same period a year earlier.

Gruppo MutuiOnline jumped 58 cents, or 12%, to 5.26 euros. Second-quarter results were "above expectations," Equita Sim SpA said in a note. The brokerage has a "buy" rating on the online mortgage provider.

Intesa Sanpaolo rose 12.25 cents, or 4.5%, to 2.84 euros. UniCredit SpA (UCG IM) climbed 4 cents, or 1.7%, to 2.37 euros. Banks were the third-best performers in Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 after US data showed the pace of job losses slowed more than expected last month and that the unemployment rate dropped for the first time since April 2008.

UniCredit, Italy's largest bank, was upgraded to "overweight" from "neutral" at HSBC Holdings Plc. Citigroup Inc. lifted its price projection to 2.4 euros from 2.1 euros and kept a "hold" rating.

Mariella Burani Fashion Group SpA (MBFG IM): The fashion company plans to increase its capital by as much as 100 million euros. The company said Aug. 3 that it would seek to increase its capital by as much as 50 million euros. The stock surged 14.6 cents, or 8%, to 1.98 euros.

Olidata soared 9 cents, or 15%, to 68 cents. The company said Acer Europe BV completed the acquisition of a 29.9% stake in the Italian computer maker from Poseidone Srl for 2.5 million euros.

Tenaris gained for a second day this week, adding 17 cents, or 1.6%, to 10.86 euros. Cassa Lombarda upgraded the world's biggest maker of seamless steel tubes for pipelines to "hold" from "sell." Jefferies Group Inc. increased its price estimate for Tenaris ADR to $30 from $26. The brokerage kept a "hold" rating.

Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale rose 4 cents, or 1.7%, to 2.45 euros. UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking resumed coverage of the owner of Italy's national power grid with a "buy" recommendation.

Unipol fell for the first time this week, losing 1 cent, or 1.1%, to 89 cents. Italy's fourth- biggest insurer said Thursday first-half profit tumbled 76%. Cheuvreux trimmed its price estimate to 80 cents from 85 cents.

GREECE

In Athens the Composite Index closed off 0.85% at 2,380.58.

Foreign investors placed a net 744 million euros ($1.06 billion) in Greece's equities market in July most of it from the sale of a bloc of shares in OTE Telecom, Athens bourse data showed on Friday.

The Greek government sold a 5% stake in OTE to Deutsche Telecom - 24,507,519 shares worth 673.9 million euros last month.

Foreign portfolios owned 48.13% of the Greek market's free-float in July, up from 48.0 in June but down from 51.6% in July 2008.

In contrast, domestic investors were net sellers with outflows reaching 739 million euros.

For the whole of 2008, foreign investors were net sellers, with outflows reaching 3.6 billion euros.

The average daily trading value in July fell to 182 million euros from 221 million in June. It was also down compared with the same month a year earlier when the bourse traded 247 million euros daily.

Month-on-month, the Greek equity market's total capitalisation rose 8.3% in July to 89.1 billion euros - about 35.6% of the country's gross domestic product (GDP). Compared with July 2008, the market's value was down 30.3%.

The market capitalisation of the bourse's blue-chip FTSE-ASE 20-share index, which attracts most of the foreign interest, rose 11.3% month-on-month to 62 billion euros.

Greek shares have gained 34.4% since the start of the year.

Greece's Coca-Cola Hellenic  posted better-than-expected second quarter profit on Thursday as cost savings offset pressure on sales volumes, and said trading conditions would remain tough due to the economic slump.

CCH, the world's second-largest bottler of Coca-Cola drinks, said net profit rose 7% year on year to 194 million euros ($279.2 million), excluding restructuring costs and non-recurring items, beating an average analyst forecast of 171.4 million euros.

The global economic downturn has seen consumers cut spending on soft drinks, hurting CCH's retail business. The firm, 23.3%-owned by Coca Cola, bottles Coke-branded products in 27 countries across Europe and in Nigeria.
The UK Market 
Did it follow the Global trend .....
 UK MarketsUK stocks advanced, wrapping their fourth consecutive weekly gain, after a better-than-expected US unemployment report overshadowed disappointing results from Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.

Vodafone Group and BP led gains in the benchmark FTSE 100 Index as the release on jobless Americans bolstered speculation that the recession in the world's largest economy is easing. RBS dropped 12% after posting an unexpected first-half loss and saying impairments will remain "elevated."

The FTSE 100 Index added 41.03, or 0.9%, to 4,731.56 after falling as much as 1.2%. Friday's increase took this week's advance to 2.7%. The FTSE All-Share Index rose 0.8% Friday and Ireland's ISEQ Index increased 0.6% at 4:42 p.m. in Dublin.

The FTSE 100 has rebounded 35% since March 3 amid speculation the worst of a global economic slowdown is past and as companies beat analysts' earnings estimates. US payrolls fell by a less-than-forecast 247,000 last month, after a 443,000 loss in June, the Labour Department said Friday. The jobless rate dropped to 9.4% from 9.5%.

Vodafone, the world's biggest mobile-phone company, added 2.8% to 127.95 pence. BP, Europe's second-largest oil company, rose 2.1% to 509.75 pence.

G4S were among the top performers on the FTSE Friday.

The security services group gained 1.4% to 213½p in reaction to results from Securitas, its Swedish rival.

Securitas posted flat organic sales and said the economy remained difficult. However, analysts saw the results as broadly positive given Securitas lacks exposure to developing markets and state contracts, which together provide more than half of G4S's sales.

Collins Stewart issued "buy" advice on G4S ahead of the group's interim results on August 24.

Consensus forecasts were "far too low", it said. The broker saw G4S's strength in the Middle East and Africa boosting profitability, while the US business should be helped by fewer overtime hours and the removal of a low-margin nuclear contract.

Large-cap defensives led the blue-chip gainers, having lagged behind the recent rally as investors favoured cyclical stocks.

Serco was the top performer, up 3.8% to 412p, while Vodafone climbed 2.8% to 128p and AstraZeneca rose 2.6% to £27.92½p.

Smith & Nephew edged 0.8% higher at 473¾p on renewed speculation it might become a takeover candidate.

Dealers said S&N was once again being linked with US peer Biomet. A private equity consortium including Blackstone and Goldman Sachs bought Biomet in 2007, a few months after S&N had failed to agree a merger.

The speculation follows a period of underperformance for S&N stock, which has slipped 14% from its 2009 high as the weakening economy led patients to delay hip surgery.

Royal Bank of Scotland fell for the first session in eight, losing 12.1% to 47p after it provided a downbeat outlook statement with wider underlying losses than analysts had expected. Lloyds Banking Group, whose more optimistic view of 2010 led its stock to surge this week, retreated 2.6% to 102p in tandem. But Barclays remained supported, gaining 3.1% to 365p.

Cobham gained 2.1% to 191½p on a positive response to Thursday's interim results. Citigroup moved to "buy" on the defence contractor, saying the stock was at its cheapest level to earnings since 1993, while Goldman Sachs removed the stock from its "sell" list.

Among the mid-caps, Greggs was up 5.5% to 402p on hopes that its interim results due on Tuesday will impress.

Brewin Dolphin slipped by 1.6% to 139½p after Numis Securities analysts said the wealth manager was overstating profit.

By capitalising incentive payments to new hires as goodwill, Brewin had avoided recognising £93m of recruitment costs in its income account, said Numis. Adopting a similar policy to Rathbones, a peer, would have wiped out 2008 profit, it said.

Arden Partners, Brewin's house broker, rejected the claim. "With departures being exceedingly rare, questioning goodwill because of the theoretical possibility of departures is irrational," analyst Sarah Spikes said.

Sports Direct lost 2.5% to 88¾p on news the Competition Commission would examine its purchase of 31 stores from rival JJB Sports. If it finds competition was lessened, the Commission could bar trading at five overlapping stores, or pull the entire deal.

Singer, house broker to Sports Direct, said the liability should not exceed £1.5m, which would be less than 2% of its profit forecast this year. But with the stock up a third over the past quarter it saw a risk of profit taking.

Claimar Care soared on Friday after receiving a cash offer from Housing 21, the sheltered housing charity, at more than three times Thursday's closing price.

Claimar, which is 19% owned by chief executive Mark Hales, jumped 156% to 33p on news of the 39p offer. The care home operator floated in 2006 at 76p per share.

ITM Power, the hydrogen fuel cell developer, surged as high as 34p before closing up 4.2% to 25p.

ITM stock has doubled this week on strong volume as traders argued that the group's net cash made it a potential bid target. The company played down the speculation.

Kurdistan oil explorer Sterling Energy surged 41.7% to 3.3p on bid hopes. The group said in June that it was in preliminary takeover talks with parties rumoured to include Argentine oil investor Carlos Bulgheroni.

Shieldtech, a maker of stab-proof vests, jumped 100% to 10p after saying in a trading update it had returned to operating profit.

Maple Energy was among the sharpest fallers, losing 21.3% to 140p. The Peru-based natural gas group has lost half its value since Thursday following disappointing results from its Santa Rosa field.

Wind turbine gearbox maker Hansen Transmissions slipped 0.8% to 133p after Edison Investment Research said expectations of a pick-up in demand next year look "overly optimistic".

Stobart Group, the haulier, fell 1.4% to 108p after its chief executive and chief operating officer sold stock for about £5m.
Asia Pacific Regional Markets 
Did they set the tone or follow the lead .....
Asiapac IndicesJAPAN

Tokyo stocks ended slightly higher Friday as late short-covering in Nikkei futures helped the cash market erase triple-digit losses.

The Nikkei 225 opened lower and briefly fell nearly 140 points on weakness in automaker shares, but the index began to trim losses late in the session, following September Nikkei 225 futures' lead.

The Nikkei ended up 24.00 points, or 0.2%, at 10,412.09, a new 2009 closing high, setting the mark just moments before the market close.

Nikkei futures added 20 points, or 0.2%, to 10,420, with trading volume growing sharply in the afternoon.

The Topix index of all the Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section issues fell 0.75 points, or 0.1%, to 956.76. Volume was relatively thin at about 1.9 billion shares.

Automakers trimmed their early losses late, reflecting the broader market's rally. Toyota Motor ended down 1.0% at Y4,090 after sinking as low as Y3,990. Honda Motor ended down 0.3% at Y3,100, well above its intraday low of Y3,020.

Mitsubishi Rayon surged 5.8% to Y273 on more than five times normal trading volume. Heavy buying was due to a Nikkei front page report that the firm plans to start producing precursor material in Saudi Arabia for acrylic glass, a material used in liquid crystal displays.

Among earnings-driven shares, Pioneer fell 3.2% to Y273 after the car electronics maker said late Thursday it expects to post losses for this fiscal year for the sixth straight year. "A quick recovery of its core car electronics business will be unlikely unless the auto market recovers firmly," said a Japanese brokerage analyst.

For the week, the Nikkei added 0.5%, and is now up almost 18% for 2009, with most of that tally coming since July 13.

While the bulk of earnings reporting season concluded this week, a few closely watched firms are slated to make announcements next week, including several insurers.

SOUTH KOREA

South Korean shares closed at a year-high Friday, led by financial and technology stocks.

The Korea Composite Stock Price Index, or Kospi, rose 10.96 points, or 0.7%, to 1576, its highest close since Aug. 12.

The market initially fell in the morning, with the index dropping to as low as 1559.18 on caution ahead of the release of US job data, but later recovered.

Foreigners were net buyers of shares worth KRW179.9 billion, while domestic institutions and local retail investors unloaded a net KRW99.8 billion and KRW93 billion worth of stocks, respectively.

The Kospi's direction next week will likely be determined by the reaction of the US and China stock markets to the US job data, said analysts.

The Kospi is also expected to undergo some volatility next week when investors wait for rate decisions by the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Korea.

Bank stocks extended their winning streak for the fifth straight session amid optimism for earnings improvement in the third quarter, as well as the stronger won against the Dollar, which will lower overseas borrowing costs, said analysts.

KB Financial Group rose 2.4% to KRW56,500, Woori Finance Holdings gained 4.6% to KRW14,700 and Hana Financial Group climbed 3% to KRW35,700.

Among technology stocks, bellwether Samsung Electronics ended up 0.1% at KRW716,000, recovering from early lows as program selling eased, said Won.

Hynix Semiconductor rose 3.7% to KRW18,150 and LG Electronics added 0.8% to KRW127,000 after recently taking a breather.

Ssangyong Motor again surged by the daily 15% limit to KRW2,320 after the company and its union finally agreed Thursday on a revised plan to cut jobs, ending a 77-day strike at Ssangyong Motor's plant and raising hopes for the revival of the cash-strapped car maker.

HONG KONG

Hong Kong shares took a cue from the sharp slide on the Shanghai market to fall 2.5% on Friday on worries the mainland authorities will take measures to rein in the liquidity that has fuelled the stellar rally on the mainland bourses.

But heavyweight China Mobile rose for a second day, limiting losses on the main index, gaining 1.7% as speculation mounted over a Shanghai-listing for the company.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index closed down 523.87 points at 20,375.37. The gauge fell 1% on the week, snapping a three-week winning streak.

The China Enterprises Index, which represents top locally listed mainland Chinese stocks, was 3.7% lower at 11,612.18.

Orient Overseas slipped 7.6 percent to HK$41.70 after reporting a $231.8 million first-half net loss as world trade slumped and rising overcapacity pummeled cargo rates.

Tsingtao Brewery jumped 0.7% after the beer maker reported a 68% on-year jump in its first half net profit.

Heavyweights China Mobile and Cnooc extended their recent gains on expectations of a listing on the mainland, adding 2.4% and 0.4% respectively.

CHINA

Concerns Beijing may be preparing to tighten monetary policy dragged China's shares sharply lower for the third consecutive session Friday.

Analysts said those concerns are likely to continue weighing on China shares next week, along with expectations of some big initial public offerings, which could divert liquidity from the stock market.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks both A and B shares, ended down 95.64 points, or 2.9%, at 3260.69, after hitting an intraday low of 3244.10. The index has fallen 4.4% this week, after rising for seven weeks in a row.

The Shenzhen Composite Index fell 38.32 points, or 3.4%, to 1087.23.

Steel makers were among the biggest decliners Friday because of falling steel futures.

Baoshan Iron & Steel fell 3.5% to CNY8.76 and Wuhan Iron & Steel ended 5.6% lower at CNY10.60.

Benchmark November rebar on the Shanghai Futures Exchange settled down CNY128, or 2.6%, at CNY4,731 a metric ton, while November wire declined CNY146, or 3.1%, to CNY4,592 a ton.

Solar power companies also fell sharply on profit-taking after rising Thursday.

Sunvim Group declined 7.0% to CNY10.41 after gaining 7.4% in the previous session, and Baoding Tianwei Baobian Electric fell 6.8% to CNY39.01 following a 6.7% gain.

TAIWAN

The market in Taipei was closed Friday because of an approaching typhoon.

THE PHILIPPINES

Stocks tumbled across-the-board except for the mining and oil index led by Philex Mining Corp. with the bellwether index finishing at its lowest level in a week.

The 30-company Philippine Stock Exchange index lost 2.05 percent or 58.23 points to 2,782.98 amid the holiday-shortened trading week. Trading remained brisk as volume turnover reached 5.23 billion shares changing hands amounting to P2.85 billion.

Market breadth was negative as losers led gainers, 80-40 while 46 issues were unchanged.

2tradeasia.com expected participants to take their cue overseas.

The broader all-shares slipped 1.57 percent or 28.17 points to 1,771.12.

The service index posted biggest loss of 3.18 percent or 46 points to 1,400.45, followed by the holding firm index, which gave up 2.4 percent or 36.79 points to 1,497.28, while the industrial index slid by 2.37 percent or 102.40 points to 4,212.52.

The financial index shed 1.87 percent or 11.43 points at 599.02 while property index dipped 0.13 percent to 975.56.

Philex Mining Corp. was the top actively traded stock, cornering 21.21 percent of the market. The country's largest mining company ended higher at P9 after producing P864 million worth of minerals in July.

Market heavyweight Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. got 17.47 percent of the market, finishing weaker at P2,445.

Ayala-led Globe Telecom Inc. rose to P1,020 followed by Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co. and Megaworld Corp., which were unchanged at P39 and P1.34, respectively.

BPI Securities Corp. earlier said the release of second quarter results may provide some support to the market.

"However, valuations of key index issues have already ran up," it said.

INDONESIA

Indonesian shares ended lower on Friday as lower commodity prices and declines in regional and European markets prompted investors to lock in gains, an analyst said.

The Jakarta Composite Index shed 10.84 points, or 0.46 percent, to 2,349.13. Some 12.6 billion shares worth Rp 6.3 trillion ($636 million) changed hands. Decliners led gainers 125 to 70, with 67 stocks unchanged.

Mining and consumer goods stocks, which declined 2.3 percent and 1.4 percent, led the benchmark index's fall.

After reaching a nine-month high this week, the rupiah weakened to 9,970 against the dollar on concerns that the central bank would aid exporters by limiting appreciation of Indonesia's currency as global funds pour money into the nation's equities, Bloomberg reported.

Bank Indonesia said on Friday that it wanted stability in the rupiah, noting that the currency's appreciation this year had been spurred by inflows of $4 billion from abroad.

In the JCI, investors remained focused on trading Bakrie group stocks, which accounted for Rp 3.27 trillion, or 48 percent of total transactions on Friday. Trading in PT Bumi Resources, Bakrie's flagship stock, was valued at Rp 1.8 trillion. The mining giant's shares lost 25, or 0.8 percent, to 2,975.

Also under the Bakrie umbrella, oil and gas company PT Energi Mega Persada fell 20, or 4.4 percent, to 430.

Nickel for three-month delivery decreased 4.2 percent to $19,600 a metric ton in London on Thursday, the steepest drop since July 8, Bloomberg reported. The contract had fallen to $19,206 a ton as of 10:02 a.m. London time on Friday, driving down mining stocks.

PT Timah shed 75, or 3.3 percent, to 2,200, while coal producer PT Indo Tambangraya Megah dropped 100, or 4.3 percent, to 24,800. PT Aneka Tambang declined 100, or 4.0 percent, to 2,375, and PT International Nickel Indonesia lost 200, or 3.9 percent, to 4,850.

PT Indofood Sukses Makmur fell 75, or 3.3 percent, to 2,225 and PT Unilever Indonesia moved down 200, or 1.8 percent, to 10,950.

Among the gainers in the day's trading were PT Astra International, which gained 1,000, or 3.3 percent, to 31,000, and PT United Tractors, climbing 300, or 2.4 percent, to 13,000.

MALAYSIA

Share prices on Bursa Malaysia were mixed to lower at the close Friday with modest gains in several key bluechips pushing the benchmark index just above water.

At 5pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index was 0.91 of a point higher at 1,184.88.

The Finance Index fell 19.37 to 9,689.03, the Plantation Index decreased 22.04 points to 5,751.48 and the Industrial Index was 0.06 of a point lower at 2,610.85.

The FBMEmas Index declined 3.85 points to 8,020.99 but the FBM Top 100 added 0.70 of a point to 7,789.75 and the FBM ACE Index was 35.63 points higher at 4,244.55.

Decliners outnumbered advancers by 388 to 276 while 232 counters were unchanged and 363 untraded.

Total market turnover decreased to 1.010 billion shares from 1.025 billion but the value rose to RM1.659 billion from RM1.541 billion yesterday.

Axiata, one of Asia's largest telecomunication companies, was the second most active stock with 37.811 million shares changing hands. It rose 13 sen to RM3.06.

The most active was KNM Group which lost two sen to 83.5 sen on 46.985 million shares traded.

Others on the active list included SAAG Consolidated which fell by 1.5 sen to 26 sen, Jotech which was flat at 9.5 sen and finance heavyweight Bumiputra-Commerce which gained two sen to RM10.66.

Conglomerate Sime Darby lost five sen to RM8.26, Malaysia's largest bank Maybank fell one sen to RM6.84 and power giant Tenaga Nasional was flat at RM8.15.

Public Bank which rose a sen to RM9.96 also helped put the FBM KLCI in the a positive territory. Public Bank, Axiata and Bumiputra-Commerce have a combined weighted of 16.348 percent in the FBM KLCI basket.

Volume on the Main Market fell to 827.170 million shares valued at RM1.620 billion from 926.704 million shares valued at RM1.521 billion.

The ACE Market turnover declined to 61.127 million shares worth RM12.985 million from 74.909 million shares worth RM12.452 million.

Warrants rose to 118.542 million shares valued at RM24.356 million from 19.143 million shares worth RM5.346 million.

SINGAPORE

Down 2.0%. The Straits Times Index declined 52.15 points to 2,549.35. The index traced heavy falls in Hong Kong and Shanghai, while profit-taking contributed, analysts said.

Singapore blue-chip DBS fell 2.0% despite the bank's better-than-expected second quarter results as sentiment was dampened by concerns over rising bad debt charges.

Other banking shares in the city-state also came under selling pressure, with Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp sliding nearly 2 percent and United Overseas Bank 0.4 percent lower.

Singapore ended the week down over 4 percent, faring the worst in Southeast Asia, but most other markets in the region were also lower on the week.

THAILAND

Thailand's SET dropped 0.8 percent Friday.

Bangkok was weighed down by energy shares, with PTT, the biggest energy firm, down 1.5 percent and subsidiary PTT Exploration and Production off 1.4 percent.

But there was selective buying in firms paying good dividends and reporting strong earnings. Charoen Pokphand Foods rose 1.8 percent and Siam City Cement climbed 3.5 percent.

INDIA

Investors continued to book profits on the recent rally amid rising concerns that weak monsoon rains could hurt India's economic recovery, dragging local shares sharply down for the second straight session Friday.

The Bombay Stock Exchange's benchmark Sensitive Index ended down 2.3% at 15,160.24. It traded between a low of 15,104.00 and a high of 15,501.94.

The 30-stock index had lost 2.5% Thursday.

Before Thursday's losses, the Sensex had jumped nearly 19% since its July 13 close of 13,400.32 - its lowest level since mid-May. The index lost 3.3% this week after rising in each of the past three weeks.

India's monsoon rainfall, which in June was the lowest in 83 years, was 64% below normal in the week ended Aug. 5, according to the country's meteorological department.

The June-September monsoon season is crucial for summer-sown crops because about 60% of the country's farm land is rain-fed.

Market participants said the progress of the monsoon and trade in global markets will be the key factors to watch out for in the coming week.

A Dow Jones technical analysis expects the Sensex to trade in a 14,200-15,800 range for the next week.

On the National Stock Exchange, the 50-stock S&P CNX Nifty index fell 2.3% to 4,585.50.

Total traded volume on the Bombay Stock Exchange was 54.43 billion Rupees ($1.14 billion), compared with Thursday's 71.56 billion Rupees. Decliners beat gainers 1,922 to 748, while 78 stocks were unchanged.

Selling was broad-based as 27 of the 30 Sensex companies ended lower. The BSE Auto Index fell sharply for the second straight session, ending down 3.9% at 5,457.09. It had lost 4.4% Thursday after surging nearly 34% since July 13.

Worries that weaker monsoons could hurt rural incomes dragged tractor-maker Mahindra & Mahindra down 5.4% to 834.15 Rupees. Hero Honda Motors lost 2.5% to 1,481.25 Rupees, while Maruti Suzuki India slumped 5.3% to 1,291.30 Rupees.

Telecom shares fell sharply as funds turned negative on the sector fearing that intense competition could slow down the earnings growth at companies, an equity strategist said.

Reliance Communications plunged 5.8% to 254.75 Rupees to be the biggest percentage loser on the Sensex, while larger rival Bharti Airtel slipped 3.9% to 383.80 Rupees.

Jaiprakash Associates, down 5.5% to 218.15 Rupees, Tata Power, down 4.8% to 1,225.35 Rupees, and Ranbaxy Laboratories, down 4.5% to 260.95 Rupees, were the other big losers.

Among heavyweights, ICICI Bank lost 3.6% to 738.05 Rupees, State Bank of India shed 3.1% at 1,741.85 Rupees, while engineering giant Larsen & Toubro slid 1.4% to 1,465.45 Rupees.

Reliance Industries, the nation's most valued company, fell 2.5% to 1,995.90 Rupees.

AUSTRALIA

Weakness in offshore equities and commodities markets flowed through to the Australian share market in quiet trading Friday, with profit taking dominating after steep gains in recent weeks.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 26.9 points or 0.6% at 4299.4 after falling as low as 4275.3. The index recovered 25 points in the last 90 minutes.

Overnight, the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and London Metal Exchange copper fell 2.8%.

Resources accounted for more than half of Friday's fall in the Australian market, with BHP Billiton down 2.0% to A$38.08, Rio Tinto down 2.1% at A$60.57 and Fortescue down 3.1% at A$4.41.

Telstra was another drag, falling 1.4% to A$3.52.

Banks were generally weaker, with National Australia Bank down 1.0% to A$25.50, Westpac down 0.4% to A$22.83 and ANZ down 0.5% at A$19.38.

Suncorp Metway fell 1.3% to A$7.90 after it responded to an Australian Stock Exchange price query with a forecast full year profit of A$340 million to A$360 million, which was in line with expectations and a general insurance margin forecast of 7.5% to 8.0%, which was below consensus.

West Australian Newspapers fell 3.3% to A$6.15 after failing to issue any guidance along with its full year results. The stock had rallied around 50% in the past four weeks.

Traders said there was scope for profit-taking, since the Australian market was up 15% in 19 days.

Bucking the bearish intraday trend, Westfield Holdings rose 1.0% to A$12.50 as investors parked funds in the stock ahead of next week's distribution payment.

Also, positive, was Resmed, up 2.9% at A$5.25 after reporting a 33% rise in its annual net profit.

Other standouts included QBE Insurance, up 2.1% at A$21.05 and AMP, up 1.2% at A$5.88, after recent gains in their US peers.

UBS analysts said the Australian share market looked "stretched" on a one year forward PE ratio of 15.6 times, versus the long-term average of 14.3 times, adding that it notionally expensive versus developed world equity markets.

The good news was that UBS said EPS was below trend and about to recover.

"Short term, equities are looking somewhat overbought, though we believe there is still medium-term value," said the broker. "We believe fair value is in the vicinity of 4700-4800, above our current near-term target of 4400 by December 2009."

UBS said downside risks for the Australian equity market appeared to be rising, though the balance of evidence increasingly pointed to a moderate global recovery, which should be supportive of stocks in the medium-term.

The broker retained its Underweight recommendation on resources and Real Estate Investment Trusts, along with its Overweight call on banks and industrials.

NEW ZEALAND

New Zealand stocks edged higher as investors prepare for earnings season to begin in earnest. Sky City Casino Group, which has already flagged that profit beat its forecast, more than doubling from a year earlier, led the advance.

The NZX 50 Index rose 12.84, or 0.4%, to 3068.99, snapping a two-day slide. Within the index, 17 stocks rose, 20 fell and nine were unchanged. Turnover was NZ$69.5 million.

Sky City rose about 4% to NZ$3.39 and has soared 29% since the start of July. Net income was as much as NZ$116 million in the year through June 30, up from NZ$49.9 million a year earlier, which included a NZ$60 million charge against its cinema unit. The company posts earnings on August 19.

Restaurant Brands New Zealand, the franchise holder for Pizza Hut, KFC and Starbucks, rose 3% to NZ$1.03. ING Property Trust climbed 2.8% to 74 cents.

Air New Zealand rose 2.6% to NZ$1.18, a level it last reached on Sept. 3. The the national carrier announced Friday it will offer trans-Tasman flights twice a week in the lead-up to the Christmas holidays, aiming to reap the benefits of a joint marketing campaign with the government to attract more Australians.

NZX Ltd., the stock exchange manager, fell 1.3% to NZ$7.61, having initially gained after reporting first-half profit jumped to NZ$60.8 million, reflecting gains on asset sales. A profit of NZ$61.6 million was forecast by Forsyth Barr.

Fletcher Building slipped 0.4% to NZ$7.32. A survey by the Australian Industry Group and Housing Industry Association, released Friday, showed the building industry across the Tasman contracted at a faster pace last month on dwindling demand for major commercial projects and apartments.

The association's index fell 3.1 points to 39.5 on a scale where anything below 50 signals a contraction.

Steel & Tube Holdings, which sells steel building products in the New Zealand market, fell 1.8% to NZ$3.20.
Global Commodities 
'Food for thought' or 'a Grain of truth' .....
 CommoditiesSugar prices surged to their highest levels for 28 years in a strong week for commodity markets during which European crude oil, copper, aluminium, nickel, lead and zinc hit their highest levels of the year.

ICE October raw sugar, the global benchmark, rose 5% to 20.79 cents a Pound Thursday, the highest level since mid-1981.

Sugar prices jumped 11.7% this week and have risen 76% this year amid mounting supply concerns.

Bad weather has affected production in India and Brazil, the world's two largest producers.

Global sugar stocks are estimated to be near record lows, and buyers, such as governments and international food and beverage companies, have had to compete for tightening supplies.

Both Mexico and Egypt announced large purchases of sugar this week and other countries are expected to buy.

The market is viewed as being in uncharted territory, having traded above current levels only on two previous occasions.

Both involved massive spikes. Prices surged above 50 cents per Pound in 1974-75 and 1980-81.

In London, Liffe October white sugar rose 4% to $539.5 a tonne, the highest since the contract was launched in July 1983. It gained 9.7% this week and is up 69.7% this year.

In oil markets, Nymex September West Texas Intermediate fell $1.01 to $70.93 a barrel.

ICE September Brent fell $1.24 to $73.59 a barrel after reaching a high for the year of $76 on Thursday.

Evidence of recovery in manufacturing surveys and Thursday's better US employment data than expected fuelled the rally for oil prices.

US regulators appeared to be toughening their stance on position limits as public hearings on the impact of speculators in commodity markets concluded this week.

Goldman Sachs said this year's rise in prices was "just the beginning" of another rally that was likely ultimately to be even more extreme than past episodes as supply problems have continued to worsen.

Gold fell for the third straight day as an unexpected drop in US unemployment drove the Dollar higher, damping the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative investment. Silver rose.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $3.40, or 0.4%, to $959.50 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The metal dropped by the same amount in each of the previous two days. The price gained 0.4% this week.

Bullion for immediate delivery dropped $8.52, or 0.9%, to $954.73 at 2:39 p.m. New York time.

Silver for September delivery rose 2.3 cents, or 0.2%, to $14.668 an ounce in New York. The metal rose 5.2% this week.

Copper rose, capping a fourth straight weekly gain, after an unexpected decline in the US jobless rate signaled the recession may be easing.

Copper futures for September delivery climbed 3.35 cents, or 1.2%, to $2.7855 a Pound on the New York Mercantile Exchange's Comex division, up 6.2% for the week. Earlier, the metal dropped as much as 1.9% on concern this year's rally may have been exaggerated.

On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three months rose $125, or 2.1%, to $6,150 a metric ton ($2.79 a Pound). Among other metals traded on the LME, aluminum, zinc, tin, lead and nickel gained.
Global Currencies 
In for a Penny, in for a Pound .....
UK Markets
 The Dollar dropped to its lowest level in 10 months this week as optimism that the global economy would emerge from the current slowdown sooner than previously thought weighed on the US currency.

A series of upbeat surveys on manufacturing activity from across the globe boosted hopes for worldwide growth, pushing equity markets up to fresh highs for the year early in the week.

This dented haven demand for the Dollar as investors abandoned the relative safety of the US currency in search of higher returns elsewhere.

The Dollar index, which tracks its progress against a basket of six leading currencies, hit a low of 77.428 on Wednesday, its weakest level since October.

As hopes for global growth rose, commodity-linked currencies were in demand. The Canadian Dollar, the Australian Dollar and the New Zealand Dollar all hit 10-month highs against their US counterpart.

Emerging market currencies also advanced, with the Brazilian Real, the South Korean Won and the Turkish Lira also notching up their strongest levels against the Dollar since October.

The Dollar also dropped to $1.4446 against the euro on Wednesday, its weakest level since December and hit a 10-month trough of $1.7042 against the Pound.

However, the Dollar recovered from its lows Thursday as investors appeared to re-assess the currency's relationship to risk-taking and better economic data.

Indeed, after an initial knee-jerk sell-off, the Dollar advanced Thursday after the US employment report came in better than expected.

Over the week, the Dollar was flat at $1.4273 against the euro, rose 0.6% to SFr1.0733 against the Swiss Franc and gained 2.2% to Y96.88 against the Yen as improving risk appetite also weighed on haven demand for the Japanese currency.

The Dollar ended the week little changed at $1.6727 against the Pound on the week.

However, that belied a sell-off in Sterling on Thursday after the Bank of England's surprise decision to extend its quantitative easing operation by a further £50bn on Thursday, which brought the target of its total asset purchase scheme to £175bn by November.

The Pound suffered given the recent upturn in UK economic data had prompted most analysts to expect the Bank to either keep the plan on hold or to extend it by £25bn.

The more aggressive action, combined with a warning from the Bank that the recession appeared deeper than previously thought sent Sterling sharply lower.

The Pound, which before the Bank of England's announcement hit a one-month high of £0.8484 against the euro, finished the week flat at £0.8531 against the single currency.

South Africa's rand strengthened against the Dollar, erasing an earlier decline, after the release of a report that showed the pace of US job losses slowed more than expected in July.

The currency of Africa's largest currency traded at 8.0595 per Dollar as of 2:34 p.m. in Johannesburg, from 8.0650 against the US currency Thursday. It earlier weakened to as much as 8.1481 per Dollar.

The Australian Dollar fell 0.2% to $0.8380, shedding gains near a 10-month peak of $0.8471 struck earlier this week. The Aussie slid 0.2% against the Yen to 79.90, also erasing earlier gains near its 10-month high of 80.81 Yen hit on Tuesday.

And finally, as always to the RMB where China's central bank directed the Dollar higher on the onshore foreign-exchange market following the Dollar's overnight strength, which pulled the RMB down against the US unit Friday.

Dealers said the Dollar will continue to consolidate in the narrow CNY6.8300-CNY6.8400 range in the coming weeks, as the People's Bank of China reiterated in its latest monetary-policy report that external demand remains weak.

Any swing in yuan policy will either complicate the central bank's efforts to maintain its accommodative monetary policy or hurt local exporters, dealers said.

On the over-the-counter market, the Dollar closed at CNY6.8318, up from Thursday's close of CNY6.8312. It traded between CNY6.8314 and CNY6.8323.
China 
Key news eminating from China this week .....
 China MarketsChina Construction Bank Corp. President Zhang Jianguo said the nation's second-largest bank will cut new lending by about 70% in the second half to avert a surge in bad debt.

"We noticed that some loans didn't go into the real economy," Zhang, 54, said in an interview Thursday at the bank's headquarters in Beijing. "I feel that some industries are expanding too rapidly. For example, housing prices are rising too fast, and housing sales are growing too fast."

Construction Bank plans to extend about 200 billion yuan ($29 billion) of new loans in the second half, down from 708.5 billion yuan in the preceding six months, Zhang said. The company advanced 238 billion yuan in the year-earlier period.

Zhang's comments add to evidence that Chinese banks may curtail credit after they advanced a record $1.1 trillion of new loans in the first half, almost equivalent to India's gross domestic product last year. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index has rallied 84% in 2009 and real estate and land prices have rebounded, fueling concern that loans meant for infrastructure projects are being used for speculation.

The benchmark index dropped for a third day, losing 1.3%, as developers including Poly Real Estate Group Co. and China Vanke Co. tumbled on news that Construction Bank would curb new lending.

The People's Bank of China said Aug. 5 it will use "dynamic fine-tuning' and guide ''appropriate'' loan growth. The statement suggests the central bank will tighten monetary policy, said Galaxy Securities Co. chief economist Zuo Xiaolei. Construction Bank said last month it plans to follow government monetary policy.

Construction Bank's market value of $176 billion ranks it third among banks in the world by that measure, behind Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. and HSBC Holdings Plc.

China spent about $650 billion cleaning up its banking system over the past decade after years of state-directed lending caused a pile-up of bad debts. Excess capacity in some industries and a property bubble has led to increased risks for banks, said Zhang.

"Our experience is, a period of time after rapid economic growth and rapid bank lending growth, problems will emerge gradually," he said. ''The risk is evident.''

While slowing loans at home, Zhang said he plans to expand abroad to close a gap with ICBC and Bank of China Ltd. Shares of Construction Bank have gained 36% in Hong Kong this year.

Construction Bank is in advanced talks about an acquisition in Asia outside mainland China, Zhang said. The deal has gotten regulatory approval and may close in the next two to three months, he said. Zhang declined to identify the target or give the size of the deal.

The bank, with $186 billion of cash, hasn't made any acquisitions abroad since August 2006. That's when the Chinese lender bought Bank of America Corp.'s Hong Kong and Macau unit for $1.25 billion, gaining 17 outlets.

"Our disadvantage is that our overseas development isn't adequate," Zhang said. "We didn't grasp enough acquisition opportunities in the past few years."

Revenue from outside mainland China accounted for 1.7% of Construction Bank's total in 2008. The bank has outlets in New York, London and a representative office in Sydney, and is seeking a banking license in Vietnam, Zhang said. Larger rival ICBC has spent more than $6 billion on acquisitions in Indonesia, Macau and South Africa in the past two years.

Construction Bank is also seeking to buy "close to" 50% of China Cinda Asset Management Corp., one of the four firms set up by the government in 1999 to clean up banks' balance sheets after they racked up bad debts, said Zhang. The bank needs approval from the finance ministry and from regulators for the purchase, he said. Cinda is fully state owned.

Zhang expressed confidence in the Dollar, saying it won't be supplanted as the world's reserve currency anytime soon. Chinese policy makers have said they favor an eventual shift in the global currency reserve system away from the Dollar, suggesting wider use of an International Monetary Fund unit of account.

"For quite a few decades, the US Dollar is the best currency for international reserves, the currency to be used among us in the markets," Zhang said.

Construction Bank is one of the main beneficiaries of demand for infrastructure loans induced by China's 4 trillion yuan economic stimulus package. Established in 1954 to fund building of roads, bridges, dams and other infrastructure, it was the nation's biggest mortgage lender until the first half of 2008, when ICBC pushed it to second place.

China's total outstanding loans climbed 34% from a year earlier to 37.7 trillion yuan as of June 30. Credit growth will slow from that "unsustainable" pace to about 15% in 2010 as the strengthening economy reduces the need for loan support, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said in a report last month.

*************************************************

Details are emerging of China's largest suspected bank fraud after the former chairman of a company listed on London's Alternative Investment Market appeared in a Chinese court last week.

Prosecutors in the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou allege that Wang Sheng, former chairman of Canton Properties, a prominent developer in southern China, obtained about Rmb4.8bn ($702m) of illegal loans from Bank of Communications, a state-controlled lender 18.6% owned by HSBC.

Mr Wang, also known as Keng Wong, was the main recipient of the illegal loans, which were arranged with the help of a senior BoComm executive and never made available to the company, prosecutors claim.

Liu Changming, former president of BoComm's Guangzhou headquarters, fled the country soon after authorities launched an investigation in late 2007, according to state officials and people familiar with the case.

He is still on the run in spite of a global alert issued through Interpol to apprehend him.

According to people familiar with the case, the loans were channelled through subsidiary companies of Canton Properties without the knowledge of shareholders, who were told the company had no unpaid bank debt.

After Mr Wang disappeared in August 2008, Canton Properties suspended its shares and most of the company's board members, including Sir David Brewer, former lord mayor of London, resigned.

The shares have yet to resume trading.

Tony Knight, chief executive of Canton Properties, who was appointed in February to try to recover investments of foreign shareholders, said: "We later discovered Mr Wang had been arrested but it wasn't until recently that we discovered the true scale of the alleged fraud".

Canton Property, which listed in August 2007, was the only Aim company invited to meet Gordon Brown, UK prime minister, at the opening of the London Stock Exchange Beijing representative office in 2008.

The trial is being conducted behind closed doors, according to the Chinese financial magazine Caijing, which says the case involves as much as Rmb9.8bn, three times as much as the largest previous reported bank fraud in China.

Half the money has been recovered, but about Rmb4.6bn is still classified by BoComm as non-performing loans.

BoComm said the investigation had been going on for more than two years but the bank could not comment on details because of the trial.

HSBC executives said they were unaware of the case.

Mr Knight said he had reason to believe Mr Liu, the former BoComm president who was also known as Richard Liu, is currently in Boston in the US.

After fleeing China, Mr Liu was a regular participant in meetings in London between Canton Property executives and shareholders and although he was never introduced formally he was always treated as the real head of the company by the rest of his delegation, according to people who attended some of those meetings.

In August last year, Canton Property's assets, which include two shopping centres and a large exhibition centre in Guangzhou, were valued at $963m.

That same month the company announced it had no outstanding bank debt and Mr Wang was arrested in connection with the bank fraud.

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China's gross domestic product figures are among the world's most closely watched since they can move markets or boost hopes of an imminent recovery.

But the latest set of first-half numbers provided by provincial-level authorities are far higher than the central government's national figure, raising fresh questions about the accuracy of statistics in the world's most populous nation.

GDP totalled Rmb15,376bn ($2,251bn) in the first half, according to data released individually by China's 31 provinces and municipalities, 10% higher than the official first-half GDP figure of Rmb13,986bn published by the National Bureau of Statistics.

All but seven of the regions reported GDP growth rates above the bureau's first-half figure of 7.1%. At the start of the year, Beijing set 8% as China's growth target for the year.

With the rest of the world looking to China as a beacon of expansion, the discrepancy is a reminder that statistics there are often unreliable and manipulated regularly by officials for personal and political purposes.

In recent years, provincial figures have suggested consistently the world's third-largest economy is bigger than Beijing's published estimate, but the discrepancy appears to have widened this year.

Even state-controlled media reports and editorials have in recent days raised questions over their accuracy.

The Global Times, controlled by the People's Daily, the Communist party mouthpiece, reported that the public reacted with "banter and sarcasm" to NBS figures showing average urban wages in China rose 13% in the first half to $2,142.

It quoted an online poll showing 88% of respondents doubted the official numbers.

An editorial on Tuesday in the China Daily, the government's English-language mouthpiece, quoted another survey that found 91% of respondents sceptical of official data, up from 79% in 2007.

Economists abroad have also questioned the reliability of the data in recent months.

Some economists say provincial officials have enormous incentives to improve their career prospects by exaggerating local economic growth.

The NBS itself is often wary of data provided by local governments and tends to revise down preliminary estimates using its own statistical model, according to official economists.

Calls to the NBS, which like most Chinese government agencies rarely responds to requests for comment, were not returned.

The criticism has prompted the NBS to launch a campaign last week, entitled "Statistical Feelings: We have walked together - Celebrating the 60th anniversary of the founding of New China," to boost confidence among statisticians.

The campaign has already produced works such as: "I'm proud to be a brick in the statistical building of the republic." In another poem, a contributor writes: "I can rearrange the stars in the sky because I have statistics."

*************************************************

Baosteel Group Corp., China's biggest steelmaker, is struggling to meet "explosive" demand from automobile and home-appliance makers and has pushed production to near-record levels, said JPMorgan Chase & Co.

"Baosteel is having difficulty meeting the explosive demand from these two industries," JPMorgan said Friday in an e-mailed report, citing a conversation with the steelmaker.

Benchmark Chinese steel prices have soared 32% since April as the government's $586 billion stimulus spending spurred construction, passenger car sales and housing demand. The China Iron & Steel Association on July 31 raised its 2009 output projection by at least 8.7%.

"Demand from the machinery industry is seeing a steady increase, although exports remain weak," JPMorgan said in the report. "The only area of weakness seen by the company is from the shipbuilding industry."

Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., the listed unit of Baosteel, dropped in Shanghai trading.

The Shanghai-based company raised prices on July 13 by as much as 14% for August delivery, the second monthly gain. Baoshan Steel may announce September pricing next week, Umetal Research Institute analyst Hu Yanping said Friday.

Sales to the automobile and home-appliance industries each represent about 15% of Baosteel's sales, while machinery accounts for between 7% and 10%, JPMorgan said.

China's passenger-vehicle sales rose 48% in June, the biggest jump since February 2006, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers said July 19. The nation's manufacturing expanded in July.

*************************************************

The Chinese government is moving closer to allowing foreign companies to sell shares in mainland China for the first time as part of a strategy approved this year to try to develop Shanghai into an international financial centre.

Plans to allow foreign listings have been proposed repeatedly in the past decade, but have all been cancelled over fears that a flood of new shares would depress prices, or because of concerns that opening up the market would attract unwanted scrutiny of the government's tight control over the listing process.

However, moves by China's top leaders to develop Shanghai, the country's commercial capital, into an international centre have provided impetus for a long-standing plan to allow foreign companies to list on mainland bourses.

HSBC, which has flagged its ambition to list in China, is picking advisers for a listing in its original home market of Shanghai.

As well as allowing large blue-chip foreign companies such as HSBC to list in China, Beijing is also reconsidering a long-delayed plan to allow so-called "red chip" Chinese companies listed abroad to return to their home market.

"Red chips" are mostly large state-owned Chinese companies, such as China Mobile and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, that have incorporated abroad and sold shares in the Hong Kong stock market.

Rules that would allow these companies to sell shares to mainland Chinese investors, who are in effect barred from buying equities outside the country, have been under consideration for at least four years.

While HSBC and other foreign companies with a large presence in China would welcome the opportunity to raise renminbi in the booming mainland stock markets, a timetable for when the government will allow it to happen has still not been set, according to people familiar with the situation.

Added to that, Chinese regulators are notoriously fickle and cautious when it comes to rolling out new policy initiatives.
Summary  
The coming week looks like .....
Commodities Indices
 I'm sure that you have noticed by now, I have purposely avoided mentioning the US Jobs figures that were announced Friday; 'Better Than Expected' of course and undoubtedly will be revised in September.

To me, it looks like every trick in the book is being used to keep this rally going and the longer it goes on, the harder the fall will be.

But rather than taking another 'soap-box' moment, let me focus on what is coming in the week ahead.

The symmetry/asymmetry of global market reaction to data next week - as much from China (industrial output, trade, industrial output, retail sales) as from the major developed economies (flash German, French and euro zone GDP, US trade, Japanese Tankan) - will show how much appetite there is to keep chasing the rally higher.

Treasuries are losing their appeal as a safe haven, with market participants expecting more selling pressure in coming weeks on a brightening economic outlook and rising debt supply.

The 10-year note's yield is likely to test 4% as soon as next week, a level last seen in early June, traders said. The pace of increase in bond yields depends on upcoming economic data - whether the positive streams from the economic releases will be sustainable.

Treasuries have handed investors a loss of 4.82% this year through Thursday after a gain of more than 10% in 2008, according to data from Barclays. Risky assets have performed better this year, with high-yield, high-risk corporate bonds gaining 40.5%, investment-grade corporate bonds up 12.3%, mortgage-backed securities returning 3.1% and municipal bonds gaining 8.4%.

The 10-year note's yield, trading at 3.86% Friday afternoon, has increased by more than 180 basis points from the historic low in mid-December, though the yield was more than 5% two years earlier. The 10-year note's yield could rise to 4.25% to 4.3% in the next two to three months if the economic recovery gathers strength, according to three traders. Bond yields move inversely to bond prices.

Rising yields, a boon for bond bears, are pushing up the funding costs for the US government and mortgage rates, but higher yields may entice investors, including foreign central banks, to underwrite the Treasury auctions. The US government is banking on foreign investors, who own more than half of the Treasury market, to fund its record budget shortfalls and a variety of programs to fix the economy and the banking system.

Traders noted that with the 10-year note's yield approaching 4%, it will bode well for next week's $75 billion note and bond sales, including $37 billion in three-year notes, $23 billion in 10-year notes and $15 billion in 30-year bonds.

In next week's monetary policy meeting, the Fed is likely to acknowledge the progress in the economic data while reaffirming its commitment to keep the fed-funds target rate near zero for a while to lift the economy out of a recession

US retailers, which have yet to show signs of an improving economy, begin reporting fiscal second-quarter results next week.

When Federal Reserve officials meet Tuesday and Wednesday, they will discuss whether to continue programs aimed at relieving the credit crunch and the recession.

A key measure of inflation, the Consumer Price Index, is expected to remain flat for July when it is released next Friday.

Along with the CPI report next Friday, the government will release data on July industrial production and the Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment will issue its preliminary figure for August. On Thursday, the government will report on July retail sales and June business inventories. Second-quarter productivity figures are due Tuesday, and the June report on the US trade deficit will be out Wednesday.

The Securities and Exchange Commission will have to defend in court its proposed $33 million settlement with Bank of America over bonuses promised to Merrill Lynch & Co. employees last year. US District Judge Jed S. Rakoff refused to sign off on the deal and is forcing the two sides to disclose in a court hearing Monday how they negotiated their agreement.

Here in the AsiaPac' region, next week's Japanese economic calendar includes the August 10th release of June machinery orders expected at -1.2% compared to -3% last month.

Also on August 10th July money supply will be released expected unchanged at 0.1% along with the June current account expected at ¥0.90.trillion compared to ¥1.30 trln in May. On August 12th July corporate goods orders will be released expected at -0.1% compared to -0.3% last month. Also on August 12th revised June industrial output is due for release expected at 2.6% compared to 5.7% last month. On August 14th June tertiary activity will be released expected at -0.3% compared to -0.1% last month.

Next week's Australian economic calendar includes the August 10th release of June housing finance expected at 1.6% compared to 2.2% last month. June industrial and he will also be released on August 10th expected at 1.7% compared to 2.4% last month

The technical outlook for the Australian Dollar is positive as the AUD rallies above 8400.

Next week's EU economic calendar includes the August 10th release of August Sentix index expected at -30 compared -31.3 last month. On August 11th July German final CPI will be released expected at 0.7% compared to 0.5% last month. On August 13th EU Q2 flash GDP is due for release expected at -1.1%. On August 14th EU July HICP will be released expected at 0.1% compared to flat last month.

The outlook for the Euro in the short-term is turning slightly negative as it fails to hold will above 1.4400 and may be delinking from risk sentiment.

In the UK next week, the economic calendar includes the August 11th release of July BRC retail sales expected at 1.1% compared to 1.4% last month.

Also on August 11th June trade balance will be released expected at -6.14bln compared to -6.26bln last month. On August 12th June unemployment will be released expected unchanged at 7.6% with claimant count expected to rise by 15k.

Official resistance to currency appreciation has been evident in some developed countries (Switzerland, RBA, RBNZ, among others) and there are suspicions that some Asian central banks may also be inclined to check such trends given the fierce competition among the world's exporters to grab what orders there are.

Trade data next week will, I feel, be the key for the week as releases in the US, China and Canada will show how trade flows are faring (some slippage seen recently in the Baltic Dry) and the extent to which Chinese economic activity is driving them.

All told, another 'interesting' week ahead and whilst I still see that correction coming, I'm wondering how much more 'smoke and mirrors' global markets can withstand before someone, somewhere wakes up and smells the coffee and paints the picture as it truly is.

And that person has to be someone of substance; Bernanke isn't going to do it; Buffet has just made $3 billion this week, he's not going to do it and as mentioned at the start of this Newsletter, Trichet isn't going to do it.

So I'll end my thoughts this week as I began them; Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to step up to the plate?
As always, I will keep you posted with major developments as/when they occur in the week ahead.
 
In the meantime, I wish you all a very pleasant weekend.
 
Market Newsletter Written By 


Adrian Page

Managing Director
Financial Page International
 
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